Centrica PLC
24 June 2005
CENTRICA HALF-YEAR TRADING UPDATE AND OUTLOOK
Centrica plc has today issued the following trading statement ahead of the
company entering close period on 1 July.
The Company confirms the guidance for 2005 given in its AGM statement published
on 9 May 2005, but notes that a greater proportion of its profits will be earned
from its upstream division as a consequence of higher wholesale gas prices.
Financial performance in the year to date has been good, assisted by commodity
prices which, although at historic highs, were lower in the period than had been
predicted. Market gas prices out-turned at 32p for the first quarter and have
averaged 30p for the second quarter to date.
However, due to significant increases predicted in the second half, the 2005
demand weighted wholesale market gas price at 41p/therm, is now 51% higher than
2004 compared to 44% at the time of the company's AGM statement in May and 29%
at the time of the 2004 full year results announcement in February 2005. The
2005 demand weighted baseload power price at £35/MWh is also 43% higher than the
prior year compared with 38% in May 2005 and 20% in February 2005.
To the end of May, British Gas' weighted average cost of gas was 29.5p/therm and
the weighted average cost of electricity was £33.6/MWh, but these will rise in
the second half of the year. This will lead to lower margins downstream in the
second half and the necessity for further increases in retail energy tariffs, as
has also been signalled by other suppliers. British Gas expects to make
significantly more profit in the first half of the year than the second half,
although first half profit will be impacted by lower customer numbers and will
be below the equivalent period of 2004.
Year-to-date, British Gas has lost net 445,000 energy accounts. This equates to
average net losses of around 10,000 a week since the AGM statement compared to
over 22,000 before. Sales and marketing initiatives in British Gas have
successfully raised the levels of new energy contracts sold to around 55,000 per
week. Gross losses have slowed but remain at a higher level than in the same
period of 2004, reflecting overall higher levels of churn in the industry. In
electricity the company has now seen several weeks of net gains.
British Gas Home Services has continued its pattern of revenue growth, with cost
efficiencies driving a first half operating profit ahead of expectations, even
after the increased pension charge under IAS19. The new engineer deployment
system is progressing well with around 1,750 engineers now using the new
technology and is already delivering benefits.
In Centrica Energy gas production levels in the first half have been in line
with the guidance we have given previously, although we have benefited from the
large rise in wholesale prices, and hence upstream gas production profits will
be significantly higher than 2004.
Performance in Centrica Storage in the first half of the year has been very
strong due to both higher Standard Bundled Unit (SBU) prices and operational
reliability which was close to 100% reflecting the benefit of our investment
programme. SBU prices have continued to rise and the company has now sold almost
75% of the capacity available to third parties for the 2006/7 storage year.
British Gas Business has maintained its position in a very tough wholesale
commodity market. It has been successful in passing through the cost increases
to its contracted customers while holding churn levels in both fuels below 2004
levels.
We have continued to move forward in North America. We have grown our customer
base in Texas with organic customer gains outpacing the losses in the incumbent
regions. In Business Markets, turnover has grown rapidly with the addition of
some further large contracts.
We are also making good progress on our European strategy and today have
announced our acquisition with Gaz de France of a controlling 51% stake in SPE,
the second largest power generation company in Belgium. As part of the
transaction our existing Belgian joint venture, Luminus, will be acquired by
SPE. This transaction follows our recent acquisition of Dutch energy supplier
Oxxio.
Onetel has seen very strong growth in its fixed line customer base with the
British Gas cross-selling channel proving very effective. The acquisition costs
associated with this rate of growth will mean that its first half profitability
will be lower than the second half of 2004.
Centrica will publish its 2005 Interim Results on 15 September 2005.
International Financial Reporting Standards
The financial results for the first half of 2005 will be the first under
International Financial Reporting Standards. The impact of IAS39 on the income
statement in relation to the change in fair value of Centrica Energy's sales and
procurement contracts is a credit of £194 million (pre-tax) to the end of April.
Of this £100 million relates to the unwinding of the opening balance sheet
adjustment as the contracts are delivered and £94 million relates to the change
in the forward mark-to-market position on new and existing contracts.
New share buyback programme
Centrica has made good progress in its £500 million buyback programme and has to
date repurchased 185 million shares for cancellation for a total consideration
of £437 million. Given the rate of progress and the lack of value-creating
upstream investment opportunities at current prices, the Board has decided to
undertake a further £500m share buyback programme, which will commence
immediately following completion of the existing programme.
The company today also announces that it will commence an irrevocable,
non-discretionary programme with its brokers to purchase Centrica Ordinary
Shares on its own behalf, for cancellation during its close period which
commences on 1 July 2005 and ends on 14 September 2005. Any purchases will be
effected within certain pre-set parameters and in accordance with both
Centrica's general authority to repurchase shares and in line with the Listing
Rules.
Conference call details
The Company will host a conference call from 8-9am (UK time) today with Group
Finance Director Phil Bentley who will answer any questions arising from the
statement. The telephone number for UK callers is 0845 2453471. Overseas callers
should dial +44 1452 542 300. The password for the call is 'Half Year Trading
Update'. A recording of the call will be available on the Investor Relations
section of the Centrica website (www.centrica.com/investors) from 2pm (UK time)
today.
Enquiries:
Centrica Investor Relations 01753 494900
Centrica Media Relations 01753 494085
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