Rolls-Royce Predicts Asian Influence in Engine ...

23 March, 2005 ROLLS-ROYCE PREDICTS GROWING ASIAN INFLUENCE IN US$550BN COMMERCIAL AIRCRAFT ENGINE MARKET Rolls-Royce today highlighted China as a key area for growth as the commercial airline market continues to expand. Airline passenger traffic grew by 47 per cent in China in 2004, and this is expected to be the fastest growing region over the next 20 years. Airline traffic will grow by 9 per cent per annum, creating a requirement for 2,300 aircraft. North America is expected to grow at 3 per cent each year, creating demand for over 7,000 new commercial aircraft for the replacement of existing fleets and growth. In total, over the next 20 years, Rolls-Royce predicts a worldwide market for 96,000 new civil aircraft engines, worth US$550 billion, with a similar figure forecast for potential aftermarket service opportunities. Around 63,000 engines, worth US$495 billion, are expected to be delivered to commercial airlines over the period, with a further 33,000 engines, worth US$55 billion, required for corporate jet markets. The figures were released today in the latest 20-year Rolls-Royce Civil Aerospace Market Outlook, presented at the Speednews Conference in Los Angeles. This report covers forecast aircraft and engine demand for mainline and regional airlines, and corporate jets, for the period 2005-2024. The forecast covers aircraft ranging in size from small business jets up to the largest airliners. Strong demand is seen across the aircraft spectrum, with increasing airline and airport liberalisation driving growth in many international and domestic markets. Over 40 per cent of the predicted demand is in the twin-aisle aircraft sector, where the Rolls-Royce Trent family of engines has won half of the new-generation market. This sector will continue to grow, driven mainly by rapid Asian expansion. In the corporate jet market, Rolls-Royce predicts deliveries of 15,400 aircraft, including 3,650 in the large business jet category, such as the long-range Bombardier and Gulfstream families, powered by Rolls-Royce BR710 engines. Rolls-Royce has increased its market share for commercial jet engine orders from less than 10 per cent in the 1980s to a figure of 40 per cent last year. This success, based on a consistent long-term strategy of investing in technology and capability to create a competitive product portfolio, has seen the installed base fleet of engines increase by 32 per cent since 2000, with an even faster increase in engine flying hours. This increase in hours operated by the Rolls-Royce fleet supports the aftermarket service opportunity. The engines to be delivered over the next 20 years create a further potential market worth around US$500 billion. For a copy of the full presentation, please visit: www.rolls-royce.com/civil_aerospace/overview/market/outlook/default.jsp For further information contact: Annalie Brown Communications Manager, Civil Aerospace Rolls-Royce PO Box 31 Moor Lane Derby DE24 8BJ Tel: +44 (0)1332 248704 Fax: +44 (0)1332 269540 Email: Annalie.Brown@Rolls-Royce.com
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