Interim Results
Edinburgh Dragon Trust plc
27 April 2007
NEWS RELEASE
27 April 2007
EDINBURGH DRAGON TRUST PLC
INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 28 FEBRUARY 2007
Edinburgh Dragon Trust's objective is long-term capital growth through
investment in the Far East (excluding Japan and Australasia). The Company's
benchmark is the MSCI All Country Asia (ex Japan).
• The share price rose 17.2% to 138.0p reflecting a narrowing in the
discount from 7.3% to 4.7%.
• The Trust's net asset value rose by 14.0% on a total return basis
compared to a rise in the benchmark index, the MSCI All Country Asia (ex Japan),
of 14.7%.
• Asia's long term investment potential remains.
• The Company's strategy remains focused on well managed companies with
strong balance sheets and cashflows, run by experienced management with due
regard to minority shareholders.
For further information please contact:-
Jeremy Whitley, Investment Manager, 0065 6395 2700
Edinburgh Fund Managers
Ian Massie, Director - Investment Trusts 0131 313 1000
Edinburgh Fund Managers
Chairman's Statement
Background
In what was a volatile period for financial markets I am happy to report that
your Company performed satisfactorily. The net asset value over the six months
to end February 2007 rose on a total return basis by 14.0%, compared to the
14.7% gain recorded by the benchmark MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan Index. In
this period, the share price rose by 17.2%, with the discount narrowing to 4.7%.
Since the period end, in general, discounts in the sector have widened.
Overview
The six months under review were another rewarding period for most Asian stock
markets, which overcame external concerns such as a renewed rise in oil and
commodity prices, increasing worries about the US housing sector, and heightened
volatility following a sharp drop in Chinese equities at the end of February.
The key factors supporting share prices included robust corporate earnings,
favourable economic data and increased merger & acquisition activity.
Viewed against a wider backdrop, many Asian market benchmarks reached multi-year
highs despite recent falls, including Singapore, India, Indonesia and Hong Kong.
At the same time, markets that attracted the greatest international investor
inflows in 2006 such as China and India, were the most volatile.
After hitting a fresh record at the beginning of February, the Chinese market
corrected sharply at the end of the month, recording its largest one-day decline
in 10 years. The trigger for the sell-off was renewed speculation that the
government would hasten the pace of austerity measures. For its part, the
People's Bank of China has raised banks' cash reserve requirements a few times
already in the past year, in a bid to rein in the overheating economy and stock
market. In India's case, increases in interest rates by the central bank to
contain inflation and stem rampant loan growth caused share prices to retreat
from their highs by the end of the period.
The laggards were markets in Korea and Thailand. In Korea, a strong currency
weighed on market performance, whilst Thailand felt the brunt of continued
political uncertainty that included several monetary policy blunders by the
Central Bank and some high profile resignations.
News on the economic front remained generally favourable, as resilient domestic
consumption and export growth overshadowed a series of interest rate hikes in
the region from countries including China, India, and Taiwan. Encouragingly,
though, a few countries went against the tightening trend such as Indonesia and
Thailand, with their inflation under control, and in an effort to boost growth.
Portfolio Review
Over the six month period, total purchases amounted to £29.3m whilst sales
amounted to £21.4m. This equates to an annualised turnover of around 25%, which
we consider normal.
We introduced four new stocks to the portfolio: Standard Chartered Bank, Kookmin
Bank, Bumiputra-Commerce Holdings and John Keells. Standard Chartered has
embarked on a relatively aggressive growth strategy which includes acquisitions
in Korea, Taiwan, Pakistan and Indonesia. The results so far have been very
encouraging, with strong growth in both wholesale and consumer banking, and
spread across different revenue sources and geographic markets. Kookmin Bank was
re-introduced to the portfolio, having been sold nearly three years ago - its
credit card crisis is now well behind it, the bank has tightened its lending
procedures and raised provisioning levels, which has improved both its asset
quality and net interest margins. Bumiputra-Commerce Holdings, the second
largest banking group by assets in Malaysia, is the amalgamation of a number of
banking interests, specifically Bumiputra-Commerce Bank/BCB (commercial
banking), CIMB (investment banking & securities) PT Niaga (Indonesian commercial
bank) and Southern Bank. The new management has improved internal controls, risk
management frameworks, as well as credit controls. This is a restructuring story
which offers something different to the other more established banking names in
the Malaysia portfolio, namely Maybank and Public Bank. Finally, John Keells is
one of the best managed conglomerates in Sri Lanka with interests spanning
shipping, transport, leisure, F&B and property. The company recently won
approval to participate in a significant project to develop the port terminal in
Colombo.
No holding was sold outright over the period although a number of positions were
reduced post the sharp run-up in share prices. The main reductions were of Wing
Hang Bank and China Mobile in Hong Kong, ICICI Bank in India, Fubon Financial in
Taiwan, City Developments in Singapore, Shinsegae, the Korean discount store
operator and Philippine property developer Ayala Land.
Revenue account
For the six months to 28 February 2007 the revenue account recorded a deficit of
£590,000, representing 0.25p per share compared with a deficit of 0.42p for the
six months to 28 February 2006. However, since the majority of Asian dividend
income is accounted for in the second half of the Company's financial year, the
trust is forecast to make a positive revenue return for the 12 months to 31
August 2007.
Outlook
Looking ahead, your Board believes that Asia's long-term investment potential
remains, not withstanding that concerns outlined above continue to exert their
influence. Solid underlying fundamentals, including healthy earnings growth and
rising domestic demand, in addition to steady liquidity inflows, augur well for
the region.
Nonetheless, given the strong performance in share prices over the past year,
some wariness is merited at a time when increased cost pressures could depress
margins and curb profitability over the next 12 months. In addition, signs of
overheating in certain markets - such as China and India - could add to
volatility, and investors are likely to pay closer scrutiny to valuations as
compared to the past few years, when the focus was more on growth.
Whilst the extent of the fall-out in the US housing market and the deterioration
in the sub-prime mortgage market there remains a concern, your Managers continue
to regard this from an Asian perspective and, on the whole, remain comfortable
with what Asian corporates are reporting. Recent short-lived sell-offs are more
likely a result of profit-taking and an adjustment of investor risk appetite
rather than a precursor of a more serious and long-lived economic global
recession. Valuations, while not as cheap as they once were, given the sharp run
up in share prices over the past four years, are fair and we would continue to
view any pullback as a positive.
In light of this market environment, our Managers remain conservative with their
stock selection, focusing on well-managed companies with strong balance sheets
and cashflows, run by experienced management with due regard to minority
shareholders. I am thus positive over your Company's outlook because of its
underlying investments' fundamental characteristics that place an emphasis on
quality and price, with both increasingly important at this stage of the cycle.
Tony Cassidy
Chairman
INCOME STATEMENT
Six months to 28 February 2007
(unaudited)
Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Realised gains on investments - 6,351 6,351
Unrealised gains on investments - 35,319 35,319
Currency gains/(losses) - 1,136 1,136
Income 3,358 - 3,358
Investment management fee (1,699) - (1,699)
Administrative expenses (565) - (565)
__________ __________ __________
Return on ordinary activities before finance costs and 1,094 42,806 43,900
taxation
Interest payable and similar charges (1,448) - (1,448)
__________ __________ __________
Return on ordinary activities before taxation (354) 42,806 42,452
Taxation on ordinary activities (236) - (236)
__________ __________ __________
Return on ordinary activities after taxation (590) 42,806 42,216
__________ __________ __________
Return per Ordinary share (pence) (0.25) 18.04 17.79
__________ __________ __________
Six months to 28 February 2006
(unaudited)
Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Realised gains on investments - 22,734 22,734
Unrealised gains on investments - 38,369 38,369
Currency gains/(losses) - (825) (825)
Income 2,833 - 2,833
Investment management fee (1,504) - (1,504)
Administrative expenses (437) - (437)
__________ __________ __________
Return on ordinary activities before finance costs and 892 60,278 61,170
taxation
Interest payable and similar charges (1,684) - (1,684)
__________ __________ __________
Return on ordinary activities before taxation (792) 60,278 59,486
Taxation on ordinary activities (216) - (216)
__________ __________ __________
Return on ordinary activities after taxation (1,008) 60,278 59,270
__________ __________ __________
Return per Ordinary share (pence) (0.42) 25.40 24.98
__________ __________ __________
INCOME STATEMENT
Year ended 31 August 2006
(audited)
Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Realised gains on investments - 34,810 34,810
Unrealised gains on investments - 3,142 3,142
Currency gains/(losses) - 2,168 2,168
Income 11,088 - 11,088
Investment management fee (2,981) - (2,981)
Administrative expenses (915) - (915)
________ ________ ________
Return on ordinary activities before finance costs and 7,192 40,120 47,312
taxation
Interest payable and similar charges (3,258) - (3,258)
________ ________ ________
Return on ordinary activities before taxation 3,934 40,120 44,054
Taxation on ordinary activities (595) - (595)
________ ________ ________
Return on ordinary activities after taxation 3,339 40,120 43,459
________ ________ ________
Return per Ordinary share (pence) 1.41 16.91 18.32
________ ________ ________
The total column of this statement represents the profit and loss account of the
Company.
A Statement of Total Recognised Gains and Losses has not been prepared as all
gains and losses are recognised in the Income Statement.
All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing
operations.
BALANCE SHEET
As at As at As at
28 February 2007 28 February 2006 31 August 2006
(unaudited) (unaudited) (audited)
£'000 £'000 £'000
Non-current assets
Investments at fair value 381,630 360,692 331,252
Current assets
Debtors and prepayments 1,177 947 1,531
Cash and short term deposits 3,023 2,841 12,194
________ ________ ________
4,200 3,788 13,725
________ ________ ________
Creditors: amounts falling due within one year (1,577) (1,511) (1,428)
________ ________ ________
Net current assets 2,623 2,277 12,297
________ ________ ________
Total assets less current liabilities 384,253 362,969 343,549
Creditors: amounts falling due after more than one (40,775) (45,605) (41,996)
year
________ ________ ________
Net assets 343,478 317,364 301,553
________ ________ ________
Capital and reserves
Called-up share capital 47,455 47,455 47,455
Capital reserve - unrealised 112,605 107,653 76,050
Capital reserve - realised 85,451 66,708 79,200
Special reserve 85,520 85,520 85,520
Capital redemption reserve 8,752 8,752 8,752
Share premium account 4,285 4,285 4,285
Warrant reserve - 1,047 -
Revenue reserve (590) (4,056) 291
________ ________ ________
Equity Shareholders' funds 343,478 317,364 301,553
________ ________ ________
Adjusted net asset value per Ordinary share 144.74 133.72 127.06
(pence)
________ ________ ________
RECONCILIATION OF MOVEMENTS IN SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS
Capital Capital Capital Share
Share reserve reserve Special redemption premium Warrant Revenue
capital unrealised realised reserve reserve account reserve reserve Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Six months ended 28
February 2007
Balance at 31 August 2006 47,455 76,050 79,200 85,520 8,752 4,285 - 291 301,553
Return on ordinary - 36,555 6,251 - - - - (590) 42,216
activities after taxation
Dividends paid - - - - - - - (291) (291)
_______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______
Balance at 28 February 2007 47,455 112,605 85,451 85,520 8,752 4,285 - (590) 343,478
_______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______
Capital Capital Capital Share
Share reserve reserve Special redemption premium Warrant Revenue
unrealised realised reserve reserve account reserve reserve Total
capital
Six months ended 28
February 2006
Balance at 31 August 2005 47,455 70,485 43,598 85,520 8,752 4,285 1,047 (3,048) 258,094
(restated)
Return on ordinary - 37,168 23,110 - - - - (1,008) 59,270
activities after taxation
_______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______
Balance at 28 February 2006 47,455 107,653 66,708 85,520 8,752 4,285 1,047 (4,056) 317,364
_______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______
Capital Capital Capital Share
Share reserve reserve Special redemption premium Warrant Revenue
unrealised realised reserve reserve account reserve reserve Total
capital
Year ended 31 August 2006
Balance at 31 August 2005 47,455 70,485 43,598 85,520 8,752 4,285 1,047 (3,048) 258,094
(restated)
Transfer of warrant reserve - - 1,047 - - - - - -
Return on ordinary - 5,565 34,555 - - - (1,047) 3,339 43,459
activities after taxation
______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______
Balance at 31 August 2006 47,455 76,050 79,200 85,520 8,752 4,285 - 291 301,553
______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______ ______
CASHFLOW STATEMENT
Six months to Six months to Year to
28 February 2007 28 February 2006 31 August 2006
(unaudited) (unaudited) (audited)
£'000 £'000 £'000
Revenue before finance costs and taxation 1,094 892 7,192
Increase in accrued income (376) (198) (81)
Increase in other debtors (35) (56) (37)
Increase in creditors 212 144 79
___________ ___________ ___________
Net cash inflow from operating activities 895 782 7,153
Net cash outflow from servicing of finance (1,495) (1,672) (3,251)
Total tax paid (64) (99) (603)
Net cash outflow from financial investment (8,115) (16,316) (10,620)
Equity dividends paid (291) - -
___________ ___________ ___________
Decrease in cash (9,070) (17,305) (7,321)
___________ ___________ ___________
RECONCILIATION OF NET CASHFLOW TO MOVEMENT IN NET DEBT
Decrease in cash as above (9,070) (17,305) (7,321)
Amortised Loan Note expenses (16) (16) (31)
Exchange movements 1,136 (825) 2,168
___________ ___________ ___________
Movement in net debt in the period (7,950) (18,146) (5,184)
Opening net debt (29,802) (24,618) (24,618)
___________ ___________ ___________
Closing net debt (37,752) (42,764) (29,802)
___________ ___________ ___________
Represented by:
Cash and short term deposits 3,023 2,841 12,194
Debt falling due after more than one year (40,775) (45,605) (41,996)
___________ ___________ ___________
(37,752) (42,764) (29,802)
___________ ___________ ___________
NOTES:
1. Accounting Policies
The accounts have been prepared under the historical cost convention, as
modified to include the revaluation of investments and in accordance with
applicable UK Accounting Standards and with the Statement of Recommended
Practice for 'Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies' (December
2005). They have also been prepared on the assumption that approval as an
investment trust will continue to be granted.
The financial statements and the net asset value per share figures have
been prepared in accordance with UK Generally Accepted Accounting Principles
('UK GAAP').
The interim accounts have been prepared using the same accounting
policies used for the year ended 31 August 2006.
2. There will be no interim dividend for the year to 31 August 2007; the
objective of the company is long term capital appreciation.
3. As at 28 February 2007, there were 237,276,875 ordinary shares in issue.
4. The comparative figures for the financial year ended 31 August 2006 are
not the Company's statutory accounts for that financial year. Those accounts
have been reported on by the Company's auditors and delivered to the Registrar
of Companies. The report of the auditors was unqualified, did not include a
reference to any matters to which the auditors drew attention by way of emphasis
without qualifying their report and did not contain a statement under Section
237(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985.
5. The statement of total return and balance sheet set out do not represent
full accounts in accordance with Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985.
6. The interim report will be posted to shareholders in May 2007.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily a guide to the future and
that the value of investments and the income from them may fall as well as rise
and may be affected by exchange rate movements. Investors may not get back the
amount they originally invested. Where investment is made in emerging markets,
their potential volatility may increase the risk to the value of the investment.
For Edinburgh Dragon Trust plc
Edinburgh Fund Managers plc, Secretary
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