Interim Results
Aberdeen Asian Income Fund Limited
14 September 2007
ABERDEEN ASIAN INCOME FUND LIMITED
UNAUDITED INTERIM RESULTS
FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2007
Background
During the six month period to 30 June 2007, the net asset value total return
was 8.6% with the underlying net asset value per Ordinary share ('NAV') rising
from 112.2p to 119.1p. The share price fell 2.2% over the period, as the
discount to NAV at which the shares trade moved from 0.6% to 8.5%.
The total return on the benchmark MSCI AC Asia Pacific ex-Japan Index was 15.5%
in sterling terms over the period. While the underperformance is clear, I should
remind shareholders that at the time of the Company's creation we did state that
the benchmark was a general guide, but that the Manager would not adhere to it,
nor indeed does the benchmark provide sufficient income to meet our dividend
objectives. However, this is not an excuse for the disappointing performance.
Analysing those returns in greater depth, the underperformance can be attributed
to the following: first, stock selection, particularly in Malaysia, where the
market has benefited from a belated re-rating, but where investors have favoured
property and other high-growth sectors. In contrast, your Manager's preference
has been for good, strong cashflow, high dividend-paying companies such as banks
and consumer stocks, which have been dull performers through this period.
However, the Manager is confident of their quality, and that their fundamentals
will stand them in good stead in less frenetic market conditions.
Second, in terms of asset allocation, the lack of exposure to South Korea was a
detractor, as the market there has benefited from rotational buying in a strong
liquidity-led environment. Yet dividend pay-outs are below average, reflecting
that country's generally weak ability to provide for shareholder income.
Similarly, the portfolio has been underweight to China, where the benchmark is
concentrated in H shares and red chips in which quality is uneven.
Third, the renewed strength of sterling has highlighted the potential impact of
currency movements on returns. Most Asian currencies have strengthened lately
against the US dollar but have fallen against sterling, with the notable
exceptions being the Indian rupee and the Australian dollar (which have
benefited from the so-called 'carry trade' of borrowing to invest in
high-yielding currencies, as well as sustained global demand for resources). As
we hold nothing in India and are underweight Australia, that move was not to our
benefit.
Your Manager's policy is not to hedge the portfolio currency exposure, but to
assess currencies as they affect companies directly, especially in terms of any
mismatch between receivables and outgoings. Broadly, they see better economic
fundamentals supporting Asian currencies over the longer term. The majority of
Asian countries still manage their currencies against the US dollar, either
through a fixed peg or less overtly via a currency basket, and intervene to
limit appreciation.
Share Buy-backs, Dividends and Gearing
At the time of the launch of the Company, your Board indicated that an active
discount management policy would be operated through the use of share buy-backs
with the aim of maintaining the price of the Ordinary shares at a discount of no
more than 5% to the underlying NAV. Clearly, therefore, your Board were
concerned to note the level of the discount at which the Company's shares were
trading at the period end, as detailed above. Subsequently, the Company
purchased in the market 200,000 Ordinary shares for cancellation. The Board has
absolute discretion to make purchases of Ordinary shares for cancellation,
subject to the Listing Rules and Jersey law, and the Directors will consider the
merits of making further purchases of Ordinary shares subject to the volatility
of the markets, if and when any suitable opportunities arise in the future. At
the time of writing the Ordinary share discount to net asset value has tightened
to under 6%.
On 17 July 2007, the Board declared a first interim dividend of 2.0p per
Ordinary share in respect of the year ending 31 December 2007 (2006 2.0p), which
was paid on 28 August 2007 to shareholders on the register on 27 July 2007. A
second interim dividend will be announced in January 2008 and payable in
February 2008.
The Company has retained short-term gearing throughout the period, with
borrowings of HKD 137.7 million and USD 12.2 million (GBP 14.9 million in total)
representing a gearing level of 11.4% of net assets at the period end. The
Board is responsible for establishing and implementing the Company's gearing
strategy, and will continue to have a close regard to the level of gearing in
the context of the current volatility in stockmarkets, detailed below.
At the time of the launch of the Company, Intelli Corporate Finance Limited (the
Company's broker) subscribed for 3.5 million Warrants and undertook to hold
these Warrants for an initial two year period to December 2007. The Directors
were permitted to release Intelli from the lock-in arrangements in the Warrant
Agreement and, during the period, the Board permitted Intelli to sell Warrants
to meet market demand. The Board will continue to monitor the market in the
Company's Warrants.
Overview
Asia continued to enjoy surprisingly benign conditions over the past six months.
Economic growth was healthy, as China's voracious appetite for manufacturing
inputs and intermediate goods continued, despite fears of a housing-led slowdown
in the US. In addition, there appears to have been an increasing trend towards
domestic consumption as Asian economies wean themselves off their past reliance
on exports, although the acid test for this new-found regional resilience would
be any form of significant and sustained global slowdown. History has tended to
show that it is highly challenging for any one country or region to remain
immune from global trends and influences.
The region's economic buoyancy has continued to drive stockmarkets, where
investors have thus far been unmoved by externalities, such as rising global
bond yields and higher oil prices. A sudden correction in China's runaway
mainland markets, in February, was quickly contained as investors ascribed the
reverse to local factors. (These markets are technically closed to foreigners.)
A slew of initial public offerings and aggressive M&A activity then added
impetus to market rebounds.
With risk appetite remaining strong, several bourses climbed to fresh highs,
notably in Australia, Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia. The rotation of funds
from one market to another also picked up as investors searched for relative
value. This saw Singapore property stocks, selective Malaysian plantations and,
least foreseen, Korean heavy industry stocks, chased up. While fundamentals have
remained well supported by earnings generally, it appears buying has become less
discriminating. The rush of IPOs, many with a thin history, points to an
inevitable deterioration in quality.
Away from stockmarkets, economic performance has been more mixed than it might
appear. At one extreme are India and China, which have both been forced to
address overheating in their economies, but where conditions have supported
company performance. (India is seeing upgrades; in China quality is more
suspect). At the other extreme are laggards such as Indonesia and Thailand,
where consumer demand has been patchy for some time. Central Banks have cut
interest rates in response. While they have been helped by firmer currencies, it
is exporters that have borne the brunt of the increased margin pressure, which
is only partly offset by lower price inflation.
The driver for sustainable growth in the less developed economies, particularly,
is further structural reform. While some progress has been seen in Malaysia and
Indonesia, the exception is Thailand. Here it is sticky politics which has
drained confidence, with elections now scheduled for this December. In trying to
neutralise the influence of exiled prime minister, Thaksin Shinawatra, the
ruling junta dissolved his Thai Rak Thai party, banning party members from
contesting elections for five years. The stock market appears inexpensive, but
catalysts to turn around negative sentiment towards Thailand are in short
supply.
Outlook
Ten years after the Asian financial crisis in 1997, the tables have turned, and
it is Asia's savers who are funding the West's consumption. Foreign exchange
reserves are at record levels across the region, and these are being recycled
into safe haven assets such as US Treasuries; an arrangement that helps to keep
Asian currencies in check and borrowing costs low for dollar economies, and
which has suited all parties.
This has been a hard-won transformation for Asia, built on assiduous government
pursuit of fiscal and monetary stability. Companies and regulators too have
embraced a similar discipline, paying closer regard to governance and
shareholder value. Despite having generated substantial cash flows, companies
have preferred to pay down debt and strengthen balance sheets; surplus funds are
being returned to shareholders via dividends and share buy-backs and not routed
into speculative investments.
The strong corporate earnings growth now being seen has ensured that overall
valuations remain reasonable. But this tells only half the story, for it seems
that the extraordinary global stability of recent times, thanks to the
aforementioned de facto compact, may be drawing to a close. Labour and input
costs in China and India are rising, which will feed into inflation globally. If
monetary tightening is the upshot, this will threaten the foundation of
leveraged cheap money that has driven up asset prices and propelled a global
search for yield - and is manifested now in the mispricing of risk in the US
sub-prime market.
Indeed, as I write, the value of the Company's assets and the latest net asset
value per Ordinary shares is now 110.10p as at 12 September 2007. The collapse
of various high profile funds investing in sub-prime credits has caused risk
aversion to spike across asset classes. Stock markets have tumbled from their
recent peaks, although in Asia they are still comfortably ahead for the year to
date. The worry is that emergency injections of liquidity into the financial
system by central banks will provide only temporary relief. Confidence is
important. If investors perceive that banks, in particular, as lenders to, and
investors in, holders of sub-prime instruments, need to cover losses, that may
cause a more extended run on more liquid financial assets such as shares. A
sell-off could then become self-reinforcing, affecting the real economy in turn.
But while mindful of these dangers, your Manager emphasises that the portfolio's
financial holdings have minimal, if any, exposure to the subprime sector. Should
Asian stocks fall further, this will have the effect of removing the marginal
investor, aside from offering the chance to add to positions at lower cost. The
markets appear well supported by earnings, dividend-paying stocks especially.
Your Board believes that the Manager's stock selection approach, with its focus
on corporate fundamentals, is a sound one, and likely to be more rewarding over
the long term than a strategy based on momentum or blindly buying stocks that
have recently reported high returns.
I look forward to reporting to you again with the Annual Report for the year to
31 December 2007, which will be issued in March 2008. In the meantime,
shareholders can find regular updates from your Manager, and copies of all Stock
Exchange announcements on the Company's website www.asian-income.co.uk. Also on
the website there are NAV and share price feeds which are updated on a daily
basis.
Peter Arthur
Chairman
14 September 2007
Aberdeen Asian Income Fund Limited
Income Statement (unaudited)
Six months ended
30 June 2007
Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Investment income
Dividend income 3,538 - 3,538
Interest income 15 - 15
_______ _______ _______
Total revenue 3,553 - 3,553
_______ _______ _______
Gains/(losses) on financial assets at fair value through the profit or loss - 7,682 7,682
Currency (losses)/ gains - 452 452
_______ _______ _______
3,553 8,134 11,687
_______ _______ _______
Expenses
Investment management fee (247) (371) (618)
Other operating expenses (301) - (301)
_______ _______ _______
Profit/(loss) before finance costs and tax 3,005 7,763 10,768
_______ _______ _______
Finance costs (168) (253) (421)
_______ _______ _______
Profit/(loss) for the period attributable to equity Shareholders 2,837 7,510 10,347
_______ _______ _______
Earnings per Ordinary share (pence)
Basic and diluted 2.58 6.83 9.41
_______ _______ _______
The total column of this statement represents the Income Statement of the
Company, prepared in accordance with IFRS. The revenue and capital columns are
supplementary to this and are prepared under guidance published by the
Association of Investment Companies. All items in the above statement derive
from continuing operations.
All income is attributable to the equity holders of Aberdeen Asian Income Fund
Limited. There are no minority interests.
Aberdeen Asian Income Fund Limited
Income Statement (unaudited)
Six months ended
30 June 2006
Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Investment income
Dividend income 3,499 - 3,499
Interest income 35 - 35
_______ _______ _______
Total revenue 3,534 - 3,534
_______ _______ _______
Gains/(losses) on financial assets at fair value through the profit or loss - (8,285) (8,285)
Currency (losses)/ gains - 717 717
_______ _______ _______
3,534 (7,568) (4,034)
_______ _______ _______
Expenses
Investment management fee (216) (325) (541)
Other operating expenses (283) -
(283)
_______ _______ _______
Profit/(loss) before finance costs and tax 3,035 (7,893) (4,858)
_______ _______ _______
Finance costs (137) (205) (342)
_______ _______ _______
Profit/(loss) for the period attributable to equity Shareholders 2,898 (8,098) (5,200)
_______ _______ _______
Earnings per Ordinary share (pence)
Basic and diluted 2.63 (7.36) (4.73)
_______ _______ _______
The total column of this statement represents the Income Statement of the
Company, prepared in accordance with IFRS. The revenue and capital columns are
supplementary to this and are prepared under guidance published by the
Association of Investment Companies. All items in the above statement derive
from continuing operations.
All income is attributable to the equity holders of Aberdeen Asian Income Fund
Limited. There are no minority interests.
Balance Sheet (unaudited)
As at As at As at
30 June 30 June 31 December
2007 2006 2006
(unaudited) (unaudited) (audited)
£'000 £'000 £'000
Non-current assets
Investments held at fair value through profit or loss 142,809 120,764 136,714
_______ _______ _______
Current assets
Cash and cash equivalents 2,926 1,226 1,327
Other receivables 531 893 1,809
_______ _______ _______
3,457 2,119 3,136
_______ _______ _______
Current liabilities
Bank loans (14,869) (16,192) (15,290)
Other payables (431) (615) (1,191)
_______ _______ _______
(15,300) (16,807) (16,481)
_______ _______ _______
Net current liabilities (11,843) (14,688) (13,345)
_______ _______ _______
Net assets 130,966 106,076 123,369
_______ _______ _______
Capital and reserves
Ordinary share capital 110,000 110,000 110,000
Warrant reserve 2,200 2,200 2,200
Capital reserve 15,296 (9,239) 7,786
Revenue reserve 3,470 3,115 3,383
_______ _______ _______
Equity Shareholders' funds 130,966 106,076 123,369
_______ _______ _______
Net asset value per Ordinary share (pence):
Basic and diluted 119.06 96.43 112.15
_______ _______ _______
Statement of Changes in Equity (Unaudited)
Six months ended 30 June 2007
Share Warrant Capital Revenue Retained
capital reserve reserve reserve earnings Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Opening balance 110,000 2,200 7,786 3,383 - 123,369
Profit for the period - - - - 10,347 10,347
Transferred from retained earnings to capital - - 7,510 - (7,510) -
reserve*
Transferred from retained earnings to revenue - - - 2,837 (2,837) -
reserve
Dividends paid - - - (2,750) - (2,750)
______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______
Balance at 30 June 2007 110,000 2,200 15,296 3,470 - 130,966
______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______
Six months ended 30 June 2006
Share Warrant Capital Revenue Retained
capital reserve reserve reserve earnings Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Opening balance 110,000 2,200 (1,141) 217 - 111,276
Loss for the period - - - - (5,200) (5,200)
Transferred from retained earnings to capital - - (8,098) - 8,098 -
reserve*
Transferred from retained earnings to revenue - - - 2,898 (2,898) -
reserve
______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______
Balance at 30 June 2006 110,000 2,200 (9,239) 3,115 - 106,076
______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______
* Represents the capital profit attributable to equity Shareholders per Income
Statement.
Cash Flow Statement (Unaudited)
Six months ended Six months ended
30 June 2007 30 June 2006
£'000 £'000
Operating activities
Profit/(loss) for the period 10,347 (5,200)
Add back interest payable 421 342
(Gains)/losses on investments held at fair value through the profit or loss (7,682) 8,285
Net gains on foreign exchange (452) (717)
Net sales/(purchases) of investments held at fair value through the profit or 1,587 (39,659)
loss
Decrease in amounts due from brokers 1,345 -
Increase in other receivables (74) (483)
Decrease in amounts due to brokers (792) (9,594)
Increase/(decrease) in other payables 40 (64)
__________ __________
Net cash inflow/(outflow) from operating activities before and after interest and 4,740 (47,090)
taxation
Interest paid (422) -
Dividends paid (2,750) -
__________ __________
Net cash inflow/(outflow) from operating activities 1,568 (47,090)
Financing activities
Loans drawndown - 17,119
__________ __________
Net cash inflow from financing activities - 17,119
__________ __________
Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents 1,568 (29,971)
Analysis of changes in cash during the period
Opening balance 1,327 31,407
Increase/(decrease) in cash above 1,568 (29,971)
Currency differences 31 (210)
__________ __________
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 2,926 1,226
__________ __________
Notes to the Financial Statements
For the period ended 30 June 2007
1. Accounting policies
The financial statements have been prepared in accordance with International
Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) 34 - 'Interim Financial Reporting', as
adopted by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB), and
interpretations issued by the International Reporting Interpretations Committee
of the IASB (IFRIC). They have also been prepared using the same accounting
policies applied for the period ended 31 December 2006 financial statements,
which received an unqualified audit report.
2. Earnings per share
The earnings per Ordinary share is based on the net profit after taxation of
£10,347,000 (2006 - loss of £5,200,000) and on 110,000,000 (2006 - 110,000,000)
Ordinary shares, being the weighted average number of Ordinary shares in issue
during the period.
The earnings per Ordinary share detailed above can be further analysed between
revenue and capital as follows:
Six months ended 30 June 2007 Six months ended 30 June 2006
Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total
Net profit/(loss) (£'000) 2,837 7,510 10,347 2,898 (8,098) (5,200)
___________ ___________ ___________ ___________ ___________ ___________
Weighted average number of 110,000,000 110,000,000 110,000,000 110,000,000 110,000,000 110,000,000
Ordinary shares in issue
___________ ___________ ___________ ___________ ___________ ___________
Return per Ordinary share (p) 2.58 6.83 9.41 2.63 (7.36) (4.73)
3. Net asset value per share
The basic net asset value per Ordinary share and the net asset values
attributable to Ordinary Shareholders at the period end calculated in accordance
with the Articles of Association were as follows:
As at As at As at
Net asset value per share 30 June 2007 30 June 2006 31 December 2006
Attributable net assets (£'000) 130,966 106,076 123,369
Number of Ordinary shares in issue 110,000,000 110,000,000 110,000,000
Net asset value per Ordinary share (p) 119.06 96.43 112.15
Six months ended Six months ended
30 June 2007 30 June 2006
4. Other operating expenses £'000 £'000
Directors' fees 47 50
Administration fees 52 50
Marketing contribution 51 40
Auditors' remuneration 6 7
Custodian charges 70 80
Other 75 56
___________ ___________
301 283
___________ ___________
5. Transaction costs
During the period expenses were incurred in acquiring or disposing of
investments classified as fair value though profit or loss. These have been
expensed through capital and are included within gains on investments in the
Income Statement. The total costs were as follows:
Six months ended Six months ended
30 June 2007 30 June 2006
£'000 £'000
Sales 21 3
Purchases 13 165
___________ ___________
34 168
___________ ___________
6. Related party transactions
Mr H Young is a director of Aberdeen Asset Management Asia Limited ('AAM
Asia'), which is a subsidiary of Aberdeen Asset Management PLC ('AAM'). Aberdeen
Private Wealth Management Limited has an agreement to provide management
services to the Company, which it has sub-delegated to AAM Asia. AAM has an
agreement to provide administration services to the Company.
The management fee is payable monthly in arrears based on an annual
amount of 1% of the net asset value of the Company valued monthly. During the
period £618,000 (2006 - £541,000) of management fees were paid and payable, with
a balance of £103,000 (2006 - £176,000) being payable to AAM Asia at the period
end.
The investment management fees are charged 40% to revenue and 60% to
capital.
The administration fee is based on an annual amount of £100,000,
increased annually in line with any increases in RPI, payable quarterly in
arrears. During the period £52,000 (2006 - £50,000) of fees were paid and
payable, with a balance of £26,000 (2006 - £17,000) being payable to AAM at the
period end.
7. The previous year's comparative period in these financial statements
differs to those published in last years Interim Report, which, due to Listing
Rules requirements, covered the six month period from incorporation to 7 May
2006.
Aberdeen Private Wealth Management Limited
Secretaries
14 September 2007
Independent Review Report to the Members of Aberdeen Asian Income Fund Limited
Introduction
We have been instructed by the Company to review the financial information for
the six months ended 30 June 2007 which comprises the Income Statement, Balance
Sheet, Statement of Changes in Equity, Cash Flow Statement, and the related
notes 1 to 7. We have read the other information contained in the Interim
Report and considered whether it contains any apparent misstatements or material
inconsistencies with the financial information.
This report is made solely to the company in accordance with guidance contained
in Bulletin 1999/4 'Review of interim financial information' issued by the
Auditing Practices Board. To the fullest extent permitted by law, we do not
accept or assume responsibility to anyone other than the company, for our work,
for this report, or for the conclusions we have formed.
Directors' responsibilities
The Interim Report, including the financial information contained therein, is
the responsibility of, and has been approved by, the Directors. The Directors
are responsible for preparing the interim report in accordance with the Listing
Rules of the Financial Services Authority which require that the accounting
policies and presentation applied to the interim figures should be consistent
with those applied in preparing the forthcoming annual accounts except where any
changes, and the reasons for them, are disclosed.
Review Work Performed
We conducted our review in accordance with guidance contained in Bulletin 1999/4
'Review of interim financial information' issued by the Auditing Practices Board
for use in the United Kingdom. A review consists principally of making
enquiries of management and applying analytical procedures to the financial
information and underlying financial data, and based thereon, assessing whether
the accounting policies and presentation have been consistently applied, unless
otherwise disclosed. A review excludes audit procedures such as tests of
controls and verification of assets, liabilities and transactions. It is
substantially less in scope than an audit performed in accordance with
International Standards on Auditing (UK and Ireland) and therefore provides a
lower level of assurance than an audit. Accordingly we do not express an audit
opinion on the financial information.
Review Conclusion
On the basis of our review we are not aware of any material modifications that
should be made to the financial information as presented for the six months
ended 30 June 2007.
Ernst & Young LLP
Jersey
14 September 2007 Channel Islands
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