30 January 2018
STANDARD LIFE INVESTMENTS PROPERTY INCOME TRUST LIMITED (LSE: SLI)
LEI: 549300HHFBWZRKC7RW84
Unaudited Net Asset Value as at 31 December 2017
Key Highlights
Solid Performance
Portfolio activity - Selling assets with limited future return prospects and reinvesting into assets in favoured sectors that provide secure income
Sales
Overall the above transactions have reduced risk in the portfolio by selling assets, particularly in the retail sector, where future returns are expected to come under pressure. Proceeds have been reinvested into assets in favoured sectors that offer secure income and better future performance characteristics.
Successful asset management activity
Strong balance sheet with prudent gearing
Premium rating
Attractive dividend yield
*LTV calculated as Debt less cash (incl cash held by solicitors) divided by portfolio value
Net Asset Value (“NAVâ€)
The unaudited net asset value per ordinary share of Standard Life Investments Property Income Trust Limited (“SLIPITâ€) at 31 Dec 2017 was 87.6p. The net asset value is calculated under International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRSâ€).
The net asset value incorporates the external portfolio valuation by Knight Frank at 31 Dec 2017.
Breakdown of NAV movement
Set out below is a breakdown of the change to the unaudited NAV calculated under IFRS over the period 1 Oct 2017 to 31 Dec 2017.
Per Share (p) | Attributable Assets (£m) | Comment | |||||||||
Net assets as at 30 Sept 2017 | 86.0 | 337.5 | |||||||||
Unrealised increase in valuation of property portfolio | 1.7 | 6.9 | Mainly relates to like for like increase of 1.7% in property portfolio | ||||||||
Gain on sales | 0.3 | 1.1 | Gains on sale of DSG, Matalan, Kings Lynn and Dorset Street, Southampton | ||||||||
CAPEX & purchase costs in the quarter | -0.3 | -1.0 | Predominantly acquisition costs incl SDLT plus CAPEX at Explorer 1 & 2 and Unit 6 Broadgate, Oldham | ||||||||
Net income in the quarter after dividend | 0.0 | 0.0 | Dividend cover for the quarter of 100% (104% for the full year) with uncommitted cash resources of £18.3m plus £35m RCF still available for investment. | ||||||||
Interest rate swaps mark to market revaluation | -0.1 | -0.4 | Increase in swap liabilities in the quarter | ||||||||
Share issues | 0.0 | 2.0 | NAV accretive issue of 2.25m shares in the quarter raising £2.0m | ||||||||
Other movement in reserves | 0.0 | -0.1 | Movement in lease incentives in the quarter | ||||||||
Net assets as at 31 Dec 2017 | 87.6 | 346.0 | |||||||||
European Public Real Estate Association (“EPRAâ€)* |
31 Dec 2017 |
30 Sep 2017 |
|||||||||
EPRA Net Asset Value | £348.2 | £339.4m | |||||||||
EPRA Net Asset Value per share | 88.2p | 86.4p | |||||||||
The Net Asset Value per share is calculated using 394,865,419 shares of 1p each being the number in issue on 31 Dec 2017.
* The EPRA net asset value measure is to highlight the fair value of net assets on an on-going, long-term basis. Assets and liabilities that are not expected to crystallise in normal circumstances, such as the fair value of financial derivatives, are therefore excluded.
Investment Manager Commentary
The focus during 2017 was relatively simple – firstly, to reduce future risk of capex/voids and to reduce exposure to retail warehousing, which we feel is going to continue to face headwinds. Secondly, we wanted to control the void level and secure future income at risk from lease expiry and void. The year ahead is likely to have a similar theme, although we have more or less completed the portfolio rebalancing, with the main focus being on maintaining and growing the income stream.
Whilst 2017 surprised with the extent of capital growth (5.4%), we remain cautious on the outlook for 2018. Initial indications are that tenant interest in industrial and office property remains relatively strong, however the prospect of mixed news on Brexit, and a slowing economy, means that we want to continue to focus on reducing voids. We completed several lease renewals in Q4 2017 and an agreement for lease on our largest void in January 2018. We are encouraged by the number of viewings on our largest remaining void – a logistics unit in Oldham - and although we are aware of several future voids over the course of 2018, early interest in them is also encouraging.
The last quarter of 2017 and the first weeks of 2018 saw continued rebalancing of the portfolio, rotating out of retail warehouse units that had future risk (Preston was over-rented and planning had recently been granted for a new park on the opposite side of town) and buying into assets that we believe tenants will want to occupy, such as well-located offices and industrial units.
The Company retains its undrawn Revolving Credit Facility (£35m) as well as unallocated cash (£18.3m) for reinvestment, and had an LTV of 18% as at 31 December, reflecting the relatively cautious outlook we have. The cost of the debt has been hedged, and is fixed at 2.7%, as compared to a running yield on the investment portfolio of 5.6%. The interest rate swap has a liability of £2.2m held in the NAV. This will revert to £0 at maturity.
Market Commentary
As we move into 2018, economists generally expect relatively subdued economic growth for the year ahead and then some further moderation in economic momentum in 2019 as the impact of leaving the European Union becomes more pronounced. Despite the relatively weak economic backdrop, UK real estate returns were stronger than most analysts originally anticipated at the start of 2017. Up to the end of December, UK real estate recorded total returns of 11.2% for the year. Capital growth was relatively strong over the year also with values rising by 5.4%, .an improvement on the 4.5% growth in the twelve months to end September. Rents increased by 1.9% over the year which marginally improved from the increase in the year to end September.
As for the equity markets, the FTSE All Share and the FTSE 100 both produced total returns of 5% respectively over the period 30/09/17 to 31/12/17. Over the same period, listed real estate equities delivered a return of 8.3%.
In sector terms, the industrial sector has continued to demonstrate its strength, generating a total return of 21.1% in the twelve months to end December. Retail was the laggard sector in the same period, recording total returns of 7.7%. Despite the political uncertainty associated with the sector, offices recorded a total return of 8.5% in the year to end December. Retail capital growth continues to be the weakest with values increasing by 1.5% over the twelve months to end December, whilst office values grew by 3.5% over the same time frame. Rental growth remained positive over the last 12 months with office rental growth of 1.4% and industrials at 4.9%. Retail rental growth, at 0.4% continued to be considerably weaker than the other sectors.
Investment Outlook
UK real estate continues to provide an elevated yield compared to other assets and market values are now ahead of the level they attained before the Brexit upheaval in 2016. Furthermore, lending to the sector remains prudent and liquidity remains reasonable. Additionally, development continues to be relatively constrained by historic standards, and existing vacancy rates are below average levels in most markets, although there are pockets of oversupply in some markets such as Central London. The positive fundamentals should help to maintain positive returns. In this environment, the steady secure income component generated by the asset class is likely to be the key driver of returns. The market is likely to continue to be sentiment driven in the short term as the politics and economic impact associated with the UK’s withdrawal from the European Union continues to evolve. The retail sector continues to face a series of headwinds that may hold back recovery in less strong locations due to oversupply and structural issues. Within this sector, however, the prospects for retail towards the South East and Central London are expected to remain more robust. Given the backdrop of continuing heightened macro uncertainty, investors are becoming more risk averse and better quality assets are once again broadly outperforming those of poorer quality. Prime/good quality assets with stronger tenants on longer leases are likely to provide the best opportunities in the weaker economic environment we anticipate further into 2018.
Dividends
The Company paid total dividends in respect of the quarter ended 30 September 2017 of 1.19p per Ordinary Share, with a payment date of 30 November 2017.
Net Asset analysis as at 31 Dec 2017 (unaudited)
£m | % of net assets | |
Office | 150.5 | 40.2 |
Retail | 69.6 | 20.1 |
Industrial | 213.1 | 64.9 |
Total Property Portfolio | 433.2 | 125.2 |
Adjustment for lease incentives | -3.7 | -1.1 |
Fair value of Property Portfolio | 429.5 | 124.1 |
Cash | 14.3 | 4.1 |
Other Assets | 24.2 | 7.0 |
Total Assets | 468.0 | 135.2 |
Current liabilities | -10.5 | -3.0 |
Non-current liabilities (bank loans & swap) | -111.5 | -32.2 |
Total Net Assets | 346.0 | 100.0 |
Breakdown in valuation movements over the period 1 Oct 2017 to 31 Dec 2017
Portfolio Value as at 31 Dec 2017 (£m) | Exposure as at 31 Dec 2017 (%) | Like for Like Capital Value Shift (excl transactions & CAPEX) | Capital Value Shift (incl transactions (£m) | |
(%) | ||||
External valuation at 30 Sep 17 | 441.1 | |||
Retail | 69.6 | 16.1 | 0.4 | -20.6 |
South East Retail | 5.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | |
Rest of UK Retail | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Retail Warehouses | 10.4 | -0.1 | -20.9 | |
Offices | 150.5 | 34.7 | 0.1 | 6.3 |
London City Offices | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
London West End Offices | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | |
South East Offices | 27.2 | -0.5 | 5.6 | |
Rest of UK Offices | 4.4 | 3.2 | 0.6 | |
Industrial | 213.1 | 49.2 | 3.1 | 6.4 |
South East Industrial | 13.1 | 5.9 | 3.2 | |
Rest of UK Industrial | 36.1 | 2.2 | 3.2 | |
External valuation at 31 Dec 2017 | 433.2 | 100.0 | 1.7 | 433.2 |
Top 10 Properties
31 Dec 17 (£m) |
|
Elstree Tower, Borehamwood | 20-25 |
Denby 242, Denby | 15-20 |
Symphony, Rotherham | 15-20 |
Chester House, Farnborough | 15-20 |
The Pinnacle, Reading | 10-15 |
New Palace Place, London | 10-15 |
Howard Town Retail Park, High Peak | 10-15 |
Hollywood Green, London | 10-15 |
Charter Court, Slough | 10-15 |
Eden Street, Kingston Upon Thames | 10-15 |
Top 10 tenants
Tenant group | Passing rent | As % of total rent | |
1 | Sungard Availability Services (UK) Ltd | 1,320,000 | 5.0 |
2 | BAE Systems plc | 1,257,640 | 4.7 |
3 | Techno Cargo Logistics Ltd | 1,242,250 | 4.6 |
4 | The Symphony Group Plc | 1,080,000 | 4.1 |
5 | Bong UK | 741,784 | 2.8 |
6 | Euro Car Parts Ltd | 736,355 | 2.8 |
7 | Ricoh UK Limited | 696,995 | 2.6 |
8 | CEVA Logistics Limited | 633,385 | 2.4 |
9 | Thyssenkrupp Materials (UK) Ltd | 590,000 | 2.2 |
10 | Public Sector | 559,148 | 2.1 |
8,857,557 | 33.3 | ||
Total Fund Passing Rent | 26,654,667 |
Regional Split
South East | 46.0% |
East Midlands | 15.1% |
North West | 11.0% |
North East | 8.4% |
West Midlands | 7.5% |
Scotland | 5.0% |
South West | 3.8% |
London West End | 3.2% |
The Board is not aware of any other significant events or transactions which have occurred between 31 Dec 17 and the date of publication of this statement which would have a material impact on the financial position of the Company.
The information contained within this announcement is deemed by the Company to constitute inside information as stipulated under the Market Abuse Regulations (EU) No. 596/2014). Upon the publication of this announcement via Regulatory Information Service this inside information is now considered to be in the public domain.
Details of the Company may also be found on the Investment Manager’s website which can be found at: www.slipit.co.uk
For further information:-
Jason Baggaley – Real Estate Fund Manager, Standard Life Investments
Tel +44 (0) 131 245 2833 orjason.baggaley@aberdeenstandard.com
Graeme McDonald - Real Estate Finance Manager, Standard Life Investments
Tel +44 (0) 131 245 3151 orgraeme.mcdonald@aberdeenstandard.com
The Company Secretary
Northern Trust International Fund Administration Services (Guernsey) Ltd
Trafalgar Court
Les Banques
St Peter Port
GY1 3QL
Tel: 01481 745001