Interim Results
ABERFORTH SMALLER COMPANIES TRUST PLC
13 July 1999
INTERIM RESULTS
For the Six Months to 30 June 1999
FEATURES
Total return for Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust plc ('ASCoT') at
41.4% compares favourably with 30.3% for the small companies benchmark
index.
Total return for small companies at 30.3% significantly better than
that for large companies at 11.7%.
Interim dividend increased by 3.6%.
Gearing of 18.7% at 30 June 1999.
ASCoT invests only in small UK quoted companies.
CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT TO SHAREHOLDERS
RESULTS REVIEW
For the six months to 30 June 1999, ASCoT achieved a total return of 41.4%
which compares favourably with a total return of 30.3% from the Hoare
Govett Smaller Companies Index (excluding investment trusts). The recently
created FTSE All-Small Index (excluding investment trusts) produced a
similar return to that of the Hoare Govett Index at 31.1%. Both indices
significantly outperformed the FTSE All-Share Index, representative of
large companies, whose total return for the period was 11.7%.
Your Board is pleased to announce an increase in this year's interim
dividend to 2.85p per Ordinary Share, up from 2.75p last year, representing
an increase of 3.6%. This interim dividend will be paid on 3 September
1999 to holders of Ordinary Shares on the register on 23 July 1999.
During the six month period, your Board has continued to enhance
Shareholder value by buying-in Warrants for cancellation. Some 1.1 million
have been bought during the period at prices which have enhanced ASCoT's
fully diluted asset value by approximately 0.2%. There remain 3.8 million
Warrants outstanding. In addition, at the Annual General Meeting (and
associated Extraordinary General Meeting) held in February, Shareholders
and Warrantholders passed resolutions enabling ASCoT to buy-in up to 14.99%
of its Ordinary Shares. None have yet been bought-in, however your Board
will not hesitate to do so should we believe it to be in Shareholders'
interests as described in the 1998 Annual Report.
In November 1998, your Managers started to borrow funds to gear ASCoT
beyond that required simply to mitigate Warrant dilution and, by the end of
1998, ASCoT's gearing ratio had reached 14.6% utilising some £22 million of
borrowed funds. This gearing ratio has been at least maintained throughout
the six month period and at 30 June 1999 was 18.7% utilising some £47
million of borrowed funds. This has added to ASCoT's performance in the
period and your Managers estimate that the impact has been to enhance
performance by approximately 6% points over what it would have been over
the period in the absence of gearing.
In summarising ASCoT's performance for the six month period it is evident
that, even without the enhancements to performance provided by buying-in
Warrants and from the level of gearing employed, ASCoT has added some 5%
points of value against its benchmark index.
INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE
As noted, small companies have significantly outperformed large companies,
in stockmarket terms, so far in 1999. Your Managers believe this reflects
a number of considerations.
First, expectations for economic growth have been increased and it now
looks as though the UK economy will have flirted with recession but
ultimately avoided it, a process assisted by the 125 basis point reduction
in base rates during 1999. Small companies, ingeneral, are more sensitive
to the domestic economy and therefore it is entirely logical that they
should benefit from the expectation of improving economic conditions.
Secondly, the shares of small companies were extremely inexpensive at the
turn of the year. Data available to your Managers showed that at the
beginning of 1999 small companies were selling on a trailing price-earnings
ratio of 10.4x and a net dividend yield of 3.55%, respectively representing
a discount of 46% and a premium of 42% to the FTSE All-Share Index. As the
likelihood of recession has receded and the expected pressure on corporate
profits reduced, the prevailing levels of valuation have become
increasingly compelling.
Thirdly, at a time of increasing investor interest, the availablepool of
small company shares has continued to shrink. Take-over activity, much of
it cash financed, which has been a feature of the last two years, has
continued unabated and companies have continued to repurchase their own
shares.
Not only then have small companies outperformed large companies in the
period but ASCoT has also outperformed its small company investment
benchmark. The key factors which have driven this outperformance were
investment style and corporate activity, considerations which are not
readily separable.
Investment Style
Your Managers have, in previous reports, drawn attention to the fact that
the stockmarket environment which prevailed between mid 1996 and mid 1998
was more favourable to a growth style rather than the value investing
discipline which they employ. Since then, however, the environment has
become relatively more helpful for a value investor and, in 1999 so far,
this has been for a number of reasons. Expectations for the global economy
have recovered since the fourth quarter of last year and that has been
accompanied by an upward movement in some commodity prices therefore
banishing the spectre of deflation. Domestically, base rates have been
reduced, consumer optimism has recovered and economic growth looks as
though it may recommence in the second half of 1999. Against this
background investors have recognised that profit growth may be less elusive
than in the recent past, encouraging them to look more favourably on the
more cyclical areas ofthe economy. Further, although short term interest
rates have fallen, long term interest rates have risen consistent with
rising expectations for growth and inflation. This flattening of the
yield curve impinges unfavourably on the valuation of growth companies as
it encourages the use of a higher discount rate to future profits therefore
reversing the favourable trend of the previous two years.
Corporate Activity
Your Managers' value investing style seeks to isolate shares in companies
with favourable financial characteristics and strong market positions,
selling on relative valuations which are viewed as attractive. In many
ways these are the same features which attract a corporate buyer. At a
time, therefore, when value has been compelling, corporate activity has
been at high levels and has assisted the relative performance of ASCoT with
approximately 11% of its assets (or 13 companies) benefiting from bid
activity during the six month period.
INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
The investment environment has demonstrated a significant improvement since
the problems of the second half of last year. Global recovery looks to be
underway, although itremains of concern that much of the economic momentum
is being provided by the USA which continues to grow at a seemingly
unsustainable rate, increasing the possibility of the Federal Reserve
further tightening monetary policy.
Surveys indicate that recovery in the UK should become apparent in the
second half of 1999 although despite the significant reduction in short
term interest rates, Sterling remains strong against the Euro. It would
appear that this may persist until there is evidence of improved levels of
economic activity within Continental Europe.
Against this background, currency considerations aside, small UK quoted
companies appear to be relatively well placed for the following reasons.
- As a consequence of its sectoral composition, the small company
universe is more sensitive to changes in the level of economic
activity, at a time when these expectations are rising.
- Industry consolidation remains a powerful global trend and therefore
take-over activity is likely to continue. However, the absolute
levels may reduce somewhat as corporate buyers find greater
competition from stockmarket investors. Further, on a shorter term
note, it is anticipated that activity may decline towards the calendar
year end given Y2K or Millennium 'bug' concerns.
- Relative value remains attractive despite the recent outperformance by
small companies. At 30 June 1999 small companies were selling on a
trailing price-earnings ratio of 14.2x and a netdividend yield of
2.76%, respectively representing a discount of 32% and a premium of
22% to the FTSE All-Share Index. Further, ASCoT's portfolio
represents even better relative value and consists of shares in
companies well placed to benefit from rising economic activity with
strong financial characteristics and market positions. Some salient
characteristics of the portfolio are detailed below.
Portfolio Characteristics as at 1999 1998
30 June
Number of Companies in the 109 140
Portfolio
Weighted Average Market £262.7m £176.6m
Capitalisation
Price Earnings Ratio (Historic) 13.2x 13.5x
Net Dividend Yield (Historic) 3.2% 3.4%
Dividend Cover (Historic) 2.4x 2.2x
The high absolute returns achieved by the shares of large companies
over the last three years have been primarily driven by expanding
price-earnings multiples as long term interest rates have declined.
It now looks as though this process has substantially run its course
and therefore investors may be forced to seek value in an environment
where nominal stockmarket returns are likely to be lower.
GENERAL ISSUES
There are two non-investment related issues which merit highlighting to
Shareholders. Your Board carefully considered contributing to the
Association of Investment Trust Companies' forthcoming marketing campaign,
the so-called 'its' campaign. In concluding that ASCoT should not
contribute, your Board considered solely whether this campaign is to be
directed at potential investors similar to those whom ASCoT has courted.
Your Board's conclusion was that this is not to be the case since the 'its'
campaign seems to be aimed at retail investors whereas ASCoT has marketed
itself consistently at institutional and wholesale investors. That is by
no means to say that retail investors are in any way unwelcome but rather
that expenses involved in servicing retail investors have always been kept
to a minimum.
Secondly, your Board is aware of the so-called Y2K or Millennium 'bug'
issue and is taking steps to address it. ASCoT has sought and received
assurances from advisers and significant suppliers that they are
formulating appropriate strategies to deal with the problem. Given the
complexity of the problem, it is not possible for any organisation to
guarantee that no Y2K problems will remain because, at least, some level of
failure may still occur. However, your Board believes that an acceptable
state of readiness will be achieved. Your Board is not aware of any costs
associated with implementing Y2K compliance which will be incurred directly
by ASCoT.
SUMMARY
At the Annual General Meeting in February, 99.9% of those Shareholders who
voted were in favour of ASCoT's continuation. It is therefore particularly
pleasing to your Board that ASCoT has performed well this year, perhaps
justifying some of this overwhelming Shareholder support.
From here, your Board is able to identify good reasons why ASCoT should be
able to outperform small companies in general and why they in turn should
be able to outperform large companies. These include: attractive relative
valuations; recovering economic growth; a flattening yield curve; and an
active corporate market. Against these positive considerations must be set
concerns over the strength of Sterling against the Euro which is clearly
impinging upon many UK companies' trading performance and also whether the
Y2K issue will cause economic and stockmarket 'distortions' towards the
year end. The balance of these issues, however, seems positive.
William Y Hughes
Chairman
13 July 1999
The Statement of Total Return and summary Balance Sheet are set out below:-
STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN
(Incorporating the Revenue Account*)
For the six months ended 30 June 1999
(unaudited)
Six Months to Six Months to
30 June 1999 30 June 1998
Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Realised - 4,406 4,406 - 11,529 11,529
gains/(losses) on
sales
Unrealised - 69,723 69,723 - 11,788 11,788
gains/(losses) ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Gains/(losses) on - 74,129 74,129 - 23,317 23,317
investments
Deemed cost of
Warrants
purchased for - (793) (793) - (2,381) (2,381)
cancellation
Dividend income 5,806 - 5,806 5,386 - 5,386
Interest income 55 - 55 52 - 52
Other income 1 - 1 13 - 13
Investment (362) (601) (963) (405) (674) (1,079)
management fee
Other expenses (129) - (129) (96) - (96)
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Net return before
finance
costs and taxation 5,371 72,735 78,106 4,950 20,262 25,212
Interest payable and
similar
charges (421) (703) (1,124) (230) (384) (614)
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Return on ordinary
activities
before tax 4,950 72,032 76,982 4,720 19,878 24,598
Tax on ordinary (611) - (611) (976) - (976)
activities ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Return attributable
to
equity shareholders 4,339 72,032 76,371 3,744 19,878 23,622
Dividends in respect
of
equity shares (2,359) - (2,359) (2,276) - (2,276)
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Transfer to/(from) 1,980 72,032 74,012 1,468 19,878 21,346
reserves
Returns per Ordinary
Share
- Basic 5.24p 87.04p 92.28p 4.52p 24.02p 28.54p
Returns per Ordinary
Share
- Diluted 5.08p 84.38p 89.46p 4.31p 22.86p 27.17p
Dividends per
Ordinary
Share 2.85p - 2.85p 2.75p - 2.75p
STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN
(Incorporating the Revenue Account*)
For the six months ended 30 June 1999
(unaudited)
Year to
31 December 1998
Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Realised gains/(losses) on sales - 19,504 19,504
Unrealised gains/(losses) - (38,969) (38,969)
------ ------ ------
Gains/(losses) on investments - (19,465) (19,465)
Deemed cost of Warrants
purchased for cancellation - (3,040) (3,040)
Dividend income 10,228 - 10,228
Interest income 104 - 104
Other income 15 - 15
Investment management fee (773) (1,288) (2,061)
Other expenses (201) - (201)
------ ------ ------
Net return before finance costs and 9,373 (23,793) (14,420)
taxation
Interest payable and similar charges (360) (600) (960)
------ ------ ------
Return on ordinary activities
before tax 9,013 (24,393) (15,380)
Tax on ordinary activities (1,776) - (1,776)
------ ------ ------
Return attributable to
equity shareholders 7,237 (24,393) (17,156)
Dividends in respect of
equity shares (6,041) - (6,041)
------ ------ ------
Transferto/(from) reserves 1,196 (24,393) (23,197)
Returns per Ordinary Share
- Basic 8.75p (29.48p) (20.73p)
Returns per Ordinary Share
- Diluted 8.40p (28.32p) (19.92p)
Dividends per Ordinary
Share 7.30p - 7.30p
NOTES TO THE STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN
The calculations of revenue return per Ordinary Share are based on net
revenue of £4,339,000 (30 June 1998 - £3,744,000 and 31 December 1998
- £7,237,000) and on Ordinary Shares of 82,755,687 (30 June 1998 -
82,747,606 and 31 December 1998 - 82,750,827) in the case of basic
returns and 85,369,020 (30 June 1998 - 86,954,909 and 31 December 1998
- 86,132,959) in the case of diluted returns.
The calculations of capital return per Ordinary Share are based on net
gains of £72,032,000 (30 June 1998 - £19,878,000 and 31 December 1998
- losses of £24,393,000) and on Ordinary Shares of 82,755,687 (30 June
1998 - 82,747,606 and 31 December 1998 - 82,750,827) in the case of
basic returns and 85,369,020 (30 June 1998 - 86,954,909 and 31
December 1998 - 86,132,959) in the case of diluted returns.
* The revenue column of this statement is the profit and loss account
of the Company.
All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from
continuing operations.
No operations were acquired or discontinued in the period.
SUMMARY BALANCE SHEET
As at 30 June 1999
(unaudited)
30 June 30 June 31 December
1999 1998 1998
£'000 £'000 £'000
Securities listed on the London 304,336 242,732 209,727
Stock Exchange
Debtors 6,784 4,164 1,228
Bank overdraft (46,911) (8,859) (22,251)
Other creditors (7,907) (2,349) (5,665)
------- ------- -------
Net current liabilities (48,034) (7,044) (26,688)
------- ------- -------
Total assets less current 256,302 235,688 183,039
liabilities
Bank loan (falling due after more - (6,750) -
than one year) ------- ------- -------
256,302 228,938 183,039
Capital and reserves: equity
interests
Called up share capital 828 20,688 20,688
Reserves:
Share premium account 2 9,863 9,863
Capital redemption reserve - 103,801 103,801
Special reserve133,525 - -
Capital reserve - realised 78,980 72,293 77,423
Capital reserve - unrealised 35,843 16,877 (33,880)
Revenue reserve 7,124 5,416 5,144
------- ------- -------
256,302 228,938 183,039
Net Asset Values:
Ordinary Share (basic) 309.7p 276.6p 221.2p
Ordinary Share (fully diluted) 300.4p 263.1p 214.4p
Ordinary Share (diluted - 301.1p 264.4p 215.5p
FRS 14)
NOTES TO THE BALANCE SHEET
1. As at 30 June 1999, the Company had 82,757,359 Ordinary Shares (30
June 1998 and 31 December 1998 - 82,753,996) and 3,821,863 Warrants
(30 June 1998 - 6,856,685 and 31 December 1998 - 4,906,553) in
issue.
2. During the six months to 30 June 1999, the Company bought in
1,081,327 Warrants for cancellation at a total cost of £1,545,000.
3. The reduction of capital approved by Shareholders at the Annual
General Meeting held on 23 February 1999 became effective on 7 May
1999 following confirmation by the Court of Session. The Balance
Sheet at 30 June 1999 reflects the revised position.
4. The foregoing do not comprise statutory accounts (as defined in
section 240(5) of the Companies Act 1985) of the Company. The
statutory accounts for the year to 31 December 1998, which contained
an unqualified Report of the Auditors, have been lodged with the
Registrar of Companies and did not contain a statement required
under sections 237(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985.
5. The Interim Report is expected to be posted to shareholders on 16
July 1999. Members of the public may obtain copies from Aberforth
Partners, 14 Melville Street, Edinburgh EH3 7NS.
CONTACT: John Evans Aberforth Partners 0131 220 0733