3Q 2015 IMS

RNS Number : 7855D
Aviva PLC
29 October 2015
 



 

 

News Release

Aviva plc

 

 

Aviva plc Third Quarter 2015
Interim Management Statement

 

Mark Wilson, Group Chief Executive Officer, said:

 

"We are maintaining the momentum of Aviva's transformation with a further quarter of improved performance. In life insurance, value of new business was up 25%¹, the eleventh consecutive quarter of growth. The general insurance combined ratio of 94.0% is a more than adequate result. This level of consistency is important as we transform and grow Aviva.

"The acquisition of Friends Life is everything we expected it to be. We have now achieved £91 million of savings against our target of £225 million. At the same time our UK Life business continues to grow and our customers are responding positively to the full range of pensions freedoms we offer.

"In asset management, our flagship fund range, AIMS, continues its strong investment performance and the Target Return Fund has recorded returns of 6.6% over the past 12 months. AIMS now has £1.9 billion of funds under management. We expect this growth to continue."

 

9M15 numbers include Friends Life from 10 April 2015, the acquisition completion date. 9M14 is Aviva standalone.

Life Insurance

·      Value of new business² (VNB) grew 25%¹ to £823 million (9M14: £685 million)

·      UK Life VNB grew 36% to £404 million (9M14: £297 million), up 13% excluding Friends Life

·      Aviva platforms continue to grow with over £2.2 billion of net inflows in the nine months to 30th September 2015 taking AUM to £7.3 billion

·      Europe2 VNB grew 11%1 to £284 million with particularly strong growth in Italy2 up 55%1 to £57 million. Asia2 VNB up 21%1 to £115 million (9M14: £92 million)

General Insurance

·      Combined operating ratio (COR) improved to 94.0% (9M14: 95.9%)

·      UK & Ireland COR of 92.8% (9M14: 94.2%), Canada COR of 94.2% (9M14: 96.8%), Europe COR of 97.1% (9M14: 99.8%)

·      GI and health net written premiums up 2%1 to £6,110 million

1Asset Management

·      AIMS Target Return fund continues to outperform peers with a return of 6.6% over the past 12 months. The AIMS suite of funds now has £1.9 billion under management.

1Balance sheet

·      IFRS net asset value up 2% to 387p per share (HY15: 380p)

·      Resilient capital position throughout recent market volatility with an economic capital surplus3 of £10.1 billion (HY15: £10.8 billion), a coverage ratio of 172% (HY15: 176%) performing in line with our published sensitivities

·      S&P revised upwards the financial risk profile of the Group to strong and S&P leverage ratio remains stable at 27% (HY15: 27%4)

1Friends Life integration

·      £91 million of run-rate synergies achieved against a £225 million target - ahead of plan

·      £23 billion of Friends Life assets due to be transferred from AXA Investment Managers in November

 

1      On a constant currency basis.

2      Poland includes Lithuania, Italy excludes Eurovita, Spain excludes CxG and Asia excludes South Korea.

3      The economic capital surplus represents an estimated position. The economic capital requirement is based on Aviva's own internal assessment and capital management policies. The term 'economic capital' does not imply capital as required by regulators or other third parties.

4      HY15 S&P leverage ratio is on a pro-forma basis, taking account of planned redemptions, calls and other reductions of debt in Q3 2015.

 

 

 

 

Page 2

 

Key financial metrics

 

Operating capital generation 


9 months 2015

£bn

9 months 2014

£bn

United Kingdom & Ireland Life

0.7

0.5

United Kingdom & Ireland General Insurance & Health

0.3

0.3

Europe

0.3

0.4

Canada

0.1

0.1

Asia and Other

-

-

Total

1.4

1.3

 

Value of new business


9 months 2015
£m

9 months 2014
£m

Sterling % change1

Constant currency % change1

United Kingdom & Ireland

415

303

37%

38%

France

144

156

(8)%

2%

Poland2

46

46

-

11%

Italy2

57

41

39%

55%

Spain2

20

19

3%

15%

Turkey

17

23

(25)%

(15)%

Asia2

115

92

24%

21%

Aviva Investors

9

5

72%

72%

Value of new business2

823

685

20%

25%

 

General insurance combined operating ratio


9 months 2015

9 months 2014

Change

United Kingdom & Ireland3

92.8%

94.2%

(1.4)pp

Europe

97.1%

99.8%

(2.7)pp

Canada

94.2%

96.8%

(2.6)pp

General insurance combined operating ratio

94.0%

95.9%

(1.9)pp

 

Capital position


30 September 2015

£bn

30 June

2015

£bn

Sterling% change

Estimated economic capital surplus4

10.1

10.8

(6)%

Estimated IGD solvency surplus4

5.2

5.2

-

IFRS net asset value per share

387p

380p

2%

MCEV net asset value per share5

504p

508p

(1)%

 

1    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

2    Poland includes Lithuania, Italy excludes Eurovita, Spain excludes CxG and Asia excludes South Korea.

3    Excludes the one-off impact from an outward quota share reinsurance agreement completed in 2015 in Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL).

4    The economic capital and IGD surpluses represent an estimated position. The economic capital requirement is based on Aviva's own internal assessment and capital management policies. The term 'economic capital' does not imply capital as required by regulators or other third parties.

5    In preparing the MCEV information, the directors have done so in accordance with the European Insurance CFO Forum MCEV Principles.

 

 

 

Page 3

 

Chief Executive Officer's report

Overview

We are maintaining the momentum of Aviva's transformation. Value of new business is up 25%¹ to £823 million (9M14: £685 million2), the combined operating ratio has improved to 94.0% (9M14: 95.9%) and run-rate synergies from the Friends Life acquisition have grown to £91 million (HY15: £63 million).

 

Our economic capital has remained resilient at 172% despite significant market volatility in the third quarter, with our capital sensitivities proving accurate. We expect a positive outcome to our Solvency II internal model application, due to be announced in December this year. We have completed two projects to further improve our balance sheet, reinsuring the majority of our UK general insurance latent risk portfolio in September and disposing of a £2.2 billion portfolio of non-core commercial mortgages in October. 

 

Work continues to transform Aviva into a leading digital insurer and we will open our second Digital Garage in Singapore in December. We are seeing encouraging growth in the volume of customer interactions that are completed online, albeit from a low base. We continue to develop our suite of digital propositions to be implemented across our business units.

Life Insurance

 

·      Value of new business up 25% in constant currency

·      UK Life up 36%

 

Value of new business, our growth measure for life insurance, increased 25% in constant currency to £823 million (9M14: £685 million2).

 

VNB in the UK grew 36% to £404 million. Excluding Friends Life, UK VNB was 13% higher at £335 million, principally reflecting improved performance in pensions. All UK Life customers are now able to benefit from the full range of pensions freedoms on our consumer platform. Total assets on our platforms now stand at £7.3 billion with 25% of platform net flows being invested with Aviva Investors. Ireland Life VNB grew 110%1 to £11 million as a result of higher margins in pensions and savings products.

 

In our developed European markets, France VNB grew 2%1 to £144 million principally due to higher sales and improved margin on protection products, partly offset by lower margins on savings products as a result of lower risk free rates. Italy2 continued its strong turnaround, with 55%1 growth in VNB to £57 million (9M14: £41 million), reflecting improved margins on savings and protection products, while in Spain2 VNB grew by a creditable 15%1.

 

Performance in our growth markets remained positive with attractive underlying trends. These businesses account for 22% of our Group VNB and we will look to allocate more capital to these areas. Poland2 VNB was 11%1 higher at £46 million despite the non recurrence of an £8 million benefit to VNB in 2014 from pension regulatory change. In Turkey, VNB fell 15%1 to £17 million (9M14: £23 million) as the impact of underlying growth was offset by a reduction in our share of the business following the partial IPO. Asia2 grew 21%1 as strong performances in China and Singapore were partly offset by India.

Friends Life
Integration

At the end of the third quarter we have secured run-rate synergies of £91 million, an increase of £28 million from the half year against a £225 million target. The transfer of £23 billion of Friends Life assets from AXA Investment Managers is due to occur in November. Overall capital synergies from the acquisition are expected to be material. The integration is progressing well and ahead of our internal timetable.

 

The acquisition of Friends Life has created the largest life insurer in the UK. As a result we are in a strong position to look after our customers' entire savings, pensions and retirement needs. For example, we offer the full range of pension freedoms; we are the number one corporate pension provider and have recently launched our new combined Group protection proposition.

 

1    On a constant currency basis.

2    Poland includes Lithuania, Italy excludes Eurovita, Spain excludes CxG and Asia excludes South Korea.

 

 

 

 

Page 4

 

Group Chief Executive Officer's report continued

 

 

General Insurance

 

·      COR improved 1.9pp to 94.0%

·      GI and health net
written premiums
2% higher in constant currency

 

Our general insurance combined operating ratio (COR) improved 1.9 percentage points to 94.0% (9M14: 95.9%) due to lower weather losses and improved efficiency. General insurance and health net written premiums were 2% higher in constant currency at £6,110 million.

 

The UK & Ireland COR improved 1.4 percentage points to 92.8% (9M14: 94.2%), with growth in net written premiums continuing with a 1%¹ improvement. We continue to reshape our distribution and portfolio mix, exiting unprofitable lines of business and reallocating capital to our Digital & True Customer Composite propositions. Further to our announcement at the half year of our new distribution agreement with TSB, we are announcing today a new exclusive five year agreement to underwrite home assistance products for HomeServe's 2 million UK customers.

 

In Canada, the COR improved 2.6 percentage points to 94.2% (9M14: 96.8%) reflecting better overall weather experience, offset mainly by large loss experience in personal property. Net written premiums are 2%1 higher despite selected exits from unprofitable business lines.

 

The European COR improved to 97.1% (9M14: 97.7%2) through a combination of better weather in France and a lower expense ratio across all markets. General insurance and health net written premiums grew 3%2 to £1,067 million on a constant currency basis.

Asset Management

 

·      AIMS now has £1.9 billion of FUM

 

Aviva Investors continues to make progress on its turnaround during a period of difficult industry conditions. Gross sales of £4.0 billion are encouraging and are at a higher margin than redemptions, which remain too high at £4.5 billion.

 

The AIMS flagship range of funds continues its strong performance versus peers and now has £1.9 billion of funds under management. During the third quarter, performance has been broadly flat versus the FTSE 100 which has dropped 6%, and over the past 12 months the Target Return Fund has outperformed peers and recorded returns of 6.6%. Our partnership with Virtus Investment Partners in the United States launched successfully and we continue to seek more international distribution agreements.


Balance sheet

 

·      Economic capital
surplus3 £10.1 billion

 

Aviva's balance sheet remains strong with a 3Q15 economic capital surplus3 of £10.1 billion (HY15: £10.8 billion). Our coverage ratio of 172% has been resilient during the volatile investment markets seen in the third quarter and has performed as expected and in line with published sensitivities.

 

Our IFRS book value per share increased 2% over the quarter to 387p per share (HY15: 380p). Operating profits and a small increase in our pension surplus more than offset the negative impact of investment variances.

 

During the quarter, we completed a reinsurance transaction that includes provision of c.£0.8 billion of adverse development cover for our UK General Insurance latent reserves. This provides significant protection against claims volatility from mesothelioma, industrial deafness and other long tail risks. The transaction produces an economic capital benefit of c.£0.1 billion and will lead to a one-off IFRS loss before tax of c.£56 million. There will be an on-going reduction in investment income, estimated at c.£10 million per annum, as a result of transferring assets to settle the reinsurance premium.

 

In UK Life, we disposed of £2.2 billion of non-core commercial mortgages in October.

Solvency II

 

 

We expect to obtain approval for our internal model in December 2015 and whilst we are in the process of finalising the remaining issues, we are comfortable with our level of capital and satisfied that it will be within our expected Solvency II range.

 

We will report our Solvency II numbers for the first time at our full year results in March 2016 and we will also provide our target capital range, sensitivities and roadmap for capital going forward at that time.

 

1    On a constant currency basis.

2    Excluding the Turkish general insurance business disposed of in December 2014.

3    The economic capital surplus represents an estimated position. The economic capital requirement is based on Aviva's own internal assessment and capital management policies. The term 'economic capital' does not imply capital as required by regulators or other third parties.

 

 

 

 

Page 5

 

Group Chief Executive Officer's report continued

 

 

Digital

 

Digital remains crucial to our future success and our position as a True Customer Composite gives us a strategic advantage. Our second digital garage will be opened in Singapore in December. Good progress has been made in hiring our global digital leadership team, bringing industry leading expertise in digital design and digital marketing. We are seeing encouraging growth in the volume of customer interactions that are completed online, and continue to develop our suite of digital propositions to be implemented across our business units.

Outlook

 

Our near term priorities are clear; we are focused on delivering the benefits from the Friends Life integration and the transition to Solvency II. Beyond that, there exists significant upside from better capital allocation and a more effective digital customer proposition.

 

The third quarter results are further evidence of our progress since we started our turnaround. We remain focused on showing improvement in our key metrics year after year.

 

 

 

Mark Wilson

Group Chief Executive Officer

 

 

 

 

Page 6

 

Notes to editors

All comparators are for the 9 months to 30 September 2014 unless otherwise stated.

      Income and expenses of foreign entities are translated at average exchange rates while their assets and liabilities are translated at the closing rates on 30 September 2015. The average rates employed in this announcement are 1 euro = £0.73 (9 months to 30 September 2014: 1 euro = £0.81) and CAD$1 = £0.52 (9 months to 30 September 2014: CAD$1 = £0.55).

      Growth rates in the press release have been provided in sterling terms unless stated otherwise. The following supplement presents this information on both a sterling and constant currency basis.

Cautionary statements:

This should be read in conjunction with the documents filed by Aviva plc (the "Company" or "Aviva") with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"). This announcement contains, and we may make other verbal or written "forward-looking statements" with respect to certain of Aviva's plans and current goals and expectations relating to future financial condition, performance, results, strategic initiatives and objectives. Statements containing the words "believes", "intends", "expects", "projects", "plans", "will," "seeks", "aims", "may", "could", "outlook", "likely", "target", "goal", "guidance", "trends", "future", "estimates", "potential" and "anticipates", and words of similar meaning, are forward-looking. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Aviva believes factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in forward-looking statements in the announcement include, but are not limited to: the impact of ongoing difficult conditions in the global financial markets and the economy generally; the impact of simplifying our operating structure and activities; the impact of various local political, regulatory and economic conditions; market developments and government actions regarding the sovereign debt crisis in Europe; the effect of credit spread volatility on the net unrealised value of the investment portfolio; the effect of losses due to defaults by counterparties, including potential sovereign debt defaults or restructurings, on the value of our investments; changes in interest rates that may cause policyholders to surrender their contracts, reduce the value of our portfolio and impact our asset and liability matching; the impact of changes in short or long term inflation; the impact of changes in equity or property prices on our investment portfolio; fluctuations in currency exchange rates; the effect of market fluctuations on the value of options and guarantees embedded in some of our life insurance products and the value of the assets backing their reserves; the amount of allowances and impairments taken on our investments; the effect of adverse capital and credit market conditions on our ability to meet liquidity needs and our access to capital; changes in, or restrictions on, our ability to initiate capital management initiatives or an acceleration of repayment of intercompany indebtedness; changes in or inaccuracy of assumptions in pricing and reserving for insurance business (particularly with regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal rates), longevity and endowments; a cyclical downturn of the insurance industry; the impact of natural and man-made catastrophic events on our business activities and results of operations; our reliance on information and technology and third-party service providers for our operations and systems; the inability of reinsurers to meet obligations or unavailability of reinsurance coverage; increased competition in the UK and in other countries where we have significant operations; the effect of the European Union's "Solvency II" rules on our regulatory capital requirements; the impact of actual experience differing from estimates used in valuing and amortising deferred acquisition costs ("DAC") and acquired value of in-force business ("AVIF"); the impact of recognising an impairment of our goodwill or intangibles with indefinite lives; changes in valuation methodologies, estimates and assumptions used in the valuation of investment securities; the effect of legal proceedings and regulatory investigations; the impact of operational risks, including inadequate or failed internal and external processes, systems and human error or from external events; risks associated with arrangements with third parties, including joint ventures; our reliance on third-party distribution channels to deliver our products; funding risks associated with our participation in defined benefit staff pension schemes; the failure to attract or retain the necessary key personnel; the effect of systems errors or regulatory changes on the calculation of unit prices or deduction of charges for our unit-linked products that may require retrospective compensation to our customers; the effect of fluctuations in share price as a result of general market conditions or otherwise; the effect of simplifying our operating structure and activities; the effect of a decline in any of our ratings by rating agencies on our standing among customers, broker-dealers, agents, wholesalers and other distributors of our products and services; changes to our brand and reputation; changes in government regulations or tax laws in jurisdictions where we conduct business, including decreased demand for annuities in the UK due to changes in UK law; the inability to protect our intellectual property; the effect of undisclosed liabilities, integration issues and other risks associated with our acquisitions; and the timing/regulatory approval impact, integration risk and other uncertainties, such as non-realisation of expected benefits or diversion of management attention and other resources, relating to announced acquisitions and pending disposals and relating to future acquisitions, combinations or disposals within relevant industries, including specifically the acquisition of Friends Life; the policies, decisions and actions of government or regulatory authorities in the UK, the EU, the US or elsewhere, including the implementation of key legislation and regulation. For a more detailed description of these risks, uncertainties and other factors, please see Item 3d, "Risk Factors", and Item 5, "Operating and Financial Review and Prospects" in Aviva's most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F as filed with the SEC on 16 March 2015 and also the risk factors contained in the Euro Note Programme prospectus published on 1 May 2015. Aviva undertakes no obligation to update the forward looking statements in this announcement or any other forward-looking statements we may make. Forward-looking statements in this presentation are current only as of the date on which such statements are made.

 

Aviva plc is a company registered in England No. 2468686.

Registered office

St Helen's

1 Undershaft

London

EC3P 3DQ

 

 

Contacts

Investor contacts

Media contacts

Timings

Colin Simpson
+44 (0)20 7662 8115

David Elliot
+44 (0)20 7662 8048

Nigel Prideaux
+44 (0)20 7662 0215

Andrew Reid
+44 (0)20 7662 3131

Sarah Swailes
+44 (0)20 7662 6700

Real time media conference call: 07.30 hrs GMT

Analyst conference call: 08.30 hrs GMT

Tel: +44 (0)20 3367 9433

Conference ID: 511455

 

 

 

 

Page 7

 

Statistical supplement

 

1.          Basis of preparation  

 

2.          Trend analysis of VNB - cumulative

 

3.          Trend analysis of VNB - discrete

 

4.          Trend analysis of PVNBP - cumulative

 

5.          Trend analysis of PVNBP - discrete

 

6.          Trend analysis of PVNBP by product - cumulative

 

7.          Trend analysis of PVNBP by product - discrete

 

8.          Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums

 

9.          Trend analysis of Investment sales - cumulative

 

10.        Trend analysis of Investment sales - discrete

 

11.        Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - investment sales

 

12.        Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - cumulative

 

13.        Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - discrete

 

 

 

 

Page 8

 

 

1 - Basis of preparation

 

The information included in this announcement and statistical supplement includes the results of Friends Life from 10 April 2015, the acquisition completion date. For the avoidance of doubt, all results for periods prior to 2Q15 are Aviva standalone.

2 - Trend analysis of VNB - cumulative

 










Growth1 on 3Q14

Gross of tax and non-controlling interests

1Q14 YTD
£m

2Q14 YTD
£m

3Q14 YTD £m

4Q14 YTD £m

1Q15 YTD £m

2Q15 YTD £m

3Q15 YTD £m

Sterling
%

Constant currency %

United Kingdom2

89

177

297

473

103

253

404

36%

36%

Ireland

3

6

6

9

3

7

11

89%

110%

United Kingdom & Ireland

92

183

303

482

106

260

415

37%

38%

France

54

110

156

205

56

98

144

(8)%

2%

Poland3

21

34

46

64

15

30

46

-

11%

Italy - excluding Eurovita

15

26

41

63

19

39

57

39%

55%

Spain - excluding CxG

6

14

19

30

6

13

20

3%

15%

Turkey4

6

14

23

30

6

12

17

(25)%

(15)%

Europe

102

198

285

392

102

192

284

(1)%

11%

Asia5 - excluding South Korea

29

61

92

122

36

76

115

24%

21%

Aviva Investors6

-

2

5

9

3

6

9

72%

72%

Value of new business - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

223

444

685

1,005

247

534

823

20%

25%

Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

1

-

1

4

-

-

-

-

-

Total value of new business

224

444

686

1,009

247

534

823

20%

25%

1    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

2    United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.

3    Poland includes Lithuania.

4    The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering. Aviva's holding was further reduced to 40.0% on 7 August 2015.

5    Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.

6    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

3 - Trend analysis of VNB - discrete

 










Growth1 on 3Q14

Gross of tax and non-controlling interests

1Q14 Discrete
£m

2Q14 Discrete
£m

3Q14 Discrete
 £m

4Q14 Discrete
 £m

1Q15 Discrete
£m

2Q15 Discrete
£m

3Q15 Discrete
£m

Sterling
 %

Constant currency
%

United Kingdom2

89

88

120

176

103

150

151

26%

26%

Ireland

3

3

-

3

3

4

4

-

-

United Kingdom & Ireland

92

91

120

179

106

154

155

31%

30%

France

54

56

46

49

56

42

46

-

9%

Poland3

21

13

12

18

15

15

16

33%

43%

Italy - excluding Eurovita

15

11

15

22

19

20

18

22%

34%

Spain - excluding CxG

6

8

5

11

6

7

7

47%

60%

Turkey4

6

8

9

7

6

6

5

(42)%

(35)%

Europe

102

96

87

107

102

90

92

7%

17%

Asia5 - excluding South Korea

29

32

31

30

36

40

39

25%

23%

Aviva Investors6

-

2

3

4

3

3

3

(17)%

(17)%

Value of new business - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

223

221

241

320

247

287

289

20%

24%

Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

1

(1)

1

3

-

-

-

-

-

Total value of new business

224

220

242

323

247

287

289

19%

23%

1    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

2    United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.

3    Poland includes Lithuania.

4    The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering. Aviva's holding was further reduced to 40.0% on 7 August 2015.

5    Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.

6    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

 

 

 

 

Page 9

 

 

4 - Trend analysis of PVNBP - cumulative

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Growth2 on 3Q14

Present value of new business premiums1

1Q14 YTD £m

2Q14 YTD £m

3Q14 YTD £m

4Q14 YTD £m

1Q15 YTD £m

2Q15 YTD £m

3Q15 YTD £m

Sterling
%

Constant currency %

United Kingdom3,8

2,931

6,052

9,098

12,009

2,445

7,071

11,696

29%

29%

Ireland

105

196

291

435

132

270

406

39%

55%

United Kingdom & Ireland

3,036

6,248

9,389

12,444

2,577

7,341

12,102

29%

29%

France

1,310

2,427

3,538

4,633

1,319

2,553

3,639

3%

15%

Poland4

234

332

429

573

110

218

319

(26)%

(18)%

Italy - excluding Eurovita

698

1,440

2,060

2,473

603

1,116

1,518

(26)%

(18)%

Spain - excluding CxG

270

536

743

1,054

224

363

455

(39)%

(32)%

Turkey5

110

231

348

495

134

251

347

-

12%

Europe

2,622

4,966

7,118

9,228

2,390

4,501

6,278

(12)%

(2)%

Asia6 - excluding South Korea

421

867

1,357

1,854

623

1,449

2,218

63%

60%

Aviva Investors7

5

257

562

881

366

761

1,165

107%

107%

Total - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

6,084

12,338

18,426

24,407

5,956

14,052

21,763

18%

23%

Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

136

292

307

321

-

-

-

-

-

Total

6,220

12,630

18,733

24,728

5,956

14,052

21,763

16%

21%

1    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

3    United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.

4    Poland includes Lithuania.

5    The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering. Aviva's holding was further reduced to 40.0% on 7 August 2015.

6    Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.

7    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

8    Includes c.£1 billion PVNBP (net of reinsurance) relating to a longevity insurance transaction completed in 3Q15.

5 - Trend analysis of PVNBP - discrete

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Growth2 on 3Q14

Present value of new business premiums1

1Q14 Discrete £m

2Q14 Discrete £m

3Q14 Discrete £m

4Q14 Discrete £m

1Q15 Discrete £m

2Q15 Discrete £m

3Q15 Discrete £m

Sterling
%

Constant currency %

United Kingdom3,8

2,931

3,121

3,046

2,911

2,445

4,626

4,625

52%

52%

Ireland

105

91

95

144

132

138

136

42%

56%

United Kingdom & Ireland

3,036

3,212

3,141

3,055

2,577

4,764

4,761

52%

52%

France

1,310

1,117

1,111

1,095

1,319

1,234

1,086

(2)%

7%

Poland4

234

98

97

144

110

108

101

4%

11%

Italy - excluding Eurovita

698

742

620

413

603

513

402

(35)%

(29)%

Spain - excluding CxG

270

266

207

311

224

139

92

(56)%

(52)%

Turkey5

110

121

117

147

134

117

96

(18)%

(7)%

Europe

2,622

2,344

2,152

2,110

2,390

2,111

1,777

(17)%

(10)%

Asia6 - excluding South Korea

421

446

490

497

623

826

769

57%

55%

Aviva Investors7

5

252

305

319

366

395

404

33%

33%

Total - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

6,084

6,254

6,088

5,981

5,956

8,096

7,711

27%

31%

Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

136

156

15

14

-

-

-

-

-

Total

6,220

6,410

6,103

5,995

5,956

8,096

7,711

26%

30%

1    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

3    United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.

4    Poland includes Lithuania.

5    The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering. Aviva's holding was further reduced to 40.0% on 7 August 2015.

6    Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.

7    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

8    Includes c.£1 billion PVNBP (net of reinsurance) relating to a longevity insurance transaction completed in 3Q15.

 

 

 

Page 10

 

 

6 - Trend analysis of PVNBP by product - cumulative

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Growth2 on 3Q14

Present value of new business premiums1

1Q14 YTD £m

2Q14 YTD £m

3Q14 YTD £m

4Q14 YTD £m

1Q15 YTD £m

2Q15 YTD £m

3Q15 YTD £m

Sterling
%

Constant currency %

Pensions

1,328

2,794

4,081

5,803

1,319

3,897

6,085

49%

49%

Annuities8

500

935

1,656

1,948

136

777

2,205

33%

33%

Bonds

45

87

135

174

39

80

109

(19)%

(19)%

Protection

297

568

862

1,103

268

712

1,152

34%

34%

Equity release

117

257

462

696

206

458

584

26%

26%

Other3

644

1,411

1,902

2,285

477

1,147

1,561

(18)%

(18)%

United Kingdom4

2,931

6,052

9,098

12,009

2,445

7,071

11,696

29%

29%

Ireland

105

196

291

435

132

270

406

39%

55%

United Kingdom & Ireland

3,036

6,248

9,389

12,444

2,577

7,341

12,102

29%

29%

Savings

1,232

2,278

3,347

4,368

1,224

2,389

3,423

2%

14%

Protection

78

149

191

265

95

164

216

13%

26%

France

1,310

2,427

3,538

4,633

1,319

2,553

3,639

3%

15%

Pensions

302

465

631

904

192

356

493

(22)%

(13)%

Savings

890

1,819

2,583

3,182

754

1,330

1,767

(32)%

(24)%

Annuities

2

2

3

5

-

1

1

(56)%

(50)%

Protection

118

253

363

504

125

261

378

4%

16%

Poland5, Italy5, Spain5 and Turkey6

1,312

2,539

3,580

4,595

1,071

1,948

2,639

(26)%

(18)%

Europe

2,622

4,966

7,118

9,228

2,390

4,501

6,278

(12)%

(2)%

Asia5

421

867

1,357

1,854

623

1,449

2,218

63%

60%

Aviva Investors7

5

257

562

881

366

761

1,165

107%

107%

Total - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

6,084

12,338

18,426

24,407

5,956

14,052

21,763

18%

23%

Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

136

292

307

321

-

-

-

-

-

Total

6,220

12,630

18,733

24,728

5,956

14,052

21,763

16%

21%

1    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

3    Other UK business includes UK Retail Fund Management and UK long term health business. UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

4    United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.

5    Poland includes Lithuania, Italy excludes Eurovita, Spain excludes CxG. Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015 and excludes South Korea.

6    The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering. Aviva's holding was further reduced to 40.0% on 7 August 2015.

7    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

8    Includes c.£1 billion PVNBP (net of reinsurance) relating to a longevity insurance transaction completed in 3Q15.

7 - Trend analysis of PVNBP by product - discrete

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Growth2
on 3Q14

Present value of new business premiums1

1Q14 Discrete £m

2Q14 Discrete £m

3Q14 Discrete £m

4Q14 Discrete £m

1Q15 Discrete £m

2Q15 Discrete £m

3Q15 Discrete £m

Sterling
%

Constant currency %

Pensions

1,328

1,466

1,287

1,722

1,319

2,578

2,188

70%

70%

Annuities8

500

435

721

292

136

641

1,428

98%

98%

Bonds

45

42

48

39

39

41

29

(41)%

(41)%

Protection

297

271

294

241

268

444

440

49%

49%

Equity release

117

140

205

234

206

252

126

(39)%

(39)%

Other3

644

767

491

383

477

670

414

(15)%

(15)%

United Kingdom4

2,931

3,121

3,046

2,911

2,445

4,626

4,625

52%

52%

Ireland

105

91

95

144

132

138

136

42%

56%

United Kingdom & Ireland

3,036

3,212

3,141

3,055

2,577

4,764

4,761

52%

52%

Savings

1,232

1,046

1,069

1,021

1,224

1,165

1,034

(3)%

6%

Protection

78

71

42

74

95

69

52

25%

36%

France

1,310

1,117

1,111

1,095

1,319

1,234

1,086

(2)%

7%

Pensions

302

163

166

273

192

164

137

(17)%

(9)%

Savings

890

929

764

599

754

576

437

(43)%

(38)%

Annuities

2

-

1

2

-

1

-

6%

16%

Protection

118

135

110

141

125

136

117

5%

15%

Poland5, Italy5, Spain5 and Turkey6

1,312

1,227

1,041

1,015

1,071

877

691

(34)%

(27)%

Europe

2,622

2,344

2,152

2,110

2,390

2,111

1,777

(17)%

(10)%

Asia5

421

446

490

497

623

826

769

57%

55%

Aviva Investors7

5

252

305

319

366

395

404

33%

33%

Total - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

6,084

6,254

6,088

5,981

5,956

8,096

7,711

27%

31%

Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

136

156

15

14

-

-

-

-

-

Total

6,220

6,410

6,103

5,995

5,956

8,096

7,711

26%

30%

1    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

3    Other UK business includes UK Retail Fund Management and UK long term health business. UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

4    United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.

5    Poland includes Lithuania, Italy excludes Eurovita, Spain excludes CxG. Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015 and excludes South Korea.

6    The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering. Aviva's holding was further reduced to 40.0% on 7 August 2015.

7    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

8    Includes c.£1 billion PVNBP (net of reinsurance) relating to a longevity insurance transaction completed in 3Q15.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 11

 

8 - Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

Regular premiums

 

 

Single premiums


 9 months 2015

£m

Constant currency growth1

WACF

Present value

£m

9 months 2014

£m

WACF

Present value £m

9 months 2015

£m

 9 months 2014

£m

Constant currency growth1

United Kingdom2,7

1,029

39%

6.1

6,236

740

5.0

3,699

5,460

5,399

1%

Ireland

18

3%

6.1

109

19

5.1

97

297

194

71%

United Kingdom & Ireland

1,047

38%

6.1

6,345

759

5.0

3,796

5,757

5,593

3%

France

63

10%

9.0

570

63

8.1

512

3,069

3,026

13%

Poland3

29

(16)%

7.9

228

39

8.8

344

91

85

19%

Italy - excluding Eurovita

9

(71)%

7.3

66

33

5.6

185

1,452

1,875

(14)%

Spain - excluding CxG

23

(4)%

6.1

140

27

5.7

154

315

589

(40)%

Turkey4

72

2%

3.9

280

80

3.8

301

67

47

61%

Europe

196

(10)%

6.6

1,284

242

6.2

1,496

4,994

5,622

(1)%

Asia5 - excluding South Korea

240

41%

6.8

1,621

166

6.5

1,087

597

270

118%

Aviva Investors6

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

1,165

562

107%

Total - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

1,483

30%

6.2

9,250

1,167

5.5

6,379

12,513

12,047

9%

Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

-

-

-

-

33

3.9

130

-

177

-

Total

1,483

26%

6.2

9,250

1,200

5.4

6,509

12,513

12,224

8%

1    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

2    United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.

3    Poland includes Lithuania.

4    The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering. Aviva's holding was further reduced to 40.0% on 7 August 2015.

5    Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.

6    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.

7    Includes c.£1 billion PVNBP (net of reinsurance) relating to a longevity insurance transaction completed in 3Q15.

9 - Trend analysis of Investment sales - cumulative

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Growth2 on 3Q14

Investment sales1

1Q14 YTD £m

2Q14 YTD £m

3Q14 YTD £m

4Q14 YTD £m

1Q15 YTD £m

2Q15 YTD £m

3Q15 YTD £m

Sterling
%

Constant currency %

United Kingdom & Ireland3

486

1,043

1,405

1,742

271

710

1,041

(26)%

(26)%

Aviva Investors4

730

1,616

2,195

3,089

1,073

2,102

3,475

58%

69%

Asia5

36

75

110

146

41

78

103

(6)%

(7)%

Total investment sales

1,252

2,734

3,710

4,977

1,385

2,890

4,619

25%

29%

1    Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

2    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

3    Some of UK & Ireland investment sales are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. 2014 Investment sales are included at the same amount in UK Life 2014 PVNBP. 3Q15 YTD investment sales of £1,041 million are equivalent to £1,110 million on a PVNBP basis.

4    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014. YTD investment sales of £250 million for 2Q14, £549 million for 3Q14, £864 million for 4Q14, £362 million for 1Q15, £755 million for 2Q15 and £1,156 million for 3Q15 are also included in Aviva Investors' PVNBP at the same level following the extension of MCEV covered business.

5    Some of Asia investment sales are also reported in Asia PVNBP following an extension of MCEV covered business in 2015.

10 - Trend analysis of Investment sales - discrete

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Growth2 on 3Q14

Investment sales1

1Q14 Discrete £m

2Q14 Discrete £m

3Q14 Discrete £m

4Q14 Discrete £m

1Q15 Discrete £m

2Q15 Discrete £m

3Q15 Discrete £m

Sterling
%

Constant currency %

United Kingdom & Ireland3

486

557

362

337

271

439

331

(9)%

(9)%

Aviva Investors4

730

886

579

894

1,073

1,029

1,373

137%

142%

Asia5

36

39

35

36

41

37

25

(29)%

(29)%

Total investment sales

1,252

1,482

976

1,267

1,385

1,505

1,729

77%

79%

1    Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

2    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

3    Some of UK & Ireland investment sales are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. 2014 Investment sales are included at the same amount in UK Life 2014 PVNBP. 1Q15 investment sales of £271 million, 2Q15 investment sales of £439 million and 3Q15 investment sales of £331 million are equivalent to £295 million, £479 million and £336 million respectively on a PVNBP basis.

4    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014. Discrete investment sales of £250 million for 2Q14, £299 million for 3Q14, £315 million for 4Q14, £362 million for 1Q15, £393 million for 2Q15 and £401 million for 3Q15 are also included in Aviva Investors' PVNBP at the same level following the extension of MCEV covered business.

5    Some of Asia investment sales are also reported in Asia PVNBP following an extension of MCEV covered business in 2015.

11 - Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - investment sales

 


 

 

Regular

 

 

Single

PVNBP

Investment sales1

 9 months 2015

£m

9 months 2014

£m

Constant currency growth2

9 months 2015

£m

 9 months 2014

£m

Constant currency growth2

Constant currency growth2

United Kingdom & Ireland3

18

19

(4)%

1,023

1,386

(26)%

(26)%

Aviva Investors4

4

4

4%

3,471

2,191

69%

69%

Asia5

-

-

-

103

110

(7)%

(7)%

Total investment sales

22

23

(2)%

4,597

3,687

29%

29%

1    Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

2    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

3    Some of UK & Ireland investment sales are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. 2014 Investment sales are included at the same amount in UK Life 2014 PVNBP. 3Q15 YTD investment sales of £1,041 million are equivalent to £1,110 million on a PVNBP basis.

4    The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014. YTD investment sales of £250 million for 2Q14, £549 million for 3Q14, £864 million for 4Q14, £362 million for 1Q15, £755 million for 2Q15 and £1,156 million for 3Q15 are also included in Aviva Investors' PVNBP at the same level following the extension of MCEV covered business.

5    Some of Asia investment sales are also reported in Asia PVNBP following an extension of MCEV covered business in 2015.

 

 

 

Page 12

 

12 - Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - cumulative

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Growth1 on 3Q14

 

1Q14 YTD £m

2Q14 YTD £m

3Q14 YTD £m

4Q14 YTD £m

1Q15 YTD £m

2Q15 YTD £m

3Q15 YTD £m

Sterling
%

Constant currency %

General insurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

United Kingdom2

845

1,836

2,742

3,663

855

1,851

2,750

-

-

Ireland

65

136

205

272

63

134

210

3%

14%

United Kingdom & Ireland

910

1,972

2,947

3,935

918

1,985

2,960

-

1%

Europe

440

747

999

1,313

399

674

910

(9)%

1%

Canada

426

1,026

1,584

2,104

409

1,013

1,519

(4)%

2%

Asia & Other

7

12

15

20

3

6

8

(47)%

(47)%

 

1,783

3,757

5,545

7,372

1,729

3,678

5,397

(3)%

1%

Health insurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

United Kingdom3

144

302

394

518

158

315

423

7%

7%

Ireland

33

47

65

93

28

42

58

(10)%

-

United Kingdom & Ireland

177

349

459

611

186

357

481

5%

6%

Europe

94

138

182

243

89

128

157

(14)%

(4)%

Asia4

29

45

61

74

33

55

75

23%

24%

 

300

532

702

928

308

540

713

2%

5%

Total

2,083

4,289

6,247

8,300

2,037

4,218

6,110

(2)%

2%

1    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

2    Excludes the one-off impact from an outward quota share reinsurance agreement completed in 2015 in Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL).

3    These premiums are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. 1Q14 NWP of £144 million, 2Q14 YTD NWP of £302 million, 3Q14 YTD NWP of £394 million, 4Q14 YTD NWP of £518 million, 1Q15 NWP of £158 million, 2Q15 YTD NWP of £315 million and 3Q15 YTD NWP of £423 million are equivalent to £158 million, £368 million, £497 million, £542 million, £182 million, £373 million and £452 million on a PVNBP basis respectively.

4    Singapore long term health business is also reported in Asia PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. For Singapore long term health business, 1Q14 NWP of £5 million, 2Q14 YTD NWP of £9 million, 3Q14 YTD NWP of £15 million, 4Q14 YTD NWP of £22 million, 1Q15 NWP of £10 million, 2Q15 YTD NWP of £23 million and 3Q15 YTD NWP of £36 million are equivalent to £37 million, £87 million, £130 million, £183 million, £48 million, £120 million and £184 million on a PVNBP basis respectively.

13 - Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - discrete

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Growth1 on 3Q14

 

1Q14 Discrete £m

2Q14 Discrete £m

3Q14 Discrete £m

4Q14 Discrete £m

1Q15 Discrete £m

2Q15 Discrete £m

3Q15 Discrete £m

Sterling
%

Constant currency %

General insurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

United Kingdom2

845

991

906

921

855

996

899

(1)%

(1)%

Ireland

65

71

69

67

63

71

76

11%

22%

United Kingdom & Ireland

910

1,062

975

988

918

1,067

975

-

1%

Europe

440

307

252

314

399

275

236

(7)%

1%

Canada

426

600

558

520

409

604

506

(9)%

(3)%

Asia & Other

7

5

3

5

3

3

2

(53)%

(53)%

 

1,783

1,974

1,788

1,827

1,729

1,949

1,719

(4)%

-

Health insurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

United Kingdom3

144

158

92

124

158

157

108

18%

18%

Ireland

33

14

18

28

28

14

16

(11)%

(3)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

177

172

110

152

186

171

124

13%

15%

Europe

94

44

44

61

89

39

29

(33)%

(27)%

Asia4

29

16

16

13

33

22

20

28%

29%

 

300

232

170

226

308

232

173

3%

6%

Total

2,083

2,206

1,958

2,053

2,037

2,181

1,892

(3)%

-

1    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

2    Excludes the one-off impact from an outward quota share reinsurance agreement completed in 2015 in Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL).

3    These premiums are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. 1Q14 NWP of £144 million, 2Q14 NWP of £158 million, 3Q14 NWP of £92 million, 4Q14 NWP of £124 million, 1Q15 NWP of £158 million, 2Q15 NWP of £157 million and 3Q15 NWP of £108 million are equivalent to £158 million, £210 million, £129 million, £45 million, £182 million, £191 million and £79 million on a PVNBP basis respectively.

4    Singapore long term health business is also reported in Asia PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. For Singapore long term health business, 1Q14 NWP of £5 million, 2Q14 NWP of £4 million, 3Q14 NWP of £6 million, 4Q14 NWP of £7 million, 1Q15 NWP of £10 million, 2Q15 NWP of £13 million and 3Q15 NWP of £13 million are equivalent to £37 million, £50 million, £43 million, £53 million, £48 million, £72 million and £64 million on a PVNBP basis respectively.


This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
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