CGNU Interim Results 2001-Pt3

CGNU PLC 2 August 2001 PART 3 OF 6 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Page 8 Summarised consolidated profit and loss account - achieved profit basis For the six months ended 30 June 2001 6 6 6 Full months months months year 2001 2001 2000 2000 Em £m £m £m Operating profit 1,382 Life achieved operating profit 857 754 1,569 52 Health 32 34 68 39 Fund management 24 22 61 689 General insurance 427 193 412 (11) Non-insurance operations (7) (19) (24) (131) Corporate costs (81) (97) (185) (347) Unallocated interest charges (215) (167) (361) ------ ------ ------ ------ 1,673 1,037 720 1,540 (97) Wealth management (60) (41) (133) ------ ------ ------ ------ Operating profit - ongoing business before tax, amortisation 1,576 of goodwill and exceptional items 977 679 1,407 (34) Businesses discontinued (21) 121 (554) ------ ------ ------ ------ 1,542 956 800 853 (48) Amortisation of goodwill (30) (18) (92) Policyholders' Protection Board (23) levy (14) - - - Exceptional items - - (425) ------ ------ ------ ------ 1,471 Operating profit before tax 912 782 336 Variation from longer-term (1,893) investment return (1,174) 57 213 Effect of economic assumption 231 changes 143 (32) (269) Change in the equalisation (36) provision (22) (12) (27) Profit/(loss) on sale of 398 subsidiary undertakings 247 - (1,058) Loss on withdrawal from London - Market operations - - (448) - Merger transaction costs - (57) (59) ------ ------ ------ ------ Profit/(loss) on ordinary 171 activities before tax 106 738 (1,312) Tax on operating profit - ongoing business before amortisation of (505) goodwill and exceptional items (313) (183) (437) Tax on profit on other ordinary 224 activities 139 (97) 174 ------ ------ ------ ------ (Loss)/profit on ordinary activities (110) after tax (68) 458 (1,575) (48) Minority interests (30) (24) (65) ------ ------ ------ ------ (Loss)/profit for the financial (158) period (98) 434 (1,640) (15) Preference dividends (9) (9) (17) ------ ------ ------ ------ (Loss)/profit for the financial period attributable to equity (173) shareholders (107) 425 (1,657) (517) Ordinary dividends (321) (320) (855) ------ ------ ------ ------ Retained (loss)/profit for (690) the financial period (428) 105 (2,512) ====== ====== ====== ====== Earnings per share Operating profit on an achieved profit basis before amortisation of goodwill and exceptional items, after taxation, attributable to equity shareholders in respect of 44.4 c ongoing business 27.5 p 20.9p 39.7 p (Loss)/profit attributable to (7.7)c equity shareholders (4.8)p 18.9p (73.8)p (Loss)/profit attributable to (7.6)c equity shareholders - diluted (4.7)p 18.9p (73.7)p -------------------------------------------------------------------- Page 9 Basis of preparation The achieved profit statement on page 8 includes the results of the Group's life operations reported under the achieved profit basis combined with the modified statutory basis results of the Group's non-life operations set out on pages 16 to 29. In the directors' opinion, the achieved profit basis provides a more accurate reflection of the performance of the Group's life operations year on year than results under the modified statutory basis. The achieved profit methodology used is in accordance with the latest draft 'Guidance on accounting in Group accounts for proprietary companies long-term insurance business', circulated by the Association of British Insurers. Further details on the methodology and assumptions are set out on pages 13 to 15. The results of the Group's life operations under the modified statutory basis, which is the basis used in the annual statutory accounts, can be found on pages 16 to 29. The contribution from the Group's share of the alliance with The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc (RBSG) is incorporated within the achieved operating profit. Goodwill amortised in the period in respect of the Group's holding in the associated company, RBS Life Investments Limited, is included within the 'Amortisation of goodwill' on page 8. The results for the six-month periods 30 June 2001 and 30 June 2000 are unaudited but have been reviewed by the auditors, Ernst & Young. Their review report in respect of 30 June 2001 is included in the Interim Report and Accounts. The interim accounts do not constitute statutory accounts as defined in section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. Components of total life achieved profit Total life achieved profit, including the Group's share from the alliance with RBSG, comprises the following components, the first four of which in aggregate are referred to as life achieved operating profit: - new business contribution written during the year including value added between the point of sale and end of year; - the profit from existing business equal to: - the expected return on the value of the in-force business at the beginning of the period, - experience variances caused by the differences between the actual experience during the period and expected experience based on the operating assumptions used to calculate the start of year value, - the impact of changes in operating assumptions including risk margins; - development costs incurred in establishing new life businesses; - the expected investment return on the shareholders' net worth, based upon assumptions applying at the start of the year; - investment return variances caused by differences between the actual return in the period and the expected experience based on economic assumptions used to calculate the start of year value;and - the impact of changes in economic assumptions in the period. 6 months 6 months Full year 2001 2000 2000 £m £m £m New business contribution 227 194 392 Profit from existing business - expected return 417 417 839 - experience variances (7) (9) 10 - operating assumption changes 50 - (7) Development costs - (17) (20) Expected return on shareholders' net worth 162 155 319 ------ ------ ------ 849 740 1,533 Other life and savings activities* 8 14 36 ------ ------ ------ Life achieved operating profit before tax and exceptional items 857 754 1,569 Exceptional items ** - - (106) Investment return variances (742) (69) (43) Effect of economic assumption changes 143 (32) (269) ------ ------ ------ Total life achieved profit before tax 258 653 1,151 Tax on operating profit (264) (234) (485) Tax on other ordinary activities 183 13 110 ------ ------ ------ Total life achieved profit after tax 177 432 776 ====== ====== ====== * Profits from other life and savings activities, which include service companies, have been calculated on a statutory basis. ** Exceptional items in 2000 comprise one-off integration costs. -------------------------------------------------------------------- Page 10 New business contribution The following table sets out the contribution from new business written by the long-term business operations. The contribution generated by new business written during the period is the present value of the projected stream of after-tax distributable profit from that business. Contribution before tax is calculated by grossing up the contribution after-tax at the full corporation tax rate for UK business and at appropriate rates of tax for other countries. Annual premium equivalent * New business contribution 6 months 6 6 Local 6 2000 6 months months currency months at 2001 months 2001 2000 growth 2001 assumptions 2000 ** £m £m % £m £m £m United Kingdom 606 479 27% 164 130 137 Europe (excluding UK) France 121 118 1% 35 35 39 Ireland 51 45 12% 14 11 12 Italy 55 18 203% 15 6 6 Netherlands (including Belgium and Luxembourg) 75 57 28% 11 5 8 Poland - Life 17 23 (32%) 4 6 5 - Pensions 13 109 (90%) 1 26 22 Spain 50 9 464% 23 1 1 Other 39 37 10% 2 1 1 International 57 45 21% 3 5 5 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ Total annualised premiums 1,084 940 13% Total new business contribution before effect of solvency margin*** 272 226 236 Effect of solvency margin (45) (42) (42) ------ ------ ------ Total new business contribution including effect of solvency margin 227 184 194 ====== ====== ====== * Annual premium equivalent represents regular premiums plus 10% of single premiums. ** 2000 new business contribution has been shown using the application of 2001 economic assumptions and exchange rates. *** New business contribution before effect of solvency margin includes minority interests in 2001 of £21 million (six months to 30 June 2000: £10 million). This comprises minority interests in France of £2 million (six months to 30 June 2000: £2 million), Italy £6 million (six months to 30 June 2000: £2 million), Poland £1 million (six months to 30 June 2000: £6 million), Spain £12 million (six months to 30 June 2000: £nil). New business contributions have been calculated using the same economic assumptions as those used to determine the embedded values as at the beginning of each year. The effect of solvency margin represents the impact of holding the minimum European Union (EU) solvency margin (or equivalent for non-EU operations) and discounting to present value the projected future releases from the solvency margin to shareholders. -------------------------------------------------------------------- Page 11 Analysis of life achieved operating profit Life achieved operating profit is calculated on an after-tax basis and then grossed up at the full rate of corporation tax for UK business and at appropriate rates of tax for other countries. 6 months 6 months Full year 2001 2000 2000 £m £m £m United Kingdom* 465 449 903 Europe (excluding UK) France 110 124 204 Ireland 37 33 68 Italy 24 11 29 Netherlands (including Belgium and Luxembourg) 93 75 179 Poland - Life 23 20 58 - Pensions * 21 24 36 Spain 31 7 42 Other 28 (18) (15) International 17 15 29 ------ ------ ------ Total life achieved operating profit before tax, and exceptional items** 849 740 1,533 ====== ====== ====== * Excludes other life and savings activities. ** Life achieved operating profit includes minority interests in 2001 of £35 million (six months to 30 June 2000: £15 million, full year 2000: £42 million). This comprises minority interests in France of £4 million (six months to 30 June 2000: £2 million, full year 2000: £6 million), Italy £10 million (six months to 30 June 2000: £4 million, full year 2000: £12 million), Poland £8 million (six months to 30 June 2000: £9 million, full year 2000: £15 million), Spain £13 million (six months to 30 June 2000: £nil, full year 2000: £10 million) and International £nil (six months to 30 June 2000: £nil, full year 2000: loss of £1 million). Embedded value of life business 6 months 6 months Full 2001 2000 year 2000 £m £m £m Embedded value at the beginning of the period 11,234 10,518 10,518 Total life achieved profit after tax * 172 422 813 Exchange rate movements (46) 98 81 Embedded value of businesses (disposed)/acquired ** (109) 57 437 Amounts injected into life operations 106 78 167 Amounts released from life operations (220) (205) (782) ------ ------ ------ Embedded value at the end of the period *** 11,137 10,968 11,234 ====== ====== ======= * Excluding profits from other life and savings activities after tax. ** Embedded value from business acquired in 2001 comprises Hungary (£11 million). Embedded value from businesses disposed of in 2001 comprises Greece Life (£3 million) and Canada (£117 million). Embedded value from businesses acquired in 2000 comprises Hibernian Group in Ireland (£57 million), Aseval in Spain (£94 million), and the Group's share of the associated partnership in RBS Life Investments Limited (£343 million). Hibernian Group was acquired in the first six months of 2000. Embedded value from business disposed of comprises the Norwich Union Poland life and pensions operations (£57 million). *** Embedded value at the end of the period includes minority interests in 2001 of £224 million (30 June 2000: £137 million, 31 December 2000: £208 million). This comprises minority interests in France of £35 million (30 June 2000: £33 million, 31 December 2000: £34 million), Italy £71 million (30 June 2000: £65 million, 31 December 2000: £70 million), Poland £52 million (30 June 2000: £33 million, 31 December 2000: £42 million), Spain £62 million (30 June 2000: £nil, 31 December 2000: £57 million) and Other Europe £4 million (30 June 2000: £6 million, 31 December 2000: £5 million). -------------------------------------------------------------------- Page 12 Segmental analysis of embedded value of life business Valuation of Embedded Net worth* in-force value at 30 June at 30 June at 30 June 2001 2000 2001** 2000 2001 2000 £m £m £m £m £m £m United Kingdom 1,754 1,887 4,275 4,291 6,029 6,178 Europe (excluding UK) France 875 849 409 423 1,284 1,272 Ireland 202 221 277 243 479 464 Italy 98 94 76 68 174 162 Netherlands(including Belgium and Luxembourg) 1,371 1,245 748 714 2,119 1,959 Poland 109 87 241 188 350 275 Spain 65 36 151 49 216 85 Other 57 57 67 54 124 111 International 293 383 69 79 362 462 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ 4,824 4,859 6,313 6,109 11,137 10,968 ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== * The shareholders' net worth comprises the market value of the shareholders' funds and the shareholders' interest in the surplus held in the non-profit component of the long-term business funds determined on a statutory solvency basis and adjusted to add back any non-admissible assets. ** The effect of holding the minimum statutory solvency margin and allowing for projected future releases was £660 million. Minority interest in life achieved profit 6 Full 6 months 2001 months year ----------------- 2000 2000 Shareholders' Minority interest interest Group Group Group £m £m £m £m £m New business contribution before effect of solvency margin 251 21 272 236 483 Effect of solvency margin (40) (5) (45) (42) (91) ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ New business contribution including effect of solvency margin 211 16 227 194 392 ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== Life achieved operating profit 814 35 849 740 1,533 Other life and savings activities 8 - 8 14 36 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ Life achieved operating profit before tax and exceptional items 822 35 857 754 1,569 ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== Total life achieved profit before tax 233 25 258 653 1,151 Attributed tax (72) (9) (81) (221) (375) ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ Total life achieved profit after tax 161 16 177 432 776 ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== Closing life embedded value 10,913 224 11,137 10,968 11,234 ====== ====== ====== ====== ====== -------------------------------------------------------------------- Page 13 Methodology (a) Life achieved profit The achieved profit method of financial reporting is designed to recognise profit as it is earned over the life of an insurance policy. The total profit recognised over the lifetime of a policy is the same as under the modified statutory basis of reporting, but the timing of recognition is different. Distributable profits from long-term businesses arise when they are released to shareholders following actuarial valuations. These are carried out in accordance with statutory requirements designed to ensure and demonstrate solvency in long-term business funds. Future distributable profits will depend on experience in a number of areas such as investment return, discontinuance rates, mortality and administration costs. Using realistic assumptions of future experience, we can project releases to shareholders arising in future years from the business in-force and associated minimum statutory solvency margin. The life achieved profit reflects current performance by measuring the movement, from the beginning to the end of the year, in the present value of projected releases to shareholders, together with the movement in the net assets of the long-term operations held in excess of the minimum statutory solvency margin, adjusted for any amounts released from or invested in life operations. The present value of the projected releases to shareholders is calculated by discounting back to the current time using a risk discount rate. The risk discount rate is a combination of a discount rate to reflect the time value of money and a risk margin to make prudent allowance for the risk that experience in future years may differ from the assumptions referred to above. The calculations are carried out on an after-tax basis and the profits are then grossed up for tax at the full rate of corporation tax for the United Kingdom and at an appropriate rate for each of the other countries. (b) Embedded value The shareholders' interest in the long-term business operations is represented by the embedded value. The embedded value is the total of the net assets of the long-term operations and the present value at risk discount rates (which incorporate a risk margin) of the projected releases to shareholders arising from the business in force, less a deduction for the effect of holding the minimum statutory solvency margin. This effect of solvency margin is the difference between the nominal value of the solvency margin and the present value at risk discount rates of the projected release of the solvency margin and investment earnings on the assets deemed to back the solvency margin. For with-profit funds in the United Kingdom, for the purpose of recognising the value of the estate, it is assumed that terminal bonuses are increased to exhaust all of the free assets over the future lifetime of the in-force with-profit policies. -------------------------------------------------------------------- Page 14 Principal economic assumptions The principal economic assumptions used are as follows: United Kingdom 30 June 31 December 30 June 31 December 2001 2000 2000 1999 Risk discount rate 7.9% 7.4% 7.6% 7.8% Pre-tax investment returns: Base government fixed interest 5.3% 4.7% 5.0% 5.2% Ordinary shares 7.8% 7.2% 7.5% 7.7% Property 6.8% 6.2% 6.5% 6.7% Future expense inflation 3.7% 3.7% 3.8% 4.1% Tax rate 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% France 30 June 31 December 30 June 31 December 2001 2000 2000 1999 Risk discount rate 8.5% 8.5% 8.7% 8.7% Pre-tax investment returns: Base government fixed interest 5.0% 5.0% 5.5% 5.5% Ordinary shares 7.0% 7.0% 7.5% 7.5% Property 6.5% 6.5% 7.0% 7.0% Future expense inflation 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% Tax rate 37.8% 37.8% 40.0% 40.0% Ireland 30 June 31 December 30 June 31 December 2001 2000 2000 1999 Risk discount rate 9.4% 9.1% 9.1% 9.0% Pre-tax investment returns: Base government fixed interest 5.6% 5.3% 5.5% 5.6% Ordinary shares 8.6% 8.3% 8.5% 8.6% Property 7.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.1% Future expense inflation 5.0% 5.0% 5.9% 4.0% Tax rate 18.0% 20.0% 22.0% 28.0% Italy 30 June 31 December 30 June 31 December 2001 2000 2000 1999 Risk discount rate 7.5% 7.5% 7.7% 7.7% Pre-tax investment returns: Base government fixed interest 5.3% 5.3% 5.6% 5.6% Ordinary shares 8.3% 8.3% 8.6% 8.6% Property 6.8% 6.8% 7.1% 7.1% Future expense inflation 3.3% 3.3% 2.5% 2.5% Tax rate 43.0% 43.0% 43.0% 43.0% Netherlands 30 June 31 December 30 June 31 December 2001 2000 2000 1999 Risk discount rate 8.0% 8.0% 8.2% 8.3% Pre-tax investment returns: Base government fixed interest 5.0% 5.0% 5.3% 5.5% Ordinary shares 7.9% 7.9% 8.2% 8.4% Property 6.5% 6.5% 6.8% 7.0% Future expense inflation 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% Tax rate 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% Poland - Life 30 June 31 December 30 June 31 December 2001 2000 2000 1999 Risk discount rate 20.0% 20.0% 19.8% 19.8% Pre-tax investment returns: Base government fixed interest 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% Ordinary shares 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% Property n/a n/a n/a n/a Future expense inflation 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% Tax rate 28.0% 28.0% 30.0% 33.0% Poland - Pensions 30 June 31 December 30 June 31 December 2001 2000 2000 1999 Risk discount rate 17.3% 17.3% 17.1% 17.1% Pre-tax investment returns: Base government fixed interest 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% Ordinary shares 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% Property n/a n/a n/a n/a Future expense inflation 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% Tax rate 28.0% 28.0% 30.0% 33.0% Spain 30 June 31 December 30 June 31 December 2001 2000 2000 1999 Risk discount rate 8.4% 8.4% 9.1% 9.1% Pre-tax investment returns: Base government fixed interest 5.4% 5.4% 5.5% 5.6% Ordinary shares 8.4% 8.4% 8.5% 8.6% Property 6.9% 6.9% 7.0% 7.1% Future expense inflation 4.0% 4.0% 3.0% 3.0% Tax rate 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% -------------------------------------------------------------------- Page 15 Other assumptions - Current tax legislation and rates have been assumed to continue unaltered, except where changes in future tax rates have been announced. - Assumed future mortality, morbidity and lapse rates have been derived from an analysis of CGNU's recent operating experience. - The management expenses of CGNU attributable to long-term business operations have been split between expenses relating to the acquisition of new business and to the maintenance of business in-force. Certain expenses of an exceptional nature have been identified separately and the discounted value of projected exceptional costs has been deducted from the value of in-force business. - It has been assumed that there will be no changes to the methods and bases used to calculate the statutory technical provisions and current surrender values. - The value of in-force business does not allow for future premiums under recurring single premium business or non-contractual increments. The value arising therefrom is included in the value of new business when the premium is received. Department of Social Security (DSS) rebate premiums have been treated as recurring single premiums. - The value of the in-force business has been determined after allowing for the effect of holding solvency margins equal to the minimum EU solvency requirement (or equivalent for non-EU operations). Solvency margins relating to with-profit business are assumed to be covered by the surplus within the with-profit funds and no effect has been attributed to shareholders. - Bonus rates on with-profit business have been set at levels consistent with the economic assumptions and CGNU's medium-term bonus plans. The distribution of profit between policyholders and shareholders within the with-profit funds assumes that the shareholder interest in conventional with-profit business in the United Kingdom and Ireland continues at the current rate of one-ninth of the cost of bonus. MORE TO FOLLOW

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