Final Results
Edinburgh Dragon Trust plc
13 October 2006
13 October 2006
EDINBURGH DRAGON TRUST PLC
PRELIMINARY RESULTS FOR THE YEAR TO 31 AUGUST 2006
Edinburgh Dragon Trust's objective is long-term capital growth through
investment in the Far East (excluding Japan and Australasia). The Company's
benchmark is the MSCI All Country Asia (ex Japan) Index.
• Company's net asset value rose 16.9% (on a total return basis) to
127.06p, which is the highest year end NAV in last 10 years.
• Asian company fundamentals remain attractive.
• Dragon is the largest investment trust specialising in the Asian (ex
Japan) sector.
For further information please contact:-
Jeremy Whitley, Investment Manager 0065 6395 2700
Ian Massie, Director - Investment Trusts 0131 313 1000
Edinburgh Dragon Trust Plc
Chairman's Statement 31 August 2006
Background
I am pleased to report that your Company delivered a good performance for the
year to 31 August 2006, despite entering a volatile period for global stock
markets amid heightened concerns over interest rates and economic growth. Over
the year, your Company's net asset value rose 16.9% on a total return basis,
compared to an 18.6% rise in the benchmark MSCI All Country Asia (ex Japan)
Index. The underperformance against the benchmark was largely attributable to
stock selection in India, which is covered in more detail in the investment
manager's review. The share price rose 16.0% to 117.75p, reflecting a slight
widening of the discount from 6.6% to 7.3%.
Overview
It was a rewarding year for investors in Asian stocks, which made strong
advances despite rising interest rates, persistently high commodity prices and
increased geopolitical risks. Several markets rallied to new highs, but then in
May succumbed to a broad-based correction on fresh worries about increasing
inflationary pressures and their potentially negative impact on US economic
growth. Nonetheless, the sell-off proved short-lived, with markets recovering
most of their losses by the end of the period. Overall, Indonesia, India, South
Korea and the Philippines were the top performers, whilst deteriorating
political environments caused Taiwan, Thailand and Malaysia to lag.
The region's economic performance over the year has been equally impressive.
Save for a few disappointments such as in Hong Kong, where inflation caused the
economy to slow unexpectedly in the second quarter of 2006, growth in the region
has generally exceeded expectations. Intra-regional trade has been a key driver,
with China's consumption boom mitigating the effects of a slowdown in the US.
Firm demand for Asia's exports has, in turn, fed into higher investment spending
and spurred growth not only in manufacturing, but also in peripheral industries,
such as resources and services. India, meanwhile, has benefitted from both
internal growth and external trade. The country's rise as an outsourcing hub has
attracted significant foreign investments, while domestic consumption continued
to increase in tandem with incomes.
A persistent rise in the price of oil threatened to hinder growth, but Asia
proved resilient once again. The oil price impact was buffered by stronger
currencies and price controls on staple goods, which cushioned the pinch of
falling fuel subsidies. Monetary authorities have also been adroit in responding
to heightened inflationary expectations, hiking interest rates in step with the
rest of the world. Even China, which kept rates steady throughout 2005, raised
its benchmark lending rate in April. In contrast, Indonesia was the only country
to cut rates in a bid to stimulate growth after inflation showed signs of
easing.
On the corporate front, the benefits of past reforms such as paying down
corporate debt and controlling capital expenditure have translated into stronger
balance sheets and healthier earnings. Encouragingly, the resultant growth surge
in cash flow is no longer being directed towards non-productive investments or
diversification, but is being distributed to shareholders in the form of higher
dividends.
On a less optimistic note, elections in the region highlighted a more fractious
political landscape. In Thailand, Prime Minister Thaksin's attempt to silence
the furore over his asset sale of Shin Corporation which netted him US$1.9bn tax
free earlier this year, backfired when opposition parties boycotted a snap
election. This left the government in paralysis until late September, when a
seemingly peaceful military coup took place with apparent royal assent. We await
further clarification as events unfold but it seems likely the caretaker
government will announce elections some time in the second half of 2007. In
South Korea, the dominant Uri party unexpectedly lost its majority in the local
elections, while Taiwan president Chen Shui-bian narrowly avoided a
parliamentary vote to unseat him, amid allegations of corruption. Malaysia, too,
has been beset by political infighting with the current administration being
strongly criticised by a predecessor.
Gearing
Net gearing at the end of the period was 9.9%, compared to 9.8% at the end of
the previous year. The Board regularly reviews the borrowing facilities of the
Company, and its strategy, whereby the manager has discretion to operate the
portfolio with effective gearing up to 20% of shareholder funds, has been
maintained.
Revenue Account
The revenue return per share showed a positive return of 1.41p per ordinary
share, compared to a return of 1.50p in the previous year.
The increased revenue returns over recent years have now resulted in the revenue
reserve showing a small surplus of 0.1228p per ordinary share which will be
distributed for this year. Capital appreciation remains the principal
objective of the Company.
Board
We are delighted to welcome to the Board Allan McKenzie, who was appointed a
non-executive director on 1 September 2006. Allan has over 30 years' experience
of the fund management industry and is currently a managing director and chief
operating officer at Blackrock International Limited. Between 1972 and 1991 he
was actively involved in fund management, specialising in Asian equity markets.
Since 1991 his role has been in marketing and client relationship management at
both Scottish Widows Investment Management and Blackrock International Limited.
Shareholders will, in the usual way, be asked to confirm his appointment at the
annual general meeting.
Outlook
While the backdrop for the Asian region itself is benign, global factors are
more disturbing, and we saw these impact both Asian and global markets during
May. Price pressures both in terms of energy and raw material costs as well as
labour and associated costs appear to be increasing, triggering synchronous
central bank tightening, at a time when other key indicators, chiefly US
housing, are weakening.
Despite this, Asian stock markets have recovered most of their recent falls.
More positively, fundamentals remain attractive, certainly on a relative basis,
and foreign interest remains supportive. It would also appear there are now more
long-term institutional investors in the region, and these can only provide more
stability.
The key question now is how far the global earnings cycle has run, and whether
in Asia there are structural factors that will compensate for any slackening in
growth. We consider that the portfolio is less exposed to export and other
industries more sensitive to international trade, and this provides some
defensiveness. In addition, the company's portfolio has a calendar 2006 price
earnings ratio of 15.2 times, falling to around 14.1 times calendar 2007
earnings, assuming the manager's conservative earnings forecasts of high single
digits are attained. Furthermore, the portfolio consists of companies with
strong balance sheets, and operations generating sustainable cashflow, which
should result in further increases in dividend payments.
Overall, therefore, I believe the portfolio is well positioned to face what may
prove to be a more challenging period ahead.
Annual general meeting
Edinburgh Dragon Trust is the largest investment trust specialising in the Asian
(ex Japan) sector. The Dragon board believes that the Trust offers investors a
broad and marketable exposure to Asian equity markets, many of which continue to
provide attractive long-term investment opportunities in the region. As
shareholders will be aware, they are given the opportunity to vote on the
continuation of the company every three years. The directors believe that the
prospects for Asian markets remain positive and the Company is managed by one of
the leading managers of that region. Your Board strongly recommends that
shareholders vote in favour of the resolution.
Tony Cassidy
Chairman
INCOME STATEMENT (audited)
Year ended 31 August 2006
Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Realised gains on investments - 34,810 34,810
Unrealised gains on investments - 3,142 3,142
Currency gains - 2,168 2,168
Income 11,088 - 11,088
Investment management fee (2,981) - (2,981)
Administration expenses (915) - (915)
________ ________ ________
Net return on ordinary activities before interest payable and taxation 7,192 40,120 47,312
Interest payable and similar charges (3,258) - (3,258)
________ ________ ________
Return on ordinary activities before taxation 3,934 40,120 44,054
Taxation on ordinary activities (595) - (595)
________ ________ ________
Return on ordinary activities after taxation 3,339 40,120 43,459
________ ________ ________
Return per share (pence) 1.41 16.91 18.32
________ ________ ________
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Year ended 31 August 2005
(restated)
Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Realised gains on investments - 20,995 20,995
Unrealised gains on investments - 37,750 37,750
Currency losses - (897) (897)
Income 10,059 - 10,059
Investment management fee (2,298) - (2,298)
Administration expenses (733) - (733)
________ ________ ________
Net return on ordinary activities before interest payable and taxation 7,028 57,848 64,876
Interest payable and similar charges (3,130) - (3,130)
________ ________ ________
Return on ordinary activities before taxation 3,898 57,848 61,746
Taxation on ordinary activities (407) - (407)
________ ________ ________
Return on ordinary activities after taxation 3,491 57,848 61,339
________ ________ ________
Return per share (pence) 1.50 24.87 26.37
________ ________ ________
The total column of this statement represents the profit and loss account of the
Company.
The financial statements for the year to 31 August 2005 have been restated to
reflect the change to accounting practices as set out in the accompanying notes.
All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing
operations.
No operations were acquired or discontinued in the year.
A Statement of Total Recognised Gains and Losses has not been prepared as all
gains and losses are recognised in the Income Statement.
BALANCE SHEET (audited)
As at As at
31 August 2006 31 August 2005
(restated)
£'000 £'000
Non-current assets
Investments at fair value through profit or loss 331,252 283,456
__________ __________
Current assets
Debtors and prepayments 1,531 812
Cash and short term deposits 12,194 19,770
__________ __________
13,725 20,582
__________ __________
Creditors
Amounts falling due within one year (1,428) (1,556)
__________ __________
Net current assets 12,297 19,026
__________ __________
Total assets less current liabilities 343,549 302,482
Creditors: amounts falling due after more than one year
Amounts falling due after more than one year (41,996) (44,388)
__________ __________
Net assets 301,553 258,094
__________ __________
Capital and reserves
Called-up share capital 47,455 47,455
Capital reserve - unrealised 76,050 70,485
Capital reserve - realised 79,200 43,598
Special reserve 85,520 85,520
Capital redemption reserve 8,752 8,752
Share premium account 4,285 4,285
Warrant reserve - 1,047
Revenue reserve 291 (3,048)
__________ __________
Shareholders' funds 301,553 258,094
__________ __________
Net asset value per share (pence) 127.06 108.73
__________ __________
RECONCILIATION OF MOVEMENTS IN SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS (audited)
For the year ended 31 August 2006
Capital Capital Capital Share
Share reserve reserve Special redemption premium Warrant Revenue
capital unrealised realised reserve reserve reserve reserve reserve Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Balance at 31 August 2005 47,455 71,285 43,598 85,520 8,752 4,285 1,047 (3,048) 258,894
as originally reported
Restatements - (800) - - - - - - (800)
______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______
Balance at 31 August 2005 47,455 70,485 43,598 85,520 8,752 4,285 1,047 (3,048) 258,094
(restated)
Transfer of warrant - - 1,047 - - - - - -
reserve
Return on ordinary - 5,565 34,555 - - - (1,047) 3,339 43,459
activities after taxation
______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______
Balance at 31 August 2006 47,455 76,050 79,200 85,520 8,752 4,285 - 291 301,553
______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______
For the year ended 31 Capital Capital Capital Share
August 2005
Share reserve reserve Special redemption premium Warrant Revenue
capital - - reserve reserve account reserve reserve Total
unrealised realised
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Balance at 31 August 2004 45,354 33,933 22,865 85,520 8,752 81 1,047 (6,539) 191,013
as originally reported
Restatements - (563) - - - - - - (563)
______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______
Balance at 31 August 2004 45,354 33,370 22,865 85,520 8,752 81 1,047 (6,539) 190,450
(restated)
Return on ordinary - 37,115 20,733 - - - - 3,491 61,339
activities after taxation
Exercising of Warrants 2,101 - - - - 4,204 - - 6,305
______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______
Balance at 31 August 2005 47,455 70,485 43,598 85,520 8,752 4,285 1,047 (3,048) 258,094
(restated)
______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______
CASHFLOW STATEMENT (audited)
Year ended Year ended
31 August 2006 31 August 2005
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Net cash inflow from operating activities 7,153 6,979
Servicing of finance
Interest paid (3,251) (3,099)
Taxation
Overseas tax paid (603) (467)
Financial investment
Purchases of investments (82,231) (145,430)
Sales of investments 71,611 119,491
_______ _______
Net cash outflow from financial investment (10,620) (25,939)
_______ _______
Net cash outflow before financing (7,321) (22,526)
Net cash inflow from financing - 6,305
Management of liquid resources - 30,425
_______ _______
(Decrease)/increase in cash (7,321) 14,204
_______ _______
Reconciliation of net cash flow to movements in net debt
(Decrease)/increase in cash as above (7,321) 14,204
Net change in liquid resources - (30,425)
_______ _______
Change in net debt resulting from cash flows (7,321) (16,221)
Amortised Loan Note expenses (31) (31)
Foreign exchange differences 2,168 (897)
_______ _______
Movement in net debt in the year (5,184) (17,149)
Net debt at 1 September (24,618) (7,469)
_______ _______
Net debt at 31 August (29,802) (24,618)
_______ _______
NOTES:
1. Accounting policies
(a) Basis of preparation and going concern
The financial statements have been prepared under the
historical cost convention as modified to include the revaluation of investments
and in accordance with applicable UK Accounting Standards and with the Statement
of Recommended Practice 'Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies'
(issued January 2003 and revised in December 2005). They have also been
prepared on the assumption that approval as an investment trust will continue to
be granted. The financial statements have been prepared on a going concern
basis.
The financial statements, and the net asset value per share
figures, have been prepared in accordance with UK Generally Accepted Accounting
Practice ('UK GAAP'). The new Financial Reporting Standards, issued as part of
the programme to converge UK GAAP with International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS), were applicable for the accounting period ended 31 August 2006
and the financial statements for the twelve months ended 31 August 2005 have
also been restated. The main change arising from these revisions to UK GAAP, in
relation to the Company's financial statements, is the recognition of
investments at fair value, which for listed investments is deemed to be bid
market prices. Previously investments were valued at mid market prices.
(b) Investments
Listed investments have been designated upon initial
recognition at fair value through profit or loss. Investments are recognised
and derecognised on the trade date where a purchase or sale is under a contract
whose terms require delivery within the timeframe established by the market
concerned and are initially measured at fair value. Transaction costs on
purchases and sales are taken through the Income Statement as part of the cost
or sales consideration, dealt within the capital column. Subsequent to initial
recognition, investments are valued at fair value. For listed investments, this
is deemed to be bid market prices. Gains and losses arising from changes in
fair value are included in net profit or loss for the period as a capital item
in the Income Statement and are ultimately recognised in the capital reserve -
unrealised.
(c) Income
Dividends (other than special dividends), net of taxes deducted
as sources, are included in revenue by reference to the date on which the
investment is quoted ex-dividend. Special dividends are reviewed on a
case-by-case basis and may be credited to capital, if circumstances dictate.
Dividends receivable on equity shares where no ex-dividend date is quoted are
brought into account when the Company's right to receive payment is established.
Where the Company has elected to receive its dividends in the form of
additional shares rather than cash, the amount of the cash dividend is
recognised as income. Any excess in the value of the shares received over the
amount of the cash dividend is recognised in capital reserves. Interest
receivable on bank balances is dealt with on an accruals basis.
(d) Expenses
All of the expenses are accounted for on an accruals basis.
Loan interest is accountable on an effective interest rate basis. Both are
chargeable to revenue. Transaction costs incurred on the purchase and disposal
of investments are recognised as a capital item in the Income Statement.
(e) Loan Notes
Loan noted are translated at the rate of exchange ruling on the
Balance sheet date and include unamortized issue expenses. Issue expenses are
amortised evenly over the life of the Loan Notes.
(f) Taxation
The charge for taxation is based on the revenue return for the
year.
Deferred tax
Deferred taxation is recognised in respect of all timing
differences that have originated but not reversed at the balance sheet date
where transactions or events that result in an obligation to pay more or a right
to pay less tax in future have occurred at the balance sheet date measured on an
undiscounted basis and based on enacted tax rates. This is subject to deferred
tax assets only being recognised if it is considered more likely than not that
there will be suitable profits from which the future reversal of the underlying
timing differences can be deducted. Timing differences are differences arising
between the Company's taxable profits and its results as stated in the accounts
which are capable of reversal in one or more subsequent periods. Due to the
Company's status as an investment trust Company, and the intention to continue
to meet the conditions required to obtain approval for the foreseeable future,
the Company has not provided deferred tax on any capital gains and losses
arising on the revaluation or disposal of investments.
(g) Capital reserves
Capital reserve - realised
Gains or losses on investments realised in the period that have
been recognised in the Income Statement are transferred to the realised capital
reserve. In addition, any prior unrealised gains or losses on such investments
are transferred from the unrealised capital reserve to realised capital reserve
on disposal of the investment.
Capital reserve - unrealised
Increases and decreases in the fair value of investments are
recognised in the income statement and are then transferred to the unrealised
capital reserve.
(h) Foreign currency
Transactions involving foreign currencies are translated at the
rate ruling on the date of the transaction other than investment income which is
translated at the rate ruling on the date of receipt. Assets and liabilities in
foreign currencies are translated at the rates of exchange ruling on the balance
sheet date, with the exception of forward exchange contracts which are valued at
the forward rate ruling at the time of the balance sheet date.
(i) Dividends payable
Final dividends are dealt with in the period in which they are
paid.
2. The proposed final dividend of 0.1228p per ordinary share in respect of
the year ended 31 August 2006 will be paid on 15 December 2006 to shareholders
on the register at the close of business on 17 November 2006. The ex-dividend
date is 15 November 2006.
3. The statement of total return, balance sheet, reconciliation of
movements in shareholder funds and cashflow statement set out above do not
represent full statutory accounts in accordance with Section 240 of the
Companies Act 1985. The financial information for the year ended 31 August 2005
has been extracted from the Annual Report and Accounts of the company which have
been filed with the Registrar of Companies. The auditors' report on those
accounts was unqualified. The statutory accounts for 2006 contain an unqualified
auditors' report and will be delivered to the Registrar of Companies following
the company's Annual General Meeting which will be held at Donaldson House, 97
Haymarket Terrace, Edinburgh on 13 December 2006 at 11.00am.
4. The Annual Report will be posted to shareholders in early November 2006
and copies will be available from the registered office.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily a guide to the future and
that the value of investments and the income from them may fall as well as rise
and may be affected by exchange rate movements. Investors may not get back the
amount they originally invested. Where investment is made in emerging markets,
their potential volatility may increase the risk to the value of the investment.
For Edinburgh Dragon Trust plc
Edinburgh Fund Managers plc, Secretary
END
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