Final Results
6 October 2004
EDINBURGH DRAGON TRUST PLC
PRELIMINARY RESULTS FOR THE YEAR TO 31 AUGUST 2004
Edinburgh Dragon Trust's objective is long-term capital growth through
investment in the Far East (excluding Japan and Australasia). The Company's
benchmark is the MSCI All Country Asia Free (ex Japan) Index.
- The Company's NAV fell by 1.4% compared to a fall in its benchmark, MSCI
All Country Asia Free ex Japan index, of 1.7%, a modest outperformance of 0.3%.
- A number of factors held back the performance of Asian markets during the
period, including political uncertainty as many countries held elections and the
concern about an economic slowdown in China.
- For the next few years economic growth looks set to average 5% p.a. across
the region.
- The investment manager, Jeremy Whitley, has relocated to Aberdeen Asia
equity team based in Singapore providing him with increased Asian resources and
the opportunity to conduct company visits more frequently.
For further information please contact:-
Jeremy Whitley, Investment Manager 0065 6395 2700
Ian Massie, Director - Investment Trusts 0131 313 1000
Chairman's Statement
Over the past year Edinburgh Dragon Trust's net asset value has declined by 1.4%
from 85.35p to 84.18p. The company's benchmark index, the MSCI All Country Asia
Free (ex Japan) index, declined 1.7% in sterling terms. The share price has
fallen 3.1%, which reflects a slight widening of the discount at which the
shares trade to the adjusted net asset value to 16.8%.
In comparison to last year, when the company posted a return of more than 20%,
performance this year has been somewhat subdued. The underlying reason for this
is Asian stockmarkets have struggled over the past few months; indeed, a number
of markets have had significant corrections. The best returns have come from the
smaller, less liquid markets of the region such as Sri Lanka, Pakistan and the
Philippines.
Thailand, on the other hand, which was one of the best performing stockmarkets
in the world during 2003, has been one of the worst performing this year,
falling nearly 20%. Another market which had done well in 2003 only to
disappoint this year has been India, which has failed to recover following the
surprise election result in May. The three largest markets, Korea, Hong Kong and
Taiwan, which together account for almost two thirds of the region's market
capitalisation, were flat, moving only 0.7%, -0.5% and 3.6% respectively.
There have been a number of factors holding the Asian markets back. Politics has
played a particularly important and, at times, destabilising role on markets
this year as over one billion Asians have voted in countries ranging from India
to Indonesia. Whilst the election results in Malaysia, the Philippines and
Indonesia were as expected, events took a surprising turn in both Taiwan and
India.
The other main factor weighing on markets has been the threat of an economic
slowdown in China where inflationary pressures, caused to a large extent by
sharply higher food prices, have been building up over the past few months.
Investors have been concerned that the People's Bank of China will be forced to
raise rates sharply in an effort to subdue demand. Even though the company has
limited exposure to China (9.7%) through a few Hong Kong listed companies, the
situation is being closely monitored. A sharp slowdown in China would have a
negative impact on regional trade.
Borrowings
The Board regularly reviews the borrowing facilities of the company. As reported
in the interim report on 20 February 2004 the company repaid the U$15m 7.56%
loan from JP Morgan Chase Bank. The prepayment penalty amounted to £1.1m,
equivalent to 0.5p per share. For many years the Board has approved a strategy
whereby the manager has discretion to operate the portfolio with effective
gearing up to 20% of shareholder funds. The Board continues to believe that in
current market conditions the remaining U$80m 7.26% loan, repayable in December
2008, provides the manager with an adequate gearing facility.
Revenue account
Gross revenue increased from £5.6 million to £6.6 million, due principally to
increased yields on equities being received. The interest costs of the company
fell significantly due to the repayment of the $15 million loan. The net result
is that the revenue return per share has improved from a revenue deficit of
0.52p to a positive return of 0.04p, the first positive revenue return since
1998.
The principal objective of the company is capital appreciation and therefore it
is again proposed that no dividend be paid.
Management agreement
Our manager, Edinburgh Fund Managers plc, was acquired by Aberdeen Asset
Management PLC in October 2003.
Following a review of the management agreement, the company announced on 12
November 2003 that it had agreed with Edinburgh Fund Managers plc to change the
period of notice required in order to terminate the Management and Secretarial
Agreement from twelve months to three months. No compensation was payable in
respect of these amendments.
Continuation vote
As reported in the February interim statement, shareholders voted in favour of
continuation as an investment trust at the Annual General Meeting in December
2003. The next continuation vote is scheduled to take place at the Annual
General Meeting in December 2006.
The Board
During the year Adam Fleming resigned from the Board due to other business
commitments. The Board wishes to place on record his much valued contribution
and we wish him well for the future.
On 4 October 2004, the Board announced the appointment of Anthony Lowrie as a
non-executive director. Mr Lowrie has been involved in Asian investment for
over 30 years, originally with Hoare Govett, subsequently with HG Asia and is
currently a managing director in ABN Amro Bank. Shareholders will be asked to
confirm his appointment at the annual general meeting.
The investment manager
Within this generally favourable environment, the investment strategy endorsed
by the Board encourages the manager to focus on the quality of company
management, the consistency of company earnings and the ability of companies to
achieve their potential within the right corporate governance framework with due
regard to the rights of minority shareholders. This requires a rigorous and
disciplined investment process combined with the ability to interview senior
company management at regular intervals. The attachment of your investment
manager, Jeremy Whitley, to the Aberdeen Asia equity team located in Singapore,
has not only increased the Asian resources available to him but will also enable
him to develop his in-market knowledge and conduct target company visits more
frequently.
Outlook
Over the past few years the changes forced on companies by the impact of the
Asian crisis in terms of better corporate governance and the need to focus on
profitable core operations and balance sheet restructuring have led to an
improvement in the long term prospects for Asia. As the capital expenditure
cycle returns to Asia and demand for bank lending picks up, the improvement in
bank lending policy should result in less volatile credit cycles. This would
provide a better operating environment for many Asian companies.
For the next few years economic growth looks set to average 5% per annum around
the region. The main challenge facing Asia remains to develop and foster
domestic demand rather than relying on exporting cheap manufactured goods to the
West. Asia's core competitive advantages have historically been its structurally
low cost labour base and abundance of raw materials. These benefits will remain
but need to be augmented by higher value-added products and services over the
course of the next decade. The foundations are already in place. Many Western
companies now employ Indian software programmers, Chinese sub-contractors,
Taiwanese chip foundries and Singaporean logistical operators. In the future,
these sectors will grow and take a greater share of globally outsourced services
which will generate further jobs and profits. Potentially, this will create an
even larger middle class with increased discretionary purchasing power, overall
leading to a positive business growth environment.
Tony Cassidy
Chairman
STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN
for the year ended 31 August 2004 (audited)
Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000
Realised gains/(losses) on investments - 14,402 14,402
Unrealised (losses)/gains on investments - (17,267) (17,267)
Currency gain on repayment of currency loan - 1,237 1,237
Repayment penalty on currency loan - (1,105) (1,105)
Currency gains/(losses) - 33 33
Investment income 6,198 - 6,198
Interest receivable 266 - 266
Other income 166 - 166
Investment management fee (1,970) - (1,970)
Administrative expenses (674) - (674)
______ ______ ______
Net return before finance costs and taxation 3,986 (2,700) 1,286
Interest payable and similar charges (3,493) - (3,493)
______ ______ ______
Return on ordinary activities before taxation 493 (2,700) (2,207)
Taxation on ordinary activities (415) (40) (455)
______ ______ ______
Return attributable to equity shareholders 78 (2,740) (2,662)
after taxation
______ ______ ______
Return per ordinary share 0.04p (1.21p) (1.17p)
______ ______ ______
________________________________________________________________________________________
STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN
for the year ended 31 August 2003 (audited)
Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000
Realised gains/(losses) on investments - (18,715) (18,715)
Unrealised gains/(losses) on - 55,059 55,059
investments
Currency gains/(losses) - (288) (288)
Investment income 5,070 - 5,070
Interest receivable 524 - 524
Other income 37 - 37
Investment management fee (1,585) - (1,585)
Administrative expenses (561) - (561)
________ ________ ________
Net return before finance costs and 3,485 36,056 39,541
taxation
Interest payable and similar charges (4,318) - (4,318)
________ ________ ________
Return on ordinary activities before (833) 36,056 35,223
taxation
Taxation on ordinary activities (340) - (340)
________ ________ ________
Return attributable to equity (1,173) 36,056 34,883
shareholders after taxation
________ ________ ________
Return per ordinary share (0.52p) 15.91p 15.39p
________ ________ ________
________________________________________________________________________________________
BALANCE SHEET (audited)
At 31 August At 31 August
2004 2003
£000 £000 £000 £000
Fixed assets
Investments 199,463 217,669
Current assets
Debtors 610 1,731
US Treasury Bills 31,028 33,449
Cash - foreign currency 5,850 2,078
_______ _______
37,488 37,258
Creditors: amounts falling due
within one year 1,591 1,431
_______ _______
Net current assets 35,897 35,827
_______ _______
Total assets less current 235,360 253,496
liabilities
Creditors: amounts falling due
after more than one year 44,347 59,906
_______ _______
191,013 193,590
_______ _______
Capital and reserves
Share capital 45,354 45,325
Share premium 81 26
Capital redemption reserve 8,752 8,752
Special reserve 85,520 85,520
Warrant reserve 1,047 1,047
Capital reserve - unrealised 33,933 45,052
Capital reserve - realised 22,865 14,485
Revenue reserve (6,539) (6,617)
_______ _______
Total equity shareholders' funds 191,013 193,590
_______ _______
Adjusted net asset value per share 84.18p 85.35p
_______ _______
CASHFLOW STATEMENT (audited)
For the year For the year
ended ended
31 August 31 August
2004 2003
£000 £000 £000 £000
Net cash inflow from operating 4,386 3,215
activities
Servicing of finance
Interest paid (3,761) (4,281)
_______ _______
Net cash outflow from servicing of (3,761) (4,281)
finance
Taxation
Overseas tax paid (475) (280)
_______ _______
Net tax paid (475) (280)
Financial Investment
Purchase of investments (59,713) (92,961)
Sale of investments 76,255 91,043
_______ _______
Net cash inflow/(outflow) from 16,542 (1,918)
financial investment ________ ________
Net cash inflow/(outflow) before 16,692 (3,264)
financing
Net cash outflow from financing (9,016) -
Management of liquid resources (2,368) (15,034)
______ _______
Increase/(decrease) in cash and cash 5,308 (18,298)
equivalents ______ _______
Reconciliation of net cashflow to
movement in net debt
Increase/(decrease) in cash 5,308 (18,298)
Net change in liquid resources 2,368 15,034
_______ _______
Change in net debt resulting from 7,676 (3,264)
cashflows
Amortised Loan Note expenses (31) (31)
Loan Repayment 7,995 -
Foreign exchange differences on loan 1,237 (288)
repayments
Other foreign exchange differences 33 -
______ ______
Movement in net debt in year 16,910 (3,583)
Opening net debt (24,379) (20,796)
________ ________
Closing net debt (7,469) (24,379)
________ ________
NOTES:
1. The accounts have been prepared in accordance with the Statement of
Recommended Practice 'Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies'.
The accounts are prepared under the same accounting policies used for the
year to 31 August 2003.
2. The directors propose that no final dividend be paid in respect of the year
ended 31 August 2004.
3. The statement of total return, balance sheet and cashflow statement set out
above do not represent full statutory accounts in accordance with Section
240 of the Companies Act 1985. The financial information for the year ended
31 August 2003 has been extracted from the Annual Report and Accounts of the
company which have been filed with the Registrar of Companies. The auditors'
report on those accounts was unqualified. The statutory accounts for 2004
contain an unqualified auditors' report and will be delivered to the
Registrar of Companies following the company's Annual General Meeting which
will be held at Donaldson House, 97 Haymarket Terrace, Edinburgh on 13
December 2004 at 11.00am.
4. The Annual Report will be posted to shareholders in early November 2004 and
copies will be available from the registered office.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily a guide to the future and
that the value of investments and the income from them may fall as well as rise
and may be affected by exchange rate movements. Investors may not get back the
amount they originally invested. Where investment is made in emerging markets,
their potential volatility may increase the risk to the value of the investment.
For Edinburgh Dragon Trust plc
Edinburgh Fund Managers plc, Secretary
END