Final Results

6 October 2004 EDINBURGH DRAGON TRUST PLC PRELIMINARY RESULTS FOR THE YEAR TO 31 AUGUST 2004 Edinburgh Dragon Trust's objective is long-term capital growth through investment in the Far East (excluding Japan and Australasia). The Company's benchmark is the MSCI All Country Asia Free (ex Japan) Index. - The Company's NAV fell by 1.4% compared to a fall in its benchmark, MSCI All Country Asia Free ex Japan index, of 1.7%, a modest outperformance of 0.3%. - A number of factors held back the performance of Asian markets during the period, including political uncertainty as many countries held elections and the concern about an economic slowdown in China. - For the next few years economic growth looks set to average 5% p.a. across the region. - The investment manager, Jeremy Whitley, has relocated to Aberdeen Asia equity team based in Singapore providing him with increased Asian resources and the opportunity to conduct company visits more frequently. For further information please contact:- Jeremy Whitley, Investment Manager 0065 6395 2700 Ian Massie, Director - Investment Trusts 0131 313 1000 Chairman's Statement Over the past year Edinburgh Dragon Trust's net asset value has declined by 1.4% from 85.35p to 84.18p. The company's benchmark index, the MSCI All Country Asia Free (ex Japan) index, declined 1.7% in sterling terms. The share price has fallen 3.1%, which reflects a slight widening of the discount at which the shares trade to the adjusted net asset value to 16.8%. In comparison to last year, when the company posted a return of more than 20%, performance this year has been somewhat subdued. The underlying reason for this is Asian stockmarkets have struggled over the past few months; indeed, a number of markets have had significant corrections. The best returns have come from the smaller, less liquid markets of the region such as Sri Lanka, Pakistan and the Philippines. Thailand, on the other hand, which was one of the best performing stockmarkets in the world during 2003, has been one of the worst performing this year, falling nearly 20%. Another market which had done well in 2003 only to disappoint this year has been India, which has failed to recover following the surprise election result in May. The three largest markets, Korea, Hong Kong and Taiwan, which together account for almost two thirds of the region's market capitalisation, were flat, moving only 0.7%, -0.5% and 3.6% respectively. There have been a number of factors holding the Asian markets back. Politics has played a particularly important and, at times, destabilising role on markets this year as over one billion Asians have voted in countries ranging from India to Indonesia. Whilst the election results in Malaysia, the Philippines and Indonesia were as expected, events took a surprising turn in both Taiwan and India. The other main factor weighing on markets has been the threat of an economic slowdown in China where inflationary pressures, caused to a large extent by sharply higher food prices, have been building up over the past few months. Investors have been concerned that the People's Bank of China will be forced to raise rates sharply in an effort to subdue demand. Even though the company has limited exposure to China (9.7%) through a few Hong Kong listed companies, the situation is being closely monitored. A sharp slowdown in China would have a negative impact on regional trade. Borrowings The Board regularly reviews the borrowing facilities of the company. As reported in the interim report on 20 February 2004 the company repaid the U$15m 7.56% loan from JP Morgan Chase Bank. The prepayment penalty amounted to £1.1m, equivalent to 0.5p per share. For many years the Board has approved a strategy whereby the manager has discretion to operate the portfolio with effective gearing up to 20% of shareholder funds. The Board continues to believe that in current market conditions the remaining U$80m 7.26% loan, repayable in December 2008, provides the manager with an adequate gearing facility. Revenue account Gross revenue increased from £5.6 million to £6.6 million, due principally to increased yields on equities being received. The interest costs of the company fell significantly due to the repayment of the $15 million loan. The net result is that the revenue return per share has improved from a revenue deficit of 0.52p to a positive return of 0.04p, the first positive revenue return since 1998. The principal objective of the company is capital appreciation and therefore it is again proposed that no dividend be paid. Management agreement Our manager, Edinburgh Fund Managers plc, was acquired by Aberdeen Asset Management PLC in October 2003. Following a review of the management agreement, the company announced on 12 November 2003 that it had agreed with Edinburgh Fund Managers plc to change the period of notice required in order to terminate the Management and Secretarial Agreement from twelve months to three months. No compensation was payable in respect of these amendments. Continuation vote As reported in the February interim statement, shareholders voted in favour of continuation as an investment trust at the Annual General Meeting in December 2003. The next continuation vote is scheduled to take place at the Annual General Meeting in December 2006. The Board During the year Adam Fleming resigned from the Board due to other business commitments. The Board wishes to place on record his much valued contribution and we wish him well for the future. On 4 October 2004, the Board announced the appointment of Anthony Lowrie as a non-executive director. Mr Lowrie has been involved in Asian investment for over 30 years, originally with Hoare Govett, subsequently with HG Asia and is currently a managing director in ABN Amro Bank. Shareholders will be asked to confirm his appointment at the annual general meeting. The investment manager Within this generally favourable environment, the investment strategy endorsed by the Board encourages the manager to focus on the quality of company management, the consistency of company earnings and the ability of companies to achieve their potential within the right corporate governance framework with due regard to the rights of minority shareholders. This requires a rigorous and disciplined investment process combined with the ability to interview senior company management at regular intervals. The attachment of your investment manager, Jeremy Whitley, to the Aberdeen Asia equity team located in Singapore, has not only increased the Asian resources available to him but will also enable him to develop his in-market knowledge and conduct target company visits more frequently. Outlook Over the past few years the changes forced on companies by the impact of the Asian crisis in terms of better corporate governance and the need to focus on profitable core operations and balance sheet restructuring have led to an improvement in the long term prospects for Asia. As the capital expenditure cycle returns to Asia and demand for bank lending picks up, the improvement in bank lending policy should result in less volatile credit cycles. This would provide a better operating environment for many Asian companies. For the next few years economic growth looks set to average 5% per annum around the region. The main challenge facing Asia remains to develop and foster domestic demand rather than relying on exporting cheap manufactured goods to the West. Asia's core competitive advantages have historically been its structurally low cost labour base and abundance of raw materials. These benefits will remain but need to be augmented by higher value-added products and services over the course of the next decade. The foundations are already in place. Many Western companies now employ Indian software programmers, Chinese sub-contractors, Taiwanese chip foundries and Singaporean logistical operators. In the future, these sectors will grow and take a greater share of globally outsourced services which will generate further jobs and profits. Potentially, this will create an even larger middle class with increased discretionary purchasing power, overall leading to a positive business growth environment. Tony Cassidy Chairman STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN for the year ended 31 August 2004 (audited) Revenue Capital Total £000 £000 £000 Realised gains/(losses) on investments - 14,402 14,402 Unrealised (losses)/gains on investments - (17,267) (17,267) Currency gain on repayment of currency loan - 1,237 1,237 Repayment penalty on currency loan - (1,105) (1,105) Currency gains/(losses) - 33 33 Investment income 6,198 - 6,198 Interest receivable 266 - 266 Other income 166 - 166 Investment management fee (1,970) - (1,970) Administrative expenses (674) - (674) ______ ______ ______ Net return before finance costs and taxation 3,986 (2,700) 1,286 Interest payable and similar charges (3,493) - (3,493) ______ ______ ______ Return on ordinary activities before taxation 493 (2,700) (2,207) Taxation on ordinary activities (415) (40) (455) ______ ______ ______ Return attributable to equity shareholders 78 (2,740) (2,662) after taxation ______ ______ ______ Return per ordinary share 0.04p (1.21p) (1.17p) ______ ______ ______ ________________________________________________________________________________________ STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN for the year ended 31 August 2003 (audited) Revenue Capital Total £000 £000 £000 Realised gains/(losses) on investments - (18,715) (18,715) Unrealised gains/(losses) on - 55,059 55,059 investments Currency gains/(losses) - (288) (288) Investment income 5,070 - 5,070 Interest receivable 524 - 524 Other income 37 - 37 Investment management fee (1,585) - (1,585) Administrative expenses (561) - (561) ________ ________ ________ Net return before finance costs and 3,485 36,056 39,541 taxation Interest payable and similar charges (4,318) - (4,318) ________ ________ ________ Return on ordinary activities before (833) 36,056 35,223 taxation Taxation on ordinary activities (340) - (340) ________ ________ ________ Return attributable to equity (1,173) 36,056 34,883 shareholders after taxation ________ ________ ________ Return per ordinary share (0.52p) 15.91p 15.39p ________ ________ ________ ________________________________________________________________________________________ BALANCE SHEET (audited) At 31 August At 31 August 2004 2003 £000 £000 £000 £000 Fixed assets Investments 199,463 217,669 Current assets Debtors 610 1,731 US Treasury Bills 31,028 33,449 Cash - foreign currency 5,850 2,078 _______ _______ 37,488 37,258 Creditors: amounts falling due within one year 1,591 1,431 _______ _______ Net current assets 35,897 35,827 _______ _______ Total assets less current 235,360 253,496 liabilities Creditors: amounts falling due after more than one year 44,347 59,906 _______ _______ 191,013 193,590 _______ _______ Capital and reserves Share capital 45,354 45,325 Share premium 81 26 Capital redemption reserve 8,752 8,752 Special reserve 85,520 85,520 Warrant reserve 1,047 1,047 Capital reserve - unrealised 33,933 45,052 Capital reserve - realised 22,865 14,485 Revenue reserve (6,539) (6,617) _______ _______ Total equity shareholders' funds 191,013 193,590 _______ _______ Adjusted net asset value per share 84.18p 85.35p _______ _______ CASHFLOW STATEMENT (audited) For the year For the year ended ended 31 August 31 August 2004 2003 £000 £000 £000 £000 Net cash inflow from operating 4,386 3,215 activities Servicing of finance Interest paid (3,761) (4,281) _______ _______ Net cash outflow from servicing of (3,761) (4,281) finance Taxation Overseas tax paid (475) (280) _______ _______ Net tax paid (475) (280) Financial Investment Purchase of investments (59,713) (92,961) Sale of investments 76,255 91,043 _______ _______ Net cash inflow/(outflow) from 16,542 (1,918) financial investment ________ ________ Net cash inflow/(outflow) before 16,692 (3,264) financing Net cash outflow from financing (9,016) - Management of liquid resources (2,368) (15,034) ______ _______ Increase/(decrease) in cash and cash 5,308 (18,298) equivalents ______ _______ Reconciliation of net cashflow to movement in net debt Increase/(decrease) in cash 5,308 (18,298) Net change in liquid resources 2,368 15,034 _______ _______ Change in net debt resulting from 7,676 (3,264) cashflows Amortised Loan Note expenses (31) (31) Loan Repayment 7,995 - Foreign exchange differences on loan 1,237 (288) repayments Other foreign exchange differences 33 - ______ ______ Movement in net debt in year 16,910 (3,583) Opening net debt (24,379) (20,796) ________ ________ Closing net debt (7,469) (24,379) ________ ________ NOTES: 1. The accounts have been prepared in accordance with the Statement of Recommended Practice 'Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies'. The accounts are prepared under the same accounting policies used for the year to 31 August 2003. 2. The directors propose that no final dividend be paid in respect of the year ended 31 August 2004. 3. The statement of total return, balance sheet and cashflow statement set out above do not represent full statutory accounts in accordance with Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. The financial information for the year ended 31 August 2003 has been extracted from the Annual Report and Accounts of the company which have been filed with the Registrar of Companies. The auditors' report on those accounts was unqualified. The statutory accounts for 2004 contain an unqualified auditors' report and will be delivered to the Registrar of Companies following the company's Annual General Meeting which will be held at Donaldson House, 97 Haymarket Terrace, Edinburgh on 13 December 2004 at 11.00am. 4. The Annual Report will be posted to shareholders in early November 2004 and copies will be available from the registered office. Please note that past performance is not necessarily a guide to the future and that the value of investments and the income from them may fall as well as rise and may be affected by exchange rate movements. Investors may not get back the amount they originally invested. Where investment is made in emerging markets, their potential volatility may increase the risk to the value of the investment. For Edinburgh Dragon Trust plc Edinburgh Fund Managers plc, Secretary END
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