Final Results

ABERDEEN ASIAN SMALLER COMPANIES INVESTMENT TRUST PLC PRELIMINARY ANNOUNCEMENT OF UNAUDITED RESULTS for the year ended 31 July 2004 Chairman's Statement Results and Dividend During the the financial year under review, Asia saw good economic growth, Against this backdrop, I am delighted to report that on a total return basis the Company's diluted net asset value ("NAV") increased by 12.7 per cent and the share price by 13.9%. This compares to a rise of 7.3 per cent in the MSCI AC Asia Pacific Free ex-Japan Total Return Index. The outperformance was once again due to your Manager's philosophy of investing in well managed companies with stong balance sheets and good growth prospects This was assisted by renewed investor interest in the asset class and the judicious use of gearing in a rising market. Your Board is pleased to recommend the payment of a final dividend of 3.10 pence per share, which is equal to last year's final dividend, payable on 26 November 2004 to Shareholders on the register on 15 October 2004. Overview The growth in the Asian economies was supported by a pick-up in regional loan growth, investment and improvement in domestic demand. As was noted in the interim report, stocks rose in tandem during the first half only for markets to consolidate later. Last year's better performers (such as India and Thailand), being the most vulnerable to profit-taking, fell most during the first quarter of 2004. There were, however, good domestic reasons for this. India's election result, which resulted in a change of Goverment and Thailand's unrest in the south both upset the impression of leaders in control . A reported slowdown in China compounded regional uncertainty. More ominously, a raft of external influences, including rising US interest rates, geopolitical terror and, crucially, sustained high oil prices, then emerged. With good news evaporating, investors became less attuned to corporate activity and more swayed by headlines from Wall Street. While this was explicable, the plain fact was that the general tone of reporting from the companies in which we invest remained very positive. Your Managers noted consistent earnings growth from them, unlike their US peers for whom earnings may be nearing a cyclical peak. Outlook Looking ahead, we are cautious about the US economic outlook. US interest rates are now rising after a long period of loose money. In the summer this was greeted as evidence of brisker activity, but demand has wavered in the face of weak job creation and flat incomes. The presidential election now complicates the picture. How quickly (and satisfactorily) these issues are resolved will affect sentiment towards Asia because of underlying trade. The dependence is, however, diminishing and domestic demand is a growing feature of regional recovery. This is pertinent to the portolio of this company where domestic growth is a more important driver than international trade. There is some debate over China's slowdown or 'soft landing'. Credit controls are curbing supply bottlenecks, which may ease fixed asset over-investment. This will be offset, though, by the consumer spending. With rising incomes, savings at 30-40% and almost zero real interest rates, growth can be sustained at high levels for some time yet. More concerning is Korea, where the economy is struggling with a slowdown that was amplified by a credit bubble. Thailand is a little further behind in the cycle, while the recovery in the rest of Southeast Asia has only really started. On the plus side, both personal and corporate balance sheets are healthy almost everywhere. Also, government reserves have been rebuilt and current accounts are in surplus. In short, the ability to withstand external shocks has much improved. Investors, often driven by short-term returns, can be insensitive to such changes. So much was evident from pre-election market swings ahead of polls in Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and now Indonesia. Yet policy was not a point of difference among leadership contenders - because they are generally orthodox and working - and voters were left to focus on personalities. If exaggerated mood swings remain the lot of Asian markets, they do at least create opportunities. Our Managers have been characteristically forthright in identifying potential where others may only see flux. India is one market where quality companies stand out. Another is Hong Kong, where the asset reflation story has gathered steam - core CPI has turned inflationary for the first time in six years. A fixation on markets may however be misleading. As I have noted before, the incidence of good value may well be at variance with market size or underlying economic growth. It may be more helpful to describe what stock choices have in common. Across markets the key factor currently in our holdings is the strength of cashflow and balance sheets. While companies in the recent past have used funds to reduce gearing, the situation now is trending towards excess. How companies deal with this pleasant problem is one thing that our Managers will be watching. The temptation to invest at any cost has generally been resisted and money is still being returned. The next phase in the cycle will likely see more commitment to new investment. Currently, the portfolio is on a prospective price earnings ratio of just over 10.7 times based upon 2005 estimated earnings, with a gross dividend yield of 3.8%. This is markedly cheaper than the MSCI AC Asia Pacific ex Japan Index, reflecting a longstanding discount. It also means we are almost back to where we were 12 months ago - with the single difference that markets have since gained 7.3%. If earnings continue to meet expectations, the portfolio will only look more solid. True, headline market catalysts are in retreat but, twelve months hence it will be disappointing if we can't say that those who missed last year's run didn't get a second chance. Gearing The Board has continued using the Company's gearing facilities and the benefits of the policy are demonstrated by the Company's excellent performance in the last year. The Board, which is responsible for the gearing policy, continues to review the gearing levels with the Manager on a regular basis and take appropriate action. As at 31 July 2004, gearing stood at 15.7% of the net asset value of the Company. The Board I would like to welcome Mr Iain Saunders to the Board following his appointment earlier this month. Mr Saunders brings to the Board an extensive experience of emerging markets including the Far East and the investment trust sector and this further strengthens the skills and knowledge of the existing Board members. Mr Hugh Young resigned as a Director of the Company on 16 September 2004, prior to the changes to the UKLA Listing Rules that come into operation on 1 April 2005 regarding the number of management representatives on the board of an investment company. Despite this change the Board will continue to enjoy Mr Young's wise counsel in his role of Investment Manager and also as Mr Gilbert's alternate. Annual General Meeting This year's Annual General Meeting will be held on Thursday 25 November at 12 noon and your Board looks forward to seeing Shareholders there. Nigel Cayzer Chairman 28 September 2004 Statement of Total Return Year ended Year ended 31 July 2004 31 July 2003 (unaudited) (audited) Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Gains on investments - 5,276 5,276 - 8,340 8,340 Income 3,077 - 3,077 2,338 - 2,338 Investment management fee (558) - (558) (454) - (454) Administration expenses (449) - (449) (331) - (331) Exchange gains - 468 468 - 62 62 Net return before finance 2,070 5,744 7,814 1,553 8,402 9,955 costs and taxation Interest payable and similar (283) - (283) (248) - (248) charges Return on ordinary 1,787 5,744 7,531 1,305 8,402 9,707 activities before taxation Taxation on ordinary (715) - (715) (471) - (471) activities Return on ordinary 1,072 5,744 6,816 834 8,402 9,236 activities after taxation Dividends in respect of (829) - (829) (829) - (829) equity shares Transfer to reserves 243 5,744 5,987 5 8,402 8,407 Return per Ordinary share (pence): Basic 4.01 21.47 25.48 3.12 31.40 34.52 Fully-diluted 3.62 19.39 23.01 3.02 30.40 33.42 The revenue column of this statement is the revenue account of the Company.. All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing operations. Balance Sheet As at 31 July As at 31 July 2004 2003 £'000 £'000 (unaudited) (audited) Fixed assets Investments 60,712 51,979 Current assets Debtors 193 232 Cash at bank and in hand 1,181 795 1,374 1,027 Creditors: amounts falling due within (9,723) (3,812) one year Net current liabilities (8,349) (2,785) Total assets less current liabilities 52,363 49,194 Creditors: amounts falling due after more than one year Bank loan - (2,798) 52,363 46,396 Provisions for liabilities and charges (31) (51) Net assets 52,332 46,345 Share capital and reserves Called-up share capital 6,689 6,689 Capital redemption reserve 2,062 2,062 Special reserve 14,990 14,990 Other capital reserves: Warrant reserve 2,275 2,275 Capital reserve - realised 14,409 11,453 Capital reserve - unrealised 11,404 8,616 Revenue reserve 503 260 Equity Shareholders' funds 52,332 46,345 Net asset value per Ordinary share (pence): Basic 195.60 173.22 Fully-diluted 175.78 158.04 Cash Flow Statement Year ended Year ended 31 July 2004 31 July 2003 (unaudited) (audited) £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Net cash inflow from operating 1,768 1,218 activities Servicing of finance Bank and loan interest paid (300) (248) Taxation Net taxation paid (173) (106) Financial investment Purchases of investments (9,741) (7,388) Sales of investments 6,382 7,274 Net cash outflow from financial (3,359) (114) investment Equity dividend paid (829) (709) Net cash (outflow)/inflow before (2,893) 41 financing Financing Drawdown of loans 33,577 21,122 Repayment of Loans (30,251) (20,520) Net cash inflow from financing 3,326 602 Increase in cash 433 643 Reconciliation of net cash flow to movements in Net debt Increase in cash as above 433 643 Cash inflow from drawdown of (3,326) (602) loans Change in net debt arising from (2,893) 41 cash flows Exchange movements 468 62 Movement in net (debt)/funds in (2,425) 103 the year Opening net debt (4,599) (4,702) Closing net debt (7,024) (4,599) Notes: 1. Income 2004 2003 £'000 £'000 Income from investments UK dividend income 92 80 Overseas dividends 2,962 2,246 3,054 2,326 Other income Deposit interest 23 12 Total income 3,077 2,338 2. Return per Ordinary share 2004 2003 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total Return per p p p p p p Ordinary share Basic 4.01 21.47 25.48 3.12 31.40 34.52 Diluted 3.62 19.39 23.01 3.02 30.40 33.42 The basic revenue return per Ordinary share is based on net revenue on ordinary activities after taxation of £1,072,000 (2003 - £834,000) and on 26,754,100 (2003 - 26,754,100) Ordinary shares, being the weighted average number of Ordinary shares in issue during the year. The basic capital return per Ordinary share is based on net capital gains for the year of £5,744,000 (2003 - £8,402,000) and on 26,754,100 (2003 - 26,754,100) Ordinary shares, being the weighted average number of Ordinary shares in issue during the year. The calculation of the fully diluted revenue and capital returns per Ordinary share are carried out in accordance with Financial Reporting Standard No. 14, "Earnings per Share". For the purposes of calculating diluted revenue and capital returns per Ordinary share, the number of Ordinary shares is the weighted average used in the basic calculation plus the number of Ordinary shares deemed to be issued for no consideration on exercise of all Warrants by reference to the average share price of the Ordinary shares during the year. The calculations indicate that the exercise of Warrants would result in an increase in the weighted average number of Ordinary shares of 2,871,422 (2003 - 888,522) to 29,625,522 (2003 - 27,642,622) Ordinary shares. 3. Net asset value per share The net asset value per share and the net asset values attributable to Ordinary Shareholders at the year end calculated in accordance with the Articles of Association were as follows: Net asset value Net asset values per share attributable attributable 2004 2003 2004 2003 p p £'000 £'000 Basic 195.60 173.22 52,332 46,345 Fully- 175.78 158.04 diluted The movements during the year of the assets attributable to Ordinary shares were as follows:- 2004 2003 £'000 £'000 Net assets attributable at 1 August 46,345 37,938 Capital return for the year 5,744 8,402 Return on ordinary activities after 1,072 834 taxation Dividend appropriated in the year (829) (829) Total net assets attributable at 31 July 52,332 46,345 The basic net asset value per Ordinary share is based on net assets, and on 26,754,100 (2003 - 26,754,100) Ordinary shares, being the number of Ordinary shares in issue at the year end. The fully-diluted net asset value per Ordinary share has been calculated on the assumption that 6,999,400 (2003 - 6,999,400) Warrants in issue were exercised on the first day of the financial year at 100p per share, giving an average of 33,753,500 (2003 - 33,753,500) Ordinary shares. 4. The financial information set out above does not constitute the Company's statutory accounts for the years ended 31 July 2004 or 2003 The financial information for 2003 is derived from the statutory accounts for 2003 which have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies. The auditors have reported on the 2003 accounts; their report was unqualified and did not contain a statement under section 237(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985. The statutory accounts for 2004 will be finalised on the basis of the financial information presented by the Directors in this preliminary announcement and will be delivered to the Registrar of Companies in due course. 5. Copies of the Annual Report will be posted to Shareholders shortly and further copies may be obtained from the registered office, One Bow Churchyard, Cheapside, London EC4M 9HH. Aberdeen Asset Management PLC, Secretaries. 28 September 2004
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