Final Results: Part 2 of 5

RNS Number : 6192R
Aviva PLC
10 March 2016
 

Start part 2 of 5

 

 

Page 1

Contents

In this section

Page

Overview

 

Key financial metrics

2

1

Cash

3

i

Cash remitted to Group

3

ii

Excess centre cash flow

3

iii

Operating capital generation

3

iv

Free surplus emergence

5

2

Operating profit: IFRS basis

6

3

Expenses

7

4

Value of new business

8

5

Combined operating ratio

9

6

Business unit performance

10

i

United Kingdom and Ireland Life

10

ii

United Kingdom and Ireland general
insurance & health

11

iii

Europe

12

iv

Canada

14

v

Asia

15

vi

Fund management

16

7

Profit drivers: IFRS basis

17

i

Life business

17

ii

General insurance and health

20

iii

Fund flows

22

8

Capital & assets summary

23

i

Summary of assets

23

ii

Net asset value

25

iii

Return on equity

27

iv

European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD)

28

v

Economic capital

29

vi

Solvency II

30

Financial supplement

33

Income & expenses

34

IFRS financial statements

39

Capital & assets

93

Capital & liquidity

94

Analysis of assets

103

VNB & Sales analysis

125

MCEV financial statements

131

Other information

159

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 2

Cash

 

Cash remitted to Group

Operating capital generation

 

2015
 £m

2014
 £m

Sterling% change

2015
£m

2014
 £m

Sterling% change

United Kingdom & Ireland Life

667

437

53%

1,465

888

65%

United Kingdom & Ireland General Insurance & Health1

358

294

22%

370

425

(13)%

Europe

431

473

(9)%

424

499

(15)%

Canada2

6

138

(96)%

154

136

13%

Asia and Other

45

89

(49)%

114

(8)

-

Total

1,507

1,431

5%

2,527

1,940

30%

Operating profit: IFRS basis

 

2015
£m

Restated3

2014
£m

Sterling% change

Life business

2,419

2,019

20%

General insurance and health4

765

808

(5)%

Fund management

106

86

23%

Other*

(625)

(700)

11%

Operating profit before tax4

2,665

2,213

20%

 

Operating earnings per share4 **

49.2p

48.3p

2%

*    Includes other operations, corporate centre costs and group debt and other interest costs.

**  Net of tax, non-controlling interests, preference dividends, coupon payments in respect of the direct capital instrument (DCI) and tier 1 notes (net of tax).

Expenses

 

2015
 £m

2014
£m

Sterling% change

Operating expenses

3,030

2,795

8%

Integration & restructuring costs

379

140

-

Expense base

3,409

2,935

16%

 

Operating expense ratio3

50.0%

51.1%

(1.1)pp

Value of new business

 

2015
 £m

2014
 £m

Sterling %

change5

Constant currency %

change5

United Kingdom & Ireland

625

482

30%

30%

France

198

205

(4)%

7%

Poland6

65

64

2%

13%

Italy6

79

63

26%

40%

Spain6

31

30

5%

17%

Turkey

27

30

(10)%

4%

Asia6

151

122

23%

22%

Aviva Investors

16

9

79%

79%

Value of new business6

1,192

1,005

19%

24%

General insurance combined operating ratio

 

2015

2014

Change

United Kingdom & Ireland4

95.0%

94.9%

0.1pp

Europe

95.4%

97.7%

(2.3)pp

Canada

93.8%

96.1%

(2.3)pp

General insurance combined operating ratio4

94.6%

95.7%

(1.1)pp

IFRS profit after tax

 

2015
£m

2014
£m

Sterling% change

IFRS profit after tax

1,079

1,738

(38)%

Dividend

 

2015

2014

Sterling% change

Final dividend per share

14.05p

12.25p

15%

Total dividend per share

20.80p

18.10p

15%

Capital position

 

2015

2014

Sterling% change

Estimated Solvency II cover ratio7

180%

 

 

Estimated economic capital surplus8

£11.6bn

£8.0bn

45%

Estimated IGD solvency surplus8

£6.0bn

£3.2bn

88%

IFRS net asset value per share

389p

340p

14%

MCEV net asset value per share9

515p

527p

(2)%

1    Cash remittances include amounts of £351 million received from UK & Ireland GI in February 2016 in respect of 2015 activity and £273 million received from UKGI in February 2015 in respect of 2014 activity.

2    CAD$230 million in respect of 2015 activity has been retained at the Canadian holding company in order to part-fund the proposed RBC General Insurance Company acquisition.

3    Operating profit has been restated to exclude amortisation and impairment of acquired value of in-force business, which is now shown as a non-operating item. See note B2 for further details. There is no impact on the result or the total equity for any period presented as a result of this restatement.

4    Excludes the impact from an outward quota share reinsurance agreement completed in 2015 in Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). See note A10 for further details.

5    Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

6    Poland includes Lithuania, Italy excludes Eurovita, Spain excludes CxG and Asia excludes South Korea.

7    The estimated Solvency II ratio represents the shareholder view. This ratio excludes the contribution to Group Solvency Capital Requirement ('SCR') and Group Own Funds of fully ring-fenced with-profits funds (£2.7 billion) and staff pension schemes in surplus (£0.7 billion) - these exclusions have no impact on Solvency II surplus. The impact from internal reinsurance arrangements between UK Life, UK and Ireland General Insurance and Aviva International Insurance Limited and the securitisation of equity release mortgages held by UK Life, effective 1 January 2016, have also been reflected in the Solvency II position. 

8    The economic capital and IGD solvency surpluses represent an estimated position. The economic capital requirement is based on Aviva's own internal assessment and capital management policies. The term 'economic capital' does not imply capital as required by regulators or other third parties.

9    In preparing the MCEV information, the directors have done so in accordance with the European Insurance CFO Forum MCEV Principles. No allowance for the impact of Solvency II has been made as permitted by the additional guidance issued in October 2015 by the European Insurance CFO Forum.

 

 

 

Page 3

 

1.i - Cash remitted to Group

The flow of sustainable cash remittances from the Group's businesses is a key financial priority. The cash remittances for FY15 were £1,507 million (FY14: £1,431 million) including dividends and interest remitted on internal loans. The 2015 totals include amounts received from Aviva Insurance Limited in February 2016 in respect of 2015 activity in that business and its subsidiaries.

 

 

2015

 

2014

 

Operating Capital Generation £m

Cash Remittances £m

Operating Capital Generation £m

Cash Remittances £m

United Kingdom & Ireland Life

1,465

667

888

437

United Kingdom & Ireland General Insurance & Health1

370

358

425

294

France

255

252

259

264

Poland

99

81

136

106

Italy

30

45

77

32

Spain

36

49

40

68

Other Europe

4

4

(13)

3

Europe

424

431

499

473

Canada2

154

6

136

138

Asia

65

21

23

23

Other3

49

24

(31)

66

Group

2,527

1,507

1,940

1,431

1    Cash remittances include amounts of £351 million received from UK & Ireland GI in February 2016 in respect of 2015 activity and £273 million in FY14 received from UKGI in February 2015 in respect of 2014 activity.

2    CAD$230 million in respect of 2015 activity has been retained at the Canadian holding company in order to part-fund the proposed RBC General Insurance Company acquisition.

3    Other includes Aviva Investors and Group Reinsurance.

Cash remitted to Group has increased primarily driven by the UK and Ireland life and general insurance businesses as a result of management actions during the year and the benefit from the internal interest received on Friends Life intercompany loans following its acquisition in April 2015. Cash generated in Canada was largely retained in the business to part-fund the proposed acquisition of Royal Bank of Canada General Insurance Company ('RBC General Insurance Company'), which is expected to close in the third quarter of 2016. In addition, lower Europe cash remittances mainly reflect the impact of adverse foreign exchange movements.

1.ii - Excess centre cash flow

Excess centre cash flow represents cash remitted by business units to the Group centre less central operating expenses and debt financing costs. It is an important measure of the cash that is available to pay dividends, reduce debt, pay exceptional charges or invest back into our business units. It does not include non-operating cash movements such as disposal proceeds or capital injections.

 

2015
£m

2014
£m

Dividends received1

1,378

1,412

Internal interest received

129

19

Cash remitted to Group

1,507

1,431

External interest paid

(554)

(425)

Internal interest paid

(138)

(170)

Central spend

(252)

(173)

Other operating cash flows2

136

29

Excess centre cash flow3

699

692

1    This excludes a £150 million dividend paid by Friends Life holdings prior to the acquisition.

2    Other operating cash flows include central investment income and group tax relief payments and other financial cash flows previously reported under central spend.

3    Before non-operating items and capital injections.

Excess centre cash flow of £699 million has remained broadly stable compared with the prior period. Increased internal interest received was driven by Friends Life intercompany loans and foreign exchange movement gains on Group centre holdings offset by an increase in external interest, largely due to the inclusion of Friends Life external debt, as well as higher central spend mainly relating to Friends Life and investment in our digital capability. In addition, the total excess centre cash flow is reduced as a result of the dividend payment retained in Canada to part-fund the proposed acquisition of RBC General Insurance Company.

1.iii - Operating capital generation

The active management of the generation and utilisation of capital is a primary Group focus, balancing new business investment and shareholder distribution to deliver our 'cash flow plus growth' investment thesis.

 

2015
 £m

2014
£m

Operating capital generation1

 

 

Life in-force business2

2,293

1,715

General insurance, fund management and other operations

552

544

Operating capital generated before investment in new business

2,845

2,259

Capital invested in new business

(318)

(319)

Operating capital generated after investment in new business - Group as reported

2,527

1,940

1    Operating capital generation comprises the following components:

-    Operating free surplus emergence, including release of required capital, for the life in-force business (net of tax and non-controlling interests);

-    Operating profits for the general insurance and other non-life businesses net of tax and non-controlling interests from non-covered business only, where non-covered business represents business which is outside the scope of Life MCEV methodology; and

-    Capital invested in new business. For life business this is the impact of initial and required capital on free surplus. For general insurance business this reflects the movement in required capital, which has been assumed to equal the regulatory minimum multiplied by the local management target level. Where appropriate, movements in capital requirements exclude the impact of foreign exchange and other movements deemed to be non-operating in nature.The amount of operating capital remitted to Group depends on a number of factors including non-operating items and local regulatory requirements.

2    During 2014, internal reinsurance arrangements were undertaken by the UK Annuity business to reinsure an additional 10% to Aviva International Insurance Limited and an additional 12.5% to Aviva UK Life & Pensions. At FY14 these arrangements had an adverse impact on Group MCEV free surplus of £204 million. On an economic capital basis these transactions improved the UK Life position and as a result the adverse impact on MCEV free surplus was excluded from OCG to reflect the economic substance of the management action.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 4

1.iii - Operating capital generation continued

The analysis of OCG by market, product and service is set out below.

Life & Other Covered Business OCG

Non-life OCG

 

2015

£m

Free surplus emergence

New business strain

Other/ management actions

Life
 OCG

General insurance and

health1

Fund

management1

Non-

insurance1

Non-life

Usage2

Non-life OCG

Total
OCG

United Kingdom & Ireland Life

830

19

618

1,467

-

-

(2)

-

(2)

1,465

United Kingdom & Ireland General Insurance & Health

-

-

-

-

300

-

27

43

370

370

Europe

579

(271)

62

370

66

-

(9)

(3)

54

424

Canada

-

-

-

-

157

-

(1)

(2)

154

154

Asia

131

(94)

40

77

2

1

(17)

2

(12)

65

Fund Management

19

(6)

7

20

-

32

-

(10)

22

42

Other

7

-

-

7

13

-

(17)

4

-

7

Total Group operating capital generation

1,566

(352)

727

1,941

538

33

(19)

34

586

2,527

 

Life & Other Covered Business OCG

Non-life OCG

 

2014

£m

Free surplus emergence

New business strain

Other/ management

actions3

Life
OCG

General insurance and

health1

Fund

management1

Non-

insurance1

Non-life

Usage2

Non-life
 OCG

Total
OCG

United Kingdom & Ireland Life

462

(15)

441

888

-

-

(1)

1

-

888

United Kingdom & Ireland General Insurance & Health

-

-

-

-

384

-

-

41

425

425

Europe

693

(272)

32

453

67

-

(11)

(10)

46

499

Canada

-

-

-

-

140

-

-

(4)

136

136

Asia

98

(58)

(15)

25

1

1

(8)

4

(2)

23

Fund Management

14

(5)

(10)

(1)

-

9

-

(7)

2

1

Other

-

-

-

-

9

-

(47)

6

(32)

(32)

Total Group operating capital generation

1,267

(350)

448

1,365

601

10

(67)

31

575

1,940

1    Operating profit net of tax and non-controlling interests from non-covered businesses only, where non-covered business is that which is outside the scope of life MCEV methodology.

2    This reflects the movement in required capital, which has been assumed to equal the regulatory minimum multiplied by the local management target level. Where appropriate, movements in capital requirements exclude the impact of foreign exchange and other movements deemed to be non-operating in nature.

3    During 2014, internal reinsurance arrangements were undertaken by the UK Annuity business to reinsure an additional 10% to Aviva International Insurance Limited and an additional 12.5% to Aviva UK Life & Pensions. At FY14 these arrangements had an adverse impact on Group MCEV free surplus of £204 million. On an economic capital basis these transactions improved the UK Life position and as a result the adverse impact on MCEV free surplus was excluded from OCG to reflect the economic substance of the management action.

Operating capital generation (OCG) is £2,527 million, £587 million higher than in the prior year (FY14: £1,940 million), with OCG from our life businesses generating £1,941 million (FY14: £1,365 million).

Free surplus emergence in the Life OCG was £1,566 million, £299 million higher than in the prior year (FY14: £1,267 million). This increase relates primarily to the acquisition of Friends Life which contributed £463 million in 2015, partially offset by a reduction in Europe of £114 million, reflecting adverse foreign exchange movements, the disposal of Eurovita and Caixa Galicia (CxG) in 2014 together with a one-off benefit in the prior year from regulatory pension changes in Poland. The expected free surplus emergence in future years is shown in note 1.iv.

New business strain of £352 million was broadly in line with the prior year (FY14: £350 million). Within this total, new business strain in Friends UK was £124 million, which offset improved new business strain in the rest of the UK and Ireland business reflecting strong performance from annuity and equity release business in 2015.

Other/management actions were £727 million (FY14: £448 million). This mainly reflects benefits of c.£370 million due to a release of longevity margins on the regulatory basis in our UK Life business and c.£200 million arising from the portfolio transfer of our Irish Life business, Aviva Life and Pensions Ireland Limited, to Aviva Life and Pensions UK Limited on 1 January 2015, which resulted in reduced regulatory capital requirements and reserve releases from alignment with the UK reserving basis. In addition, Asia benefitted from the acquisition of Friends Provident International and a change to the regulatory reserving basis for retail health business in Singapore to align with IFRS and Solvency II, partly offset by cessation of a quota share reinsurance arrangement.

Capital generation in our General Insurance and Health businesses was £538 million (FY14: £601 million). In the UK and Ireland capital generation decreased to £300 million (FY14: £384 million) reflecting a lower return on the intercompany loan balance, principally as a result of strategic actions to reduce the level of debt between Aviva Insurance Limited and Group. In Canada, capital generation of £157 million (FY14: £140 million) benefitted from the improvement in operating results and the decrease in capital requirements reflecting favourable changes to the local capital requirements rules effective from 1st January 2015.

 

 

 

Page 5

 

1.iv - Free surplus emergence

Maturity profile of undiscounted free surplus emergence equivalent embedded value cash flows

Total in-force business

Release of future profits and required capital

2015
 £m

2014
£m

Year 1

1,690

1,137

Year 2

1,490

1,059

Year 3

1,468

1,071

Year 4

1,542

1,204

Year 5

1,509

1,169

Year 6

1,462

1,157

Year 7

1,409

1,088

Year 8

1,455

1,060

Year 9

1,370

981

Year 10

1,336

922

Years 11-15

5,797

4,232

Years 16-20

4,503

3,547

Years 20+

8,118

7,583

Total net of non-controlling interests1,2

33,149

26,210

1    2015 includes £8,041 million of free surplus emergence related to the recently acquired Friends Life business.

2    Free surplus emergence is on a Solvency I basis (including allowances for Economic Capital), but not Solvency II.

The table above shows the expected future emergence of profits from the existing business implicit in the equivalent embedded value calculation for life covered in-force business. The cash flows have been split for the first ten years followed by five year tranches depending on the date when the profit is expected to emerge. These profits, which arise from the release of margins in the regulatory reserves as the business runs off over time, are expected to emerge through operating capital generation (OCG) in future years. The cash flows are real world cash flows, i.e. they are based on the non-economic assumptions used in the MCEV and normalised investment returns. Normalised investment returns are equal to the MCEV risk-free rates in addition to a risk premium to allow for the actual return expected to be achieved in the market.

For existing business, the cash flows will generally reduce over time due to lapses, maturities and other benefit payments. Each year new business will increase these profits, following the initial strain at point of sale. This table only includes the business currently in-force.

The total Group OCG for the Life business is £1,941 million (see note 1.iii). Excluding the recently acquired Friends Life business, the expected free surplus emergence in the OCG of £1,103 million is broadly equal to the year 1 cash flow from 31 December 2014 of £1,137 million. The FY15 total free surplus emergence (including the Friends Life business) of £1,566 million includes the expected transfers from the value of in-force (VIF) and required capital to free surplus of £1,558 million (MCEV - Note F5) and also the free surplus component of the expected return on net worth which equals £8 million.

The total real world cash flows, excluding the recently acquired Friends Life businesses have reduced by £1,102 million over 2015, largely reflecting the positive new business additions net of the run off of existing business, the impact from a reduction in PRA longevity margins in the UK, which has reduced VIF and increased free surplus, adverse investment returns in the UK and Europe and adverse foreign exchange movements in Europe of £518 million.

The 2015 cash flows above include an increase of £8,041 million as a result of the acquisition of the Friends Life business on 10 April 2015.

The free surplus emergence in the table above only includes business written in the RIEESA when conditions for its release to shareholders are expected to have been met.

 

 

 

Page 6

 

2 - Operating Profit: IFRS basis

Group operating profit: IFRS basis

For the year ended 31 December 2015

 

2015
£m

Restated1

2014
£m

Operating profit before tax attributable to shareholders' profits

 

 

Life business

 

 

United Kingdom & Ireland

1,432

1,049

France

395

412

Poland

129

183

Italy

139

148

Spain

92

126

Turkey

11

13

Europe

766

882

Asia

244

87

Other

(23)

1

Total life business (note 7.i)

2,419

2,019

General insurance and health

 

 

United Kingdom & Ireland2

430

499

Europe

114

113

Canada

214

189

Asia

(6)

(2)

Other

13

9

Total general insurance and health2 (note 7.ii)

765

808

Fund management

 

 

Aviva Investors3

105

79

United Kingdom3

-

6

Asia

1

1

Total fund management

106

86

Other

 

 

Other operations (note A1)

(84)

(105)

Market operating profit2

3,206

2,808

Corporate centre (note A2)

(180)

(132)

Group debt costs and other interest (note A3)

(361)

(463)

Operating profit before tax attributable to shareholders' profits2

2,665

2,213

Tax attributable to shareholders' profits

(598)

(563)

Non-controlling interests

(152)

(143)

Preference dividends and other4

(74)

(86)

Operating profit attributable to ordinary shareholders2

1,841

1,421

 

 

 

Operating earnings per share2,5

49.2p

48.3p

1    Operating profit has been restated to exclude amortisation and impairment of acquired value of in-force business, which is now shown as a non-operating item. See note B2 for further details. There is no impact on the result or the total equity for any period presented as a result of this restatement.

2    Excludes the impact from an outward quota share reinsurance agreement completed in 2015 in Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). See note A10 for further details.

3    The UK Retail fund management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014 and hence is included in Aviva Investors from 9 May 2014 onwards.

4    Other includes coupon payments in respect of the direct capital instrument (DCI) and tier 1 notes (net of tax).

5    Net of tax, non-controlling interests, preference dividends, coupon payments in respect of the direct capital instrument (DCI) and tier 1 notes (net of tax). The calculation of basic earnings per share uses a weighted average of 3,741 million (FY14: 2,943 million) ordinary shares in issue, after deducting treasury shares.

Overall operating profit was £2,665 million (FY14: £2,213 million). Excluding the contribution from the Friends Life businesses acquired in April 2015 of £554 million, adverse foreign exchange movements of £117 million, impact of disposals of £30 million and non-recurring items of c.£58 million, operating profit improved by £103 million.

The life business result was £2,419 million (FY14: 2,019 million), up 26% on a constant currency basis. The life result includes an adverse foreign exchange impact of £92 million. Friends Life contributed £358 million to UK Life and £151 million to Asia through Friends Provident International ('FPI'). UK Life, excluding Friends UK, includes a net benefit to operating profit of £259 million (FY14: £282 million) from non-recurring items relating to expense reserve releases following actions taken to reduce the current and future cost base. In Poland, FY14 operating profit included a non-recurring benefit of £35 million1 from a regulatory pension change.

The general insurance and health business result was £765 million (FY14: £808 million). Within this, overall LTIR reduced to £396 million (FY14: £477 million), with £41 million of this decrease due to the lower balance on the UKGI internal loan which is neutral at an overall Group level, while the remainder mainly reflects lower investment yields. The general insurance and health underwriting result was £374 million (FY14: £341 million) benefitting from broadly stable weather experience despite the December floods in the UK and higher positive prior year development of £236 million (FY14: £131 million benefit to operating profit).

Fund management operating profit was £106 million (FY14: £86 million) including a contribution of £9 million from Friends Life Investments ('FLI'). Excluding FLI, the increase was driven by increased performance fees partly offset by higher operating expenses incurred to support the growth and development of the business.

Operating earnings per share has increased to 49.2p (FY14: 48.3p), mainly driven by post tax operating profit growth partly offset by the increase in the weighted average number of shares following the Friends Life acquisition (3,741 million at FY15 compared to 2,943 million at FY14).

1    On a constant currency basis.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 7

 

3 - Expenses

a) Expenses

 

2015
£m

2014
£m

United Kingdom & Ireland Life

815

565

United Kingdom & Ireland General Insurance & Health

697

755

Europe

526

596

Canada

298

316

Asia

141

80

Aviva Investors

345

298

Other Group activities

208

185

Operating cost base

3,030

2,795

Integration & restructuring costs

379

140

Expense base

3,409

2,935

The table below shows the lines of the IFRS consolidated income statement in which operating expenses have been included:

 

2015
£m

2014
 £m

Claims handling costs1

303

345

Non-commission acquisition costs2

818

828

Other expenses

1,909

1,622

Operating cost base

3,030

2,795

1    As reported within net claims and benefits paid of £21,985 million (FY14: £19,474 million).

2    As reported within fee and commission expense of £3,347 million (FY14: £3,389 million).

Overall operating expenses for FY15 were £3,030 million (FY14: £2,795 million), including £350 million of expenses from Friends Life, following its acquisition in April 2015. Excluding Friends Life, operating expenses reduced by £115 million to £2,680 million (FY14: £2,795 million). Within this total, there was a £100 million benefit from foreign exchange movements, meaning that underlying expenses were slightly lower compared with FY14, with cost reductions (primarily in the UK) offset by investment to support growth (mainly in Aviva Investors and Asia).

      In the UK and Ireland, both the life and general insurance businesses have achieved savings by reducing headcount, mainly as a result of process automation and simplification and realised continued benefits from previous cost reduction initiatives. The total costs of £815 million in UK and Ireland Life included Friends UK operating expenses of £286 million in FY15.

      Total operating expenses of our European markets reduced to £526 million (FY14: £596 million) and remained broadly stable in constant currency. In Canada, operating expenses were £298 million (FY14: £316 million), an increase of 1% on a constant currency basis as a result of the continued investment in business growth.

      Total operating expenses for Asia increased by £61 million to £141 million (FY14: £80 million), with £46 million of this increase resulting from the inclusion of FPI in the current year, while the remainder was mostly driven by investment to support business growth in Singapore.

      In Aviva Investors, operating expenses increased to £345 million (FY14: £298 million), mainly due to higher expenses incurred to support the growth and further development of the business and the inclusion of Friends Life Investments (£11 million).

      Other Group activities, which include Group centre costs, were £208 million (FY14: £185 million). This includes centre costs relating to Friends Life and increased spending on digital initiatives across the Group.

Integration and restructuring costs were £379 million (FY14: £140 million), principally driven by transaction and integration activities in relation to the acquisition of Friends Life and Solvency II costs of £82 million (FY14: £94 million).

b) Operating expense ratios

 

2015

Restated1

2014

Life2

32.2%

29.7%

General insurance3

13.9%

14.8%

Health3

14.5%

15.7%

Fund management4

13bps

12bps

Group total5

50.0%

51.1%

1    Operating profit has been restated to exclude amortisation and impairment of acquired value of in-force business, which is now shown as a non-operating item. See note B2 for further details. There is no impact on the result or the total equity for any period presented as a result of this restatement.

2    Life non-commission acquisition and administration expenses gross of DAC on new business expressed as a percentage of Life operating income.

3    Written expenses including claims handling costs expressed as a percentage of net written premiums.

4    Aviva Investors' operating expenses expressed as a percentage of average funds under management.

5    Group operating expenses expressed as a percentage of operating profit before operating expenses and group debt costs.

 

 

 

 

Page 8

 

4 - Value of new business by market

Gross of tax and non-controlling interests

2015
 £m

2014
 £m

United Kingdom

609

473

Ireland

16

9

United Kingdom & Ireland

625

482

France

198

205

Poland

65

64

Italy - excluding Eurovita

79

63

Spain - excluding CxG

31

30

Turkey

27

30

Europe

400

392

Asia - excluding South Korea

151

122

Aviva Investors1

16

9

Value of new business - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

1,192

1,005

Eurovita, CxG & South Korea

-

4

Total value of new business

1,192

1,009

1    UK Retail fund management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014 and hence is included in Aviva Investors from 9 May 2014 onwards.

The Group's value of new business2,3 (VNB) increased to £1,192 million (FY14: £1,005 million), up 24% on a constant currency basis, primarily driven by strong performances in the UK, Italy and Asia. This includes a £96 million contribution to FY15 VNB from Friends Life, following the acquisition of this business in April 2015. Overall VNB3 excluding Friends Life grew by 9% to £1,096 million (FY14: £1,005 million), an increase of 14% on a constant currency basis.

In the UK, VNB was £609 million (FY14: £473 million). The current period benefitted from £91 million VNB from Friends UK, principally arising from sales of protection business as the individual annuities market continues to decline. Excluding Friends UK, VNB in the UK improved 10% to £518 million (FY14: £473 million), mainly reflecting higher margins on pension and health business, together with increased sales and improved margins on bulk purchase annuities. This increase was partly offset by the lower contribution from individual annuities compared to the prior period following the announcements made in the 2014 UK budget. Ireland's VNB almost doubled as a result of higher sales and improved margins on pensions and annuities, partially offset by lower volumes on protection business.

VNB in Europe increased 14%3,4 with improvement across all markets on a constant currency basis. VNB in France was up 7%4 mostly due to volume growth and an improved margin on protection business, partly offset by lower risk-free rates increasing the cost of guarantees on with-profits business. In Poland, VNB increased by 13%3,4. 2014 included an £8 million one-off benefit from regulatory pension changes in Lithuania. Excluding this, Polish VNB grew by 29%3,4 reflecting increased sales of higher margin protection business. VNB in Italy was up by 40%3,4 mainly driven by higher margins on with-profits products following management actions to reduce the cost of guarantees, together with an improved mix of business away from with-profits products towards protection business. In Spain, VNB increased by 17%3,4 mainly driven by an improved mix within protection business, partly offset by reduced sales of with-profits savings business following management actions to reduce guarantees available. In Turkey, VNB increased by 4%4 despite the impact of a reduction in our share of the business following the partial IPO in 2014. Excluding the effect of this dilution, VNB in Turkey grew 24%4 mainly driven by higher sales of pension products.

In Asia, VNB3 was £151 million (FY14: £122 million), reflecting a continued focus on sales of higher margin products, particularly protection products in China and Singapore as well as retail health business in Singapore. In addition, the current period includes a £5 million contribution from FPI.

VNB in Aviva Investors was £16 million (FY14: £9 million) following the transfer of the UK retail fund management business from UK Life in May 2014.

 

  

 

 

2    The trend analysis of VNB and present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) are included in Financial supplement, section E: VNB & sales analysis.

3    Poland includes Lithuania, Italy excludes Eurovita, Spain excludes CxG and Asia excludes South Korea.

4    On a constant currency basis.

 

 

 

Page 9

 

5 - General insurance combined operating ratio (COR)

 

Net written premiums

Claims ratio3

Commission and

expense ratio4

Combined operating ratio5

 

2015
 £m

2014
£m

2015
%

2014
 %

2015
 %

2014
 %

2015
%

2014
%

United Kingdom1,2

3,685

3,663

64.7

61.0

30.4

33.8

95.1

94.8

Ireland

282

272

67.9

67.1

26.7

29.5

94.6

96.6

United Kingdom & Ireland

3,967

3,935

64.9

61.4

30.1

33.5

95.0

94.9

Europe

1,200

1,313

66.2

69.7

29.2

28.0

95.4

97.7

Canada

1,992

2,104

63.3

65.5

30.5

30.6

93.8

96.1

Asia

12

13

62.6

65.3

39.0

32.5

101.6

97.8

Other6

-

7

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total2

7,171

7,372

64.5

64.0

30.1

31.7

94.6

95.7

1    United Kingdom excluding Aviva Re and agencies in run-off.

2    Excludes the impact from an outward quota share reinsurance agreement completed in 2015 in Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). See note A10 for further details.

3    Claims ratio: incurred claims expressed as a percentage of net earned premiums.

4    Commission and expense ratio: written commissions and expenses expressed as a percentage of net written premiums.

5    Combined operating ratio: aggregate of claims ratio and commission and expense ratio.

6    Other includes Aviva Re.

Group combined operating ratio (COR) for the period was 94.6% (FY14: 95.7%) with improvements in Canada and Europe.

In the UK and Ireland, GI COR was broadly flat at 95.0% (FY14: 94.9%) reflecting an increase in the claims ratio, offset by a lower commission and expense ratio. In the UK, the claims ratio has increased to 64.7% (FY14: 61.0%) as the adverse impact of the December storms more than offset higher prior year reserve releases. The lower commission and expense ratio of 30.4% (FY14: 33.8%) reflected expense savings and lower sales commissions following selected exits from elements of personal lines and a shift in mix of business. In Ireland, the COR has improved to 94.6% (FY14: 96.6%), reflecting an improvement in the commission and expense ratio and the favourable weather experience, partly offset by lower prior year reserve releases.

Europe's GI COR has improved by 2.3pp to 95.4% (FY14: 97.7%) mostly driven by a lower claims ratio, partly offset by an adverse commission and expense ratio. Excluding the Turkish general insurance business disposed of in December 2014, Europe's GI COR was 0.6pp better (FY14: 96.0%). Improvements in the claims ratio were largely driven by better weather experience in France compared with the adverse weather events in the prior year and favourable prior year claims development in Italy. The commission and expense ratio was impacted by a shift in business mix in France and Italy and growth in higher commission lines in Poland.

In Canada GI COR has improved by 2.3pp to 93.8% (FY14: 96.1%), primarily driven by an overall improvement in the claims ratio. The claims ratio has improved by 2.2pp to 63.3% (FY14: 65.5%) primarily reflecting more benign weather conditions compared to last year and higher positive prior year development.

We continue to apply our reserving policy consistently and to focus on understanding the true cost of claims to ensure that reserves are maintained at an appropriate level. Prior year reserve movements will vary year to year but our business is predominantly short tail in nature and the loss development experience is generally stable. In FY15 we have had a positive prior year development in our GI & Health business benefitting operating profit by £236 million (FY14: £131 million benefit to operating profit), mainly in the UK and Canada.

Underlying combined operating ratio

 

UK & Ireland2

Europe

Canada

Total2

 

2015
%

2014
%

2015
%

2014
%

2015
%

2014
%

2015
%

2014
%

Underlying claims ratio1,2

67.1

64.2

69.0

67.2

68.4

67.0

67.8

65.4

Prior year reserve strengthening/(release)3

(2.4)

(1.4)

(2.7)

0.3

(4.4)

(3.5)

(3.2)

(1.6)

Weather over/(under) long-term average4

0.2

(1.4)

(0.1)

2.2

(0.7)

2.0

(0.1)

0.2

Claims ratio2

64.9

61.4

66.2

69.7

63.3

65.5

64.5

64.0

Commission and expense ratio5

30.1

33.5

29.2

28.0

30.5

30.6

30.1

31.7

Combined operating ratio2

95.0

94.9

95.4

97.7

93.8

96.1

94.6

95.7

1    Underlying claims ratio represents the claims ratio adjusted to exclude prior year claims development and weather variations vs. expectations, gross of the impact of profit sharing arrangements.

2    Excludes the impact from an outward quota share reinsurance agreement completed in 2015 in Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). See note A10 for further details.

3    Prior year reserve strengthening/(release) represents the changes in the ultimate cost of the claims incurred in prior years, gross of the impact of profit sharing arrangements.

4    Weather over/(under) long-term average represents the difference between the reported net incurred cost of general insurance claims that have occurred as a result of weather events and the equivalent long-term average expected net costs, gross of the impact of profit sharing arrangements.

5    Commission and expense ratio includes the impact of profit sharing arrangements.

Group underlying claims ratio for the period has deteriorated by 2.4pp to 67.8% (FY14: 65.4%) with adverse movements across all markets. The underwriting actions to improve profitability in the UK were more than offset by the impact of personal motor rate reductions earning through into 2015 and adverse large losses, primarily in commercial property. Actions taken in Canada to improve underwriting in personal property and commercial SME business improved the underlying loss ratio however this was more than offset by higher large losses across the portfolio. In Europe, the underlying claims ratio was 69.0% (FY14: 67.2%). Excluding Turkey GI, the underlying claims ratio worsened by 1.3pp to 69.0% (FY14: 67.7%), mainly driven by higher large losses in France.

 

 

Page 10

6.i - United Kingdom and Ireland Life

 

2015
£m

2014
£m

Cash remitted to Group

667

437

Life operating profit: IFRS basis (restated)1

1,432

1,049

Expenses

 

 

Operating expenses

815

565

Integration and restructuring costs

215

28

 

1,030

593

Value of new business

625

482

1    Operating profit has been restated to exclude amortisation and impairment of acquired value of in-force business, which is now shown as a non-operating item. See note B2 for further details. There is no impact on the result or the total equity for any period presented as a result of this restatement.

Cash

During the year total cash remitted to Group was £667 million, up 53% from 2014. This includes interest on internal loans in Friends UK of £101 million.

Operating profit: IFRS basis

UK and Ireland life operating profit was £1,432 million (FY14: £1,049 million), a £383 million increase compared with the prior year. This includes a contribution of £358 million from Friends UK following its acquisition in April 2015.

Overall UK Life operating profit was £1,408 million (FY14: £1,025 million). Excluding Friends UK, UK Life operating profit has increased 2% to £1,050 million (FY14: £1,025 million). FY15 included a £259 million benefit from expense reserve releases following actions taken to reduce the current and future cost base - this does not yet reflect the benefit of integration savings. 2014 benefitted from non-recurring items of £282 million, mainly relating to longevity assumption changes and expense reserve releases. Excluding these items, profit increased by 6% mainly due to a reduction in operating expenses as well as improved new business profitability.

      In Ireland, life operating profit remained stable at £24 million (FY14: £24 million) but was up 14% in constant currency. This was largely due to the one-off benefit of the portfolio transfer to UK Life.

Expenses

Overall UK operating expenses were £788 million (FY14: £529 million), including £286 million of expenses from Friends UK in FY15 following its acquisition. Excluding Friends UK, UK operating expenses decreased by 5% to £502 million (FY14: £529 million) reflecting cost savings as a result of process automation and simplification. Overall UK integration and restructuring costs were £204 million (FY14: £21 million), including Solvency II costs and £113 million costs from integration activity.

      Ireland operating expenses reduced to £27 million (FY14: £36 million) as a result of cost saving initiatives, while integration and restructuring costs increased to £11 million (FY14: £7 million).

Value of new business

Value of new business (VNB) was £625 million (FY14: £482 million).

In the UK, VNB was £609 million (FY14: £473 million). VNB in UK Life excluding Friends UK improved 10% to £518 million (FY14: £473 million), mainly reflecting higher margins on pension and health business, together with increased sales and improved margins on bulk purchase annuities. This increase was partly offset by the lower level of individual annuity volumes compared to the prior period following the announcements made in the 2014 UK budget. Friends UK VNB was £91 million since acquisition and is principally protection business as the individual annuities market continues to decline.

In Ireland, VNB increased to £16 million (FY14: £9 million) as a result of higher sales and improved margins on pensions and annuities, partially offset by lower volumes on protection business.

 

 

Page 11

 

6.ii - United Kingdom and Ireland general insurance & health

 

2015
£m

2014
£m

Cash remitted to Group1

358

294

Operating profit: IFRS basis2

430

499

Expenses

 

 

Operating expenses

697

755

Integration and restructuring costs

26

11

 

723

766

Combined operating ratio2,3

95.0%

94.9%

1    Cash remittances include amounts of £351 million received from UK & Ireland GI in February 2016 in respect of 2015 activity and £273 million received from UKGI in February 2015 in respect of 2014 activity.

2    Excludes the impact from an outward quota share reinsurance agreement completed in 2015 in Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). See note A10 for further details.

3    General insurance business only.

Cash

Total cash remitted to Group was £358 million (FY14: £294 million), reflecting management actions during the year. Cash remittances include £351 million received in February 2016 relating to UK & Ireland general insurance in respect of 2015 activity.

Operating profit: IFRS basis

UK and Ireland general insurance and health operating profit was £430 million (FY14: £499 million).

In UK general insurance, operating profit was £368 million (FY14: £455 million). Within this, longer-term investment return (LTIR) reduced by £45 million to £215 million (FY14: £260 million) mainly as a result of the lower intercompany loan balance (which is neutral at an overall Group level).

The UK general insurance underwriting result was £154 million (FY14: £199 million) with the adverse weather experience due to the December floods being partly offset by the benefit of expense savings and more favourable prior year claims development. Our personal lines underwriting result remained stable at £97 million (FY14: £96 million). The underwriting result in commercial lines decreased to £57 million (FY14: £103 million), mainly reflecting the adverse impact from the December floods and higher large losses, partly offset by more favourable reserve releases. UKGI net written premium (NWP) increased 1% to £3,685 million (FY14: £3,663 million), primarily driven by growth in personal motor, partly offset by selected exits in personal property lines.

In Ireland, general insurance and health operating profit increased to £41 million (FY14: £33 million) mainly driven by favourable weather experience partly offset by lower prior year claims reserve releases.

In UK Health, operating profit was up £10 million to £21 million (FY14: £11 million) due to lower expenses and the benefit of pricing actions.

Expenses

UK general insurance operating expenses have reduced by 8% to £604 million (FY14: £658 million) reflecting the impact of a reduction in headcount and continued focus on cost control. In Ireland, operating expenses decreased to £93 million (FY14: £97 million).

UK and Ireland's integration and restructuring costs increased to £26 million (FY14: £11 million) as a result of operational restructuring to simplify the business and reduce property costs by focusing on a smaller number of core locations.

Combined operating ratio2,3

 

Claims ratio

Commission and
expense ratio

Combined operating ratio

United Kingdom & Ireland

2015
%

2014
%

2015
%

2014
%

2015
%

2014
%

Personal

65.8

62.4

28.8

33.9

94.6

96.3

Commercial

63.6

59.9

32.1

32.9

95.7

92.8

Total

64.9

61.4

30.1

33.5

95.0

94.9

2    Excludes the impact from an outward quota share reinsurance agreement completed in 2015 in Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). See note A10 for further details.

3    General insurance business only.

The UK & Ireland general insurance combined operating ratio (COR) was broadly flat at 95.0% (FY14: 94.9%) reflecting an increase in the claims ratio, offset by a lower commission and expense ratio. In the UK, the claims ratio has increased to 64.7% (FY14: 61.0%) as higher prior year reserve releases were more than offset by the December storms and higher large losses, primarily in commercial property and the adverse impact of personal motor rate reductions earning through into 2015. The lower commission and expense ratio of 30.4% (FY14: 33.8%) resulted from expense savings and lower sales commissions following selected exits from elements of personal lines and a shift in mix of business. In Ireland, the COR has improved to 94.6% (FY14: 96.6%), reflecting an improvement in the commission and expense ratio and the favourable weather experience, partly offset by lower prior year reserve releases.

 

 

 

Page 12

 

6.iii - Europe1

 

2015
£m

2014
 £m

Cash remitted to Group

431

473

Operating profit: IFRS basis (restated)2

 

 

Life (restated)2

766

882

General insurance & health

114

113

 

880

995

Expenses

 

 

Operating expenses

526

596

Integration and restructuring costs

22

17

 

548

613

Value of new business

 

 

Value of new business - excluding Eurovita & CxG

400

392

Effects of disposals/Assets held for sale (Eurovita & CxG)

-

(1)

 

400

391

Combined operating ratio3

95.4%

97.7%

Combined operating ratio3 - excluding Turkey

95.4%

96.0%

1    Our European business includes life and general insurance business written in France, Poland, Italy, and Turkey (GI business disposed of in December 2014), life business in Spain and health business in France.

2    Operating profit has been restated to exclude amortisation and impairment of acquired value of in-force business, which is now shown as a non-operating item. See note B2 for further details. There is no impact on the result or the total equity for any period presented as a result of this restatement.

3    General insurance business only.

There has been a weakening of the euro, the Polish zloty and the Turkish lira by 11%, 11% and 16% respectively (average rate) over the year which has impacted all metrics except combined operating ratio.

Cash

Cash remitted to Group during the period was £431 million (FY14: £473 million), with remittances from all markets impacted by adverse foreign exchange movements. Excluding foreign exchange movements, remittances were up 1%.

Life operating profit: IFRS basis

Life operating profit was £766 million (FY14: £882 million), a reduction of £116 million, of which £90 million was due to adverse foreign exchange movements in the year. Excluding foreign exchange movements, the adverse impact of the disposals of Eurovita and CxG, as well as the one-off benefit in FY14 from regulatory pension changes in Poland, overall life operating profit improved by 6% despite continuing low interest rates.

      In France, operating profit was 4% lower at £395 million (FY14: £412 million) but up 7% on a constant currency basis, mainly from portfolio growth and a continued improvement in mix towards unit-linked and protection products, together with strong results from UFF, our majority-owned broker business. Italy's operating profit4 increased to £139 million (FY14: £135 million), up 15% on a constant currency basis, mostly due to improved margins on with-profits business driven by management actions to reduce the costs of guarantees. Operating profit4 in Poland reduced to £129 million (FY14: £183 million), down 21% on a constant currency basis largely due to a £39 million one-off regulatory pension change which benefitted the prior period. In Spain, operating profit4 decreased to £92 million (FY14: £101 million) but was 2% higher on a constant currency basis. Operating profit5 in Turkey was broadly stable at £11 million despite a lower ownership share of the business following the partial IPO in the second half of 2014.

General insurance & health operating profit: IFRS basis

Operating profit was £114 million (FY14: £113 million), up 12% on a constant currency basis mainly driven by the disposal of the loss-making Turkey GI business in December 2014. Operating profit in Poland increased to £10 million (FY14: £8 million). Operating profit in France was £71 million (FY14: £78 million), up 2% in constant currency due to better weather experience compared with the prior year, partly offset by higher large losses and lower investment returns. Italy's operating profit was £33 million (FY14: £40 million), down 8% in constant currency mainly due to lower longer-term investment return reflecting market conditions.

Expenses

Operating expenses improved to £526 million (FY14: £596 million) and were broadly stable in constant currency. Integration and restructuring costs of £22 million (FY14: £17 million) relate largely to Solvency II costs.

Value of new business

Europe's value of new business4 (VNB) was £400 million (FY14: £392 million), an increase of 14% in constant currency, with improvement across all markets. VNB in France was up 7%5 mostly due to volume growth and an improved margin on protection business, partly offset by lower risk-free rates increasing the cost of guarantees on with-profits business. In Poland, excluding an £8 million one-off benefit in FY14 from regulatory pension changes in Lithuania, VNB was up 29%4,5 due to increased sales of higher margin protection business. VNB in Italy was up by 40%4,5 mainly driven by higher margins on with-profits products following management actions to reduce the cost of guarantees, together with an improved mix of business away from with-profits products towards protection business. In Spain, VNB increased by 17%4,5 mainly driven by an improved mix within protection business, partly offset by reduced sales of with-profits savings business following management actions to reduce guarantees available. In Turkey, VNB increased by 4%5 despite the impact of a reduction in our share of the business following the partial IPO in 2014. Excluding the effect of this dilution, VNB in Turkey grew 24%5 mainly driven by higher sales of pension products.

 

4    Poland includes Lithuania, Italy excludes Eurovita and Spain excludes CxG.

5    On a constant currency basis.

 

 

 

Page 13

 

6.iii - Europe continued

Combined operating ratio1

 

Claims ratio

Commission and
expense ratio

Combined operating ratio

Europe

2015
%

2014
%

2015
%

2014
%

2015
%

2014
%

France

67.8

70.1

27.9

26.8

95.7

96.9

Poland

54.4

57.6

40.3

38.4

94.7

96.0

Italy

64.1

66.6

30.2

27.4

94.3

94.0

Turkey

-

101.5

-

45.4

-

146.9

Total

66.2

69.7

29.2

28.0

95.4

97.7

1    General Insurance business only.

Combined operating ratio (COR) has improved to 95.4% (FY14: 97.7%), mostly driven by a lower claims ratio following the disposal of the Turkish general insurance business in December 2014. Excluding Turkey GI, COR improved 0.6pp (FY14: 96.0%). Improvements in the claims ratio were largely driven by better weather experience in France compared with the adverse weather events in the prior year and favourable prior year claims development in Italy. The commission and expense ratio was impacted by a shift in business mix in France and Italy and growth in higher commission lines in Poland.

      Net written premiums (NWP) for the general insurance and health business were £1,410 million (FY14: £1,556 million), an increase of 1% in constant currency. Excluding Turkey GI, NWP improved 3% on a constant currency basis driven by growth in the motor and commercial property businesses in France and the creditor business in Italy.

 

 

Page 14

 

6.iv - Canada

 

2015
£m

2014
 £m

Cash remitted to Group

6

138

General Insurance operating profit: IFRS basis

214

189

Expenses

 

 

Operating expenses

298

316

Integration and restructuring costs

7

4

 

305

320

Combined operating ratio

93.8%

96.1%

Cash

Cash generated in 2015 was largely retained in order to part-fund the proposed acquisition of Royal Bank of Canada General Insurance Company, which is expected to close in the third quarter of 2016. The cash remittance of £6 million paid in 2015 reflects the interest incurred on internal debt.

Operating profit: IFRS basis

General insurance operating profit was £214 million (FY14: £189 million), an increase of £25 million (up 22% on a constant currency basis) compared with the prior year. Within this, the underwriting result of £120 million (FY14: £83 million) benefitted from more benign weather conditions compared to last year and higher positive prior year reserve development in personal lines. Longer-term investment return reduced 13% to £98 million (FY14: £112 million), primarily as a result of lower reinvestment yields.

Expenses

Operating expenses were £298 million (FY14: £316 million), a 1% increase on a constant currency basis driven by volume growth, with gross written premiums 4% higher in constant currency. Integration and restructuring costs were £7 million (FY14: £4 million).

Combined operating ratio

 

Claims ratio

Commission and
expense ratio

Combined operating ratio

Canada

2015
%

2014
%

2015
%

2014
%

2015
%

2014
%

Personal

66.8

68.1

27.8

28.3

94.6

96.4

Commercial

57.1

61.1

35.4

34.4

92.5

95.5

Total

63.3

65.5

30.5

30.6

93.8

96.1

Combined operating ratio has improved 2.3pp to 93.8% (FY14: 96.1%) driven by an overall improvement in the claims and commission and expense ratios. The commercial lines COR improved 3pp, principally due to improved risk selection in our SME business and improved weather, which reduced claims frequency. The personal lines COR of 94.6% (FY14: 96.4%) benefitted from higher reserve releases, principally in the motor segment as well as improved weather.

Net written premiums were £1,992 million (FY14: £2,104 million), up 1% on a constant currency basis. The increase predominantly reflects improved rates and retention on personal lines.

 

 

 

Page 15

6.v - Asia

 

2015
 £m

2014
 £m

Cash remitted to Group

21

23

Operating profit: IFRS basis

 

 

Life

244

87

General insurance & health

(6)

(2)

 

238

85

Expenses

 

 

Operating expenses

141

80

Integration and restructuring costs

7

1

 

148

81

Value of new business

 

 

Value of new business - excluding South Korea

151

122

Effects of disposals (South Korea)

-

5

 

151

127

Combined operating ratio1

101.6%

97.8%

1    General insurance business only.

Cash

Total cash remitted to Group was £21 million (FY14: £23 million) from the Singapore life business.

Operating profit: IFRS basis

Overall operating profit from life and general insurance and health business was £238 million (FY14: £85 million). Life operating profits were £244 million (FY14: £87 million). Within this, FPI contributed £151 million to the life operating result (£15 million operating profit net of amortisation of acquired value of in-force business) since its acquisition in April 2015. Excluding FPI, life operating profit in Asia grew to £93 million (FY14: £87 million), mainly reflecting higher new business contribution in Singapore and profit emergence from China's in-force business. The non-life business reported a £6 million loss (FY14: £2 million loss), largely driven by adverse claims experience in the Singapore health business.

Expenses

Overall operating expenses were £141 million (FY14: £80 million), including £46 million of expenses from FPI in FY15. Operating expenses excluding FPI increased 19% to £95 million (FY14: £80 million), mostly due to investment to support business growth across Asia.

Value of New Business

Value of new business2 (VNB) increased to £151 million (FY14: £122 million). Singapore's VNB increased £16 million to £103 million (FY14: £87 million), following higher sales of protection business. VNB in China improved by £11 million to £42 million (FY14: £31 million) largely driven by a continued shift towards higher margin protection products. The inclusion of FPI benefitted FY15 overall VNB by £5 million.

Combined Operating Ratio

Combined operating ratio for the general insurance business was 101.6% (FY14: 97.8%), mainly as a result of higher expenses. Net written premiums for the general insurance and health business increased to £107 million (FY14: £87 million), up 23% on a constant currency basis, as growth in the Singapore health business more than offset the adverse impact from a change in our shareholding of the Indonesian health business.

 

 

  

 

 

2    Asia excludes South Korea.

 

 

 

Page 16

 

6.vi - Fund management

 

2015
£m

2014
 £m

Cash remitted to Group1

24

16

Fund management operating profit: IFRS basis

 

 

Aviva Investors

105

79

United Kingdom

-

6

Asia

1

1

 

106

86

Aviva Investors: Operating profit: IFRS basis

 

 

Fund management

105

79

Other operations

-

(18)

 

105

61

Expenses1

 

 

Operating expenses

345

298

Integration and restructuring costs

11

4

 

356

302

Value of new business1

16

9

1    Only includes Aviva Investors.

Cash

Cash remitted to Group was £24 million (FY14: £16 million), primarily reflecting a higher remittance by Aviva Investors France.

Operating profit: IFRS basis

Fund management operating profit generated by Aviva Investors was £105 million (FY14: £79 million), including a contribution of £9 million from Friends Life Investments (FLI). Excluding FLI, the increase of £17 million was mainly driven by increased performance fees partly offset by higher operating expenses.

Expenses

Operating expenses in Aviva Investors were £345 million (FY14: £298 million), including £11 million expenses from Friends Life Investments. Excluding Friends Life Investments, operating expenses increased by £36 million to £334 million, primarily due to investment to support the growth and further development of the business.

      Integration and restructuring costs increased to £11 million (FY14: £4 million), largely relating to the Friends Life integration.

Value of New Business

Value of new business in Aviva Investors has increased by £7 million to £16 million (FY14: £9 million) following the transfer of the UK retail fund management business from UK Life in May 2014.

Net flows and funds under management - Aviva Investors

 

Internal
 £m

External
£m

Total
£m

Aviva Investors

 

 

 

Funds under management at 1 January 2015

200,415

45,483

245,898

Gross Sales

17,231

5,946

23,177

Gross claims/redemptions

(21,995)

(6,255)

(28,250)

Market movements and other1

(3,556)

(1,438)

(4,994)

Acquisitions2

54,079

-

54,079

Funds under management at 31 December 2015

246,174

43,736

289,910

1    Market movements and other includes £3.0 billion of outflows within Internal for the Ark Life & Aviva Assicuration Vita mandates (disposals). Within external market movements are liquidity outflows of £890 million.        

2    Acquisitions includes Friends Life, Real Estate Finance and France Real Estate.

Aviva Investors funds under management have increased by £44 billion to £289.9 billion (FY14: £245.9 billion) during the year. This was driven by acquisitions, partly offset by net outflows and adverse market and other movements including adverse euro exchange rate movements.

Acquisitions in 2015 include £22.3 billion of assets managed by FLI at acquisition, £22.8 billion of Friends Life assets transitioned to Aviva Investors, and £9.0 billion from the transfer of our Real Estate Finance and French Real Estate businesses.

Our flagship Aviva Investors multi-strategy (AIMS) fund range, which was launched in July 2014, has achieved net external inflows of £1 billion during the year and had £3.0 billion funds under management at the end of 2015.

 

 

 

 

Page 17

 

7.i - Life business profit drivers

Life business operating profit before shareholder tax increased by 20% to £2,419 million (FY14: £2,019 million), including a contribution of £509 million from Friends Life. Excluding Friends Life, operating profit decreased by 5% to £1,910 million, with an adverse foreign exchange impact on the life business result of £92 million during the year largely driven by the weakening of the euro. On a constant currency basis excluding Friends Life businesses, life operating profit was largely stable.

 

United Kingdom & Ireland

Europe

Asia

Total

 

2015
 £m

Restated1

2014
£m

2015
£m

Restated1

2014
£m

2015
 £m

2014
 £m

2015
 £m

Restated1

2014
 £m

New business income

708

462

228

227

152

126

1,088

815

Underwriting margin

279

175

208

230

82

58

569

463

Investment return

1,208

738

989

1,113

90

50

2,287

1,901

Total Income

2,195

1,375

1,425

1,570

324

234

3,944

3,179

Acquisition expenses

(405)

(278)

(243)

(263)

(127)

(96)

(775)

(637)

Administration expenses

(584)

(364)

(434)

(467)

(73)

(36)

(1,091)

(867)

Total Expenses

(989)

(642)

(677)

(730)

(200)

(132)

(1,866)

(1,504)

DAC and other

226

316

18

42

120

(15)

364

343

 

1,432

1,049

766

882

244

87

2,442

2,018

Other business2

 

 

 

 

 

 

(23)

1

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,419

2,019

1    Operating profit has been restated to exclude amortisation and impairment of acquired value of in-force business, which is now shown as a non-operating item. See note B2 for further details. There is no impact on total equity for any period presented as a result of this restatement.

2    Other business includes the total result for Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions and Aviva Life Reinsurance.

Income: New business income and underwriting margin

 

United Kingdom & Ireland

Europe

Asia

Total

 

2015
 £m

2014
£m

2015
£m

2014
 £m

2015
 £m

2014
£m

2015
 £m

2014
£m

New business income (£m)

708

462

228

227

152

126

1,088

815

APE (£m)1

2,075

1,409

947

1,071

356

285

3,378

2,765

As margin on APE (%)

34%

33%

24%

21%

43%

44%

32%

29%

Underwriting margin (£m)

279

175

208

230

82

58

569

463

Analysed by:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Expenses

65

44

44

55

39

30

148

129

Mortality and longevity

201

114

142

153

38

22

381

289

Persistency

13

17

22

22

5

6

40

45

1    APE excludes UK Retail Fund Management and Health business in UK & Ireland and Asia.

(a) New business income

New business income increased to £1,088 million (FY14: £815 million), mainly driven by the inclusion of the Friends Life contribution of £155 million.

The net contribution from new business is the new business income less associated acquisition expenses (see (g) below). This increased to a profit of £313 million (FY14: profit of £178 million).

In the UK & Ireland, excluding Friends UK, net contribution from new business increased to £304 million (FY14: £184 million) mainly driven by higher new Bulk Purchase Annuities (BPA) profit and lower acquisition expenses. Volumes based on APE (excluding Friends UK) decreased by 2% largely due to a decrease in individual annuities, partly offset by an increase in bulk purchase annuities. The net contribution from Friends UK new business was a loss of £1 million.

In Europe, net contribution improved to a loss of £15 million (FY14: loss of £36 million), up 54% on a constant currency basis. The increase is mainly driven by a change in business mix towards higher margin products and lower guarantees on with-profits products in Italy. Volumes based on APE decreased by 1% in constant currency, reflecting lower sales volumes in Italy and Spain (partly reflecting the disposal of Eurovita in June 2014 and CxG in December 2014), offset by an increase in volumes in France. New business margin on APE increased in Europe to 24% (FY14: 21%), driven by the change in business mix.

In Asia, net contribution decreased to a profit of £25 million (FY14: profit of £30 million) with the benefit of increased protection sales and cost control in Singapore offset by the inclusion of FPI which contributed a net loss of £13 million.

(b) Underwriting margin

The underwriting margin increased to £569 million (FY14: £463 million). In the UK & Ireland, underwriting margin increased to £279 million (FY14: £175 million) driven primarily by the inclusion of £106 million from Friends UK. In Europe, underwriting margin decreased to £208 million (FY14: £230 million) driven by adverse foreign currency movements (1% increase in constant currency).

In Asia, underwriting margin increased to £82 million (FY14: £58 million) mainly due to favourable expense margins in China driven by higher volumes and the inclusion of £15 million from FPI, partly offset by the sale of Korea at HY14.

 

 

 

 

Page 18

 

7.i - Life business profit drivers continued

Income: Investment return

 

United Kingdom & Ireland

Europe

Asia

Total

 

2015
 £m

2014
£m

2015
 £m

2014
 £m

2015
 £m

2014
£m

2015
 £m

2014
£m

Unit-linked margin (£m)

763

434

435

439

70

13

1,268

886

As Annual management charge on average reserves (bps)

83

87

140

126

108

108

98

103

Average reserves (£bn)

92.4

49.8

31.0

34.8

6.5

1.2

129.9

85.8

Participating business (£m)

152

94

470

531

(3)

(1)

619

624

As bonus on average reserves (bps)

31

27

84

90

n/a

n/a

57

65

Average reserves (£bn)

49.5

34.4

55.9

59.3

2.7

1.7

108.1

95.4

Spread margin (£m)

198

136

7

25

10

26

215

187

As spread margin on average reserves (bps)

36

32

23

60

111

236

37

39

Average reserves (£bn)

54.6

42.1

3.1

4.2

0.9

1.1

58.6

47.4

Expected return on shareholder assets (£m)

95

74

77

118

13

12

185

204

Total (£m)

1,208

738

989

1,113

90

50

2,287

1,901

(c) Unit-linked margin

The unit-linked average reserves have increased to £130 billion (FY14: £86 billion), with the movement largely driven by the inclusion of total Friends Life reserves of £46 billion. The unit-linked margin increased to £1,268 million (FY14: £886 million) mainly driven by the acquisition of Friends Life businesses. The margin as a proportion of average unit-linked reserves decreased to 98 bps (FY14: 103 bps).

The improved unit-linked margin in UK & Ireland is driven by the inclusion of the Friends UK margin of £338 million. Unit-linked margin in Europe, on a constant currency basis, improved by 10% due to higher commission income and volumes in France. The increase in unit-linked margin in Asia is due to the inclusion of the FPI margin of £61 million.

(d) Participating business

The participating average reserves have increased to £108 billion (FY14: £95 billion), largely driven by the inclusion of total Friends Life reserves of £17 billion. Income from participating business reduced to £619 million (FY14: £624 million). In the UK & Ireland, the shareholder transfer from with-profits funds increased to £152 million (FY14: £94 million), including £57 million attributable to Friends UK. Excluding Friends UK, participating margin remained stable in the UK & Ireland. In Europe, income reduced to £470 million (FY14: £531 million) and was broadly stable on a constant currency basis. The majority of participating business income is earned in France, where there is a fixed management charge of around 50 bps on AFER business, which is the largest single component of this business.

(e) Spread margin

Spread business average reserves have increased to £59 billion (FY14: £47 billion), largely driven by the inclusion of total Friends Life reserves of £10 billion. Spread business income, which mainly relates to UK in-force immediate annuity and equity release business, improved to £215 million (FY14: £187 million). The spread margin was 37 bps (FY14: 39 bps). The increase in spread income in UK & Ireland is driven by the inclusion of Friends UK which contributed £60 million. Excluding Friends UK, spread income in UK & Ireland was stable. In Europe, spread income reduced by 7% on a constant currency basis largely due to lower reinvestment yields on assets in Spain. In Asia, spread business income reduced to £10 million (FY14: £26 million) mainly due to the disposal of South Korea in June 2014.

(f) Expected return on shareholder assets

Expected returns, representing investment income on surplus funds, reduced to £185 million (FY14: £204 million). Excluding Friends UK of £21 million, expected return in the UK and Ireland has remained stable. The reduction in Europe reflected lower investment yields.

 

 

 

Page 19

 

7.i - Life business profit drivers continued

Expenses

 

United Kingdom & Ireland

Europe

Asia

Total

 

2015
£m

2014
£m

2015
 £m

2014
 £m

2015
 £m

2014
£m

2015
 £m

2014
 £m

Acquisition expenses (£m)

(405)

(278)

(243)

(263)

(127)

(96)

(775)

(637)

APE (£m)1

2,075

1,409

947

1,071

356

285

3,378

2,765

As acquisition expense ratio on APE (%)

20%

20%

26%

25%

36%

34%

23%

23%

Administration expenses (£m)

(584)

(364)

(434)

(467)

(73)

(36)

(1,091)

(867)

As existing business expense ratio on average reserves (bps)

30

29

48

48

72

90

37

38

Average reserves (£bn)

196.5

126.3

90.0

98.3

10.1

4.0

296.6

228.6

1    APE excludes UK Retail Fund Management and Health business in UK & Ireland and Asia.

(g) Acquisition expenses

Acquisition expenses increased to £775 million (FY14: £637 million) primarily reflecting the inclusion of total Friends Life expenses of £169 million. In UK & Ireland, excluding Friends UK expenses of £155 million, lower acquisition costs reflect cost saving initiatives. Europe acquisition expenses have improved driven by beneficial exchange rate movements of £27 million, offset by increased expenses in France reflecting higher new business volumes. The increase in Asia is largely due to higher volumes in Singapore and China and the inclusion of FPI expenses of £14 million. The overall group-wide ratio of acquisition expenses to APE remained stable at 23% (FY14: 23%).

(h) Administration expenses

Administration expenses increased to £1,091 million (FY14: £867 million). The expense ratio was 37 bps (FY14: 38 bps) on average reserves of £297 billion (FY14: £229 billion). The increase in UK & Ireland is driven by the inclusion of Friends UK expenses of £230 million. In Europe, administration expenses were £434 million (FY14: £467 million), an increase of 4% in constant currency driven by higher commission related expenses in France. Asia administration expenses increased due to the inclusion of FPI costs of £37 million partly offset by the sale of Korea in 2014.

      The overall increase in life business acquisition and administration expenses was £362 million, with additional costs from Friends Life of £436 million partly offset by foreign exchange movements.

(i) DAC and other

DAC and other items amounted to an overall positive contribution of £364 million (FY14: £343 million), which was mainly driven by the UK. In FY15, the UK included non-recurring items of £259 million, relating to expense reserve releases following actions taken to reduce the current and future cost base, excluding any integration synergy benefits. In FY14, the UK included non-recurring items of £282 million mainly from longevity assumption changes and expense reserve releases, which were partially offset by increased DAC amortisation charges on pension business. Other items in FY14 also reflected a £39 million one-off benefit in Poland from a regulatory pension change.

 

 

Page 20

 

7.ii - General insurance and health

2015

UK
Personal
£m

UK Commercial
 £m

Total
UK
£m

Ireland
£m

Total UK & Ireland
£m

Canada Personal
£m

Canada Commercial
£m

Total
Canada
£m

Europe
£m

Asia &

Other2

£m

Total
£m

General insurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross written premiums

2,253

1,719

3,972

291

4,263

1,324

785

2,109

1,263

12

7,647

Net written premiums1

2,168

1,517

3,685

282

3,967

1,282

710

1,992

1,200

12

7,171

Net earned premiums1

2,160

1,493

3,653

262

3,915

1,258

719

1,977

1,171

16

7,079

Net claims incurred1

(1,413)

(950)

(2,363)

(177)

(2,540)

(840)

(411)

(1,251)

(775)

1

(4,565)

Of which claims handling costs

 

 

(170)

(7)

(177)

 

 

(74)

(45)

-

(296)

Written commission

(479)

(307)

(786)

(36)

(822)

(248)

(147)

(395)

(245)

-

(1,462)

Written expenses3

(153)

(182)

(335)

(39)

(374)

(108)

(105)

(213)

(105)

(7)

(699)

Movement in DAC and other

(18)

3

(15)

(1)

(16)

5

(3)

2

13

-

(1)

Underwriting result1

97

57

154

9

163

67

53

120

59

10

352

Longer-term investment return4

 

 

215

21

236

 

 

98

53

3

390

Other5

 

 

(1)

-

(1)

 

 

(4)

-

-

(5)

Operating profit1

 

 

368

30

398

 

 

214

112

13

737

Health insurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting result

 

 

 

 

27

 

 

-

1

(6)

22

Longer-term investment return

 

 

 

 

5

 

 

-

1

-

6

Operating profit

 

 

 

 

32

 

 

-

2

(6)

28

Total operating profit1

 

 

 

 

430

 

 

214

114

7

765

General insurance combined operating ratio1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Claims ratio1

65.4%

63.6%

64.7%

67.9%

64.9%

66.8%

57.1%

63.3%

66.2%

 

64.5%

Commission ratio

22.1%

20.2%

21.3%

12.8%

20.7%

19.3%

20.7%

19.8%

20.4%

 

20.4%

Expense ratio

7.0%

12.0%

9.1%

13.9%

9.4%

8.5%

14.7%

10.7%

8.8%

 

9.7%

Combined operating ratio1,6

94.5%

95.8%

95.1%

94.6%

95.0%

94.6%

92.5%

93.8%

95.4%

 

94.6%

Assets supporting general insurance and health business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt securities

 

 

3,993

470

4,463

 

 

2,999

1,937

209

9,608

Equity securities

 

 

8

-

8

 

 

188

21

-

217

Investment property

 

 

198

-

198

 

 

-

137

-

335

Cash and cash equivalents

 

 

639

79

718

 

 

107

118

26

969

Other7

 

 

2,559

104

2,663

 

 

135

209

1

3,008

Assets at 31 December 2015

 

 

7,397

653

8,050

 

 

3,429

2,422

236

14,137

Debt securities

 

 

4,429

825

5,254

 

 

3,261

2,140

203

10,858

Equity securities

 

 

7

-

7

 

 

222

22

-

251

Investment property

 

 

91

4

95

 

 

-

128

-

223

Cash and cash equivalents

 

 

865

79

944

 

 

123

185

48

1,300

Other7

 

 

3,372

101

3,473

 

 

122

172

-

3,767

Assets at 31 December 2014

 

 

8,764

1,009

9,773

 

 

3,728

2,647

251

16,399

Average assets

 

 

8,080

831

8,911

 

 

3,578

2,535

244

15,268

LTIR as % of average assets

 

 

2.7%

2.5%

2.7%

 

 

2.7%

2.1%

1.2%

2.6%

1    Excludes the impact from an outward quota share reinsurance agreement completed in 2015 in Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). See note A10 for further details.

2    Asia & Other includes Aviva Re.

3    Operating expenses shown in note 3 includes claims handling costs and written expenses included in general insurance COR above, plus operating expenses of other non-insurance operations.

4    The UK & Ireland LTIR includes £115 million (FY14: £156 million) relating to the internal loan. This is lower than 2014 primarily as a result of the reduction in the balance of this loan during 2015.

5    Includes unwind of discount and pension scheme net finance costs.

6    COR is calculated as incurred claims expressed as a percentage of net earned premiums, plus written commissions and written expenses expressed as a percentage of net written premiums. COR is calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

7    Includes loans and other financial investments.

 

 

 

 

Page 21

 

 

7.ii - General insurance and health continued

2014

UK
Personal
£m

UK Commercial
£m

Total
UK
 £m

Ireland
£m

Total
UK & Ireland
£m

Canada Personal
£m

Canada Commercial
£m

Total
Canada
£m

Europe
£m

Asia &

Other1

£m

Total
£m

General insurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross written premiums

2,239

1,694

3,933

285

4,218

1,344

832

2,176

1,389

15

7,798

Net written premiums

2,152

1,511

3,663

272

3,935

1,325

779

2,104

1,313

20

7,372

Net earned premiums

2,202

1,511

3,713

267

3,980

1,280

770

2,050

1,308

23

7,361

Net claims incurred

(1,359)

(905)

(2,264)

(179)

(2,443)

(872)

(471)

(1,343)

(912)

(13)

(4,711)

Of which claims handling costs

 

 

(193)

(6)

(199)

 

 

(79)

(59)

-

(337)

Written commission

(564)

(309)

(873)

(36)

(909)

(259)

(157)

(416)

(250)

(1)

(1,576)

Written expenses2

(175)

(189)

(364)

(44)

(408)

(115)

(111)

(226)

(117)

(5)

(756)

Movement in DAC and other

(8)

(5)

(13)

(3)

(16)

15

3

18

1

-

3

Underwriting result

96

103

199

5

204

49

34

83

30

4

321

Longer-term investment return3

 

 

260

18

278

 

 

112

74

6

470

Other4

 

 

(4)

-

(4)

 

 

(6)

-

-

(10)

Operating profit

 

 

455

23

478

 

 

189

104

10

781

Health insurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting result

 

 

 

 

15

 

 

-

8

(3)

20

Longer-term investment return

 

 

 

 

6

 

 

-

1

-

7

Operating profit

 

 

 

 

21

 

 

-

9

(3)

27

Total operating profit

 

 

 

 

499

 

 

189

113

7

808

General insurance combined operating ratio

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Claims ratio

61.7%

59.9%

61.0%

67.1%

61.4%

68.1%

61.1%

65.5%

69.7%

 

64.0%

Commission ratio

26.2%

20.4%

23.8%

13.4%

23.1%

19.6%

20.2%

19.8%

19.1%

 

21.4%

Expense ratio

8.1%

12.5%

10.0%

16.1%

10.4%

8.7%

14.2%

10.8%

8.9%

 

10.3%

Combined operating ratio5

96.0%

92.8%

94.8%

96.6%

94.9%

96.4%

95.5%

96.1%

97.7%

 

95.7%

Assets supporting general insurance and health business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt securities

 

 

4,429

825

5,254

 

 

3,261

2,140

203

10,858

Equity securities

 

 

7

-

7

 

 

222

22

-

251

Investment property

 

 

91

4

95

 

 

-

128

-

223

Cash and cash equivalents

 

 

865

79

944

 

 

123

185

48

1,300

Other6

 

 

3,372

101

3,473

 

 

122

172

-

3,767

Assets at 31 December 2014

 

 

8,764

1,009

9,773

 

 

3,728

2,647

251

16,399

Debt securities

 

 

3,515

994

4,509

 

 

3,098

2,255

243

10,105

Equity securities

 

 

15

-

15

 

 

301

23

-

339

Investment property

 

 

1

6

7

 

 

-

133

-

140

Cash and cash equivalents

 

 

1,490

194

1,684

 

 

95

152

51

1,982

Other6

 

 

5,088

109

5,197

 

 

79

159

-

5,435

Assets at 31 December 2013

 

 

10,109

1,303

11,412

 

 

3,573

2,722

294

18,001

Average assets

 

 

9,436

1,156

10,592

 

 

3,650

2,685

273

17,200

LTIR as % of average assets

 

 

2.8%

1.6%

2.7%

 

 

3.1%

2.8%

2.2%

2.8%

1    Asia & Other includes Aviva Re.

2    Operating expenses shown in note 3 includes claims handling costs and written expenses included in general insurance COR above, plus operating expenses of other non-insurance operations.

3    The UK & Ireland LTIR includes £156 million (FY13: £221 million) relating to the internal loan. This is lower than 2013 primarily as a result of a reduction in the balance of this loan during 2014.

4    Includes unwind of discount and pension scheme net finance costs.

5    COR is calculated as incurred claims expressed as a percentage of net earned premiums, plus written commissions and written expenses expressed as a percentage of net written premiums. COR is calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.

6    Includes loans and other financial investments.

 

 

Page 22

 

 

7.iii - Fund flows

 

Managed assets at
1 January 2015
£m

Acquisitions1

£m

Premiums and deposits,
 net of reinsurance
£m

Claims and redemptions, net of reinsurance
£m

Net flows2

£m

Effect of disposals, market
and other movements
£m

Managed assets at
31 December 2015
£m

Life and platform business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

UK - non-profit - platform

5,282

-

3,695

(461)

3,234

(140)

8,376

UK - non-profit - other

83,731

63,810

8,019

(10,799)

(2,780)

(1,231)

143,530

Ireland

5,518

-

515

(589)

(74)

(292)

5,152

United Kingdom & Ireland (excluding UK with-profits)

94,531

63,810

12,229

(11,849)

380

(1,663)

157,058

Europe

96,602

-

7,877

(6,868)

1,009

(2,979)

94,632

Asia

4,240

7,505

1,496

(1,231)

265

(526)

11,484

Other

1,862

-

28

(257)

(229)

119

1,752

 

197,235

71,315

21,630

(20,205)

1,425

(5,049)

264,926

UK - with-profits and other

46,677

 

 

 

 

 

62,067

Total life and platform business

243,912

 

 

 

 

 

326,993

1    For further details on the acquisition of Friends Life see note B4.

2    Life business net flows in the table above are net of reinsurance and exclude flows related to UK equity release products.

United Kingdom & Ireland (excluding UK with-profits)

During 2015, net inflows in UK Life platform were £3,234 million reflecting growing market presence. Over the period, platform assets under management have increased by 59% to £8,376 million.

      Other UK non-profit outflows were £2,780 million. Positive net flows in group pensions have been more than offset by higher claims and redemptions in traditional pension and savings products due to customers switching to adviser and consumer platforms, including the UK Life Platform, and taking advantage of pension freedom. Other movements mainly reflect unfavourable market movements driven by an increase in interest rates and fall in equities.

In Ireland, net outflows were £74 million reflecting reduced new business inflows due to the strategic withdrawal from unprofitable product lines. In addition, claims exceeded premiums in the Irish with-profits fund which is closed to new business.

Europe

Net inflows were £1,009 million. This was mainly driven by France reflecting increased AFER inflows plus increased unit-linked and protection sales. Other movements in Europe include unfavourable foreign exchange movement of £4.8 billion partially offset by favourable market and other movements.

Asia and other

Net inflows in Asia were £265 million arising mainly in Singapore and reflect increased sales volumes including through DBS Bank Ltd, where the bancassurance distribution agreement has now ceased. Market and other movements reflect adverse foreign exchange rate and market movements. Other business net outflows of £229 million primarily relate to Aviva Investors' Pooled Pensions business.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 23

 

8.i - Summary of assets

The Group asset portfolio is invested to generate competitive investment returns for both policyholders and shareholders whilst remaining within the Group's appetite for market and credit risk.

The Group has a low appetite for interest rate risk and currency risk which means that the asset portfolios are well matched by duration and currency to the liabilities they cover. The Group also runs a low level of liquidity risk which results in a high proportion of income generating assets and a preference for more liquid assets where there is the potential need to realise those assets before maturity.

The Group seeks to diversify its asset portfolio in order to reduce risk and provide more attractive risk-adjusted returns. In order to achieve this there is a comprehensive risk limit framework in place. There is an allowance for diversification in our economic capital model, actions have been taken to reduce our exposure to the eurozone periphery, and we are broadening the investment portfolio in individual businesses.

Asset allocation decisions are taken at legal entity level and in many cases by fund within a legal entity in order to reflect the nature of the liabilities, customer expectations, the local accounting and regulatory treatment, and any local constraints. These asset allocation decisions are made in accordance with a group-wide framework that takes into account consensus investment views across the Group, prioritised Group objectives and metrics and Group risk limits and constraints. This framework is overseen by the Group Asset Liability Committee (ALCO) and facilitates a consistent approach to asset allocation across the business units in line with Group risk appetite and shareholder objectives.

The asset allocation as at 31 December 2015 across the Group, split according to the type of liability the assets are covering, is shown in the table below. This includes the acquisition of Friends Life on 10 April 2015 which has significantly increased the total assets across the Group compared with the prior year. Further information on these assets is given in the Analysis of Assets Section.

 

Shareholder business assets

 

Participating fund assets

 

Carrying value in the statement of financial position

General Insurance & health &

other1

£m

Annuity and non-profit
£m

Policyholder (unit-linked assets)
£m

UK style with-profits
£m

Continental European-style Participating funds
 £m

Carrying value in the statement of financial position
 £m

Debt securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

Government bonds

5,956

12,799

13,018

19,553

24,635

75,961

Corporate bonds

4,036

22,366

8,221

14,393

24,994

74,010

Other

198

2,581

2,783

2,311

5,120

12,993

 

10,190

37,746

24,022

36,257

54,749

162,964

Loans

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mortgage loans

-

16,954

-

305

1

17,260

Other loans

142

1,868

83

2,355

725

5,173

 

142

18,822

83

2,660

726

22,433

Equity securities

227

310

47,394

12,168

3,459

63,558

Investment property

366

172

6,647

3,139

977

11,301

Other investments

625

1,536

39,795

3,284

2,455

47,695

Total as at 31 December 2015

11,550

58,586

117,941

57,508

62,366

307,951

Total as at 31 December 2014

12,463

46,820

71,454

42,077

64,009

236,823

1    Of the £11.6 billion of assets 7% relates to other shareholder business assets.

There is an internal loan between Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL) and Aviva Group Holdings Limited (AGH) that has a net value of zero at a consolidated level.

General insurance and health

All the investment risk is borne by shareholders and the portfolio held to cover these liabilities contains a high proportion of fixed and variable income securities, of which 84% are rated A or above. The assets are relatively short duration reflecting the short average duration of the liabilities. Liquidity, interest rate and FX risks are maintained at a low level.

Annuity and other non-profit

All the investment risk is borne by shareholders. The annuity liabilities have a long duration but are also illiquid as customers cannot surrender their policies. The assets are chosen to provide stable income with a good cash flow, FX and interest rate match to the liabilities. We are able to invest part of the portfolio in less liquid assets in order to improve risk-adjusted returns given the illiquid nature of the liabilities. The asset portfolio is principally comprised of long maturity bonds and loans including a material book of commercial mortgage loans. As at 31 December 2015, unrealised losses and impairments on the bond portfolio of £37.7 billion amounted to £1.8 billion or 5% of the portfolio. The equivalent figure for 31 December 2014 was 0.3%. Unrealised gains on the portfolio were £3.5 billion as at 31 December 2015 or 9% of the portfolio. The equivalent unrealised gains figure for 31 December 2014 was 17%. The other non-profit business assets are a smaller proportion of this portfolio and are generally shorter in duration and have a high proportion invested in fixed income.

£10.6 billion of Shareholder loan assets are backing annuity liabilities and comprise of commercial mortgage loans (£6.3 billion), Healthcare, Infrastructure and PFI loans (£3.2 billion) and Primary Healthcare, Infrastructure and PFI other loans (£1.1 billion). The Group carries a valuation allowance within the liabilities against the risk of default of commercial mortgages, including Healthcare and PFI mortgages, of £0.6 billion which equates to 59bps at 31 December 2015 (FY14: 87bps). Commercial mortgages decreased during 2015 as a result of UK Life's commercial mortgage loans restructure and recovery programme which completed with the sale of £2.2 billion of commercial mortgage loans to Lone Star.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 24

 

8.i - Summary of assets continued

Policyholder assets

These assets are invested in line with the fund choices made by our unit-linked policyholders and the investment risk is borne by the policyholder. This results in a high allocation to growth assets such as equity and property. Aviva's shareholder exposure to these assets arises from the fact that the income we receive is a proportion of the assets under management.

UK style with-profits (WP)

UK style with-profits funds hold relatively long-term contracts with policyholders participating in pooled investment performance subject to some minimum guarantees. Smoothed returns are used to declare bonuses to policyholders which increase the level of the guarantees through time. The part of the portfolio to which policyholder bonuses are linked is invested in line with their expectations and includes growth assets such as equity and property as well as fixed income. The remainder of the portfolio is invested to mitigate the resultant shareholder risk. This leads us to an overall investment portfolio that holds a higher proportion of growth assets (such as equity and property) than our other business lines although there are still material allocations to fixed income assets.

Continental European style participating funds

Continental European style participating funds hold relatively long-term contracts with policyholders participating in pooled investment performance subject to some minimum guarantees. Smoothed returns are used to declare bonuses to policyholders.

Certain of the guarantees are subject to annual discretion declared at the start of the year. Other guarantees are subject to revision downwards at contractual dates. The investment portfolio holds a higher proportion of fixed income assets than the UK style equivalent. Fixed income assets also give rise to less volatility on the local statutory balance sheet than growth assets.

 

 

 

 

Page 25

 

8.ii - Net asset value

At the end of 2015, IFRS net asset value per share was 389 pence (FY14: 340 pence). This increase was driven by a benefit from the acquisition of Friends Life of 55 pence per share (£5,975 million) and operating profits. This was partly offset by the dividend payment to shareholders, amortisation of acquired value of in-force business following the Friends Life acquisition, integration and restructuring costs principally driven by transaction and integration activities in relation to the Friends Life acquisition, adverse foreign exchange movements, adverse investment variances, remeasurements of pension schemes and the adverse impact from an outward quota share reinsurance agreement completed in 2015 in Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL).

Total investment variances and economic assumption changes were £170 million adverse. This included a £184 million adverse variance in the non-life businesses, reflecting unfavourable short-term fluctuations in investment values and adverse economic assumption changes. This was principally driven by an increase in risk-free rates reducing fixed income security market values mainly in the UK, higher expected future inflation rates used to calculate reserves for periodic payment orders and the adverse impact of lower discount rates, partly offset by foreign exchange gains on Group Centre holdings.

In the life businesses, investment return variances were £14 million positive mainly driven by realised bond gains and equity outperformance in France and higher interest rates in Singapore, which have reduced liabilities by more than asset values.  This was partially offset by widening credit spreads in Italy. The investment variance in the UK was broadly neutral.

The adverse movement on the Group's staff pension schemes of £142 million post tax is principally due to the main UK staff pension scheme. The surplus has decreased over the period largely as a result of a rise in interest rates and narrowing credit spreads.

The adverse foreign exchange movement of £325 million is due to the strengthening of sterling, particularly compared with the euro and Canadian dollar.

IFRS

31 December 2015
 £m

pence per

share2

31 December 2014
£m

pence per

share2

Equity attributable to shareholders of Aviva plc at 1 January1

10,018

340p

7,964

270p

Operating profit (restated)3

2,665

66p

2,173

74p

Investment return variances and economic assumption changes on life and non-life business

(170)

(4)p

188

6p

Profit/(loss) on the disposal and remeasurements of subsidiaries and associates

2

-

232

8p

Goodwill impairment and amortisation of intangibles

(177)

(4)p

(114)

(4)p

Amortisation and impairment of acquired value of in-force business

(498)

(12)p

-

-

Integration and restructuring costs

(379)

(9)p

(140)

(5)p

Other4

(53)

(1)p

-

-

Tax on operating profit and on other activities

(311)

(8)p

(601)

(20)p

Non-controlling interests

(161)

(4)p

(169)

(6)p

Profit after tax attributable to shareholders of Aviva plc

918

24p

1,569

53p

AFS securities (fair value) & other reserve movements

10

-

62

2p

Ordinary dividends

(635)

(16)p

(446)

(15)p

Direct capital instrument and tier 1 notes interest and preference share dividend

(74)

(2)p

(86)

(3)p

Foreign exchange rate movements

(325)

(8)p

(317)

(11)p

Remeasurements of pension schemes

(142)

(4)p

1,315

45p

Friends Life acquisition5

5,975

55p

-

-

Other net equity movements

19

-

(43)

(1)p

Equity attributable to shareholders of Aviva plc at 31 December1

15,764

389p

10,018

340p

1    Excluding preference shares.

2    Number of shares as at 31 December 2015: 4,048 million (31 December 2014: 2,950 million).

3    Operating profit has been restated to exclude amortisation and impairment of acquired value of in-force business, which is now shown as a non-operating item. See note B2 for further details. There is no impact on the result or the total equity for any period presented as a result of this restatement. Amortisation and impairment of AVIF has been added as a separate line item outside of operating profit.

4    Comprises the impact from an outward quota share reinsurance agreement completed in 2015 in Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). See note A10 for further details.

5    Includes the dilution effect on IFRS NAV per share of the increase in number of shares arising as a result of the acquisition of Friends Life.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 26

 

8.ii - Net asset value continued

MCEV net asset value per share reduced to 515 pence (FY14: 527 pence) over the period. This movement is driven by the operating benefits from the acquisition of Friends Life and operating profits, more than offset by adverse investment variances, adverse foreign exchange rate movements, the dividend payment to shareholders and the integration and restructuring costs following the acquisition of Friends Life.

      Total MCEV investment variances were £926 million adverse. This comprises adverse variances of £743 million in the Group's life businesses and adverse investment variances in the non-life businesses of £183 million. 

The adverse life investment variances are largely driven by the UK, reflecting widening corporate bond spreads on annuity business, partially offset by increases in liquidity premiums. In addition, equity market underperformance has reduced expected future unit-linked fund charges and shareholder transfers from with-profits funds. Adverse variances in Asia are mainly driven by falling interest rates in China increasing the cost of guarantees. Positive variances in France are mainly due to an increase in risk-free rates and falling swaption volatilities resulting in a reduction in the cost of guarantees. Economic assumption changes relating to capital and dividend apportionment for equity returns further added to the positive variance in France. 

MCEV1

31 December 2015
 £m

pence per

share3

31 December 2014
 £m

pence per

share3

Equity attributable to shareholders of Aviva plc at 1 January2

15,547

527p

13,643

463p

Operating profit

2,582

64p

2,885

98p

Investment return variances and economic assumption changes on life and non-life business

(926)

(23)p

(36)

(1)p

Profit/(loss) on the disposal and remeasurements of subsidiaries and associates

-

-

178

6p

Goodwill impairment and amortisation of intangibles

(181)

(4)p

(130)

(4)p

Amortisation and impairment of acquired value of in-force business

-

-

-

-

Integration and restructuring costs

(382)

(9)p

(159)

(6)p

Other

174

4p

(198)

(7)p

Tax on operating profit and on other activities

(485)

(12)p

(674)

(23)p

Non-controlling interests

(161)

(4)p

(208)

(7)p

Profit after tax attributable to shareholders of Aviva plc

621

16p

1,658

56p

AFS securities (fair value) & other reserve movements

(1)

-

(1)

-

Ordinary dividends

(635)

(16)p

(446)

(15)p

Direct capital instruments and tier 1 notes interest and preference share dividend

(74)

(2)p

(86)

(3)p

Foreign exchange rate movements

(463)

(11)p

(546)

(19)p

Remeasurements of pension schemes

(142)

(4)p

1,315

45p

Friends Life acquisition4

5,975

5p

-

-

Other net equity movements

19

-

10

-

Equity attributable to shareholders of Aviva plc at 31 December2

20,847

515p

15,547

527p

1    In preparing the MCEV information, the directors have done so in accordance with the European Insurance CFO Forum MCEV Principles. No allowance for the impact of Solvency II has been made as permitted by the additional guidance issued in October 2015 by the European Insurance CFO Forum.

2    Excluding preference shares.

3    Number of shares as at 31 December 2015: 4,048 million (31 December 2014: 2,950 million).

4    Includes the dilution effect on MCEV NAV per share of the increase in number of shares arising as a result of the acquisition of Friends Life. As the opening MCEV is greater than the opening IFRS, the dilution effect is more significant under MCEV. As a result the acquisition leads to a 5p increase in pence per share under MCEV compared to 55p under IFRS.

 

 

 

Page 27

 

 

8.iii - Return on equity

Following the acquisition of Friends Life, management has changed the calculation of return on equity which is now calculated as net operating return on an IFRS basis expressed as a percentage of weighted average ordinary shareholders' equity (rather than opening ordinary shareholders' equity). Comparatives have been restated accordingly.

During 2015, return on equity has decreased to 14.0% (FY14: 16.2% restated), primarily reflecting the impact of the acquisition of Friends Life on weighted average shareholders' equity.

 

2015
%

Restated1

2014
 %

United Kingdom & Ireland Life

14.2%

16.1%

United Kingdom & Ireland General Insurance and Health

7.9%

9.0%

Europe

12.7%

13.0%

Canada

16.9%

14.2%

Asia

22.0%

9.4%

Fund management

30.1%

23.2%

Corporate and Other Business

n/a

n/a

Return on total capital employed

10.7%

11.4%

Subordinated debt

4.4%

5.3%

Senior debt

3.5%

2.1%

Return on total equity

13.3%

14.2%

Less: Non-controlling interest

12.2%

10.5%

Direct capital instrument and tier 1 notes

6.6%

5.5%

Preference capital

8.5%

8.5%

Return on equity shareholders' funds2

14.0%

16.2%

1    Operating profit has been restated to exclude amortisation and impairment of acquired value of in-force business, which is now shown as a non-operating item. See note B2 for further details. There is no impact on total equity for any period presented as a result of this restatement. The combined impact of the operating profit restatement and the change to the calculation of return on equity has decreased the FY14 return on equity shareholders' funds from 17.4% to 16.2%.

2    Return on equity including the impact of amortisation and impairment of acquired value of in-force business would be 10.5% (FY14: 15.8%).

 

 

Page 28

 

 

8.iv - European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD)

 

UK life funds
£bn

Other business
 £bn

31 December 2015
 £bn

31 December 2014
£bn

Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) capital resources

11.8

10.8

22.6

14.4

Less: capital resources requirement

(11.8)

(4.8)

(16.6)

(11.2)

Insurance Group Directive (IGD) excess solvency

-

6.0

6.0

3.2

Cover over EU minimum (calculated excluding UK life funds)

 

 

2.2 times

1.6 times

The EU Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) regulatory capital solvency surplus has increased by £2.8 billion since FY14 to £6.0 billion. The key drivers of the increase are the acquisition of Friends Life (£1.6 billion), operating profits (£1.6 billion) and the net issue of hybrid debt (£0.4 billion), offset by dividend payments and pension scheme funding (£0.5 billion).

The key movements over the period are set out in the following table:

 

£bn

IGD solvency surplus at 31 December 2014

3.2

Acquisition of Friends Life

1.6

Operating profits net of integration and restructuring costs

1.6

Net hybrid debt issue1

0.4

Dividends and appropriations

(0.3)

Pension scheme funding

(0.2)

Outward reinsurance of latent reserves2

0.2

Increase in capital resources requirement

(0.1)

Other regulatory adjustments

(0.4)

Estimated IGD solvency surplus at 31 December 2015

6.0

1    Net hybrid debt issue includes £1 billion benefit of two new Tier 2 subordinated debt instruments issued on 4 June 2015; offset by £(0.6) billion derecognition of two instruments redeemed in the second half of 2015.

2    Outward quota share reinsurance agreement completed in 2015 in Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). See note A10 for further details.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 29

 

8.v - Economic capital

The estimated economic capital surplus represents the excess of Available Economic Capital over Required Economic Capital. Available Economic Capital is based on MCEV net assets, adjusted for items to convert to an economic basis. Required Economic Capital is based on Aviva's own internal assessment and capital management policies. The term 'economic capital' does not imply capital as required by regulators or other third parties.

Summary of estimated economic capital position

 

2015
£bn

2014
£bn

Available economic capital

25.9

18.6

Standalone required economic capital

(21.2)

(16.1)

Diversification benefit

6.9

5.9

Diversified required economic capital

(14.3)

(10.2)

Estimated economic capital position at 31 December before foreseeable dividend accrual

11.6

8.4

Cover Ratio

181%

182%

Foreseeable dividend accrual

-

(0.4)

Estimated economic capital position at 31 December

11.6

8.0

Cover Ratio

181%

178%

Analysis of change in economic capital

 

2015
£bn

2014
£bn

Economic capital surplus position at 1 January

8.0

8.3

MCEV operating earnings

1.7

1.6

Economic variances (including FX)

(1.3)

(0.5)

Other non-operating items

(0.3)

(0.4)

Dividends and appropriations, and shares issued in lieu of dividends

(0.3)

(0.5)

Net hybrid debt issuance

0.4

(0.3)

Acquisition of Friends Life

7.3

-

Available capital benefits from acquisitions and disposals

-

 0.2

Other

0.2

 0.1

Change in available economic capital

7.7

0.2

Impact of trading operations and other

1.5

0.3

Other changes in methodology

(2.0)

(0.6)

Acquisition of Friends Life

(3.6)

-

Capital requirement impact from acquisitions and disposals

-

0.2

Change in diversified required economic capital

(4.1)

(0.1)

Estimated economic capital surplus position at 31 December before foreseeable dividend accrual

11.6

8.4

Foreseeable dividend accrual

-

(0.4)

Estimated economic capital surplus position at 31 December

11.6

8.0

The estimated economic capital position has increased by £3.6 billion to £11.6 billion at 31 December 2015 with a cover ratio of 181%. The change in available economic capital position is driven by the acquisition of Friends Life, operating profits and net issue of hybrid debt instruments, offset by economic variances and other non-operating items. The change in required economic capital position is driven by the acquisition of Friends Life and strengthening of correlations and calibration assumptions to align with Solvency II.

Diversified required economic capital

 

2015
£bn

2014
£bn

Credit risk1

3.3

2.4

Equity risk2

1.6

1.5

Interest rate risk3

0.7

0.6

Other market risk4

1.6

1.4

Life insurance risk5

2.7

1.3

General insurance risk6

0.7

0.8

Operational Risk

1.0

0.7

Other risk7

2.7

1.5

Total

14.3

10.2

1    Capital held in respect of credit risk recognises the Group's shareholder exposure to changes in the market value of assets and defaults.

2    Capital held in respect of equity risk recognises the Group's shareholder exposure to changes in the market value of assets.

3    Capital held in respect of interest rate risk recognises the Group's shareholder exposure to changes in the market value of assets. A range of specific stresses are applied reflecting the difference in assumed risk relative to investment grade and duration.

4    Capital held in respect of other market risk recognises the Group's shareholder exposure to changes in the market value of commercial mortgages and property, but also captures risk in association with inflation and foreign exchange.

5    Capital held in respect of life insurance risk recognises the Group's shareholder exposure to life insurance specific risks, such as longevity and lapse.

6    Capital held in respect of general insurance risk recognises the Group's shareholder exposure to general insurance specific risks, such as claims volatility and catastrophe.

7    Capital held in respect of other risk recognises the Group's shareholder exposure to specific risks unique to particular business units and other items.

 

 

 

 

Page 30

 

8.vi - Solvency II

The estimated coverage ratio on a Solvency II basis is 180%. Solvency II, the new prudential regulatory framework, came into force on 1 January 2016 with the objective of introducing a consistent solvency framework for insurers across Europe. Aviva's Solvency II Partial Internal Model Application was formally approved by the Prudential Regulation Authority in December 2015.

Summary of Solvency II position

 

2015
£bn

Own Funds

21.8

Solvency Capital Requirement before diversification

 (16.3)

Diversification benefit

 4.2

Diversified Solvency Capital Requirement

(12.1)

Estimated Solvency II position at 31 December1

9.7

Cover Ratio

 180%

1       The estimated Solvency II ratio represents the shareholder view. This ratio excludes the contribution to Group SCR and Group Own Funds of fully ring-fenced with-profits funds (£2.7 billion) and staff pension schemes in surplus (£0.7 billion) - these exclusions have no impact on Solvency II surplus. The impact from internal reinsurance arrangements between UK Life, UK and Ireland General Insurance and Aviva International Insurance Limited and the securitisation of equity release mortgages held by UK Life, effective 1 January 2016, have also been reflected in the Solvency II position. 

Summary of analysis of diversified Solvency Capital Requirement

 

2015
 £bn

Credit risk1

2.5

Equity risk2

1.1

Interest rate risk3

0.7

Other market risk4

1.3

Life insurance risk5

3.4

General insurance risk6

0.8

Operational risk

1.1

Other risk7

1.2

Total

12.1

1    Capital held in respect of credit risk recognises the Group's shareholder exposure to changes in the market value of assets and defaults.

2    Capital held in respect of equity risk recognises the Group's shareholder exposure to changes in the market value of assets.

3    Capital held in respect of interest rate risk recognises the Group's shareholder exposure to changes in the market value of assets. A range of specific stresses are applied reflecting the difference in assumed risk relative to investment grade and duration.

4    Capital held in respect of other market risk recognises the Group's shareholder exposure to changes in the market value of commercial mortgages and property, but also captures risk in association with inflation and foreign exchange.

5    Capital held in respect of life insurance risk recognises the Group's shareholder exposure to life insurance specific risks, such as longevity and lapse.

6    Capital held in respect of general insurance risk recognises the Group's shareholder exposure to general insurance specific risks, such as claims volatility and catastrophe.

7    Capital held in respect of other risk recognises the Group's shareholder exposure to specific risks unique to particular business units and other items.

 

 

 

 

Page 31

 

8.vi - Solvency II continued

Sensitivity analysis of Solvency II surplus

The following table shows the sensitivity of the Group's Solvency II surplus to:

 

Economic assumptions:

· 25 basis point increase and decrease in the risk-free rate, including all consequential changes (including assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets, risk discount rates);

· 50 basis point increase and decrease in credit spreads for corporate bonds with credit rating A at 10 year duration, with the other ratings and durations stressed by the same proportion relative to the stressed capital requirement;

· 10% increase and decrease in market values of equity assets.

 

Non-Economic assumptions:

· 10% increase in maintenance expenses and investment expenses (a 10% sensitivity on a base expense assumption of £10 p.a. would represent an expense assumption of £11 p.a.);

· 10% increase in lapse rates (a 10% sensitivity on a base assumption of 5% p.a. would represent a lapse rate of 5.5% p.a.);

· 5% increase in both mortality and morbidity rates for life assurance;

· 5% decrease in mortality rates for annuity business;

· 5% increase in gross loss ratios for general insurance and health business.

All other assumptions remain unchanged for each sensitivity, except where these are directly affected by the revised economic conditions or where a management action that is allowed for in the Solvency Capital Requirement calculation is applicable for that sensitivity. For example, future bonus rates are automatically adjusted to reflect sensitivity changes to future investment returns.

Transitional relief on technical provisions is assumed to be recalculated in the interest rate sensitivities. The credit spread sensitivities assume that the fundamental spreads remain unchanged.

The table below shows the absolute change in cover ratio under each sensitivity, e.g. a 3% positive impact would result in a cover ratio of 183%.

 

Sensitivities

 

Impact on cover ratio
%

Changes in Economic assumptions

25bps increase in interest rate

3%

 

25bps decrease in interest rate

(4%)

 

50bps increase in corporate bond spread

(1%)

 

50bps decrease in corporate bond spread

1%

 

10% increase in market value of equity

1%

 

10% decrease in market value of equity1

0%

Changes in Non-Economic assumptions

10% increase in maintenance and investment expenses

(6%)

 

10% increase in lapse rates

(2%)

 

5% increase in mortality/morbidity rates - Life assurance

(1%)

 

5% decrease in mortality rates - annuity business

(8%)

 

5% increase in gross loss ratios

(2%)

1    A 10% fall in equities results in a proportionate decrease in Group Own Funds and Group SCR with no overall impact on the rounded Group cover ratio.

Limitations of sensitivity analysis

The table above demonstrates the effect of a change in a key assumption while other assumptions remain unchanged. In reality, there is a correlation between the assumptions and other factors. It should also be noted that these sensitivities are non-linear, and larger or smaller impacts should not be interpolated or extrapolated from these results.

The sensitivity analysis does not take into consideration that the Group's assets and liabilities are actively managed. Additionally, the Solvency II position of the Group may vary at the time that any actual market movement occurs. For example, the Group's financial risk management strategy aims to manage the exposure to market fluctuations.

As investment markets move past various trigger levels, management actions could include selling investments, changing investment portfolio allocation, adjusting bonuses credited to policyholders, and taking other protective action.

Other limitations in the above sensitivity analysis includes the use of hypothetical market movements to demonstrate potential risk that only represent the Group's view of possible near-term market changes that cannot be predicted with any certainty, and the assumption that all interest rates move in an identical fashion.

 

 

 

Page 32

 

8.vi - Solvency II continued

Reconciliation of IFRS total equity to Solvency II Own Funds

The reconciliation from total Group equity on an IFRS basis to Solvency II Own Funds is presented below. The valuation differences reflect moving from IFRS valuations to a Solvency II regulatory basis. The Solvency II Own Funds represents a shareholder view, excluding the impact of ring-fenced with-profits funds, and staff pension schemes in surplus.

 

2015
£bn

Total Group equity on an IFRS basis

18.2

Elimination of goodwill and other intangible assets1

(9.9)

Liability valuation differences (net of transitional deductions)

20.5

Inclusion of risk margin (net of transitional deductions)

(4.0)

Net deferred tax2

(1.3)

Revaluation of subordinated liabilities

(0.7)

Solvency II Net Assets (gross of non-controlling interests)

22.8

Difference between Solvency II Net Assets and Own Funds3

(1.0)

Solvency II Own Funds4

21.8

1    Includes £1.9 billion of goodwill and £8.0 billion of other intangible assets comprising acquired value of in-force business of £4.4 billion, deferred acquisition costs (net of deferred income) of £2.3 billion and other intangibles of £1.3 billion.

2    Net deferred tax includes the tax effect of all other reconciling items in the table above which are shown gross of tax.

3    Regulatory adjustments to bridge from Solvency II Net Assets to Own Funds include recognition of subordinated debt capital and non-available non-controlling interests. 

4    The estimated Solvency II position represents the shareholder view. It excludes the contribution to Group SCR and Group Own Funds of fully ring-fenced with-profits funds (£2.7 billion) and staff pension schemes in surplus (£0.7 billion) - these exclusions have no impact on Solvency II surplus. The impact from internal reinsurance arrangements between UK Life, UK and Ireland General Insurance and Aviva International Insurance Limited and the securitisation of equity release mortgages held by UK Life, effective 1 January 2016, have also been reflected in the Solvency II position.

Reconciliation of Group MCEV to Solvency II Own Funds

 

 2015
£bn

Total Group equity on a MCEV basis (net of tax and gross of non-controlling interests)

23.9

Removal of MCEV frictional costs1

0.5

Removal of MCEV cost of non-hedgeable risks1

1.4

Elimination of goodwill and other intangible assets

(3.6)

Liability valuation differences (net of transitional deductions)

5.2

Inclusion of risk margin (net of transitional deductions)

(4.0)

Net deferred tax2

0.1

Revaluation of subordinated liabilities

(0.7)

Solvency II Net Assets (net of tax and gross of non-controlling interests)

22.8

Difference between Solvency II Net Assets and Own Funds3

(1.0)

Solvency II Own Funds4

21.8

1    The frictional cost and cost of non-hedgeable risks are shown gross of non-controlling interests. The numbers shown in disclosure F9 are net of non-controlling interests.

2    Net deferred tax includes the tax effect of all other reconciling items in the table above which are shown gross of tax.

3    Regulatory adjustments to bridge from Solvency II Net Assets to Own Funds include recognition of subordinated debt capital and non-available non-controlling interests.

4    The estimated Solvency II position represents the shareholder view. It excludes the contribution to Group SCR and Group Own Funds of fully ring-fenced with-profits funds (£2.7 billion) and staff pension schemes in surplus (£0.7 billion) - these exclusions have no impact on Solvency II surplus. The impact from internal reinsurance arrangements between UK Life, UK and Ireland General Insurance and Aviva International Insurance Limited and the securitisation of equity release mortgages held by UK Life, effective 1 January 2016, have also been reflected in the Solvency II position.

Reconciliation from estimated economic capital surplus to estimated Solvency II surplus1

 

2015
£bn

Estimated economic capital surplus

11.6

Liability valuation differences (net of transitional deductions)

1.5

Inclusion of risk margin (net of transitional deductions)

(3.3)

Other valuation differences

(0.1)

Estimated Solvency II surplus

1    The reconciliation items in the bridge above are presented on a net of tax basis.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

End part 2 of 2

 


This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
END
 
 
FR BKLLBQXFEBBB

Companies

Aviva (AV.)
UK 100

Latest directors dealings