HY11 Part 2 of 5

RNS Number : 7144L
Aviva PLC
04 August 2011
 



Part 2 of 5

Page 1

 

Overview

 

Key financial highlights


Page



Key financial highlights


02

Group performance - IFRS basis



Pro forma reconciliation of Group operating profit to profit after tax - IFRS basis


07

1 Long-term business IFRS operating profit


09

2 Long-term business IFRS profit driver analysis


10

3 General insurance and health


11

4 Fund management


15

5 Other operations and regional costs


16

6 Corporate centre


16

7 Group debt costs and other interest


16

8 Investment return variances and economic assumption changes on long-term business


17

9 Short-term fluctuation in return on investments on general insurance and health business


18

10 Economic assumption changes on general insurance and health business


19

11 Loss on the disposal of subsidiaries and associates


19

12 Integration and restructuring costs


19

13 Exceptional items


19

14 Net flows


19

New business



15 Life and pension sales


20

16 Investment sales


22

Capital management



17 Capital generation and utilisation


23

18 Internal rate of return and payback period


23

19 Net asset value


24

20 Financial flexibility


24

21 European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD)


25

22 Sensitivity analysis


25

23 Risk management


26

24 Return on capital employed


27

25 EEV equivalent embedded value


28

Analysis of assets



26 Total assets


29

27 Shareholders' assets


31

Financial supplement



A IFRS


33

B New business


71

C Capital management


77

D Analysis of assets


93

E MCEV


107


 

Page 2

 

Key financial highlights

 

Delivery of strong operating profit

IFRS operating profit

 

Please refer to attached PDF to view graph detail


n IFRS operating profit increased to £1,337 million (HY10: £1,270 million), an increase of 5% driven in particular by strong growth in Europe.

n This number is impacted by the partial disposal of Delta Lloyd on 6 May 2011 which means that the Group operating profit includes 100% of Delta Lloyd's operating profit up to the date of transaction and only a 43% share thereafter.

n IFRS operating profit excluding Delta Lloyd increased to £1,111 million (HY10: £1,046 million), an increase of 6%.

n The IFRS loss after tax was £59 million (HY10: £1,505 million profit) driven primarily by adverse investment variances in Delta Lloyd of £0.8 billion relating to differing movements in asset and liability yield curves used by Delta Lloyd. This is a reversal of the positive investment variances of £0.8 billion seen in FY10. Moving forward, deconsolidation significantly reduces exposure to the volatility of earnings in this business.

IFRS long-term business

 

Please refer to attached PDF to view graph detail


n Long-term business operating profit, excluding Delta Lloyd, increased 7% to £1,082 million (HY10: £1,009 million) driven primarily by Europe where there have been increased operating returns in participating business together with reduced new business strain. In the UK, results are in line with HY10, which benefitted from a special distribution of £84 million.

n On an underlying basis, excluding the impact of the special distribution in the UK in H1 2010, the long term business operating profit (excluding Delta Lloyd) increased by 17%.

n IFRS new business income improved marginally to £471 million (HY10: £467 million) with increased margins offsetting the impact of lower volumes.

n Investment returns excluding the special distribution increased 5% to £1,319 million (HY10: £1,254 million).

General insurance and health

 

Please refer to attached PDF to view graph detail

 


n General insurance and health operating profit decreased to £456 million (HY10: £525 million).

n Excluding Delta Lloyd, general insurance and health operating profit increased to £455 million (HY10: £444 million). Strong underwriting performance has been offset by lower LTIR income.

n The underwriting result increased to £119 million (HY10: £61 million), due to improving current year profitability in the UK and benign weather in Europe. In addition, HY10 included adverse weather particularly in Europe. 

n The combined operating ratio improved to 96% (HY10: 97%).

n Net written premiums increased to £4,708 million (HY10: £4,337 million), with the growth primarily in the UK.

 

Fund management

 

Please refer to attached PDF to view graph detail


n Operating profit decreased to £53 million (HY10: £56 million). Excluding Delta Lloyd, operating profit increased to £42 million (HY10: £39 million).

n Total funds under management are £352 billion (FY10: £402 billion). Excluding Delta Lloyd total funds under management have increased from £340 billion at the end of 2010 to £352 billion.

 

 

 

 

 

IFRS Total Return

 

Please refer to attached PDF to view graph detail


n Total return was £116 million (HY10: £1,072 million). Excluding discontinued operations (Delta Lloyd), total return was £434 million (HY10: £642 million). Included in this amount are adverse investment variances of £51 million (HY10: £129 million favourable).

n Delta Lloyd total return for the period was a loss of £318 million. This includes a loss of around £360 million (net of tax and non-controlling interest) that relates to a reversal of the positive investment variances seen in 2010.

n The key drivers of the movement compared with the prior year are the reversal of the positive investment variance seen in Delta Lloyd in FY10 and adverse investment variances in Aviva Europe, particularly in Italy and Ireland.

n The effective tax rate for the period was 13% (HY10: 27%).

 

 

 

 

Page 3

 

 

Return on equity

 

Please refer to attached PDF to view graph detail

 

 


n IFRS ROE is 12.8% (FY10: 14.8%).  The main driver of the change is the 24% growth in the capital base over 2010 driven by profits in the period and the reduction in the staff pension scheme deficit.

 

MCEV operating profit

 

Please refer to attached PDF to view graph detail


n MCEV operating profit decreased by 18% to £1,665 million (HY10:
£2,031 million).

n Within this, Life MCEV operating earnings, excluding Delta Lloyd, were £1,350 million (HY10: £1,761 million), a decrease of 23%.

n The value of new business (VNB) excluding Delta Lloyd reduced to £369 million from £483 million (HY10), around half of this is driven by reduced volumes with the balance arising from reduced margins in the US (which have been affected by adverse movements in risk free rates).

n In addition, HY10 benefitted from positive reserve releases arising from modelling changes in France and positive experience variances which have not been repeated in HY11.

n MCEV profit after tax increased to £843 million (HY10: £830 million).

 

Group performance



IFRS net asset value per share

 

Please refer to attached PDF to view graph detail

 

 


n IFRS net asset value (NAV) is 425 pence (FY10: 454 pence). This is an increase compared with the NAV on a pro-forma basis as at 31 December 2010 of 423 pence following the partial disposal of Delta Lloyd.

n Profits for the period and positive foreign exchange movements have been partially offset by payment of the final dividend and adverse investment market movements.

MCEV and EEV equivalent net asset value per share

 

Please refer to attached PDF to view graph detail


n The MCEV NAV has increased to 554 pence (FY10: 542 pence). This change is driven by profits for the period and positive foreign exchange movements offset by the partial disposal of Delta Lloyd and payment of the final dividend.

n The EEV equivalent NAV was 615 pence at 30 June 2011 (FY10: 621 pence). The main driver of this reduction is the partial disposal and consequent change in the classification of the Delta Lloyd life business to non-covered business.

 

 

IGD Solvency

 

Please refer to attached PDF to view graph detail

 


n IGD solvency surplus at 30 June 2011 is £4.0 billion (FY10: £3.8 billion).

n A 20% fall in equities would reduce IGD surplus by £0.4 billion.

n At 30 June 2011 IGD cover is 1.6 times (FY10: 1.6 times).

 

 

 

Page 4

 

Capital discipline



Net operational capital generated

 

Please refer to attached PDF to view graph detail


n Net Operational Capital Generated (OCG) is £0.8 billion (HY10: £0.9 billion). Capital generated from existing business was £1.3 billion (HY10: £1.4 billion) offset by capital investment in new business of £0.5 billion. 

n Within the £0.5 billion of capital investment in new business (HY10: £0.5 billion), the life component has reduced by £0.2 billion compared with HY10 driven by improved efficiency of new business and some reduction in new business volumes. The capital investment in non-life business in the period is broadly neutral compared with the release of £0.2 billion in HY10.

n HY10 OCG benefitted from the special distribution from the UK with-profits funds, an AXXX reinsurance transaction in the US and a positive release of capital resource requirements in the UK general insurance business.

 

Internal Rate of Return

 

Please refer to attached PDF to view graph detail


n Overall group IRR excluding Delta Lloyd increased to 14.3% from 13.3% for FY10. Compared with 2010 there have been increases in UK, Europe and Asia Pacific with US IRR maintained in line with 2010.

n Payback periods have improved overall from 7 years in 2010 to 6 years for HY11.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Growing VIF



New business and MCEV margin

 

Please refer to attached PDF to view graph detail

 


n Worldwide long term savings sales (including investment products), excluding Delta Lloyd, were £16.1 billion (HY10: £18.1 billion), a reduction of 11%, with increases in the UK and Asia Pacific offset by reductions in Europe and North America. On a local currency basis, sales decreased by 10%.

n The reduction in long-term savings sales seen in H1 2011, is primarily driven by Italy and the US where we have taken management actions to improve profitability and capital consumption.

n Within this, total life and pensions sales were £14.3 billion (HY10: £16.3 billion), a decrease of 12%.

n New business margin excluding Delta Lloyd is 2.6% (HY10: 3.0%) with improvements in the UK, Europe and Asia Pacific offsetting a decrease in the US.

n MCEV VIF has increased to £6.6 billion (FY10: £6.1 billion).

n The expected future cash flows from our in-force life book increased to £33.4 billion (FY10: £31.5 billion) excluding Delta Lloyd.

 

 

 

Page 5

 

 

 

 

Other         



Underlying costs


n Total expenses, excluding Delta Lloyd, have increased by 1% from £1,952 million to £1,978 million in HY11. On a like-for-like basis (excluding the impact of foreign exchange, restructuring and acquisitions and disposals) costs increased by 1% with the impact of inflation broadly offset by cost savings.

Interim dividend of 10.0 pence


n Interim dividend of 10.0 pence is an increase of 5%.

Impact of foreign exchange

 

 


n Total foreign currency movements during 2011 resulted in a gain recognised in profit before tax of £61 million (HY10: £22 million loss).

Funds under management


n Total funds under management excluding Delta Lloyd grew to £352 billion (FY10: £340 billion).

n Funds managed by Aviva Investors increased 4% to £269 billion (FY10: £260 billion).

Liquidity


n Strong liquidity position with direct access to £1.8 billion of liquid assets (FY10: £1.5 billion).

n £2.1 billion of undrawn committed credit facilities provided by a range of leading international banks.

n The further sale of Delta Lloyd shares in May 2011, together with a new hybrid debt issuance resulted in centre liquidity being enhanced by £0.8 billion.

Group's rating from Standards and

Poors is AA- ("very strong")


n The group's rating from Standard and Poors is AA- ("very strong") with a Stable outlook; Aa3 ("excellent") with a Stable outlook from Moody's; and A ("excellent") with a Stable outlook from A M Best.

n The Group's financial strength ratings continue to reflect our strong competitive position, diversified underlying earnings profile, positive strategic management and substantial liquid assets.

Asset quality


n The asset portfolio remains of high quality.

n Our exposure to European sovereign debt remains within our risk appetite.  As these assets are fully marked to market both the balance sheet and income statement fully reflect the market positions at 30 June 2011.

n Excluding Delta Lloyd and net of non-controlling interests, our exposure within shareholder funds to the governments (and local authorities and agencies) of Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain has reduced from £0.7 billion to £0.5 billion.

n Our equivalent exposure to the government (and local authorities and agencies) of Italy is £0.9 billion within shareholders funds.

Risk profile


n The types of risk to which the Group is exposed have not changed significantly over the half-year to 30 June 2011.

n However, the reduction of the shareholding in Delta Lloyd has decreased the Group's IFRS balance sheet risks and, in particular, has led to a substantial fall in equity and mortgage risk exposures. 

Pension schemes


n At the end of the first half of 2011, there is a small overall net surplus in the pension schemes, following the actions taken to achieve a significant reduction in the scheme deficits during 2010.

 

Page 6

 

Key financial highlights


6 months 2011
£m


6 months 2010
£m


Total Change
%

IFRS

Continuing Operations


Discontinued Operations


Total


Continuing Operations


Discontinued Operations


Total



Long-term business

1,082


185


1,267


1,009


119


1,128


12%

General insurance and health

455


1


456


444


81


525


(13%)

Fund management

42


11


53


39


17


56


(5%)

Other operations and regional costs

(81)


(2)


(83)


(65)


18


(47)


(77%)

Corporate centre

(66)


-


(66)


(54)


-


(54)


(22%)

Group debt and other interest costs

(321)


(4)


(325)


(327)


(11)


(338)


4%

Operating profit before tax (excluding Delta Lloyd
   as an associate)

1,111


191


1,302


1,046


224


1,270


3%

Share of operating profit (before tax) of Delta Lloyd, as an associate

35


-


35


-


-


-


-

Operating profit before tax

1,146


191


1,337


1,046


224


1,270


5%

(Loss) / profit after tax

465


(524)


(59)


734


771


1,505

















IFRS total return

434


(318)


116


642


430


1,072



Net operational capital generated





0.8bn






0.9bn

















IRR

14.3%






12.9%





















Combined operating ratio

96%






97%







Earnings per share

15.4p


(11.3)p


4.1p


23.1p


15.7p


38.8p



Operating profit per share

25.8p


3.3p


29.1p


24.2p


3.2p


27.4p

















Interim dividend per share





10.0p






9.5p

















Net asset value per share





425p






394p

















Equity shareholders' funds





12,171






11,051

















Return on equity shareholders' funds





12.8%






14.6%



 


6 months 2011
£m


Restated

6 months 2010
£m


Total Change
%

MCEV

Continuing Operations


Discontinued Operations


Total


Continuing Operations


Discontinued Operations


Total



MCEV earnings

1,350


270


1,620


1,761


157


1,918


(16%)

General insurance and health

455


1


456


444


81


525


(13%)

Fund management

9


9


18


-


13


13


38%

Other operations and regional costs

(80)


7


(73)


(61)


28


(33)


(121%)

Corporate centre

(66)


-


(66)


(54)


-


(54)


(22%)

Group debt and other interest costs

(321)


(4)


(325)


(327)


(11)


(338)


4%

Operating profit before tax (excluding Delta Lloyd
   as an associate)

1,347


283


1,630


1,763


268


2,031


(20%)

Share of operating profit (before tax) of Delta Lloyd, as an associate

35


-


35


-


-


-


-

Operating profit before tax

1,382


283


1,665


1,763


268


2,031


(18%)

Profit / (loss) after tax

758


85


843


1,093


(263)


830

















MCEV new business margin

2.6%






3.0%





















Long-term savings sales

16,147


1,255


17,402


18,111


2,127


20,238



Earnings per share

26.3p


4.0p


30.3p


33.3p


(6.2)p


27.1p



Net asset value per share





554p






462p

















EEV equivalent NAV





615p






546p

















Equity shareholders' funds





15,861






12,940

















Return on equity shareholders' funds





11.5%






17.5%




Page 7

 

Group performance - IFRS basis

 

 

Pro forma reconciliation of Group operating profit to profit after tax - IFRS basis

For the six month period ended 30 June 2011

 


6 months 2011
£m


6 months 2010
£m


Full year 2010
 £m


Continuing Operations

Discontinued
Operations


Total


Continuing Operations

Discontinued Operations

 

Total


Continuing Operations

Discontinued Operations


Total

Operating profit before tax attributable to
   shareholders' profits












Long-term business












   United Kingdom

462

-

462


463

-

463


850

-

850

   Europe

473

185

658


425

119

544


893

330

1,223

   North America

109

-

109


86

-

86


174

-

174

   Asia Pacific

38

-

38


35

-

35


71

-

71

Total long-term business (note 1)

1,082

185

1,267


1,009

119

1,128


1,988

330

2,318

General insurance and health












   United Kingdom

261

-

261


268

-

268


579

-

579

   Europe

80

1

81


46

81

127


109

146

255

   North America

118

-

118


132

-

132


222

-

222

   Asia Pacific

(4)

-

(4)


(2)

-

(2)


(6)

-

(6)

Total general insurance and health (note 3)

455

1

456


444

81

525


904

146

1,050

Fund management












   Aviva Investors

39

-

39


42

-

42


97

-

97

   United Kingdom

3

-

3


(2)

-

(2)


3

-

3

   Europe

-

11

11


-

17

17


-

103

103

   Asia Pacific

-

-

-


(1)

-

(1)


(2)

-

(2)

Total fund management (note 4)

42

11

53


39

17

56


98

103

201

Other:












   Other operations and regional costs (note 5)

(81)

(2)

(83)


(65)

18

(47)


(177)

(43)

(220)

Regional operating profit

1,498

195

1,693


1,427

235

1,662


2,813

536

3,349

Corporate centre (note 6)

(66)

-

(66)


(54)

-

(54)


(143)

-

(143)

Group debt costs and other interest (note 7)

(321)

(4)

(325)


(327)

(11)

(338)


(644)

(12)

(656)

Operating profit before tax attributable
   to shareholders' profits (excluding
   Delta Lloyd as an associate)

1,111

191

1,302


1,046

224

1,270


2,026

524

2,550

Share of operating profit (before tax) of
   Delta Lloyd as an associate

35

-

35


-

-

-


-

-

-

Operating profit before tax attributable
   to shareholders' profits

1,146

191

1,337


1,046

224

1,270


2,026

524

2,550

Adjusted for the following:












Investment return variances and economic
   assumption changes on long-term business
   (note 8)

(187)

(820)

(1,007)


111

951

1,062


 

(219)

1,010

791

Short-term fluctuation in return on investments
   on non-long-term business (note 9)

(80)

(60)

(140)


26

(20)

6


 

(199)

(44)

(243)

Economic assumption changes on general
   insurance and health business (note 10)

(8)

-

(8)


 

(64)

-

(64)


 

(61)

-

(61)

Impairment of goodwill and other amounts
   expensed

(20)

-

(20)


(2)

-

(2)


(23)

(1)

(24)

Amortisation and impairment of intangibles

(56)

(5)

(61)


(51)

(9)

(60)


(193)

(23)

(216)

(Loss) / profit on the disposal of subsidiaries and
   associates (note 11)

(11)

(32)

(43)


28

-

28


163

(4)

159

Integration and restructuring costs (note 12)

(111)

-

(111)


(72)

-

(72)


(225)

(18)

(243)

Exceptional items (note 13)

-

-

-


(10)

(107)

(117)


276

(549)

(273)

Non-operating items before tax (excluding
   Delta Lloyd as an associate)

(473)

(917)

(1,390)


(34)

815

781


(481)

371

(110)

Share of Delta Lloyd's non-operating items
   (before tax) as an associate

(8)

-

(8)


-

-

-


-

-

-

Non-operating items before tax

(481)

(917)

(1,398)


(34)

815

781


(481)

371

(110)

Share of Delta Lloyd's tax expense, as an associate

(7)

-

(7)


-

-

-


-

-

-

(Loss) / Profit before tax attributable to
   shareholders' profits

658

(726)

(68)


1,012

1,039

2,051


1,545

895

2,440

Tax on operating profit

(292)

(25)

(317)


(267)

(43)

(310)


(529)

(96)

(625)

Tax on other activities

99

227

326


(11)

(225)

(236)


206

(129)

77


(193)

202

9


(278)

(268)

(546)


(323)

(225)

(548)

(Loss) / Profit for the period

465

(524)

(59)


734

771

1,505


1,222

670

1,892

 

 

Page 8

 

Earnings per share - IFRS basis

 


6 months 2011
£m


6 months 2010
£m


Full year 2010
 £m


Continuing Operations

Discontinued Operations

Total


Continuing Operations

Discontinued Operations

Total


Continuing Operations

Discontinued Operations

Total

Operating profit per share on an IFRS
   basis after tax, attributable to ordinary
   shareholders of Aviva plc












Basic (pence per share)

25.8p

3.3p

29.1p


24.2p

3.2p

27.4p


47.2p

7.9p

55.1p

Diluted (pence per share)

25.4p

3.2p

28.6p


23.9p

3.1p

27.0p


46.5p

7.7p

54.2p

Earnings after tax on an IFRS basis,
   attributable to ordinary shareholders
   of Aviva plc












Basic (pence per share)

15.4p

(11.3)p

4.1p


23.1p

15.7p

38.8p


37.6p

12.8p

50.4p

Diluted (pence per share)

15.1p

(11.1)p

4.0p


22.9p

15.3p

38.2p


37.0p

12.6p

49.6p

 

 

Page 9

 

 

1 - Long-term business IFRS operating profit

 


6 months
 2011
£m

6 months
 2010
£m

Full year
 2010
 £m

With-profit

21

110

147

Non-profit

441

353

703

United Kingdom

462

463

850

France

166

132

319

Ireland

32

86

122

Italy

72

49

119

Poland

90

78

157

Spain

109

79

179

Other Europe

4

1

(3)

Aviva Europe

473

425

893

North America

109

86

174

Asia Pacific

38

35

71

Total - continuing operations

1,082

1,009

1,988

Total - discontinued operations

185

119

330

Total

1,267

1,128

2,318

IFRS long-term business operating profit before shareholder tax for continuing operations was £1,082 million (HY10: £1,009 million), an increase of 7% on the prior period. Strong underlying growth was partly offset by lower positive one-off items than in the prior period. Total long-term business operating profit including the contribution from Delta Lloyd was £1,267 million (HY10: £1,128 million), an increase of 12% on the prior period.

United Kingdom

IFRS operating profit was stable at £462 million (HY10: £463 million) with strong growth in the non-profit result offset by a lower with-profit result following last year's final special bonus distribution (HY10: £84 million).

      The non-profit result increased by 25% to £441 million (HY10: £353 million) driven by continued strong performance in annuities, increased annual management charges and inclusion of the full results of RBS Life, following its purchase by Aviva at the end of 2010. Following the reattribution of the inherited estate in 2009, in HY11 earnings on the reattributed assets, unwind of guarantee costs and the demographic impact of policyholder actions contributed £91 million to operating profits (HY10: £82 million). Of this, around £70 million relating to investment return and unwind of guarantee costs is expected to recur. Also included in the result is a one-off benefit of £30 million relating to the release of tax provisions associated with the reattribution of the inherited estate.

      The with-profit result, which includes the shareholders' share of regular and terminal bonus payments, was £21 million (HY10: £110 million) with the variance from 2010 mainly driven by the absence of the final special distribution (HY10: £84 million).

Aviva Europe

Aviva Europe's life operating profit increased by 11% to £473 million (HY10: £425 million). This growth has mainly been driven by an increase in returns from existing business in France and Spain and lower new business strain, as management actions have led to lower with-profit sales in Italy and France.  On an underlying basis 2011 further improved as the prior period result included a favourable one-off item of £55 million relating to the release of reserves for protection business following adoption of realistic reserving in Ireland.

North America

In the US, the focus on profitable growth combined with underwriting and pricing discipline resulted in a 27% increase in operating profit to £109 million (HY10: £86 million), with the positive impact of business growth and lower DAC amortisation (and positive experience) partly offset by lower mortality profits.

Asia Pacific

Life operating profit increased to £38 million (HY10: £35 million), driven by the increased scale and profitability of our existing business.

Discontinued operations - Delta Lloyd

Operating profit for Delta Lloyd included in the Group long-term business total represents 100% of the result as a subsidiary up to 6 May 2011. For this period, the life operating profit included for Delta Lloyd group increased to £185 million compared with £119 million for the full first half year in 2010, principally driven by expense savings throughout the Delta Lloyd group.

 

 

Page 10

 

 

2 - Long-term business IFRS profit driver analysis

 





6 months 2011


Note

United Kingdom
£m

Aviva
 Europe
£m

Rest of the world1
 £m

Total
 £m

New business income

a

236

180

55

471

Underwriting margin

b

79

211

91

381

   Unit-linked margin

c

198

275

13

486

   Participating business

d

21

234

11

266

   Spread margin

e

78

28

242

348

   Expected return

f

111

80

28

219

Investment return


408

617

294

1,319

Income


723

1,008

440

2,171







Acquisition expenses

g

(178)

(262)

(52)

(492)

Administration expenses

h

(157)

(260)

(102)

(519)

Expenses


(335)

(522)

(154)

(1,011)

DAC/AVIF amortisation and other

i

74

(13)

(139)

(78)

IFRS operating profit - continuing operations


462

473

147

1,082

IFRS operating profit - discontinued operations


-

-

185

185

IFRS operating profit


462

473

332

1,267

1.'Rest of the world' (continuing operations) includes North America and Asia Pacific.

 





6 months 2010

Full year
2010


Note

United Kingdom
£m

Aviva
 Europe2
£m

Rest of the world1

 £m

 

 

 

Total

£m

Total
 £m

New business income

a

230

179

58

467

1,033

Underwriting margin

b

88

196

86

370

752

   Unit-linked margin

c

177

271

13

461

920

   Participating business

d

109

191

13

313

569

   Spread margin

e

82

26

254

362

688

   Expected return

f

98

66

38

202

429

Investment return


466

554

318

1,338

2,606

Income


784

929

462

2,175

4,391








Acquisition expenses

g

(183)

(275)

(52)

(510)

(990)

Administration expenses

h

(178)

(240)

(103)

(521)

(1,067)

Expenses


(361)

(515)

(155)

(1,031)

(2,057)

DAC/AVIF amortisation and other

i

40

11

(186)

(135)

(346)

IFRS operating profit - continuing operations


463

425

121

1,009

1,988

IFRS operating profit - discontinued operations


-

-

119

119

330

IFRS operating profit


463

425

240

1,128

2,318

1.'Rest of the world' (continuing operations) includes North America and Asia Pacific.

2. Aviva Europe comparative for 6 months 2010 includes reclassification of £39 million from unit-linked margin to underwriting margin.

Detailed analysis of the above is given within the IFRS supplement, Note A19, page 66.

(a) New business income

New business income was stable at £471 million (HY10: £467 million) as improvement in the new business income margin (as a percentage of APE sales) to 26% (HY10: 24%) was offset by a reduction in sales volumes. The UK continued to benefit from strong individual annuity performance although a higher pensions mix has impacted margins.  In Aviva Europe, new business income margin increased to 24% (HY10: 20%) as a result of management action to drive more profitable sales. In the Rest of the World, new business income growth in Asia Pacific was driven by margin and volume increases in Singapore, offset by lower sales in the US.

(b) Underwriting margin

The underwriting margin increased to £381 million (HY10: £370 million). In the UK, lower persistency gains as a result of policyholder behaviour were partly offset by increased margins following full consolidation of the RBS Life business. The underwriting result increased in Aviva Europe, with higher contributions from continental markets partly offset by a reduced margin in Ireland following reserving changes made in 2010. In the Rest of the World, the margin increased due to growth in the in-force book and favourable experience variances in Asia Pacific.

 

 

Page 11

 

 

2 - Long-term business IFRS profit driver analysis continued

(c) Unit-linked margin

The unit-linked margin, which mainly relates to unit-linked business in the UK and the major markets in Aviva Europe, grew from £461 million to £486 million as market growth in the second half of 2010 resulted in higher average unit-linked reserves of £91 billion (HY10: £81 billion). The margin as a proportion of average reserves reduced during the period to 106 bps (HY10: 114 bps), due to lower charges in Poland following legislative changes and a timing effect of market movements on average reserves.

(d) Participating business

Income from participating business reduced to £266 million (HY10: £313 million). This reflects a lower shareholder transfer in the UK following the final tranche of the special distribution of £84 million in the first half of 2010. This was partly offset by increased income in Aviva Europe of £234 million (HY10: £191 million), mainly due to higher income recognised in France, where there is a fixed management charge of around 50bps on AFER business, supported by contributions from Italy and Spain. The contribution from Rest of the World relates primarily to closed block business in the United States.

(e) Spread margin

Spread income reduced to £348 million (HY10: £362 million) with a spread margin on average reserves of 101 bps (HY10: 117 bps). Spread margins relate mainly to US equity indexed deferred annuity and life business, and UK annuity business. The reduction in margin reflects non-recurrence of the gains on US embedded derivative liabilities seen in the prior period and a weaker US dollar in the current period.

(f) Expected return on shareholder assets

Expected returns increased to £219 million (HY10: £202 million), reflecting investment income on surplus funds. The UK contribution included £69 million related to the reattribution of the inherited estate (HY10: £60 million). Of this, earnings on the reattributed estate were £41 million and £28 million arose from unwind of guarantees.

(g) Acquisition expenses

Acquisition expenses reduced to £492 million (HY10: £510 million) mainly due to lower new business sales in Aviva Europe.

(h) Administration expenses

Administration expenses reduced to £519 million (HY10: £521 million) with the beneficial effect of cost reduction and reduced commission in the UK partly offset by higher renewal commission costs related to in-force business growth in Europe.

(i) DAC, AVIF and other

DAC, AVIF and other items amounted to a charge of £78 million (HY10: £135 million charge). DAC and AVIF amortisation charges were lower in the US, as a result of the reduced spread margin noted above. This was partly offset by the smaller positive effect of one-off items in the UK and Europe. Other one-off items included the release of provisions in the UK of £30 million in the current period, and a release of £55 million in the prior period following a review of reserving assumptions in Ireland.

3 - General insurance and health

 


Underwriting result


Longer-term investment return


Operating profit2


6 months
2011
£m

6 months
2010
£m

Full year
 2010
 £m


6 months
2011
£m

6 months
2010
£m

Full year
 2010
 £m


6 months
2011
£m

6 months
2010
£m

Full year
 2010
 £m

General insurance - continuing operations












United Kingdom1,2

63

56

184


209

223

419


256

269

567

France

21

(18)

1


28

23

49


49

5

50

Ireland2

4

(12)

(17)


20

29

50


24

16

32

Other3

(19)

(6)

(49)


16

17

31


(3)

11

(18)

Aviva Europe

6

(36)

(65)


64

69

130


70

32

64

North America2

46

43

60


78

89

173


118

132

222

Asia Pacific

(2)

(3)

(7)


2

1

3


-

(2)

(4)


113

60

172


353

382

725


444

431

849

Health insurance - continuing operations












United Kingdom

1

(4)

5


4

3

7


5

(1)

12

France

1

(2)

11


-

8

15


1

6

26

Ireland

8

7

17


1

1

2


9

8

19

Aviva Europe

9

5

28


1

9

17


10

14

45

Asia Pacific

(4)

-

(2)


-

-

-


(4)

-

(2)


6

1

31


5

12

24


11

13

55

Total - continuing operations

119

61

203


358

394

749


455

444

904

Total - discontinued operations4

(28)

31

60


34

50

97


1

81

146

Total

91

92

263


392

444

846


456

525

1,050

1. United Kingdom includes Aviva Re and agencies in run-off.

2. Continuing operating profit includes an unfavourable impact of £22 million resulting from a combination of unwind of discount and pension scheme net finance costs (HY10: £11 million, FY10: £48 million). £16 million unfavourable impact relates to UKGI (HY10: £10 million, FY10: £36 million), £6 million unfavourable impact relates to Canada (HY10: £nil, FY10: £11 million), £Nil million relating to Ireland (HY10: £1 million, FY10: £1 million).

3. Other Europe includes Italy, Poland and Turkey.

4. HY11 discontinued operating profit includes an unfavourable impact of £5 million relating to unwind of discount (HY10: £nil, FY10: £11 million).

 

Page 12

 

 

3 - General insurance and health continued

 


Net written premiums


6 months
2011
£m

6 months 2010
£m

Full year
 2010
 £m

General insurance - continuing operations




United Kingdom1

2,265

2,018

4,109

France

456

429

734

Ireland

200

212

397

Other2

282

260

526

Aviva Europe

938

901

1,657

North America

1,025

996

1,958

Asia Pacific

12

8

19


4,240

3,923

7,743

Health insurance - continuing operations




United Kingdom

245

223

430

France

128

135

234

Ireland

57

32

62

Aviva Europe

185

167

296

Asia Pacific

38

24

53


468

414

779

Total - continuing operations

4,708

4,337

8,522

Total - discontinued operations3

557

707

1,177

Total

5,265

5,044

9,699

1. United Kingdom includes Aviva Re and agencies in run-off.

2. Other Europe includes Italy, Poland and Turkey.

3. Current period to 6 May 2011 only.

 

Combined operating ratios - general insurance business only

 


Claims ratio


Expense ratio


Combined operating ratio


6 months

2011
%

6 months

2010
%

Full year
 2010
%


6 months 2011
%

6 months

2010
%

Full year
 2010
%


6 months 2011
%

6 months
2010
%

Full year
 2010
%

United Kingdom1

62.5%

64.8%

63.9%


10.5%

11.5%

11.0%


96%

98%

96%

France

65.0%

76.3%

71.2%


8.7%

8.6%

10.5%


92%

102%

99%

Ireland

68.5%

76.6%

74.9%


19.0%

18.7%

19.5%


98%

105%

105%

Aviva Europe

68.7%

73.6%

73.0%


11.3%

11.6%

13.1%


97%

102%

103%

North America

64.9%

63.5%

64.3%


12.0%

13.8%

13.6%


96%

96%

97%

Total - continuing operations

64.4%

65.8%

65.0%


11.0%

12.0%

12.2%


96%

97%

97%

1. United Kingdom excluding Aviva Re and agencies in run-off.

Detailed analysis is given within the IFRS supplement, note A20, page 67.

      Ratios are measured in local currency. The total Group ratios are based on average exchange rates applying to the respective periods.

Definitions:

Claims ratio                               Incurred claims expressed as a percentage of net earned premiums.

Expense ratio                             Written expenses excluding commissions expressed as a percentage of net written premiums.

Combined operating ratio          Aggregate of claims ratio, expense ratio and commission ratio.

 

Page 13

 

 

3 - General insurance and health continued

Group operating profit from continuing general insurance and health operations for the period was £455 million (HY10: £444 million). The general insurance and health underwriting result from continuing operations increased to £119 million (HY10: £61 million), due to improving current year profitability in the UK and benign weather in Europe.

      We continue to apply our reserving policy consistently and to focus on understanding the true cost of claims to ensure that reserves are maintained at a robust level. Prior year reserve movements will vary year to year but our business is predominantly short tail in nature and the loss development experience is generally stable.  Current year underwriting results have improved significantly following actions including improving risk selection, expense management and reshaping the book.  Over 2011, we have had prior year releases of £2 million excluding Delta Lloyd.

      The worldwide general insurance combined operating ratio (COR) for continuing operations improved to 96% (HY10: 97%) ahead of the Group's target for the year. The worldwide GI expense ratio for continuing operations has decreased to 11.0% (HY10: 12.0%) reflecting cost savings from our efficiency programmes and actions taken across the Group to manage the cost base.

      The longer term investment return (LTIR) on general insurance and health business assets for continuing operations was lower at £358 million (HY10: £394 million) reflecting a small reduction in the average asset levels and lower investment yields compared with the prior period.

United Kingdom

The result for our general insurance and health business in the UK includes the UK General Insurance business, the UK Health Insurance business, our Group captive reinsurer, Aviva Re, and agencies in run off. Operating profit of £261 million (HY10: £268 million) comprises UK General Insurance operating profit of £242 million (HY10: £229 million), a contribution of £6 million (HY10: £39 million) from Aviva Re, £8 million from agencies in run off (HY10: £1 million) and £5 million from our UK health business (HY10: £1 million loss). All subsequent commentary relates solely to UK General Insurance.

      The first half of the year has built on the momentum generated in 2010 to deliver an increase in both sales and profitability. Business volumes continue to increase and we have now recorded six consecutive quarters of growth, with net written premiums for the first six months of the year of £2,222 million, an increase of 14% over the same period last year (HY10 £1,942 million). Personal motor has been the highlight where we have attracted 210,000 new customers since the end of 2010, with net written premiums up 24% at £705 million (HY10: £569 million). This reflects continued strong growth in direct sales and the highly successful roll out of 'direct pricing' to brokers. To build upon this momentum, we are launching a new low cost, web only product that will be available on price comparison websites. Our new Corporate and Specialty Risks team have made excellent progress in securing high quality business within our risk appetite for this area. In addition, we are delivering significant benefit from working with UK Life in strengthening our joint Bancassurance offering, a notable example being the extension of our agreement with HSBC through to 2016, having secured Preferred Strategic Partner status with them.

      Overall, operating profit for the first six months of the year has increased to £242 million, up 6% on last year (HY10: £229 million). This strong performance reflects a further improvement of £57 million in current period operating profitability to £254 million for the period (HY10: £197 million), driven by our focus on ensuring the business we are writing is sustainably profitable in order to deliver maximum value for shareholders. The principal factors behind this continue to be underwriting and claims management excellence, together with a marked improvement in efficiency as we grow the business whilst keeping the cost base broadly flat. The result also includes a slight reduction in investment return to £203 million (HY10: £212 million) and a small strengthening in prior year claims reserves of £12 million (HY10: £32 million release).

      The increase in profitability is also reflected in a combined operating ratio for the period of 96%, a 2pp improvement compared to the first of half of 2010 (HY10: 98%) and ahead of the UK and Group target of 97% for 2011. The overall combined operating ratio has benefited from a 1pp improvement in the expense ratio to 10.5% for the first half of 2011 (HY10: 11.5%), reflecting the marked improvement in efficiency we have seen.

      We continue to see a similar rating environment to 2010 with rate increases over the past year of 21% in personal motor and 6% in homeowner. In commercial motor we are seeing definite evidence of a hardening market and have increased rates by 10%. Conditions in commercial property and liability remain more subdued however and ratings increases are in low single digits.

 

 

Page 14

 

3 - General insurance and health continued

Aviva Europe

Net written premiums have increased by 5% to £1,123 million (HY10: £1,068 million) driven by successful rating actions in personal motor in France (up 4%), Italy (up 12%) and Poland (up 6%) and the continued success of our health business in Ireland.

      General insurance and health operating profit has increased by 74% to £80 million (HY10: £46 million).  Benign weather in the first half of 2011 compared to the significant weather events in the first half of 2010 combined with our continued investment in underwriting and pricing expertise, has meant we have delivered a higher underwriting result of £15 million profit (HY10: £31 million loss). This was offset by lower long term investment returns primarily as a result of lower investment yields.

      General insurance combined operating ratio of 97% is 5pp better than that reported at HY10 due to benign weather this year.

North America

Net written premiums in Canada increased 3% to £1,025 million (HY10: £996 million), due to pricing actions in motor insurance and property insurance businesses, offset by a slight decline in our liability insurance business as we continued our strategy of disciplined pricing, sophisticated underwriting and focused risk selection across our product portfolio.

      Operating profit decreased 11% to £118 million (HY10: £132 million) as LTIR declined to £78 million (HY10: £89 million), primarily as a result of lower new money yields in our investment portfolio.

      The underwriting results were strong at £46 million (HY10: £43 million) as underlying performance improvements, particularly in our motor insurance business, offset the adverse effect of seasonal catastrophe related weather experience in our property insurance business. Within this result, the adverse impact of the Slave Lake fires in Alberta was £10 million. Our combined operating ratio was unchanged at 96% (HY10: 96%).

Asia Pacific

The net written premiums in the general insurance and health business rose to £50 million (HY10: £32 million) due to new business initiatives in Singapore and the contribution of the Indonesia health business, which was acquired on 1 July 2010.

      The operating loss was £4 million (HY10: £2 million loss), driven by integration and development costs in relation to the Indonesia health business.

Discontinued operations - Delta Lloyd

As a result of the partial disposal of Aviva's stake in Delta Lloyd, from 6 May 2011 the Group has ceased to consolidate the results and net assets of the Delta Lloyd group. The results of Delta Lloyd up to the transaction date have therefore been classified as discontinued operations. Net written premiums for the period to 6 May 2011 were £557 million (6 months to 30 June 2010: £707 million) and operating profit decreased to £1 million (6 months to 30 June 2010: £81 million).

 

 

Page 15

 

 

4 - Fund management

Geographical analysis of fund management operating profits

 


6 months 2011
£m

6 months 2010
£m

Full year
 2010
 £m

United Kingdom

11

11

44

Europe

19

20

36

North America

13

13

22

Asia Pacific

(4)

(2)

(5)

Aviva Investors1

39

42

97

United Kingdom

3

(2)

3

Asia Pacific

-

(1)

(2)

Total - continuing operations

42

39

98

Total - discontinued operations

11

17

103

Total

53

56

201

1. Aviva Investors total Regional operating profit of £41 million (HY10: £42 million, FY10: £100 million) also includes profit from  the Aviva Investors pooled pensions business of £2 million (HY10: £nil, FY10: £3 million), which is included in the life segment.

Our worldwide fund management operating profit for continuing operations increased to £42 million (HY10: £39 million) on an IFRS basis.

Aviva Investors

Operating profit was lower at £39 million in 2011 (HY10: £42 million). The slight reduction in profit results from our focused investment in our third party distribution capabilities and the implementation of a globally scalable investment management platform.

      During the first half of 2011 we delivered strong investment performance against benchmark and peer groups and this enabled us to make good progress towards our key objective of delivering growth in external assets under management and revenues with net sales ahead of HY 2010. Net funded external sales (excluding liquidity funds) in the first half were £2.5 billion against £0.8 billion for HY10, an increase of 212%.

Other fund management businesses

United Kingdom operating profit of £3 million relates solely to the Aviva UK investment business (HY10: £2 million loss). The increase in operating profit is a result of increased funds under management resulting in higher income. The collective investment business with Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBSG) was sold in December 2010 (HY10: £4 million loss).

      Operating profit in Asia Pacific includes our Navigator business in Singapore. The prior year result included an operating loss of
£1 million in Hong Kong Navigator, which was closed to business in 2010. On an underlying basis, operating profit is in line with the prior period, showing a breakeven position for the first six months of the year.

Funds under management

Funds under management at 30 June 2011 were £352 billion (31 December 2010: £340 billion, excluding Delta Lloyd). The total funds under management reported at 31 December 2010 of £402 billion included £62 billion relating to Delta Lloyd, which has now been deconsolidated (see note A3 on page 40).

 


30 June 2011


31 December 2010


Aviva
Investors
£m

Other
Aviva and external managers
£m

Total
£m


Aviva
Investors
£m

Other
Aviva and external managers
£m

Total
£m

Internal funds under management

216,928

62,833

279,761


209,094

117,666

326,760

Third party funds under management

52,451

19,400

71,851


50,693

24,798

75,491

Funds under management

269,379

82,233

351,612


259,787

142,464

402,251

Delta Lloyd

-

-

-


-

(62,362)

(62,362)

Funds under management (excluding Delta Lloyd)

269,379

82,233

351,612


259,787

80,102

339,889

Funds managed by Aviva Investors were up 4% to £269 billion (31 December 2010: £260 billion), with assets managed for external clients increasing 3% to £52 billion (31 December 2010: £51 billion). The growth in funds under management was due to positive net flows, capital appreciation and foreign exchange gains resulting from strengthening of the euro against sterling.

      Detailed analysis is given within the IFRS supplement, note A21, page 68.

 

 

Page 16

 

5 - Other operations and regional costs

 

6 months 2011


6 months 2010


Full year 2010


Regional costs
£m

Other operations
£m

Total
£m


Regional costs
£m

Other operations
£m

Total
£m


Regional costs
£m

Other operations
£m

Total
£m

United Kingdom

-

(28)

(28)


-

(1)

(1)


-

(21)

(21)

Aviva Europe

(20)

(8)

(28)


(18)

(19)

(37)


(55)

(49)

(104)

North America

(6)

(2)

(8)


(12)

3

(9)


(26)

6

(20)

Asia Pacific

(17)

-

(17)


(19)

1

(18)


(32)

-

(32)

Total - continuing operations

(43)

(38)

(81)


(49)

(16)

(65)


(113)

(64)

(177)

Total - discontinued operations

-

(2)

(2)


-

18

18


-

(43)

(43)

Total

(43)

(40)

(83)


(49)

2

(47)


(113)

(107)

(220)

Continuing other operations and regional costs have increased to £81 million (HY10: £65 million). Of the £28 million in the UK, £4 million relates to the UK region and the balance to Group Centre. The HY10 comparative also included a favourable non-recurring item of £12 million. Costs within Aviva Europe, North America and Asia Pacific have decreased.

      Note A22 on page 68 in the IFRS supplement gives further information on the operational cost base.

6 - Corporate centre

 


6 months 2011
£m

6 months 2010
£m

Full year
 2010
 £m

Project spend

(11)

(8)

(37)

Share awards and other incentive schemes

(7)

(7)

(14)

Central spend

(48)

(39)

(92)

Total

(66)

(54)

(143)

Corporate Centre costs increased to £66 million (HY10: £54 million) due mainly to increased central spend to meet greater financial and regulatory reporting requirements.

7 - Group debt costs and other interest

 


6 months 2011
£m

6 months 2010
£m

Full year
 2010
 £m

External debt




   Subordinated debt

(147)

(146)

(290)

   Other

(13)

(11)

(21)

Total external debt

(160)

(157)

(311)

Internal lending arrangements

(134)

(121)

(246)

Net finance charge on main UK pension scheme

(27)

(49)

(87)

Total - continuing operations

(321)

(327)

(644)

Total - discontinued operations

(4)

(11)

(12)

Total

(325)

(338)

(656)

Group debt costs and other interest for continuing operations of £321 million (HY10: £327 million) comprise external interest on borrowings, subordinated debt and internal lending arrangements. External interest costs remained consistent at £160 million (HY10: £157 million) and interest costs on internal lending arrangements increased to £134 million (HY10: £121 million) due to changes in internal debt balances through the period.

      The UK pension scheme net charge represents the difference between the expected return on pension scheme assets and the interest charged on pension scheme liabilities. The net pension charge reduced to £27 million (HY10: £49 million) due mostly to the closure of the scheme to future accruals with effect from 1 April 2011 and the consequent reduction in scheme liabilities.

 

 

Page 17

 

8 - Investment return variances and economic assumption changes on long-term business

(a) Definitions

Operating profit for long-term business is based on expected investment returns on financial investments backing shareholder and policyholder funds over the period, with consistent allowance for the corresponding expected movements in liabilities. Operating profit includes the effect of variance in experience for non-economic items, such as mortality, persistency and expenses, and the effect of changes in non-economic assumptions, where not treated as exceptional. In 2010, the strengthening of annuitant longevity assumptions in the Netherlands was treated as an exceptional item outside operating profit. Changes due to economic items, such as market value movement and interest rate changes, which give rise to variances between actual and expected investment returns, and the impact of changes in economic assumptions on liabilities, are disclosed separately outside operating profit.

(b) Economic volatility

The investment variances and economic assumption changes excluded from the long-term business operating profit are as follows:

 


Long-term business


6 months 2011
£m

6 months 2010
£m

Full year
 2010
 £m

Investment variances and economic assumptions - continuing operations

(187)

111

(219)

Investment variances and economic assumptions - discontinued operations

(820)

951

1,010

Investment variances and economic assumptions

(1,007)

1,062

791

 

In the first six months of 2010, investment variances of £1,062 million included £951 million relating to Delta Lloyd.  Of this, around £600 million was due to differing movements in asset and liability yield curves with the remainder primarily related to gains on interest rate derivatives.  Over the second half of 2010, the impact of movements in yield curves increased to around £800 million.  Liabilities in Delta Lloyd are discounted using a yield curve based on a fully collateralised AAA bond portfolio. The discount rate increased in 2010 as an increase of around 80bps in credit spreads on collateralised bonds was only partly offset by lower risk-free yields. As a result, whilst lower interest rates increased the market value of assets, this was not offset by a corresponding movement in liabilities. The AAA collateralised bond spread movement in 2010 reflected the perceived risk regarding the curve's components which include bonds issued by Spanish savings banks and a range of other European organisations.

      Over the period from the start of 2011 to the partial disposal of Delta Lloyd on 6 May 2011, the AAA collateralised bond spread narrowed by about 80bps as a result of changes in the underlying bond index. This movement was the main driver of the negative variance of £820 million for discontinued operations in 2011, largely reversing the positive variance reported in the prior year.

      For continuing operations, the negative investment variance relates largely to Aviva Europe, primarily arising from the impact of increased credit spreads on assets in Italy and Ireland. Any future increases in credit spreads on corporate and government bonds primarily in Italy and Ireland would cause further negative investment variances.

      The additional allowances for credit defaults on UK corporate bonds and commercial mortgages that were established in 2008 remain at consistent levels.

(c) Assumptions

The expected rate of investment return is determined using consistent assumptions between operations, having regard to local economic and market forecasts of investment return and asset classification under IFRS.

      The principal assumptions underlying the calculation of the expected investment return for equities and properties are:

 



Equities



Properties


6 months
2011
%

6 months
2010
%

Full year
 2010
 %


6 months
2011
%

6 months
2010
%

Full year
 2010
%

United Kingdom

7.2%

7.8%

7.8%


5.7%

6.3%

6.3%

Eurozone

6.9%

7.2%

7.2%


5.4%

5.7%

5.7%

The expected return on equities and properties has been calculated by reference to the 10 year swap rate in the relevant currency plus an appropriate risk margin. These are the same assumptions as are used under MCEV principles to calculate the longer-term investment return for the Group's long-term business.

      For fixed interest securities classified as fair value through profit or loss, the expected investment returns are based on average prospective yields for the actual assets held. Where such securities are classified as available for sale, such as in the United States, the expected investment return comprises the expected interest or dividend payments and amortisation of the premium or discount at purchase.

 

 

Page 18

 

 

9 - Short-term fluctuation in return on investments on general insurance and health business

 


General insurance and health

Continuing Operations

6 months 2011

£m

6 months
2010
£m

Full year
2010
£m

Net investment income

369

334

497

Foreign exchange on unrealised gains/losses and other charges

(91)

86

53


278

420

550

Analysed between:




Longer term investment return, reported within operating profit

358

394

749

Short-term fluctuations in investment return, reported outside operating profit

(80)

26

(199)


278

420

550





Total short-term fluctuations as per pro forma Group operating profit - continuing operations

(80)

26

(199)

Total short-term fluctuations as per pro forma Group operating profit - discontinued operations

(60)

(20)

(44)

Total short-term fluctuations as per pro forma Group operating profit

(140)

6

(243)

The longer-term investment return is calculated separately for each principal non-long-term business unit. In respect of equities and properties, the return is calculated by multiplying the opening market value of the investments, adjusted for sales and purchases during the year, by the longer-term rate of investment return. The longer-term rate of investment return is determined using consistent assumptions between operations, having regard to local economic and market forecasts of investment return. The allocated longer-term return for other investments is the actual income receivable for the year. Actual income and longer-term investment return both contain the amortisation of the discounts/premium arising on the acquisition of fixed income securities.

      General insurance and health includes the impact of the unrealised and realised gains on Group centre investments, including the centre hedging programme which is designed to economically protect the total Group's capital against adverse equity and FX movements.

      The total assets supporting the general insurance and health business, which contribute towards the longer-term return, are:

 


30 June
2011

£m

30 June
2010

£m

31 December
2010

£m

Debt securities

10,059

11,474

11,404

Equity securities

419

807

918

Properties

129

188

146

Cash and cash equivalents

2,605

2,425

1,787

Other

4,342

3,813

4,021

Assets supporting general insurance and health business

17,554

18,707

18,276

Assets supporting other non-long term business1

-

2,197

1,689

Total assets supporting non long-term business

17,554

20,904

19,965

1 Represents Delta Lloyd Group's banking and mortgage activities which are no longer consolidated following the partial disposal of Delta Lloyd on 6 May 2011.

These assets have reduced due to the deconsolidation of Delta Lloyd following the partial disposal on 6th May 2011.

      The principal assumptions underlying the calculation of the longer-term investment return are:

 


Longer-term rates of return equities


Longer-term rates of return property


6 months 2011

%

6 months 2010
%

Full year
 2010
%


6 months 2011

%

6 months 2010
%

Full year
 2010
%

United Kingdom

7.2%

7.8%

7.8%


5.7%

6.3%

6.3%

France

6.9%

7.2%

7.2%


5.4%

5.7%

5.7%

Ireland

6.9%

7.2%

7.2%


5.4%

5.7%

5.7%

Canada

7.0%

7.5%

7.5%


5.5%

6.0%

6.0%

Netherlands - Discontinued

6.9%

7.2%

7.2%


5.4%

5.7%

5.7%

The underlying reference rates are at E15 within the MCEV financial supplement.

 

Page 19

 

10 - Economic assumption changes on general insurance and health business

Economic assumption changes of £8 million adverse (HY10: £64 million adverse) mainly arise as a result of the reduction in the swap rate used to discount latent claims reserves.

11 - Loss on the disposal of subsidiaries and associates

The total Group loss on disposal of subsidiaries and associates was £43 million (HY10: £28 million profit). This includes a loss of £32 million arising from the sale of 25 million ordinary shares in Delta Lloyd N.V, on 6 May 2011, which reduced our holding to approximately 43% and resulted in the deconsolidation of Delta Lloyd. Cash consideration of £380 million was received for the sale of shares, and £8 million of costs are attributable to the disposal transaction. Note A3 on page 40 in the notes to the condensed financial statements gives further information on the calculation of the loss.

12 - Integration and restructuring costs

Integration and restructuring costs were £111 million (HY10: £72 million). This includes costs associated with preparing the businesses for Solvency II implementation of £41 million, a £30 million charge in the UK relating to the reattribution of the inherited estate and expenditure relating to the Quantum Leap project in Europe of £23 million. Expenditure relating to other restructuring exercises across the group amounted to £17 million, including £11 million in Aviva Investors.

13 - Exceptional items

There were no exceptional items during the first half of 2011 (HY10: £117 million). The HY10 exceptional items mainly arose in Delta Lloyd, which recognised a total of £107 million costs in relation to restructuring their German business (£35 million), unit-linked insurance compensation scheme (£35 million) and compensation costs in defined contribution pension schemes (£37 million).

14 - Net flows

 


Funds under management at 1 Jan
2011

£m

Premiums and deposits, net of reinsurance
£m

Claims and redemptions, net of reinsurance
£m

Net flows
£m

Market and other movements
£m

Funds under management at 30 June 2011
£m

Life business







UK - non-profit

72,964

3,609

(2,918)

691

1,283

74,938

UK - with-profits

48,432

391

(2,549)

(2,158)

1,134

47,408

United Kingdom

121,396

4,000

(5,467)

(1,467)

2,417

122,346

Aviva Europe

105,859

5,911

(5,527)

384

4,976

111,219

North America

31,198

1,595

(1,367)

228

(58)

31,368

Asia Pacific

2,866

254

(165)

89

(29)

2,926

Life business - continuing operations

261,319

11,760

(12,526)

(766)

7,306

267,859








Other funds under management included within consolidated IFRS assets

19,625





21,384

Third party funds under management not included within consolidated
   IFRS assets

58,945





62,369

Funds under management (excluding Delta Lloyd)

339,889





351,612

Delta Lloyd

62,362





-

Total funds under management

402,251





351,612

Funds under management at 30 June 2011 for continuing operations were £352 billion (31 December 2010: £340 billion, excluding Delta Lloyd).  The total funds under management reported at 31 December 2010 of £402 billion included £62 billion relating to Delta Lloyd, which has now been deconsolidated (see note A3 on page 40).

Life business

United Kingdom

During the first half of 2011, positive net inflows of £0.7 billion on non-profit business are mainly the result of continued significant sales of individual and bulk purchase annuities. Net outflows on our with-profits book amounted to £2.2 billion during the period.

Aviva Europe

Life business net inflows of £0.4 billion are mainly driven by inflows in France (reflecting strong net flows from protection and unit linked bonds and savings products), partly offset by our reduced appetite for capital intensive with-profits sales in Italy reflecting challenging market and economic conditions. Other movements mainly relate to favourable foreign exchange movements of £5.7 billion driven by the strengthening of the euro against the sterling, partly offset by fair value movements and other net cash flows.

North America

Net inflows in our US business are mainly due to continued growth of our protection and annuity portfolios. Other movements reflect unfavourable foreign exchange impacts, partly offset by favourable fair value movements.

 

 

Page 20

 

New business

 

 

15 - Life and pension sales

 


Present value of new business premiums


Value of new business


New business margin

Life and pensions
(gross of tax and minority interest)

6 months 2011
£m

6 months
 2010
£m

Full year
 2010
 £m


6 months 2011
£m

6 months
 2010
£m

Full year
 2010
 £m


6 months 2011
%

6 months
 2010
%

Full year
 2010
%

United Kingdom

5,468

5,194

10,298


190

176

354


3.5%

3.4%

3.4%

France

2,345

2,827

4,918


97

102

175


4.1%

3.6%

3.6%

Ireland

553

476

938


2

1

1


0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

Italy

1,778

3,052

4,456


50

84

142


2.8%

2.8%

3.2%

Poland

305

319

603


20

20

40


6.6%

6.3%

6.6%

Spain

1,015

1,060

2,084


49

66

128


4.8%

6.2%

6.1%

Other Europe

293

258

538


13

12

18


4.4%

4.7%

3.3%

Aviva Europe

6,289

7,992

13,537


231

285

504


3.7%

3.6%

3.7%

North America

1,658

2,334

4,728


(86)

4

(194)


(5.2)%

0.2%

(4.1)%

Asia Pacific

902

794

1,617


34

18

52


3.8%

2.3%

3.2%

Total life and pensions - continuing operations

14,317

16,314

30,180


369

483

716


2.6%

3.0%

2.4%

Total life and pensions - discontinued
   operations1

1,085

1,732

3,178


1

(58)

(92)


0.1%

(3.3)%

(2.9)%

Total life and pensions

15,402

18,046

33,358


370

425

624


2.4%

2.4%

1.9%

1. Current period discontinued operations represent the results of Delta Lloyd up to 6 May 2011 only.

See New Business Supplement on page 71 for further analysis of sales volumes. Regional new business internal rates of return are included in the Capital Management section, page 23.

United Kingdom

A successful first half of the year with sales of Life and Pensions up 5% at £5,468 million (HY10: £5,194 million), whilst delivering improved IRR of 16% (FY10: 15%) and margin of 3.5% (HY10: 3.4%), and maintained payback at 7 years.

      Total pensions sales were up 33% to £2,742 million (HY10: £2,061 million) which included a further strong performance in Group Personal Pensions, a significant highlight in the first half of the year. Sales were up 82% to £1,420 million (HY10: £779 million), reflecting the strength of our GPP proposition in the more active pre Retail Distribution Review (RDR) marketplace. We are winning a greater proportion of tenders, with a higher value than previously achieved. In the first half of the year we won 290 schemes with over 80,000 members, whilst maintaining an attractive level of IRR and margin.

      Total annuity sales were slightly higher at £1,610 million (HY10: £1,603 million) which included a 9% increase in individual annuities supported by continued strong performance in the open market, with over 60% standard annuity premiums coming from customers shopping around for their annuity. The strength of our brand and proposition are also reflected in the 70% of existing pensions customers who also choose to stay with Aviva for their annuity. Sales of bulk purchase annuities were £305 million (HY10: £409 million), reflecting our strict financial criteria for writing this business and a quieter marketplace, where our first quarter sales of £140 million represented a market leading position. Although the market has seen lower volumes in 2011 than the previous year, we believe significant opportunities remain to write profitable business in this market.

      Total protection sales were marginally down at £490 million (HY10: £507 million) with sales of core protection up 2%. We were delighted to be awarded Protection Organisation of the Year at the recent Protection Review Awards, reflecting the progress we have made in raising awareness of the need for consumers to protect themselves and their families. We launched our new protection platform, including a suite of simple protection products through Santander at the end of June, building on our existing general insurance distribution agreement.

      Sales of bonds were lower in the first half of 2011 at £466 million (HY10: £828 million), reflecting our continued focus on writing profitable business, the impact of the changing distributor landscape pre-RDR, and the relative attractiveness of bonds following tax treatment changes. Sales of equity release were down 18% to £160 million (HY10: £195 million), as this market continues to decline.

      We are well prepared for the Retail Distribution Review. Our multi-product, multi-distribution approach, including being the market-leader in bancassurance, is a unique strength as 85% of our new business value is unaffected by RDR. We have more than 10,000 financial advisers pursuing new industry advice qualifications through our Financial Adviser Academy.

      We will retain our focus on maximising profitability as we grow our life business and are confident that the progress we are making in our key markets will continue throughout 2011.

 

 

 

Page 21

 

15 - Life and pension sales continued

Aviva Europe

Aviva Europe has had a successful six months within the confines of a challenging economic environment, continuing with our increased focus on selling higher margin unit-linked and protection products. Whilst unit-linked sales have decreased by 6% against HY10 they have increased by 37% against the second half of 2010. Protection sales have also increased 6% compared with the first half of 2010 and 36% against the second half of 2010.

      Our strategy has been to rebalance the sales mix and we have taken disciplined management actions in Italy and France which has led to sales of with-profits products decreasing by 36% against HY10. This has led to an overall decrease in sales of 21% to £6,289 million (HY10: £7,992 million) whilst our proactive management of the sales mix has resulted in an increase of 0.1pp in margin to 3.7% and a 2pp increase in IRR to 14%.   

      Sales in France decreased by 17% to £2,345 million (HY10: £2,827 million) following the deliberate management actions to improve the profitability of the with-profits portfolio with sales of these products decreasing by 22%. Unit-linked sales have increased by 5% following the promotional activities carried out by our partner Credit du Nord. These actions have driven a higher IRR of 11% (HY10: 9%) and a higher margin of 4.1% (HY10: 3.6%).

      Sales in Italy decreased by 42% to £1,778 million (HY10: £3,052 million) in line with our reduced appetite for capital intensive with-profit sales. Several initiatives have been directed at increasing protection sales which have increased 12%. The combined effect is an improved IRR of 12% (HY10: 10%).

      Sales in Spain decreased by 4% to £1,015 million (HY10: £1,060 million) which is a resilient performance in the context of the structural reform of the financial sector and the current market conditions and low levels of consumer lending. Protection sales continue to be robust, dropping only 8% compared to a 31% decline in Spanish mortgage lending1

      Sales in Ireland have increased by 16% to £553 million (HY10: £476 million). This has been driven by continued opportunistic sales of single premium investment bonds. Excluding this product sales decreased by 5% as the market continues to be difficult.

      Sales in Poland have decreased by 4% to £305 million (HY10: £319 million). Our sales force are focusing on selling protection and unit-linked products increasing the sales of these products by 157% and 38% respectively. Our success in redirecting our sales force can be seen in the increase in non-pension sales from 44% of the portfolio in Poland to 77%. This has taken us from being a top ten life insurer to being in the top five. This has been offset by the expected continuing reduction in pension sales.  

      We have achieved an increase in sales of 32% in Turkey driven by high pensions sales and 34% in Russia due to high sales of protection through the bancassurance channel.

North America

In the US, life and annuity sales declined 29% to £1,658 million for the first half (HY10: £2,334 million), reflecting our continuing focus on balancing profitability and growth while diversifying our business mix and managing capital efficiency. The business delivered continued strong profitability, with a 14% IRR (FY10: 14%) as we continued our focus on driving shareholder value.

      The sales decline was primarily in annuities, as we maintained a disciplined focus in a highly competitive indexed annuity market, with sales reducing 34% to £1,202 million for the first half (HY10: £1,829 million). Looking at the quarter-on-quarter trend, sales in the second quarter of 2011 grew 21% to £659 million (1Q11: £543 million), as we introduced new products to meet customer needs while maintaining a focus on profitability and capital efficiency. Despite a 10% decline in total life sales to £456 million (HY10: £505 million), we maintained our focus on product diversification and broadened distribution in an extremely competitive market. Life sales now account for 28% of our business (HY10: 22%).

Asia Pacific

The Asia Pacific region has continued to deliver a strong performance with increased sales, margin and IRR, supported by management actions to improve profitability and capital efficiency whilst responding well to challenging regulatory changes. We remain positive about the long term outlook for the region and are focused on delivering profitable products and building our multi-distribution capability.

      The Asia Pacific region delivered 14% growth in life and pensions sales to £902 million (HY10: £794 million). Our new business IRR improved to 13% (FY10: 11%) while new business margin increased significantly to 3.8% (HY10: 2.3%) due to our efforts in diversifying our product mix and managing capital efficiency while maintaining growth.

      Singapore led the region's growth with a 71% increase (63% on a local currency basis) in life and pension sales to £244 million (HY10: £143 million). Discrete 2Q11 sales represented a 101% rise against the previous quarter, driven by robust bancassurance sales and the continued momentum of our 'Aviva Advisors' channel.

      South Korea delivered strong performance with 20% growth (22% on a local currency basis) to £242 million (HY10: £201 million) supported by its fast-growing bancassurance and agency channels.

      In China, regulatory changes have resulted in volumes declining across the industry. Life and pension sales decreased by 12% (11% on a local currency basis) to £207 million (HY10: £235 million). Despite a challenging environment, profitability improved and we increased new business margins. We will continue to expand into more provinces and deepen our bank partnerships, while focusing on sales of long-term retirement products.

      In India, while sales are down 14% (11% on a local currency basis) to £50 million (HY10: £58 million), a diversified product mix, ongoing cost management, the balancing of Unit Linked Insurance Plans (ULIPs) and higher-margin traditional products countered regulatory challenges and resulted in significant improvements to margins and profitability.

 

 

1. According to the Instituto Nacional de Estadistica (INE) based on 31 % decrease in mortgage approvals by value from the 1st 6 months of 2010 to the 6 months May 2011

 

 

 

Page 22

 

 

15 - Life and pension sales continued

Delta Lloyd

As a result of the partial disposal of Aviva's stake in Delta Lloyd, from 6 May 2011 the Group has ceased to consolidate the results and net assets of the Delta Lloyd group. The results of Delta Lloyd up to the transaction date have therefore been classified as discontinued operations.

      On a like for like basis excluding Germany the Delta Lloyd sales are flat on the prior year and there has been a significant improvement in IRR.

16 - Investment sales

 


6 months 2011
£m

6 months
 2010
£m

Full year
 2010
 £m

Investment sales




United Kingdom

782

849

1,548

Europe (Aviva Investors)

770

731

1,350

Asia (Aviva Investors)

161

109

266

Asia

117

108

223

Asia Pacific

278

217

489

Total investment sales - continuing operations

1,830

1,797

3,387

Total investment sales - discontinued operations1

170

395

615

Total investment sales

2,000

2,192

4,002

1. Current period discontinued operations represent the results of Delta Lloyd up to 6 May 2011 only.

Total investment sales (excluding Delta Lloyd) of £1,830 million were 2% higher than the same period last year (HY10: £1,797 million).

      UK Investment sales were down 8% at £782 million (HY10: £849 million) primarily reflecting the high 2010 comparator which included an exceptional uplift in volumes as investors returned to property funds in the first part of 2010. During the first half of 2011 we have seen strong performance in multi-manager funds, and niche products including global convertibles, index opportunities and property.

      Europe investment sales increased by 5% to £770 million (HY10: £731 million) reflecting increased demand for index opportunities funds while emerging market debt, global convertible and tactical asset allocation funds also continued to attract investment. Sales through Polish distribution channels benefited from a local marketing campaign, which coupled with the expansion of our external distribution network in Poland, resulted in the majority of the sales growth for the region.

      Investment sales in Asia Pacific were 28% higher at £278 million (HY10: £217 million) reflecting higher sales in Australia at £159 million, an increase of 46% on prior year (HY10: £109 million) largely due to the launch of a separately managed account product in 2011. There was also an 8% increase on sales in Asia to £117 million (HY10: £108 million) due to higher portfolio transfer sales and the contribution of the Aviva Advisors channel in Singapore.

      As described above, the results of Delta Lloyd up to 6 May 2011 have been classified as discontinued operations.

 


Page 23

 

Capital management

 

17 - Capital generation and utilisation

The active management of the generation and utilisation of capital is a primary Group focus, with the balancing of new business investment and shareholder distribution with operational capital generation a key financial priority.

      The half-year 2011 result of £0.8 billion reinforces our confidence in the capital generation position of the Group. Profits from existing life business remain strong, generating £1.0 billion of capital (HY10: £1.1 billion), with a further £0.3 billion (HY10: £0.3 billion) generated by the general insurance, fund management and non-insurance businesses. Underlying capital generation has improved strongly as the first half of 2010 benefited from the positive impact of the special distribution from the UK with-profit funds, an AXXX reinsurance transaction in the US and a reduction in General Insurance capital requirements as a result of volume changes in prior years. Capital invested in new business remains at £0.5 billion (HY10: £0.5 billion), and continues to benefit from management actions to improve capital efficiency and the utilisation of the RIEESA to finance new business in UK Life. Within the £0.5 billion of capital investment in new business, the life component has reduced by £0.2 billion compared with HY10.  The capital investment in non-life business in the period is broadly neutral compared with the release of £0.2 billion in HY10.

 


6 months 2011
£bn

6 months
 2010
£bn

Full year
 2010
 £bn

Operational capital generation:




Life in-force profits1

1.0

1.1

2.1

General insurance, fund management and non-insurance profits

0.3

0.3

0.6

Operational capital generated before investment in new business

1.3

1.4

2.7

Capital invested in new business

(0.5)

(0.5)

(1.0)

Operational capital generated after investment in new business

0.8

0.9

1.7

1. The life in-force profits in full year 2010 excludes the negative impact of the Delta Lloyd longevity assumption change of £0.2 billion which is included in the MCEV analysis of free surplus generated.

Operational capital generation comprises the following components:

-  Operating Free surplus emergence, including release of required capital, for the life in-force business (net of tax and minorities);

-  IFRS operating profits for the general insurance and non-life businesses (net of tax and minorities);

-  Capital invested in new business. For life business this is the impact of initial and required capital on free surplus. For general insurance business this reflects the movement in required capital, which has been assumed to equal the regulatory minimum multiplied by the local management target level. Where appropriate movements in capital requirements exclude the impact of foreign exchange and other movements deemed to be non-operating in nature. Previously the level was assumed to be two times the minimum and did not exclude non-operating items. This change does not have an impact on the 2010 comparatives above.

Post disposal, all Delta Lloyd capital generation, including life business, has been included within general insurance, fund management and non-insurance profits on an IFRS basis.

 

18 - Internal rate of return and payback period

As set out above, the Group generates a significant amount of capital each year. This capital generation supports both shareholder distribution and reinvestment in new business. The internal rates of return on new business written during the period are set out below. We manage new business against a target IRR hurdle rate of 12% or above and a target payback hurdle rate of 10 years or less.

 


6 months
2011
IRR
%

6 months
2010
IRR
%

Full year
 2010
IRR
%

6 months
2011
Payback period
years

6 months
2010
Payback period
years

Full year
2010
Payback period
years

United Kingdom

16%

15%

15%

7

7

7

France

11%

9%

9%

8

11

9

Ireland

8%

6%

5%

8

10

11

Italy

12%

10%

11%

6

7

6

Poland

20%

25%

25%

5

4

4

Spain

23%

22%

22%

4

4

4

Other Europe

16%

17%

14%

6

5

6

Aviva Europe

14%

12%

13%

6

8

7

North America

14%

14%

14%

5

4

4

Asia Pacific

13%

10%

11%

12

12

13

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

14.3%

12.9%

13.3%

6

7

7

Delta Lloyd

10%

5%

6%

10

19

16

Total

13.9%

12.0%

12.5%

7

8

8

 

Page 24

 

19 - Net asset value

IFRS net asset value per share has reduced during the period to 425p (31 December 2010: 454p), primarily driven by the impact of the partial disposal of Delta Lloyd (see below).  After taking account of the impact of the Delta Lloyd disposal on opening net asset value, IFRS total equity has increased from £14,903 million to £15,205 million.

      MCEV net asset value per share has increased to 554p (31 December 2010: 542p).

Impact of partial disposal of Delta Lloyd on IFRS net asset value

As set out in note A3 - Subsidiaries on page 40, as a result of the partial disposal of Delta Lloyd on 6 May 2011 Aviva's share of Delta Lloyd's voting rights has fallen below 50%, so Delta Lloyd has been deconsolidated. Notwithstanding that Aviva has retained a 43% associate interest in Delta Lloyd's ordinary share capital following the partial disposal, deconsolidation is accounted for as the disposal of the Group's entire 58% interest pre-transaction, resulting in a loss on disposal on the entire 58% interest.

      During the period ended 6 May 2011, Delta Lloyd's total equity decreased by £420 million, from £4,310 million to £3,890 million, mainly due to spreads narrowing by circa 80bps on the yield curve used to value liabilities. 

      Aviva's share of Delta Lloyd's total equity at 6 May 2011 was £2,120 million, with £1,770 million owned by non-controlling interests. Given net proceeds of £1,488 million, the movement in ordinary shareholders' equity following the partial disposal is therefore a reduction of £632 million.

      In the income statement, the reported loss is £32 million, as the movement in ordinary shareholders' equity has mostly been offset by a credit of £600 million which represents other reserves relating to Delta Lloyd that have been recycled to the income statement on disposal.

 




IFRS




MCEV


30 June
2011
£m

30 June
2010
£m

31 December 2010
£m


30 June
2011
£m

Restated

30 June
2010
£m

31 December 2010
£m

Total equity at 1 January

17,725

15,086

15,086


20,462

18,561

18,561

Movement in Delta Lloyd equity to 6 May 2011








   (Loss)/profit after tax recognised in the income statement,

     excluding loss on disposal

(492)

-

-


(74)

-

-

   Other comprehensive income, net of tax

82

-

-


131

-

-

   Other net equity movements

(10)

-

-


(41)

-

-


(420)

-

-


16

-

-

Deconsolidation of Delta Lloyd:








Movement in ordinary shareholders' equity

(632)

-

-


(157)

-

-

Movement in non-controlling interests

(1,770)

-

-


(1,484)

-

-


14,903

15,086

15,086


18,837

18,561

18,561









Operating profit after tax - continuing operations

845

779

1,497


904

1,217

2,429

Operating profit after tax - discontinued operations

-

181

428


-

198

208

Non-operating items after tax - continuing operations

(380)

(45)

(275)


(146)

(124)

(696)

Non-operating items after tax - discontinued operations

-

590

242


-

(461)

(195)

Actuarial gains/(losses) on pension schemes

(8)

(255)

1,060


(8)

(255)

1,060

Foreign exchange rate movements

209

(41)

55


394

(449)

(60)

Other comprehensive income, net of tax - continuing operations

(54)

296

380


(71)

37

37

Other comprehensive income, net of tax - discontinued operations

-

(453)

(64)


-

(335)

(198)

Dividends and appropriations net of scrip

(276)

(273)

(548)


(276)

(273)

(548)

Other net equity movements

(34)

(87)

(136)


(3)

(87)

(136)

Total equity at 30 June / 31 December

15,205

15,778

17,725


19,631

18,029

20,462









Preference share capital and direct capital instruments

(1,190)

(1,190)

(1,190)


(1,190)

(1,190)

(1,190)

Non-controlling interests

(1,844)

(3,537)

(3,741)


(2,580)

(3,899)

(3,977)

Net assets attributable to Ordinary shareholders of Aviva plc at 30 June/31 December (excluding preference shares)

12,171

11,051

12,794


15,861

12,940

15,295

Number of shares

2,863

2,800

2,820


2,863

2,800

2,820

Net asset value per share

425p

394p

454p


554p

462p

542p

20 - Financial flexibility

The Group's borrowings are primarily comprised of long dated hybrid instruments with maturities spread over many years, minimising refinancing risk. In addition to central liquid asset holdings of £1.8 billion, the Group also has access to unutilised committed credit facilities of £2.1 billion provided by a range of leading international banks.

 

 

Page 25

 

 

21 - European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD)

 


UK life
 funds
£bn

Other
business
£bn

30 June
 2011
£bn

31 December
 2010
£bn

Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) capital resources

5.0

10.6

15.6

16.3

Less: capital resource requirement (CRR)

(5.0)

(6.6)

(11.6)

(12.5)

Insurance Group Directive (IGD) excess solvency

-

4.0

4.0

3.8

Cover over EU minimum (calculated excluding UK life funds)


1.6 times

1.6 times

The EU Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) regulatory capital solvency surplus has increased by £0.2 billion since 31 December 2010 to £4.0 billion. The key movements over the period are set out in the following table:

 


£bn

IGD solvency surplus at 31 December 2010

3.8

Operating profits net of other income and expenses

0.5

Movement in Lower Tier II Hybrid

0.4

Dividends net of scrip

(0.3)

Market movements including foreign exchange

(0.3)

Pension scheme funding

(0.2)

Increase in Capital Resource Requirement

(0.1)

Impact of Delta Lloyd sell down

0.1

Increase in market valuation of RAC

0.2

Other

(0.1)

Estimated IGD solvency surplus at 30 June 2011

4.0

Market movements include the impact of equity, credit spread, interest rate and foreign exchange movements net of the effect of hedging instruments.

22 - Sensitivity analysis

The sensitivity of the group's total equity, excluding Delta Lloyd, on an MCEV basis and IFRS basis at 30 June 2011 to a 10% fall in global equity markets, a rise of 1% in global interest rates or a 0.5% increase in credit spreads is as follows:

 





Equities down 10%



31 December

2010
£bn


MCEV basis

30 June
 2011
£bn

Direct
£bn

Indirect
£bn

Interest rates up 1%
£bn

0.5% increased credit spread
£bn

19.0


Long-term savings1

20.0

(0.2)

(0.4)

(0.7)

(1.6)

7.6


General insurance and other

5.4

(0.1)

-

(0.6)

0.4

(6.1)


Borrowings2

(5.8)

-

-

-

-

20.5


Total equity

19.6

(0.3)

(0.4)

(1.3)

(1.2)

 

31 December

2010
£bn


IFRS basis

30 June
 2011
£bn

Equities
down
 10%

£bn

Interest rates up 1%
£bn

0.5% increased credit spread
£bn

15.0


Long-term savings

15.6

(0.2)

(1.0)

(0.3)

8.8


General insurance and other

5.4

(0.1)

(0.6)

0.4

(6.1)


Borrowings2

(5.8)

-

-

-

17.7


Total equity

15.2

(0.3)

(1.6)

0.1

1. Assumes MCEV assumptions adjusted to reflect revised bond yields.

2. Comprising external and subordinated debt.

The HY11 sensitivities contained in the above tables exclude any contribution from Delta Lloyd following deconsolidation of this business. The main financial sensitivities in Delta Lloyd are covered in note C7 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis on page 92.

 

 

 

Page 26

 

22 - Sensitivity analysis continued

These sensitivities assume a full tax charge/credit on market value assumptions. The interest rate sensitivity also assumes an equivalent movement in both inflation and discount rate (i.e. no change to real interest rates) and therefore incorporates the offsetting effects of these items on the pension scheme liabilities. A 1% increase in the real interest rate has the effect of reducing the pension scheme liability by £1.4 billion.

      The 0.5% increased credit spread sensitivities for MCEV and IFRS do not make an allowance for any adjustment to risk-free interest rates. MCEV sensitivities assume that the credit spread movement relates to credit risk and not liquidity risk; in practice, credit spread movements may be partially offset due to changes in liquidity risk. Life IFRS sensitivities provide for any impact of credit spread movements on liability valuations. The MCEV and IFRS sensitivities also include the allocation of staff pension scheme sensitivities, which assume inflation rates and government bond yields remain constant. In practice, the sensitivity of the business to changes in credit spreads is subject to a number of complex interactions. The impact of the credit spread movements will be related to individual portfolio composition and may be driven by changes in credit or liquidity risk; hence, the actual impact may differ substantially from applying spread movements implied by various published credit spread indices to these sensitivities.

Group IGD

The sensitivity of the Group's IGD surplus reflects the impact of the hedges we have put in place as part of our long-term strategy to protect the group from extreme market movements. At 30 June 2011 the sensitivity to a 10% fall in global equity markets or a rise of 1% in global interest rates is as follows:

 


30 June
 2011
£bn

Equities down 10%
£bn

Interest
rates
 up 1%
£bn

IGD Group surplus

4.0

(0.2)

(0.7)

 

We expect that a 20% fall in equity markets at 30 June 2011 would reduce IGD by £0.4 billion. The Group's IGD surplus is not materially exposed to further equity market shocks as hedging strategies in place protect against further extreme market shocks.

23 - Risk management

As a global insurance group, risk management is at the heart of what we do and is the source of value creation as well as a vital form of control. It is an integral part of maintaining financial stability for our customers, shareholders and other stakeholders and is closely linked to capital management.

      The Group's risk strategy is to invest its available capital to optimise the balance between return and risk whilst maintaining an appropriate level of economic (i.e. risk-based) capital and regulatory capital. Consequently, our risk management goals are to:

n Embed rigorous risk management throughout the business, based on setting clear risk appetites and staying within these;

n Ensure that capital is allocated where it will make the highest returns on a risk-weighted basis; and

n Meet the expectations of our customers, investors and regulators that we will maintain capital surpluses to ensure we can meet our liabilities even if a number of extreme risks materialise.

Risk environment

The first six months of 2011 have seen continued tensions in the Middle East and North Africa and increasing concerns over the levels of sovereign debt within and, to a lesser degree, outside the eurozone. Interest rates remained low in developed markets and inflationary threats increased. Despite these potential headwinds, equity markets rose modestly in the UK, Europe and the US and credit spreads narrowed. Discussions over key aspects of the future European Solvency II regime have progressed, although some uncertainty remains.

Risk profile

The types of risk to which the Group is exposed have not changed significantly over the half-year to 30 June 2011 and remain credit, market, life insurance, general insurance, liquidity, operational and reputational risks as described on pages 68 and 69 in the 2010 annual report. However, the reduction of the shareholding in Delta Lloyd has decreased the Group's IFRS balance sheet risks and, in particular, has led to a substantial fall in equity and mortgage risk exposures. The reduction of the shareholding in Delta Lloyd also resulted in a modest reduction in the Group's underlying exposures to equity, credit, property, interest rate and inflation risks when measured on an economic capital basis. The Group has broad ranging investment restrictions in place on sovereign and corporate exposure to Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain and has actively reduced exposure to the most vulnerable countries. The Group continues to pursue its strategy of focusing on the more profitable business lines. Overall the Group was operating within its quantitative economic capital and liquidity risk appetites at the 30 June 2011.

      We provide more detail on the risk profile and risk management approach in note A17 - Risk Management on page 64 on the material risks and uncertainties facing the Group for the next six months. Our risk management processes ensure close and ongoing monitoring of all our capital measures and control any mismatch between our assets and liabilities. These processes include the use of derivative hedges which are described in more detail below.

Equity hedging

Alongside use of derivatives for portfolio management and the local management of equity risk within each business unit, the Group has maintained a long-term strategy to manage its residual overall equity risk through the use of derivatives. As at 30 June 2011 the

 

 

Page 27

 

 

23 - Risk management continued

Group's shareholder funds held £6 billion notional of equity hedges, with up to 3 months to maturity with a strike of 76% of the prevailing market levels on the 30 June 2011.

Interest rate hedging

Interest rate hedges are used widely to manage asymmetric interest rate exposures across our life insurance businesses as well as an efficient way to manage cash flow and duration matching. The most material examples of uses to hedge guarantees relate to guaranteed annuity exposures in both the UK and Ireland. These hedges are used to protect against interest rate falls and are sufficient in scale to materially reduce the Group's interest rate exposure.

Currency hedging

At a Group level we actively seek to manage foreign currency risk primarily by matching assets and liabilities in functional currencies at the business unit level. Foreign currency dividends from subsidiaries are hedged using foreign exchange forward contracts to provide certainty regarding the sterling value to be received by Group. Derivatives have also been used to reduce foreign exchange balance sheet translation risk. At 30 June 2011 the Group had in place zero cost collar Euro and Canadian Dollar hedges with a notional value of £2.0 billion and £0.3 billion respectively. These hedges are used to protect the Group's capital against a significant depreciation in the local currency versus sterling.

24 - Return on capital employed

The Group measures its return on capital employed on both an IFRS and MCEV basis. On an IFRS basis return on equity shareholders' funds is 12.8% (31 December 2010: 14.8%). Although operating profit after tax and minority interests has increased (on an annualised basis) since full year 2010, the main driver of the decrease in RoCE is the 24% growth in the capital base from £10.4 billion at the start of 2010 to £12.8 billion at the start of 2011, driven by profits in the period and actuarial gains on staff pension schemes. On an MCEV basis return on equity shareholders' funds is 11.5% (31 December 2010: 16.4%) decreasing due to similar factors.

 


IFRS


MCEV


Annualised

30 June
2011
%

31 December 2010
%


Annualised

30 June
2011
%

31 December 2010
%

Life assurance

11.7%

10.4%


10.1%

13.8%

General insurance and health

12.6%

15.3%


12.6%

15.3%

Fund management

26.0%

29.9%


6.1%

9.1%

Other business

99.2%

19.3%


94.1%

18.7%

Corporate

31.0%

24.3%


31.0%

24.3%

Return on total capital employed (excluding Delta Lloyd)

10.0%

10.4%


8.8%

13.2%

Delta Lloyd

7.7%

11.0%


12.3%

5.5%

Return on total capital employed

9.5%

10.5%


9.3%

11.9%

Subordinated debt

4.7%

4.5%


4.7%

4.5%

External debt

1.6%

2.8%


1.6%

2.8%

Return on total equity

11.4%

12.8%


10.9%

14.2%

Less:        Non-controlling interests

9.6%

9.4%


11.3%

10.0%

   Direct capital instrument

-

4.2%


-

4.2%

   Preference capital

9.0%

8.5%


9.0%

8.5%

Return on equity shareholders' funds

12.8%

14.8%


11.5%

16.4%

 

 

Page 28

 

 

25 - EEV equivalent embedded value

The embedded value of Aviva shown below is based on the projected future profits allowing for expected investment returns in excess of risk-free, and discounts those profits at a risk-discount rate. This result is deemed more comparable to our UK insurers who publish European Embedded Value (EEV) than market consistent embedded value.

      The expected release of future profits and required capital is shown in five-year groups. Projected cash flows are those used for Implied Discount Rate (IDR) calculations for in-force business.

      The discount rate applied is 7.20% (FY10: 7.75%), based on a risk-free rate of 3.7%, a risk margin of 3.10% and an allowance for the time value of options and guarantees of 0.4%.

      The new business margin on continuing operations (net of tax and non-controlling interests) for business written during the period to 30 June 2011 is 2.6% (MCEV: 1.8%).

Segmental analysis of life and related business EEV equivalent embedded value

 


Net worth


VIF on traditional embedded value


Embedded value


 

30 June

2011

£bn

30 June

2010

£bn

31 December 2010

£bn


30 June

2011

£bn


30 June

2011

£bn

United Kingdom

4.0

3.8

4.1


3.3

2.9

2.8


7.3

6.7

6.9

Aviva Europe

3.4

2.8

3.1


3.1

2.8

3.0


6.5

5.6

6.1

North America

1.3

1.3

1.2


1.5

0.8

1.3


2.8

2.1

2.5

Asia Pacific

0.3

0.3

0.3


0.4

0.2

0.3


0.7

0.5

0.6

Total covered business excluding Delta Lloyd

9.0

8.2

8.7


8.3

6.7

7.4


17.3

14.9

16.1

Delta Lloyd1

-

1.2

1.3


-

0.8

0.9


-

2.0

2.2

Total covered business

9.0

9.4

10.0


8.3

7.5

8.3


17.3

16.9

18.3

Non-covered business1









1.5

(0.4)

0.4

Total Group EV









18.8

16.5

18.7

Less preference share capital and direct
   capital instruments









(1.2)

(1.2)

(1.2)

Equity attributable to ordinary shareholders on    an EV basis









17.6

15.3

17.5

1.Delta Lloyd is included in covered business at 31 December 2010 and in non-covered business at 30 June 2011.

Maturity profile of undiscounted EEV equivalent embedded value cash flows

Total in-force business

To show the profile of the free surplus emergence implicit in the traditional embedded value calculation for in-force business, the cash flows have been split into five year tranches depending on the date when the profit is expected to emerge.

 

30 June 2011


Release of future profits and required capital

Total net of non-
controlling interest

£bn

Free surplus

0-5

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

United Kingdom

1.1

2.6

3.0

2.4

1.9

4.5

14.4

Aviva Europe

0.4

3.4

2.6

2.0

1.6

3.2

12.8

North America

(0.2)

1.9

1.2

0.7

0.6

0.9

5.3

Asia Pacific

0.1

0.3

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.9

Total

1.4

8.2

7.0

5.2

4.2

8.8

33.4

 

31 December 2010


Release of future profits and required capital

Total net of non-
controlling interest

£bn

Free surplus

0-5

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

United Kingdom

1.1

2.4

2.9

2.4

1.9

4.4

14.0

Aviva Europe

0.2

3.5

2.4

1.9

1.5

2.5

11.8

North America

(0.2)

1.9

1.0

0.7

0.5

0.7

4.8

Asia Pacific

0.1

0.3

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.9

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

1.2

8.1

6.5

5.1

4.0

7.8

31.5

Delta Lloyd1

0.4

1.1

0.8

0.7

0.6

1.3

4.5

Total

1.6

9.2

7.3

5.8

4.6

9.1

36.0

1. Delta Lloyd is included in covered business at 31 December 2010 and in non-covered business at 30 June 2011.

 

 

 

Page 29

 

Analysis of assets

 

As an insurance business, Aviva Group holds a variety of assets to match the characteristics and duration of its insurance liabilities. Appropriate and effective asset liability matching (on an economic basis) is the principal way in which we manage our investments. In addition, to support this, we also use a variety of hedging and other risk management strategies to diversify away residual mis-match risk that is outside of our risk appetite.

      During 2011 Aviva has completed a partial disposal of its equity holding in Delta Lloyd. At 31 December 2010 Aviva held a controlling interest of 58% in Delta Lloyd's issued equity, and as a result and in accordance with IFRS, consolidated 100% of Delta Lloyd's assets and liabilities. At 30 June 2011 Aviva held 42% of Delta Lloyd's issued equity and is no longer considered to have control of Delta Lloyd. The Group therefore no longer consolidates Delta Lloyd's assets and liabilities as at 30 June 2011. In place of 100% of Delta Lloyd's assets, there is a substantial asset shown as a 'Share in joint ventures and associates' which represents Aviva's equity share of Delta Lloyd. As a result, a direct comparison of the 31 December 2010 and 30 June 2011 balance sheets for asset quality purposes would be distorted by the effect of this deconsolidation. Throughout the disclosure, therefore, Delta Lloyd has been excluded for the purposes of the 31 December 2010 balance sheet to allow a proper comparison. Aviva continues to actively monitor the quality of Delta Lloyd's balance sheet and manages the Group's balance sheet holistically including all sources of risk within our overall risk appetite.

26 - Total assets

 

30 June 2011

Policyholder assets
£m

Participating fund assets
£m

Shareholder assets
£m

Total assets analysed
£m

Less
assets of operations classified
as held
for sale
£m

Balance
sheet
total
£m

Loans

-

6,232

18,608

24,840

(12)

24,828

Financial investments






-

   Debt securities

14,997

85,861

54,796

155,654

-

155,654

   Equity securities

23,295

12,103

1,237

36,635

-

36,635

   Other investments

27,898

5,745

2,077

35,720

(3)

35,717

Total loans and financial investments

66,190

109,941

76,718

252,849

(15)

252,834








Cash and cash equivalents

4,334

10,259

8,553

23,146

(40)

23,106

Other assets

6,679

12,671

27,261

46,611

(673)

45,938

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

728

728

Total

77,203

132,871

112,532

322,606

-

322,606

Interest in Delta Lloyd as an associate

-

-

1,061

1,061

-

1,061

Total (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

77,203

132,871

111,471

321,545

-

321,545

Total % (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

24.0%

41.3%

34.7%

100.0%

-

100.0%

FY10 as reported

85,462

136,787

147,858

370,107

-

370,107

Delta Lloyd

10,947

8,815

39,501

59,263

-

59,263

FY10 Total (excluding Delta Lloyd)

74,515

127,972

108,357

310,844

-

310,844

FY10 Total % (excluding Delta Lloyd)

24.0%

41.2%

34.8%

100.0%

-

100.0%

The assets and liabilities of operations classified as held for sale as at 30 June 2011 relate to RAC Limited (formerly RAC plc), our investment management business in Australia and our interest in a joint venture in Taiwan.

 

 

Page 30

 

26 - Total assets continued

Total assets - Valuation bases


30 June 2011


31 December 2010

Excluding Delta Lloyd


Fair value
£m

Amortised cost
£m

Equity accounted/ tax assets
£m

Total
£m


Fair value
£m

Amortised cost
£m

Equity accounted/ tax assets
£m

Total
£m

Policyholder assets

74,948

1,969

286

77,203


72,280

1,644

591

74,515

Participating fund assets

120,672

10,617

1,582

132,871


118,517

8,936

519

127,972

Shareholder assets

82,773

27,782

916

111,471


80,176

26,591

1,590

108,357

Total

278,393

40,368

2,784

321,545


270,973

37,171

2,700

310,844

Total %

86.6%

12.5%

0.9%

100.0%


87.2%

11.9%

0.9%

100.0%

The proportion of total assets measured at fair value (which includes 100% of financial investments) has remained stable at 86.6% (31 December 2010: 87.2%). The principal asset classes measured at fair value are loans, debt securities, equity securities and other financial investments.

 

Total assets - financial investments


30 June 2011


31 December 2010
Excluding Delta Lloyd


Cost/ amortised cost
£m

Unrealised gain
£m

Unrealised losses and impairments

£m

Fair value
£m


Cost/ amortised cost
£m

Unrealised gain
£m

Unrealised losses and impairments

£m

Fair value
£m

Debt securities

151,271

8,270

(3,887)

155,654


145,418

7,104

(3,671)

148,851

Equity securities

32,981

5,595

(1,941)

36,635


32,077

5,431

(2,038)

35,470

Other investments

34,732

1,868

(880)

35,720


33,225

2,733

(618)

35,340

Total1

218,984

15,733

(6,708)

228,009


210,720

15,268

(6,327)

219,661

1. Includes assets classified as held for sale.

All unrealised losses on financial investments have been recognised in profit or loss, except unrealised losses on those financial investments classified as available-for-sale (AFS). Unrealised losses on AFS financial investments are recognised in profit or loss on disposal or in the event of impairment. Since the disposal of Delta Lloyd the Group no longer has any significant direct interest in financial investments classified as available for sale other than debt securities. Total unrealised losses on available for sale debt securities at 30 June 2011 were £115 million (2010: £373 million).

      The total impairment expense for the period for AFS debt securities was £8 million (31 December 2010: £79 million) of which £7 million relates to Alt-A securities in our U.S. business. These are not yet in default but continued deterioration in market values and defaults on more junior tranches are considered indicators of impairment.

                 

 

Page 31

 

27 - Shareholders' assets

As at 30 June 2011, total shareholder investments in loans and financial investments included within shareholder assets was £76.7 billion (31 December 2010 excluding Delta Lloyd: £75.5 billion), including loans of £18.6 billion, debt securities of £54.8 billion, equity securities of £1.2 billion and other investments of £2.1 billion.

 

Shareholders' assets - loans

30 June 2011

United Kingdom
£m

Aviva
 Europe
£m

North America
£m

Asia
Pacific
£m

Total
£m

Policy loans

7

14

231

38

290

Loans and advances to banks

856

-

-

-

856

Mortgage loans - securitised

1,916

-

-

-

1,916

Mortgage loans - non-securitised

13,155

1

2,109

-

15,265

Other loans

177

4

98

2

281

Total

16,111

19

2,438

40

18,608

FY10 Total (excluding Delta Lloyd)

15,899

18

2,256

40

18,213

Our well diversified UK Life commercial mortgage portfolio remains of high quality, with low levels of default losses recorded in the period. Loan Interest Cover (LIC) remains strong at 1.32 times and over 97% of mortgages are neither in arrears nor otherwise impaired. The average LTV has remained relatively stable at 93% (31 December 2010: 95%).
      The valuation allowance (including supplementary provisions) made in the UK for corporate bonds and commercial mortgages (including healthcare mortgages) carried at fair value equates to 66bps and 79bps respectively at 30 June 2011 (31 December 2010: 63bps and 78bps respectively). This is equivalent to a valuation allowance of £1.3 billion (31 December 2010: £1.3 billion) over the remaining term of the UK Life corporate bond and commercial mortgage portfolio. In addition, we hold £91 million (31 December 2010: £60 million) of provisions in our UK General Insurance mortgage portfolio
, which is carried at amortised cost.

 

Shareholders' assets - financial investments




30 June 2011




31 December 2010

Excluding Delta Lloyd


Fair value hierarchy



Fair value hierarchy



Level 1
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m


Level 1
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Debt securities

21,757

32,267

772

54,796


21,040

32,285

845

54,170

Equity securities

460

400

377

1,237


472

276

365

1,113

Other investments

427

1,256

394

2,077


512

1,174

351

2,037

Total

22,644

33,923

1,543

58,110


22,024

33,735

1,561

57,320

Total %

39.0%

58.3%

2.7%

100.0%


38.4%

58.9%

2.7%

100.0%

During the period, there has been an increase to 39.0% (31 December 2010: 38.4%) in the proportion of shareholder financial investments classified as "Level 1", which means that they are valued using quoted prices in active markets.

      The majority of the debt instruments held by our North American businesses are valued by independent pricing firms in accordance with usual market practice in that region and consistent with other companies operating in the region are classified as Level 2 in the Fair Value hierarchy. Excluding our North American businesses, the proportion of shareholder debt securities classified as Level 1 in the Fair Value hierarchy would be 84% (2010: 84%).

       

 

 

Page 32

 

27 - Shareholders' assets continued

Shareholders' assets - debt securities






Rating



30 June 2011

AAA
£m

AA
£m

A
£m

BBB
£m

Less than BBB
£m

Not rated
£m

Total
£m

Government

7,387

3,308

1,130

365

163

86

12,439

Corporate

1,557

5,291

12,970

10,335

1,467

4,439

36,059

Certificates of deposits

-

161

160

117

108

20

566

Structured

3,465

597

709

337

542

82

5,732

Total

12,409

9,357

14,969

11,154

2,280

4,627

54,796

Total %

22.6%

17.1%

27.3%

20.4%

4.2%

8.4%

100.0%

FY10 Total (excluding Delta Lloyd)

13,280

8,112

14,796

10,936

2,146

4,900

54,170

FY10 % (excluding Delta Lloyd)

24.5%

15.0%

27.3%

20.2%

4.0%

9.0%

100.0%

We grade debt securities according to current external credit ratings issued at the balance sheet date. The credit rating used for each individual security is the second highest of the available ratings from Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Fitch. If a credit rating is available from only one of these three rating agencies then this rating is used. If an individual security has not been given a credit rating by any of these three rating agencies, the security is classified as "not rated".

      For the tables in this document we have used the standard Standard & Poor's rating classifications. Investment grade debt securities are classified within the range of AAA (extremely strong) to BBB (good) ratings, with AAA being the highest possible rating. Debt securities which fall outside this range are classified as less than BBB. Where we use a rating provided by Moody's or Fitch, we have expressed it as the Standard & Poor's equivalent rating. For example, we consider Standard & Poor's rating of AA (very strong) to be equivalent to Moody's rating of AA (excellent) and Fitch's rating of AA (very strong).

      During the first two quarters of 2011, the proportion of our shareholder debt securities that are investment grade remained relatively stable at 87.4% (31 December 2010 (excluding Delta Lloyd): 87.0%). The remaining 12.6% of shareholder debt securities that do not have an external rating of BBB or higher can be split as follows:

n 4.2% are debt securities that are rated as below investment grade

n 3.7% are US private placements which are not rated by the major ratings agencies, but are rated as an average equivalent of A by the Securities Valuation Office of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC), a US national regulatory agency

n 4.7% are not rated by the major rating agencies or the NAIC.

 

Of the securities not rated by an external agency or NAIC most are allocated an internal rating using a methodology largely consistent with that adopted by an external ratings agency, and are considered to be of investment grade credit quality; these include £2.1 billion (3.8% of total shareholder debt securities) of debt securities held in our UK Life business, predominantly made up of private placements and other corporate bonds, which have been internally rated as investment grade.

      £0.8 billion (31 December 2010: £0.9 billion) of shareholder holdings in debt securities represent exposures to the governments (and local authorities and agencies) of Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain. This corresponds to just 0.3% of total balance sheet assets at 30 June 2011. Net of non-controlling interests, our exposure to these governments is reduced to £0.5 billion (31 December 2010: £0.7 billion). Exposure to Greece is less than £1 million (31 December 2010: £3.4 million). A further £1.8 billion (31 December 2010: £1.8 billion) of exposures to these governments are held in participating fund assets (£1.4 billion net of non-controlling interests), shareholder market risk exposure to these assets is governed by the nature and extent of shareholder participation in these funds. In addition, our shareholder exposure (net of non-controlling interests) to the Italian government is £0.9 billion. All of these bonds are held on a mark to market through the profit and loss basis under IAS 39, and therefore our balance sheet and profit and loss statement already reflect any reduction in value between the date of purchase and the balance sheet date.

      Within structured assets, the group continues to have very limited exposure (3% of total balance sheet assets) to sub-prime and Alt A RMBS, ABS, Wrapped Credit, CDOs and CLOs. Of our remaining exposures to RMBS, the majority are backed by US Government Sponsored Entities, and so are considered to have minimal credit risk.

 

 

 

End of part 2 of 5

 

 

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