Syndicate Forecasts

Amlin PLC 26 November 1999 AMLIN PLC SYNDICATE FORECASTS Amlin Underwriting Limited ('AML') and Angerstein Underwriting Limited ('AUL'), the two Lloyd's managing agencies owned by Amlin plc, have released updated forecasts of the results of their managed Lloyd's syndicates for the 1997 year of account and initial forecasts for the 1998 year of account. The forecasts, which are set out below, are expressed in a 5% range as a percentage of capacity and are after standard Names' expenses, including agents fees and profit commission. 1997 year of account The forecasts released in August 1998 remain unchanged as follows: Syndicate No. Capacity % owned Latest forecast £m by Amlin % to % 902 37.6 14% 7.00 to 12.00 1141 76.2 6% 2.00 to 7.00 2001 528.6 11% (2.00) to 3.00 1998 year of account Syndicate Capacity % owned Latest forecasts Previous forecast No. £m by Amlin % to % % to % 902 37.6 35% (2.00) to 3.00 (2.00) to 3.00 1141 76.2 22% 0.00 to 5.00 0.00 to 5.00 2001 528.7 24% (7.00 ) to (2.00) (6.00) to (1.00) The forecasts for the 1998 year of account are indicative of the difficult underwriting climate which has resulted from a global excess of insurance capacity. Syndicate 2001 Syndicate 2001's results for the 1997 and 1998 years of account were significantly influenced by the results of former sub-syndicate 919 which underwrote general liability and professional indemnity accounts. The forecast 1998 year of account losses for sub-syndicate 919 represent approximately 30% of the forecast losses of syndicate 2001. This business has now largely been discontinued as part of management's continuing policy of eliminating those elements of the underwriting account that are unprofitable and lack long term potential. 1999 Outlook While it is early days for the 1999 year of account, management actions taken and the increase in rates being achieved on the motor book indicate that Amlin's managed syndicates will show an improvement over the 1998 year of account. Amlin plc The mid-points of the 1998 year of account managed syndicates' forecasts would result in a loss to the Amlin Group of £5.3 million. In its balance sheet at 30 June 1999, Amlin plc is carrying reserves of some £16.0 million in respect of potential losses on its underwriting on the open years of account from both its managed and 'spread' syndicates. Enquiries: Charles Philipps, Amlin plc 0171 860 8222 David Haggie, Haggie Financial Limited 0171 417 8989
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