AIM and Media Release
12 December 2019
BASE RESOURCES LIMITED
DFS reinforces Toliara Project’s status as a world class mineral sands development
HIGHLIGHTS
African mineral sands producer, Base Resources Limited (ASX & AIM: BSE) (Base Resources or the Company) is pleased to release the outcomes of its Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) on its Toliara Project in Madagascar. The DFS outcomes closely align with the Pre-Feasibility Study (PFS) outcomes released in March 2019 and confirm a post-tax/pre-debt (real) NPV10 of US$652 million and an average revenue to cost ratio of 3.15 over the initial 33-year mine life.
Executive Director Operations and Development of Base Resources, Colin Bwye, said:
“Building on the PFS outcomes, our Project Development Team carried out a rigorous process to further define all aspects of the Toliara Project. This included receiving firm tender submissions and project specific budget quotations for virtually all major capital works, geotechnical and hydrogeological investigation of the region, reviewing timeframes, and extensive consultation with experts and a number of third-party peer reviews. As a result of this, we are confident with the Project’s capital and operating metrics.â€
“We are very pleased that the DFS has re-confirmed our view that the Toliara Project is a world class mineral sands development opportunity. In the first 26 years of full production, the Toliara Project is expected to produce an average of 814kt of ilmenite, 55kt of zircon and 7kt of rutile annually, over a period when a global supply deficit of titanium dioxide feedstocks and zircon is expected. This production profile, combined with a highly competitive revenue to cost of sales ratio, will generate estimated average annual free cash flows of US$140.2 million over these years.â€
Managing Director of Base Resources, Tim Carstens, said:
“We are pleased to share the DFS outcomes today, as we progress through another major milestone in the process of bringing the Toliara Project into production.â€
“We will now focus on concluding offtake and funding arrangements as we work towards a Final Investment Decision, planned for September 2020. Over the course of 2020, we also aim to upgrade the Ranobe Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves estimates following the geological interpretation of definitional drilling completed earlier this year.â€
“As the planned next large-scale mining investment in the country and the first for almost a decade, the Toliara Project is of national significance to Madagascar. With the application of the Base Resources’ development model, as demonstrated with the Kwale Operation in Kenya, the Toliara Project is expected to have catalytic impact. It will create transformational opportunities for our communities, economic stimulus for the Toliara region and a flagship foreign investment for the government that is forecast to directly generate in excess of US$1 billion in government revenue and community development expenditure over the 33 year mine life.â€
“Base Resources is engaging with the government of Madagascar in relation to fiscal terms applicable to the mining sector in Madagascar, including the Toliara Project. We are confident that mutually beneficial terms can be secured that will support a sound and sustainable Toliara Project and broader mining sector, while delivering clear benefits to the communities, the nation of Madagascar and shareholders.â€
Investment evaluation
Set out below are the key financial and production outcomes from the DFS, together with, in the case of the financial outcomes, a comparison of those outcomes against the equivalent PFS outcomes. The information in this section and the section titled “Mining and Production Profile†should be read together with the information set out in the section titled “Toliara Project Definitive Feasibility Study – Summary Outcomesâ€. That section contains detailed information about the DFS and its outcomes, including the material assumptions and underlying methodologies for deriving the financial and production outcomes set out below, such as the material price and operating cost assumptions.
Unit | DFS | PFS | ||
NPV10 (at a discount rate of 10%), post tax, real | US$ millions | 652 | 671 | |
NPV8 (at a discount rate of 8%), post tax, real* | US$ millions | 910 | 926 | |
NPV12 (at a discount rate of 12%), post tax, real* | US$ millions | 461 | 483 | |
NPV10 – TZMI Q3-2019 price forecast, post tax, real* | US$ millions | 722 | 737 | |
IRR | % | 21.4 | 22.4 | |
Initial (Stage 1) Capex | US$ millions | 442 | 439 | |
Construction time (Stage 1) | Months | 26 | 24 | |
Stage 2 Capex | US$ millions | 69 | 67 | |
Capital Payback Period (Stage 1 and 2) | Years | 4.25 | 4.0 | |
LOM Operating Costs + 2% Royalty | US$/t ore mined | 4.31 | 4.49 | |
LOM Operating Costs + 2% Royalty | (A) | US$/t produced | 94 | 95 |
LOM Revenue | (B) | US$/t produced | 295 | 292 |
LOM Cash Margin | (B-A) | US$/t produced | 201 | 197 |
LOM Revenue : Cost of Sales Ratio | (B/A) | Ratio : 1 | 3.15 | 3.06 |
LOM Free Cash Flow | US$ millions | 3,692 | 3,696 |
* Alternative NPV calculations are provided for illustrative and comparative purposes only. Base Resources considers a 10% discount rate to be the most appropriate for evaluation purposes.
Mining and Production Profile
Production Profile | Life of Mine (LOM) | Ops Yr1 | Ops Yrs 2-4 | Ops Yrs 5-27 | Ops Yrs 28+ | |
Total | annual ave* | annual ave | annual ave | annual ave** | ||
Ore mined (tonnes) | 586,019,054 | 18,008,919 | 12,300,408 | 12,612,768 | 18,588,216 | 18,581,844 |
HM% | 6.50% | 6.53% | 7.61% | 9.24% | 6.64% | 4.92% |
HMC produced (tonnes) | 38,452,018 | 1,186,171 | 939,348 | 1,184,581 | 1,244,130 | 920,510 |
Period | 33 years | 31 years | 1 year | 3 years | 23 years | 6 years |
Produced (tonnes): | ||||||
Sulphate ilmenite | 11,755,966 | 365,580 | 213,405 | 388,456 | 381,194 | 280,030 |
Slag ilmenite | 6,803,453 | 211,570 | 123,502 | 224,809 | 220,606 | 162,060 |
Chloride ilmenite | 6,512,282 | 202,519 | 118,052 | 214,836 | 210,905 | 156,552 |
Total ilmenite | 25,071,701 | 779,669 | 454,959 | 828,101 | 812,705 | 598,642 |
Rutile | 223,661 | 6,973 | 3,664 | 6,237 | 7,242 | 6,176 |
Zircon | 1,683,454 | 52,588 | 23,713 | 58,103 | 54,748 | 39,346 |
* Does not include the first and last years of operation as these are both partial operating years.
** Does not include the last year of operation as this is a partial operating year.
Investor and Shareholder calls
Base Resources Managing Director, Tim Carstens, and Executive Director, Colin Bwye, will host two investor and shareholder conference calls to discuss the DFS outcomes. Tim, Colin, and other senior members of the Project Development Team will be available to answer questions following a summary of the DFS outcomes.
Asia Pacific conference call
Date: Monday 16 December 2019
Time: 12.00pm AWST / 3.00pm AEDT
Conference ID: 10003220
Telephone dial in details:
Australia Toll Free: | 1 800 558 698 | China Wide: | 4001 200 659 | Malaysia: | 1800 816 294 |
Other international: | 61 7 3145 4010 | Hong Kong: | 800 966 806 | Singapore: | 800 101 2785 |
New Zealand Toll Free: | 0800 453 055 | Japan: | 0053 116 1281 |
Europe conference call
Date: Tuesday 17 December 2019
Time: 6.00pm AWST / 10.00am GMT
Conference ID: 10003221
Telephone dial in details:
United Kingdom: | 0800 051 8245 | Ireland: | 1800 948 625 | UAE: | 8000 3570 2705 |
Belgium: | 0800 72 111 | Italy: | 800 793 500 | United States: | 1855 8811 339 |
Sweden: | 020 791 959 | Norway: | 800 69 950 | Canada: | 1855 8811 339 |
France: | 080 098 1498 | Switzerland: | 0800 820 030 | Other international: | 61 7 3145 4010 |
Germany: | 0800 182 7617 | South Africa: | 0800 999 976 |
Reasonable basis for forward looking statements
This document contains a series of forward-looking statements. Base Resources has concluded that it has a reasonable basis for providing these forward-looking statements. This includes a reasonable basis to expect that Base Resources will be able to fund development of the Toliara Project when required. The detailed reasons for these conclusions are disclosed in the section titled “Toliara Project Definitive Feasibility Study – Summary Outcomesâ€. The Disclaimer & Important Notices in that section also applies to the information above.
Graphics referenced in this release have been omitted. A full PDF version of this release, including all graphics, is available from the Company’s website: www.baseresources.com.au.
Toliara Project Definitive Feasibility Study - Summary Outcomes
Disclaimer & Important Notices
Definitive Feasibility Study
This document has been prepared by Base Resources Limited (Base Resources). The information included in this document relates to the outcomes of the Definitive Feasibility Study for the Toliara Project. The Definitive Feasibility Study is based on technical, economic and other conditions and information as at the date of this document, which may be subject to change. Accordingly, the information and conclusions presented in this document should be viewed in this light. Information in this document should also be read in conjunction with other announcements made by Base Resources.
Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves estimates, production targets and forecast financial information
This document contains estimated Mineral Resources, estimated Ore Reserves, production targets and forecast financial information for the Toliara Project.
The details included about the estimated Mineral Resources for the Toliara Project have been extracted from Base Resources' announcement titled “Updated Ranobe Deposit Mineral Resources (corrected)†dated 23 January 2019. The details included about the estimated Ore Reserves for the Toliara Project have been extracted from Base Resources' announcement titled "Maiden Ranobe Ore Reserves Estimate" dated 6 December 2019. Both announcements are available at https://www.baseresources.com.au/investor-centre/asx-releases/. Base Resources confirms that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in these announcements and that all material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning those estimates continue to apply and have not materially changed. The Ranobe Mineral Resources included in this document are reported inclusive of the Ranobe Ore Reserves. The reference point for the Ranobe Ore Reserves estimate was 2022, being operating year 1.
The estimated Ore Reserves for the Toliara Project underpin the production targets and forecast financial information for the Toliara Project included in this document. Those Ore Reserves have been prepared by competent persons in accordance with the requirements of the JORC Code. The material assumptions on which the production targets and the forecast financial information derived from those targets included in this document are based are included in this document.
Forward-looking statements
Certain statements in or in connection with this document contain or comprise forward looking statements. Such statements may include, but are not limited to, statements with regard to capital cost, operating cost, capacity, future production and available grades, forecast global supply, product prices, sales projections and financial performance and may be (but are not necessarily) identified by the use of phrases such as “willâ€, “expectâ€, “anticipateâ€, “believe†and “envisageâ€. By their nature, forward looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future and may be outside Base Resources’ control. Accordingly, results could differ materially from those set out in the forward-looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic and market conditions, success of business and operating initiatives, changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions, fluctuations in product prices and exchange rates and business and operational risk management. Some risks that could impact Base Resources' ability to achieve the outcomes or results expressed or implied by such statements include those set out in the sections titled "Pre-FID Risks". Subject to any continuing obligations under applicable law or relevant stock exchange listing rules, Base Resources undertakes no obligation to update publicly or release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after today's date or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
Not advice, not an offer and other
Nothing in this document constitutes investment, legal or other advice. You must not act on the basis of any matter contained in this document, but must make your own independent investigation and assessment of Base Resources and obtain any professional advice you require before making any investment decision based on your investment objectives and financial circumstances.
This document does not constitute an offer, invitation, solicitation, advice or recommendation with respect to the issue, purchase or sale of any security in any jurisdiction. In particular, this document does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, securities in the United States or to any â€US Person†(as defined in the US Securities Act of 1933). This document may not be distributed or released in the United States or to, or for the account of, any US Person.
No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this document (or any associated presentation, information or matters). To the maximum extent permitted by law, Base Resources and its related bodies corporate and affiliates, and their respective directors, officers, employees, agents and advisers, disclaim any liability (including, without limitation, any liability arising from fault, negligence or negligent misstatement) for any direct or indirect loss or damage arising from any use or reliance on this document or its contents, including any error or omission from, or otherwise in connection with, it.
Introduction
To fully capitalise on Base Resources’ capability built from the Kwale development in Kenya, Base Resources acquired the Toliara Project in January 2018. Project development immediately commenced - identifying value adding options and evaluating them before selecting the best options to progress through the pre-feasibility study (PFS) and then further defining that option and the broader business case in the definitive feasibility study (DFS)
All references in this document to $ are to US Dollars.
Introduction
The world class mineral sands Ranobe deposit is located in south west Madagascar, 45km north of the regional port town of Toliara, 18km inland, approximately 640km southwest of Antananarivo, the capital of Madagascar
The Toliara Project
History
Project Description
The Toliara Project will be implemented in two stages following a 9 month Early Works / FEED program. Final investment decision (FID) is planned for September 2020
The Toliara Project is expected to deliver a combined ~840ktpa Chloride Ilmenite, Sulphate Ilmenite, Slag Ilmenite, Zircon and Rutile over a predicted 33-year mine life based upon exploiting the existing Ranobe Ore Reserves.
The project will be implemented in two stages to take into account higher ore grades in the early years.
Stage 1 consists of engineering, procurement, construction and commissioning of:
Stage 2 commences four years after initial production with the engineering, procurement, construction and commissioning of:
The MSP, haul road, bridge and export facility are not impacted by Stage 2. The overall nominal production rate will not change as a result of the Stage 2 Works.
Stage | Commence | Finish | Duration (months) |
Cost (USD M) |
Early works / FEED | Jan 2020 | Sep 2020 | 9 | 34 |
Stage 1 FID | Sep 2020 | - | - | - |
Stage 1 Implementation | Oct 2020 | Nov 2022 | 26 | 442 |
Stage 2 Studies / FEED | Aug 2023 | Jul 2025 | 24 | - |
Stage 2 FID | Aug 2025 | - | - | - |
Stage 2 Implementation | Sep 2025 | Sep 2026 | 12 | 69 |
Geology
Located 45km north of the town of Toliara, the Ranobe deposit comprises three mineralised units
Deposit geology
Geology – Tenure and Drilling History
A Mining Lease exists over the entirety of the current Ranobe deposit Mineral Resources estimate
Tenure
Drilling
Historical drilling
Program | Company | # Holes | # Metres |
2001 | Madagascar Resources NL | 120 | 3,068 |
2003 | Ticor/Kumba Resources (Exxaro) joint venture | 400 | 9,424 |
2005 | Ticor/Kumba Resources (Exxaro) joint venture | 289 | 6,135 |
2012 | WTR | 361 | 8,088 |
2018-19 | Base Resources | 770 | 29,760 |
Total | 1,940 | 56,475 |
Geology - Mineral Resources
The JORC compliant Mineral Resources estimate stands at 1,290Mt at 5.1% HM and 6.4% SL, including 790Mt at 5.8% HM in the Measured and Indicated categories. The estimate is unchanged from the PFS
Mineral Resources
Ranobe Deposit Mineral Resources Estimate at 1.5% HM cut-off grade
Category | Measured | Indicated | Total M&I | Inferred | Total USU | Indicated | Inferred | Total ICSU | Total |
Zones | Upper Sandy Unit | Intermediate Clay Sandy Unit | USU + ICSU | ||||||
Tonnes | 420 | 300 | 720 | 420 | 1,140 | 73 | 79 | 150 | 1,290 |
HM % | 6.6 | 5.3 | 6.1 | 4.1 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 5.1 |
HM tonnes | 28 | 16 | 44 | 17 | 61 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 66 |
Slimes % | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 6.4 |
OS % | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
Ilmenite % of HM | 75 | 72 | 74 | 70 | 73 | 71 | 71 | 71 | 72 |
Rutile* % of HM | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
Zircon % of HM | 5.9 | 5.7 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
Table subject to rounding differences
*Rutile reported in the table is rutile + leucoxene mineral species.
For further information about the Ranobe deposit Mineral Resources estimate, refer to Base Resources’ announcements of 23 January 2019 “Updated Ranobe Deposit Mineral Resources (corrected)†available at https://www.baseresources.com.au/investor-centre/asx-releases/. Base Resources confirms that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in that announcement and all material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates in that announcement continue to apply and have not materially changed.
Geology - Ore Reserves
The JORC compliant Ore Reserves estimate stands at 586Mt at 6.5% HM
Ore Reserves estimate
Ranobe Ore Reserves Estimate
Category |
Tonnes (Mt) |
HM (Mt) |
HM (%) |
SL (%) |
OS (%) |
HM Assemblage (% of HM) | |||
ILM (%) |
RUT (%) |
LEUC* (%) |
ZIR (%) |
||||||
Proved | 347 | 24 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 0.1 | 75 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.9 |
Probable | 239 | 14 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 73 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5.7 |
Total | 586 | 38 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 74 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5.9 |
Table subject to rounding differences
*Recovered Leucoxene will be split between Rutile and Chloride Ilmenite products depending on product specification requirements.
For further information on the Ranobe deposit Ore Reserves estimate, refer to Base Resources’ announcements of 6 December 2019 “Maiden Ranobe Ore Reserves Estimate†available at https://www.baseresources.com.au/investor-centre/asx-releases/. Base Resources confirms that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in that announcement and all material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates in that announcement continue to apply and have not materially changed.
Mining Approach
The selected mining method is conventional dozer trap with in-pit tailings deposition, enabling a short 3 to 4-year cycle from initial land clearing to final land rehabilitation
Planned mining activity cycle
Mining Schedule
Mining will involve D11 bulldozers feeding a DMU to deliver 13Mtpa to the WCP in the first 4.25 years before increasing to 19Mtpa, with the addition of a second DMU and WCP for the remaining mine life
Mining schedule
Water Consumption
Tailings Schedule
The tailings management plan allows creation of viable final landforms for land rehabilitation about 18-24 months after mining
Tailings schedule
Metallurgical Testwork and Flowsheet Design
DFS metallurgical testwork program confirmed WCP flowsheet design and established mineral recoveries
Wet concentrator plant
Metallurgical Testwork and Flowsheet Design
DFS metallurgical testwork program confirmed MSP flowsheet design and established mineral recoveries and final product qualities
Mineral separation plant
Product Recoveries
An extensive suite of testwork was undertaken that provides a sound basis for product recovery estimation
Wet concentrator plant
Mineral separation plant
WCP Recoveries
Low Grade Ore | Medium Grade Ore | High Grade Ore | Avg | DFS Design | |
Rutile | 97.1 | 95.8 | 93.8 | 95.6 | 92.3 |
Zircon | 98.5 | 98.6 | 98.7 | 98.6 | 97.2 |
Ilmenite | 97.1 | 96.6 | 96.4 | 96.7 | 94.9 |
Leucoxene | 85.0 | 80.0 | 70.0 | 78.3 | 75.0 |
% HM in HMC | 91.0 | 91.0 | 91.0 | 91.0 | 91.0 |
MSP Recoveries
Base | Leucoxene re-distributed |
|
Ilmenite | 94.4 | 94.6 |
Zircon | 79.4 | 79.4 |
Rutile | 54.1 | 58.4 |
Leucoxene | 23.2 | 0 |
Ilmenite Splits
Ilmenite | Proportion % | Target %TIO2 |
Sulphate Ilmenite | 47.0 | 48.5 |
Slag Ilmenite | 27.2 | 50.5 |
Chloride Ilmenite | 25.8 | 57.0 |
Process Engineering – Dozer Mining Unit
The processing plants design includes the two mining units and associated pumping system, two WCPs (1,750tph and 825tph), 150tph MSP, water circuit, tails disposal and electrical reticulation
Dozer mining unit
Process Engineering – Wet Concentrator Plant
The WCP is a simple but robust 3-stage spiral plant design based on bulk sample testwork programs conducted at Mineral Technologies metallurgical facilities and caters for the range of heavy mineral grades within the Ranobe deposit. WCP1 will operate at 1,750tph with WCP2 commissioned in year 4 to operate at 825tph
Wet Concentrator Plant
Process Engineering – Mineral Separation Plant
Extensive design optimisation was undertaken to balance plant availability (by reducing the number of drives), operating costs and capital costs
Mineral Separation Plant
Sampling
Design Progression
The plant design has progressed substantially during the DFS in preparation for detailed design
Electrical
Control systems
DFS design deliverables produced:
Marketing – Product Quality
Testwork indicates the targeted specifications for all products will ensure they are suitable for a wide range of applications
Producing three ilmenite products with qualities that specifically target different ilmenite markets:
Processing plant design flexibility and testwork indicates that the split between the ilmenite products and qualities can be adjusted within specification constraints to respond to ore variations and market requirements.
Final Product Typical Specifications
% | Kwale Ilmenite | Sulphate Ilmenite | Slag Ilmenite | Chloride Ilmenite |
Typical | Typical | Typical | Typical | |
TiO2 | 48.3 | 48.5 | 50.5 | 57.0 |
Cr2O3 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.10 |
ZrO2 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
CaO | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
MgO | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
MnO | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
Fe2O3 | 20.4 | 21.0 | 27.5 | 30.5 |
FeO | 27.6 | 26.8 | 16.0 | 6.0 |
P2O5 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.06 |
Nb2O5 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.20 |
V2O5 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.23 | 0.22 |
SiO2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Al2O3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
U+Th (ppm) | 55 | 40 | 167 | 145 |
Marketing – Product Quality
A very good standard grade zircon product is produced with slightly elevated U + Th and a rutile product suitable for chloride pigment production
Zircon
% | Kwale Standard Grade Zircon | Toliara Zircon |
Typical | Typical | |
ZrO2+HfO2 | 65.8 | 65.6 |
TiO2 | 0.14 | 0.09 |
Fe2O3 | 0.12 | 0.12 |
SiO2 | 32.4 | 32.9 |
Al2O3 | 1.15 | 0.89 |
U+Th (ppm) | 400 | 550 |
Rutile
% | Kwale Rutile | Toliara Rutile |
Typical | Typical | |
TiO2 | 95.5 | 95.0 |
Cr2O3 | 0.22 | 0.15 |
ZrO2 | 0.64 | 0.84 |
CaO | 0.02 | < 0.01 |
MgO | 0.05 | 0.01 |
MnO | 0.03 | 0.01 |
Fe2O3 | 1.08 | 0.8 |
P2O5 | 0.02 | 0.03 |
Nb2O5 | 0.28 | 0.47 |
V2O5 | 0.61 | 0.59 |
SiO2 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
Al2O3 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
U+Th (ppm) | 53 | 240 |
Infrastructure
Existing infrastructure required for development of the Toliara Project is limited. The project scope addresses this through building a dedicated, product haulage and access road, bridge, export facility, hybrid power plant, bore field for water supply and a permanent camp
Existing infrastructure
Roads
Infrastructure
Groundwater modelling has confirmed that adequate water can be abstracted from an aquifer without negative impacts. Tender submissions have been received from IPPs for bulk power supply. An accommodation camp for operations personnel will be constructed in time to meet construction accommodation requirements
Water
Power
Accommodation camp
Infrastructure
Sufficient engineering design and market testing has been undertaken to ensure DFS accuracy level Capex and Opex estimates for the new infrastructure requirements. Full bridge simulations have confirmed the operability of the multi-buoy mooring berth for vessels up to Panamax class and has established the metocean operability windows
Mine complex
Waste treatment
Product haulage
Export facility
Marketing Outlook – Sulphate TiO2 Feedstock
A future sulphate feedstock supply deficit is forecast, providing robust support for the development of the Toliara Project
Sulphate and slag ilmenite*
*Base Resources internal analysis. Refer below for the applicable methodology for this analysis
Marketing Outlook – Chloride TiO2 Feedstock
A future chloride feedstock supply deficit is forecast, providing robust support for the development of the Toliara Project
Chloride ilmenite and rutile*
*Base Resources internal analysis. Refer below for the applicable methodology for this analysis
Marketing Outlook – Chloride Ilmenite
The forecast chloride ilmenite supply deficit is more significant than overall chloride feedstocks, providing a source of high value for development of the Toliara Project
Chloride ilmenite*
*Base Resources internal analysis. Refer below for the applicable methodology for this analysis
Marketing Outlook – Zircon
A future zircon supply deficit is forecast, providing robust support for the development of the Toliara Project
Market outlook – zircon*
*Base Resources internal analysis. Refer below for the applicable methodology for this analysis
Marketing – Pricing
Product pricing forecasts through to 2030 are derived from Base Resources’ internal supply/demand analysis before moving to TZMI’s long term inducement prices from 2035
DFS forecast product prices
Base Resources’ internal supply/demand analysis and price forecast methodology
Base Resources’ internal price forecast is derived from continuous supply and demand analysis. In broad terms, when a supply deficit is forecast prices are predicted to trend upwards and when a supply surplus is forecast, prices are predicated to trend downwards. However, the direction and extent of forecast price movements also take into consideration:
Base Resources’ internal supply and demand analysis utilises historical production and consumption data. Base Resources’ forecast product demand utilises TZMI’s five year demand outlook before transitioning to a steady annual growth rate, generally consistent with global GDP growth forecasts, adjusted for product specific considerations where applicable.
Over the short term, Base Resources’ supply forecast is generally aligned with TZMI’s five year outlook for existing producers, but Base Resources forms its own view on the anticipated timing of new brownfield and greenfield projects coming into production. Base Resources’ medium to long term supply forecast is based on the Company’s internal view of future production from existing operations as well as new brownfield and greenfield projects. For each new project forecast to commence production in the future, Base Resources considers the stage of development, estimated economics, mine life, applicable risks and the forecast market supply gap to determine a likely start-up date.
Product Prices USD |
Average 2022 – 2030 |
Average 2031-2034 |
From 2035 |
LOM Average |
Sulphate ilmenite | $165 | $179 | $183 | $179 |
Slag ilmenite | $174 | $188 | $193 | $188 |
Chloride ilmenite | $252 | $284 | $285 | $277 |
Rutile | $1,194 | $1,321 | $1,142 | $1,172 |
Zircon | $1,544 | $1,600 | $1,450 | $1,487 |
Implementation Strategy
The Toliara Project is a “greenfields†mineral sands project that will be constructed on a remote site in a developing country with limited construction resources. The delivery approach addresses this and incorporates Base Resources’ experience in delivering and operating Kwale
Toliara Project Execution Strategy
A number of factors drive the implementation strategy:
The preferred broad delivery approach is as follows:
Implementation Strategy
Delivery of the Toliara Project will follow Base Resources’ proven project development system and standards
Project development phases
Base Resources has followed its proven project development system and standards for the concept, pre-feasibility and definitive feasibility study phases. This was achieved by retaining engineering companies and key staff from PFS through to the DFS. Subject to performance and cost, this will continue into implementation.
Early Works and FEED:
Final Investment Decision (FID):
Implementation Phase:
Transport and logistics:
Stage | Commence | Finish | Duration (months) |
Cost (USD M) |
Early works / FEED | Jan 2020 | Sep 2020 | 9 | 34 |
Stage 1 FID | Sep 2020 | - | - | - |
Stage 1 Implementation | Oct 2020 | Nov 2022 | 26 | 442 |
Stage 2 Studies / FEED | Aug 2023 | Jul 2025 | 24 | - |
Stage 2 FID | Aug 2025 | - | - | - |
Stage 2 Implementation | Sep 2025 | Sep 2026 | 12 | 69 |
Construction Workforce
The construction effort will be spread over a wide geographic area covering the MSP, WCP, mine infrastructure, road, bridge and export facility. These works will be performed by multiple civil, structural mechanical & pipework (SMP), electrical & instrumentation (EI) and marine contractors, with a workforce peaking at 1,629
Operational Workforce
A detailed manning ramp-up plan has been developed using Kwale experience to estimate the requirements for the operational phase. A total of 754 employees is forecast for mining and WCP start-up in June 2022, increasing to 795 by December 2022 following commissioning of the MSP and the Export Facility
2022 Start up | No. of People |
Unskilled | 236 |
Semi-skilled | 67 |
Skilled | 281 |
Professional | 118 |
Supervisors | 32 |
Superintendents | 4 |
Managers | 16 |
Total Employees | 754 |
Contractors | 226 |
Combined workforce | 980 |
Construction and Operational Readiness
The required construction and operational skills are not readily available in the Toliara area. Base Resources has implemented strategies to maximise the availability of skills for the implementation and operational phases of the Toliara Project
Construction and operational readiness
To ensure the required skills are available Base Resources has planned and is implementing:
Consistent with the LRIMP:
Inductions and training will be used to prepare construction workers for shift work, which will serve as an introduction to the long term shift work required for operations.
Operational Management and Readiness
Operating philosophy
Most parts of the operation will be owned and operated by Base Resources. Where specific skills are required for support services to allow Base Resources to focus on core activities, or there is a financial benefit, the activity will be outsourced:
Management
Key operational positions appointed to date:
Management systems
Stakeholder Engagement
Stakeholder mapping
Through analysis of the various stakeholders’ ability to influence Toliara Project development, stakeholder mapping provides an understanding of the potential for persons, organisations and institutions to play a supportive or disruptive role in development of the Toliara Project.
Base Resources has been able to form an understanding of the “on ground†situation in the Toliara area through its own stakeholder mapping in conjunction with stakeholder mapping performed during the environmental and social impact assessments (ESIA) study by the previous owners (WTR).
Consultation process
Community consultation programs have been commenced to improve information sharing, and bring communities and other stakeholders closer to the Toliara Project. An overview of the Community Stakeholder Engagement Plan (CSEP) process, together with the participants in that plan, is as follows:
Land Acquisition
Foreign controlled companies are not permitted to own land in Madagascar, but can obtain surface rights through a lease arrangement with the government
A high level overview of the process for obtaining surface rights being employed by Base Resources is as follows:
Subsequent to obtaining surface rights, a total of 20 households on the land acquired for the project will be relocated in compliance with IFC Standards.
A parallel process deals with livelihood replacement, relocation of tombs and other requirements under IFC Standards, which Base Toliara seeks to comply with, is being run in conjunction with the RWGs.
Land Acquisition - DUP Process
Compulsory acquisition of land can be achieved through the Declaration of Public Utility (DUP) process
An overview of the DUP process:
Community Development, Employment and Local Content
Community development
Base Resources recognises the significance community development plays in building positive relationships and ensuring locals benefit from development of the mineral resource.
The approach is focused in specific areas of development:
A Community Development Management Plan will be developed in consultation with affected communities, NGOs and regional authorities.
Funding for community development activities is by way of:
Employment
Affected communities will be prioritised for employment during both the construction and operations stages. To facilitate this, community training programs have commenced. Though not all who participate in this training will be employed, it will give people, particularly youth, valuable skills to secure employment elsewhere.
The Base Resources LRIMP has been approved for use by the Committee for Transparency in Recruitment (CTR), a regional committee set up to oversee the Toliara Project recruitment process. The LRIMP identifies job seekers and prioritises them based on impact (i.e. if they were resettled) and their proximity to the project. A lower priority is assigned to those living further away.
This system is also a commitment under the ESIA approval process outlining the need for both skills development and local employment prioritisation as mitigation for social impacts.
Local content
The procurement of goods and services from local organisations creates benefits through direct and indirect job creation and helping to build the local economy. Local businesses will be given training on Base Resources minimum standards to prepare them for tendering and their possible selection as a supplier or contractor.
Environment
Environmental setting
Madagascar is the world’s fourth largest island and is recognised as one of the world’s top ten hotspots for biodiversity, owing to its unique biota and the high degree of threat to its natural habitats.
It is estimated that there are about 10,000 plant species on the island. Of these, 80% or more occur nowhere else. Human settlement commenced in Madagascar 2,000 years ago and has resulted in the clearing of much of the island’s forest habitats.
Madagascar is globally important in terms of its biodiversity and is within the Madagascar and Indian Ocean Islands Biodiversity Hotspot as designated by Conservation International. Despite considerable biological interest, knowledge of the faunal biodiversity in the region is still hampered by unresolved taxonomic problems and poor sampling.
The Toliara Project area falls into the Madagascar Spiny Thicket Ecoregion, which is divided into succulent woodlands and Madagascar spiny thickets. The total size of the ecoregion is 124,000km2, falling into the deserts and succulent shrublands habitat type of Madagascar and is classified as a Critically Endangered region.
The spiny thicket is exceptional in this regard, with 95% of all plant species, and 48% of the genera being endemic to this ecoregion. The thicket is dominated by members of the endemic Didiereaceae family.
Fauna is also important for this region, with Madagascar and the Spiny Thicket Ecoregion, with high levels of endemicity. The conservation of forested habitats is a priority as they are subject to the greatest threats (slash-burn agriculture and charcoal production). There are few protected areas covering the ecoregion with very little known about the biodiversity and ecology of the region.
Reserves protect approximately 3% of the region, leaving the rest susceptible to degradation. The main threats include charcoal production, logging for construction, grazing of domestic animals (primarily zebu cattle, but also goats) and agriculture. Invasive plant species also cause a loss of habitat, as does illegal collecting of endemic and endangered species for commercial trade.
A rare opportunity to make a significant contribution to conservation
The environmental setting of the Toliara Project within a Biodiversity Hotspot and one of the ecoregions of the Madagascar and Indian Ocean Islands supporting a rich fauna and flora with high levels of endemism presents a significant opportunity for Base Resources to make a meaningful contribution to the region’s biodiversity and conservation efforts through:
Environment
Regulatory framework
ESIA documentation
A number of Environmental and Social Impact Assessments (ESIAs) have been prepared and approved over the years for the Toliara Project, with the principle documents being:
Base Resources is committed to international best practice
The Toliara Project will develop and operate a comprehensive environmental and social management system to meet the requirements of Base Resources’ policies, Malagasy legislation and international best practice, including Equator Principles, IFC performance standards and Environmental, Health and Safety Guidelines.
Environmental and social management system (ESMS)
Government and Political
Overview
Madagascar is a country with a heightened degree of political risk, with a history of regular events of instability, most recently with the political crisis in 2009. Madagascar does not have a history of civil war and most of its troubles are characterised by political paralysis rather than widespread violence. The Presidential elections concluded in December 2018 were relatively free from social unrest, regarded as materially free and fair and the result met with general acceptance, including by the key opposition candidates. Consequently, the new President can be considered to have a clear mandate and there is an expectation of a period of relative political stability. The presidential term is five years.
Government engagement
The President has expressed support for development of the Toliara Project both during the late-2018 election campaign and subsequently. This, combined with statements from key advisers, is considered to represent a genuine commitment by the GoM to support the Project’s development. A structured and intensive stakeholder engagement strategy has been focused on rapidly establishing and building relationships with the relevant national and local government authorities.
In early November 2019, the GoM required the suspension of on-the-ground activities at the Toliara Project whilst discussions on fiscal terms applying to the project were progressed.* Base Resources is engaging with the GoM in relation to the fiscal terms applicable to the mining sector in Madagascar, including the Toliara Project. Base Resources is confident that mutually beneficial terms can be secured that will support a sound and sustainable Toliara Project and broader mining sector, while delivering clear benefits to the communities, the nation of Madagascar and shareholders.
Sovereign risk
There are several mechanisms that mitigate sovereign risk in Madagascar, the most significant of which is through the contractual arrangements set out in the Large Mining Investment Law (LGIM), described further below. However, there are a number of other available protections against expropriation or nationalisation. The following key protections to expropriation exist in Madagascar, pursuant to applicable local and international laws and treaties.
* For further information refer to Base Resources’ announcement on 7 November 2019 “Toliara Project – Government of Madagascar statement†available at https://www.baseresources.com.au/investor-centre/asxreleases/.
Applicable Legal Regime
General
The legal system in Madagascar is based upon the French civil law system. This is a codified legal system based on the Napoleonic model. As in all civil law systems, statute law (which is contained in a series of codes) has the greatest importance. In contrast with common law systems, the doctrine of precedent (jurisprudence) has little weight.
Mining law
The Code Minier or Mining Code and the LGIM (and their implementing decrees) are the main pieces of legislation that govern the mining sector in Madagascar.
Under the Mining Code, Madagascar is divided into squares of 625m. Only one permit exists per square.
Mining permits are administered by the Bureau de Cadastre Minier de Madagascar (BCMM), the Madagascar Mining Registry. It operates on a first-come, first-served basis. The system operates in a reliable, stable fashion and the risk of outright expropriation is considered low.
A royalty is payable to the government based on the value of the product extracted. The Mining Code currently prescribes the rate as 2% of the value of the first sale.
Environmental laws
Any entity wishing to perform exploration activities is required to obtain an environmental authorisation, and any entity wishing to perform exploitation activities is required to obtain an environmental permit.
Land laws
There is a system of land registration in Madagascar. Land that is registered is recorded in the books at the land registry. The Topographic Service holds an official plan drawn up by a surveyor, showing the boundaries of the land. In practice, regional land registries (including the one in Toliara) are largely paper-based and often incomplete.
Foreign controlled entities are not entitled to own land in Madagascar. Instead, occupation of land by foreign entities is typically through a long term lease, up to a maximum of a 99-year lease.
LGIM Explained
Overview
The Large Mining Investment Law, or LGIM, which was drafted with the assistance of the World Bank and is intended to create a beneficial legal and financial platform to attract investment in the mining sector.
To date, only the Ambatovy project has been certified under the LGIM.
Certification requires completion of environmental studies, obtaining of exploration or exploitation permits, and certification of the investment plan, including evidence that the proposed investment will exceed MGA50 billion (approximately $15 million).
Key benefits of the LGIM
Base Resources is preparing its application for certification under the LGIM, with this application to be finalised and submitted following completion of the DFS. Base Resources is confident that the Toliara Project will satisfy the criteria for certification under the LGIM.
The process after submission of a complete application may take up to five months from the date of application (potentially more) depending on the number of documents or clarifications required by the Government. The timeframe for certification may also be delayed subject to the Government’s proposed review of the Malagasy mining regime.
Generally, the LGIM eligibility period runs from the date of LGIM certification until the expiry of the mining permit granted to the permit holder. For the Toliara Project, the eligibility period would be expected to end on 20 March 2052, to coincide with the end of the initial term of PE 37242.
LGIM certification (or equivalent legal and financial stability regime) is considered to be a pre-requisite for successful funding of the Project.
Key Project Development Approvals Required
Key project development approvals to be obtained as the Toliara Project progresses to FID
Key approval | Notes | ||
EXPORT FACILITY: | |||
MOU | Provides the mechanism for land to be incorporated into the export facility site | ||
Permission | Agreement to allow construction and operation of the export facility site | ||
Design and construction approvals, and issue of construction permit | |||
LAND ACQUISITION (EXPORT FACILITY, ROAD AND MINE SITE): | |||
Private contracts and agreement | Used to acquire private land rights (either legal or customary title), where possible | ||
Land decree classifying lands as State public domain | Compulsory land acquisition process for public utility | ||
Government lease | Long term lease over government land (Domaine privé de l’Etat). Applies to haulage road and mine site | ||
HAULAGE ROAD: | |||
MOU | Establishes the basis for the construction and use of the haulage route | ||
Design and construction approvals | |||
CAMP: | |||
Design and construction approvals, and issue of construction permit | |||
Borehole construction and water extraction | |||
MINE CONSTRUCTION: | |||
Design and construction approvals, and issue of construction permit | |||
Borehole construction and water extraction | |||
Authorisation to construct power facility (Autoproduction) | |||
Electricity - supplier licence (Licence de fourniture) | |||
LARGE MINING LAW: | |||
LGIM | Provides, financial and legal stability regime for large scale mining investments, favourable customs regime, guaranteed foreign exchange rights and certain tax benefits | ||
Capital Cost
Stage 1 Capital cost is estimated at $442 million (+10%/-5%) based on definitive engineering designs, tendered pricing and budget quotes from vendors
Basis of estimate
Capital Costs Estimate (USD millions)
Main Area | Stage 1 | Stage 2 |
Mineral Process Plants | 120 | 33 |
General Infrastructure | 26 | 2 |
Plant Services & Utilities | 5 | 1 |
Haul Road and Bridge | 35 | - |
Permanent Accommodation | 12 | - |
Product Storage & Export Facility | 81 | - |
Mining Equipment | 25 | 13 |
Management Costs (EPCM etc) | 28 | 7 |
Owner’s Costs (see table to right) | 68 | 5 |
Contingency | 42 | 8 |
PROJECT TOTAL | 442 | 69 |
Stage 1 Owners Costs Estimate (USD millions)
Owner’s Costs | Stage 1 |
Integrated Management Team (Labour & Expenses) |
13 |
Initial Clearing for mining, TSF & Starter Pit | 3 |
Camp operating (based on Kwale + $2m fuel) |
6 |
Spares, tools and 1st fills | 8 |
Owners In-country operations (community, environment, external affairs, operations team, finance and administration) |
33 |
Light Vehicles | 2 |
1% customs stamp duty on value of imports | 1 |
Owner’s Project Costs (Plant Mobile Equipment) |
2 |
STAGE 1 OWNER’S COST TOTAL | 68 |
Operating Costs
Operating costs have been derived from first principles and experience gained at Kwale Operations, incorporating local Malagasy cost inputs where appropriate
Operating cost category | LOM Total US$M | US$M per annum | US$/t mined | US$/t produced | Comments |
Power | 577 | 17 | 0.98 | 21 | Power sourced from an IPP and based on a solar hybrid solution using HFO as a fuel source. Assumes a HFO price of $0.60/L, which results in an average power price of $0.18/kWhr. |
Maintenance | 564 | 17 | 0.96 | 21 | Maintenance is based on Kwale experience and scaled where appropriate. |
Labour – expatriates | 100 | 3 | 0.17 | 4 | 67 Operations team expats at start up, dropping to 35 after five years before reaching a steady state of six from 2033 onwards. |
Labour – nationals | 154 | 5 | 0.26 | 6 | Excluding external affairs, community and environmental staff, operations commence with 467 national employees, before peaking at 635 in 2029 following completion of the Stage 2 expansion. |
Fuel – drying | 180 | 5 | 0.31 | 7 | Diesel for the MSP drying process. Cost based on Kwale usage and a delivered diesel fuel price of $0.85/L. |
Fuel – mobile equipment | 162 | 5 | 0.28 | 6 | Mobile equipment fuel burn rates are based on Kwale and a delivered diesel fuel price is $0.85/L. |
Product transport & export facility rates | 264 | 8 | 0.45 | 10 | All products transported in bulk to the export facility at an estimated cost of $3.45/t. Marine operations will be contracted to a chartering service at $2.3M per annum. |
Flocculant | 10 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | Flocculant usage between 0.08 and 0.12kg/t slime at cost of $3.67/kg. |
Other operating costs | 355 | 10 | 0.61 | 12 | Other fixed operating costs, including insurance, camp management and training. |
Total operating costs | 2,366 | 71 | 4.04 | 88 | |
Royalties | 159 | 5 | 0.27 | 6 | Government royalty rate of 2% as prescribed in the Mining Code |
Total operating costs (incl. royalties) | 2,526 | 76 | 4.31 | 94 |
Contracts
A comprehensive strategy has been developed for the key contracts that will be required to obtain FID, construct the project or operate the assets
Strategy
Key FEED/early works agreements
Key implementation contracts to be finalised during FEED subject to FID
Investment Evaluation
Unit | Total | ||
NPV10 (at a discount rate of 10%), post tax, real | US$ millions | 652 | |
NPV8 (at a discount rate of 8%), post tax, real | US$ millions | 910 | |
NPV12 (at a discount rate of 12%) , post tax, real | US$ millions | 461 | |
NPV10 – TZMI Q1-2019 price forecast, post tax, real | US$ millions | 722 | |
IRR | % | 21.4 | |
Initial (Stage 1) Capex | US$ millions | 442 | |
Stage 2 Capex | US$ millions | 69 | |
Capital Payback Period (Stage 1 and 2) | Years | 4.25 | |
LOM Operating Costs + 2% Royalty | US$/t ore mined | 4.31 | |
LOM Operating Costs + 2% Royalty | (A) | US$/t produced | 94 |
LOM Revenue | (B) | US$/t produced | 295 |
LOM Cash Margin | (B-A) | US$/t produced | 201 |
LOM Revenue : Cost of Sales Ratio | (B/A) | Ratio : 1 | 3.15 |
LOM Free Cash Flow | US$ millions | 3,692 |
Investment Evaluation - Mining & Production Profile
Mining starts in June 2022, MSP starting up in October 2022 and a current LOM of 33 years
Production Profile | Life of Mine (LOM) | Operating Yr1 | Operating Yrs 2-4 | Operating Yrs 5-27 | Operating Yrs 28+ | |
Total | annual ave* | annual ave | annual ave | annual ave** | ||
Ore mined (tonnes) | 586,019,054 | 18,008,919 | 12,300,408 | 12,612,768 | 18,588,216 | 18,581,844 |
HM% | 6.50% | 6.53% | 7.61% | 9.24% | 6.64% | 4.92% |
HMC produced (tonnes) | 38,452,018 | 1,186,171 | 939,348 | 1,184,581 | 1,244,130 | 920,510 |
Period | 33 years | 31 years | 1 year | 3 years | 23 years | 6 years |
Produced (tonnes): | ||||||
Sulphate ilmenite | 11,755,966 | 365,580 | 213,405 | 388,456 | 381,194 | 280,030 |
Slag ilmenite | 6,803,453 | 211,570 | 123,502 | 224,809 | 220,606 | 162,060 |
Chloride ilmenite | 6,512,282 | 202,519 | 118,052 | 214,836 | 210,905 | 156,552 |
Total ilmenite | 25,071,701 | 779,669 | 454,959 | 828,101 | 812,705 | 598,642 |
Rutile | 223,661 | 6,973 | 3,664 | 6,237 | 7,242 | 6,176 |
Zircon | 1,683,454 | 52,588 | 23,713 | 58,103 | 54,748 | 39,346 |
* Does not include the first and last years of operation as these are both partial operating years.
** Does not include the last year of operation as this is a partial operating year.
Investment Evaluation - Financial Performance Profile
Financial Profile | Life of Mine (LOM) | Operating Yr1 | Operating Yrs 2-4 | Operating Yrs 5-27 | Operating Yrs 28+ | |
Total | annual ave* | annual ave | annual ave | annual ave** | ||
Ore mined (tonnes) | 586,019,054 | 18,008,919 | 12,300,408 | 12,612,768 | 18,588,216 | 18,581,844 |
Total production (tonnes) | 26,978,816 | 839,230 | 482,336 | 892,442 | 874,695 | 644,165 |
Revenue - Total | $7,959m | $248m | $95m | $240m | $261m | $184m |
Operating Costs - Total | $2,526m | $77m | $61m | $77m | $78m | $70m |
EBITDA | $5,196m | $164m | $26m | $157m | $176m | $107m |
Free Cash Flow | $3,692m | $132m | ($78m) | $119m | $143m | $89m |
Revenue - per tonne produced | $295/t | $296/t | $196/t | $269/t | $299/t | $300/t |
Operating Costs – per tonne mined | $4.31/t | $4.33/t | $4.98/t | $6.07/t | $4.19/t | $3.94/t |
Operating Costs – per tonne produced | $94/t | $93/t | $127/t | $86/t | $89/t | $115/t |
Cash Margin – per tonne produced | $201/t | $203/t | $69/t | $183/t | $210/t | $184/t |
Revenue : Cash Cost Ratio | 3.15 | 3.23 | 1.54 | 3.14 | 3.36 | 2.62 |
* Does not include the first and last years of operation as these are both partial operating years.
** Does not include the last year of operation as this is a partial operating year.
Investment Evaluation – Sensitivities
NPV Sensitivities - Post tax / Pre debt, 10% discount rate, USD millions
DOWNSIDE SENSITIVITIES | DOWNSIDE | UPSIDE | UPSIDE SENSITIVITIES |
$USM | $USM | ||
NPV Discount rate +2% | (190.4) | 258.2 | NPV Discount rate -2% |
Base Internal - Low Price Deck | (213.3) | 159.8 | Base Internal - High Price Deck |
Sulphate Ilmenite Price -10% | (76.6) | 76.5 | Sulphate Ilmenite Price +10% |
Zircon Price -10% | (57.2) | 57.2 | Zircon Price +10% |
70.4 | TZMI Price Deck | ||
Chloride Ilmenite Price -15% | (56.2) | 37.5 | Chloride Ilmenite Price +10% |
Royalties @ 5% | (52.0) | ||
Construction/Start-up delay of 4mths | (42.1) | 16.8 | Construction completed/Start-up 2 mths early |
Construction capex +10% | (41.0) | ||
ZIR MSP recoveries -4% | (28.8) | 43.1 | ZIR MSP recoveries +6% |
Construction VAT not refunded | (23.5) | ||
Operating costs +5% | (26.5) | 26.5 | Operating costs -5% |
ILM MSP recoveries -2% | (23.0) | 21.9 | ILM MSP recoveries +2% |
Rutile Price -15% | (7.6) | 7.6 | Rutile Price +15% |
Diesel Price +10% | (7.7) | 7.7 | Diesel Price -10% |
Community Development Costs +$2m pa | (15.0) | ||
HFO Price +10% | (6.8) | 6.8 | HFO Price -10% |
RUT MSP recoveries -5% | (4.8) | 10.0 | RUT MSP recoveries +10% |
LEUC MSP recoveries -8% | (2.4) | 3.9 | LEUC MSP recoveries +17% |
Pre–FID Expenditure
Pre-FID expenditure of $33.9 million (from January 2020) is required to fund progression of the Toliara Project including early work activities required to meet overall project schedule timelines. The early works include FEED (process plant, bridge, accommodation camp and export facility storage shed) and commencement of the camp construction
Pre-FID Budget
Early Works
Activity | Pre-FID Budget | Expenditure | Forecast |
Period | Jan’18-Sep’20 | Jan’18-Dec’19 | Jan’20-Sep’20 |
In-country operations (community, environment, training, external affairs, finance and administration) |
18.0 | 7.2 | 10.8 |
Land Compensation | 9.3 | - | 9.3 |
Project Development Cost | |||
Project Development Team | 7.3 | 5.0 | 2.3 |
Resource Definition | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
Metallurgical Testwork | 1.1 | 1.1 | - |
Infrastructure (incl geotech drilling) | 5.7 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
EPCM Service (PFS & DFS) | 6.1 | 6.1 | - |
EPCM Services FEED / early works | 4.6 | 0.3 | 4.3 |
Groundwater drilling/testing | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
Early works construction – Road/services | 2.5 | - | 2.5 |
Early works construction - Buildings | 1.3 | - | 1.3 |
Total Project Development Costs | 32.9 | 19.1 | 13.8 |
TOTAL PRE-FID COSTS | 60.2 | 26.3 | 33.9 |
All amounts above are US Dollar amounts.
Funding
Base Resources does not have the financial capacity to internally fund Toliara Project development on its own. External funding in the form of some combination of debt, JV interest and/or equity will be required to supplement internally generated cashflow
Funding for the Toliara Project can be broken down into three elements:
It is anticipated that the deferred acquisition consideration and pre-FID costs will be funded internally, either from cash generated by Kwale Operations or utilisation of the existing $75 million revolving credit facility (RCF) depending on timing.
The ultimate funding mix for construction and start-up will be determined prior to FID and will be dependent on Base Resources’ internally generated cashflow position and forecasts for the construction and ramp-up period, market outlook, debt availability and cost, and scope of any strategic offtake joint venture at the time. For the purposes of the funding analysis, the following assumptions have been made for the $595 million of construction and start-up funding:
On the above basis, financial modelling confirms the project’s ability to comfortably support this debt load.
On the basis of the project economics established by the DFS (in particular free cash flow generation), the robust market outlook for mineral sands products (refer Marketing analysis), the Company’s sound financial position (net cash and cash generation from Kwale Operations), track record of successfully developing and implementing and repaying financing on a similar project (Kwale Operations), prior success in capital raisings as and when required (including for the acquisition of the Toliara Project in early 2018) and preliminary work already undertaken in relation to debt and JV participation, Base Resources’ considers that there is a reasonable basis that development of the Toliara Project can be successfully funded.
Risks
77 pre and post–FID implementation risks are currently captured, of which 41 have an initial risk rating of “high†or “extreme†but, after factoring in identified mitigations, this reduces to nine risks
Risk assessment process
Pre-FID Risks
Of the 42 pre-FID risks identified, 21 have an initial risk rating of “high†or “extremeâ€, but this reduces to six risks after factoring in identified mitigations
Community Risks
Health & Safety Risks
Government & Legal Risks
Funding Risks
* For further information refer to Base Resources’ announcement on 7 November 2019 “Toliara Project – Government of Madagascar statement†available at https://www.baseresources.com.au/investor-centre/asxreleases/.
Post-FID Risks
Of the 60 post-FID risks currently identified, 18 have an initial risk rating of “high†or “extremeâ€, but this reduces to three risks after factoring in identified mitigations. In addition, two of the Pre-FID risks remain applicable to the post FID stage
Marketing Risks
Health & safety Risks
Government & Legal Risks
Two Pre-FID risks remain applicable to the post FID stage:
Opportunities
10 significant opportunities are currently identified that could add value to the project. Six of these are considered to offer a high potential to add value
Mineral Resources & Ore Reserves Opportunities
Environmental Opportunities
Community Opportunities
Implementation Schedule Opportunities
Glossary
Term | Meaning |
$ or US$ or USD | United States Dollars |
Al2O3 | Aluminum oxide |
Base Toliara | Base Toliara SARL, Base Resources’ Malagasy operating subsidiary |
Base Resources or the Company | Base Resources Limited (ABN 88 125 546 910) |
CAE | Evaluation and compensation committee |
CaO | Calcium oxide |
Capex | Capital expenditure |
Competent person | The JORC Code requires that a Competent Person must be a Member or Fellow of The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, or of the Australian Institute of Geoscientists, or of a “Recognised Professional Organisationâ€. A Competent Person must have a minimum of five years’ experience working with the style of mineralisation or type of deposit under consideration and relevant to the activity which that person is undertaking |
Cr2O3 | Chromium (III) oxide |
CSEP | Community stakeholder engagement plan |
CTR | Committee for transparency in recruitment |
DFI | Development finance institution |
DFS | Definitive feasibility study, the results of which are set out in this document |
DMU | Dozer mining unit |
DUP | Compulsory acquisition of land through the process called Declaration of Public Utility |
EI | Electrical and instrumentation |
EPC | Engineer-procure-construct |
EPCM | Engineer-procure-construct-manage |
ESIA | Environmental and social impact assessment |
ESMS | Environmental and social management system |
FEED | Front end engineering development |
FEL | Front end loader |
FeO | Iron oxide |
Fe2O3 | Iron (III) oxide |
FID | Financial investment decision by the Board of Base Resources to commence construction of the Toliara Project |
FOB | Free on board |
FIDIC | International Federation of Consulting Engineers (previously Fédération Internationale des Ingénieurs Conseils) is an international standards organization known for producing standard form contracts for the construction and engineering industry |
FY | Financial year. 1 July to 30 June. |
GoM or Government | Government of Madagascar |
HFO | Heavy fuel oil |
HiTi | High grade leucoxene |
HM | Heavy mineral |
HMC | Heavy mineral concentrate |
ICSU | Intermediate clay sand unit |
IFC | International finance corporation |
Indicated Mineral Resource | An Indicated Mineral Resource is that part of a Mineral Resource for which quantity, grade (or quality), densities, shape and physical characteristics are estimated with sufficient confidence to allow the application of Modifying Factors in sufficient detail to support mine planning and evaluation of the economic viability of the deposit |
Inferred Mineral Resource | An Inferred Mineral Resource is that part of a Mineral Resource for which quantity and grade (or quality) are estimated on the basis of limited geological evidence and sampling. Geological evidence is sufficient to imply but not verify geological and grade (or quality) continuity. It is based on exploration, sampling and testing information gathered through appropriate techniques from locations such as outcrops, trenches, pits, workings and drill holes |
IPP | Independent power producer |
IRR | Internal rate of return |
JORC | The Joint Ore Reserves Committee: The Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves (“the JORC Codeâ€), as published by the Joint Ore Reserves Committee of The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, Australian Institute of Geoscientists and Minerals Council of Australia |
JV | Joint venture |
kt | Thousand tonnes |
kV | Kilovolts |
Kwale Operations | Base Resources’ mineral sands operations in Kwale county, Kenya |
kWhr | Kilo watt hour |
LGIM | Large Mining Investment Law |
LOM | Life of mine |
LRIMP | Labour, recruitment and influx management plan |
LSU | Lower sand unit |
M&I | Measured and Indicated Resource |
Measured Mineral Resource | A Measured Mineral Resource is that part of a Mineral Resource for which quantity, grade (or quality), densities, shape, and physical characteristics are estimated with confidence sufficient to allow the application of Modifying Factors to support detailed mine planning and final evaluation of the economic viability of the deposit |
MG12 spirals | A new high-performance spiral separator from Mineral Technologies |
MgO | Magnesium oxide |
Mineral Resource | Mineral Resources are a concentration or occurrence of solid material of economic interest in or on the Earth’s crust in such form, grade (or quality), and quantity that there are reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction. The location, quantity, grade (or quality), continuity and other geological characteristics of a Mineral Resource are known, estimated or interpreted from specific geological evidence and knowledge, including sampling. Mineral Resources are sub-divided, in order of increasing geological confidence, into Inferred, Indicated and Measured categories |
MnO | Manganese oxide |
MRNL | Madagascar Resources NL |
MSP | Mineral separation plant |
Mt | Million tonnes |
Mtpa | Million tonnes per annum |
MW | Megawatt |
Nb2O5 | Niobium pentoxide |
NGO | Non-governmental organisation |
NPV | Net present value |
ONE | Office National Pour l'Environement |
Opex | Operating expenditure |
Ore Reserves | Ore Reserves are the economically mineable part of Measured and/or Indicated Mineral Resources. Ore Reserves are sub-divided in order of increasing confidence into Probable and Proved categories. |
OS | Oversize |
P2O5 | Phosphorus pentoxide |
PFS | Pre-feasibility study, the results of which were announced on 21 March 2019 |
Probable Ore Reserves | The economically mineable part of an Indicated, and in some circumstances, a Measured Mineral Resource. The confidence in the Modifying Factors applying to a Probable Ore Reserve is lower than that applying to a Proved Ore Reserve. |
Proved Ore Reserves | The economically mineable part of a Measured Mineral Resource. A Proved Ore Reserve implies a high degree of confidence in the Modifying Factors. |
RCF | Revolving credit facility |
ROM | Run of mine |
RWG | Resettlement working groups |
SiO2 | Silicon dioxide |
SL | Slime or clay |
SMP | Structural mechanical and pipework |
Solar PV | Solar photovoltaic system |
t | Metric tonne |
TiO2 | Titanium dioxide |
Toliara Project | The mineral sands development project, based on the Ranobe deposit, located in south west Madagascar, 45km north of the regional port town of Toliara |
TSF | Tailings storage facility |
tph | Tonnes per hour |
TZMI | TZ Minerals International. An independent consulting group. |
WCP | Wet concentration plant |
WTR | World Titanium Resources Limited |
USU | Upper sand unit |
U + Th | Uranium and thorium |
V2O5 | Vanadium pentoxide |
VAT | Value added tax |
ZrO2+HfO2 | Zirconium and hafnium |
ENDS.
For further information contact:
James Fuller, Manager Communications and Investor Relations | UK Media Relations |
Base Resources | Tavistock Communications |
Tel: +61 (8) 9413 7426 | Jos Simson and Barnaby Hayward |
Mobile: +61 (0) 488 093 763 | Tel: +44 (0) 207 920 3150 |
Email: jfuller@baseresources.com.au |
About Base Resources
Base Resources is an Australian based, African focused, mineral sands producer and developer with a track record of project delivery and operational performance. The company operates the established Kwale Operations in Kenya and is developing the Toliara Project in Madagascar. Base Resources is an ASX and AIM listed company. Further details about Base Resources are available at www.baseresources.com.au
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Email: info@baseresources.com.au
Phone: +61 (0)8 9413 7400
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