BLACKROCK COMMODITIES INCOME INVESTMENT TRUST plc
All information is at 30 September 2012 and unaudited.
Performance at month end with net income reinvested
One Three Six One Three Five
Month Months Months Year Years Years
Net asset value 4.3% 6.0% -2.8% 8.4% 17.3% 0.0%
Share price 4.8% 3.9% -5.1% 10.8% 17.8% 3.3%
Sources: Datastream, BlackRock
At month end
Net asset value - capital only: 119.22p
Net asset value - cum income**: 119.69p
Share price: 120.38p
Premium to NAV (cum income): 0.6%
Net yield: 4.9%
Gearing - cum income: 1.5%
Total assets^^: £113.6m
Ordinary shares in issue: 93,508,000
**Includes net revenue of 0.47p.
^^includes current year revenue.
Sector % Total Country % Total
Analysis Cap Assets Analysis Cap Assets
Integrated Oil 29.0 Global 29.6
Diversified 18.8 Canada 23.8
Exploration & Production 18.4 USA 19.6
Gold 7.8 Asia 8.6
Copper 6.0 Europe 7.5
Oil Sands 4.5 Latin America 7.2
Oil Services 3.6 South Africa 2.7
Coal 3.0 Africa 1.7
Iron Ore 2.7 China 1.5
Aluminium 2.1 Australia 1.4
Distribution 2.0 Current liabilities (3.6)
Fertilizer 2.0 -----
Tin 1.3 100.0
Nickel 1.0 =====
Platinum 0.7
Zinc 0.7
Current liabilities (3.6)
-----
100.0
=====
Ten Largest Equity Investments (in alphabetical order)
Company Region of Risk
Anadarko Petroleum USA
BHP Billiton Global
Chevron Global
ENI Europe
ExxonMobil Global
Occidental Petroleum USA
Peyto Exploration & Development Canada
Rio Tinto Global
Teck Resources Canada
Total Global
Commenting on the markets, Richard Davis, representing the Investment Manager
noted:
The US Federal Reserve announced its third round of quantitative easing (QE3)
in September, which injected a more upbeat tone into equity and commodity
markets. It should be noted, however, that economic data released during the
month, notably from China, continues to be weak.
In the mining sector copper prices rose 8.0%. The red metal remains our
favourite base metal as supply side challenges have kept the market tight in
the face of weaker demand. A report released by the International Copper Study
Group indicated that the copper market was in supply deficit for the first six
months of the year. While this may in part be driven by a build in
inventories, it has been a key factor in keeping the copper price at current
levels. QE3 was also a strong catalyst for gold and other precious metals as
investors sought assets with inflation protection qualities. In September,
gold and platinum gained 6.0% and 10.0% respectively. The HCBC Global Mining
Index closed the month up 6.5% (Sterling terms, capital only).
In the energy sector, Brent oil prices fell by 2.8% to finish the period at
US$111.3/barrel. The spread between Brent and WTI widened again and stood at
nearly US$19 by the month-end. US natural gas prices meanwhile posted a strong
13.2% return. Henry Hub natural gas traded at US$3.08/mmbtu at the end of
September as supply cuts have helped to redress the imbalance in the market.
The cut-back in drilling for natural gas has been unsurprising. Gas prices in
the US reached levels at which extraction and drilling for many operators was
becoming uneconomic. At US$2.5/mmbtu only 30% of the 9.1 billion cubic feet per
day of new gas supply being drilled in 2012 will generate a 10% rate of return on
capital invested, according to industry consultants Wood Mackenzie. Longer term,
it seems more sensible that prices, assuming a robust demand profile, will trend
towards the marginal cost of production which is expected to remain in the region
of US$4-5/mmbtu over the next decade.
Japan has been a significant source of incremental oil demand over the last
eighteen months. After the Fukushima disaster in March 2011, Japan's entire
nuclear industry was effectively shut-in and even now only 2 out of its 54
reactors are in operation. Oil and natural gas fired power capacity has had to
make up much of the power generation shortfall. The International Energy Agency
is forecasting that Japan's oil demand will have grown by 4.1% in 2012 over
2011 as a result. Japan approved a new energy bill during the month which
formalised the country's intention to phase out nuclear power from the energy
mix. Before Fukushima, nuclear power was responsible for 30% of the country's
energy supply and the government now intends that renewable energy will
eventually assume that same share. In the meantime, however, Japan will have to
remain a top importer of oil and natural gas. The MSCI World Energy Index
gained 0.3% (Sterling terms, capital only).
All data sourced from Datastream and quoted in US Dollars unless otherwise
stated.
11 October 2012
ENDS
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website) is incorporated into, or forms part of, this announcement.
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