1st Quarter Results

LANCASHIRE HOLDINGS LIMITED 15 May 2009 Hamilton, Bermuda LANCASHIRE GROWS BOOK VALUE PER SHARE 3.1% IN Q1 2009 COMBINED RATIO OF 81.2% Lancashire Holdings Limited ("Lancashire" or "the Company") today announces its first quarter results for the three month period ended 31 March 2009. Financial highlights for the first quarter of 2009: • Fully converted book value per share of $7.07 at 31 March 2009, compared to $6.86 at 31 December 2008, an increase of 3.1%. Compound annual return on equity since inception of 17.4%; • Gross written premiums of $142.8 million. Net written premiums of $99.2 million; • Financial year loss ratio of 53.6% and a combined ratio of 81.2%. Accident year loss ratio of 28.9%; • Annualised total investment return of 4.6%, including net investment income, realised gains and losses, impairments, and change in unrealised gains and losses; • Net operating profit of $35.8 million, or $0.19 diluted operating earnings per share; and • Net profit after tax of $40.7 million, or $0.22 diluted earnings per share. Richard Brindle, Group Chief Executive Officer, commented: "Lancashire had a reasonable quarter, growing book value per share by 3.1%. Our underwriting and investment returns were good, with an accident year loss ratio of 28.9% and an annualised total investment return of 4.6%. Our results were impacted by the previously announced reserve strengthening for Hurricane Ike, but our underlying earnings performance was strong. Since our inception, Lancashire has grown book value per share, including dividends, in twelve quarters out of thirteen, generating a compound annual return of 17.4%. Lancashire's key markets are experiencing a hardening in rates and terms. This has been gathering pace as the year has progressed and should continue to do so in the months to come. In certain segments, most notably in the offshore energy area, the market has been in disarray with renewals much later than expected. We have been patiently holding back capacity in several classes, waiting for the most opportune time to deploy our capital. Indeed, we wrote significantly less in the first quarter of 2009 compared to 2008. However, the market is now extremely active, with rates rising strongly year on year." Underwriting results Gross written premiums decreased by 23.5% in the first quarter of 2009 compared to the same period in 2008. This was largely driven by Lancashire holding back a large amount of capacity in the direct property, retrocession and energy catastrophe classes in order to take better advantage of improving opportunities. Rate rises are gaining momentum with more significant increases expected as the year progresses. Net written premiums decreased by 30.1% for the quarter compared to the same period in 2008. This was chiefly due to lower gross written premiums. The amount of reinsurance ceded in the first quarter remained broadly the same as a year ago. Net earned premiums as a proportion of net written premiums were 140.3% in the first quarter of 2009 compared to 119.1% in the same period in 2008. The increase reflects the reduction in gross written premiums in the quarter as compared to the prior year. The net loss ratio of 53.6% for the first quarter includes 28.6% attributable to an increase of $39.8 million in estimated losses for Hurricane Ike. There has been no further development since our announcement of 8 April 2009. Excluding the impact from Hurricane Ike, the Company's net loss ratio was 25.0%, reflecting an otherwise comparatively quiet quarter for loss activity. Overall, net reserves experienced adverse prior year development of $34.4 million for the quarter compared to a favourable development of $3.2 million in 2008. Excluding Hurricane Ike specific development, the prior year development was a favourable $5.4 million. The accident year loss ratio for the quarter was 28.9% compared to 40.6% last year. Investments Net investment income was $13.5 million for the first quarter, a decrease of 23.7% from the first quarter of 2008. The quarterly total investment return was 1.1%, or 4.6% annualised, broadly in line with 1.2%, or 4.9% annualised, for the first quarter of 2008. The Company's strategy of maintaining a conservative investment portfolio to minimise potential losses from market volatility continues unabated and the portfolio performed well in relative terms. Total investment return, including net investment income, net realised gains and losses, impairments and net change in unrealised gains and losses, was a gain of $23.5 million in the quarter compared to $21.5 million for the prior year. At 31 March 2009, the fixed income portfolio plus managed cash had a duration of 1.4 years, a credit quality of AA+ and a market yield of 1.9%. The reduced market yield is a result of both lower market yields in general, and a lower asset allocation to corporate debt securities. Investment assets were comprised of 67.8% fixed income and 32.2% cash. Lancashire is not currently invested in equities, hedge funds or other alternative investments. Other operating expenses Other operating expenses, excluding the cost of warrants and options, increased by $0.7 million to $12.4 million in the first quarter of 2009 compared to the same period in 2008. Employee compensation costs were 52.4% of other operating expenses compared to 49.8% in 2008. Equity based compensation was $3.0 million in the first quarter of 2009 compared to a credit of $1.5 million in the same period last year. This expense includes mark to market adjustments on certain performance warrants. Capital At 31 March 2009, total capital was $1.446 billion, comprising shareholders' equity of $1.317 billion and $128.7 million of long-term debt. Leverage was 8.9%. Total capital at 31 December 2008 was $1.404 billion. Outlook Lancashire aims to achieve a cross-cycle return of 13% above a risk free rate. This is unchanged from previous guidance. Further detail of our 2009 first quarter results can be obtained from our Financial Supplement. This can be accessed via our website www.lancashiregroup.com. Analyst and Investor Earnings Conference Call There will be an analyst and investor conference call on the results at 1:00pm UK time / 8:00 am EST on Friday, 15 May 2009. The call will be hosted by Richard Brindle, Chief Executive Officer, Simon Burton, Deputy Chief Executive Officer and Neil McConachie, Chief Financial Officer. The call can be accessed by dialing +44 (0)20 7806 1956 / +1 718 354 1389 with the passcode 1457383. The call can also be accessed via webcast, please go to our website (www.lancashiregroup.com) to access. A replay facility will be available for two weeks until Friday, 29 May 2009. The dial in number for the replay facility is +44 (0)20 7806 1970 / +1 718 354 1112 and the passcode is 1457383#. The replay facility can also be accessed at www.lancashiregroup.com . For further information, please contact: Lancashire Holdings + 44 (0)20 7264 4066 Jonny Creagh-Coen Financial Dynamics +44 (0)20 7269 7114 Robert Bailhache Nick Henderson Investor enquiries and questions can also be directed to info@lancashiregroup.com or by accessing the Company's website www.lancashiregroup.com. consolidated balance sheet (unaudited) 31 march 2009 31 december 2008 $m $m assets cash and cash equivalents 731.1 413.6 accrued interest receivable 9.3 10.1 investments - fixed income securities - available for sale 1,464.8 1,595.4 - at fair value through profit and loss - 4.0 - equity securities, available for sale - 5.8 - other investments - - reinsurance assets - unearned premium on premium ceded 36.6 10.0 - reinsurance recoveries 53.4 42.1 - other receivables 3.2 3.2 deferred acquisition costs 57.0 60.9 inwards premium receivable from insureds and cedants 176.3 187.3 other assets 72.1 156.6 total assets 2,603.8 2,489.0 liabilities insurance contracts - loss and loss adjustment expenses 564.7 528.8 - unearned premiums 326.2 339.6 - other payables 16.2 17.6 amounts payable to reinsurers 21.9 2.0 deferred acquisition costs ceded 2.6 1.9 other payables 226.4 195.6 long-term debt 128.7 130.8 total liabilities 1,286.7 1,216.3 shareholders' equity share capital 91.2 91.1 treasury shares (59.0) (58.0) share premium 65.2 60.1 contributed surplus 752.6 754.8 fair value and other reserves 29.3 27.6 dividends - 0.1 retained earnings 437.8 397.0 total shareholders' equity attributable to equity shareholders 1,317.1 1,272.7 total liabilities and shareholders' equity 2,603.8 2,489.0 basic book value per share $7.62 $7.36 fully converted book value per share $7.07 $6.86 consolidated income statement (unaudited) quarter 1 quarter 1 2009 2008 $m $m gross premiums written 142.8 186.7 outwards reinsurance premiums (43.6) (44.8) net premiums written 99.2 141.9 change in unearned premiums 13.4 3.2 change in unearned premiums on premium ceded 26.6 23.9 net premiums earned 139.2 169.0 net investment income 13.5 17.7 net other investment income (losses) - (0.5) net realised gains (losses) and impairments 8.0 7.5 net fair value gains (losses) on investments at fair value through profit and loss 0.3 (0.7) share of profit (loss) of associate - (0.1) net foreign exchange gains (losses) (1.6) 0.3 total net revenue 159.4 193.2 insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses 89.1 66.9 insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable (14.5) (1.2) net insurance acquisition expenses 26.0 26.0 equity based compensation 3.0 (1.5) other operating expenses 12.4 11.7 total expenses 116.0 101.9 profit before tax and finance costs 43.4 91.3 finance costs 2.4 4.9 profit before tax 41.0 86.4 tax (0.3) (1.8) profit after tax 40.7 84.6 net loss ratio 53.6% 38.9% net acquisition cost ratio 18.7% 15.4% administrative expense ratio 8.9% 6.9% combined ratio 81.2% 61.2% basic earnings per share $0.24 $0.46 diluted earnings per share $0.22 $0.45 change in fully converted book value per share 3.1% 5.0% consolidated cash flow statement (unaudited) quarter 1 quarter 1 2009 2008 $m $m cash flows from operating activities profit before tax 41.0 86.4 tax paid (0.3) (0.5) depreciation 0.2 0.3 interest expense 1.9 2.8 interest and dividend income (16.7) (16.4) amortisation of fixed income securities 2.0 (0.3) equity based compensation 3.0 (1.5) foreign exchange 0.8 0.2 share of loss (profit) of associate - 0.1 net other investment losses - 0.5 net realised (gains) losses and impairments on investments (8.0) (7.5) net fair value (gains) losses on investments at fair value through profit and loss (0.3) 0.7 unrealised loss on interest rate swaps - 1.8 reinsurance assets - unearned premium on premium ceded (26.6) (23.9) - reinsurance recoveries (11.3) (1.3) - other receivables - 8.2 deferred acquisition costs 3.9 (1.5) other receivables 85.3 (15.0) inwards premium receivable from insureds and cedants 10.5 (6.3) insurance contracts - losses and loss adjustment expenses 37.0 54.5 - unearned premiums (13.4) (3.2) - other payables (2.1) (6.1) amounts payable to reinsurers 19.9 27.6 deferred acquisition costs ceded 0.7 0.8 other payables 30.0 23.3 net cash flows from operating activities 157.5 123.7 cash flows used in investing activities interest and dividends received 17.4 19.5 purchase of property, plant and equipment - - dividends received from associate - 19.2 purchase of fixed income securities (1,072.9) (886.2) purchase of equity securities - (9.3) proceeds on maturity and disposal of fixed income securities 1,216.7 853.9 proceeds on disposal of equity securities 4.6 2.2 net proceeds on other investments 0.2 0.1 net cash flows used in investing activities 166.0 (0.6) cash flows used in financing activities interest paid (2.0) (2.9) dividends paid - (238.2) shares repurchased (1.0) (10.5) net cash flows used in financing activities (3.0) (251.6) net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents 320.5 (128.5) cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year 413.6 737.3 effect of exchange rate fluctuations on cash and cash equivalents (3.0) 1.2 cash and cash equivalents at end of period 731.1 610.0 About Lancashire Lancashire, through its UK and Bermuda-based insurance subsidiaries, is a global provider of specialty insurance products. Its insurance subsidiaries carry the Lancashire group rating of A minus (Excellent) from A.M. Best with a stable outlook. Lancashire has capital in excess of $1 billion dollars and its Common Shares trade on the main market of the London Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol LRE. Lancashire is headquartered at Mintflower Place, 8 Par-La-Ville Road, Hamilton HM 08, Bermuda. The mailing address is Lancashire Holdings Limited, P.O. Box HM 2358, Hamilton HM HX, Bermuda. For more information on Lancashire, visit the Company's website at www.lancashiregroup.com. NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS: CERTAIN STATEMENTS AND INDICATIVE PROJECTIONS MADE IN THIS ANNOUNCEMENT THAT ARE NOT BASED ON CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACTS ARE FORWARD-LOOKING IN NATURE INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, STATEMENTS CONTAINING WORDS 'BELIEVES', 'ANTICIPATES', 'PLANS', 'PROJECTS', 'FORECASTS', 'GUIDANCE', 'INTENDS', 'EXPECTS', 'ESTIMATES', 'PREDICTS', 'MAY', 'CAN', 'WILL', 'SEEKS', 'SHOULD', OR, IN EACH CASE, THEIR NEGATIVE OR COMPARABLE TERMINOLOGY. ALL STATEMENTS OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS INCLUDING, WITHOUT LIMITATION, THOSE REGARDING THE GROUP'S FINANCIAL POSITION, RESULTS OF OPERATIONS, LIQUIDITY, PROSPECTS, GROWTH, CAPITAL MANAGEMENT PLANS, BUSINESS STRATEGY, PLANS AND OBJECTIVES OF MANAGEMENT FOR FUTURE OPERATIONS (INCLUDING DEVELOPMENT PLANS AND OBJECTIVES RELATING TO THE GROUP'S INSURANCE BUSINESS) ARE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INVOLVE KNOWN AND UNKNOWN RISKS, UNCERTAINTIES AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT COULD CAUSE THE ACTUAL RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS OF THE GROUP TO BE MATERIALLY DIFFERENT FROM FUTURE RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVMENTS EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED BY SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THESE FACTORS INCLUDE, BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO: THE NUMBER AND TYPE OF INSURANCE AND REINSURANCE CONTRACTS THAT WE WRITE; THE PREMIUM RATES AVAILABLE AT THE TIME OF SUCH RENEWALS WITHIN OUR TARGETED BUSINESS LINES; THE ABSENCE OF LARGE OR UNUSUALLY FREQUENT LOSS EVENTS; THE IMPACT THAT OUR FUTURE OPERATING RESULTS, CAPITAL POSITION AND RATING AGENCY AND OTHER CONSIDERATIONS HAVE ON THE EXECUTION OF ANY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INITIATIVES; THE POSSIBILITY OF GREATER FREQUENCY OR SEVERITY OF CLAIMS AND LOSS ACTIVITY THAN OUR UNDERWRITING, RESERVING OR INVESTMENT PRACTICES HAVE ANTICIPATED; THE RELIABILITY OF, AND CHANGES IN ASSUMPTIONS TO, CATASTROPHE PRICING, ACCUMULATION AND ESTIMATED LOSS MODELS; LOSS OF KEY PERSONNEL; A DECLINE IN OUR OPERATING SUBSIDIARIES' RATING WITH A.M. BEST COMPANY; INCREASED COMPETITION ON THE BASIS OF PRICING, CAPACITY, COVERAGE TERMS OR OTHER FACTORS; A CYCLICAL DOWNTURN OF THE INDUSTRY; THE IMPACT OF A DETERIORATING CREDIT ENVIRONMENT CREATED BY THE FINANCIAL MARKETS AND CREDIT CRISIS; A RATING DOWNGRADE OF, OR A MARKET DECLINE IN, SECURITES IN OUR INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO; CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL REGULATIONS OR TAX LAWS IN JURISDICTIONS WHERE LANCASHIRE CONDUCTS BUSINESS; LANCASHIRE OR ITS BERMUDIAN SUBSIDIARY BECOMING SUBJECT TO INCOME TAXES IN THE UNITED STATES OR THE UNITED KINGDOM; AND THE EFFECTIVENESS OF OUR LOSS LIMITATION METHODS. ANY ESTIMATES RELATING TO LOSS EVENTS INVOLVE THE EXERCISE OF CONSIDERABLE JUDGMENT AND REFLECT A COMBINATION OF GROUND-UP EVALUATIONS, INFORMATION AVAILABLE TO DATE FROM BROKERS AND INSUREDS, MARKET INTELLIGENCE, INITIAL TENTATIVE LOSS REPORTS AND OTHER SOURCES. JUDGMENTS IN RELATION TO FLOOD LOSSES INVOLVE COMPLEX FACTORS POTENTIALLY CONTRIBUTING TO THIS TYPE OF LOSS, AND WE CAUTION AS TO THE PRELIMINARY NATURE OF THE INFORMATION USED TO PREPARE ANY SUCH ESTIMATES. THESE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS SPEAK ONLY AS AT THE DATE OF PUBLICATION OF THIS ANNOUNCEMENT. LANCASHIRE HOLDINGS LIMITED EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ANY OBLIGATION OR UNDERTAKING (SAVE AS REQUIRED TO COMPLY WITH ANY LEGAL OR REGULATORY OBLIGATIONS (INCLUDING THE RULES OF THE LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE)) TO DISSEMINATE ANY UPDATES OR REVISIONS TO ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS TO REFLECT ANY CHANGES IN THE GROUP'S EXPECTATIONS OR CIRCUMSTANCES ON WHICH ANY SUCH STATEMENT IS BASED.
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