1st Quarter New Business
Aviva PLC
24 April 2003
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Page 1
24 April 2003
Aviva plc
Worldwide long-term savings new business
Three months to 31 March 2003
- Worldwide long-term new business sales of £3.8 billion (2002: £3.6 billion)
- Worldwide life and pensions sales of £601 million (2002: £598 million) on an APE* basis
- A resilient result in challenging markets demonstrating the benefits of diverse distribution and broad product
range
- Worldwide total bancassurance sales up 60% at £919 million (2002: £540 million)
- Continental European life and pensions sales up 23% on an APE* basis and now represent 51% of worldwide life and
pensions new business sales
- Worldwide new business contribution at £142 million (2002: £137 million), with new business margin of 23.6% (full
year 2002: 24.4%)
* Annual premium equivalent (APE) is the UK industry's standard measure of new regular premiums and 10% of single
premiums.
All growth rates quoted are at constant rates of exchange.
Richard Harvey, Group Chief Executive, commented:
'This is a resilient performance despite ongoing turmoil in international equity markets. The development of our
distribution capability across Europe and our broad product range has offset the contraction in demand for equity-linked
savings products. We expect challenging market conditions will persist for the remainder of this year however we are
confident that our business model can deliver some resilience through these tough times.
'We are taking action to protect profitability through cost control and re-pricing actions and this will remain a focus
throughout 2003.'
Enquiries:
Analysts/Investors: Philip Scott, Group Executive Director +44 (0)20 7662 2264
Steve Riley, Investor Relations Director +44 (0)20 7662 8115
Media: Hayley Stimpson, Director of External Affairs +44 (0)20 7662 7544
Sue Winston, Head of Group Media Relations +44 (0)20 7662 8221
Alex Child-Villiers, Financial Dynamics +44 (0)20 7269 7107
There will be a conference call today for wire services at 7:45am on +44 (0)20 7162 0183. This conference call will be
hosted by Philip Scott, Group Executive Director.
There will be a conference call today for analysts and investors at 9:30am (UK time) on +44 (0)20 7162 0179. This
conference call will be hosted by Philip Scott, Group Executive Director.
Replay will be available for two weeks until 8 May. The dial in number for replay is +44 (0)20 8288 4459 and the pass
code is 459112.
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Total new business Annual premium New business
sales equivalent sales(2) contribution(3)
3 months to 3 months to 3 months to
31 March Local 31 March Local 31 March Local
2003 currency 2003 currency 2003 currency
£m growth(1) £m growth(1) £m growth(1)
Life and pensions
United Kingdom 1,506 (17%) 263 (22%) 58 (27%)
France 514 (3%) 61 (3%) 19 6%
Ireland 68 (48%) 21 (41%) 6 (39%)
Italy 415 62% 61 97% 14 89%
Netherlands (including
Belgium and Luxembourg) 223 14% 45 18% 8 30%
Poland 22 29% 14 8% 1 (66%)
Spain 480 139% 69 94% 28 79%
Other Europe 73 1% 23 (2%) (2) (24%)
Continental Europe 1,795 28% 294 23% 74 30%
International 247 20% 44 21% 10 133%
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total life and pensions 3,548 4% 601 (2%) 142 1%
====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ======
Investment sales
United Kingdom 133 (8%) 15 -
Netherlands 38 10% 4 11%
Poland 8 - 1 -
Other Europe 11 (57%) 1 (57%)
Continental Europe 57 (5%) 6 (1%)
International 13 (88%) 1 (88%)
------ ------ ------ ------
Total investment sales 203 (35%) 22 (30%)
------ ------ ------ ------
Total long-term savings 3,751 - 623 (4%)
====== ====== ====== ======
Navigator sales 139 (38%) - -
(not included above)
(1) Growth rates are calculated based on constant rates of exchange.
(2) Annual premium equivalent (APE) is the UK industry's standard measure of new regular premiums and 10% of single
premiums.
(3) Stated before the effect of solvency margin.
United Kingdom:
Our UK life business has maintained its overall share of the UK life market at around 12% and delivered a solid
performance against a backdrop of continuing equity market volatility and an uncertain economic outlook. Total new
business sales for life and pensions business were £263 million (2002: £339 million) on an Annual Premium Equivalent
(APE) basis. Sales are in line with expectations and showed resilience relative to the third and fourth quarters of
2002.
Total sales through our joint venture with the Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBSG) were £214 million (2002: £216
million), including the first collective investment sales from February 2003. Early sales of these investment products
have been encouraging, with our 50% share totalling £21 million (2002: £nil). Our share of total life and pension sales
from the joint venture was £122 million (2002: £108 million). This comprised £72 million, being 100% of single premium
with-profit bond sales written through Norwich Union, and £50 million, being our 50% share of other life and pension
sales, written through the joint venture company.
Our annuity products continued to perform strongly with sales up 50% to £305 million (2002: £204 million). Sales also
benefited from the demand for guaranteed income products in weak equity markets and our competitive position in the
market place.
Total group pension sales increased 17% to £260 million (2002: £222 million), affirming our focus on the larger group
and corporate schemes sector. Sales of individual pensions were £443 million (2002: £603 million), including total
stakeholder sales of £190 million.
Total bond and savings sales were 40% lower overall at £427 million (2002: £709 million), reflecting the poor investment
climate which severely impacted sales of traditional investment bonds, particularly with-profit products. Sales of
structured bonds, which offer a degree of capital and income protection, began to gather momentum.
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New business contribution was £58 million (2002: £79 million) which reflects the change in business mix with a lower
proportion of bond sales and a higher proportion of lower margin pension sales and the impact of the change in economic
assumptions at the end of 2002. The first quarter margin was 22.0% (full year 2002: 23.6%).
We have announced our commitment to reduce unit costs in our UK life business and have taken action to strengthen our
position in the face of continuing tough trading conditions, by changing product structures and aligning costs to
revenues. We remain confident of continuing to deliver resilient results in the coming quarter. We are well positioned
to meet the challenges presented by current market conditions, and the changing regulatory and social environments to
which life and pensions providers are adapting in the UK.
The granting of waivers by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) for our three main with-profit funds is a step towards
an assessment of financial strength on a realistic basis. The waivers have the effect of protecting the solvency of the
funds from downside movements in equity markets, by giving us the ability to take a more realistic view of liabilities
in the with-profit funds. This, in turn, means that we can have greater freedom in our investment strategy. Standard &
Poors have recently reaffirmed the financial strength rating of AA ('very strong') with a stable outlook in respect of
the UK Life business.
France:
Aviva France reported total sales of £514 million (2002: £485 million). Sales of single premium AFER products were 1%
higher at £311 million (2002: £279 million), reflecting customers' continuing preference for fixed interest investments.
Aviva France continues to benefit from the strength of AFER's brand and its position as the largest savings organisation
in France.
Unit-linked and other savings products showed an increase in sales, up 5% at £188 million (2002: £163 million),
reversing the trend experienced through 2002. Sales of traditional unit-linked products, where returns are directly
linked to equity market performance, were lower due to continuing customer caution; however this was offset by
encouraging sales of a new series of limited offer unit-linked products launched in early 2003. These new products offer
customers a guaranteed return in their first year and revert to a non-guaranteed return in future years. Additional
products offering guarantees are planned for launch in the second quarter of 2003.
New business contribution was £19 million (2002: £17 million), with a margin of 31.0% (full year 2002: 30.9%).
Following the completion of our agreement with Mederic in 2002, we no longer write group protection business. Total
sales from this business were £123 million for 2002, including sales of £29 million in the first quarter of 2002. Sales
of a range of individual life products through our new agreement with Mederic are expected to commence later in 2003.
Ireland:
Hibernian Life & Pensions, our top five provider of life and pensions products, reported lower total sales of £68
million (2002: £116 million) in line with market trends. New business sales were £21 million (2002: £31 million) on an
APE basis, reflecting difficult market conditions and non-recurring first quarter 2002 sales of £8 million on an APE
basis of the government's Special Savings Incentive Account (SSIA).
We maintained our focus on pensions business, with sales benefiting from the demand for executive and group pension
products, offset by lower demand for personal pension products, where uncertainty remained ahead of the introduction of
the Government's new pension initiative, the Personal Retirement Savings Account (PRSA). New single premium pension
sales were £33 million (2002: £32 million) and new regular premium pension sales were £12 million (2002: £12 million).
Our PRSA individual pension offering was launched on 11 April 2003 and we are well placed to be a significant provider
of this product leveraging on our strong position in the Irish pensions market, our strong brand and robust investment
performance.
Life single premium sales were lower at £19 million (2002: £62 million) in a challenging market, reflecting investors'
caution towards unit-linked and with-profit bond investments. Although sales of protection business were encouraging,
sales of regular premium life products were lower at £4 million (2002: £10 million), impacted by the strong SSIA sales
in the first quarter of 2002. New business contribution was £6 million (2002: £9 million) with a margin of 28.3% (full
year 2002: 28.2%).
Italy:
Total new sales in Italy grew strongly by 62% to £415 million (2002: £234 million), reflecting the continuing
development of our bancassurance partnerships and including one-off single premium sales of £116 million sold by our
direct business.
Sales through our agreement with UniCredito Italiano (UCI) increased to £229 million (2002: £167 million). The
reorganisation of UCI's branch network is almost complete and the strong sales this quarter reflect the increased
strength of the reorganised network.
Total sales from the Banca Popolare di Lodi Group were lower at £34 million (2002: £42 million). Sales through Banca
delle Marche sustained the momentum established in the last quarter of 2002, with total sales up by 138% to £19 million
(2002: £7 million).
Sales through our new agreement with Banca Popolare Commercio e Industria commenced this quarter and produced
encouraging sales of £11 million (2002: £nil). The product range will be increased in the coming months to develop this
new distribution capability.
New business contribution amounted to £14 million (2002: £7 million) with a margin of 22.8% (full year 2002: 24.9%).
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Netherlands (including Belgium and Luxembourg):
Delta Lloyd, our top-five life and pensions business in the Netherlands, reported an increase of 14% in total sales to
£261 million (2002: £209 million).
Total pension and annuities sales were £123 million (2002: £119 million), reflecting a continuing focus on group pension
sales. Group pension business increased significantly as a result of the transfer of three new group pension schemes to
Delta Lloyd. Total single premium annuity sales were lower than the prior year, although these sales continued to flow
through OHRA, our direct channel, reflecting the successful retention of maturing monies on pension contracts.
Sales of single premium life products were £90 million (2002: £50 million), with the benefit of increasing sales through
Nagelmackers in Belgium as this channel continues to develop and sales build momentum. Investment sales increased 10% to
£38 million (2002: £31 million) reflecting demand for the new investment fund product with guaranteed returns, which was
launched in the Netherlands at the end of the third quarter of 2002. New business contribution amounted to £8 million
(2002: £6 million) with margins of 17.9% (full year 2002: 13.3%).
Our new bancassurance agreement with ABN AMRO is expected to complete shortly. Once completed, under the terms of this
agreement, Aviva will benefit from new business sales through this channel effective from 1 January 2003. Although not
included in our first quarter new business results, total sales through ABN AMRO for the quarter amounted to £83 million
and to £18 million on an APE basis.
Poland:
CU Polska remains the leading provider of individual life and private pensions with an 18% share of the life market
measured by total premium income and a 29% share of the private pensions market measured by total assets under
management.
Pension sales increased to £13 million (2002: £7 million) following publicity in the quarter from the State Agency,
which stimulated sales to members of the workforce without a chosen pensions provider.
New life premiums were lower at £9 million (2002: £11 million), reflecting continuing difficult economic conditions.
Mutual fund business, launched in the second quarter of 2002, achieved sales of £8 million (2002: £nil).
Spain:
In Spain, total new business premiums increased strongly by 139% to £480 million (2002: £182 million) following further
growth in our developing bancassurance partnerships and including one-off sales of £36 million. In Spain, Aviva is now
the second-largest bancassurer on the basis of gross written premiums.
Total new business sales through Bancaja increased by 129% to £304 million (2002: £121 million), benefiting from a
particularly high level of demand for traditional savings products. The guaranteed minimum returns available on these
products proved particularly popular against the background of falling market interest rates and low confidence in
equity markets. It is not, however, expected that the exceptional sales volumes in the first quarter of 2003, will be
repeated through the course of the year.
Our more recent agreements also achieved strong growth. New business sales were £46 million (2002: £10 million) through
Unicaja, £34 million (2002: £6 million) through Caixa Galicia, and £83 million (2002: £31 million) through Caja Espana.
These included one-off single premium pension sales of £14 million from Unicaja and £22 million from Caixa Galicia,
which were primarily corporate pensions business.
Development work is progressing according to plan with Caja de Granada, our most recent bancassurance partnership, with
sales expected to commence from mid-2003.
New business contribution was higher at £28 million (2002: £14 million) with a margin of 40.8% (full year 2002: 45.9%)
which reflects the significant volume of lower than average margin sales in the quarter.
Other Europe:
Total life and pension sales in these businesses were slightly higher at £73 million (2002: £67 million), including
single premiums of £56 million (2002: £50 million).
In Germany, total new business premiums were higher at £43 million (2002: £30 million), driven primarily by a special
offer on a savings product in the first quarter. Single premium sales from our Dublin-based offshore life and savings
business were £17 million (2002: £23 million) while in Luxembourg UCITS sales were £11 million (2002: £24 million)
reflecting difficult investment market conditions. In Turkey total new business premiums were £6 million (2002: £5
million), despite the difficult economic and political conditions.
International:
In our International business, total sales were £260 million (2002: £328 million), with life and pension sales
increasing 20% to £247 million (2002: £221 million).
United States: Total life and pension sales increased to £190 million (2002: £110 million), although they had slowed in
comparison to strong sales in the discrete fourth quarter of 2002. We expect this trend will continue through the rest
of 2003. Single premium sales were £179 million (2002: £100 million) with regular premium sales of £11 million (2002:
£10 million).
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Australia: Trading conditions remain difficult in Australia and as a result, total life and pension sales were lower at
£41 million (2002: £62 million) and sales of unit trusts were significantly lower at £13 million (2002: £107 million)
following a particularly strong first quarter in 2002 and the reluctance of customers to invest in equity-related
savings products. While not included in the new business figures, sales of Navigator, our market-leading master trust,
were also impacted by market conditions and were lower at £139 million (2002: £219 million).
Singapore and Hong Kong: Our bancassurance partnership with DBS Group Holdings Limited (DBS) in Singapore generated
total sales of £16 million (2002: £48 million). Sales were £5 million (2002: £7 million) on an APE basis reflecting our
ongoing strategic shift towards higher margin regular premium business. Our partnership with DBS in Hong Kong is in its
early stage of development following launch in the fourth quarter of 2002.
India: Our new partnership with Dabur Group in India, where we own 26% of the joint venture, was launched in June 2002
and has now sold over 15,000 policies, with contributions from our bancassurance partnerships including Canara Bank,
India's second largest bank, and our direct sales force. We have launched two new products: a regular savings personal
pension plan and a term assurance plan.
China: We launched our new joint-venture life business, Aviva COFCO, on 1 January 2003 and have now sold around 2,500
policies. The products comprise traditional regular premium risk and savings products as planned.
General Insurance operating performance
Trading update
Our worldwide general insurance operations had a strong start to 2003 benefiting from both a favourable rating
environment and better than expected weather-related claims experience across our European businesses, particularly in
the UK and Ireland.
Our businesses continue to achieve rating increases in both personal and commercial lines. In line with our
expectations, competition in the UK personal lines and commercial motor market has kept annualised rating increases
relatively low. By contrast double digit annualised rate increases continue to be achieved in both the UK commercial
property and liability markets.
In our other general insurance businesses single digit rating actions continue with the exception of Canada where rating
increases are averaging around 10% for personal lines and over 25% for commercial lines.
Canada general insurance
Following the integration of Pilot Insurance Company ('Pilot'), one of our general insurance subsidiaries in Canada,
into Aviva's main Canadian operations and the application of the Group's financial disciplines to this business, we
identified a shortfall in claims case reserves relating to prior years. Pilot operates solely in the province of
Ontario, and produced less than 1% of Aviva's total insurance premiums in 2002. It was previously a subsidiary of and
reported to the US general insurance business, which was sold by Aviva in 2001.
The impact of this shortfall on the Group is estimated at £70 million and comprises an increase of £32 million in
respect of prior year case reserves and conservative additional provisions of £38 million to cover claims yet to be
reported. The after-tax effect on the Group's net asset value as at 31 December 2002 amounts to £42 million or 0.4% of
net assets at that date.
Outlook for 2003
Following the strong start to the year, and notwithstanding the impact of the prior year reserving shortfall in Pilot,
our performance is consistent with our combined operating ratio target of 102%, or better, for the 2003 full year.
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Notes to Editors
1. Aviva is the UK's largest insurer and one of the top-five life companies in Europe with substantial positions in
other markets around the world, making it the world's seventh-largest insurance group based on gross worldwide
premiums. In the UK Aviva operates under the Norwich Union brand.
Aviva's principal business activities are long-term savings, fund management and general insurance, with
worldwide premium income and retail investment sales from continuing operations of £28 billion for the year ended
31 December 2002, and assets under management of more than £200 billion at 31 December 2002.
2. All figures have been translated at average exchange rates applying for the period. The average rates employed in
this announcement are 1 euro = £0.67 (three months to 31 March 2002: 1 euro = £0.61; year to 31 December 2002: 1
euro = £0.63) and £1 = Canada $2.41 for the period to 31 March 2003.
3. All growth rates are quoted in local currency.
4. Definitions:
Annual premium equivalent (APE) is a UK industry standard for calculating life, pensions and investments new
business levels. It is the total of new regular premiums and 10% of single premiums.
New business contribution is the present value of the projected stream of after-tax distributable earnings from
new life and pensions sales. New business contribution before tax is calculated by grossing up the new business
contribution after-tax at the full corporation tax rate for UK business and at appropriate rates of tax for other
countries.
New business margin is a UK industry standard calculation based on new business contribution (before the effect
of solvency margin) divided by sales measured on an APE basis.
5. Reclassification of 2002 comparatives:
United Kingdom:
In line with Association of British Insurer (ABI) Guidance, commencing from the first quarter of 2003, Group
Personal Pension Products (GPPP), including group stakeholder business, will be reclassified from group pension
business to individual pension business. The impact of this reclassification on the 2002 comparatives is shown
below.
Cumulative sales (£ million)
Q1 2002 Q2 2002 Q3 2002 Q4 2002
Single Regular Single Regular Single Regular Single Regular
Originally reported
Individual pensions 440 31 829 65 1,179 83 1,501 99
Group pensions 253 101 391 187 544 255 781 321
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
693 132 1,220 252 1,723 338 2,282 420
====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ======
After
reclassification
Individual pensions 495 108 929 205 1,316 266 1,685 327
Group pensions 198 24 291 47 407 72 597 93
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
693 132 1,220 252 1,723 338 2,282 420
====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ======
6. Pilot is one of five subsidiaries of Aviva's general insurance business in Canada. It operates solely in the
province of Ontario, selling general insurance for individuals and small businesses through brokers. In 2002
Pilot had net written premiums of C$546 million. Total net written premiums for Aviva's Canadian general
insurance businesses in 2002 were C$2,391 million.
7. Cautionary statements:
This preliminary announcement may contain 'forward looking statements' with respect to certain of Aviva's plans
and its current goals and expectations relating to its future financial condition, performance and results. By
their nature, all forward looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events
and circumstances which are beyond Aviva's control, including amongst other things, UK domestic and global
economic business conditions, market-related risks such as fluctuations in interest rates and exchange rates, the
policies and actions of regulatory authorities, the impact of competition, inflation, deflation, the timing
impact and other uncertainties of future acquisitions or combinations within relevant industries, as well as the
impact of tax and other legislation and other regulations in the jurisdictions in which Aviva and its affiliates
operate. As a result, Aviva's actual future financial condition, performance and results may differ materially
from the plans, goals and expectations set forth in Aviva's forward-looking statements.
Aviva undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation or any
other forward-looking statements we may make.
Aviva plc is a company registered in England No. 2468686.
Registered office St Helen's 1 Undershaft London EC3P 3DQ
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Statistical Supplement
CONTENTS
Analyses
1. Detailed worldwide long-term savings new business analysis
2. Analysis of UK long-term savings by distribution channel - sales and APE
3. Analysis of sales via bancassurance channels
4. Detailed analysis of new business contribution
5. Principal economic assumptions
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SUPPLEMENT 1
Detailed worldwide long-term savings new business analysis
Single Regular Total
3 months to 3 months to 3 months to 3 months to
31 March 31 March Local 31 March 31 March Local Local
2003 2002 currency 2003 2002 currency currency
£m £m growth £m £m growth growth
United Kingdom
Individual pensions 383 495 (23%) 60 108 (44%) (27%)
Group pensions 232 198 17% 28 24 17% 17%
Mortgage - - - 13 15 (13%) (13%)
Annuities 305 204 50% - - - 50%
Bonds 427 709 (40%) - - - (40%)
Other life 34 37 (8%) 24 28 (14%) (11%)
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total life and pensions 1,381 1,643 (16%) 125 175 (29%) (17%)
Peps/Isas/Unit Trusts/
Oeics 131 145 (10%) 2 - - (8%)
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
1,512 1,788 (15%) 127 175 (27%) (17%)
France
AFER (excluding
unit-linked) 311 279 1% - - - 1%
Unit-linked & other
savings 182 157 5% 6 6 (10%) 5%
Protection business 10 39 (76%) 5 4 28% (67%)
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
503 475 (4%) 11 10 2% (3%)
Ireland
Life and savings 19 62 (72%) 4 10 (69%) (72%)
Pensions 33 32 (7%) 12 12 (10%) (8%)
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
52 94 (50%) 16 22 (37%) (48%)
Italy
Life and savings 393 228 57% 22 6 255% 62%
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
393 228 57% 22 6 255% 62%
Netherlands (including
Belgium & Luxembourg)
Life 90 50 65% 10 9 2% 55%
Pensions and annuities 108 109 (10%) 15 10 38% (6%)
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total life and pensions 198 159 13% 25 19 21% 14%
Unit trusts 38 31 10% - - - 10%
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
236 190 13% 25 19 21% 14%
Poland
Life and savings 5 3 81% 4 8 (44%) (9%)
Pensions 4 2 111% 9 5 81% 89%
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total life and pensions 9 5 92% 13 13 5% 29%
Mutual funds 8 - - - - - -
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
17 5 275% 13 13 5% 80%
Spain
Life and savings 411 148 152% 15 9 44% 146%
Pensions 46 19 127% 8 6 22% 100%
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
457 167 149% 23 15 35% 139%
Other Europe
Life and pensions 56 50 2% 17 17 (4%) 1%
UCITS and other 11 24 (57%) - - - (57%)
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
67 74 (17%) 17 17 (4%) (15%)
International
Life and pensions 226 202 19% 21 19 22% 20%
Unit trusts 13 107 (88%) - - - (88%)
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
239 309 (20%) 21 19 22% (18%)
Total long-term savings 3,476 3,330 1% 275 296 (9%) -
====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ======
Analysed:
Life and pensions 3,275 3,023 5% 273 296 (9%) 4%
Investment sales 201 307 (36%) 2 - - (35%)
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total long-term savings 3,476 3,330 1% 275 296 (9%) -
====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ======
Navigator sales 139 219 (38%) - - - (38%)
(not included above)
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SUPPLEMENT 2
Analysis of UK long-term savings by distribution channel
Sales
Single Regular Total
3 months to 3 months to 3 months to 3 months to
31 March 31 March Local 31 March 31 March Local Local
2003 2002 currency 2003 2002 currency currency
£m £m growth (1) £m £m growth (1) growth (1)
IFA
- life & pensions
products 992 1,211 (18%) 101 140 (28%) (19%)
- investment products 70 89 (21%) 1 - - (20%)
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
1,062 1,300 (18%) 102 140 (27%) (19%)
Bancassurance
partnership with RBSG
- life & pensions
products 117 104 13% 5 4 25% 13%
- investment products 20 - - 1 - - -
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
137 104 32% 6 4 50% 32%
Other partnerships/
Direct
- life & pensions
products 272 328 (17%) 19 31 (39%) (19%)
- investment products 41 56 (27%) - - - (27%)
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
313 384 (18%) 19 31 (39%) (20%)
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total UK long-termsavings 1,512 1,788 (15%) 127 175 (27%) (17%)
====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ======
Annual premium equivalent (2)
Life and pensions sales Investment sales Total sales
3 months to 3 months to 3 months to
31 March Local 31 March Local 31 March Local
2003 currency 2003 currency 2003 currency
£m growth (1) £m growth (1) £m growth (1)
IFA 200 (23%) 8 (11%) 208 (23%)
Bancassurance partnership
with RBSG 17 21% 3 - 20 43%
Other partnerships/Direct 46 (28%) 4 (33%) 50 (29%)
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Total UK long-term
savings 263 (22%) 15 - 278 (21%)
====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ======
As from the first quarter of 2003, independent consultant sales are reported within IFA life and pensions sales having
previously been reported within Other partnerships/Direct. Independent consultant sales in the full year 2002 comprised
£79 million of single and £21 million of regular premiums. No restatement of the analysis of 2002 results has been made
on the basis that the impact of this reclassification is not material to the Group's result.
(1) Growth rates are calculated based on constant rates of exchange.
(2) Annual premium equivalent (APE) is the UK industry's standard measure of new regular premiums and 10% of single
premiums.
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SUPPLEMENT 3
Analysis of sales via our principal bancassurance channels
Total new business Annual premium
sales equivalent sales (2)
3 months to 3 months to
31 March Local 31 March Local
2003 currency 2003 currency
£m growth (1) £m growth (1)
Life and pensions
United Kingdom
Royal Bank of Scotland Group 122 13% 17 21%
------ ------ ------ ------
122 13% 17 21%
Italy
UniCredito 229 25% 31 45%
Banca Popolare di Lodi 34 (26%) 5 (21%)
Banca delle Marche 19 138% 12 1432%
Banca Popolare Commercio e Industria 11 - 1 -
------ ------ ------ ------
293 24% 49 71%
Spain
Bancaja 304 129% 39 78%
Caixa Galicia 34 386% 6 270%
Unicaja 46 318% 7 137%
Caja Espana 83 144% 12 171%
------ ------ ------ ------
467 152% 64 107%
International
DBS 16 (64%) 5 (15%)
------ ------ ------ ------
16 (64%) 5 (15%)
------ ------ ------ ------
Total life and pensions 898 57% 135 69%
Investment sales
United Kingdom
Royal Bank of Scotland Group 21 - 3 -
------ ------ ------ ------
21 - 3 -
------ ------ ------ ------
Total bancassurance sales 919 60% 138 72%
====== ====== ====== ======
(1) Growth rates are calculated based on constant rates of exchange.
(2) Annual premium equivalent (APE) is the UK industry's standard measure of new regular premiums and 10% of single
premiums.
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SUPPLEMENT 4
Detailed analysis of new business contribution
(a) Before the effect of solvency margin
Annual premium
equivalent (1) New business contribution (2, 3) New business margin (4)
3 months 3 months 3 months 3 months
2003 2002 2003 2002 3 months 3 months Full year
£m £m £m £m 2003 2002 2002
Life and pensions
business
United Kingdom 263 339 58 79 22.0% 23.3% 23.6%
France 61 58 19 17 31.0% 29.6% 30.9%
Ireland 21 31 6 9 28.3% 28.7% 28.2%
Italy 61 29 14 7 22.8% 24.3% 24.9%
Netherlands (including
Belgium and Luxembourg) 45 35 8 6 17.9% 17.2% 13.3%
Poland 14 13 1 3 7.2% 22.2% 20.8%
Spain 69 32 28 14 40.8% 44.2% 45.9%
Other Europe 23 22 (2) (2) (8.8%) (9.1%) (5.4%)
Continental Europe 294 220 74 54 25.2% 24.6% 25.7%
International 44 39 10 4 22.9% 10.2% 22.2%
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
601 598 142 137 23.6% 22.9% 24.4%
====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ======
(1) Annual premium equivalent (APE) is the UK industry's standard measure of new regular premiums and 10% of single
premiums.
(2) Before effect of solvency margin.
(3) New business contribution before the effect of solvency margin includes minority interests in 2002 of £22 million
(three months to 31 March 2002: £12 million). This comprises minority interests in France of £1 million (three
months to 31 March 2002: £1 million), Italy £7 million (three months to 31 March 2002: £3 million), Spain £14
million (three months to 31 March 2002: £8 million).
(4) New business margin represents the ratio of new business contribution to annual premium equivalent, expressed as a
percentage.
(b) Including the effect of solvency margin(1)
3 months 3 months
2003 2002
£m £m
Life and pensions business
United Kingdom 51 76
France 9 7
Ireland 5 8
Italy 8 5
Netherlands (including Belgium and Luxembourg) 2 1
Poland 1 3
Spain 21 12
Other Europe (3) (3)
Continental Europe 43 33
International 7 2
------ ------
101 111
====== ======
(1) The effect of solvency margin represents the impact of holding the minimum European Union (EU) solvency margin (or
equivalent for non-EU operations) and discounting to present value the projected future releases from the solvency
margin to shareholders.
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Page 11
SUPPLEMENT 5
Principal economic assumptions
Economic assumptions are derived actively based on market yields on risk free fixed interest assets at each period end.
Margins are applied on a consistent basis to risk-free yields to obtain investment return assumptions for ordinary
shares and property, and risk discount rates.
New business contribution has been calculated using the economic assumptions set at the end of the previous year, as
shown in the tables below:
United Kingdom France
2002 2001 2002 2001
Risk discount rate 7.3% 7.7% 8.1% 8.6%
Pre-tax investment returns:
Base government
fixed interest 4.5% 5.0% 4.3% 5.1%
Ordinary shares 7.0% 7.5% 6.3% 7.1%
Property 6.0% 6.5% 5.8% 6.6%
Future expense inflation 3.6% 3.7% 2.5% 2.5%
Tax rate 30.0% 30.0% 35.4% 36.4%
Ireland Italy
2002 2001 2002 2001
Risk discount rate 8.7% 9.3% 7.3% 7.6%
Pre-tax investment returns:
Base government
fixed interest 4.6% 5.3% 4.4% 5.3%
Ordinary shares 7.6% 8.3% 7.4% 8.3%
Property 6.1% 6.8% 5.9% 6.8%
Future expense inflation 4.0% 4.0% 3.3% 3.3%
Tax rate 12.5% 16.0% 39.8% 41.0%
Netherlands Poland*
2002 2001 2002 2001
Risk discount rate 7.4% 8.0% 15.4% 18.5%
Pre-tax investment returns:
Base government
fixed interest 4.2% 5.1% 8.0% 12.5%
Ordinary shares 7.2% 8.1% 8.0% 12.5%
Property 5.7% 6.6% n/a n/a
Future expense inflation 2.5% 2.5% 5.4% 9.2%
Tax rate 25.0% 25.0% 27.0% 28.0%
Spain
2002 2001
Risk discount rate 7.7% 8.3%
Pre-tax investment returns:
Base government
fixed interest 4.6% 5.3%
Ordinary shares 7.6% 8.3%
Property 6.1% 6.8%
Future expense inflation 3.0% 3.2%
Tax rate 35.0% 35.0%
* The economic assumptions shown above are those in the calculations for the life business. The economic assumptions
for the pension business are identical with the exception of the discount rate which is 13.8% (2001: 16.9%)
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End Of Announcement
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange