Interim Results
Edinburgh Dragon Trust plc
09 May 2006
NEWS RELEASE
8 May 2006
EDINBURGH DRAGON TRUST PLC
INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 28 FEBRUARY 2006
Edinburgh Dragon Trust's objective is long-term capital growth through
investment in the Far East (excluding Japan and Australasia). The Company's
benchmark is the MSCI All Country Asia (ex Japan).
• The share price rose 30.0% to 130.0p reflecting a substantial
narrowing in the discount from 6.6% to 1.3%.
• The Trust's net asset value rose by 23.0% on a total return basis compared
to a rise in the benchmark index, the MSCI All Country Asia (ex Japan),
of 23.9%.
• For long term investors, Asian markets still offer reasonable value
with good long term growth prospects.
• The Company's strategy remains to invest in companies with robust business
models, strong balance sheets and management with a high regard for
minority shareholders.
For further information please contact:-
Jeremy Whitley, Investment Manager, 0065 6395 2700
Edinburgh Fund Managers
Ian Massie, Director - Investment Trusts 0131 313 1000
Edinburgh Fund Managers
Chairman's Statement
Background
I am pleased to report that your Company has performed well over the six months
under review. During the period, the share price rose 30.0%, while the Company's
net asset value on a total return basis rose 23.0% compared to a 23.9% rise in
the benchmark, the MSCI All Country Asia (ex Japan) Index. This performance
reflected a substantial narrowing of the discount from 6.6% to 1.3%. The
underperformance was mainly due to being overweight in Singapore and underweight
in Korea.
Overview
Improving economic fundamentals and accommodating policy reforms assisted Asian
markets to make further headway over the six months, outperforming gains in many
major markets elsewhere around the globe. More importantly, rising domestic
confidence helped to underpin firmer asset prices, while the quality of
corporate earnings has remained strong. A further positive factor was the
continued flow of foreign liquidity into Asian stocks, reflecting high levels of
optimism over the region's growth prospects. This was particularly impressive
given the backdrop of rising interest rates, firm commodity prices and growing
inflationary pressures. However, in several countries, including Thailand and
the Philippines, political unrest weighed on sentiment.
India was among the more prominent beneficiaries of overseas liquidity, with
foreign institutional investment reaching record levels of more than US$10bn in
2005. The market continued to make solid gains, spurred by robust economic
growth and supportive policy measures, which included the liberalisation of key
economic sectors and the Budget for financial year 2007, the latter sealing the
government's commitment to encourage growth through much-needed infrastructure
spending.
In North Asia, South Korea performed strongly as public policy changes
encouraged domestic investors to enter the market, and consumer confidence
rebounded. However, the Kospi index has remained range-bound since early 2006,
following the strong run-up in 2005.
Following a prolonged period of poor performance over a number of years, the
Chinese stockmarket rebounded strongly due to a number of government measures
including new rules allowing foreign investors to invest directly in the
A-shares of Chinese companies, previously unavailable to foreigners. However,
some investor conditions apply, including a stipulation that foreigners must buy
at least 10% of the company's outstanding capital and hold the shares for a
minimum of three years. The Government also revised upwards its average growth
rate for the past decade, confirming that output had risen much faster than was
previously reported.
Indonesia was the best performing market amongst the Southeast Asian countries.
Share prices were supported by better-than-expected economic growth, and an
improving outlook, which prompted a re-rating of the country's sovereign credit.
The government also unveiled a package of initiatives to encourage foreign
investment by increasing spend on infrastructure.
On the monetary policy front, interest rates remained on the uptrend, largely in
response to inflationary pressures. The reduction of fuel subsidies also
contributed to higher levels of inflation in several countries, such as
Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand. Indonesia raised short-term rates to 12.25% in
a series of rate hikes. Malaysia raised its key overnight rate twice in three
months, having previously left rates unchanged for seven years. Central banks in
South Korea, the Philippines, Thailand and India also raised interest rates over
the period.
Portfolio activity
Over the six month period total purchases amounted to £58.3 million whilst sales
amounted to £42.1 million.
In terms of sales, we sold out of POSCO, the world's fifth largest steel
producer, on the grounds that the stock had performed well despite a substantial
rise in raw material prices, that China was facing an oversupply situation, and
that as a result of these pressures the company was losing its pricing power. We
also sold the holding in Samsung Fire and Marine which had performed extremely
well and was trading at almost 2x book value, which we considered expensive.
The proceeds were mainly reinvested back into the portfolio's core holdings, but
three new holdings were also introduced. The first, Shinsegae, is a well managed
discount store operator with 71 E-Mart stores across South Korea, and the
opportunity is for the company to continue to increase margins via improved
product mix, greater labour efficiency and increased bargaining power.
Effectively this was a switch out of an export play, POSCO (see above), into a
more domestically oriented company. The second new investment was Dialog, the
leading mobile operator in Sri Lanka, which had recently listed. Dialog, a
subsidiary of Telekom Malaysia, has developed a sound business model based on
low subscriber acquisition costs, a broad sales and distribution network and an
extensive range of value-added services. Cash flow is strong, it has in the past
paid out in full previous years' profits, its gearing level of less than 10%
seems comfortable, and it has a high return on equity of 47%. The third new
investment was Fubon Financial, one of Taiwan's largest banks. The stock has
performed poorly over the past few years, and with a valuation of only 1.3 times
its assets on the balance sheet had, in our view, factored in the negatives of
poor operating results and slow industry consolidation. However, there is
potential for increasing synergy between the various subsidiaries, whilst at the
same time the bank pays out a healthy dividend.
These new purchases and top-ups have increased the level of gearing which, at
the period end, stood at 13.5% i.e. the level of cash available for investment
has been kept below 1%.
Revenue account
For the six months to 28 February 2006 the revenue account recorded a deficit of
£1,008,000, representing 0.42p per share compared with a deficit of 0.12p for
the six months to 28 February 2005. However, since the majority of Asian
dividend income is accounted for in the second half of the Company's financial
year, the Company is forecast to make a positive revenue return for the 12
months to 31 August 2006.
Outlook
Asian economies have entered 2006 on a stable footing. Fundamentals are solid,
with domestic demand playing a growing role in the region's fortunes. While the
sustainability of the US economic expansion remains uncertain, there now appear
to be signs of a long-awaited recovery in both Europe and Japan.
Nonetheless, given the strong performance in share prices over the past year, a
correction would not be unexpected. Valuations look less compelling, and a
fundamental re-rating of markets now depends on companies being able to deliver
on their earnings projections, in the face of rising input costs and competitive
pressures. However, foreign interest in the region remains keen so the
liquidity-driven rally may continue.
Looking further out, we feel Asian markets will continue to offer good value
relative to other major markets. We thus remain confident that Dragon's
strategy, focusing on companies with a robust business model, sound finances,
and management with a high regard for minority shareholders, will continue to
deliver good results for our own shareholders over the long term.
Tony Cassidy
Chairman
INCOME STATEMENT
Six months to 28 February 2006
(unaudited)
Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Realised gains on investments - 22,734 22,734
Unrealised gains on investments - 38,369 38,369
Currency (losses) /gains - (825) (825)
Income 2,833 - 2,833
Investment management fee (1,504) - (1,504)
Administrative expenses (437) - (437)
__________ __________ __________
Net return before finance costs and taxation 892 60,278 61,170
Interest payable and similar charges (1,684) - (1,684)
__________ __________ __________
Return on ordinary activities before taxation (792) 60,278 59,486
Taxation on ordinary activities (216) - (216)
__________ __________ __________
Return on ordinary activities after taxation (1,008) 60,278 59,270
__________ __________ __________
Return per ordinary share (0.42p) 25.40p 24.98p
__________ __________ __________
Six months to 28 February 2005
(unaudited)
(restated)
Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Realised gains on investments - 3,811 3,811
Unrealised gains on investments - 22,268 22,268
Currency (losses) /gains - 1,207 1,207
Income 2,662 - 2,662
Investment management fee (1,068) - (1,068)
Administrative expenses (329) - (329)
__________ __________ __________
Net return before finance costs and taxation 1,265 27,286 28,551
Interest payable and similar charges (1,452) - (1,452)
__________ __________ __________
Return on ordinary activities before taxation (187) 27,286 27,099
Taxation on ordinary activities (91) (21) (112)
__________ __________ __________
Return on ordinary activities after taxation (278) 27,265 26,987
__________ __________ __________
Return per ordinary share (0.12p) 11.97p 11.85p
__________ __________ __________
Year ended 31 August 2005
(audited)
(restated)
Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Realised gains on investments - 20,995 20,995
Unrealised gains on investments - 37,750 37,750
Currency (losses) /gains - (897) (897)
Income 10,059 - 10,059
Investment management fee (2,298) - (2,298)
Administrative expenses (733) - (733)
__________ __________ __________
Net return before finance costs and taxation 7,028 57,848 64,876
Interest payable and similar charges (3,130) - (3,130)
__________ __________ __________
Return on ordinary activities before taxation 3,898 57,848 61,746
Taxation on ordinary activities (407) - (407)
__________ __________ __________
Return on ordinary activities after taxation 3,491 57,848 61,339
__________ __________ __________
Return per ordinary share 1.50p 24.87p 26.37p
__________ __________ __________
BALANCE SHEET
As at As at As at
28 February 2006 28 February 2005 31 August 2005
(unaudited) (unaudited) (audited)
(restated) (restated)
£'000 £'000 £'000
Fixed assets
Investments at fair value through profit or loss 360,692 243,014 283,456
Current assets
Debtors 947 2,152 812
US Treasury Bills - 5,168 -
Cash at bank 2,841 16,567 19,770
__________ __________ __________
3,788 23,887 20,582
Current liabilities
Creditors: amounts falling due within one year 1,511 1,725 1,556
__________ __________ __________
Net current assets 2,277 22,162 19,026
__________ __________ __________
Total assets less current liabilities 362,969 265,176 302,482
Creditors: amounts falling due after more than one 45,605 41,435 44,388
year
__________ __________ __________
Net assets 317,364 223,741 258,094
__________ __________ __________
Capital and reserves
Called up share capital 47,455 47,455 47,455
Capital reserve - unrealised 107,653 57,776 70,485
Capital reserve - realised 66,708 25,723 43,598
Special reserve 85,520 85,520 85,520
Capital redemption reserve 8,752 8,752 8,752
Share premium 4,285 4,285 4,285
Warrant reserve 1,047 1,047 1,047
Revenue reserve (4,056) (6,817) (3,048)
__________ __________ __________
Equity shareholders' funds 317,364 223,741 258,094
__________ __________ __________
Adjusted net asset value per share 133.72p 94.26p 108.73p
__________ __________ __________
RECONCILIATION OF MOVEMENTS IN SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS
Capital Capital Capital Share
Share reserve reserve Special redemption premium Warrant Revenue
capital unrealised realised reserve reserve account reserve reserve Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Six months ended 28
February 2006
Balance at 31 August 2005 47,455 71,285 43,598 85,520 8,752 4,285 1,047 (3,048) 258,894
as previously reported
Restatement - (800) - - - - - - (800)
_______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______
Balance at 31 August 2005 47,455 70,485 43,598 85,520 8,752 4,285 1,047 (3,048) 258,094
(restated)
Return on ordinary - 37,168 23,110 - - - - (1,008) 59,270
activities after taxation
_______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______
Balance at 28 February 2006 47,455 107,653 66,708 85,520 8,752 4,285 1,047 (4,056) 317,364
_______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______
Capital Capital Capital Share
Share reserve reserve Special redemption premium Warrant Revenue
unrealised realised reserve reserve account reserve reserve Total
capital
Six months ended 28 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
February 2005
Balance at 31 August 2004 45,354 33,933 22,865 85,520 8,752 81 1,047 (6,539) 191,013
as previously reported
Restatement - (563) - - - - - - (563)
_______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______
Balance at 31 August 2004 45,354 33,370 22,865 85,520 8,752 81 1,047 (6,539) 190,450
(restated)
Return on ordinary - 24,406 2,858 - - - - (278) 26,986
activities after taxation
Exercising of Warrants 2,101 - - - - 4,204 - - 6,305
_______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______
Balance at 28 February 2005 47,455 57,776 25,723 85,520 8,752 4,285 1,047 (6,817) 223,741
(restated)
_______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______
Capital Capital Capital Share
Share reserve reserve Special redemption premium Warrant Revenue
unrealised realised reserve reserve account reserve reserve Total
capital
Year ended 31 August 2005 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Balance at 31 August 2004 45,354 33,933 22,865 85,520 8,752 81 1,047 (6,539) 191,013
as previously reported
Restatement - (563) - - - - - - (563)
_______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______
Balance at 31 August 2004 45,354 33,370 22,865 85,520 8,752 81 1,047 (6,539) 190,450
(restated)
Return on ordinary - 37,115 20,733 - - - - 3,491 61,339
activities after taxation
Exercising of Warrants 2,101 - - - - 4,204 - - 6,305
_______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______
Balance at 31 August 2005 47,455 70,485 43,598 85,520 8,752 4,285 1,047 (3,048) 258,094
(restated)
_______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______ ______
CASHFLOW STATEMENT
For the period ended 28 February 2006
Six months to Six months to Year to
28 February 2006 28 February 2005 31 August 2005
(unaudited) (unaudited) (audited)
£'000 £'000 £'000
Revenue before finance costs and taxation 892 1,265 7,028
Increase in accrued income (198) (150) (100)
Increase in other debtors (56) (7) (23)
Increase in creditors 144 4 74
____________ ____________ ____________
Net cash inflow from operating activities 782 1,112 6,979
Net cash outflow from servicing of finance (1,672) (1,490) (3,099)
Total tax paid (99) (101) (467)
Net cash outflow from financial investment (16,316) (19,247) (25,939)
____________ ____________ ____________
Net cash outflow before financing (17,305) (19,726) (22,526)
Net cash inflow from financing - 6,303 6,305
Management of liquid resources - 24,913 30,425
____________ ____________ ____________
(Decrease) / increase in cash and cash equivalents (17,305) 11,490 14,204
____________ ____________ ____________
RECONCILIATION OF NET CASHFLOW TO MOVEMENT IN NET DEBT
(Decrease)/Increase in cash as above (17,305) 11,490 14,204
Net change in liquid resources - (24,913) (30,425)
________ ________ ________
Change in net debt resulting from cashflows (17,305) (13,423) (16,221)
Amortised loan note expenses (16) (15) (31)
Exchange movements (825) 1,207 (897)
____________ ____________ ____________
Movement in net debt in the period (18,146) (12,231) (17,149)
Opening net debt (24,618) (7,469) (7,469)
____________ ____________ ____________
Closing net debt (42,764) (19,700) (24,618)
____________ ____________ ____________
Represented by:
Cash and cash equivalents 2,841 21,735 19,770
Debt falling due after more than one year (45,605) (41,435) (44,388)
____________ ____________ ____________
(42,764) (19,700) (24,618)
____________ ____________ ____________
NOTES:
1. Accounting Policies
The accounts have been prepared under the historical cost convention, as
modified to include the revaluation of investments and in accordance with
applicable UK Accounting Standards and with the Statement of Recommended
Practice for 'Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies' (issued
January 2003 and revised in December 2005). They have also been prepared
on the assumption that approval as an investment trust will continue to be
granted.
The financial statements, and the net asst value per share figures, have
been prepared in accordance with UK Generally Accepted Accounting
Principles ('UK GAAP'). The new Financial Reporting Standards, issued
as part of the programme to converge UK GAAP with International Financial
Reporting Standards (IFRS), were applicable for the accounting period ended
28 February 2006 and the financial statements for the six months ended
28 February 2005 and year ended 31 August 2005 have also been restated.
The main change arising from the revisions to UK GAAP for Edinburgh Dragon
Trust is the recognition of investments at fair value, which for listed
investments is deemed to be bid market prices. Previously investments were
valued at mid market prices.
The same accounting policies used for the year ended 31 August 2005 have
been applied with the following exceptions:
(a) Investments - Listed investments have been designated upon initial
recognition at fair value through profit and loss. Investments are
recognised and derecognised on the trade date where a purchase or sale
is under a contract whose terms require delivery within the timeframe
established by the market concerned and are initially measured at fair
value. Transaction costs on purchases and sales are taken through the
Income Statement as part of the cost of sales consideration, dealt
within the capital column. Such costs are disclosed separately.
Subsequent to initial recognition, investments are valued at fair value.
Gains and losses arising from changes in fair value are included in net
profit or loss for the period as a capital item in the Income Statement
and are ultimately recognised in the capital reserve - unrealised.
(b) Realised Capital Reserve - Gains or losses on investments realised in the
period that have been recognised in the Income Statement are transferred to
the realised capital reserve. In addition, any prior unrealised gains or
loses on such investments are transferred from the unrealised capital
reserve to realised capital reserve on disposal of the investment.
(c) Unrealised Capital Reserve - Increases and decreases in the fair value of
investments are recognised in the income statement and are then transferred
to the unrealised capital reserve.
2. There will be no interim dividend for the year to 31 August 2006; the
objective of the company is long term capital appreciation.
3. As at 28 February 2006, there were 237,276,875 ordinary shares in issue.
4. The financial information for the year ended 31 August 2005, has been
extracted from the Annual report and accounts of the company which have
been filed with the Registrar of Companies. The auditor's report on those
accounts was unqualified.
5. The statement of total return and balance sheet set out do not represent
full accounts in accordance with Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985.
6. The interim report will be posted to shareholders in May.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily a guide to the future and
that the value of investments and the income from them may fall as well as rise
and may be affected by exchange rate movements. Investors may not get back the
amount they originally invested. Where investment is made in emerging markets,
their potential volatility may increase the risk to the value of the investment.
For Edinburgh Dragon Trust plc
Edinburgh Fund Managers plc, Secretary
END
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