Final Results
Atlantis Japan Growth Fund Ld
20 July 2004
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
RELEASED BY MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL (GUERNSEY) LIMITED
ATLANTIS JAPAN GROWTH FUND LIMITED
PRELIMINARY ANNOUNCEMENT
THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS OF ATLANTIS JAPAN GROWTH FUND LIMITED ANNOUNCE AUDITED
RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 30 APRIL 2004:
BALANCE SHEET
As at 30 April 2004
(Expressed in United States Dollars)
2004 2003
$'000 $'000
FIXED ASSETS
Investments at market value 436,729 195,836
(cost $278,810,715 (2003 - $207,041,000)
CURRENT ASSETS
Due from brokers 1,897 1,082
Dividends and interest receivable 1,958 1,199
Bank balances 8,238 1,063
Prepayments 10 -
12,103 3,344
CURRENT LIABILITIES
Due to brokers 5,985 811
Creditors and accrued expenses 744 381
Loans payable - 12,956
6,729 14,148
NET CURRENT LIABILITIES 5,374 (10,804)
CREDITORS AMOUNTS FALLING DUE AFTER ONE YEAR
Loans Payable 40,796 12,237
TOTAL NET ASSETS $401,307 $172,795
CAPITAL & RESERVES
Called-up share capital 204 204
Share premium 192,650 192,650
Other reserves 208,453 (20,059)
TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS $401,307 $172,795
NET ASSET VALUE PER ORDINARY $19.64 $8.46
SHARE
(Based on 20,435,627 (2003 - 20,435,627) ordinary shares and a Net Asset Value of $401,306,971 (2003 - $172,795,474))
STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN
(incorporating the Revenue Account)
For the year ended 30 April 2004
(Expressed in United States Dollars)
Revenue Capital Total
$'000 $'000 $'000
Realised gain on sales of investments - 62,628 62,628
Unrealised appreciation of investments - 169,123 169,123
Exchange loss - (1,985) (1,985)
Investment income 4,154 - 4,154
Deposit interest 16 - 16
4,170 229,766 233,936
Investment management fee 3,909 - 3,909
Custodian fees 236 - 236
Administration fees 196 - 196
Registrar and transfer agent fees 14 - 14
Directors' fees and expenses 126 - 126
Interest expense and bank charges 346 - 346
Insurance fees 30 - 30
Audit fee 27 - 27
Printing and advertising fees 36 - 36
Legal and professional fees 43 - 43
Listing fees 26 - 26
Miscellaneous expenses 5 - 5
4,994 - 4,994
(DEFICIT)/RETURN ON ORDINARY
ACTIVITIES BEFORE TAX (824) 229,766 228,942
Tax on ordinary activities (430) - (430)
(DEFICIT)/RETURN ATTRIBUTABLE TO
EQUITY SHAREHOLDERS (1,254) 229,766 228,512
(DEFICIT)/RETURN PER
ORDINARY SHARE : $(0.061) $11.243 $11.182
(Based on the weighted average of 20,435,627 Ordinary Shares and the deficit
Attributable to Equity Shareholders noted above)
STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN
(incorporating the Revenue Account)
For the year ended 30 April 2003
(Expressed in United States Dollars)
Revenue Capital Total
$'000 $'000 $'000
Realised loss on sales of investments - (31,860) (31,860)
Unrealised appreciation of investments - 10,680 10,680
Exchange gain/(loss) 133 (2,067) (1,934)
Investment income 2,932 - 2,932
Deposit interest 20 - 20
3,085 (23,247) (20,162)
Investment management fee 2,767 - 2,767
Custodian fees 188 - 188
Administration fees 218 - 218
Registrar and transfer agent fees 19 - 19
Directors' fees and expenses 113 - 113
Interest expense and bank charges 253 - 253
Insurance fees 28 - 28
Audit fee 19 - 19
Printing and advertising fees 57 - 57
Legal and professional fees 43 - 43
Listing fees 27 - 27
Miscellaneous expenses 3 - 3
3,735 - 3,735
DEFICIT ON ORDINARY
ACTIVITIES BEFORE TAX (650) (23,247) (23,897)
Tax on ordinary activities (440) - (440)
DEFICIT ATTRIBUTABLE TO
EQUITY SHAREHOLDERS (1,090) (23,247) (24,337)
DEFICIT PER
ORDINARY SHARE : $(0.053) $(1.138) $(1.191)
(Based on the weighted average of 20,435,627 Ordinary Shares and the deficit attributable to Equity Shareholders
noted above.)
STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS
For the year ended 30 April 2004
(Expressed in United States Dollars)
2004 2003
$'000 $'000 $'000 $'000
OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Net cash outflow from operating (1,323) (1,045)
activities
SERVICING OF FINANCE
Interest paid (336) (258)
FINANCIAL INVESTMENT
Purchase of investments (215,812) (141,520)
Sale of investments 211,028 142,578
Net cash (outflow)/inflow from (4,784) 1,058
investing activities
Decrease in cash (6,443) (245)
RECONCILIATION OF NET CASH FLOW TO
MOVEMENT IN NET DEBT
Decrease in cash as above (6,443) (245)
Exchange movements (1,985) (2,067)
Movement in net debt in the year (8,428) (2,312)
Net debt at 1st May (24,130) (21,818)
Net debt at 30th April (32,558) (24,130)
ATLANTIS JAPAN GROWTH FUND LIMITED
CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT
FOR THE YEAR ENDED 30TH APRIL 2004
When I wrote to you this time last year, the Asian region was slowly recovering
from the ravages of a war in Iraq and the outbreak of SARS. The Tokyo Stock
Exchange Price Index (TOPIX) had hit a 20 year low of 770.46 on 18th April 2003
and began to recover in early May that year. This recovery in the Japanese stock
market, together with a slowly improving economy have been the major
characteristics of the past year and have provided much needed relief for long
term investors in Japan.
I am delighted to report that your Fund has performed well over the year with an
increase in net asset value of 132% in US Dollar terms compared with an increase
of 60.9% in the TOPIX. Since the beginning of 2004, divergence of performance
has been most marked, as small and medium sized companies, where the Investment
Manager has identified the best opportunities, have outperformed larger
companies.
SHARE PRICE DISCOUNT
The discount or premium on the Fund represents the share price relative to its
net asset value. Shareholders in the Fund will be pleased to learn that as Japan
has returned to favour with investors, the discount has narrowed considerably
and the Fund has, at times, traded at a premium. The discount on the Fund
averaged 7.7% during the period with a range of a discount of 16.7% on 30th
April 2003 to a premium of 2.1% on 1st April 2004*.
You have empowered your Board to monitor this discount and repurchase shares if
the discount moves out of line with Funds of a similar nature. Currently, the
discount is not out of line with the peer group consequently, to date, no
repurchases have been made. The Board will continue to monitor this situation
and will take action if necessary.
OUTLOOK
I am greatly encouraged by recent statistics indicating a modest recovery in the
Japanese economy. It is still too early to be confident of a sustained recovery
but GDP growth of 5.6% in the first quarter of 2004, admittedly from a low base,
must give cause for optimism. An end to deflation and recovery in earnings would
justify the rally in the stock market over the past year from the seemingly
oversold levels of last year. However, the Japanese stock market is not immune
to the forces affecting all worldwide stock markets currently including the
prospect of higher US interest rates, oil prices, political extremism and a
slowdown in the Chinese economy. Against this background, the Directors take
comfort from the Investment Manager's cautious optimism and we continue to
believe that the Fund is well positioned to take advantage of further
improvements in the economy and stock market over the year ahead.
The Fund maintains a high weighting in small and medium sized companies.
Our Adviser, Ed Merner, continues to believe that the best growth and value
opportunities are to be found in this area of the market. This strategy has
served us well over the past year and there seems little reason to change.
Finally, I am proud to be able to tell you that Money Observer presented your
Company with the Best Japan Trust Award for 2004 for the third year running, and
also Investment Week with the Best Japan Investment Trust of the Year Award for
the fourth year running.
Tim Guinness
Chairman
10 June 2004
*Source: Bloomberg
ATLANTIS JAPAN GROWTH FUND LIMITED
INVESTMENT MANAGER'S REPORT
FOR THE YEAR ENDED 30TH APRIL 2004
PERFORMANCE
The improving economy and higher corporate earnings had a favourable impact on
both the Tokyo Market and Net Asset Value ('NAV') of the Fund. For the year
ended 30th April 2004 the NAV of the Fund was up 132%, reaching $19.64 per
share. During the same period the Topix advanced 60.9% and the Tokyo Second
Market increased 114.3%, all figures adjusted to US dollars. Since inception, in
May 1996, the NAV per share of the Fund is up 97.98%, which compares with a
decline of 33.5% for the Topix and an increase of 32% for the Tokyo Second
Market, again all figures in US dollars.
The Fund has borrowings of Y4.5 billion ($40.8 million) and cash (net of
committed cash) stands at about Y448 million ($ 4 million). Based on the above,
the Fund is about 10% leveraged. The Fund has no foreign currency hedges and
none are planned at this time. Since almost all of the assets of the Fund are in
Yen, a stronger Yen has a positive impact on the NAV in US dollar terms and vice
versa. The Yen ended the year at Y110.185 to the US dollar compared with Y119.08
at the end of the previous year for a gain in the Yen of about 7.5%.
MARKET OUTLOOK
During the last twelve months the Japanese economy benefited from strong exports
and rising capital investments. Industrial production increased and consumer
spending showed some signs of a gradual recovery. The Bank of Japan continued
its easy money policy and interest rates, although higher at the long end of the
curve, remained at fairly low levels with the bell weather long government bond
of 10 years yielding only around 1.53%. Despite some pressure on wholesale
prices, the consumer price index was flat to slightly down.
Corporate earnings continued to show recovery for the fiscal year ended March
2004 and pretax earnings were probably up around 17-18%, exact figures being
released in June. For the current fiscal year ending in March 2005 we also
expect positive earnings growth.
GDP growth for the year ended March 2004 was probably around 3%, again no
figures are yet available. For the current fiscal year we are projecting GDP
growth of around 3% or higher.
Unemployment, which had risen at one time during the last year, has recently
improved and as of the end of March declined to 4.7%, the lowest since 2000.
To date consumer spending is, at best, displaying only modest recovery due to
lower bonuses and little in the way of salary increases in recent years. Higher
medical payments and other insurance premiums have also had a negative impact on
spending. However we sense that consumer confidence is slowly showing signs of
recovery but in any case do not look for a consumer boom.
ATLANTIS JAPAN GROWTH FUND LIMITED
INVESTMENT MANAGER'S REPORT (continued)
FOR THE YEAR ENDED 30TH APRIL 2004
In Japan, over the past 55 years there has been a close correlation between the
trend of stock prices and the trend of corporate earnings, with stocks usually
running ahead of the trend of earnings by 6-18 months. This relationship broke
down in the mid 1960's when there was a massive over supply of stocks and again
early last year when there was a massive over supply of shares caused by
aggressive selling by local pension accounts and city banks, through the
reduction of cross holdings, and reduced buying or even net selling in some
months by overseas investors.
However since April of last year, the market has been moving higher and
investors have favoured the medium sized and smaller stocks. In Yen terms the
Topix is up 48.9% but the Tokyo Second Market is up 98.3% over the same period.
Factors expected to influence the market during the coming year include the
trend of the economy and corporate earnings, Bank of Japan monetary policy, the
Yen (an overly strong Yen is negative), the government (there is a general
election for the Upper House in July), the world economy including economic
trends in the US, China, and the EU, major world stock markets, and possible
terrorist events.
Most of the above look favourable. We also think that overseas investors will
continue to be net buyers of Japanese equities. Perhaps 70-80% of the local
pension fund selling is now completed and hopefully selling of cross holdings
will become less of a negative in the future. On the plus side is the fact that
companies are continuing to buy back their own shares, the number of new shares
coming on the market is limited, and local investment trusts now seem to be new
buyers. Individuals, many of whom are now trading via the internet, account for
over 40% of daily trading and are net buyers in many weeks and months.
Weak overseas markets, an unexpected slowing of economic growth, aggressive
selling by overseas investors, or some sort of political crisis would probably
have a negative impact on the market and stock prices.
THE COMPANY
Our basic strategy remains unchanged. As in the past we will continue to focus
on long term earnings growth, price to book value, profit margins, return on
equity, free cash flow, management, and dividend yield. The Manager and the team
in Tokyo will continue to maintain a busy company visiting schedule with the aim
of seeking out undervalued growth companies, often companies that are not yet
well known, often companies not yet followed by brokers.
Due to stock appreciation, the size of the portfolio has become much bigger,
standing at over $400 million at year end. As a means of reducing risk and not
having too much in any one stock, the Manager has elected to have a large number
of stocks, now about 185, and in most cases any one holding accounts for no more
than 2-3% of the portfolio.
ATLANTIS JAPAN GROWTH FUND LIMITED
INVESTMENT MANAGER'S REPORT (continued)
FOR THE YEAR ENDED 30TH APRIL 2004
We look at all kinds of companies in all sorts of businesses and do not limit
ourselves to any maximum or minimum market capitalisation. However at present we
are finding the most value and growth in the smaller and medium sized issues,
which partly explains the large number of stocks. Many smaller stocks have small
floats and at times are difficult to buy and difficult to sell, especially if
something goes wrong.
Although we like and have exposure to some high technology companies we think
that manufacturing will continue to account for a decreasing part of Japanese
GDP and therefore have little exposure to heavy industry and 'Old Japan stocks'.
We think the future, including future growth, will come more from the service,
health care, specialized chain stores, wholesalers, generic drug companies, and
many other service/retail related companies. We are also looking at a number of
high technology companies and have holdings in several electronic related
companies including some of the parts makers and semiconductor equipment
manufacturers. Via stock picking, not sector allocation, the portfolio is
heavily exposed to the service, retail, and to the trading/wholesalers.
In the last year we have taken profits in many of the stocks in the portfolio,
which had, in our opinion, performed too well and had become fully or over
priced. We have tried to reinvest the funds generated into undervalued companies
with good growth prospects, which still look undervalued, and in some cases
remain depressed despite the good market.
The Manager continues to have no exposure to warrants and is also no longer
holding any convertible bonds. We are now looking at a number of convertibles
and may consider purchase in the right issue at the right price.
As in the past emphasis will continue to be placed on value and growth.
Atlantis Fund Management (Guernsey) Limited
July 2004
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