Interim Results
Aberdeen New Dawn Invest Trust PLC
21 December 2007
ABERDEEN NEW DAWN INVESTMENT TRUST PLC
HALF-YEARLY FINANCIAL REPORT FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 OCTOBER 2007
The investment objective of Aberdeen New Dawn Investment Trust PLC is to provide
shareholders with a high level of capital growth through equity investment in
the Asia Pacific countries ex. Japan.
The following is the unaudited Interim Board Report for the six months ended 31
October 2007.
Interim Board Report
Background
During the six months to 31 October 2007, the net asset value of the Company
increased 18.82% to 652.15p, underperforming the benchmark MSCI Asia Pacific
ex-Japan Index, which rose by 31.66%. Over the period, the net asset value total
return (with dividends reinvested) was 19.98% and the benchmark total return was
33.90%, the share price total return reduced to 11.72% due to the discount
widening. In line with normal practice, there will be no interim dividend but
we shall recommend a final dividend at our financial year-end.
Overview
The past six months have seen Asian equities reach new peaks, notwithstanding
the increasingly volatile environment. Global stock markets sold off in August,
as the turmoil in US credit caused ripples across financial markets. For Asia,
however, the jitters proved short-lived as liquidity quickly returned, boosted
by an unexpectedly large US interest rate cut.
Some valuations in the region now look inflated, notably in China on a p/e of 70
times and across cyclical stocks in general. This follows a near doubling of
China's domestic indices over the period. Although earnings quality has improved
over the past couple of years, most Chinese companies lack transparency, with an
untried management, and a worrying dependency on investment gains for growth.
While the mainland market is still effectively closed to foreigners, there is no
shortage of China growth proxies, which are listed on the Hong Kong H-share
market, the bulk of which are industrials and financials. These have enjoyed
correspondingly outsized gains, while recent IPOs have attracted astounding
first-day premiums. Your Managers prefer traditional Hong Kong-listed stocks,
which have established track records, and are able to extend their successful
business models into the mainland.
In other markets, investors have focused their attention on industrials and
basic materials. South Korea's shipbuilding and steelmaker stocks benefited in
particular, while in Singapore, the offshore & marine and shipping sectors led
the field. Unfortunately, sectors where our portfolio tends to be
well-represented, such as financial (with the exception of China's banks and
insurers) and consumer stocks, have been somewhat left behind and this disparity
in sector performance has impacted the Company's relative returns.
The portfolio continues to be well diversified across the region. There is a
bias towards financials under which we have included banks, insurers, property
plus conglomerates. There is also a small overweight to consumer staples, as
mentioned above. This positioning reflects our confidence in Asia's growing
domestic demand story, with asset reflation likely to support consumption. This
has been especially notable in India, where rapid economic growth is expanding
the middle class. International investors have continued to favour its stock
market, in particular large cap industrials. By contrast, banking stocks have
suffered from tighter liquidity requirements, after the central bank acted to
curb loan demand. Export-oriented industries, such as software services and
pharmaceuticals, have also failed to keep pace because of the stronger rupee.
Elsewhere, rising property prices in Singapore and Hong Kong have been
short-term market catalysts; while in Malaysia, the promise of more public
spending ahead of a national election boosted sentiment. In Thailand, the
prospect of national elections in December has helped to restore confidence,
which has been in short supply during the junta's rule.
Portfolio
As stated above, the portfolio returned 19.98% in sterling terms, compared with
the benchmark's gain of 33.90%. The magnitude of this underperformance is
disappointing. However, it is worth reiterating that your Manager's investment
approach is one of traditional 'buy and hold', with a close focus on
fundamentals and valuations. This strategy has not been rewarded in the current
bull market, in which momentum buying has taken over.
By and large, investment opportunities have narrowed rather than increased as
valuations have become more expensive. Nowhere illustrates this more clearly
than the behaviour of the Chinese markets. The underweight there has proved
costly for relative performance, as indiscriminate buying propelled the index to
record highs.
Similarly, Singapore's market rise rested on narrow foundations. We were
overweight in this characteristically defensive market, which has lagged the
region. Conversely, the underweight to Australia worked to our advantage, as the
market was significantly affected by the summer credit turmoil, and failed to
recover as swiftly as its counterparts.
The shares within the portfolio have a very solid underlying earnings profile
and your Manager is confident that these positions will be vindicated once there
is a renewed focus on valuations. To alter the investment approach now would
undermine the consistency of a proven long term strategy as well as raise
questions over timing - just as cyclical stocks may be weakening.
In portfolio activity, having not tendered the holdings in Malaysian Oxygen at
the original bid price, your Manager entered into constructive dialogue with the
offeror, and subsequently accepted a higher offer. Offsetting this, the holding
in Malaysia's Bumiputra Commerce was built up. The company is the leading
investment bank in Malaysia, and is also a restructuring play.
Elsewhere, your Manager took advantage of market volatility to top-slice
holdings which have had a strong run. These included Australian construction
company Leighton, as well as the portfolio's Chinese holdings China Mobile,
Petrochina and Zhejiang Expressway.
Against this, the positions in POS Malaysia, and leading Philippine property
developer Ayala Land were topped up. In Singapore, the holdings in contract
manufacturer Venture and fixed line operator Singapore Telecom were increased.
Share Buybacks
The Company has started to buy back its shares at a discount to the net asset
value per Ordinary share and to hold them in treasury. To date 384,731 shares
have been purchased and the Directors will continue to buyback shares as and
when such purchases are in shareholders' interests, subject always to prevailing
market conditions. Shares will not be reissued or sold from treasury except at
asset value or above.
Principal Risks and Uncertainties
The principal risks and uncertainties faced by the Company fall into seven broad
categories: (i) investment and market, (ii) shares, (iii) Ordinary shares, (iv)
dividends, (v) borrowings, (vi) foreign exchange and (vii) taxation and exchange
controls. Information on each of these areas is given in the Directors' report
within the Annual Report and Accounts for the year ended 30 April 2007.
Outlook
Global equity investors have been nervous in recent weeks, amid further
sub-prime writedowns and record oil prices. While the two interest rate cuts by
the US Federal Reserve were initially welcomed, their uplifting effects have
since faded to be replaced by renewed fears over the health of the US economy.
The US consumer appears to be besieged on several fronts, faced with falling
home values and rising fuel bills. A sharp slowdown seems inevitable.
What this may herald for Asia has yet to be determined. The strength of
portfolio inflows reflects a growing belief that the region's momentum has
become self-sustaining. The case for this rests largely on continued demand from
China and India. But despite the increase in intra-regional trade, the ultimate
buyers are still in the West.
In the short term, further US interest rate cuts should be positive for Asian
equities. However, if global growth slows, asset prices will have to reflect
this. Recent market falls, which have been steepest in China, suggest fatigue
may be setting in. Besides, inflation has started to rise appreciably. Given
this, your Board believes that the portfolio's defensive slant is sensible, as
we wait out market developments.
Alan Henderson
Chairman
21 December 2007
Directors' Responsibility Statement
The Directors are responsible for preparing the half-yearly financial report in
accordance with applicable law and regulations. The Directors confirm that to
the best of their knowledge -
• the interim financial statements have been prepared in accordance with
Accounting Standards Board's statement 'Half-Yearly Financial Reports'; and
• the Interim Board Report includes a fair review of the information
required by 4.2.7R and 4.2.8R of the FSA's Disclosure and Transparency Rules.
For Aberdeen New Dawn Investment Trust PLC
Alan Henderson
Chairman
21 December 2007
INCOME STATEMENT
Six months ended Six months ended
31 October 2007 31 October 2006
(unaudited) (unaudited)
Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Gains/(losses) on held-at-fair-value - 26,520 26,520 - (2,703) (2,703)
investments
Income 2,369 - 2,369 2,155 - 2,155
Investment management fee (322) (322) (644) (252) (252) (504)
Administrative expenses (305) - (305) (272) (30) (302)
Exchange gains/(losses) - 230 230 (36) 357 321
________ ________ ________ ________ ________ ________
Net return before finance costs and 1,742 26,428 28,170 1,595 (2,628) (1,033)
taxation
Interest payable and similar charges (91) (91) (182) (95) (95) (190)
________ ________ ________ ________ ________ ________
Net return on ordinary activities before 1,651 26,337 27,988 1,500 (2,723) (1,223)
taxation
Taxation on ordinary activities (483) 124 (359) (437) 104 (333)
________ ________ ________ ________ ________ ________
Return on ordinary activities after 1,168 26,461 27,629 1,063 (2,619) (1,556)
taxation
________ ________ ________ ________ ________ ________
Return per Ordinary share (pence): 4.60 104.23 108.83 4.19 (10.32) (6.13)
________ ________ ________ ________ ________ ________
The total column of this statement represents the profit and loss account of the
Company.
No Statement of Total Recognised Gains and Losses has been prepared as all gains
and losses have been reflected in the Income Statement.
All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing
operations.
INCOME STATEMENT (Cont'd)
Year ended
30 April 2007
(audited)
Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Gains on held-at-fair-value investments - 10,527 10,527
Income 4,027 - 4,027
Investment management fee (536) (536) (1,072)
Administrative expenses (552) 15 (537)
Exchange (losses)/gains (41) 733 692
________ ________ ________
Net return before finance costs and taxation 2,898 10,739 13,637
Interest payable and similar charges (189) (189) (378)
________ ________ ________
Net return on ordinary activities before taxation 2,709 10,550 13,259
Taxation on ordinary activities (772) 217 (555)
________ ________ ________
Return on ordinary activities after taxation 1,937 10,767 12,704
________ ________ ________
Return per Ordinary share (pence): 7.63 42.41 50.04
________ ________ ________
BALANCE SHEET
As at As at As at
31 October 2007 31 October 2006 30 April
2007
(unaudited) (unaudited) (audited)
£'000 £'000 £'000
Non-current assets
Investments at fair value through profit or loss 169,331 131,759 145,147
________ ________ ________
Current assets
Debtors 733 464 870
Cash at bank and in hand 3,147 723 1,345
________ ________ ________
3,880 1,187 2,215
________ ________ ________
Creditors: amounts falling due within one year
Foreign currency loans (6,627) (7,191) (6,822)
Other creditors (1,004) (661) (1,047)
________ ________ ________
(7,631) (7,852) (7,869)
________ ________ ________
Net current liabilities (3,751) (6,665) (5,654)
________ ________ ________
Total assets less current liabilities 165,580 125,094 139,493
Provision for liabilities and charges (18) (12) (151)
________ ________ ________
Net assets 165,562 125,082 139,342
________ ________ ________
Share capital and reserves
Called-up share capital 6,347 6,347 6,347
Share premium account 17,955 17,955 17,955
Special reserve 14,138 14,138 14,138
Capital redemption reserve 10,207 10,207 10,207
Capital reserve - realised 22,652 11,978 15,638
Capital reserve - unrealised 89,092 59,919 69,645
Revenue reserve 5,171 4,538 5,412
________ ________ ________
Equity Shareholders' funds 165,562 125,082 139,342
________ ________ ________
Net asset value per Ordinary share (pence): 652.15 492.70 548.87
RECONCILIATION OF MOVEMENTS IN SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS
Six months ended 31 October 2007 (unaudited)
Share Capital Capital Capital
Share premium Special redemption reserve reserve Revenue
capital account reserve reserve realised unrealised reserve Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Balance at 30 April 2007 6,347 17,955 14,138 10,207 15,638 69,645 5,412 139,342
Return on ordinary activities after - - - - 7,014 19,447 1,168 27,629
taxation
Dividend paid (Final 2007 - 5.55p) - - - - - - (1,409) (1,409)
______ _______ ______ ________ ______ ________ ______ _______
Balance at 31 October 2007 6,347 17,955 14,138 10,207 22,652 89,092 5,171 165,562
______ _______ ______ ________ ______ ________ ______ _______
Six months ended 31 October 2006 (unaudited)
Share Capital Capital Capital
Share premium Special redemption Reserve reserve Revenue
capital account reserve reserve realised unrealised reserve Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Balance at 30 April 2006 6,347 17,955 14,138 10,207 7,067 67,449 4,744 127,907
Return on ordinary activities after - - - - 4,911 (7,530) 1,063 (1,556)
taxation
Dividend paid (Final 2006 - 5.0p) - - - - - - (1,269) (1,269)
______ _______ ______ ________ ______ ________ ______ _______
Balance at 31 October 2006 6,347 17,955 14,138 10,207 11,978 59,919 4,538 125,082
______ _______ ______ ________ ______ ________ ______ _______
Year ended 30 April 2007 (audited)
Share Capital Capital Capital
Share premium Special redemption reserve reserve Revenue
capital account reserve reserve realised unrealised reserve Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Balance at 30 April 2006 6,347 17,955 14,138 10,207 7,067 67,449 4,744 127,907
Return on ordinary activities after - - - - 8,571 2,196 1,937 12,704
taxation
Dividend paid (Final 2006 - 5.0p) - - - - - - (1,269) (1,269)
______ _______ ______ ________ ______ ________ ______ _______
Balance at 30 April 2007 6,347 17,955 14,138 10,207 15,638 69,645 5,412 139,342
______ _______ ______ ________ ______ ________ ______ _______
CASH FLOW STATEMENT
Six months ended Six months ended Year
ended
31 October 2007 31 October 2006 30 April
2007
(unaudited) (unaudited) (audited)
£'000 £'000 £'000
Net return on ordinary activities before finance costs and 28,170 (1,033) 13,637
taxation
Adjustment for:
(Gains)/losses on investments at fair value through profit or (26,520) 2,703 (10,527)
loss
Exchange gains charged to capital (230) (357) (733)
Decrease/(increase) in accrued income 148 (35) (458)
Decrease/(increase) in other debtors 4 - (16)
Increase in creditors 5 42 41
Overseas withholding tax suffered (134) (94) (186)
Scrip dividends included in investment income (3) (35) (46)
___________ ___________ ___________
Net cash inflow from operating activities 1,440 1,191 1,712
Net cash outflow from servicing of finance (41) (194) (378)
Corporation tax paid (154) (182) (316)
Net cash inflow from financial investment 1,931 315 747
Equity dividends paid (1,409) (1,269) (1,269)
___________ ___________ ___________
Net cash outflow before use of liquid resources and financing 1,767 (139) 496
Net cash inflow from financing - 20 -
___________ ___________ ___________
Increase/(decrease) in cash 1,767 (119) 496
___________ ___________ ___________
Reconciliation of net cash flow to movements in net debt
Increase/(decrease) in cash as above 1,767 (119) 496
Exchange movements 230 357 733
___________ ___________ ___________
Movement in net debt in the period 1,997 238 1,229
Opening net debt (5,477) (6,706) (6,706)
___________ ___________ ___________
Closing net debt (3,480) (6,468) (5,477)
___________ ___________ ___________
Represented by:
Cash at bank 3,147 723 1,345
Debt falling due within one year (6,627) (7,191) (6,822)
___________ ___________ ___________
(3,480) (6,468) (5,477)
___________ ___________ ___________
Notes to the Accounts
1. Accounting policies
(a) Basis of accounting
The accounts have been prepared under the historical cost
convention, as modified to include the revaluation of investments and in
accordance with applicable UK Accounting Standards, with pronouncements on
half-yearly reporting issued by the Accounting Standards Board and with the
Statement of Recommended Practice for 'Financial Statements of Investment Trust
Companies' (December 2005). They have also been prepared on the assumption that
approval as an investment trust will continue to be granted.
The financial statements and the net asset value per share figures
have been prepared in accordance with UK Generally Accepted Accounting Practice
('UK GAAP').
The interim accounts have been prepared using the same accounting
policies as the preceding annual accounts.
(b) Dividends payable
Dividends are recognised in the period in which they are paid.
2. Dividends
Ordinary dividends on equity shares deducted from reserves are analysed below:
Six months ended Six months ended Year ended
31 October 2007 31 October 2006 30 April 2007
£'000 £'000 £'000
2006 final dividend - 5.00p - 1,269 1,269
2007 final dividend - 5.55p 1,409 - -
___________ ___________ ___________
1,409 1,269 1,269
___________ ___________ ___________
In accordance with stated policy no interim dividend has been declared
for the period (2006 - nil).
Six months ended Six months ended Year
ended
31 October 2007 31 October 2006 30 April 2007
3. Return per share p p p
Revenue return 4.60 4.19 7.63
Capital return 104.23 (10.32) 42.41
___________ ___________ ___________
Total return 108.83 (6.13) 50.04
___________ ___________ ___________
The figures above are based on the following attributable assets:
£'000 £'000 £'000
Revenue return 1,168 1,063 1,937
Capital return 26,461 (2,619) 10,767
___________ ___________ ___________
Total return 27,629 (1,556) 12,704
___________ ___________ ___________
Weighted average number of Ordinary shares 25,387,133 25,387,133 25,387,133
in issue
As at As at As at
4. Net asset value per share 31 October 2007 31 October 2006 30 April 2007
Attributable net assets (£'000) 165,562 125,082 139,342
Number of Ordinary shares in issue 25,387,133 25,387,133 25,387,133
Net asset value per Ordinary share (p) 652.15 492.70 548.87
5. Transaction costs
During the six months ended 31 October 2007 expenses were incurred in acquiring
or disposing of investments classified as fair value through profit or loss.
These have been expensed through capital and are included within gains/(losses)
on investments in the Income Statement. The total costs were as follows:
Six months ended Six months ended Year
ended
31 October 2007 31 October 2006 30 April 2007
£'000 £'000 £'000
Purchases 19 30 55
Sales 17 14 34
___________ ___________ ___________
36 44 89
6. The financial information in this report comprises non-statutory
accounts within the meaning of Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. The
financial information for the year ended 30 April 2007 has been extracted from
published accounts that have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies and on
which the report of the auditors was unqualified under Section 235 of the
Companies Act 1985. The interim accounts have been prepared using the same
accounting policies as the preceding annual accounts.
7. The Half-Yearly Financial Report is unaudited.
8. Related party transactions
Mr H Young is a director of Aberdeen Asset Management Asia Limited ('AAM Asia'),
which is a subsidiary of Aberdeen Asset Management PLC ('AAM'). AAM Asia has an
agreement to provide management services to the Company and AAM has an agreement
to provide marketing services to the Company. The management fee is payable
monthly in arrears based on an annual amount of 1% of the net asset value of the
Company valued monthly. During the period £644,000 (2006 - £504,000) of
management fees were paid and payable, with a balance of £228,000 (2006 -
£174,000) being payable to AAM Asia at the period end. The investment
management fees are charged 50% to revenue and 50% to capital. The marketing
fee is based on a current annual amount of £95,000, payable quarterly in
arrears. During the period £48,000(2006 - £44,000) of fees were paid and
payable, with a balance of £8,000 (2006 - £7,000) being payable to AAM at the
period end.
9. The Half-Yearly Financial Report will shortly be available from the
Company's website (www.newdawn-trust.co.uk) and will be posted to shareholders
in January 2008.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily a guide to the future and
that the value of investments and the income from them may fall as well as rise
and may be affected by exchange rate movements. Investors may not get back the
amount they originally invested.
For Aberdeen New Dawn Investment Trust PLC
Aberdeen Asset Management PLC
Secretaries
21 December 2007
Independent Review Report to
Aberdeen New Dawn Investment Trust PLC
Introduction
We have been engaged by the Company to review the condensed set of financial
statements in the half-yearly financial report for the six months ended 31
October 2007 which comprises the Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Reconciliation
of Movements in Shareholders' funds and the related explanatory notes. We have
read the other information contained in the half-yearly financial report and
considered whether it contains any apparent misstatements or material
inconsistencies with the information in the condensed set of financial
statements.
This report is made solely to the Company in accordance with the terms of our
engagement to assist the company in meeting the requirements of the Disclosure
and Transparency Rules ('the DTR') of the UK's Financial Services Authority ('
the UK FSA'). Our review has been undertaken so that we might state to the
Company those matters we are required to state to it in this report and for no
other purpose. To the fullest extent permitted by law, we do not accept or
assume responsibility to anyone other than the Company for our review work, for
this report, or for the conclusions we have reached.
Directors' Responsibilities
The half-yearly financial report is the responsibility of, and has been approved
by, the Directors. The Directors are responsible for preparing the half-yearly
financial report in accordance with the DTR of the UK FSA.
As disclosed in note 1, the annual financial statements of the Company are
prepared in accordance with UK Accounting Standards and applicable law (UK
Generally Accepted Accounting Practice). The condensed set of financial
statements included in this half-yearly financial report has been prepared in
accordance with the Statement Half-Yearly Financial Reports as issued by the UK
Accounting Standards Board.
Our Responsibility
Our responsibility is to express to the Company a conclusion on the condensed
set of financial statements in the half-yearly financial report based on our
review.
Scope of Review
We conducted our review in accordance with International Standard on Review
Engagements (UK and Ireland) 2410 Review of Interim Financial Information
Performed by the Independent Auditor of the Entity issued by the Auditing
Practices Board for use in the UK. A review of interim financial information
consists of making enquiries, primarily of persons responsible for financial and
accounting matters, and applying analytical and other review procedures. A
review is substantially less in scope than an audit conducted in accordance with
International Standards on Auditing (UK and Ireland) and consequently does not
enable us to obtain assurance that we would become aware of all significant
matters that might be identified in an audit. Accordingly, we do not express an
audit opinion.
Review Conclusion
Based on our review, nothing has come to our attention that causes us to believe
that the condensed set of financial statements in the half-yearly financial
report for the six months ended 31 October 2007 is not prepared, in all material
respects, in accordance with the Statement Half-Yearly Financial Reports as
issued by the UK Accounting Standards Board and the DTR of the UK FSA.
KPMG Audit Plc
Chartered Accountants
21 December 2007 Edinburgh
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