1st Quarter Results - part 1
AstraZeneca PLC
29 April 2004
AstraZeneca PLC
First Quarter Results 2004
'First quarter sales exceed $5 billion. Financial targets for the year on
track.'
Financial Highlights
Group 1st Quarter 1st Quarter Actual CER
2004 2003 % %
$m $m
Sales 5,074 4,735 +7 -1
Operating Profit 1,079 1,272 -15 -20
Profit before Tax 1,108 1,293 -14 -20
Earnings per Share $0.47 $0.54 -13 -19
All narrative in this section refers to growth rates at constant exchange rates
(CER)
• Sales in the first quarter were over $5 billion, a record quarter for
the Company.
• As expected, significant wholesaler stocking in the US in the first
quarter last year and the residual effects of patent expirations affected
the reported sales growth rates versus first quarter 2003.
• Adjusted for wholesaler stock movements, estimated sales increase for
key growth products was 34 percent.
• Operating profit was down 20 percent, reflecting investments in R&D
and SG&A that were maintained at levels similar to the fourth quarter 2003.
• CrestorTM sales reached $129 million in the first quarter. In the
week ending 16 April CrestorTM share of new prescriptions in the US statin
market reached 6.2 percent.
• During the first quarter, SeroquelTM new prescription market share in
the US market surpassed that for olanzapine, and now ranks second in the
atypical antipsychotic market.
• NexiumTM sales were $935 million in the first quarter. Sales outside
the US increased by 36 percent. Total prescriptions in the US increased by
19 percent.
• SymbicortTM sales increased by 31 percent to $188 million.
• Oncology products performed strongly, up 19 percent. IressaTM sales
reached $93 million in the quarter. ArimidexTM sales increased by 62
percent.
FaslodexTM received regulatory approval in the European Union for the treatment
of advanced breast cancer.
Sir Tom McKillop, Chief Executive, said: 'Our growth strategy is on track and
we are set to achieve our financial targets for the year. Strong demand for
CrestorTM, NexiumTM, SeroquelTM, SymbicortTM, IressaTM and ArimidexTM
contributed to a record sales performance in the quarter, with demand for key
growth products up 34 percent. Operating profit, however, was down compared to
a strong first quarter 2003, which benefited from wholesaler stocking, and
following sustained investment in research and development and in the launch of
new products.'
London, 29 April 2004
Media Enquiries: Steve Brown/Edel McCaffrey (London) (020) 7304 5033/5034
Staffan Ternby (Sodertalje) (8) 553 26107
Rachel Bloom-Baglin (Wilmington) (302) 886 7858
Analyst/Investor Enquiries: Mina Blair-Robinson (London) (020) 7304 5084
Jonathan Hunt (London) (020) 7304 5087
Staffan Ternby (Sodertalje) (8) 553 26107
Ed Seage/Jorgen Winroth (US) (302) 886 4065/(212) 579 0506
Business Highlights All narrative in this section refers to growth rates at
constant exchange rates (CER) unless otherwise indicated
Sales in the first quarter increased by 7 percent on a reported basis, including
a positive exchange benefit of 8 percent. Sales outside the US were up 6
percent. In the US sales were down 8 percent against the first quarter 2003,
which had included $400 million of speculative purchases by wholesalers.
Excluding inventory movements, total demand in the US was estimated to increase
by 6 percent, and global sales of key growth products by around 34 percent.
Expenditures in R&D and SG&A were $2,849 million in the quarter, below the level
reached in the fourth quarter 2003, but 13 percent ahead of first quarter 2003.
Maintaining this level of investment in product launches and research, set
against the 2003 quarterly sales phasing, resulted in a 20 percent decline in
operating profit in the quarter (down 15 percent on a reported basis). Earnings
per share in the first quarter were $0.47 versus $0.54 in 2003.
NexiumTM sales were $935 million in the first quarter, up 7 percent. Sales
outside the US increased by 36 percent. Total prescriptions in the US increased
by 19 percent in the quarter, well ahead of the PPI market growth.
CrestorTM sales were $129 million in the first quarter, including $72 million in
the US. In the week ending 16 April CrestorTM share of new prescriptions in the
US statin market was 6.2 percent. Recent CrestorTM launches include France on 8
March and Italy on 5 April.
Sales of oncology products increased 19 percent in the first quarter to $762
million. ArimidexTM sales were up 62 percent on continuing growth in the
treatment of early breast cancer. IressaTM sales were $93 million, with sales
in Japan up 50 percent over first quarter 2003.
Respiratory product sales were $648 million. SymbicortTM sales were up 31
percent. Prescriptions for PulmicortTM RespulesTM in the US increased by 22
percent.
SeroquelTM sales were $448 million, down 2 percent in the quarter affected by
wholesaler stock movements in the US in the first quarter 2003. Prescriptions
in the US grew by 36 percent in the quarter. SeroquelTM now ranks second in the
US antipsychotic market in new prescription share, having recently overtaken
olanzapine. SeroquelTM sales outside the US increased by 14 percent.
In December, regulatory submissions were made for ExantaTM in Europe and the US
for the first key chronic indications, including the prevention of stroke
associated with atrial fibrillation, and are now being reviewed by regulatory
authorities.
Future Prospects
The Company continues to anticipate earnings per share in the range of $2.00 to
$2.15 per share. More than half of the year's profits and nearly all of the
growth in earnings per share versus 2003 should occur in the second half of the
year, influenced by three factors. First, the remaining impact of patent
expiries will diminish over the course of the year. Second, the implementation
of inventory management agreements in the US should align reported sales more
closely with prescription trends, although reported quarterly sales comparisons
will continue to be influenced by 2003 patterns. Finally, the step up in
investments in R&D and SG&A occurred in the second half of 2003, so the rate of
growth in these expenses will attenuate as the year progresses. As previously
communicated, this outcome is sensitive to exchange rate fluctuations and the
sales performance attained for NexiumTM, CrestorTM and SeroquelTM.
Disclosure Notice: The preceding forward-looking statements relating to
expectations for earnings and business prospects for AstraZeneca PLC are subject
to risks and uncertainties, which may cause results to differ materially from
those set forth in the forward-looking statements. These include, but are not
limited to: the rate of growth in sales of generic omeprazole in the US,
continued growth in currently marketed products (in particular CrestorTM,
NexiumTM, SeroquelTM, SymbicortTM, ArimidexTM and IressaTM), the successful
registration and launch of ExantaTM, the growth in costs and expenses, interest
rate movements, exchange rate fluctuations and the tax rate. For further
details on these and other risks and uncertainties, see AstraZeneca PLC's
Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including the 2003 Annual Report on
Form 20-F.
Sales
All narrative in this section refers to growth rates at constant exchange rates
(CER) unless otherwise indicated
Gastrointestinal
First Quarter CER %
2004 2003
NexiumTM 935 835 +7
LosecTM/ PrilosecTM 540 692 -32
Total 1,496 1,545 -10
• NexiumTM sales in markets outside the US in the first quarter were up 36
percent. Sales in Europe were up 34 percent, particularly in France (up 50
percent).
• Total prescriptions for NexiumTM in the US increased by 19 percent in
the first quarter, well above the 10 percent growth in the non-generic segment
of the PPI market. Market share of total prescriptions reached a new high in
March, at 25.6 percent. There was a small amount of wholesaler stocking that
occurred this quarter, but well below the levels in the first quarter 2003.
As a result, sales of NexiumTM in the US on a reported basis were virtually
unchanged.
• PrilosecTM sales in the US declined by 68 percent on continued loss of
market share to generic omeprazole products together with the decline in
omeprazole prescriptions resulting from the growth in PrilosecTM OTC.
• Sales of LosecTM outside the US were down 6 percent, as declines in
Europe were partially offset by growth in Asia Pacific.
Cardiovascular
First Quarter CER %
2004 2003
SelokenTM / Toprol-XLTM 333 368 -13
AtacandTM 209 206 -9
PlendilTM 111 110 -6
ZestrilTM 105 108 -16
CrestorTM 129 3 n/m
Total 1,055 969 +1
• Sales of SelokenTM/Toprol-XLTM declined by 13 percent in the first
quarter, as US sales comparisons for Toprol-XLTM (down 17 percent) reflected
significant wholesaler stocking in the first quarter 2003. In the first
quarter, prescriptions for Toprol-XLTM in the US grew by 21 percent versus
last year, well ahead of the 10 percent growth in the beta-blocker market.
• AtacandTM sales were up 15 percent outside the US. AtacandTM
prescriptions in the highly competitive US market for angiotensin receptor
blockers were broadly unchanged. The reported sales decline of 33 percent in
the US represents wholesaler stock movements in the first quarter 2003
partially offset by some stocking in the first quarter this year.
• Sales of CrestorTM reached $129 million in the first quarter. Sales in
the US grew to $72 million as ex-factory sales begin to track prescription
demand, which grew to over 1 million prescriptions dispensed in the first
quarter 2004.
• In the US market for statin products, CrestorTM market share of new
prescriptions was 6.2 percent in the week ending 16 April. Share of new and
switched patients ('dynamic share') was even higher, at 16.3 percent.
• CrestorTM market share of total prescriptions has increased to 8.9
percent in Canada, 8.8 percent in the Netherlands, and 3.0 percent in the UK.
CrestorTM was recently launched in France on 8 March and in Italy on 5 April.
• Since launch the Company estimates that 4 million prescriptions have
been dispensed for CrestorTM. An extensive clinical trials database and
detailed post-marketing surveillance confirms CrestorTM has a safety profile
comparable to other marketed statins.
Respiratory and Inflammation
First Quarter CER %
2004 2003
SymbicortTM 188 122 +31
PulmicortTM 282 251 +5
RhinocortTM 81 90 -13
AccolateTM 30 31 -6
OxisTM 25 31 -32
Total 648 563 +4
• SymbicortTM sales in the first quarter increased by 31 percent.
Continued expansion of the market for fixed combination products in general,
as well as the launch of new dosage strengths and the COPD indication for
Symbicort TM, are factors driving the good sales performance.
• Worldwide sales of PulmicortTM were up 5 percent, chiefly on the growth
of PulmicortTM RespulesTM in the US market. In the US, total prescriptions
for PulmicortTM RespulesTM were up 22 percent versus the first quarter 2003.
• RhinocortTM Aqua prescriptions in the US increased by 9 percent in the
first quarter, with market share of total prescriptions slightly ahead of first
quarter last year. Some destocking in 2004 compared with stock building in the
first quarter 2003 contributed to the 18 percent decline in reported sales in
the US.
Oncology
First Quarter CER %
2004 2003
CasodexTM 229 189 +9
ZoladexTM 213 193 -1
ArimidexTM 166 93 +62
IressaTM 93 19 n/m
FaslodexTM 26 22 +18
NolvadexTM 31 61 -56
Total 762 581 +19
• CasodexTM prescriptions in the US were broadly unchanged, however
reported sales were down 7 percent on wholesaler stocking in the first quarter
2003. Outside the US sales were up 16 percent, including a 30 percent
increase in Japan.
• ArimidexTM sales were up 62 percent in the first quarter on increasing
usage in early breast cancer. Sales in the US increased 88 percent versus the
first quarter 2003, which was depressed by wholesaler destocking. ArimidexTM
prescriptions in the US grew 45 percent, and ArimidexTM market share for
hormonal treatments for breast cancer was 21.3 percent in March, an increase
of 4.8 points since March last year. ArimidexTM sales in Europe were up 49
percent, and in Japan were 46 percent ahead of the first quarter last year.
• IressaTM sales in Japan were $27 million in the quarter, up 50 percent
versus the first quarter 2003. US sales of $51 million included some
wholesaler stocking. Retail prescriptions for IressaTM in the first quarter
were just over twenty-two thousand, some 8 percent higher than the fourth
quarter 2003.
• FaslodexTM sales increased by 9 percent in the US. On 12 March the
Company announced that FaslodexTM received European marketing approval for the
treatment of advanced breast cancer.
Neuroscience
First Quarter CER %
2004 2003
SeroquelTM 448 444 -2
ZomigTM 95 108 -18
DiprivanTM 122 136 -15
Local anaesthetics 130 101 +14
Others 17 18 -17
Total 812 807 -5
• Prescription growth for SeroquelTM in the US market remains strong, up a
further 36 percent versus the first quarter 2003. SeroquelTM is the fastest
growing product among the three leading brands in the atypical antipsychotic
market, and during the first quarter SeroquelTM overtook olanzapine to become
the number two product in the market based on monthly new prescriptions, with
a 24.5 percent market share.
• Reported sales in the US for SeroquelTM were down 6 percent, a function
of significant wholesaler stocking in the first quarter 2003.
• SeroquelTM sales outside the US were up 14 percent, with 50 percent
growth reported in Canada and in Germany. Sales in Italy were up 25 percent.
• ZomigTM sales in Europe increased by 25 percent. US sales were down 33
percent, reflecting the change in distribution for the US market, where the
product is now sold to Medpointe (the distributor responsible for sales and
marketing for the US market) at contract prices below the AstraZeneca
ex-factory price last year.
Geographic Sales
First Quarter CER %
2004 2003
US 2,279 2,470 -8
Europe 1,875 1,555 +2
Japan 290 243 +6
RoW 630 467 +21
• In the US reported sales were down 8 percent due to wholesaler stocking
in the first quarter 2003. Underlying demand grew by an estimated 6 percent
overall, and by 27 percent excluding the three products affected by generic
competition (PrilosecTM, NolvadexTM and ZestrilTM).
• Sales in Europe were up 2 percent, with growth in NexiumTM (up 34
percent), SymbicortTM (up 25 percent), ArimidexTM (up 49 percent) and
CrestorTM offsetting declining prices throughout the region.
• Sales in Japan were up 6 percent on good growth in oncology products (up
26 percent) and LosecTM (up 18 percent).
Financial Review
All narrative in this section refers to growth rates at constant exchange rates
(CER) unless otherwise indicated
Operating Results
Reported sales increased by 7 percent and operating profit fell by 15 percent.
At constant exchange rates sales declined by 1 percent and operating profit by
20 percent.
As previously mentioned, sales in the US during the first quarter 2003 included
significant speculative purchases by wholesalers, which lifted trade inventories
to some $400 million higher than normal. During the first quarter 2004 the
company began implementing inventory management agreements with three large
wholesalers in the US who account for around three quarters of our US sales.
Since the agreements were not in place for the entire period, some purchases
above current demand did occur in the first quarter 2004, estimated to be around
$100 million. At the end of the first quarter the Company estimates that, in
aggregate, approximately $200 million of inventory above target levels is in the
distribution chain, chiefly in NexiumTM, Toprol-XLTM and AtacandTM. This
inventory should be worked down over the next two quarters.
The weakness of the US dollar continues to benefit our results. In comparison
with quarter one last year the US dollar weakened against the euro (14 percent),
benefiting sales, and also against the Swedish krona (14 percent) and sterling
(13 percent), increasing costs. Overall, currency benefited EPS by around 3
cents in comparison with quarter one last year. Should the exchange rates stay
at current levels for the remainder of the year, no further exchange benefits
are expected to accrue.
Gross margin increased by 1.4 percent to 77.4 percent of sales in the quarter,
as payments to Merck declined to 5.6 percent of sales (a reduction of 1.4
percent of sales), attributable to differences in product mix between the
periods. A small adverse exchange impact (-0.3 percent) was offset by a slight
improvement in underlying cost of sales of a similar magnitude.
Operating margin comparisons are coloured by the marked difference in quarterly
phasing of sales. Operating margin in the first quarter 2003 was 26.9 percent
of sales (the highest quarter last year) as the benefits of wholesaler stocking
fell straight through to operating profit. Operating margin in the first
quarter 2004 was 21.3 percent. Underlying increases in R&D and SG&A
expenditures are estimated to have contributed around half of the margin
difference between the periods, with most of the balance attributable to the
sales phasing in 2003.
In aggregate, R&D and SG&A expenses were $2,849 million, as spending in support
of product launches and the additional recruitment in Discovery and Development
were broadly maintained at the levels reached in the second half of last year.
The increase over first quarter last year was 13 percent in CER terms, but 23
percent on a reported basis, including 10 percent of exchange rate impact.
Interest and Dividend Income
Net interest and dividend income in the quarter was $29 million, compared with
$21 million for the same period last year. The improvement is due mainly to
lower interest payments in the first quarter 2004 following the repayment of
$319 million of debt in mid-2003.
Taxation
The effective tax rate at 27.5 percent for the first quarter was at the same
level as for quarter one last year.
Cash Flow
Cash inflow from operating activities before exceptional items was $1,276
million, $102 million better than in the first quarter of 2003 despite the lower
operating profit. This is due to the lower working capital outflows this year
as the trade debtor movement in 2003 was particularly high following the
wholesaler inventory movements. Tax payments were broadly similar in both
periods, whilst capital expenditure in the current quarter is $37 million lower
than that in the first quarter of 2003. Before financing and the management of
liquid resources, net cash inflow of $720 million was $149 million ahead of last
year.
Share Repurchase Programme
The Board has approved a new programme of share repurchases of $4 billion to be
completed by the end of 2005, assuming continued market access and the absence
of strategic uses for cash.
During the quarter 12.5 million shares were repurchased for cancellation at a
total cost of $608 million.
The total number of shares that remain in issue at 31 March 2004 is 1,681
million.
Upcoming Milestones and Key Events
22 July Announcement of second quarter and half year results
6 October Annual Business Review meeting
21 October Announcement of third quarter and nine months results
Sir Tom McKillop
Chief Executive
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange