Part 4 of 5
Page 83
Capital & liquidity
In this section |
Page |
Capital & liquidity |
|
C1 Capital performance |
84 |
C2 Regulatory capital |
88 |
C3 IFRS sensitivity analysis |
90 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 84
Capital & liquidity
C1 - Capital performance
(a) Capital required to write new business, internal rate of return and payback period
The Group generates a significant amount of capital each year, which supports both shareholder distribution and reinvestment in new business. The new business written requires up-front capital investment, due to set-up costs and capital requirements.
The internal rate of return (IRR) is a measure of the shareholder return expected on this capital investment. It is equivalent to the discount rate at which the present value of the post-tax cash flows expected to be earned over the life time of the business written, including allowance for the time value of options and guarantees, is equal to the total invested capital to support the writing of the business. The capital included in the calculation of the IRR is the initial capital required to pay acquisition costs and set up statutory reserves in excess of premiums received ('initial capital'), plus required capital at the same level as for the calculation of the value of new business.
The payback period shows how quickly shareholders can expect the total capital to be repaid. The payback period has been calculated based on undiscounted cash flows and allows for the initial and required capital.
The projected investment returns in both the IRR and payback period calculations assume that equities, properties and bonds earn a return in excess of risk-free consistent with the long-term rate of return assumed in operating earnings.
The internal rates of return on new business written during the period are set out below.
|
6 months 2015 |
6 months 2014 |
Full Year 2014 |
||||||
|
Internal return1 % |
New business impact on free surplus2 £m |
Payback years1 |
Internal return1 % |
New business impact on free surplus2 £m |
Payback years1 |
Internal return1 % |
New business impact on free surplus2 £m |
Payback years1 |
United Kingdom3 |
27% |
40 |
7 |
13% |
35 |
7 |
44% |
(20) |
3 |
Ireland |
5% |
12 |
12 |
5% |
17 |
11 |
5% |
35 |
13 |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
24% |
52 |
7 |
12% |
52 |
8 |
33% |
15 |
6 |
France |
10% |
75 |
9 |
12% |
77 |
8 |
12% |
144 |
8 |
Poland |
20% |
16 |
4 |
23% |
15 |
4 |
23% |
30 |
4 |
Italy |
13% |
35 |
6 |
13% |
34 |
6 |
13% |
52 |
6 |
Spain |
12% |
11 |
5 |
13% |
17 |
5 |
16% |
30 |
4 |
Other Europe |
33% |
9 |
3 |
45% |
10 |
2 |
44% |
16 |
2 |
Europe |
14% |
146 |
7 |
15% |
153 |
6 |
16% |
272 |
6 |
Asia4 |
17% |
42 |
15 |
20% |
32 |
8 |
17% |
58 |
10 |
Other5 |
56% |
3 |
2 |
- |
- |
- |
56% |
5 |
2 |
Total |
17.5% |
243 |
8 |
14.6% |
237 |
7 |
19.9% |
350 |
6 |
1 Gross of non-controlling interests.
2 Net of non-controlling interests.
3 United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015. Excluding Friends UK HY15 IRR% is 43% which increased from HY14 due to the strong performance of the equity release product.
4 Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.
5 Other includes Aviva Investors. The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
Page 85
C1 - Capital performance continued
(b) Analysis of return on equity - IFRS basis
|
Operating return1 |
|
|
|
6 months 2015 |
Before tax |
After tax |
Weighted average shareholders' funds including non-controlling interests1 £m |
Return on equity %1 |
United Kingdom & Ireland Life |
569 |
421 |
6,968 |
14.6% |
United Kingdom & Ireland General Insurance and Health2 |
228 |
183 |
4,192 |
8.7% |
Europe |
431 |
291 |
4,791 |
12.1% |
Canada |
131 |
96 |
977 |
19.7% |
Asia |
75 |
67 |
992 |
21.2% |
Fund management |
33 |
24 |
299 |
17.4% |
Corporate and Other Business3 |
(134) |
(86) |
1,390 |
n/a |
Return on total capital employed |
1,333 |
996 |
19,609 |
11.6% |
Subordinated debt |
(153) |
(122) |
(5,128) |
5.0% |
Senior debt |
(10) |
(8) |
(699) |
2.3% |
Return on total equity |
1,170 |
866 |
13,782 |
14.6% |
Less: Non-controlling interests |
|
(82) |
(1,196) |
12.4% |
Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes |
|
(14) |
(892) |
7.8% |
Preference capital |
|
(9) |
(200) |
8.5% |
Return on equity shareholders' funds |
|
761 |
11,494 |
15.5% |
1 Return on equity is based on an annualised net operating return. The operating return is based upon Group adjusted operating profit, which is stated before integration and restructuring costs, impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles and AVIF, exceptional items and investment variances. Following the acquisition of Friends Life, management has changed the calculation of return on equity which is now calculated as net operating return on an IFRS basis expressed as a percentage of weighted average ordinary shareholders' equity (rather than opening ordinary shareholders' equity).
2 The operating return for United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance and health is presented net of £11 million of investment return, which is allocated to Corporate and Other Business. The £11 million represents the return on capital supporting Pillar II ICA risks deemed not to be supporting the ongoing general insurance operation.
3 The 'Corporate' and 'Other Business' loss before tax of £134 million comprises corporate costs of £79 million, interest on internal lending arrangements of £53 million, other business operating loss (net of investment return) of £48 million, partly offset by finance income on the main UK pension scheme of £46 million.
|
Operating return1 |
|
|
|
Full Year 2014 |
Restated2 Before tax |
Restated2 After tax |
Weighted average shareholders' funds including £m |
Restated1,2 Return on equity |
United Kingdom & Ireland Life |
1,049 |
925 |
5,763 |
16.1% |
United Kingdom & Ireland General Insurance and Health3 |
468 |
371 |
4,124 |
9.0% |
Europe |
995 |
682 |
5,263 |
13.0% |
Canada |
189 |
139 |
976 |
14.2% |
Asia |
85 |
71 |
752 |
9.4% |
Fund management |
86 |
58 |
250 |
23.2% |
Corporate and Other Business4 |
(349) |
(353) |
(503) |
n/a |
Return on total capital employed |
2,523 |
1,893 |
16,625 |
11.4% |
Subordinated debt |
(289) |
(227) |
(4,277) |
5.3% |
Senior debt |
(21) |
(16) |
(748) |
2.1% |
Return on total equity |
2,213 |
1,650 |
11,600 |
14.2% |
Less: Non-controlling interests |
|
(143) |
(1,366) |
10.5% |
Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes |
|
(69) |
(1,260) |
5.5% |
Preference capital |
|
(17) |
(200) |
8.5% |
Return on equity shareholders' funds |
|
1,421 |
8,774 |
16.2% |
1 The operating return is based upon Group adjusted operating profit, which is stated before integration and restructuring costs, impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles, exceptional items and investment variances. Following the acquisition of Friends Life, management has changed the calculation of return on equity which is now calculated as net operating return on an IFRS basis expressed as a percentage of weighted average ordinary shareholders' equity (rather than opening ordinary shareholders' equity). Comparatives have been restated accordingly.
2 Operating profit has been restated to exclude amortisation and impairment of acquired value of in-force business, which is now shown as a non-operating item. See note B2 for further details. There is no impact on total equity for any period presented as a result of this restatement. The combined impact of the operating profit restatement and the change to the calculation of return on equity has decreased the FY14 return on equity shareholders funds from 17.4% to 16.2%.
3 The operating return for United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance and health is presented net of £31 million of investment return, which is allocated to Corporate and Other Business. The £31 million represents the return on capital supporting Pillar II ICA risks deemed not to be supporting the ongoing general insurance operation.
4 The 'Corporate' and 'Other Business' loss before tax of £349 million comprises corporate costs of £132 million, interest on internal lending arrangements of £186 million, other business operating loss (net of investment return) of £64 million, partly offset by finance income on the main UK pension scheme of £33 million.
Page 86
C1 - Capital performance continued
(c) Group capital structure
The table below shows how our capital, on both an IFRS and MCEV basis, is deployed by products and services segments and how that capital is funded.
|
|
|
30 June |
|
31 December |
|
|
|
|
Capital employed |
|
|
Capital employed |
|
IFRS basis |
Internally generated AVIF |
MCEV2 basis |
IFRS basis |
Internally generated AVIF |
MCEV2 basis |
Life business |
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom & Ireland |
10,722 |
2,190 |
12,912 |
5,668 |
2,681 |
8,349 |
France |
1,943 |
1,609 |
3,552 |
2,234 |
1,393 |
3,627 |
Poland |
276 |
960 |
1,236 |
318 |
1,059 |
1,377 |
Italy |
828 |
288 |
1,116 |
929 |
351 |
1,280 |
Spain |
531 |
199 |
730 |
557 |
210 |
767 |
Other Europe |
72 |
72 |
144 |
82 |
77 |
159 |
Europe |
3,650 |
3,128 |
6,778 |
4,120 |
3,090 |
7,210 |
Asia |
1,371 |
394 |
1,765 |
791 |
358 |
1,149 |
|
15,743 |
5,712 |
21,455 |
10,579 |
6,129 |
16,708 |
General insurance & health |
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom & Ireland |
4,214 |
(111) |
4,103 |
4,145 |
(115) |
4,030 |
France |
505 |
- |
505 |
556 |
- |
556 |
Italy |
224 |
- |
224 |
276 |
- |
276 |
Other Europe |
56 |
- |
56 |
32 |
- |
32 |
Europe |
785 |
- |
785 |
864 |
- |
864 |
Canada |
978 |
- |
978 |
969 |
- |
969 |
Asia |
25 |
- |
25 |
29 |
- |
29 |
|
6,002 |
(111) |
5,891 |
6,007 |
(115) |
5,892 |
Fund Management |
299 |
(41) |
258 |
298 |
(31) |
267 |
Corporate & Other Business1 |
3,367 |
156 |
3,523 |
702 |
137 |
839 |
Total capital employed |
25,411 |
5,716 |
31,127 |
17,586 |
6,120 |
23,706 |
Financed by |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity shareholders' funds |
15,390 |
5,165 |
20,555 |
10,018 |
5,529 |
15,547 |
Non-controlling interests3 |
1,336 |
551 |
1,887 |
1,166 |
591 |
1,757 |
Direct capital instruments & fixed rate tier 1 notes |
892 |
- |
892 |
892 |
- |
892 |
Preference shares |
200 |
- |
200 |
200 |
- |
200 |
Subordinated debt4 |
6,950 |
- |
6,950 |
4,594 |
- |
4,594 |
Senior debt4 |
643 |
- |
643 |
716 |
- |
716 |
Total capital employed |
25,411 |
5,716 |
31,127 |
17,586 |
6,120 |
23,706 |
1 'Corporate' and 'other Business' includes centrally held tangible net assets, the main UK staff pension scheme surplus and also reflects internal lending arrangements. These internal lending arrangements, which net out on consolidation, include the formal loan arrangement between Aviva Group Holdings Limited and Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). Internal capital management in place allocated a majority of the total capital of AIL to the UK general insurance operations with the remaining capital deemed to be supporting residual (non-operational) Pillar II ICA risks.
2 In preparing the MCEV information, the directors have done so in accordance with the European Insurance CFO Forum MCEV Principles.
3 Step Up Tier 1 Insurance Capital Securities of £231million is included within non controlling interest as they are held by a Group subsidiary.
4 Subordinated debt and Senior debt exclude amounts held by Group companies of £49 million and £7 million respectively.
Total capital employed is financed by a combination of equity shareholders' funds, preference capital, subordinated debt and borrowings. At HY15 we had £25.4 billion (FY14: £17.6 billion) of total capital employed in our businesses measured on an IFRS basis and £31.1 billion (FY14: £23.7 billion) of total capital employed on an MCEV basis. The increase in capital employed is driven mainly by the acquisition of Friends Life (see Note B4) which was funded by a share issue with a value of £6.0 billion and has added £1.8 billion to non-controlling interests and subordinated debt.
At HY15 the market value of our external debt, subordinated debt, preference shares (including both Aviva plc preference shares of £200 million and General Accident plc preference shares, within non-controlling interests, of £250 million), and direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes was £9,758 million (FY14: £7,511 million).
Page 87
C1 - Capital performance continued
(d) Equity sensitivity analysis
The sensitivity of the group's total equity on an IFRS basis and MCEV basis at 30 June 2015 to a 10% fall in global equity markets, a rise of 1% in global interest rates or a 0.5% increase in credit spreads is as follows:
31 December 2014 |
IFRS basis |
30 June |
Equities |
Interest |
0.5% increased credit spread £bn |
10.6 |
Long-term savings |
15.7 |
- |
(0.3) |
(0.3) |
7.0 |
General insurance and other |
9.7 |
- |
(0.5) |
0.5 |
(5.3) |
Borrowings |
(7.6) |
- |
- |
- |
12.3 |
Total equity |
17.8 |
- |
(0.8) |
0.2 |
31 December 2014 |
MCEV basis |
30 June |
Equities |
Interest |
0.5% increased credit spread |
16.7 |
Long-term savings |
21.4 |
(0.6) |
(0.5) |
(1.5) |
7.0 |
General insurance and other |
9.7 |
- |
(0.5) |
0.5 |
(5.3) |
Borrowings |
(7.6) |
- |
- |
- |
18.4 |
Total equity |
23.5 |
(0.6) |
(1.0) |
(1.0) |
These sensitivities assume a full tax charge/credit on market value assumptions. The interest rate sensitivity also assumes an equivalent movement in both inflation and discount rate (i.e. no change to real interest rates) and therefore incorporates the offsetting effects of these items on the pension scheme liabilities. A 1% increase in the real interest rate has the effect of reducing the pension scheme liability in the main UK pension scheme by £1.8 billion (before any associated tax impact).
The 0.5% increased credit spread sensitivities for IFRS and MCEV do not make an allowance for any adjustment to risk-free interest rates. MCEV sensitivities assume that the credit spread movement relates to credit risk and not liquidity risk; in practice, credit spread movements may be partially offset due to changes in liquidity risk. Life IFRS sensitivities provide for any impact of credit spread movements on liability valuations. The IFRS and MCEV sensitivities also include the allocation of staff pension scheme sensitivities, which assume inflation rates and government bond yields remain constant. In practice, the sensitivity of the business to changes in credit spreads is subject to a number of complex interactions. The impact of the credit spread movements will be related to individual portfolio composition and may be driven by changes in credit or liquidity risk; hence, the actual impact may differ substantially from applying spread movements implied by various published credit spread indices to these sensitivities.
Page 88
C2 - Regulatory capital
Individual regulated subsidiaries measure and report solvency based on applicable local regulations, including in the UK the regulations established by the Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA). These measures are also consolidated under the European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) to calculate regulatory capital adequacy at an aggregate Group level, where Aviva has a regulatory obligation to have a positive position at all times. This measure represents the excess of the aggregate value of regulatory capital employed in our business over the aggregate minimum solvency requirements imposed by local regulators, excluding the surplus held in the UK and Ireland with-profit life funds. The minimum solvency requirement for our European businesses is based on the Solvency 1 Directive. In broad terms, for EU operations, this is set at 4% and 1% of non-linked and unit-linked life reserves respectively and for our general insurance portfolio of business is the higher of 18% of gross premiums or 26% of gross claims, in both cases adjusted to reflect the level of reinsurance recoveries. For our businesses in Canada a risk charge on assets and liabilities approach is used.
(a) Regulatory capital - Group: European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD)
|
UK life |
Other business |
30 June |
31 December 2014 |
Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) capital resources |
12.5 |
9.9 |
22.4 |
14.4 |
Less: capital resources requirement |
(12.5) |
(4.7) |
(17.2) |
(11.2) |
Insurance Group Directive (IGD) excess solvency |
- |
5.2 |
5.2 |
3.2 |
Cover over EU minimum (calculated excluding UK life funds) |
|
|
2.1 times |
1.6 times |
The EU Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) regulatory capital solvency surplus has increased by £2.0 billion since 31 December 2014 to £5.2 billion. The key drivers of the increase are the acquisition of Friends Life which has increased IGD capital by £1.6 billion and the net issue of hybrid debt which has increased IGD capital by £0.4 billion.
The key movements over the period are set out in the following table:
|
£bn |
IGD solvency surplus at 31 December 2014 |
3.2 |
Operating profits net of other income and expenses |
0.6 |
Net hybrid debt issue1 |
0.4 |
Pension scheme funding |
(0.2) |
Acquisition of Friends Life |
1.6 |
CRR increase |
(0.1) |
Other regulatory adjustments |
(0.3) |
Estimated IGD solvency surplus at 30 June 2015 |
5.2 |
1 Net hybrid debt issue includes £1 billion benefit of two new Tier 2 subordinated debt instruments issued on 4 June 2015; offset by £(0.6) billion derecognition of two instruments with first call dates in the second half of 2015.
Page 89
C2 - Regulatory capital continued
(b) Regulatory capital - UK Life with-profits funds
The available capital of the with-profit funds is represented by the realistic inherited estate. The estate represents the assets of the long-term with-profit funds less the realistic liabilities for non-profit policies within the funds, less asset shares aggregated across the with-profit policies and any additional amounts expected at the valuation date to be paid to in-force policyholders in the future in respect of smoothing costs, guarantees and promises. Realistic balance sheet information is shown below for the four main UK with-profit funds: New With-Profit Sub-Fund (NWPSF), Old With-Profit Sub-Fund (OWPSF), With-Profit Sub-Fund (WPSF) and Friends UK FP With-Profit Fund (FP WPF). Realistic balance sheet information for the five Friends UK with-profit funds that are closed to new business have been disclosed as 'Other Friends UK WPF' including: FPLAL With-Profit Fund (FPLAL WPF), FLC New With-Profits Fund (FLC New WPF), FLC Old With-Profit Fund (FLC Old WPF), FLAS With-Profit Fund (FLAS WPF) and WL With-Profit Fund (WL WPF). These realistic liabilities have been included within the long-term business provision and the liability for insurance and investment contracts on the Group's IFRS balance sheet at 30 June 2015, with comparatives at 31 December 2014 including NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF only.
|
|
|
|
|
|
30 June 2015 |
31 December 2014 |
|
Estimated realistic assets |
Estimated realistic liabilities1 £bn |
Estimated realistic inherited estate2 £bn |
Capital support arrangement3 £bn |
Estimated risk capital margin |
Estimated excess available capital |
Estimated excess available capital |
NWPSF |
14.4 |
(14.4) |
- |
2.0 |
(0.2) |
1.8 |
1.9 |
OWPSF |
2.7 |
(2.5) |
0.2 |
- |
- |
0.2 |
0.2 |
WPSF4 |
16.5 |
(15.0) |
1.5 |
- |
(0.2) |
1.3 |
1.3 |
FP WPF |
8.0 |
(7.9) |
0.1 |
- |
(0.1) |
- |
- |
Other Friends UK WPF5 |
11.5 |
(11.3) |
0.2 |
- |
- |
0.2 |
- |
Aggregate |
53.1 |
(51.1) |
2.0 |
2.0 |
(0.5) |
3.5 |
3.4 |
1 These realistic liabilities include the shareholders' share of accrued bonuses of £0.4 billion (31 December 2014: £(0.2) billion). Realistic liabilities adjusted to eliminate the shareholders' share of accrued bonuses are £50.7 billion (31 December 2014: £33.0 billion). These realistic liabilities make provision for guarantees, options and promises on a market consistent stochastic basis. The value of the provision included within realistic liabilities is £1.3 billion, £0.3 billion, £2.9 billion, and £0.8 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF, WPSF and FP WPF respectively (31 December 2014: £1.4 billion, £0.3 billion and £3.0 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively).
2 Estimated realistic inherited estate at 31 December 2014 was £nil, £0.3 billion and £1.6 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively.
3 The support arrangement represents the reattributed estate (RIEESA) of £2.0 billion at 30 June 2015 (31 December 2014: £2.1 billion).
4 The WPSF fund includes the Provident Mutual (PM) fund which has realistic assets and liabilities of £1.5 billion and therefore does not contribute to the realistic inherited estate.
5 Includes FPLAL WPF, FLC New WPF, FLC Old WPF, FLAS WPF and WL WPF.
(c) Investment mix
The aggregate investment mix of the assets in the four main with-profit funds at 30 June 2015 and three main with-profit funds at 31 December 2014 was:
|
30 June |
31 December |
Equity |
28% |
24% |
Property |
9% |
10% |
Fixed interest |
58% |
59% |
Other |
5% |
7% |
The equity backing ratios, including property, supporting with-profit asset shares are 66% in NWPSF, OWPSF, and WPSF and 44% in FP WPF.
Page 90
C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis
The Group uses a number of sensitivity test-based risk management tools to understand the volatility of earnings, the volatility of its capital requirements, and to manage its capital more efficiently. Primarily, MCEV, ICA, and scenario analysis are used. Sensitivities to economic and operating experience are regularly produced on all of the Group's financial performance measurements to inform the Group's decision making and planning processes, and as part of the framework for identifying and quantifying the risks that each of its business units, and the Group as a whole are exposed to.
For long-term business in particular, sensitivities of MCEV performance indicators to changes in both economic and non-economic experience are continually used to manage the business and to inform the decision making process. More information on MCEV sensitivities can be found in the presentation of results on an MCEV basis in section F of this report.
(a) Life insurance and investment contracts
The nature of long-term business is such that a number of assumptions are made in compiling these financial statements. Assumptions are made about investment returns, expenses, mortality rates, and persistency in connection with the in-force policies for each business unit. Assumptions are best estimates based on historic and expected experience of the business. A number of the key assumptions for the Group's central scenario are disclosed elsewhere in these statements for both IFRS reporting and reporting under the MCEV methodology.
(b) General insurance and health business
General insurance and health claim liabilities are estimated by using standard actuarial claims projection techniques.
These methods extrapolate the claims development for each accident year based on the observed development of earlier years. In most cases, no explicit assumptions are made as projections are based on assumptions implicit in the historic claims.
(c) Sensitivity test results
Illustrative results of sensitivity testing for long-term business, general insurance and health and fund management business and other operations are set out below. For each sensitivity test the impact of a reasonably possible change in a single factor is shown, with other assumptions left unchanged.
Sensitivity factor |
Description of sensitivity factor applied |
Interest rate and investment return |
The impact of a change in market interest rates by a 1% increase or decrease. The test allows consistently for similar changes to investment returns and movements in the market value of backing fixed interest securities. |
Credit Spreads |
The impact of a 0.5% increase in credit spreads over risk-free interest rates on corporate bonds and other non-sovereign credit assets. The test allows for any consequential impact on liability valuations. |
Equity/property market values |
The impact of a change in equity/property market values by ± 10%. |
Expenses |
The impact of an increase in maintenance expenses by 10%. |
Assurance mortality/morbidity (life insurance only) |
The impact of an increase in mortality/morbidity rates for assurance contracts by 5%. |
Annuitant mortality (life insurance only) |
The impact of a reduction in mortality rates for annuity contracts by 5%. |
Gross loss ratios (non-life insurance only) |
The impact of an increase in gross loss ratios for general insurance and health business by 5%. |
(d) Long-term businesses
30 June 2015 |
Interest |
Interest |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property |
Expenses +10% |
Assurance mortality +5% |
Annuitant mortality |
Insurance participating |
15 |
(95) |
(30) |
(120) |
100 |
(25) |
(5) |
(60) |
Insurance non-participating |
(65) |
50 |
(580) |
45 |
(45) |
(185) |
(95) |
(675) |
Investment participating |
- |
(20) |
- |
- |
- |
(5) |
- |
- |
Investment non-participating |
(30) |
30 |
(5) |
55 |
(55) |
(35) |
- |
- |
Assets backing life shareholders' funds |
(110) |
80 |
(100) |
25 |
(25) |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
(190) |
45 |
(715) |
5 |
(25) |
(250) |
(100) |
(735) |
30 June 2015 |
Interest |
Interest |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property |
Expenses +10% |
Assurance mortality +5% |
Annuitant mortality |
Insurance participating |
15 |
(95) |
(30) |
(120) |
100 |
(25) |
(5) |
(60) |
Insurance non-participating |
(65) |
50 |
(580) |
45 |
(45) |
(185) |
(95) |
(675) |
Investment participating |
- |
(20) |
- |
- |
- |
(5) |
- |
- |
Investment non-participating |
(30) |
30 |
(5) |
55 |
(55) |
(35) |
- |
- |
Assets backing life shareholders' funds |
(145) |
115 |
(105) |
25 |
(25) |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
(225) |
80 |
(720) |
5 |
(25) |
(250) |
(100) |
(735) |
Page 91
C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued
(d) Long-term businesses continued
31 December 2014 |
Interest |
Interest |
Credit |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property |
Expenses +10% |
Assurance mortality |
Annuitant mortality |
Insurance Participating |
(10) |
(60) |
(20) |
(175) |
70 |
(25) |
(5) |
(45) |
Insurance non-participating |
(155) |
130 |
(425) |
40 |
(40) |
(80) |
(50) |
(590) |
Investment participating |
(15) |
- |
(10) |
- |
- |
(5) |
- |
- |
Investment non-participating |
(40) |
30 |
(10) |
55 |
(60) |
(35) |
- |
- |
Assets backing life shareholders' funds |
(75) |
45 |
(60) |
20 |
(20) |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
(295) |
145 |
(525) |
(60) |
(50) |
(145) |
(55) |
(635) |
31 December 2014 |
Interest |
Interest |
Credit |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property |
Expenses +10% |
Assurance mortality |
Annuitant mortality |
Insurance Participating |
(10) |
(60) |
(20) |
(175) |
70 |
(25) |
(5) |
(45) |
Insurance non-participating |
(155) |
130 |
(425) |
40 |
(40) |
(80) |
(50) |
(590) |
Investment participating |
(15) |
- |
(10) |
- |
- |
(5) |
- |
- |
Investment non-participating |
(40) |
30 |
(10) |
55 |
(60) |
(35) |
- |
- |
Assets backing life shareholders' funds |
(115) |
80 |
(65) |
20 |
(20) |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
(335) |
180 |
(530) |
(60) |
(50) |
(145) |
(55) |
(635) |
Changes in sensitivities between HY15 and FY14 reflect the acquisition of Friends Life, in addition to underlying movements in market interest rates, portfolio growth, changes to asset mix and the relative durations of assets and liabilities and asset liability management actions. The sensitivities to economic movements relate mainly to business in the UK. In general, a fall in market interest rates has a beneficial impact on non-participating business, due to the increase in market value of fixed interest securities and the relative durations of assets and liabilities; similarly a rise in interest rates has a negative impact. Mortality and expense sensitivities also relate primarily to the UK.
(e) General insurance and health businesses
30 June 2015 |
Interest rates |
Interest rates |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property |
Expenses +10% |
Gross loss ratios |
Gross of reinsurance |
(270) |
270 |
(145) |
65 |
(65) |
(60) |
(130) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net of reinsurance |
(310) |
315 |
(145) |
65 |
(65) |
(60) |
(130) |
30 June 2015 |
Interest |
Interest |
Credit spreads |
Equity/ property |
Equity/ property |
Expenses |
Gross loss ratios |
Gross of reinsurance |
(270) |
270 |
(145) |
70 |
(70) |
(20) |
(130) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net of reinsurance |
(310) |
315 |
(145) |
70 |
(70) |
(20) |
(130) |
31 December 2014 |
Interest |
Interest |
Credit |
Equity/ property |
Equity/ property |
Expenses |
Gross loss ratios |
Gross of reinsurance |
(260) |
250 |
(130) |
55 |
(55) |
(105) |
(280) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net of reinsurance |
(305) |
295 |
(130) |
55 |
(55) |
(105) |
(270) |
31 December 2014 |
Interest |
Interest |
Credit |
Equity/ property |
Equity/ property |
Expenses |
Gross loss ratios |
Gross of reinsurance |
(260) |
250 |
(130) |
60 |
(60) |
(20) |
(280) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net of reinsurance |
(305) |
295 |
(130) |
60 |
(60) |
(20) |
(270) |
For general insurance, the impact of the expense sensitivity on profit also includes the increase in ongoing administration expenses, in addition to the increase in the claims handling expense provision.
Page 92
C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued
(f) Fund management and other operations businesses
30 June 2015 |
Interest |
Interest |
Credit spreads |
Equity/ property |
Equity/ property |
Total |
- |
- |
5 |
(20) |
35 |
30 June 2015 |
Interest |
Interest |
Credit spreads |
Equity/ property |
Equity/ property |
Total |
- |
- |
5 |
(20) |
35 |
31 December 2014 |
Interest |
Interest |
Credit |
Equity/ property |
Equity/ property |
Total |
- |
- |
5 |
(15) |
25 |
31 December 2014 |
Interest |
Interest |
Credit |
Equity/ property |
Equity/ property |
Total |
- |
- |
5 |
(15) |
25 |
(g) Limitations of sensitivity analysis
The previous tables demonstrate the effect of a change in a key assumption while other assumptions remain unchanged. In reality, there is a correlation between the assumptions and other factors. It should also be noted that these sensitivities are non-linear, and larger or smaller impacts should not be interpolated or extrapolated from these results.
The sensitivity analyses do not take into consideration that the Group's assets and liabilities are actively managed. Additionally, the financial position of the Group may vary at the time that any actual market movement occurs. For example, the Group's financial risk management strategy aims to manage the exposure to market fluctuations.
As investment markets move past various trigger levels, management actions could include selling investments, changing investment portfolio allocation, adjusting bonuses credited to policyholders, and taking other protective action.
A number of the business units use passive assumptions to calculate their long-term business liabilities. Consequently, a change in the underlying assumptions may not have any impact on the liabilities, whereas assets held at market value in the statement of financial position will be affected. In these circumstances, the different measurement bases for liabilities and assets may lead to volatility in shareholders' equity. Similarly, for general insurance liabilities, the interest rate sensitivities only affect profit and equity where explicit assumptions are made regarding interest (discount) rates or future inflation.
Other limitations in the above sensitivity analyses include the use of hypothetical market movements to demonstrate potential risk that only represent the Group's view of possible near-term market changes that cannot be predicted with any certainty, and the assumption that all interest rates move in an identical fashion.
Page 93
Analysis of assets
In this section |
Page |
Analysis of assets |
|
D1 Total assets |
94 |
D2 Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy |
95 |
D3 Analysis of asset quality |
98 |
D4 Pension fund assets |
107 |
D5 Available funds |
108 |
D6 Guarantees |
108 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 94
Analysis of Assets
D1 - Total assets
As an insurance business, Aviva Group holds a variety of assets to match the characteristics and duration of its insurance liabilities. Appropriate and effective asset liability matching (on an economic basis) is the principal way in which Aviva manages its investments. In addition, to support this, Aviva also uses a variety of hedging and other risk management strategies to diversify away any residual mis-match risk that is outside of Group's risk appetite.
30 June 2015 |
Policyholder assets |
Participating fund assets |
Shareholder assets |
Total assets analysed |
Less assets of operations classified as held for sale |
Balance sheet |
Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets |
- |
- |
8,002 |
8,002 |
- |
8,002 |
Interests in joint ventures and associates |
105 |
989 |
511 |
1,605 |
- |
1,605 |
Property and equipment |
- |
144 |
246 |
390 |
- |
390 |
Investment property |
6,325 |
4,810 |
432 |
11,567 |
- |
11,567 |
Loans |
318 |
3,388 |
20,415 |
24,121 |
- |
24,121 |
Financial investments |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Debt securities |
26,137 |
88,648 |
47,361 |
162,146 |
- |
162,146 |
Equity securities |
48,385 |
16,115 |
557 |
65,057 |
- |
65,057 |
Other investments |
39,638 |
5,883 |
2,087 |
47,608 |
- |
47,608 |
Reinsurance assets |
13,821 |
1,757 |
4,854 |
20,432 |
- |
20,432 |
Deferred tax assets |
- |
- |
74 |
74 |
- |
74 |
Current tax assets |
- |
- |
18 |
18 |
- |
18 |
Receivables and other financial assets |
1,025 |
2,042 |
5,507 |
8,574 |
- |
8,574 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other assets |
59 |
774 |
4,050 |
4,883 |
- |
4,883 |
Prepayments and accrued income |
228 |
1,380 |
1,380 |
2,988 |
- |
2,988 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
6,345 |
17,714 |
9,136 |
33,195 |
(9) |
33,186 |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
9 |
9 |
Total |
142,386 |
143,644 |
104,630 |
390,660 |
- |
390,660 |
Total % |
36.4% |
36.8% |
26.8% |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
FY14 |
78,081 |
124,574 |
83,064 |
285,719 |
- |
285,719 |
FY14 Total % |
27.3% |
43.6% |
29.1% |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
As at 30 June 2015, 26.8% of Aviva's total asset base was shareholder assets, 36.8% participating assets where Aviva shareholders have partial exposure, and 36.4% policyholder assets where Aviva shareholders have no exposure. Of the total assets (excluding assets held for sale), investment property, loans and financial investments comprise £310.5 billion (FY14: £236.8 billion). The increase in total assets by £105.0 billion to £390.7 billion (FY14: £285.7 billion) is primarily driven by the acquisition of Friends Life and this is also the main driver of the increased proportion of policyholder assets, compared with FY14.
Page 95
D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy
Total assets - 30 June 2015 |
Fair value |
Amortised cost |
Equity accounted/ tax assets1 £m |
Total |
Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets |
- |
8,002 |
- |
8,002 |
Interests in joint ventures and associates |
- |
- |
1,605 |
1,605 |
Property and equipment |
333 |
57 |
- |
390 |
Investment property |
11,567 |
- |
- |
11,567 |
Loans |
20,763 |
3,358 |
- |
24,121 |
Financial investments |
|
|
|
|
Debt securities |
162,146 |
- |
- |
162,146 |
Equity securities |
65,057 |
- |
- |
65,057 |
Other investments |
47,608 |
- |
- |
47,608 |
Reinsurance assets |
13,773 |
6,659 |
- |
20,432 |
Deferred tax assets |
- |
- |
74 |
74 |
Current tax assets |
- |
- |
18 |
18 |
Receivables and other financial assets |
- |
8,574 |
- |
8,574 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other assets |
- |
4,883 |
- |
4,883 |
Prepayments and accrued income |
- |
2,988 |
- |
2,988 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
33,195 |
- |
- |
33,195 |
Total |
354,442 |
34,521 |
1,697 |
390,660 |
Total % |
90.8% |
8.8% |
0.4% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
9 |
- |
- |
9 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
354,433 |
34,521 |
1,697 |
390,651 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
90.8% |
8.8% |
0.4% |
100.0% |
FY14 Total |
258,421 |
25,651 |
1,647 |
285,719 |
FY14 Total % |
90.4% |
9.0% |
0.6% |
100.0% |
1 Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.
Total assets - Policyholder assets 30 June 2015 |
Fair value |
Amortised cost |
Equity accounted/ tax assets1 £m |
Total |
Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Interests in joint ventures and associates |
- |
- |
105 |
105 |
Property and equipment |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Investment property |
6,325 |
- |
- |
6,325 |
Loans |
- |
318 |
- |
318 |
Financial investments |
|
|
|
|
Debt securities |
26,137 |
- |
- |
26,137 |
Equity securities |
48,385 |
- |
- |
48,385 |
Other investments |
39,638 |
- |
- |
39,638 |
Reinsurance assets |
13,766 |
55 |
- |
13,821 |
Deferred tax assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Current tax assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Receivables and other financial assets |
- |
1,025 |
- |
1,025 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other assets |
- |
59 |
- |
59 |
Prepayments and accrued income |
- |
228 |
- |
228 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
6,345 |
- |
- |
6,345 |
Total |
140,596 |
1,685 |
105 |
142,386 |
Total % |
98.7% |
1.2% |
0.1% |
100.0% |
FY14 Total |
77,196 |
785 |
100 |
78,081 |
FY14 Total % |
98.9% |
1.0% |
0.1% |
100.0% |
1 Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.
Page 96
D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued
Total assets - Participating fund assets 30 June 2015 |
Fair value £m |
Amortised cost |
Equity accounted/ tax assets1 £m |
Total |
Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Interests in joint ventures and associates |
- |
- |
989 |
989 |
Property and equipment |
142 |
2 |
- |
144 |
Investment property |
4,810 |
- |
- |
4,810 |
Loans |
571 |
2,817 |
- |
3,388 |
Financial investments |
|
|
|
|
Debt securities |
88,648 |
- |
- |
88,648 |
Equity securities |
16,115 |
- |
- |
16,115 |
Other investments |
5,883 |
- |
- |
5,883 |
Reinsurance assets |
- |
1,757 |
- |
1,757 |
Deferred tax assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Current tax assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Receivables and other financial assets |
- |
2,042 |
- |
2,042 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other assets |
- |
774 |
- |
774 |
Prepayments and accrued income |
- |
1,380 |
- |
1,380 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
17,714 |
- |
- |
17,714 |
Total |
133,883 |
8,772 |
989 |
143,644 |
Total % |
93.2% |
6.1% |
0.7% |
100.0% |
FY14 Total |
115,320 |
8,234 |
1,020 |
124,574 |
FY14 Total % |
92.6% |
6.6% |
0.8% |
100.0% |
1 Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.
Total assets - Shareholders assets 30 June 2015 |
Fair value £m |
Amortised cost |
Equity accounted/ tax assets1 £m |
Total |
Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets |
- |
8,002 |
- |
8,002 |
Interests in joint ventures and associates |
- |
- |
511 |
511 |
Property and equipment |
191 |
55 |
- |
246 |
Investment property |
432 |
- |
- |
432 |
Loans |
20,192 |
223 |
- |
20,415 |
Financial investments |
|
|
|
|
Debt securities |
47,361 |
- |
- |
47,361 |
Equity securities |
557 |
- |
- |
557 |
Other investments |
2,087 |
- |
- |
2,087 |
Reinsurance assets |
7 |
4,847 |
- |
4,854 |
Deferred tax assets |
- |
- |
74 |
74 |
Current tax assets |
- |
- |
18 |
18 |
Receivables and other financial assets |
- |
5,507 |
- |
5,507 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other assets |
- |
4,050 |
- |
4,050 |
Prepayments and accrued income |
- |
1,380 |
- |
1,380 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
9,136 |
- |
- |
9,136 |
Total |
79,963 |
24,064 |
603 |
104,630 |
Total % |
76.4% |
23.0% |
0.6% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
9 |
- |
- |
9 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
79,954 |
24,064 |
603 |
104,621 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
76.4% |
23.0% |
0.6% |
100.0% |
FY14 Total |
65,905 |
16,632 |
527 |
83,064 |
FY14 Total % |
79.4% |
20.0% |
0.6% |
100.0% |
1 Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.
Page 97
D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued
Financial instruments (including investment property, derivatives and loans) - fair value hierarchy
The table below categorises the measurement basis for assets carried at fair value into a 'fair value hierarchy' in accordance with fair value methodology disclosed in Note B17 in the condensed consolidated financial statements (IFRS section).
Investment property and financial assets - Total 30 June 2015 |
Level 1 |
Level 2 |
Level 3 |
Sub-total fair value |
Amortised cost |
Less: |
Balance sheet total |
Investment property |
- |
- |
11,567 |
11,567 |
- |
- |
11,567 |
Loans |
- |
988 |
19,775 |
20,763 |
3,358 |
- |
24,121 |
Debt securities |
86,371 |
62,617 |
13,158 |
162,146 |
- |
- |
162,146 |
Equity securities |
63,991 |
- |
1,066 |
65,057 |
- |
- |
65,057 |
Other investments (including derivatives) |
36,859 |
5,945 |
4,804 |
47,608 |
- |
- |
47,608 |
Total |
187,221 |
69,550 |
50,370 |
307,141 |
3,358 |
- |
310,499 |
Total % |
60.3% |
22.4% |
16.2% |
98.9% |
1.1% |
- |
100.0% |
FY14 Total |
135,677 |
56,322 |
40,459 |
232,458 |
4,365 |
- |
236,823 |
FY14 Total % |
57.3% |
23.8% |
17.1% |
98.2% |
1.8% |
- |
100.0% |
At 30 June 2015, the proportion of total investment property, financial investments and loans classified as Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy increased to 60.3% (FY14: 57.3%), mainly driven by the acquisition of Friends Life which had a higher proportion of Level 1 assets. The proportion of Level 2 financial investments was 22.4% (FY14: 23.8%), while those classified as Level 3 represented 16.2% (FY14: 17.1%).
Page 98
D3 - Analysis of asset quality
The analysis of assets that follows provides information about the assets held by the Group.
D3.1 - Investment property
|
|
|
|
30 June 2015 |
|
|
31 December 2014 |
|
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
||||
Investment property - Shareholder assets |
Level 1 |
Level 2 |
Level 3 |
Total |
Level 1 |
Level 2 |
Level 3 |
Total |
Lease to third parties under operating leases |
- |
- |
432 |
432 |
- |
- |
296 |
296 |
Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
- |
- |
432 |
432 |
- |
- |
296 |
296 |
Total % |
- |
- |
100.0% |
100.0% |
- |
- |
100.0% |
100.0% |
96.3% (FY14: 96.7%) of total investment property by value is held in unit-linked or participating funds. Shareholder exposure to investment properties is principally through investments in UK and French property.
Investment properties are stated at their market values as assessed by qualified external independent valuers or by local qualified staff of the Group, all with recent relevant experience. The investment properties are valued on an income basis that is based on current rental income plus anticipated uplifts at the next rent review, lease expiry, or break option taking into consideration lease incentives and assuming no further growth in the estimated value of the property. This uplift and the discount rate are derived from rates implied by recent market transactions on similar property. These inputs are deemed unobservable.
100% (FY14: 100%) of shareholder exposure to investment property is leased to third parties under operating leases.
Page 99
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.2 - Loans
The Group loan portfolio is principally made up of:
· Policy loans which are generally collateralised by a lien or charge over the underlying policy;
· Loans and advances to banks, which primarily relate to loans of cash collateral received in stock lending transactions. These loans are fully collateralised by other securities;
· Mortgage loans collateralised by property assets; and
· Other loans, which include loans to brokers and intermediaries.
Loans with fixed maturities, including policy loans, mortgage loans (at amortised cost) and loans and advances to banks, are recognised when cash is advanced to borrowers. These loans are carried at their unpaid principal balances and adjusted for amortisation of premium or discount, non-refundable loan fees and related direct costs. These amounts are deferred and amortised over the life of the loan as an adjustment to loan yield using the effective interest rate method.
For certain mortgage loans, the Group has taken advantage of the fair value option under IAS 39 to present the mortgages, associated borrowings, other liabilities and derivative financial instruments at fair value, since they are managed together on a fair value basis. The mortgage loans are not traded in active markets. These investments are classified as level 3 as the assumptions used to derive the credit risk, liquidity premium and property risk are not deemed to be market observable.
Loans - Total 30 June 2015 |
United Kingdom |
Europe |
Canada |
Asia |
Total |
Policy loans |
18 |
691 |
- |
29 |
738 |
Loans and advances to banks |
2,763 |
29 |
- |
- |
2,792 |
Mortgage loans |
20,252 |
1 |
- |
- |
20,253 |
Other loans |
202 |
9 |
127 |
- |
338 |
Total |
23,235 |
730 |
127 |
29 |
24,121 |
Total % |
96.4% |
3.0% |
0.5% |
0.1% |
100.0% |
FY14 Total |
24,262 |
846 |
122 |
30 |
25,260 |
FY14 Total % |
96.0% |
3.4% |
0.5% |
0.1% |
100.0% |
Loans - Shareholder assets 30 June 2015 |
United Kingdom |
Europe |
Canada |
Asia |
Total |
Policy loans |
4 |
7 |
- |
2 |
13 |
Loans and advances to banks |
549 |
29 |
- |
- |
578 |
Mortgage loans |
19,682 |
- |
- |
- |
19,682 |
Other loans |
7 |
8 |
127 |
- |
142 |
Total |
20,242 |
44 |
127 |
2 |
20,415 |
Total % |
99.2% |
0.2% |
0.6% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
FY14 Total |
20,481 |
65 |
122 |
2 |
20,670 |
FY14 Total % |
99.1% |
0.3% |
0.6% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
The value of the Group's loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), at 30 June 2015 stood at £24.1 billion (FY14: £25.3 billion), a decrease of £1.2 billion.
The total shareholder exposure to loans was £20.4 billion (FY14: £20.7 billion), and represented 85% of the total loan portfolio, with the remaining 15% split between participating funds £3.4 billion (FY14: £4.3 billion) and policyholder assets £0.3 billion (FY14: £0.3 billion).
Of the Group's total loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), 84% (FY14: 81%) is invested in mortgage loans.
Page 100
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.2 - Loans continued
Mortgage loans - Shareholder assets
30 June 2015 |
Total |
Non-securitised mortgage loans |
|
- Residential (Equity release) |
4,465 |
- Commercial |
8,395 |
- Healthcare |
4,414 |
|
17,274 |
Securitised mortgage loans |
2,408 |
Total |
19,682 |
FY14 Total |
19,918 |
The Group's mortgage loan portfolio is mainly focused in the UK, across various sectors, including residential loans, commercial loans and government supported healthcare loans. Aviva's shareholder exposure to mortgage loans accounts for 96% of total shareholder asset loans. This section focuses on explaining the shareholder risk within these exposures.
United Kingdom & Ireland
(Non-securitised mortgage loans)
Residential
The UK non-securitised residential mortgage portfolio has a total current value of £4.5 billion (FY14: £4.1 billion). The movement since FY14 is due to £0.5 billion of new loans and accrued interest (net of redemptions), and £0.1 billion of fair value losses. These mortgages are all in the form of equity release, whereby homeowners mortgage their property to release cash equity. Due to the structure of equity release mortgages, whereby interest amounts due are not paid in cash but instead rolled into the amount outstanding, they predominantly have a Loan to Value ("LTV") of below 70%. The average LTV across the portfolio is approximately 27.2% (FY14: 27.2%).
Healthcare
Primary Healthcare & PFI businesses loans included within shareholder assets are £4.4 billion (FY14: £4.6 billion) of which £3.3 billion are secured against primary health care premises (including General Practitioner surgeries), education, social housing and emergency services related premises. A further £1.1 billion are secured against the income from healthcare and educational related premises. For all such loans, government support is provided through either direct funding or reimbursement of rental payments to the tenants to meet income service and provide for the debt to be reduced substantially over the term of the loan. Although the loan principal is not Government guaranteed, the nature of these businesses and premises provides considerable comfort of an ongoing business model and low risk of default.
On a market value basis, we estimate the average LTV of these mortgages to be 82% (FY14: 92%), although as explained above, we do not consider this to be a key risk indicator. Income support from the Government bodies and the social need for these premises provide sustained income stability. Aviva therefore considers these loans to be lower risk.
Commercial
Gross exposure by loan to value and arrears is shown in the table below.
Shareholder assets
30 June 2015 |
>120% |
115-120% |
110-115% |
105-110% |
100-105% |
95-100% |
90-95% |
80-90% |
70-80% |
<70% |
Total |
Not in arrears |
39 |
7 |
23 |
104 |
603 |
387 |
392 |
1,664 |
1,221 |
3,159 |
7,599 |
0 - 3 months |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
75 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
75 |
3 - 6 months |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
11 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
11 |
6 - 12 months |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
368 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
368 |
> 12 months |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
342 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
342 |
Total |
39 |
7 |
23 |
104 |
603 |
1,183 |
392 |
1,664 |
1,221 |
3,159 |
8,395 |
Of the total £8.4 billion of UK non-securitised commercial mortgage loans in the shareholder fund, £8.3 billion are held by our UK Life business, of which £7.5 billion back annuity liabilities, and are stated on a fair value basis. Aviva UK General Insurance hold the remaining £0.1 billion of loans which are stated on an amortised cost basis and are subject to impairment review, using a fair value methodology calibrated to the UK Life approach, adjusted for specific portfolio characteristics. The loan exposures for our UK Life business are calculated on a discounted cash flow basis, and include a risk adjustment through the use of Credit Risk Adjusted Value ("CRAV") methods.
Page 101
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.2 - Loans continued
For the commercial mortgages held by the UK Life and UK General Insurance businesses, loan service collection ratios, a key indicator of mortgage portfolio performance, improved to 1.41x (FY14: 1.31x). Loan Interest Cover ("LIC"), which is defined as the annual net rental income (including rental deposits and less ground rent) divided by the annual loan interest service, also improved to 1.61x (FY14: 1.47x). Average mortgage LTV decreased by 12 percentage points compared to FY14 from 85% to 73% (CRAV) primarily driven by an increase in property values of c6.6% during the period.
Of the £796 million (FY14: £1,492 million) value of loans in arrears included within our shareholder assets, the interest and capital amount in arrears is £119 million.
Commercial mortgages are held at fair value on the asset side of the statement of financial position. Insurance liabilities are valued using a discount rate derived from gross yield on assets, with adjustments to allow for risk. At HY15 this allowance within the liabilities amounted to £0.9 billion (FY14: £0.9 billion).
Of the £7.5 billion mortgages backing annuity liabilities, £0.5 billion of non-performing loans have been treated as property on a look-through basis in arriving at an appropriate valuation discount rate. For the remainder, and the £4.4 billion of Healthcare and PFI mortgages held by Aviva Annuity UK Limited, the valuation allowance (including supplementary allowances) of £0.9 billion equates to 93bps at 30 June 2015 (FY14: 87bps). The total valuation allowance held by Aviva Annuity UK Limited in respect of corporate bonds and mortgages, including Healthcare and PFI mortgages is £1.9 billion (FY14: £1.9 billion) over the remaining term of the UK Life corporate bond and mortgage portfolio. In addition, we hold £47 million (FY14: £56 million) of impairment provisions in our UK General Insurance mortgage portfolio, which is carried at amortised cost.
The UK portfolio remains well diversified in terms of property type, location and tenants as well as the spread of loans written over time. The risks in commercial mortgages are addressed through several layers of protection with the mortgage risk profile being primarily driven by the ability of the underlying tenant rental income to cover loan interest and amortisation. Should any single tenant default on their rental payment, rental from other tenants backing the same loan often ensures the loan interest cover does not fall below 1.0x. Where there are multiple loans to a single borrower further protection may be achieved through cross-charging (or pooling) such that any single loan is also supported by rents received within other pool loans. Additionally, there may be support provided by the borrower of the loan itself and further loss mitigation from any general floating charge held over assets within the borrower companies.
If the LIC cover falls below 1.0x and the borrower defaults then Aviva still retains the option of selling the security or restructuring the loans and benefiting from the protection of the collateral. A combination of these benefits and the high recovery levels afforded by property collateral (compared to corporate debt or other uncollateralised credit exposures) results in the economic exposure being significantly lower than the gross exposure reported above. We will continue to actively manage this position.
Securitised mortgage loans
Funding for the securitised residential mortgage assets of £2.4 billion (FY14: £2.4 billion) was obtained by issuing loan note securities. Of these loan notes approximately £299 million (FY14: £210 million) are held by Group companies. The remainder is held by third parties external to Aviva. As any cash shortfall arising once all mortgages have redeemed is borne by the loan note holders, the majority of the credit risk of these mortgages is borne by third parties. Securitised residential mortgages held are predominantly issued through vehicles in the UK.
D3.3 - Financial investments
|
|
|
|
30 June 2015 |
|
|
31 December 2014 |
|
Financial Investments - Total |
Cost/ amortised cost |
Unrealised gains |
Impairment and unrealised losses |
Fair value |
Cost/ amortised |
Unrealised gains |
Impairment and |
Fair value |
Debt securities |
153,779 |
12,025 |
(3,658) |
162,146 |
118,245 |
14,130 |
(714) |
131,661 |
Equity securities |
61,699 |
8,601 |
(5,243) |
65,057 |
29,701 |
7,114 |
(1,196) |
35,619 |
Other investments |
42,716 |
6,457 |
(1,565) |
47,608 |
29,845 |
5,954 |
(441) |
35,358 |
Total |
258,194 |
27,083 |
(10,466) |
274,811 |
177,791 |
27,198 |
(2,351) |
202,638 |
During the period, total financial investments increased by £72.2 billion to £274.8 billion (FY14: £202.6 billion), mainly as a result of the acquisition of Friends Life (see note B4) which contributed £81.2 billion to total financial investments as at 30 June 2015, partially offset by negative market and foreign exchange movements. Aviva holds large quantities of high quality bonds, primarily to match our liability to make guaranteed payments to policyholders. Some credit risk is taken, partly to increase returns to policyholders and partly to optimise the risk/return profile for shareholders. The risks are consistent with the products we offer and the related investment mandates, and are in line with our risk appetite.
The Group also holds equities, the majority of which are held in participating funds and policyholder funds, where they form an integral part of the investment expectations of policyholders and follow well-defined investment mandates. Some equities are also held in shareholder funds. The vast majority of equity investments are valued at quoted market prices.
Page 102
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3 - Financial investments continued
D3.3.1 - Debt securities
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
||
Debt securities - Shareholder assets 30 June 2015 |
Level 1 |
Level 2 |
Level 3 |
Total |
UK Government |
7,341 |
855 |
56 |
8,252 |
Non-UK Government |
2,634 |
6,156 |
702 |
9,492 |
Europe |
2,592 |
3,380 |
543 |
6,515 |
North America |
25 |
2,142 |
158 |
2,325 |
Asia Pacific & Other |
17 |
634 |
1 |
652 |
Corporate bonds - Public utilities |
201 |
5,324 |
309 |
5,834 |
Corporate convertible bonds |
- |
43 |
- |
43 |
Other corporate bonds |
1,285 |
16,717 |
2,811 |
20,813 |
Other |
287 |
1,951 |
689 |
2,927 |
Total |
11,748 |
31,046 |
4,567 |
47,361 |
Total % |
24.8% |
65.6% |
9.6% |
100.0% |
FY14 |
10,090 |
22,865 |
2,848 |
35,803 |
FY14 % |
28.2% |
63.8% |
8.0% |
100.0% |
9.6% (FY14: 8.0%) of shareholder exposure to debt securities is fair valued using models with significant unobservable market parameters (classified as fair value Level 3). Where estimates are used, these are based on a combination of independent third party evidence and internally developed models, calibrated to market observable data where possible.
24.8% (FY14: 28.2%) of shareholder exposure to debt securities is based on quoted prices in an active market and are therefore classified as fair value Level 1. This decrease largely reflects the acquisition of Friends Life which had a higher proportion of Level 2 shareholder debt securities.
|
External ratings |
|
|
||||
Debt securities - Shareholder assets 30 June 2015 |
AAA |
AA |
A |
BBB |
Less than BBB |
Non-rated |
Total |
Government |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UK Government |
- |
8,085 |
51 |
- |
- |
109 |
8,245 |
UK local authorities |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
7 |
7 |
Non-UK Government |
4,139 |
3,582 |
880 |
885 |
3 |
3 |
9,492 |
|
4,139 |
11,667 |
931 |
885 |
3 |
119 |
17,744 |
Corporate |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Public utilities |
- |
170 |
3,725 |
1,635 |
30 |
274 |
5,834 |
Convertibles and bonds with warrants |
- |
- |
43 |
- |
- |
- |
43 |
Other corporate bonds |
2,136 |
3,124 |
7,869 |
4,880 |
586 |
2,218 |
20,813 |
|
2,136 |
3,294 |
11,637 |
6,515 |
616 |
2,492 |
26,690 |
Certificates of deposits |
- |
- |
12 |
8 |
44 |
- |
64 |
Structured |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RMBS1 non-agency ALT A |
1 |
31 |
4 |
1 |
- |
- |
37 |
RMBS1 non-agency prime |
60 |
28 |
33 |
- |
- |
- |
121 |
RMBS1 agency |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
61 |
59 |
37 |
1 |
- |
- |
158 |
CMBS2 |
205 |
195 |
76 |
43 |
29 |
1 |
549 |
ABS3 |
136 |
294 |
283 |
51 |
18 |
10 |
792 |
CDO (including CLO)4 |
13 |
10 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
23 |
ABCP5 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
354 |
499 |
359 |
94 |
47 |
11 |
1,364 |
Wrapped credit |
- |
14 |
409 |
59 |
43 |
46 |
571 |
Other |
13 |
91 |
114 |
323 |
92 |
137 |
770 |
Total |
6,703 |
15,624 |
13,499 |
7,885 |
845 |
2,805 |
47,361 |
Total % |
14.2% |
33.0% |
28.5% |
16.6% |
1.8% |
5.9% |
100.0% |
FY14 |
6,031 |
11,341 |
9,792 |
5,537 |
291 |
2,811 |
35,803 |
FY14 % |
16.8% |
31.7% |
27.3% |
15.5% |
0.8% |
7.9% |
100.0% |
1 RMBS - Residential Mortgage Backed Security.
2 CMBS - Commercial Mortgage Backed Security.
3 ABS - Asset Backed Security.
4 CDO - Collateralised Debt Obligation, CLO - Collateralised Loan Obligation.
5 ABCP - Asset Backed Commercial Paper.
Page 103
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3 - Financial investments continued
D3.3.1 - Debt securities continued
During the period, shareholder exposure to debt securities increased by £11.6 billion to £47.4 billion (FY14: £35.8 billion), with the movement mainly driven by the acquisition of Friends Life (see note B4) which contributed £14.1 billion to total debt securities in shareholders' assets as at 30 June 2015, partially offset by negative market and foreign exchange movements. The overall quality of the book remains strong. 37% of shareholder exposure to debt securities is in government holdings (FY14: 46%). Our corporate debt securities portfolio represents 56% (FY14: 49%) of total shareholder debt securities.
The majority of non-rated corporate bonds are held by our businesses in the UK.
At 30 June 2015, the proportion of our shareholder debt securities that are investment grade increased to 92.3% (FY14: 91.3%). The remaining 7.7% of shareholder debt securities that do not have an external rating of BBB or higher can be split as follows:
· 1.8% are debt securities that are rated as below investment grade;
· 5.9% are not rated by the major rating agencies.
Of the securities not rated by an external agency most are allocated an internal rating using a methodology largely consistent with that adopted by an external rating agency, and are considered to be of investment grade credit quality; these include £2.6 billion of debt securities held in our UK Life business, predominantly made up of private placements and other corporate bonds, which have been internally rated as investment grade (FY14: £2.5 billion).
The Group has limited shareholder exposure to CDOs, CLOs and 'Sub-prime' debt securities.
Out of the total shareholder asset backed securities (ABS), £765 million (FY14: £611 million) are held by the UK Life business. 96.5% of the Group's shareholder holdings in ABS are investment grade (FY14: 89.6%). ABS which either have a rating below BBB or are not rated represents approximately 0.1% of shareholder exposure to debt securities (FY14: 0.2%).
D3.3.2 - Equity securities
|
|
|
|
30 June 2015 |
|
|
31 December 2014 |
|
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
||||
Equity securities - Shareholder assets |
Level 1 |
Level 2 |
Level 3 |
Total |
Level 1 |
Level 2 |
Level 3 |
Total |
Public utilities |
23 |
- |
- |
23 |
3 |
- |
- |
3 |
Banks, trusts and insurance companies |
107 |
- |
33 |
140 |
95 |
- |
38 |
133 |
Industrial miscellaneous and all other |
199 |
- |
11 |
210 |
135 |
- |
12 |
147 |
Non-redeemable preferred shares |
184 |
- |
- |
184 |
199 |
- |
- |
199 |
Total |
513 |
- |
44 |
557 |
432 |
- |
50 |
482 |
Total % |
92.1% |
- |
7.9% |
100.0% |
89.6% |
- |
10.4% |
100.0% |
92.1% of our shareholder exposure to equity securities is based on quoted prices in an active market and as such is classified as Level 1 (FY14: 89.6%).
D3.3.3 - Other investments
|
|
|
|
30 June 2015 |
|
|
31 December 2014 |
|
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
||||
Other investments - Shareholders assets |
Level 1 |
Level 2 |
Level 3 |
Total |
Level 1 |
Level 2 |
Level 3 |
Total |
Unit trusts and other investment vehicles |
413 |
4 |
68 |
485 |
294 |
4 |
201 |
499 |
Derivative financial instruments |
74 |
1,201 |
13 |
1,288 |
2 |
1,233 |
38 |
1,273 |
Deposits with credit institutions |
93 |
- |
- |
93 |
107 |
3 |
- |
110 |
Minority holdings in property management undertakings |
- |
12 |
204 |
216 |
1 |
29 |
115 |
145 |
Other |
5 |
- |
- |
5 |
5 |
- |
- |
5 |
Total |
585 |
1,217 |
285 |
2,087 |
409 |
1,269 |
354 |
2,032 |
Total % |
28.0% |
58.3% |
13.7% |
100.0% |
20.1% |
62.5% |
17.4% |
100.0% |
In total 86.3% (FY14: 82.6%) of shareholder other investments are classified as Level 1 or 2 in the fair value hierarchy. Unit trusts and other investment vehicles invest in a variety of assets, which can include cash equivalents, debt, equity and property securities.
D3.3.4 - Available for sale investments - Impairments and duration and amount of unrealised losses
There was no impairment expense for the six months to 30 June 2015 for AFS securities (HY14: £nil).
Total unrealised losses on AFS debt securities, equity securities and other investments at 30 June 2015 were £1 million (HY14: £2 million), £nil (HY14: £nil) and £nil (HY14: £nil) respectively.
Page 104
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3 - Financial investments continued
D3.3.5 - Exposures to peripheral European countries
Included in our debt securities and other financial assets are exposures to peripheral European countries. All of these assets are valued on a mark to market basis under IAS 39, and therefore our statement of financial position and income statement already reflect any reduction in value between the date of purchase and the balance sheet date. The significant majority of these holdings are within our participating funds where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds.
Net of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder and participating fund asset exposure to the government (and local authorities and agencies) of Italy is £4.3 billion (FY14: £4.9 billion). Gross of non-controlling interests, 94% (FY14: 98%) of our shareholder asset exposure to Italy arises from the investment exposure of our Italian business.
Direct sovereign exposures to Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)
|
Participating |
Shareholder |
Total |
|||
|
30 June |
31 December 2014 |
30 June |
31 December 2014 |
30 June |
31 December |
Greece |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Ireland |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
Portugal |
0.1 |
0.2 |
- |
- |
0.1 |
0.2 |
Italy |
4.0 |
4.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
4.3 |
4.9 |
Spain |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
Total Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain |
5.5 |
6.5 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
6.3 |
7.2 |
Direct sovereign exposures to Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain (gross of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)
|
Participating |
Shareholder |
Total |
|||
|
30 June |
31 December |
30 June |
31 December |
30 June |
31 December |
Greece |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Ireland |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
Portugal |
0.1 |
0.2 |
- |
- |
0.1 |
0.2 |
Italy |
5.7 |
6.7 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
6.1 |
7.2 |
Spain |
1.1 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
Total Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain |
7.5 |
8.7 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
8.5 |
10.0 |
Page 105
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3 - Financial investments continued
D3.3.6 - Non-UK Government debt securities (gross of non-controlling interests)
|
Policyholder |
Participating |
Shareholder |
Total |
||||
Non-UK Government Debt Securities |
30 June |
31 December |
30 June |
31 December |
30 June |
31 December |
30 June |
31 December |
Austria |
8 |
11 |
737 |
705 |
149 |
107 |
894 |
823 |
Belgium |
39 |
28 |
1,208 |
1,368 |
207 |
165 |
1,454 |
1,561 |
France |
136 |
103 |
10,010 |
11,182 |
1,778 |
1,950 |
11,924 |
13,235 |
Germany |
184 |
142 |
1,556 |
1,590 |
620 |
591 |
2,360 |
2,323 |
Greece |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Ireland |
6 |
5 |
543 |
613 |
113 |
155 |
662 |
773 |
Italy |
282 |
330 |
5,704 |
6,666 |
387 |
485 |
6,373 |
7,481 |
Netherlands |
47 |
43 |
1,171 |
1,336 |
320 |
414 |
1,538 |
1,793 |
Poland |
539 |
571 |
739 |
823 |
379 |
443 |
1,657 |
1,837 |
Portugal |
1 |
6 |
121 |
173 |
- |
- |
122 |
179 |
Spain |
117 |
104 |
1,093 |
1,263 |
492 |
694 |
1,702 |
2,061 |
European Supranational debt |
52 |
61 |
2,476 |
2,952 |
1,579 |
1,826 |
4,107 |
4,839 |
Other European countries |
153 |
133 |
1,215 |
1,040 |
491 |
473 |
1,859 |
1,646 |
Europe |
1,564 |
1,537 |
26,573 |
29,711 |
6,515 |
7,303 |
34,652 |
38,551 |
Canada |
55 |
16 |
179 |
164 |
1,936 |
2,376 |
2,170 |
2,556 |
United States |
294 |
94 |
80 |
48 |
389 |
347 |
763 |
489 |
North America |
349 |
110 |
259 |
212 |
2,325 |
2,723 |
2,933 |
3,045 |
Singapore |
15 |
11 |
643 |
598 |
276 |
277 |
934 |
886 |
Other |
675 |
493 |
2,185 |
1,917 |
376 |
63 |
3,236 |
2,473 |
Asia Pacific and other |
690 |
504 |
2,828 |
2,515 |
652 |
340 |
4,170 |
3,359 |
Total |
2,603 |
2,151 |
29,660 |
32,438 |
9,492 |
10,366 |
41,755 |
44,955 |
At 30 June 2015, the Group's total non-UK government debt securities stood at £41.8 billion (FY14: £45.0 billion). The significant majority of these holdings are within our participating funds where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds.
Within the overall movement in the period, there was an increase in non-UK government securities (gross of non-controlling interests) of £2.3 billion as a result of the Friends Life acquisition. This was more than offset by adverse movements in market values and foreign exchange rates to give a net reduction of £3.2 billion at the half year.
Our direct shareholder asset exposure to non-UK government debt securities amounts to £9.5 billion (FY14: £10.4 billion). The primary exposures, relative to total shareholder non-UK government debt exposure, are to Canadian (20%), French (19%), German (7%), Spanish (5%), and Italian (4%) government debt securities.
The participating funds exposure to non-UK government debt amounts to £29.7 billion (FY14: £32.4 billion). The primary exposures, relative to total non-UK government debt exposures included within our participating funds, are to the government debt securities of France (34%), Italy (19%), Germany (5%), Belgium (4%), Netherlands (4%) and Spain (4%).
Page 106
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3 - Financial investments continued
D3.3.7 - Exposure to worldwide bank debt securities
Direct shareholder and participating fund assets exposures to worldwide bank debt securities (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)
|
Shareholder assets |
Participating fund assets |
||||
30 June 2015 |
Total |
Total subordinated |
Total |
Total |
Total |
Total |
Austria |
- |
- |
- |
0.1 |
- |
0.1 |
France |
0.2 |
- |
0.2 |
2.9 |
0.7 |
3.6 |
Germany |
- |
- |
- |
0.6 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
Ireland |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Italy |
0.1 |
- |
0.1 |
0.3 |
- |
0.3 |
Netherlands |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
1.5 |
Spain |
0.6 |
- |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
United Kingdom |
1.7 |
0.7 |
2.4 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
United States |
0.9 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
0.1 |
1.4 |
Other |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
3.2 |
0.4 |
3.6 |
Total |
4.5 |
1.3 |
5.8 |
11.4 |
3.1 |
14.5 |
FY14 Total |
2.9 |
0.8 |
3.7 |
10.4 |
2.9 |
13.3 |
Net of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder exposure to worldwide debt bank securities increased by £2.1 billion, with the movement principally driven by the Friends Life acquisition.
Net of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder assets exposure to worldwide bank debt securities is £5.8 billion. The majority of our holding (78%) is in senior debt. The primary exposures are to UK (41%), US (19%) and Spanish (10%) banks.
Net of non-controlling interests, the participating fund exposures to worldwide bank debt securities, where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds, is £14.5 billion. The majority of the exposure (79%) is in senior debt. Participating funds are the most exposed to French (25%), UK (15%), Dutch (10%) and US (10%) banks.
Direct shareholder and participating fund assets exposures to worldwide bank debt securities (gross of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)
|
Shareholder assets |
Participating fund assets |
||||
30 June 2015 |
Total |
Total subordinated |
Total |
Total |
Total |
Total |
Austria |
- |
- |
- |
0.1 |
- |
0.1 |
France |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
3.3 |
0.7 |
4.0 |
Germany |
- |
- |
- |
0.6 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
Ireland |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Italy |
0.1 |
- |
0.1 |
0.4 |
- |
0.4 |
Netherlands |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
1.6 |
Spain |
0.8 |
- |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
United Kingdom |
1.7 |
0.7 |
2.4 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
2.3 |
United States |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
0.1 |
1.5 |
Other |
0.8 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
3.5 |
0.5 |
4.0 |
Total |
4.9 |
1.4 |
6.3 |
12.7 |
3.2 |
15.9 |
FY14 Total |
3.1 |
0.8 |
3.9 |
11.8 |
3.1 |
14.9 |
Gross of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder exposure to worldwide bank debt securities increased by £2.4 billion, with the movement principally driven by the Friends Life acquisition.
Gross of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder assets exposure to worldwide bank debt securities is £6.3 billion. The majority of our holding (78%) is in senior debt. The primary exposures are to UK (38%), US (19%) and Spanish (13%) banks.
Gross of non-controlling interests, the participating fund exposures to worldwide bank debt securities, where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds, is £15.9 billion. The majority of the exposure (80%) is in senior debt. Participating funds are the most exposed to French (25%), UK (14%), Dutch (10%) and US (9%) banks.
Page 107
D4 - Pension fund assets
In addition to the assets recognised directly on the Group's statement of financial position outlined in the disclosures above, the Group is also exposed to the "Scheme assets" that are shown net of the present value of scheme liabilities within the IAS 19 net pension surplus. Pension surpluses are included within other assets and pension deficits are recognised within provisions in the Group's consolidated statement of financial position. Refer to Note B15 for details on the schemes' surpluses and deficits.
Scheme assets are stated at their fair values. Total scheme assets in the UK, Ireland and Canada are comprised as follows:
|
30 June 2015 |
31 December 2014 |
||||||
|
UK |
Ireland |
Canada |
Total |
UK |
Ireland |
Canada |
Total |
Bonds |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed interest |
5,210 |
198 |
127 |
5,535 |
5,519 |
213 |
130 |
5,862 |
Index-linked |
6,033 |
108 |
- |
6,141 |
5,568 |
122 |
- |
5,690 |
Equities |
270 |
- |
- |
270 |
98 |
- |
- |
98 |
Property |
342 |
9 |
- |
351 |
328 |
9 |
- |
337 |
Pooled investment vehicles |
2,759 |
139 |
110 |
3,008 |
2,010 |
137 |
110 |
2,257 |
Derivatives |
202 |
- |
- |
202 |
584 |
1 |
- |
585 |
Cash and other1 |
1,542 |
- |
13 |
1,555 |
626 |
1 |
18 |
645 |
Total fair value of scheme assets |
16,358 |
454 |
250 |
17,062 |
14,733 |
483 |
258 |
15,474 |
Less: consolidation elimination for non-transferable Group insurance policy2 |
(606) |
- |
- |
(606) |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total IAS 19 fair value of scheme assets |
15,752 |
454 |
250 |
16,456 |
14,733 |
483 |
258 |
15,474 |
Total scheme assets are analysed by those that have a quoted market price in an active market and those that do not as follows:
|
30 June 2015 |
31 December 2014 |
||||
|
Total |
Total |
Total |
Total |
Total |
Total |
Bonds |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed interest |
2,510 |
3,025 |
5,535 |
2,907 |
2,955 |
5,862 |
Index-linked |
5,669 |
472 |
6,141 |
5,240 |
450 |
5,690 |
Equities |
246 |
24 |
270 |
74 |
24 |
98 |
Property |
- |
351 |
351 |
- |
337 |
337 |
Pooled investment vehicles |
132 |
2,876 |
3,008 |
130 |
2,127 |
2,257 |
Derivatives |
14 |
188 |
202 |
(22) |
607 |
585 |
Cash and other1 |
671 |
884 |
1,555 |
432 |
213 |
645 |
Total fair value of scheme assets |
9,242 |
7,820 |
17,062 |
8,761 |
6,713 |
15,474 |
Less: consolidation elimination for non-transferable Group insurance policy2 |
- |
(606) |
(606) |
- |
- |
- |
Total IAS 19 fair value of scheme assets |
9,242 |
7,214 |
16,456 |
8,761 |
6,713 |
15,474 |
1 Cash and other assets comprise cash at bank, insurance policies, receivables and payables.
2 Friends Provident Pension Scheme assets are included in the UK balances. As at 30 June 2015, the Friends Provident Pension Scheme's cash and other balance includes an insurance policy of £606 million issued by a Group company that is not transferable under IAS 19 and is consequently eliminated from the Group's IAS 19 scheme assets.
Risk management and asset allocation strategy
The long-term investment objectives of the trustees and the employers are to limit the risk of the assets failing to meet the liabilities of the schemes over the long term, and to maximise returns consistent with an acceptable level of risk so as to control the long-term costs of these schemes. To meet these objectives, each scheme's assets are invested in a portfolio, which for the UK schemes consist primarily (approximately 70%) of debt securities. The investment strategy will continue to evolve over time and is expected to match the liability profile increasingly closely with swap overlays to improve interest rate and inflation matching. The schemes are generally matched to interest rate on the funding basis.
Main UK Scheme
The Company works closely with the trustee, who is required to consult it on the investment strategy.
Interest rate and inflation risks are managed using a combination of liability-matching assets and swaps. Exposure to equity risk has been reducing over time and credit risk is managed within risk appetite. Currency risk is relatively small and is largely hedged. The other principal risk is longevity risk. In 2014, the Aviva Staff Pension Scheme entered into a longevity swap covering approximately £5 billion of pensioner in payment scheme liabilities transferring longevity risk to external reinsurers.
Other schemes
The other schemes are considerably less material but their risks are managed in a similar way to those in the main UK scheme.
Page 108
D5 - Available funds
To ensure access to liquidity as and when needed, the Group maintains £1.7 billion of undrawn committed central borrowing facilities with various highly rated banks, £0.75 billion of which is allocated to support the credit ratings of Aviva plc's commercial paper programmes. The expiry profile of the undrawn committed central borrowing facilities is as follows:
|
30 June 2015 |
31 December 2014 |
Expiring within one year |
700 |
350 |
Expiring beyond one year |
950 |
1,100 |
Total |
1,650 |
1,550 |
D6 - Guarantees
As a normal part of their operating activities, various Group companies have given guarantees and options, including investment return guarantees, in respect of certain long-term insurance and fund management products.
For the UK Life with-profit business, provisions in respect of these guarantees and options are calculated on a market consistent basis, in which stochastic models are used to evaluate the level of risk (and additional cost) under a number of economic scenarios, which allow for the impact of volatility in both interest rates and equity prices. For UK Life non-profit business, provisions are generally calculated on a deterministic basis but do not materially differ from those determined on a market consistent basis.
In all other businesses, provisions for guarantees and options are calculated on a local basis with sensitivity analysis undertaken where appropriate to assess the impact on provisioning levels of a movement in interest rates and equity levels (typically a 1% decrease in interest rates and 10% decline in equity markets).
Page 109
VNB & sales analysis
In this section |
Page |
VNB & sales analysis |
|
E1 Trend analysis of VNB - cumulative |
110 |
E2 Trend analysis of VNB - discrete |
110 |
E3 Trend analysis of PVNBP - cumulative |
111 |
E4 Trend analysis of PVNBP - discrete |
111 |
E5 Trend analysis of PVNBP by product - cumulative |
112 |
E6 Trend analysis of PVNBP by product - discrete |
112 |
E7 Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums |
113 |
E8 Trend analysis of investment sales - cumulative |
113 |
E9 Trend analysis of investment sales - discrete |
113 |
E10 Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - investment sales |
113 |
E11 Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - cumulative |
114 |
E12 Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - discrete |
114 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 110
VNB & sales analysis
E1 - Trend analysis of VNB - cumulative
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth1 on 2Q14 |
|
Gross of tax and non-controlling interests |
1Q14 YTD £m |
2Q14 YTD £m |
3Q14 YTD £m |
4Q14 YTD £m |
1Q15 YTD £m |
2Q15 YTD £m |
Sterling |
Constant currency |
United Kingdom2 |
89 |
177 |
297 |
473 |
103 |
253 |
43% |
43% |
Ireland |
3 |
6 |
6 |
9 |
3 |
7 |
5% |
17% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
92 |
183 |
303 |
482 |
106 |
260 |
42% |
42% |
France |
54 |
110 |
156 |
205 |
56 |
98 |
(11%) |
(1%) |
Poland3 |
21 |
34 |
46 |
64 |
15 |
30 |
(11%) |
(1%) |
Italy - excluding Eurovita |
15 |
26 |
41 |
63 |
19 |
39 |
49% |
66% |
Spain - excluding CxG |
6 |
14 |
19 |
30 |
6 |
13 |
(12%) |
(2%) |
Turkey4 |
6 |
14 |
23 |
30 |
6 |
12 |
(14%) |
(6%) |
Europe |
102 |
198 |
285 |
392 |
102 |
192 |
(4%) |
7% |
Asia5 - excluding South Korea |
29 |
61 |
92 |
122 |
36 |
76 |
24% |
18% |
Aviva Investors6 |
- |
2 |
5 |
9 |
3 |
6 |
- |
- |
Value of new business - excluding Eurovita, CxG & |
223 |
444 |
685 |
1,005 |
247 |
534 |
20% |
25% |
Eurovita, CxG & South Korea |
1 |
- |
1 |
4 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total value of new business |
224 |
444 |
686 |
1,009 |
247 |
534 |
20% |
25% |
1 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
2 United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.
3 Poland includes Lithuania.
4 The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering.
5 Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.
6 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
E2 - Trend analysis of VNB - discrete
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth1 on 2Q14 |
|
Gross of tax and non-controlling interests |
1Q14 |
2Q14 |
3Q14 |
4Q14 |
1Q15 |
2Q15 Discrete |
Sterling |
Constant currency |
United Kingdom2 |
89 |
88 |
120 |
176 |
103 |
150 |
71% |
71% |
Ireland |
3 |
3 |
- |
3 |
3 |
4 |
17% |
30% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
92 |
91 |
120 |
179 |
106 |
154 |
69% |
70% |
France |
54 |
56 |
46 |
49 |
56 |
42 |
(25%) |
(17%) |
Poland3 |
21 |
13 |
12 |
18 |
15 |
15 |
19% |
31% |
Italy - excluding Eurovita |
15 |
11 |
15 |
22 |
19 |
20 |
75% |
93% |
Spain - excluding CxG |
6 |
8 |
5 |
11 |
6 |
7 |
(22%) |
(14%) |
Turkey4 |
6 |
8 |
9 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
(26%) |
(19%) |
Europe |
102 |
96 |
87 |
107 |
102 |
90 |
(7%) |
2% |
Asia5 - excluding South Korea |
29 |
32 |
31 |
30 |
36 |
40 |
27% |
21% |
Aviva Investors6 |
- |
2 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
- |
- |
Value of new business - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea |
223 |
221 |
241 |
320 |
247 |
287 |
30% |
35% |
Eurovita, CxG & South Korea |
1 |
(1) |
1 |
3 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total value of new business |
224 |
220 |
242 |
323 |
247 |
287 |
31% |
35% |
1 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
2 United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.
3 Poland includes Lithuania.
4 The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering.
5 Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.
6 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
Page 111
E3 - Trend analysis of PVNBP - cumulative
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth2 on 2Q14 |
|
Present value of new business premiums1 |
1Q14 YTD £m |
2Q14 YTD £m |
3Q14 YTD £m |
4Q14 YTD £m |
1Q15 YTD £m |
2Q15 YTD £m |
Sterling |
Constant currency |
United Kingdom3 |
2,931 |
6,052 |
9,098 |
12,009 |
2,445 |
7,071 |
17% |
17% |
Ireland |
105 |
196 |
291 |
435 |
132 |
270 |
38% |
54% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
3,036 |
6,248 |
9,389 |
12,444 |
2,577 |
7,341 |
18% |
18% |
France |
1,310 |
2,427 |
3,538 |
4,633 |
1,319 |
2,553 |
5% |
17% |
Poland4 |
234 |
332 |
429 |
573 |
110 |
218 |
(34%) |
(27%) |
Italy - excluding Eurovita |
698 |
1,440 |
2,060 |
2,473 |
603 |
1,116 |
(23%) |
(14%) |
Spain - excluding CxG |
270 |
536 |
743 |
1,054 |
224 |
363 |
(32%) |
(25%) |
Turkey5 |
110 |
231 |
348 |
495 |
134 |
251 |
8% |
18% |
Europe |
2,622 |
4,966 |
7,118 |
9,228 |
2,390 |
4,501 |
(9%) |
1% |
Asia6 - excluding South Korea |
421 |
867 |
1,357 |
1,854 |
623 |
1,449 |
67% |
61% |
Aviva Investors7 |
5 |
257 |
562 |
881 |
366 |
761 |
195% |
195% |
Total - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea |
6,084 |
12,338 |
18,426 |
24,407 |
5,956 |
14,052 |
14% |
19% |
Eurovita, CxG & South Korea |
136 |
292 |
307 |
321 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
6,220 |
12,630 |
18,733 |
24,728 |
5,956 |
14,052 |
11% |
16% |
1 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.
2 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
3 United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.
4 Poland includes Lithuania.
5 The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering.
6 Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.
7 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
E4 - Trend analysis of PVNBP - discrete
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth2 on 2Q14 |
|
Present value of new business premiums1 |
1Q14 |
2Q14 |
3Q14 |
4Q14 |
1Q15 |
2Q15 Discrete |
Sterling |
Constant currency |
United Kingdom3 |
2,931 |
3,121 |
3,046 |
2,911 |
2,445 |
4,626 |
48% |
48% |
Ireland |
105 |
91 |
95 |
144 |
132 |
138 |
53% |
69% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
3,036 |
3,212 |
3,141 |
3,055 |
2,577 |
4,764 |
48% |
49% |
France |
1,310 |
1,117 |
1,111 |
1,095 |
1,319 |
1,234 |
11% |
22% |
Poland4 |
234 |
98 |
97 |
144 |
110 |
108 |
10% |
20% |
Italy - excluding Eurovita |
698 |
742 |
620 |
413 |
603 |
513 |
(31%) |
(24%) |
Spain - excluding CxG |
270 |
266 |
207 |
311 |
224 |
139 |
(48%) |
(42%) |
Turkey5 |
110 |
121 |
117 |
147 |
134 |
117 |
(4%) |
6% |
Europe |
2,622 |
2,344 |
2,152 |
2,110 |
2,390 |
2,111 |
(10%) |
(1%) |
Asia6 - excluding South Korea |
421 |
446 |
490 |
497 |
623 |
826 |
85% |
77% |
Aviva Investors7 |
5 |
252 |
305 |
319 |
366 |
395 |
56% |
56% |
Total - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea |
6,084 |
6,254 |
6,088 |
5,981 |
5,956 |
8,096 |
29% |
34% |
Eurovita, CxG & South Korea |
136 |
156 |
15 |
14 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
6,220 |
6,410 |
6,103 |
5,995 |
5,956 |
8,096 |
26% |
31% |
1 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.
2 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
3 United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.
4 Poland includes Lithuania.
5 The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering.
6 Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.
7 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
Page 112
E5 - Trend analysis of PVNBP by product - cumulative
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth2 on 2Q14 |
|
Present value of new business premiums1 |
1Q14 YTD £m |
2Q14 YTD £m |
3Q14 YTD £m |
4Q14 YTD £m |
1Q15 YTD £m |
2Q15 YTD £m |
Sterling |
Constant currency |
Pensions |
1,328 |
2,794 |
4,081 |
5,803 |
1,319 |
3,897 |
39% |
39% |
Annuities |
500 |
935 |
1,656 |
1,948 |
136 |
777 |
(17%) |
(17%) |
Bonds |
45 |
87 |
135 |
174 |
39 |
80 |
(7%) |
(7%) |
Protection |
297 |
568 |
862 |
1,103 |
268 |
712 |
25% |
25% |
Equity release |
117 |
257 |
462 |
696 |
206 |
458 |
78% |
78% |
Other3 |
644 |
1,411 |
1,902 |
2,285 |
477 |
1,147 |
(19%) |
(19%) |
United Kingdom4 |
2,931 |
6,052 |
9,098 |
12,009 |
2,445 |
7,071 |
17% |
17% |
Ireland |
105 |
196 |
291 |
435 |
132 |
270 |
38% |
54% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
3,036 |
6,248 |
9,389 |
12,444 |
2,577 |
7,341 |
18% |
18% |
Savings |
1,232 |
2,278 |
3,347 |
4,368 |
1,224 |
2,389 |
5% |
17% |
Protection |
78 |
149 |
191 |
265 |
95 |
164 |
10% |
22% |
France |
1,310 |
2,427 |
3,538 |
4,633 |
1,319 |
2,553 |
5% |
17% |
Pensions |
302 |
465 |
631 |
904 |
192 |
356 |
(24%) |
(16%) |
Savings |
890 |
1,819 |
2,583 |
3,182 |
754 |
1,330 |
(27%) |
(18%) |
Annuities |
2 |
2 |
3 |
5 |
- |
1 |
(77%) |
(75%) |
Protection |
118 |
253 |
363 |
504 |
125 |
261 |
3% |
15% |
Poland5 , Italy5 , Spain5 and Turkey6 |
1,312 |
2,539 |
3,580 |
4,595 |
1,071 |
1,948 |
(23%) |
(15%) |
Europe |
2,622 |
4,966 |
7,118 |
9,228 |
2,390 |
4,501 |
(9%) |
1% |
Asia5 |
421 |
867 |
1,357 |
1,854 |
623 |
1,449 |
67% |
61% |
Aviva Investors7 |
5 |
257 |
562 |
881 |
366 |
761 |
195% |
195% |
Total - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea |
6,084 |
12,338 |
18,426 |
24,407 |
5,956 |
14,052 |
14% |
19% |
Eurovita, CxG & South Korea |
136 |
292 |
307 |
321 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
6,220 |
12,630 |
18,733 |
24,728 |
5,956 |
14,052 |
11% |
16% |
1 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.
2 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
3 Other UK business includes UK Retail Fund Management and UK long term health business. UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
4 United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.
5 Poland includes Lithuania, Italy excludes Eurovita, Spain excludes CxG. Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015 and excludes South Korea.
6 The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering.
7 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
E6 - Trend analysis of PVNBP by product - discrete
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth2 on 2Q14 |
|
Present value of new business premiums1 |
1Q14 |
2Q14 |
3Q14 |
4Q14 |
1Q15 |
2Q15 Discrete |
Sterling |
Constant currency |
Pensions |
1,328 |
1,466 |
1,287 |
1,722 |
1,319 |
2,578 |
76% |
76% |
Annuities |
500 |
435 |
721 |
292 |
136 |
641 |
47% |
47% |
Bonds |
45 |
42 |
48 |
39 |
39 |
41 |
(2%) |
(2%) |
Protection |
297 |
271 |
294 |
241 |
268 |
444 |
64% |
64% |
Equity release |
117 |
140 |
205 |
234 |
206 |
252 |
80% |
80% |
Other3 |
644 |
767 |
491 |
383 |
477 |
670 |
(13%) |
(13%) |
United Kingdom4 |
2,931 |
3,121 |
3,046 |
2,911 |
2,445 |
4,626 |
48% |
48% |
Ireland |
105 |
91 |
95 |
144 |
132 |
138 |
53% |
69% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
3,036 |
3,212 |
3,141 |
3,055 |
2,577 |
4,764 |
48% |
49% |
Savings |
1,232 |
1,046 |
1,069 |
1,021 |
1,224 |
1,165 |
11% |
23% |
Protection |
78 |
71 |
42 |
74 |
95 |
69 |
(4%) |
6% |
France |
1,310 |
1,117 |
1,111 |
1,095 |
1,319 |
1,234 |
11% |
22% |
Pensions |
302 |
163 |
166 |
273 |
192 |
164 |
- |
9% |
Savings |
890 |
929 |
764 |
599 |
754 |
576 |
(38%) |
(31%) |
Annuities |
2 |
- |
1 |
2 |
- |
1 |
- |
- |
Protection |
118 |
135 |
110 |
141 |
125 |
136 |
2% |
12% |
Poland5 , Italy5 , Spain5 and Turkey6 |
1,312 |
1,227 |
1,041 |
1,015 |
1,071 |
877 |
(29%) |
(21%) |
Europe |
2,622 |
2,344 |
2,152 |
2,110 |
2,390 |
2,111 |
(10%) |
(1%) |
Asia5 |
421 |
446 |
490 |
497 |
623 |
826 |
85% |
77% |
Aviva Investors7 |
5 |
252 |
305 |
319 |
366 |
395 |
56% |
56% |
Total - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea |
6,084 |
6,254 |
6,088 |
5,981 |
5,956 |
8,096 |
29% |
34% |
Eurovita, CxG & South Korea |
136 |
156 |
15 |
14 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
6,220 |
6,410 |
6,103 |
5,995 |
5,956 |
8,096 |
26% |
31% |
1 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.
2 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
3 Other UK business includes UK Retail Fund Management and UK long term health business. UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
4 United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.
5 Poland includes Lithuania, Italy excludes Eurovita, Spain excludes CxG. Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015 and excludes South Korea.
6 The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering.
7 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
Page 113
E7 - Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regular premiums |
|
Single premiums |
||
|
6 months 2015 |
Constant currency growth1 |
WACF |
Present value |
6 months 2014 |
WACF |
Present |
6 months 2015 |
6 months 2014 |
Constant currency growth1 |
United Kingdom2 |
633 |
27% |
5.5 |
3,462 |
499 |
5.0 |
2,513 |
3,609 |
3,539 |
2% |
Ireland |
12 |
7% |
6.4 |
77 |
13 |
5.2 |
67 |
193 |
129 |
67% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
645 |
27% |
5.5 |
3,539 |
512 |
5.0 |
2,580 |
3,802 |
3,668 |
4% |
France |
45 |
6% |
9.1 |
409 |
47 |
8.1 |
383 |
2,144 |
2,044 |
17% |
Poland3 |
20 |
(26%) |
7.5 |
149 |
29 |
9.5 |
275 |
69 |
57 |
34% |
Italy - excluding Eurovita |
7 |
(73%) |
6.7 |
47 |
27 |
5.3 |
143 |
1,069 |
1,297 |
(8%) |
Spain - excluding CxG |
17 |
(5%) |
6.4 |
108 |
20 |
5.7 |
113 |
255 |
423 |
(33%) |
Turkey4 |
51 |
3% |
4.0 |
203 |
54 |
3.7 |
201 |
48 |
30 |
76% |
Europe |
140 |
(13%) |
6.5 |
916 |
177 |
6.3 |
1,115 |
3,585 |
3,851 |
4% |
Asia5 - excluding South Korea |
155 |
39% |
6.7 |
1,035 |
106 |
6.6 |
699 |
414 |
168 |
138% |
Aviva Investors6 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
761 |
257 |
195% |
Total - excluding Eurovita, CxG & South Korea |
940 |
20% |
5.8 |
5,490 |
795 |
5.5 |
4,394 |
8,562 |
7,944 |
14% |
Eurovita, CxG & South Korea |
- |
- |
- |
- |
32 |
3.9 |
124 |
- |
168 |
- |
Total |
940 |
15% |
5.8 |
5,490 |
827 |
5.5 |
4,518 |
8,562 |
8,112 |
11% |
1 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
2 United Kingdom includes Friends UK from 10 April 2015.
3 Poland includes Lithuania.
4 The shareholding of Aviva's minority interest in our Turkish joint venture reduced from 49.8% to 41.3% on 13 November 2014 through an initial public offering.
5 Asia includes FPI from 10 April 2015.
6 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014.
E8 - Trend analysis of investment sales - cumulative
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth2 on 2Q14 |
|
Investment sales1 |
1Q14 YTD £m |
2Q14 YTD £m |
3Q14 YTD £m |
4Q14 YTD £m |
1Q15 YTD £m |
2Q15 YTD £m |
Sterling |
Constant currency |
United Kingdom & Ireland3 |
486 |
1,043 |
1,405 |
1,742 |
271 |
710 |
(32%) |
(32%) |
Aviva Investors4 |
730 |
1,616 |
2,195 |
3,089 |
1,073 |
2,102 |
30% |
40% |
Asia5 |
36 |
75 |
110 |
146 |
41 |
78 |
5% |
2% |
Total investment sales |
1,252 |
2,734 |
3,710 |
4,977 |
1,385 |
2,890 |
6% |
10% |
1 Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.
2 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
3 Some of UK & Ireland investment sales are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. 2014 Investment sales are included at the same amount in UK Life 2014 PVNBP. 2Q15 YTD investment sales of £710 million are equivalent to £774 million on a PVNBP basis following a change in the capitalisation factor of regular premiums.
4 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014. YTD investment sales of £250 million for 2Q14, £549 million for 3Q14, £864 million for 4Q14, £362 million for 1Q15 and £755 million for 2Q15 are also included in Aviva Investors' PVNBP at the same level following the extension of MCEV covered business.
5 Some of Asia investment sales are also reported in Asia PVNBP following an extension of MCEV covered business in 2015.
E9 - Trend analysis of investment sales - discrete
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth2 on 2Q14 |
|
Investment sales1 |
1Q14 |
2Q14 |
3Q14 |
4Q14 |
1Q15 |
2Q15 Discrete |
Sterling |
Constant currency |
United Kingdom & Ireland3 |
486 |
557 |
362 |
337 |
271 |
439 |
(21%) |
(21%) |
Aviva Investors4 |
730 |
886 |
579 |
894 |
1,073 |
1,029 |
16% |
23% |
Asia5 |
36 |
39 |
35 |
36 |
41 |
37 |
(6%) |
(9%) |
Total investment sales |
1,252 |
1,482 |
976 |
1,267 |
1,385 |
1,505 |
2% |
5% |
1 Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.
2 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
3 Some of UK & Ireland investment sales are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. 2014 Investment sales are included at the same amount in UK Life 2014 PVNBP. 1Q15 investment sales of £271 million and Q215 investment sales of £439 million are equivalent to £295 million and £479 million respectively on a PVNBP basis following a change in the capitalisation factor of regular premiums.
4 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014. Discrete investment sales of £250 million for 2Q14, £299 million for 3Q14, £315 million for 4Q14, £362 million for 1Q15 and £393 million for 2Q15 are also included in Aviva Investors' PVNBP at the same level following the extension of MCEV covered business.
5 Some of Asia investment sales are also reported in Asia PVNBP following an extension of MCEV covered business in 2015.
E10 - Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - investment sales
|
|
|
Regular |
|
|
Single |
PVNBP |
Investment sales1 |
6 months 2015 |
6 months 2014 |
Constant currency growth2 |
6 months 2015 |
6 months 2014 |
Constant currency growth2 |
Constant currency growth2 |
United Kingdom & Ireland3 |
13 |
12 |
5% |
697 |
1,031 |
(32%) |
(32%) |
Aviva Investors4 |
3 |
3 |
4% |
2,099 |
1,613 |
40% |
40% |
Asia5 |
- |
- |
- |
78 |
75 |
2% |
2% |
Total investment sales |
16 |
15 |
5% |
2,874 |
2,719 |
10% |
10% |
1 Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.
2 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
3 Some of UK & Ireland investment sales are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. 2014 Investment sales are included at the same amount in UK Life 2014 PVNBP. 2Q15 YTD investment sales of £710 million are equivalent to £774 million on a PVNBP basis following a change in the capitalisation factor of regular premiums.
4 The UK Retail Fund Management business was transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014. YTD investment sales of £250 million for 2Q14, £549 million for 3Q14, £864 million for 4Q14, £362 million for 1Q15 and £755 million for 2Q15 are also included in Aviva Investors' PVNBP at the same level following the extension of MCEV covered business.
5 Some of Asia investment sales are also reported in Asia PVNBP following an extension of MCEV covered business in 2015.
Page 114
E11 - Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - cumulative
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth1 on 2Q14 |
|
|
1Q14 YTD £m |
2Q14 YTD £m |
3Q14 YTD £m |
4Q14 YTD £m |
1Q15 YTD £m |
2Q15 YTD £m |
Sterling |
Constant currency |
General insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom |
845 |
1,836 |
2,742 |
3,663 |
855 |
1,851 |
1% |
1% |
Ireland |
65 |
136 |
205 |
272 |
63 |
134 |
(1%) |
10% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
910 |
1,972 |
2,947 |
3,935 |
918 |
1,985 |
1% |
1% |
Europe |
440 |
747 |
999 |
1,313 |
399 |
674 |
(10%) |
1% |
Canada |
426 |
1,026 |
1,584 |
2,104 |
409 |
1,013 |
(1%) |
1% |
Asia |
3 |
7 |
10 |
13 |
3 |
6 |
(8%) |
(10%) |
Other |
4 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
- |
- |
(97%) |
(97%) |
|
1,783 |
3,757 |
5,545 |
7,372 |
1,729 |
3,678 |
(2%) |
1% |
Health insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom2 |
144 |
302 |
394 |
518 |
158 |
315 |
4% |
4% |
Ireland |
33 |
47 |
65 |
93 |
28 |
42 |
(10%) |
- |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
177 |
349 |
459 |
611 |
186 |
357 |
2% |
4% |
Europe |
94 |
138 |
182 |
243 |
89 |
128 |
(8%) |
3% |
Asia3 |
29 |
45 |
61 |
74 |
33 |
55 |
21% |
19% |
|
300 |
532 |
702 |
928 |
308 |
540 |
1% |
5% |
Total |
2,083 |
4,289 |
6,247 |
8,300 |
2,037 |
4,218 |
(2%) |
2% |
1 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
2 These premiums are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. 1Q14 NWP of £144 million, 2Q14 YTD NWP of £302 million, 3Q14 YTD NWP of £394 million, 4Q14 YTD NWP of £518 million, 1Q15 NWP of £158 million and 2Q15 YTD NWP of £315 million are equivalent to £158 million, £368 million, £497 million, £542 million, £182 million and £373 million on a PVNBP basis respectively.
3 Singapore long term health business is also reported in Asia PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. For Singapore long term health business, 1Q14 NWP of £5 million, 2Q14 YTD NWP of £9 million, 3Q14 YTD NWP of £15 million, 4Q14 YTD NWP of £22 million, 1Q15 NWP of £10 million and 2Q15 YTD NWP of £23 million are equivalent to £37 million, £87 million, £130 million, £183 million, £48 million and £120 million on a PVNBP basis respectively.
E12 - Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - discrete
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth1 on 2Q14 |
|
|
1Q14 |
2Q14 |
3Q14 |
4Q14 |
1Q15 |
2Q15 |
Sterling |
Constant currency |
General insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom |
845 |
991 |
906 |
921 |
855 |
996 |
- |
- |
Ireland |
65 |
71 |
69 |
67 |
63 |
71 |
- |
11% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
910 |
1,062 |
975 |
988 |
918 |
1,067 |
- |
1% |
Europe |
440 |
307 |
252 |
314 |
399 |
275 |
(10%) |
(1%) |
Canada |
426 |
600 |
558 |
520 |
409 |
604 |
1% |
3% |
Asia |
3 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
- |
(3%) |
Other |
4 |
1 |
- |
2 |
- |
- |
(86%) |
(86%) |
|
1,783 |
1,974 |
1,788 |
1,827 |
1,729 |
1,949 |
(1%) |
1% |
Health insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom2 |
144 |
158 |
92 |
124 |
158 |
157 |
(1%) |
(1%) |
Ireland |
33 |
14 |
18 |
28 |
28 |
14 |
6% |
16% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
177 |
172 |
110 |
152 |
186 |
171 |
(1%) |
- |
Europe |
94 |
44 |
44 |
61 |
89 |
39 |
(13%) |
(5%) |
Asia3 |
29 |
16 |
16 |
13 |
33 |
22 |
34% |
30% |
|
300 |
232 |
170 |
226 |
308 |
232 |
(1%) |
1% |
Total |
2,083 |
2,206 |
1,958 |
2,053 |
2,037 |
2,181 |
(1%) |
1% |
1 Currency movements are calculated using unrounded numbers so minor rounding differences may exist.
2 These premiums are also reported in UK Life PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. 1Q14 NWP of £144 million, 2Q14 NWP of £158 million, 3Q14 NWP of £92 million, 4Q14 NWP of £124 million, 1Q15 NWP of £158 million and 2Q15 NWP of £157 million are equivalent to £158 million, £210 million, £129 million, £45 million, £182 million and £191 million on a PVNBP basis respectively.
3 Singapore long term health business is also reported in Asia PVNBP following the extension of MCEV covered business in 2014. For Singapore long term health business, 1Q14 NWP of £5 million, 2Q14 NWP of £4 million, 3Q14 NWP of £6 million, 4Q14 NWP of £7 million, 1Q15 NWP of £10 million and 2Q15 NWP of £13 million are equivalent to £37 million, £50 million, £43 million, £53 million, £48 million and £72 million on a PVNBP basis respectively.
End of part 4 of 5