Interim Results

ABERFORTH SMALLER COMPANIES TRUST PLC 13 July 1999 INTERIM RESULTS For the Six Months to 30 June 1999 FEATURES Total return for Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust plc ('ASCoT') at 41.4% compares favourably with 30.3% for the small companies benchmark index. Total return for small companies at 30.3% significantly better than that for large companies at 11.7%. Interim dividend increased by 3.6%. Gearing of 18.7% at 30 June 1999. ASCoT invests only in small UK quoted companies. CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT TO SHAREHOLDERS RESULTS REVIEW For the six months to 30 June 1999, ASCoT achieved a total return of 41.4% which compares favourably with a total return of 30.3% from the Hoare Govett Smaller Companies Index (excluding investment trusts). The recently created FTSE All-Small Index (excluding investment trusts) produced a similar return to that of the Hoare Govett Index at 31.1%. Both indices significantly outperformed the FTSE All-Share Index, representative of large companies, whose total return for the period was 11.7%. Your Board is pleased to announce an increase in this year's interim dividend to 2.85p per Ordinary Share, up from 2.75p last year, representing an increase of 3.6%. This interim dividend will be paid on 3 September 1999 to holders of Ordinary Shares on the register on 23 July 1999. During the six month period, your Board has continued to enhance Shareholder value by buying-in Warrants for cancellation. Some 1.1 million have been bought during the period at prices which have enhanced ASCoT's fully diluted asset value by approximately 0.2%. There remain 3.8 million Warrants outstanding. In addition, at the Annual General Meeting (and associated Extraordinary General Meeting) held in February, Shareholders and Warrantholders passed resolutions enabling ASCoT to buy-in up to 14.99% of its Ordinary Shares. None have yet been bought-in, however your Board will not hesitate to do so should we believe it to be in Shareholders' interests as described in the 1998 Annual Report. In November 1998, your Managers started to borrow funds to gear ASCoT beyond that required simply to mitigate Warrant dilution and, by the end of 1998, ASCoT's gearing ratio had reached 14.6% utilising some £22 million of borrowed funds. This gearing ratio has been at least maintained throughout the six month period and at 30 June 1999 was 18.7% utilising some £47 million of borrowed funds. This has added to ASCoT's performance in the period and your Managers estimate that the impact has been to enhance performance by approximately 6% points over what it would have been over the period in the absence of gearing. In summarising ASCoT's performance for the six month period it is evident that, even without the enhancements to performance provided by buying-in Warrants and from the level of gearing employed, ASCoT has added some 5% points of value against its benchmark index. INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE As noted, small companies have significantly outperformed large companies, in stockmarket terms, so far in 1999. Your Managers believe this reflects a number of considerations. First, expectations for economic growth have been increased and it now looks as though the UK economy will have flirted with recession but ultimately avoided it, a process assisted by the 125 basis point reduction in base rates during 1999. Small companies, ingeneral, are more sensitive to the domestic economy and therefore it is entirely logical that they should benefit from the expectation of improving economic conditions. Secondly, the shares of small companies were extremely inexpensive at the turn of the year. Data available to your Managers showed that at the beginning of 1999 small companies were selling on a trailing price-earnings ratio of 10.4x and a net dividend yield of 3.55%, respectively representing a discount of 46% and a premium of 42% to the FTSE All-Share Index. As the likelihood of recession has receded and the expected pressure on corporate profits reduced, the prevailing levels of valuation have become increasingly compelling. Thirdly, at a time of increasing investor interest, the availablepool of small company shares has continued to shrink. Take-over activity, much of it cash financed, which has been a feature of the last two years, has continued unabated and companies have continued to repurchase their own shares. Not only then have small companies outperformed large companies in the period but ASCoT has also outperformed its small company investment benchmark. The key factors which have driven this outperformance were investment style and corporate activity, considerations which are not readily separable. Investment Style Your Managers have, in previous reports, drawn attention to the fact that the stockmarket environment which prevailed between mid 1996 and mid 1998 was more favourable to a growth style rather than the value investing discipline which they employ. Since then, however, the environment has become relatively more helpful for a value investor and, in 1999 so far, this has been for a number of reasons. Expectations for the global economy have recovered since the fourth quarter of last year and that has been accompanied by an upward movement in some commodity prices therefore banishing the spectre of deflation. Domestically, base rates have been reduced, consumer optimism has recovered and economic growth looks as though it may recommence in the second half of 1999. Against this background investors have recognised that profit growth may be less elusive than in the recent past, encouraging them to look more favourably on the more cyclical areas ofthe economy. Further, although short term interest rates have fallen, long term interest rates have risen consistent with rising expectations for growth and inflation. This flattening of the yield curve impinges unfavourably on the valuation of growth companies as it encourages the use of a higher discount rate to future profits therefore reversing the favourable trend of the previous two years. Corporate Activity Your Managers' value investing style seeks to isolate shares in companies with favourable financial characteristics and strong market positions, selling on relative valuations which are viewed as attractive. In many ways these are the same features which attract a corporate buyer. At a time, therefore, when value has been compelling, corporate activity has been at high levels and has assisted the relative performance of ASCoT with approximately 11% of its assets (or 13 companies) benefiting from bid activity during the six month period. INVESTMENT OUTLOOK The investment environment has demonstrated a significant improvement since the problems of the second half of last year. Global recovery looks to be underway, although itremains of concern that much of the economic momentum is being provided by the USA which continues to grow at a seemingly unsustainable rate, increasing the possibility of the Federal Reserve further tightening monetary policy. Surveys indicate that recovery in the UK should become apparent in the second half of 1999 although despite the significant reduction in short term interest rates, Sterling remains strong against the Euro. It would appear that this may persist until there is evidence of improved levels of economic activity within Continental Europe. Against this background, currency considerations aside, small UK quoted companies appear to be relatively well placed for the following reasons. - As a consequence of its sectoral composition, the small company universe is more sensitive to changes in the level of economic activity, at a time when these expectations are rising. - Industry consolidation remains a powerful global trend and therefore take-over activity is likely to continue. However, the absolute levels may reduce somewhat as corporate buyers find greater competition from stockmarket investors. Further, on a shorter term note, it is anticipated that activity may decline towards the calendar year end given Y2K or Millennium 'bug' concerns. - Relative value remains attractive despite the recent outperformance by small companies. At 30 June 1999 small companies were selling on a trailing price-earnings ratio of 14.2x and a netdividend yield of 2.76%, respectively representing a discount of 32% and a premium of 22% to the FTSE All-Share Index. Further, ASCoT's portfolio represents even better relative value and consists of shares in companies well placed to benefit from rising economic activity with strong financial characteristics and market positions. Some salient characteristics of the portfolio are detailed below. Portfolio Characteristics as at 1999 1998 30 June Number of Companies in the 109 140 Portfolio Weighted Average Market £262.7m £176.6m Capitalisation Price Earnings Ratio (Historic) 13.2x 13.5x Net Dividend Yield (Historic) 3.2% 3.4% Dividend Cover (Historic) 2.4x 2.2x The high absolute returns achieved by the shares of large companies over the last three years have been primarily driven by expanding price-earnings multiples as long term interest rates have declined. It now looks as though this process has substantially run its course and therefore investors may be forced to seek value in an environment where nominal stockmarket returns are likely to be lower. GENERAL ISSUES There are two non-investment related issues which merit highlighting to Shareholders. Your Board carefully considered contributing to the Association of Investment Trust Companies' forthcoming marketing campaign, the so-called 'its' campaign. In concluding that ASCoT should not contribute, your Board considered solely whether this campaign is to be directed at potential investors similar to those whom ASCoT has courted. Your Board's conclusion was that this is not to be the case since the 'its' campaign seems to be aimed at retail investors whereas ASCoT has marketed itself consistently at institutional and wholesale investors. That is by no means to say that retail investors are in any way unwelcome but rather that expenses involved in servicing retail investors have always been kept to a minimum. Secondly, your Board is aware of the so-called Y2K or Millennium 'bug' issue and is taking steps to address it. ASCoT has sought and received assurances from advisers and significant suppliers that they are formulating appropriate strategies to deal with the problem. Given the complexity of the problem, it is not possible for any organisation to guarantee that no Y2K problems will remain because, at least, some level of failure may still occur. However, your Board believes that an acceptable state of readiness will be achieved. Your Board is not aware of any costs associated with implementing Y2K compliance which will be incurred directly by ASCoT. SUMMARY At the Annual General Meeting in February, 99.9% of those Shareholders who voted were in favour of ASCoT's continuation. It is therefore particularly pleasing to your Board that ASCoT has performed well this year, perhaps justifying some of this overwhelming Shareholder support. From here, your Board is able to identify good reasons why ASCoT should be able to outperform small companies in general and why they in turn should be able to outperform large companies. These include: attractive relative valuations; recovering economic growth; a flattening yield curve; and an active corporate market. Against these positive considerations must be set concerns over the strength of Sterling against the Euro which is clearly impinging upon many UK companies' trading performance and also whether the Y2K issue will cause economic and stockmarket 'distortions' towards the year end. The balance of these issues, however, seems positive. William Y Hughes Chairman 13 July 1999 The Statement of Total Return and summary Balance Sheet are set out below:- STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN (Incorporating the Revenue Account*) For the six months ended 30 June 1999 (unaudited) Six Months to Six Months to 30 June 1999 30 June 1998 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Realised - 4,406 4,406 - 11,529 11,529 gains/(losses) on sales Unrealised - 69,723 69,723 - 11,788 11,788 gains/(losses) ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ Gains/(losses) on - 74,129 74,129 - 23,317 23,317 investments Deemed cost of Warrants purchased for - (793) (793) - (2,381) (2,381) cancellation Dividend income 5,806 - 5,806 5,386 - 5,386 Interest income 55 - 55 52 - 52 Other income 1 - 1 13 - 13 Investment (362) (601) (963) (405) (674) (1,079) management fee Other expenses (129) - (129) (96) - (96) ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ Net return before finance costs and taxation 5,371 72,735 78,106 4,950 20,262 25,212 Interest payable and similar charges (421) (703) (1,124) (230) (384) (614) ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ Return on ordinary activities before tax 4,950 72,032 76,982 4,720 19,878 24,598 Tax on ordinary (611) - (611) (976) - (976) activities ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ Return attributable to equity shareholders 4,339 72,032 76,371 3,744 19,878 23,622 Dividends in respect of equity shares (2,359) - (2,359) (2,276) - (2,276) ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ Transfer to/(from) 1,980 72,032 74,012 1,468 19,878 21,346 reserves Returns per Ordinary Share - Basic 5.24p 87.04p 92.28p 4.52p 24.02p 28.54p Returns per Ordinary Share - Diluted 5.08p 84.38p 89.46p 4.31p 22.86p 27.17p Dividends per Ordinary Share 2.85p - 2.85p 2.75p - 2.75p STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN (Incorporating the Revenue Account*) For the six months ended 30 June 1999 (unaudited) Year to 31 December 1998 Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 Realised gains/(losses) on sales - 19,504 19,504 Unrealised gains/(losses) - (38,969) (38,969) ------ ------ ------ Gains/(losses) on investments - (19,465) (19,465) Deemed cost of Warrants purchased for cancellation - (3,040) (3,040) Dividend income 10,228 - 10,228 Interest income 104 - 104 Other income 15 - 15 Investment management fee (773) (1,288) (2,061) Other expenses (201) - (201) ------ ------ ------ Net return before finance costs and 9,373 (23,793) (14,420) taxation Interest payable and similar charges (360) (600) (960) ------ ------ ------ Return on ordinary activities before tax 9,013 (24,393) (15,380) Tax on ordinary activities (1,776) - (1,776) ------ ------ ------ Return attributable to equity shareholders 7,237 (24,393) (17,156) Dividends in respect of equity shares (6,041) - (6,041) ------ ------ ------ Transferto/(from) reserves 1,196 (24,393) (23,197) Returns per Ordinary Share - Basic 8.75p (29.48p) (20.73p) Returns per Ordinary Share - Diluted 8.40p (28.32p) (19.92p) Dividends per Ordinary Share 7.30p - 7.30p NOTES TO THE STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN The calculations of revenue return per Ordinary Share are based on net revenue of £4,339,000 (30 June 1998 - £3,744,000 and 31 December 1998 - £7,237,000) and on Ordinary Shares of 82,755,687 (30 June 1998 - 82,747,606 and 31 December 1998 - 82,750,827) in the case of basic returns and 85,369,020 (30 June 1998 - 86,954,909 and 31 December 1998 - 86,132,959) in the case of diluted returns. The calculations of capital return per Ordinary Share are based on net gains of £72,032,000 (30 June 1998 - £19,878,000 and 31 December 1998 - losses of £24,393,000) and on Ordinary Shares of 82,755,687 (30 June 1998 - 82,747,606 and 31 December 1998 - 82,750,827) in the case of basic returns and 85,369,020 (30 June 1998 - 86,954,909 and 31 December 1998 - 86,132,959) in the case of diluted returns. * The revenue column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the Company. All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing operations. No operations were acquired or discontinued in the period. SUMMARY BALANCE SHEET As at 30 June 1999 (unaudited) 30 June 30 June 31 December 1999 1998 1998 £'000 £'000 £'000 Securities listed on the London 304,336 242,732 209,727 Stock Exchange Debtors 6,784 4,164 1,228 Bank overdraft (46,911) (8,859) (22,251) Other creditors (7,907) (2,349) (5,665) ------- ------- ------- Net current liabilities (48,034) (7,044) (26,688) ------- ------- ------- Total assets less current 256,302 235,688 183,039 liabilities Bank loan (falling due after more - (6,750) - than one year) ------- ------- ------- 256,302 228,938 183,039 Capital and reserves: equity interests Called up share capital 828 20,688 20,688 Reserves: Share premium account 2 9,863 9,863 Capital redemption reserve - 103,801 103,801 Special reserve133,525 - - Capital reserve - realised 78,980 72,293 77,423 Capital reserve - unrealised 35,843 16,877 (33,880) Revenue reserve 7,124 5,416 5,144 ------- ------- ------- 256,302 228,938 183,039 Net Asset Values: Ordinary Share (basic) 309.7p 276.6p 221.2p Ordinary Share (fully diluted) 300.4p 263.1p 214.4p Ordinary Share (diluted - 301.1p 264.4p 215.5p FRS 14) NOTES TO THE BALANCE SHEET 1. As at 30 June 1999, the Company had 82,757,359 Ordinary Shares (30 June 1998 and 31 December 1998 - 82,753,996) and 3,821,863 Warrants (30 June 1998 - 6,856,685 and 31 December 1998 - 4,906,553) in issue. 2. During the six months to 30 June 1999, the Company bought in 1,081,327 Warrants for cancellation at a total cost of £1,545,000. 3. The reduction of capital approved by Shareholders at the Annual General Meeting held on 23 February 1999 became effective on 7 May 1999 following confirmation by the Court of Session. The Balance Sheet at 30 June 1999 reflects the revised position. 4. The foregoing do not comprise statutory accounts (as defined in section 240(5) of the Companies Act 1985) of the Company. The statutory accounts for the year to 31 December 1998, which contained an unqualified Report of the Auditors, have been lodged with the Registrar of Companies and did not contain a statement required under sections 237(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985. 5. The Interim Report is expected to be posted to shareholders on 16 July 1999. Members of the public may obtain copies from Aberforth Partners, 14 Melville Street, Edinburgh EH3 7NS. CONTACT: John Evans Aberforth Partners 0131 220 0733
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