Final Results

Edinburgh Dragon Trust plc 01 November 2007 1 November 2007 EDINBURGH DRAGON TRUST plc PRELIMINARY RESULTS FOR THE YEAR TO 31 AUGUST 2007 Edinburgh Dragon Trust's objective is long-term capital growth through investment in the Far East (excluding Japan and Australasia). The Company's benchmark is the MSCI All Country Asia (ex Japan) Index. • The Company's net asset value rose 27.7% on a total return basis compared to a rise of 40.1% in the MSCI All Country Asia (ex Japan) Index. • Asian stock markets enjoyed major growth conditions, with many exchanges climbing to fresh highs. Strong underlying growth, stable interest rates and global money flows all contributed. • Asian stock markets are at, or close to their all-time highs today. This has bred a certain over-confidence and it remains to be seen how the region would respond to any reversal in sentiment. • The Company has paid for its caution in terms of underperformance, but believes the very high valuations of market leading stocks have not reflected the possible risks. For further information please contact:- Hugh Young, Managing Director, Aberdeen Asset Management Asia 0065 6395 2700 Ian Massie, Head of Investment Trust Investor Relations, 0131 313 1000 Aberdeen Asset Management Edinburgh Dragon Trust plc Chairman's Statement 31 August 2007 During the year ended 31 August 2007, your Company's net asset value rose 27.7% on a total return basis, compared to a 40.1% rise in the benchmark MSCI All Country Asia (ex Japan) Index. This underperformance against the benchmark was largely attributable to stock selection in South Korea and our modest exposure to China. The share price rose 22.5%, reflecting a widening of the discount to 11.1%. Overview Once again Asian stock markets enjoyed surging increases, with many exchanges climbing to fresh highs. Strong underlying growth, stable interest rates and global money flows all contributed, and companies continued to report good, if moderating, growth in earnings. Economic activity across the region remained brisk. Growth rates were revised upwards, in part as the growing economic influence of China and India continued to spur intra-regional trade over the year, even though demand in the key US export market eased. Private spending, which was lacking in the immediate years following the Asian financial crisis, appeared more sustainable. Progress in stock markets was more or less uninterrupted, and had the effect of ensuring almost every market performed well, although not all equally. Much of the attention was given over to China, where there was a surge in share buying, which appeared increasingly speculative over time. Beijing listed a handful of state-owned mega-stocks in Hong Kong including Ping An, an insurer, and ICBC, a bank. The interest this generated also influenced other 'Chinese stocks', including H shares and the so-called 'red chip' conglomerates. Traditional Hong Kong-listed shares were more muted. Dragon continued to prefer more mature stocks such as China Mobile, while portfolio stalwarts such as Swire, despite reporting good earnings growth, were overshadowed. Away from Hong Kong and China, a similar story obtained: mainstream investors preferred to chase certain themes, such as cyclicals in Korea or restructuring in Malaysia, and Dragon's emphasis on companies with visible growth and strong balance sheets was therefore not necessarily shown to best effect. Nowhere has exemplified the rise of the consumer more than India, where a credit boom has been unleashed, against a background historically of very low levels of borrowing. But even here, it was larger cap industrial stocks that performed best, whereas our Indian exposure was more skewed to financials and technology stocks. This thematic bias was similarly best seen in Korea, where a number of heavy industry cyclicals that are benefiting from Chinese demand were bid up rapidly. For reasons of quality as well as doubts over the business model (and, latterly, the prices being paid), we avoided them. Overall, it is acknowledged that the caution of your Company has led to underperformance. Our Manager believes that the 'racier' valuations of market leaders have perhaps not reflected the possible risks, and that, as often in bullish markets, there may have been a tendency to extrapolate high growth projections too far forward. However the corrections we have seen so far, first in May, then lately in August following problems in global credit markets, were too short-lived to see any proper switch into more defensive stocks. Our Manager has reviewed the portfolio carefully, and the 'storyline' remains the same, companies' earnings growth has kept coming through, dividend yields have stayed attractive and company managers are properly sticking to core businesses. Meanwhile, there has been little in markets to commend in terms of new buys, although many potential investment ideas were considered. In fact, the most beneficial strategy in terms of portfolio activity was to add to positions in back-markers and trim some of our more favoured counters as they became pricier. Revenue account The revenue return per share was 1.84p, compared to 1.41p in the previous year. The Board recommends the payment of a final dividend of 1.1p per ordinary share which, if approved by shareholders at the Annual General Meeting, will be paid on 14 December 2007. Annual General Meeting In accordance with the articles of association, Mr Lowrie will retire from the Board and, being eligible, will offer himself for re-election at the annual general meeting. In accordance with the corporate governance procedures endorsed by the Board, all directors who have attained more than nine years' service or are aged over 70 years will retire from the Board and submit themselves for re-election on an annual basis. Messrs Cassidy, Frame, Gairns, Tyrie and Watt will retire and be proposed for re-election at the annual general meeting. Following an appraisal of each director, including the Chairman, the Board is satisfied that each director's performance continues to be effective, that the Board has the requisite range of expertise and experience and that it is compliant with the AIC guidelines on independence. The Board recommends that shareholders vote in favour of the re-election of directors at the annual general meeting. During the year discounts within the sector have widened and Dragon's discount was no exception, rising from 7.3% to 11.1% at the end of the financial year. The Board monitors closely the discount level of the Company's shares and has in place a buyback mechanism whereby the Manager is authorised to buy back shares within certain limits. This resulted in 1.7 million shares being bought back at discounts ranging from 10.2% to 14.5%. A resolution to renew the authority to buyback shares for cancellation will be proposed at the annual general meeting. Outlook Having survived some turbulence already this year, at the time of writing Asian stock markets are at, or close to their all-time highs. This has bred a certain over-confidence and it remains to be seen how the region would respond to another reversal in sentiment. The main threat clearly comes from the US, where a weaker housing market is now affecting broad economic data. There is hope that easier money will help avert a sharp US slowdown, although the earlier cuts in interest rates would appear partly responsible for soaring asset prices globally. Interest rate reductions now may thus not be a complete solution - unless the US economy is slowing faster than expected, a situation which would be unwelcome for company earnings and for the global economy as a whole. As things stand, inflationary price pressures remain. China's response would be critical if reduction in US demand were to be accompanied by a lower US dollar. It already faces major policy choices, not least how to confront the stock market overheating. Allowing the renminbi to float upwards would help stimulate imports. Although the conventional view is that China can, at least for a time, spend its way out of any trouble, leaving the region in its slipstream. In conclusion, whilst from our perspective the balance sheets of Dragon portfolio companies are sound, valuations remain fair, and earnings growth appears robust, this investment style, albeit consistent, has resulted in your company not benefiting from the best of the bull markets to the same extent as some of its peers. Your Board, in recognising this relative underperformance, has recently taken independent soundings of a broad range of shareholders and is in active dialogue with the Manager on ways better to meet shareholder expectations going forward. Tony Cassidy Chairman INCOME STATEMENT (audited) Year ended 31 August 2007 Year ended 31 August 2006 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Realised gains on investments - 14,703 14,703 - 34,810 34,810 Unrealised gains on investments - 62,228 62,228 - 3,142 3,142 Currency gains - 2,240 2,240 - 2,168 2,168 Income 12,585 - 12,585 11,088 - 11,088 Investment management fee (3,614) - (3,614) (2,981) - (2,981) Administration expenses (1,065) - (1,065) (915) - (915) _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______ NET RETURN BEFORE FINANCE COSTS AND TAXATION 7,906 79,171 87,077 7,192 40,120 47,312 Interest payable and similar charges (2,936) - (2,936) (3,258) - (3,258) _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______ RETURN ON ORDINARY ACTIVITIES BEFORE TAXATION 4,970 79,171 84,141 3,934 40,120 44,054 Taxation on ordinary activities (604) - (604) (595) - (595) _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______ RETURN ON ORDINARY ACTIVITIES AFTER TAXATION 4,366 79,171 83,537 3,339 40,120 43,459 _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______ RETURN PER SHARE (PENCE): 1.84 33.37 35.21 1.41 16.91 18.32 _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ The total column of this statement represents the profit and loss account of the Company. No Statement of Total Recognised Gains and Losses has been prepared as all gains and losses have been reflected in the Income Statement. All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing operations. No operations were acquired or discontinued in the year. The accompanying notes are an integral part of the financial statements. BALANCE SHEET (audited) as at 31 August 2007 2006 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 NON-CURRENT ASSETS Investments at fair value through profit or loss 416,089 331,252 CURRENT ASSETS Debtors and prepayments 1,056 1,531 Cash and short term deposits 8,990 12,194 _______ ________ 10,046 13,725 CURRENT LIABILITIES CREDITORS: AMOUNTS FALLING DUE WITHIN ONE YEAR (1,983) (1,428) _______ ________ NET CURRENT ASSETS 8,063 12,297 _______ _______ TOTAL ASSETS LESS CURRENT LIABILITIES 424,152 343,549 CREDITORS: AMOUNTS FALLING AFTER MORE THAN ONE YEAR (39,631) (41,996) _______ _______ NET ASSETS 384,521 301,553 _______ _______ CAPITAL AND RESERVES Called-up share capital 47,415 47,455 Capital reserve - unrealised 140,674 76,050 Capital reserve - realised 93,469 79,200 Special reserve 85,520 85,520 Capital redemption reserve 8,792 8,752 Share premium account 4,285 4,285 Revenue reserve 4,366 291 _______ _______ EQUITY SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS 384,521 301,553 _______ _______ ADJUSTED NET ASSET VALUE PER SHARE (PENCE) 162.18 127.06 _______ _______ RECONCILIATION OF MOVEMENTS IN SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS (audited) For the year ended 31 August 2007 Capital Capital Capital Share Share reserve reserve Special redemption premium Warrant Revenue capital unrealised realised reserve reserve account reserve reserve Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Balance at 31 August 2006 47,455 76,050 79,200 85,520 8,752 4,285 - 291 301,553 Return on ordinary - 64,624 14,547 - - - - 4,366 83,537 activities after taxation Dividends paid - - - - - - - (291) (291) Purchase of Ordinary (40) - (278) - 40 - - - (278) shares for cancellation _____ ________ ______ ______ ________ ______ ______ ______ ______ Balance at 31 August 2007 47,415 140,674 93,469 85,520 8,792 4,285 - 4,366 384,521 _____ ________ ______ ______ ________ ______ ______ ______ ______ For the year ended 31 Capital Capital Capital Share August 2006 Share reserve reserve Special redemption premium Warrant Revenue capital unrealised realised reserve reserve account reserve reserve Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Balance at 31 August 2005 47,455 70,485 43,598 85,520 8,752 4,285 1,047 (3,048) 258,094 (restated) Transfer of Warrant - - 1,047 - - - (1,047) - - reserve Return on ordinary - 5,565 34,555 - - - - 3,339 43,459 activities after taxation _____ ________ ______ ______ ________ ______ ______ ______ ______ Balance at 31 August 2006 47,455 76,050 79,200 85,520 8,752 4,285 - 291 301,553 _____ ________ ______ ______ ________ ______ ______ ______ ______ CASHFLOW STATEMENT Year ended Year ended 31 August 2007 31 August 2006 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 NET CASH INFLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES 8,077 7,153 SERVICING OF FINANCE Interest paid (2,968) (3,251) TAXATION Overseas tax paid (685) (603) FINANCIAL INVESTMENT Purchases of investments (44,727) (82,231) Sales of investments 37,824 71,611 _______ ______ NET CASH OUTFLOW FROM FINANCIAL INVESTMENT (6,903) (10,620) EQUITY DIVIDENDS PAID (291) - _______ _______ NET CASH OUTFLOW BEFORE FINANCING (2,770) (7,321) FINANCING Buy back of Ordinary shares (including expenses) (278) - _______ _______ DECREASE IN CASH (3,048) (7,321) _______ _______ RECONCILIATION OF NET CASH FLOW TO MOVEMENTS IN NET DEBT Net debt at 1 September (29,802) (24,618) Net debt at 31 August (30,641) (29,802) _______ _______ Movement in net debt in the year (839) (5,184) Amortised Loan Note expenses (31) (31) Foreign exchange differences 2,240 2,168 _______ _______ Change in net debt resulting from cash flows (3,048) (7,321) _______ _______ NOTES: 1. Accounting policies (a) Basis of preparation and going concern The financial statements have been prepared under the historical cost convention as modified to include the revaluation of investments and in accordance with applicable UK Accounting Standards and with the Statement of Recommended Practice 'Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies' (issued January 2003 and revised in December 2005). They have also been prepared on the assumption that approval as an investment trust will continue to be granted. The financial statements have been prepared on a going concern basis. The financial statements, and the net asset value per share figures, have been prepared in accordance with UK Generally Accepted Accounting Practice ('UK GAAP'). (b) Investments Listed investments have been designated upon initial recognition at fair value through profit and loss. Investments are recognised and de-recognised on the trade date where a purchase or sale is under a contract whose terms require delivery within the timeframe established by the market concerned and are initially measured at fair value. Transaction costs on purchases and sales are taken through the Income Statement as part of the cost or sales consideration and are dealt within the capital column. Subsequent to initial recognition, investments are valued at fair value. Gains and losses arising from changes in fair value are included in net profit or loss for the period as a capital item in the Income Statement and are ultimately recognised in the capital reserve - unrealised. (c) Income Dividends (other than special dividends), net of taxes deducted at source, are included in revenue by reference to the date on which the investment is quoted ex-dividend. Special dividends are reviewed on a case-by-case basis and may be credited to capital, if circumstances dictate. Dividends receivable on equity shares where no ex-dividend date is quoted are brought into account when the company's right to receive payment is established. Where the Company has elected to receive its dividends in the form of additional shares rather than cash, the amount of the cash dividend is recognised as income. Any excess in the value of the shares received over the amount of cash dividend is recognised in capital reserves. Interest receivable on bank balances is dealt with on an accruals basis. (d) Expenses All expenses are accounted for on an accruals basis. Loan interest is accountable on an effective interest rate basis. Both are chargeable to revenue. Transaction costs incurred on the purchase and disposal of investments are recognised as a capital item in the Income Statement. (e) Loan Notes Loan Notes are translated at the rates of exchange ruling on the Balance Sheet date and include unamortised issue expenses. Issue expenses are amortised evenly over the life of the Loan Notes. (f) Taxation The charge for taxation is based on the revenue return for the year. Deferred tax Deferred taxation is recognised in respect of all timing differences that have originated but not reversed at the balance sheet date where transactions or events that result in an obligation to pay more or a right to pay less tax in future have occurred at the balance sheet date measured on an undiscounted basis and based on enacted tax rates. This is subject to deferred tax assets only being recognised if it is considered more likely than not that there will be suitable profits from which the future reversal of the underlying timing differences can be deducted. Timing differences are differences arising between the Company's taxable profits and its results as stated in the accounts which are capable of reversal in one or more subsequent periods. Due to the Company's status as an investment trust, and the intention to continue to meet the conditions required to obtain approval for the foreseeable future, the Company has not provided deferred tax on any capital gains and losses arising on the revaluation or disposal of investments. (g) Capital reserves Realised Gains or losses on investments realised in the period that have been recognised in the Income Statement are transferred to the realised capital reserve. In addition, any prior unrealised gains or losses on such investments are transferred from the unrealised capital reserve to realised capital reserve on disposal of the investment. Unrealised Increases and decreases in the fair value of investments are recognised in the Income Statement and are then transferred to the unrealised capital reserve. (h) Foreign currency Transactions involving foreign currencies are translated at the rate ruling on the date of the transaction other than investment income which is translated at the rate ruling on the date of receipt. Assets and liabilities in foreign currencies are translated at the rates of exchange ruling on the Balance Sheet date. (i) Dividends payable Final dividends are dealt with in the period in which they are paid. 2. The proposed final dividend of 1.1p per ordinary share in respect of the year ended 31 August 2007 will be paid on 14 December 2007 to shareholders on the register at the close of business on 16 November 2007. The ex-dividend date is 14 November 2007. 3. The income statement, balance sheet, reconciliation of movements in shareholder funds and cashflow statement set out above do not represent full statutory accounts in accordance with Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. The financial information for the year ended 31 August 2006 has been extracted from the Annual Report and Accounts of the company which have been filed with the Registrar of Companies. The auditors' report on those accounts was unqualified. The statutory accounts for 2007 contain an unqualified auditors' report and will be delivered to the Registrar of Companies following the company's Annual General Meeting which will be held at Donaldson House, 97 Haymarket Terrace, Edinburgh on 12 December 2007 at 11.00am. 4. The Annual Report will be posted to shareholders in early November 2007 and copies will be available from the registered office. Please note that past performance is not necessarily a guide to the future and that the value of investments and the income from them may fall as well as rise and may be affected by exchange rate movements. Investors may not get back the amount they originally invested. Where investment is made in emerging markets, their potential volatility may increase the risk to the value of the investment. For Edinburgh Dragon Trust plc Edinburgh Fund Managers plc, Secretary END This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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