Final Results
8 October 2003
EDINBURGH DRAGON TRUST PLC
PRELIMINARY RESULTS FOR THE YEAR TO 31 AUGUST 2003
Edinburgh Dragon Trust's objective is long-term capital growth through investment in the Far
East (excluding Japan and Australasia).
· The Trust outperformed its benchmark by 9.2% (the MSCI All Country Asia Free ex-Japan
index rose 12.8% over the same period)
· The net asset value rose 22.0% in sterling terms to 85.4p
· The share price rose 25.1% as the discount narrowed from 17.4% to 15.3%
· Successful country selection and good stock selection have been key factors in the
performance of the Trust. Taking overweight positions in China and Thailand has been
particularly beneficial
For further information please contact:-
Jeremy Whitley, Investment Manager
Edinburgh Fund Managers plc 0131 313 1000
Chairman's Statement
Over the past year Edinburgh Dragon Trust's net asset value has risen by 22.0% to 85.35p.
In comparison, the Trust's benchmark, the MSCI All Country Asia Free (ex Japan) index,
rose 12.8% in sterling terms. The share price rose 25.1%, as the discount at which the
shares trade to the adjusted net asset value narrowed from 17.4% to 15.3%. The board
remains positive on the outlook for Asia.
The Trust posted a headline annual return of more than 20%, while at the same time Asian
markets outperformed most other global markets. However, the past twelve months have not
been without their fair share of uncertainties across the region. Major among these were
the threats posed firstly by the North Korean missile crisis, secondly by the outbreak of
SARS and thirdly by the sporadic terrorist bombing campaigns in Indonesia and India.
Whilst initially these events were seen as negative and confirmation of Asia's risky
nature, the resulting market environment has also provided investors with timely
opportunities to add to stockmarket investments.
The Trust's very satisfactory 9% outperformance of the MSCI Index was as a result of both
the manner in which capital was allocated to individual countries and the choice of stocks
within those countries. In particular, the Trust benefitted from taking overweight positions
in China and Thailand, both of which performed extremely well over the year.
Revenue account
Gross revenue reduced from £6.0 million to £5.6 million, due principally to a lower proportion
of the portfolio being held in cash and Treasury Bills over the year, and lower yields being
received. There was a minor reduction in expenses reflecting lower management fees (which are
calculated on the value of net assets). In addition, depreciation of the US dollar against
sterling led to a fall in interest charged on the long term borrowings. The net result is that
the revenue deficit per share has increased from 0.49p to 0.52p.
The principal objective of the trust is capital appreciation and therefore it is again proposed
that no dividend will be paid.
Marketing initiatives
The company is a member of the Association of Investment Trust Companies (AITC) and contributes
towards the campaign to raise awareness among potential investors of the attractions of
investment trusts. In the year under review the company contributed £15,000 to the campaign.
The company continues to participate with other investment trusts managed by Edinburgh Fund
Managers in the manager's Investment Trust Initiative, which provides a range of savings
products, including ISA and Pension Schemes, in a cost effective manner.
Shareholders can receive up to date information on recent performance and the trust's strategy
on the manager's website, www.edfd.com.
Directors
In July 2003, the board announced that David Gairns had been appointed to the board as a
non-executive director. Mr Gairns, a chartered accountant, has spent his professional career
with KPMG in the UK and in Hong Kong, retiring in 1991 as senior partner of the Hong Kong firm.
He is a former non-executive director of The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
and Mass Transit Railway Corporation Limited. Shareholders will be asked to confirm his
appointment at the annual general meeting.
Annual general meeting
The annual general meeting will be held at Donaldson House, Edinburgh on 8 December 2003.
At the meeting shareholders will be given the opportunity to vote on the continuation of the
company.
Edinburgh Dragon Trust is the largest investment trust specialising in the Pacific Basin. The
Dragon board believes that the Trust offers investors a broad and marketable exposure to Asian
equity markets, many of which continue to provide attractive long-term investment opportunities
in the region.
Your board therefore recommends that shareholders vote in favour of the resolution.
If the continuation proposal is approved by shareholders, your board intends to give shareholders
a further opportunity to consider a similar resolution at the annual general meeting to be held
in 2006.
Manager
Shareholders will be aware that the holding company of the company's manager, Edinburgh Fund
Managers Group plc, has recently announced the terms of an agreed takeover by Aberdeen Asset
Management PLC.
The board will ensure satisfactory arrangements are in place for the continued effective
management and successful performance of the Trust.
Future prospects
Going forward, Asian stockmarkets continue to look encouraging. Despite the region's close trade
links with the Western world which render Asia susceptible to Western business cycles, Asian
central banks continue to pursue monetary policies designed to encourage domestic production and
consumption. Since the Asian crisis, five years of current account surpluses have resulted in
rebuilding foreign exchange reserves across Asia. These reserves have acted as a safety net and
given central bankers the confidence to drive interest rates lower without the threat of currency
devaluation. In turn, lower interest rates and the development of a credit culture based on
prudent lending practices can encourage greater consumer activity. This pattern of credit cycle
creation is bearing fruit, but at a different pace in different countries. At present, Thailand
and India appear the two countries most likely to succeed in this strategy; Korea and Singapore
the least likely.
As China continues to open itself up to international trade, it poses both a threat and an
opportunity. Its low cost labour force, combined with lucrative land and tax packages, has
enabled China to offer itself as an attractive location for the manufacturing of low and medium
value-added goods. Many companies have taken advantage of this trend to outsource production to
China and have been rewarded with a lowering of their cost structure. However, this has been to
the detriment of factories and jobs located elsewhere across Asia, and indeed across the world.
Further, China's ability to drive down the cost of manufactured goods has prolonged the Western
consumer boom. However, if China starts to suffer from a gradual increase in inflationary
pressures, the effective export of Chinese deflation could recede. This would have significant
implications for global consumers who have grown used to higher disposable income brought about
by cheap goods exported from China. In this environment, the Trust's investments associated with
China are thus exposed to a rigorous stock selection process.
Underlying these long term Asian structural themes is the fact that the region's markets are
trading at valuations which are not only inexpensive in comparison to their recent history but
which are also cheap when compared to developed markets around the world. Should the large
US-centric investors who fled Asia at the time of the 1997 crisis return to re-evaluate Asian
markets with fresh eyes, they will find a wealth of investment opportunities able to provide
them with secure cashflow at attractive valuations. The Trust is well positioned to
capitalise on such developments.
Tony Cassidy
Chairman
7 October 2003
STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN
for the year ended 31 August 2003 (audited) Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000
Realised net losses on investments - (18,715) (18,715)
Unrealised gains on investments - 55,059 55,059
Currency gains - (288) (288)
Investment income 5,070 - 5,070
Interest receivable 524 - 524
Other income 37 - 37
Investment management fee (1,585) - (1,585)
Administrative expenses (561) - (561)
_______ _______ _______
Net return before finance costs and taxation 3,485 36,056 39,541
Interest payable and similar charges (4,318) - (4,318)
_______ _______ _______
Return on ordinary activities before taxation (833) 36,056 35,223
Taxation (340) - (340)
_______ _______ _______
Return attributable to equity shareholders
after taxation (1,173) 36,056 34,883
_______ _______ _______
Return per ordinary share (0.52p) 15.91p 15.39p
_______ _______ _______
___________________________________________________________________________________
STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN
for the year ended 31 August 2002 (audited) Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000
Realised net losses on investments - (18,167) (18,167)
Unrealised gains on investments - 11,076 11,076
Currency gains - 1,712 1,712
Investment income 4,791 - 4,791
Interest receivable 1,149 - 1,149
Other income 22 - 22
Investment management fee (1,741) - (1,741)
Administrative expenses (507) - (507)
_______ _______ _______
Net return before finance costs and taxation 3,714 (5,379) (1,665)
Interest payable and similar charges (4,659) - (4,659)
_______ _______ _______
Return on ordinary activities before taxation (945) (5,379) (6,324)
Taxation (165) - (165)
_______ _______ _______
Return attributable to equity shareholders (1,110) (5,379) (6,489)
after taxation
_______ _______ _______
Return per ordinary share (0.49p) (2.37p) (2.86p)
___________________________________________________________________________________
BALANCE SHEET (audited)
At 31 August 2003 At 31 August 2002
£000 £000 £000 £000
Fixed assets
Investments 217,669 178,729
Current assets
Debtors 1,731 2,586
US Treasury Bills 33,449 19,326
Cash and short term deposits 2,078 21,106
______ ______
37,258 43,018
Creditors: amounts falling due within
one year. 1,431 1,812
______ ______
Net current assets 35,827 41,206
_______ _______
Total assets less current liabilities 253,496 219,935
Creditors: amounts falling due after
more than one year 59,906 61,228
_______ _______
193,590 158,707
_______ _______
Capital and reserves
Called up share capital 45,325 45,325
Share premium 26 26
Capital redemption reserve 8,752 8,752
Special reserve 85,520 85,520
Warrant reserve 1,047 1,047
Capital reserve - unrealised 45,052 (12,242)
Capital reserve - realised 14,485 35,723
Revenue reserve (6,617) (5,444)
_______ _______
Total equity shareholders'funds 193,590 158,707
_______ _______
Adjusted net asset value per share 85.35p 69.95p
_______ _______
Adjusted diluted net asset value per share 84.22p 69.50p
_______ _______
CASHFLOW STATEMENT (audited)
For the year ended For the year ended
31 August 2003 31 August 2002
£000 £000 £000 £000
Net cash inflow from operating 3,215 3,628
activities
Servicing of finance
Interest paid (4,281) (4,688)
_______ _______
Net cash outflow from servicing of
finance (4,281) (4,688)
Taxation
UK Income tax received less paid - 168
Overseas tax paid (280) (165)
_______ _______
Net tax recovered (280) 3
Financial Investment
Purchase of investments (92,960) (135,734)
Sale of investments 91,042 124,041
_________ _________
Net cash outflow from financial
investment (1,918) (11,693)
_________ _________
Net cash outflow before financing (3,264) (12,750)
Management of liquid resources (15,034) 10,675
_________ _________
Decrease in cash and cash equivalents (18,298) (2,075)
_________ _________
Reconciliation of net cashflow to
movement in net debt
Decrease in cash (18,298) (2,075)
Net change in liquid resources 15,034 (10,675)
_________ _________
Change in net debt resulting from (3,264) (12,750)
cashflows
Amortised Loan Note expenses (31) (31)
Foreign exchange differences (288) 1,712
_________ _________
Movement in net debt in year (3,583) (11,069)
)
Opening net debt (20,796) (9,727)
_________ _________
Closing net debt (24,379) (20,796)
_________ _________
NOTES:
1. The accounts have been prepared in accordance with the Statement of Recommended Practice
'Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies'. The accounts are prepared under
the same accounting policies used for the year to 31 August 2002.
2. The directors propose that no final dividend be paid in respect of the year ended 31
August 2003.
3. The statement of total return, balance sheet and cashflow statement set out above do not
represent full statutory accounts in accordance with Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985.
The financial information for the year ended 31 August 2002 has been extracted from the
Annual Report and Accounts of the company which have been filed with the Registrar of
Companies. The auditors' report on those accounts was unqualified. The statutory accounts
for 2003 contain an unqualified auditors' report and will be delivered to the Registrar of
Companies following the company's Annual General Meeting which will be held at Donaldson
House, 97 Haymarket Terrace, Edinburgh on 8 December 2003 at 11.00am.
4. The Annual Report will be posted to shareholders on 20 October 2003 and copies will be
available from the registered office.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily a guide to the future and that the
value of investments and the income from them may fall as well as rise and may be affected
by exchange rate movements. Investors may not get back the amount they originally invested.
Where investment is made in emerging markets, their potential volatility may increase the
risk to the value of the investment.
For Edinburgh Dragon Trust plc
Edinburgh Fund Managers plc, Secretary