Portfolio Update
BLACKROCK LATIN AMERICAN INVESTMENT TRUST PLC
All information is at 30 September 2009 and unaudited.
Performance at month end is calculated with income reinvested
One Three One Three *Since Five
Month Months Year Years 31.03.06 Years
Sterling:
Net asset value 13.1% 34.3% 38.9% 79.1% 66.2% 210.1%
Share price 9.6% 31.6% 46.3% 76.2% 63.3% 283.0%
MSCI EM Latin American 14.2% 28.5% 33.5% 89.9% 79.2% 293.7%
US Dollars:
Net asset value 10.9% 31.4% 24.6% 52.6% 53.2% 174.1%
MSCI EM Latin American 12.0% 24.8% 19.8% 62.6% 65.2% 248.0%
Sources: BlackRock, Standard & Poor's Micropal
*Date which BlackRock took over the investment management of the Company.
At month end:
Net asset value - capital only: 567.50p
Net asset value** - cum income: 572.11p
Net asset value - capital only and with bond at fair value: 553.93p
Net asset value - cum income and with bond at fair value: 558.15p
Net asset value - cum income and with bond converted: 569.02p
Share price: 538.00p
Total assets^: £300.14m
Discount (share price to capital only NAV): 5.2%
Gearing: 16.4%
Net yield: 1.52%
Ordinary shares in issue^^: 43,835,522
**Includes 9 months net revenue equal to 4.61p (after deducting interim
dividend).
^Total assets include current year revenue.
^^Excluding 3,554,231 shares held in treasury.
Convertible Bond
The Company published a circular dated 18 August 2009 which was sent to
shareholders with the Notice of Meeting to be held on 11 September 2009 to
consider the proposals for a Convertible Bond Issue. The proposals were
approved by shareholders and 800 bonds of $100,000 each were issued on 15
September 2009. The bonds are convertible into the ordinary shares of the
Company at any time prior to the tenth business day prior to 15 September 2015
at the following prices:-
$8.98 if converted before 15 September 2012
$9.83 if converted before 1 September 2015
The interest rate payable on the bonds is 3.5% per annum payable semi annually
in March and September of each year.
Geographical Regional Exposure % Total Assets
Brazil 76.9
Mexico 15.7
Peru 2.5
Chile 1.8
Argentina 1.1
Panama 1.0
Net current assets 1.0
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Total 100.0
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Ten Largest Equity Investments(in alphabetical order)
Company Country of Risk
Ambev Brazil
America Movil Mexico
Banco Bradesco Brazil
Banco Itau Brazil
Credicorp Peru
Formento Economico Mexico
Grupo Televisa Mexico
Petrobras Brazil
Vale Brazil
Redecard Brazil
Commenting on the markets, Will Landers, representing the investment
Manager noted;
Performance
For the month of September 2009, the Company posted a 10.9% appreciation in its
NAV while the shares appreciated by 7.5% (all in US dollar terms, sterling
equivalents were 13.1% and 9.6%, respectively). These returns compare
unfavourably with the 12.0% increase posted by the Company's benchmark (14.2%
in sterling terms), the MSCI EM Latin America Free Index. In the Company's
financial year-to-date, the NAV is up by 101.2% and the share price 108.3%,
well ahead of the 81.5% return for the benchmark (80.9%, 87.2%, and 63.1%,
respectively, in sterling terms).
Despite strong absolute returns, the Trust underperformed its benchmark during
the period. The underperformance was mostly due to negative stock selection in
Brazil and Peru, where materials and oil and gas stocks outperformed while the
fund was underweight. On the positive side, being overweight Brazilian
financials was the largest contributor.
Transactions/Gearing
The biggest transaction during the month was the successful placement of our
US$80 million convertible bond, essentially moving the Company to a structural
geared position. Following funding, we deployed approximately 50% of the funds
into the equity markets, increasing our overweight in Brazil by reducing our
underweight in Petrobras and Vale (the latter via mandatory convertible bonds,
which provides most of the stock's upside, plus income), increasing our weights
in the housing sector, utilities and credit card processors; we also reduced
our underweight in Mexico increasing our weights in broadcasting and staples,
and added to financials in Chile and Peru. Most of the remainder of the
proceeds were invested in Brazilian short-dated fixed income instruments that
yield in excess of 8.5% annual interest (bringing our total Brazilian exposure,
equities plus fixed income securities, to over 91% of net assets. As a result,
we finished the month with 16.4% net gearing.
Positioning
After outperforming most markets in the world, we believe that Latin American
markets continue to offer attractive upside potential, and we are positioned to
benefit from the re-rating process continuing. Brazil, our largest overweight,
continues to trade at a discount to most global markets on a forward P/E basis,
albeit at a smaller discount than before. Given its resilience during the
global financial crisis, strong economic growth forecast for 2010, record low
interest rates that should continue to drive domestic consumption, the recent
upgrade to investment grade by Moody's, and valuations that are at a discount
to other emerging markets, Brazil remains our favoured market and accounts for
almost 75% of assets. Mexico, with its much slower economic recovery, fiscal
imbalance that will result in higher taxation for several sectors, and
significant dependence on a US recovery, remains an underweight - we are not
ready to close that underweight at this stage. Valuations in Chile remain too
rich for our liking, while Peru is close to a neutral weighting - not higher
due to lack of investable stocks. Our overall positive views on markets,
especially Brazil, were an overriding factor is us pursuing the structural
levered position.
Latest information is available by typing www.blackrock.co.uk/its on the
internet, "BLRKINDEX" on Reuters, "BLRK" on Bloomberg or "8800" on Topic 3 (ICV
terminal).
30 October 2009