HY11 part 4 of 5

RNS Number : 7148L
Aviva PLC
04 August 2011
 



Part 4 of 5

 

Page 71

 

 

New business

 

 

In this section


Page



B1   Geographical analysis of life, pension and investment sales

 

72

B2   Product analysis of life and pension sales

 

73

B3   Trend analysis of PVNBP - cumulative

 

74

B4   Trend analysis of PVNBP - discrete

 

74

B5   Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - life and pensions sales

 

75

B6   Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - investment sales

 

75

B7   Life and pensions new business - net of tax and non-controlling interests

 

76

 

 

 


Page 72

 

 

New business

 

 

B1 - Geographical analysis of life, pension and investment sales

 

 

 

 

 

% Growth

6 months
2011
£m

6 months
2010
£m

Sterling

Local2

currency

Life and pensions business - Present value of new business premiums1





United Kingdom

5,468

5,194

5%

5%

France

2,345

2,827

(17)%

(17)%

Ireland

553

476

16%

16%

Italy

1,778

3,052

(42)%

(42)%

Poland

305

319

(4)%

(4)%

Spain

1,015

1,060

(4)%

(4)%

Other Europe

293

258

14%

17%

Aviva Europe

6,289

7,992

(21)%

(21)%

North America

1,658

2,334

(29)%

(25)%

China

207

235

(12)%

(11)%

Hong Kong

83

79

5%

11%

India

50

58

(14)%

(11)%

Singapore

244

143

71%

63%

South Korea

242

201

20%

22%

Other Asia

76

78

(3)%

(5)%

Asia Pacific

902

794

14%

14%

Total life and pensions - continuing operations

14,317

16,314

(12)%

(11)%

Total life and pensions - discontinued operations4

1,085

1,732

(37)%

(37)%

Total life and pensions

15,402

18,046

(15)%

(14)%

Investment sales3





United Kingdom

782

849

(8)%

(8)%

Europe (Aviva Investors)

770

731

5%

5%

Asia (Aviva Investors)

161

109

48%

35%

Asia

117

108

8%

4%

Asia Pacific

278

217

28%

20%

Total investment sales - continuing operations

1,830

1,797

2%

1%

Total investment sales - discontinued operations4

170

395

(57)%

(57)%

Total investment sales

2,000

2,192

(9)%

(9)%

Total long-term savings sales - continuing operations

16,147

18,111

(11)%

(10)%

Total long-term savings sales - discontinued operations4

1,255

2,127

(41)%

(41)%

Total long-term savings sales

17,402

20,238

(14)%

(13)%

1. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2. Local currency growth rates are calculated based on constant rates of exchange.

3. Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

4. Current period discontinued operations represent the results of Delta Lloyd up to 6 May 2011 only.

5. United Kingdom life and pensions business includes £34 million (30 June 2010: £218 million) relating to the Aviva Investors Pooled Pension business.

 

 

Page 73

 

 

B2 - Product analysis of life and pension sales

 

 

 

Present value of new business premiums1

 

 

% Growth

6 months
2011
£m

6 months
2010
£m

Sterling

Local2

currency

Life and pensions business





Pensions

2,742

2,061

33%

33%

Annuities

1,610

1,603

-

-

Bonds

466

828

(44)%

(44)%

Protection

490

507

(3)%

(3)%

Equity release

160

195

(18)%

(18)%

United Kingdom

5,468

5,194

5%

5%

Pensions

640

751

(15)%

(15)%

Savings

5,026

6,670

(25)%

(25)%

Annuities

57

35

63%

63%

Protection

566

536

6%

6%

Aviva Europe

6,289

7,992

(21)%

(21)%

Life

456

505

(10)%

(4)%

Annuities

1,202

1,829

(34)%

(30)%

North America

1,658

2,334

(29)%

(25)%

Asia Pacific

902

794

14%

14%

Total life and pensions sales - continuing operations

14,317

16,314

(12)%

(11)%

Total life and pensions sales - discontinued operations3

1,085

1,732

(37)%

(37)%

Total life and pensions sales

15,402

18,046

(15)%

(14)%

1. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2. Growth rates are calculated based on constant rates of exchange.

3. Current period discontinued operations represent the results of Delta Lloyd up to 6 May 2011 only.

 

 

 


Page 74

 

 

B3 - Trend analysis of PVNBP - cumulative

 

 

 

1Q10 YTD
£m

2Q10 YTD
£m

3Q10 YTD
£m

4Q10 YTD
£m

1Q11 YTD
£m

2Q11 YTD
£m

Life and pensions business - Present value of new business premiums1







Pensions

941

2,061

3,028

4,062

1,124

2,742

Annuities

877

1,603

2,291

3,170

785

1,610

Bonds

412

828

1,277

1,686

271

466

Protection

231

507

737

944

250

490

Equity release

96

195

298

436

83

160

United Kingdom

2,557

5,194

7,631

10,298

2,513

5,468

France

1,550

2,827

3,869

4,918

1,271

2,345

Ireland

247

476

680

938

280

553

Italy

1,567

3,052

3,793

4,456

874

1,778

Poland

206

319

469

603

149

305

Spain

590

1,060

1,447

2,084

524

1,015

Other Europe

125

258

382

538

151

293

Aviva Europe

4,285

7,992

10,640

13,537

3,249

6,289

North America

997

2,334

3,668

4,728

786

1,658

Asia Pacific

409

794

1,153

1,617

426

902

Total life and pensions

8,248

16,314

23,092

30,180

6,974

14,317

Investment sales2

870

1,797

2,556

3,387

869

1,830

Total long term saving sales - continuing operations

9,118

18,111

25,648

33,567

7,843

16,147

Total long term saving sales - discontinued operations3

1,056

2,127

2,945

3,793

921

1,255

Total long term saving sales

10,174

20,238

28,593

37,360

8,764

17,402

1. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2. Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

3. Current period discontinued operations represent the results of Delta Lloyd up to 6 May 2011 only.

B4 - Trend analysis of PVNBP - discrete

 

 

1Q10
£m

2Q10
£m

3Q10
£m

4Q10
£m

1Q11
£m

2Q11
£m

% Growth

on 1Q11

 Sterling

Life and pensions business - Present value of new business premiums1








Pensions

941

1,120

967

1,034

1,124

1,618

44%

Annuities

877

726

688

879

785

825

5%

Bonds

412

416

449

409

271

195

(28)%

Protection

231

276

230

207

250

240

(4)%

Equity release

96

99

103

138

83

77

(7)%

United Kingdom

2,557

2,637

2,437

2,667

2,513

2,955

18%

France

1,550

1,277

1,042

1,049

1,271

1,074

(15)%

Ireland

247

229

204

258

280

273

(3)%

Italy

1,567

1,485

741

663

874

904

3%

Poland

206

113

150

134

149

156

5%

Spain

590

470

387

637

524

491

(6)%

Other Europe

125

133

124

156

151

142

(6)%

Aviva Europe

4,285

3,707

2,648

2,897

3,249

3,040

(6)%

North America

997

1,337

1,334

1,060

786

872

11%

Asia Pacific

409

385

359

464

426

476

12%

Total life and pensions

8,248

8,066

6,778

7,088

6,974

7,343

5%

Investment sales2

870

927

759

831

869

961

11%

Total long term saving sales - continuing operations

9,118

8,993

7,537

7,919

7,843

8,304

6%

Total long term saving sales - discontinued operations3

1,056

1,071

818

848

921

334

(64)%

Total long term saving sales

10,174

10,064

8,355

8,767

8,764

8,638

(1)%

1. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

2. Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

3. Current period discontinued operations represent the results of Delta Lloyd up to 6 May 2011 only.

 

 

Page 75

 

 

B5 - Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - life and pensions sales

 

 

 

Regular premiums

 

Single premiums

 

6 months
 2011
£m

Local
currency
growth

WACF

Present
value
£m

6 months
2010
£m

Local
currency
growth

WACF

Present
value
£m

 

6 months
2011
£m

6 months
2010
£m

Local
currency growth

Pensions

346

66%

4.5

1,562

208

(8)%

4.7

985


1,180

1,076

10%

Annuities

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


1,610

1,603

-

Bonds

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


466

828

(44)%

Protection

78

(1)%

6.3

490

79

8%

6.4

507


-

-

Equity release

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-


160

195

(18)%

United Kingdom

424

48%

4.8

2,052

287

(4)%

5.2

1,492


3,416

3,702

(8)%

France

47

(13)%

6.6

308

54

15%

7.2

389


2,037

2,438

(16)%

Ireland

32

(11)%

3.9

125

36

(3)%

4.1

146


428

330

30%

Italy

39

5%

5.5

215

37

(51)%

5.2

191


1,563

2,861

(45)%

Poland

29

-

7.6

219

29

(34)%

9.4

273


86

46

87%

Spain

53

(10)%

5.7

300

59

(8)%

5.6

333


715

727

(2)%

Other Europe

50

22%

4.7

234

43

-

4.8

207


59

51

20%

Aviva Europe

250

(2)%

5.6

1,401

258

(17)%

6.0

1,539


4,888

6,453

(24)%

North America

47

2%

9.6

453

49

20%

10.2

502


1,205

1,832

(30)%

Asia Pacific

139

17%

4.9

678

119

24%

4.4

527

 

224

267

(16)%

Total life and pensions sales - continuing operations

860

21%

5.3

4,584

713

(8)%

5.7

4,060


9,733

12,254

(20)%

Total life and pensions sales - discontinued operations1

73

(16)%

9.1

663

87

(12)%

10.1

878


422

854

(51)%

Total life and pensions

933

17%

5.6

5,247

800

(9)%

6.2

4,938


10,155

13,108

(22)%

1. Current period discontinued operations represent the results of Delta Lloyd up to 6 May 2011 only.

B6 - Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums - investment sales

 

 

Regular

 

Single

 

 PVNBP

6 months
 2011
£m

6 months
2010
£m

Local
currency
growth

 

6 months
 2011
£m

6 months
2010
£m

Local
currency
growth

 

Local
currency
growth

Investment sales










United Kingdom

-

43

(100)%


782

797

(2)%


(8)%

Europe (Aviva Investors)

3

3

-


767

728

5%


5%

Asia (Aviva Investors)

-

-

-


161

109

35%


35%

Asia

-

-

-


117

108

4%


4%

Asia Pacific

-

-

-


278

217

20%


20%

Total investment sales - continuing operations

3

46

(93)%


1,827

1,742

4%


1%

Total investment sales - discontinued operations1

-

-

-


170

395

(57)%


(57)%

Total investment sales

3

46

(93)%


1,997

2,137

(7)%


(9)%

1. Current period discontinued operations represent the results of Delta Lloyd up to 6 May 2011 only.

 

 

Page 76

 

 

B7 - Life and pensions new business - net of tax and non-controlling interests

 

 

 

Present value of new

business premiums

 

 

Value of new business

 

 

New business margin

Life and pensions (net of tax and non-controlling interests)

6 months
 2011
£m

6 months
2010
£m

Full year

2010
 £m

 

6 months
 2011
£m

6 months
2010
£m

Full year

2010
 £m

 

6 months
 2011
%

6 months
2010
%

Full year

2010
%

United Kingdom

5,468

5,194

10,298


140

126

254


2.6%

2.4%

2.5%

France

1,947

2,367

4,340


53

58

100


2.7%

2.5%

2.3%

Ireland

415

356

704


1

1

1


0.2%

0.3%

0.1%

Italy

792

1,351

1,965


15

24

42


1.9%

1.8%

2.1%

Poland

276

279

531


14

14

29


5.1%

5.0%

5.5%

Spain

555

580

1,136


17

22

43


3.1%

3.8%

3.8%

Other Europe

293

259

538


11

10

15


3.8%

3.8%

2.8%

Aviva Europe

4,278

5,192

9,214


111

129

230


2.6%

2.5%

2.5%

North America

1,658

2,334

4,728


(55)

2

(126)


(3.3)%

0.1%

(2.7)%

Asia Pacific

889

787

1,598


27

14

41


3.0%

1.8%

2.6%

Total life and pensions sales - continuing operations

12,293

13,507

25,838


223

271

399


1.8%

2.0%

1.5%

Total life and pensions sales - discontinued operations1

599

937

1,721


-

(25)

(41)


-

(2.7)%

(2.4)%

Total life and pensions

12,892

14,444

27,559


223

246

358


1.7%

1.7%

1.3%

1. Current period discontinued operations represent the results of Delta Lloyd up to 6 May 2011 only.

 

 

 


Page 77

 

 

Capital management

 

 

In this section


Page



C1   Capital management objectives and approach

 

78

C2   Group capital structure

 

80

C3   Analysis of return on capital employed

 

82

        C3 i - Analysis of IFRS return on capital employed

 

82

        C3 ii - Analysis of MCEV return on capital employed

 

83

C4   Capital generation and utilisation

 

85

C5   Capital required to write new business, internal rate of return and payback period

 

86

C6   Regulatory capital

 

87

C7   IFRS Sensitivity analysis

 

89

 

 

 


 

Page 78

 

 

C1 - Capital management objectives and approach

The primary objective of capital management is to optimise the balance between return and risk, whilst maintaining economic and regulatory capital in accordance with risk appetite. Aviva's capital and risk management objectives are closely interlinked, and support the dividend policy and earnings per share growth, whilst also recognising the critical importance of protecting policyholder and other stakeholder interests.

      Overall capital risk appetite, which is reviewed and approved by the Aviva board, is set and managed with reference to the requirements of a range of different stakeholders including shareholders, policyholders, regulators and rating agencies. Risk appetite is expressed in relation to a number of key capital and risk measures, and includes an economic capital risk appetite of holding sufficient capital resources to enable the Group to meet its liabilities in extreme adverse scenarios, on an ongoing basis, calibrated consistently with the Group's strategic target of maintaining credit ratings in the AA range.

      In managing capital we seek to:

n maintain sufficient, but not excessive, financial strength in accordance with risk appetite, to support new business growth and satisfy the requirements of our regulators and other stakeholders giving both our customers and shareholders assurance of our financial strength;

n optimise our overall debt to equity structure to enhance our returns to shareholders, subject to our capital risk appetite and balancing the requirements of the range of stakeholders;

n retain financial flexibility by maintaining strong liquidity, including significant unutilised committed credit facilities and access to a range of capital markets;

n allocate capital rigorously across the group, to drive value adding growth through optimizing risk and return; and

n declare dividends on a basis judged prudent, while retaining capital to support future business growth, using dividend cover on an IFRS operating earnings after tax basis in the 1.5 to 2.0 times range as a guide.

 

In line with these objectives, the capital generated and invested by the Group's businesses is a key management focus. Operating capital generation, which measures net capital generated after taking into account capital invested in new business (before the impact of non-operating items) is a core regulatory capital based management performance metric used across the Group. This is embedded in the Group business planning process and other primary internal performance and management information processes.

      Capital is measured and managed on a number of different bases. These are discussed further in the following sections.

Regulatory capital

Individual regulated subsidiaries measure and report solvency based on applicable local regulations, including in the UK the regulations established by the Financial Services Authority (FSA). These measures are also consolidated under the European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) to calculate regulatory capital adequacy at an aggregate group level, where we have a regulatory obligation to have a positive position at all times. This measure represents the excess of the aggregate value of regulatory capital employed in our business over the aggregate minimum solvency requirements imposed by local regulators, excluding the surplus held in the UK and Ireland with-profit life funds. The minimum solvency requirement for our European businesses is based on the Solvency 1 Directive. In broad terms, for EU operations, this is set at 4% and 1% of non-linked and unit-linked life reserves respectively and for our general insurance portfolio of business is the higher of 18% of gross premiums or 26% of gross claims, in both cases adjusted to reflect the level of reinsurance recoveries. For our major non-European businesses (the US and Canada) a risk charge on assets and liabilities approach is used.

Rating agency capital

Credit ratings are an important indicator of financial strength and support access to debt markets as well as providing assurance to business partners and policyholders over our ability to service contractual obligations. In recognition of this, we have solicited relationships with a number of rating agencies. The agencies generally assign ratings based on an assessment of a range of financial factors (e.g. capital strength, gearing, liquidity and fixed charge cover ratios) and non financial factors (e.g. strategy, competitive position, and quality of management).

      Certain rating agencies have proprietary capital models which they use to assess available capital resources against capital requirements as a component in their overall criteria for assigning ratings. Managing our capital and liquidity position in accordance with our target rating levels is a core consideration in all material capital management and capital allocation decisions.

      The group's overall financial strength is reflected in our credit ratings. The group's rating from Standard and Poors is AA- ("very strong") with a Stable outlook; Aa3 ("excellent") with a Stable outlook from Moody's; and A ("excellent") with a Positive outlook from A M Best. These ratings continue to reflect our strong competitive position, positive strategic management, strong and diversified underlying earnings profile and very strong liquidity position.

 

 

Page 79

 

 

C1 - Capital management objectives and approach continued

Economic capital

 

 

We use a risk-based capital model to assess economic capital requirements and to aid in risk and capital management across the group. The model is based on a framework for identifying the risks to which business units, and the group as a whole, are exposed. A mixture of scenario based approaches and stochastic models are used to capture market risk, credit risk, insurance risk and operational risk. Scenarios are specified centrally to provide consistency across businesses and to achieve a minimum standard. Where appropriate, businesses also supplement these with additional risk models and stressed scenarios specific to their own risk profile. When aggregating capital requirements at business unit and group level, we allow for diversification benefits between risks and between businesses, with restrictions to allow for non-fungibility of capital when appropriate. This means that the aggregate capital requirement is less than the sum of capital required to cover all of the individual risks.

      This model is used to support our Individual Capital Assessments (ICA) which are reported to the FSA for all our UK regulated insurance businesses. The FSA uses the results of our ICA process when setting target levels of capital for our UK regulated insurance businesses. In line with FSA requirements, the ICA estimates the capital required to mitigate the risk of insolvency to a 99.5% confidence level over a one year time horizon (equivalent to events occurring in 1 out of 200 years) against financial and non-financial tests.

      The financial modelling techniques employed in economic capital enhance our practice of risk and capital management. They enable understanding of the impact of the interaction of different risks allowing us to direct risk management activities appropriately. These same techniques are employed to enhance product pricing and capital allocation processes. Unlike more traditional regulatory capital measures, economic capital also recognises the value of longer term profits emerging from in-force and new business, allowing for consideration of longer term value emergence as well as shorter term net worth volatility in our risk and capital management processes. We continue to develop our economic capital modelling capability for all our businesses as part of our development programme to increase the focus on economic capital management and meeting the emerging requirements of the Solvency II framework and external agencies.

Solvency II

The development of Solvency II continues in 2011. The European Commission is focused on concluding the development of the Level 2 implementing measures that will establish the technical requirements governing the practical application of Solvency II. The implementation data continues to be discussed in the context of the ongoing draft Omnibus II directive deliberations. Aviva continues to actively participate in these developments through the key European industry working groups and engaging with the FSA and HM Treasury to inform the on-going negotiations in Brussels.

 

 

Page 80

 

 

C2 - Group capital structure

The table below shows how our capital, on an MCEV basis, is deployed by segment and how that capital is funded.

 

 

 

30 June

2011
£m

31 December 2010
£m

Long-term savings

19,981

18,963

General insurance and health

5,298

5,082

Fund management

227

231

Other business

(343)

(119)

Corporate1

(760)

(1,521)

Delta Lloyd

1,061

3,892

Total capital employed

25,464

26,528

Financed by



Equity shareholders' funds

15,861

15,295

Non-controlling interests

2,580

3,977

Direct capital instrument

990

990

Preference shares

200

200

Subordinated debt

5,132

4,572

External debt

701

1,494

Total capital employed

25,464

26,528

1. "Corporate" includes centrally held tangible net assets, the element of the staff pension scheme deficit or surplus allocated centrally and also reflects internal lending arrangements. These internal lending arrangements, which net out on consolidation, arise in relation to the following:

    -                 Aviva International Insurance Limited (AII) acts as both a UK general insurer and as the primary holding company for our foreign subsidiaries. Internal capital management mechanisms in place allocate a portion of the total capital of the company to the UK general insurance operations, giving rise to notional lending between the general insurance and holding company activities. These mechanisms also allow for some of the assets of the general insurance business to be made available for use across the Group.

    -                 Certain subsidiaries, subject to continuing to satisfy stand alone capital and liquidity requirements, loan funds to corporate and holding entities. These loans satisfy arms length criteria and all interest payments are made when due.

 

Total capital employed is financed by a combination of equity shareholders' funds, preference capital, subordinated debt and borrowings.

      At 30 June 2011 we had £25.5 billion (31 December 2010: £26.5 billion) of total capital employed in our trading operations, measured on an MCEV basis.

      In May 2011 we issued £450 million of Lower Tier 2 hybrid debt maturing 2041 which may be called from 2021. This transaction had a positive impact on group IGD solvency and Economic Capital measures.

      Financial leverage, the ratio of external senior and subordinated debt to MCEV capital and reserves, was 31.6% (31 December 2010: 31.5%). Fixed charge cover, which measures the extent to which external interest costs, including subordinated debt interest and preference dividends, are covered by MCEV operating profit was 9.6 times (31 December 2010: 9.4 times).

      At 30 June 2011 the market value of our external debt, subordinated debt, preference shares (including both Aviva plc preference shares of £200 million and General Accident plc preference shares, within non-controlling interest, of £250 million), and direct capital instrument was £7,104 million (31 December 2010: £7,279 million), with a weighted average cost, post tax, of 4.9% (31 December 2010: 4.5%). The group Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is 7.2% (31 December 2010: 7.8%) and has been calculated by reference to the cost of equity and the cost of debt at the relevant date. The cost of equity at 30 June 2011 was 8.5% (31 December 2010: 9.9%) based on a risk free rate of 3.4% (31 December 2010: 3.4%), an equity risk premium of 4.0% (31 December 2010: 4.0%) and a market beta of 1.3 (31 December 2010: 1.6).

 

 

Page 81

 

 

C2 - Group capital structure continued

Shareholders' funds, including non-controlling interest

 

 

 

30 June 2011
Closing shareholders' funds

 

31 December 2010
Closing shareholders' funds

 

IFRS
net asset
£m

Internally generated AVIF
£m

Total
Equity
£m

 

IFRS
net asset
£m

Internally generated AVIF
£m

Total
Equity
£m

Life assurance








United Kingdom

5,009

1,841

6,850


4,805

1,756

6,561

France

1,911

1,630

3,541


1,700

1,490

3,190

Ireland

1,199

67

1,266


1,171

78

1,249

Italy

1,242

195

1,437


1,256

238

1,494

Poland

247

1,052

1,299


279

1,002

1,281

Spain

1,391

534

1,925


1,291

467

1,758

Other Europe

264

148

412


270

139

409

Aviva Europe

6,254

3,626

9,880


5,967

3,414

9,381

North America

3,490

(1,214)

2,276


3,500

(1,383)

2,117

Asia Pacific

802

173

975


757

147

904

 

15,555

4,426

19,981


15,029

3,934

18,963

General insurance and health








United Kingdom

2,966

-

2,966


2,895

-

2,895

France

464

-

464


434

-

434

Ireland

406

-

406


387

-

387

Other Europe

321

-

321


300

-

300

Aviva Europe

1,191

-

1,191


1,121

-

1,121

North America

1,091

-

1,091


1,021

-

1,021

Asia Pacific

50

-

50


45

-

45

 

5,298

-

5,298


5,082

-

5,082

Fund management

227

-

227


231

-

231

Other business

(343)

-

(343)


(119)

-

(119)

Corporate

(760)

-

(760)


(1,521)

-

(1,521)

Total capital employed (excluding Delta Lloyd)

19,977

4,426

24,403


18,702

3,934

22,636

Delta Lloyd

1,061

-

1,061


5,089

(1,197)

3,892

Total capital employed

21,038

4,426

25,464


23,791

2,737

26,528

Subordinated debt

(5,132)

-

(5,132)


(4,572)

-

(4,572)

External debt

(701)

-

(701)


(1,494)

-

(1,494)

Total equity

15,205

4,426

19,631


17,725

2,737

20,462

Less:








Non-controlling interests



(2,580)




(3,977)

Direct capital instruments



(990)




(990)

Preference capital



(200)




(200)

Equity shareholders' funds



15,861




15,295

Less: goodwill and intangibles1



(4,134)




(4,410)

Equity shareholders funds' excluding goodwill and intangibles



11,727




10,885

1. Goodwill and intangibles comprise £3,107 million (31 December 2010: £3,391 million) of goodwill in subsidiaries, £1,340 million (31 December 2010: £1,357 million) of intangibles in subsidiaries, £156 million (31 December 2010: £156 million) of goodwill and intangibles in joint ventures and £115 million (31 December 2010: £80 million) of goodwill in associates, net of associated deferred tax liabilities of £338 million (31 December 2010: £336 million) and the minority share of intangibles of £246 million (31 December 2010: £238  million).The FY10 comparative has been adjusted to facilitate comparison with HY11 presentation.

 

 

Page 82

 

 

C3 Analysis of return on capital employed

C3 i - Analysis of IFRS return on capital employed

 

 

 

 

 

30 June 2011

 

Operating return1

Opening shareholders' funds including non-controlling interests
£m

 

 

 

 

 

Return on capital
%


Before tax
£m

After tax
£m

Life assurance

1,082

880

15,029

11.7%

General insurance and health

438

320

5,082

12.6%

Fund management

42

30

231

26.0%

Other business

(81)

(59)

(119)

99.2%

Corporate2

(210)

(236)

(1,521)

31.0%

Return on total capital employed (excluding Delta Lloyd)

1,271

935

18,702

10.0%

Delta Lloyd

230

196

5,089

7.7%

Return on total capital employed

1,501

1,131

23,791

9.5%

Subordinated debt

(147)

(108)

(4,572)

4.7%

External debt

(17)

(12)

(1,494)

1.6%

Return on total equity

1,337

1,011

17,725

11.4%

Less:       Non-controlling interests


(180)

(3,741)

9.6%

        Direct capital instrument


-

(990)

-

        Preference capital


(9)

(200)

9.0%

Return on equity shareholders' funds


822

12,794

12.8%

1. The operating return is based upon group IFRS operating profit, which is stated before impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles, exceptional items and investment variance.

2. The 'Corporate' loss before tax of £210 million comprises costs of £66 million, net finance charge on the main UK pension scheme of £27 million and interest on internal lending arrangements of £134 million offset by investment return of £17 million.

 

 

 

 

31 December 2010

 

Operating return1

Opening shareholders'
 funds including
non-controlling interests

£m

 

 

 

 

Return on capital
%


Before tax
£m

After tax
£m

Life assurance

1,988

1,485

14,334

10.4%

General insurance and health

847

614

4,017

15.3%

Fund management

98

69

231

29.9%

Other business

(177)

(125)

(647)

19.3%

Corporate2

(419)

(322)

(1,327)

24.3%

Return on total capital employed (excluding Delta Lloyd)

2,337

1,721

16,608

10.4%

Delta Lloyd

536

437

3,967

11.0%

Return on total capital employed

2,873

2,158

20,575

10.5%

Subordinated debt

(290)

(209)

(4,637)

4.5%

External debt

(33)

(24)

(852)

2.8%

Return on total equity

2,550

1,925

15,086

12.8%

Less:       Non-controlling interests


(332)

(3,540)

9.4%

        Direct capital instrument


(42)

(990)

4.2%

        Preference capital


(17)

(200)

8.5%

Return on equity shareholders' funds


1,534

10,356

14.8%

1. The operating return is based upon group IFRS operating profit, which is stated before impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles, exceptional items and investment variance.

2. The 'Corporate' loss before tax of £419 million comprises costs of £143 million, net finance charge on the main UK pension scheme of £87 million and interest on internal lending arrangements of £246 million offset by investment return of
£57 million.

 

 

Page 83

 

 

C3 Analysis of return on capital employed continued

C3 ii - Analysis of MCEV return on capital employed

 

 

 

30 June 2011

 

Operating return1

Opening shareholders' funds including non-controlling interests

£m

 

 

 

 

 

Return on capital
%


Before tax
£m

After tax
£m

Life assurance





United Kingdom

521

387

6,561

11.8%

France

295

193

3,190

12.1%

Ireland

(9)

(8)

1,249

(1.3)%

Italy

130

88

1,494

11.8%

Poland

98

79

1,281

12.3%

Spain

111

78

1,758

8.9%

Other Europe

20

16

409

7.8%

Aviva Europe

645

446

9,381

9.5%

North America

136

88

2,117

8.3%

Asia Pacific

48

38

904

8.4%

 

1,350

959

18,963

10.1%

General insurance and health





United Kingdom2

244

179

2,895

12.4%

France

50

33

434

15.2%

Ireland

33

28

387

14.5%

Other Europe

(3)

(2)

300

(1.3)%

Aviva Europe

80

59

1,121

10.5%

North America

118

85

1,021

16.7%

Asia Pacific

(4)

(3)

45

(13.3)%

 

438

320

5,082

12.6%

Fund management

9

7

231

6.1%

Other business

(80)

(56)

(119)

94.1%

Corporate3

(210)

(236)

(1,521)

31.0%

Return on total capital employed (excluding Delta Lloyd)

1,507

994

22,636

8.8%

Delta Lloyd

322

239

3,892

12.3%

Return on total capital employed

1,829

1,233

26,528

9.3%

Subordinated debt

(147)

(108)

(4,572)

4.7%

External debt

(17)

(12)

(1,494)

1.6%

Return on total equity

1,665

1,113

20,462

10.9%

Less:       Non-controlling interests


(224)

(3,977)

11.3%

        Direct capital instrument


-

(990)

-

        Preference capital


(9)

(200)

9.0%

Return on equity shareholders' funds


880

15,295

11.5%

1. The operating return is based upon group MCEV operating profit, which is stated before impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles, exceptional items and investment variance.

2. Opening shareholders' funds includes the impact of allocating a share of the UK pension scheme surplus, which increases shareholders' funds and decreases annualised return on capital.

3. The 'Corporate' loss before tax of £210 million comprises costs of £66 million, net finance charge on the main UK pension scheme of £27 million and interest on internal lending arrangements of £134 million offset by investment return of £17 million.

 

 

Page 84

 

 

C3 Analysis of return on capital employed continued

C3 ii - Analysis of MCEV return on capital employed continued

 

 

 

31 December 2010

 

Operating return1

Restated

Opening shareholders'
 funds including
non-controlling interests

£m

 

 

 

 

 

Return on capital
%


Before tax
£m

After tax
£m

Life assurance





United Kingdom

1,085

778

5,797

13.4%

France

971

637

3,093

20.6%

Ireland

37

31

1,340

2.3%

Italy

266

180

1,695

10.6%

Poland

377

306

1,312

23.3%

Spain

319

224

1,950

11.5%

Other Europe

43

33

348

9.5%

Aviva Europe

2,013

1,411

9,738

14.5%

North America

289

188

1,582

11.9%

Asia Pacific

109

85

741

11.5%

 

3,496

2,462

17,858

13.8%

General insurance and health





United Kingdom2

522

376

1,876

20.0%

France

76

62

410

15.1%

Ireland

51

45

450

10.0%

Other Europe

(18)

(15)

329

(4.6)%

Aviva Europe

109

92

1,189

7.7%

North America

222

151

928

16.3%

Asia Pacific

(6)

(5)

24

(20.8)%

 

847

614

4,017

15.3%

Fund management

31

21

231

9.1%

Other business

(171)

(121)

(647)

18.7%

Corporate3

(419)

(322)

(1,327)

24.3%

Return on total capital employed (excluding Delta Lloyd)

3,784

2,654

20,132

13.2%

Delta Lloyd

299

216

3,918

5.5%

Return on total capital employed

4,083

2,870

24,050

11.9%

Subordinated debt

(290)

(209)

(4,637)

4.5%

External debt

(33)

(24)

(852)

2.8%

Return on total equity

3,760

2,637

18,561

14.2%

Less:       Non-controlling interests


(426)

(4,279)

10.0%

        Direct capital instrument


(42)

(990)

4.2%

        Preference capital


(17)

(200)

8.5%

Return on equity shareholders' funds


2,152

13,092

16.4%

1. The operating return is based upon group MCEV operating profit, which is stated before impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles, exceptional items and investment variance.

2. Opening shareholders' funds includes the impact of allocating a share of the UK pension scheme deficit, which lowers shareholders' funds and increases annualised return on capital.

3. The 'Corporate' loss before tax of £419 million comprises costs of £143 million, net finance charge on the main UK pension scheme of £87 million and interest on internal lending arrangements of £246 million offset by investment return of £57 million.

 

 

Page 85

 

 

C4 - Capital generation and utilisation

 

 

The active management of the generation and utilisation of capital is a primary Group focus, with the balancing of new business investment and shareholder distribution with operational capital generation a key financial priority.

      The half-year 2011 result of £0.8 billion reinforces our confidence in the capital generation position of the Group. Profits from existing life business remain strong, generating £1.0 billion of capital (HY10: £1.1 billion), with a further £0.3 billion (HY10: £0.3 billion) generated by the general insurance, fund management and non-insurance businesses. Underlying capital generation has improved strongly as the first half of 2010 benefited from the positive impact of the special distribution from the UK with-profit funds, an AXXX reinsurance transaction in the US and a reduction in General Insurance capital requirements as a result of volume changes in prior years. Capital invested in new business remains at £0.5 billion (HY10: £0.5 billion), and continues to benefit from management actions to improve capital efficiency and the utilisation of the RIEESA to finance new business in UK Life. Within the £0.5 billion of capital investment in new business, the life component has reduced by £0.2 billion compared with HY10. The capital investment in non-life business in the period is broadly neutral compared with the release of £0.2 billion in HY10.

 

 

6 months

2011

£bn

6 months 2010
£bn

Full year 2010
£bn

Operational capital generation:




Life in-force profits1

1.0

1.1

2.1

General insurance, fund management and non-insurance profits

0.3

0.3

0.6

Operational capital generated before investment in new business

1.3

1.4

2.7

Capital invested in new business

(0.5)

(0.5)

(1.0)

Operational capital generated after investment in new business

0.8

0.9

1.7

1. The life in-force profits in full year 2010 excludes the negative impact of the Delta Lloyd longevity assumption change of £0.2 billion which is included in the MCEV analysis of free surplus generated.

Operational capital generation comprises the following components:

-    Operating Free surplus emergence, including release of required capital, for the life in-force business (net of tax and minorities);

-    IFRS operating profits for the general insurance and non-life businesses (net of tax and minorities);

- Capital invested in new business. For life business this is the impact of initial and required capital on free surplus. For general insurance business this reflects the movement in required capital, which has been assumed to equal the regulatory minimum multiplied by the local management target level. Where appropriate movements in capital requirements exclude the impact of foreign exchange and other movements deemed to be non-operating in nature. Previously the level was assumed to be two times the minimum and did not exclude non-operating items. This change does not have an impact on the 2010 comparatives above.

-    Post disposal, all Delta Lloyd capital generation, including life business, has been included within general insurance, fund management and non-insurance profits on an IFRS basis.

 

As well as financing new business investment, operational capital generated is used to finance corporate costs, service the Group's debt capital and to finance shareholder dividend distributions. After taking these items into account the net operational capital generated after financing is a £0.1 billion surplus.

 

 

6 months

2011

£bn

6 months 2010
£bn

Full year 2010
£bn

Operational capital generated after investment in new business

0.8

0.9

1.7

Interest, corporate and other costs

(0.4)

(0.3)

(0.6)

External dividend net of scrip

(0.3)

(0.3)

(0.5)

Net operational capital generation after financing

0.1

0.3

0.6

 

 

 

Page 86

 

 

C5 - Capital required to write new business, internal rate of return and payback period

 

 

As set out in C4, the group generates a significant amount of capital each year. This capital generation supports both shareholder distribution and reinvestment in new business. The new business written requires up front capital investment, due to high set-up costs and capital requirements.

      The internal rate of return (IRR) is a measure of the shareholder return expected on this capital investment. It is equivalent to the discount rate at which the present value of the post-tax cash flows expected to be earned over the life time of the business written, including allowance for the time value of options and guarantees, is equal to the total invested capital to support the writing of the business. The capital included in the calculation of the IRR is the initial capital required to pay acquisition costs and set up statutory reserves in excess of premiums received ("initial capital"), plus required capital at the same level as for the calculation of the value of new business.

      The payback period shows how quickly shareholders can expect the total capital to be repaid. The payback period has been calculated based on undiscounted cash flows and allows for the initial and required capital.

      The projected investment returns in both the IRR and payback period calculations assume that equities, properties and bonds earn a return in excess of risk-free consistent with the long-term rate of return assumed in operating earnings.

      The internal rates of return on new business written during the period are set out below.

 

30 June 2011

Initial
capital
£m

Required
 capital
£m

Total invested
capital
£m

IRR
%

Payback period
years

United Kingdom

41

80

121

16%

7

France

22

76

98

11%

8

Ireland

13

15

28

8%

8

Italy

20

63

83

12%

6

Poland

15

5

20

20%

5

Spain

12

41

53

23%

4

Other Europe

21

9

30

16%

6

Aviva Europe

103

209

312

14%

6

North America

36

127

163

14%

5

Asia Pacific

27

16

43

13%

12

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

207

432

639

14.3%

6

Delta Lloyd

26

27

53

10%

10

Total

233

459

692

13.9%

7

 

30 June 2010

Initial
capital
£m

Required
 capital
£m

Total invested
capital
£m

IRR
%

Payback period
years

United Kingdom

59

93

152

15%

7

France

27

95

122

9%

11

Ireland

23

11

34

6%

10

Italy

31

128

159

10%

7

Poland

7

4

11

25%

4

Spain

14

36

50

22%

4

Other Europe

21

7

28

17%

5

Aviva Europe

123

281

404

12%

8

North America

54

178

232

14%

4

Asia Pacific

29

24

53

10%

12

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

265

576

841

12.9%

7

Delta Lloyd

57

65

122

5%

19

Total

322

641

963

12.0%

8

 

31 December 2010

Initial
capital
£m

Required
 capital
£m

Total invested
capital
£m

IRR
%

Payback period
years

United Kingdom

98

198

296

15%

7

France

34

202

236

9%

9

Ireland

34

17

51

5%

11

Italy

32

183

215

11%

6

Poland

16

9

25

25%

4

Spain

25

80

105

22%

4

Other Europe

41

16

57

14%

6

Aviva Europe

182

507

689

13%

7

North America

65

366

431

14%

4

Asia Pacific

62

34

96

11%

13

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

407

1,105

1,512

13.3%

7

Delta Lloyd

106

112

218

6%

16

Total

513

1,217

1,730

12.5%

8

 

 

 

Page 87

 

 

C5 - Capital required to write new business, internal rate of return and payback period continued

 

The capital invested data above is stated gross of non-controlling interests and valued on a point of sale basis. This differs from the analysis of life and pensions earnings in notes E7 and E9 which is stated net of minorities, valued on a year-end basis and benefits from the writing of new business in the UK Life RIEESA. The reconciliation is as follows:

 

 

6 months 2011

£m

Total capital invested

692

Non-controlling interests

(114)

Benefit of RIEESA on new business funding

(47)

Timing differences (point of sale versus year end basis)

(14)

New business impact on free surplus (continuing and discontinued operations)

517

C6 - Regulatory capital

Individual regulated subsidiaries measure and report solvency based on applicable local regulations, including in the UK the regulations established by the Financial Services Authority (FSA). These measures are also consolidated under the European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) to calculate regulatory capital adequacy at an aggregate group level, where we have a regulatory obligation to have a positive position at all times. This measure represents the excess of the aggregate value of regulatory capital employed in our business over the aggregate minimum solvency requirements imposed by local regulators, excluding the surplus held in the UK and Ireland with-profit life funds. The minimum solvency requirement for our European businesses is based on the Solvency 1 Directive. In broad terms, for EU operations, this is set at 4% and 1% of non-linked and unit-linked life reserves respectively and for our general insurance portfolio of business is the higher of 18% of gross premiums or 26% of gross claims, in both cases adjusted to reflect the level of reinsurance recoveries. For our major non-European businesses (the US, and Canada) a risk charge on assets and liabilities approach is used.

Regulatory capital - Group: European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD)

 

 

UK life
 funds
£bn

Other
business
£bn

30 June

 2011
£bn

31 December
 2010
£bn

Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) capital resources

5.0

10.6

15.6

16.3

Less: capital resource requirement

(5.0)

(6.6)

(11.6)

(12.5)

Insurance Group Directive (IGD) excess solvency

-

4.0

4.0

3.8

Cover over EU minimum (calculated excluding UK life funds)



1.6 times

1.6 times

The EU Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) regulatory capital solvency surplus has increased by £0.2 billion since 31 December 2010 to £4.0 billion. The key movements over the period are set out in the following table:

 

 

£bn

IGD solvency surplus at 31 December 2010

3.8

Operating profits net of other income and expenses

0.5

Movement in Lower Tier II Hybrid

0.4

Dividends net of scrip

(0.3)

Market movements including foreign exchange

(0.3)

Pension scheme funding

(0.2)

Increase in Capital Resource Requirement

(0.1)

Impact of Delta Lloyd sell down

0.1

Increase in market valuation of RAC

0.2

Other

(0.1)

Estimated IGD solvency surplus at 30 June 2011

4.0

Market movements include the impact of equity, credit spread, interest rate and foreign exchange movements net of the effect of hedging instruments.

 

Page 88

 

C6 - Regulatory capital continued

Regulatory capital - Long-term businesses

 

 

For our worldwide life assurance businesses, our capital requirements, expressed as a percentage of the EU minimum, are generally set for each business unit as the higher of:

n The level of capital at which the local regulator is empowered to take action;

n The capital requirement of the business unit under the group's economic capital requirements; and

n The target capital level of the business unit.

 

For Aviva US, the required capital is set at 325% of the NAIC Company Action Level in line with management targets and target credit ratings.

      The required capital across our life businesses varies between 100% and 325% of EU minimum or equivalent. The weighted average level of required capital for our life business, excluding Delta Lloyd, expressed as a percentage of the EU minimum (or equivalent) solvency margin has decreased to 128% (31 December 2010: 130%). These levels of required capital are used in the calculation of the group's embedded value to evaluate the cost of locked in capital. At 30 June 2011 the aggregate regulatory requirements based on the EU minimum test amounted to £6.2 billion (31 December 2010: £6.0 billion). At this date, the actual net worth held in our long-term business was £9.0 billion (31 December 2010: £8.7 billion) which represents 145% (31 December 2010: 145%) of these minimum requirements.

Regulatory capital - UK Life with-profits funds

The available capital of the with-profit funds is represented by the realistic inherited estate. The estate represents the assets of the long-term with-profit funds less the realistic liabilities for non-profit policies within the funds, less asset shares aggregated across the with-profit policies and any additional amounts expected at the valuation date to be paid to in-force policyholders in the future in respect of smoothing costs, guarantees and promises. Realistic balance sheet information is shown below for the three main UK with-profit funds: Old With-Profit Sub Fund (OWPSF), New With-Profit Sub Fund (NWPSF) and With-Profit Sub-Fund (WPSF). These realistic liabilities have been included within the long-term business provision and the liability for insurance and investment contracts on the consolidated IFRS balance sheet at 30 June 2011 and 31 December 2010.

 

 

 

30 June 2011

 

31 December 2010

 

Estimated realistic assets
£bn

Realistic

liabilities1

£bn

Estimated realistic inherited

estate2

£bn

Support

Arrange-

ment3

£bn

Estimated risk

Capital

 Margin5

£bn

Estimated
excess
£bn

 

Estimated excess
£bn

NWPSF

19.9

(19.9)

-

1.3

(0.3)

1.0


0.8

OWPSF

3.1

(2.8)

0.3

-

(0.1)

0.2


0.2

WPSF4

20.1

(18.0)

2.1

-

(0.4)

1.7


1.4

Aggregate

43.1

(40.7)

2.4

1.3

(0.8)

2.9


2.4

1. These realistic liabilities include the shareholders' share of future bonuses of £0.6 billion (31 December 2010: £0.7 billion). Realistic liabilities adjusted to eliminate the shareholders' share of future bonuses are £40.1 billion (31 December 2010: £41.5 billion). These realistic liabilities make provision for guarantees, options and promises on a market consistent stochastic basis. The value of the provision included within realistic liabilities is £1.7 billion, £0.3 billion and £2.9 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively (31 December 2010: £1.9 billion, £0.3 billion and £3.1 billion).

2. Estimated realistic inherited estate at 31 December 2010 was £nil, £0.3 billion and £1.8 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively.

3. The support arrangement represents the reattributed estate of £1.3 billion at 30 June 2011 (31 December 2010: £1.2 billion) held within the non-profit fund with WPSF included within the other UK Life operations.

4. The WPSF fund includes the Provident Mutual (PM) fund which has realistic assets and liabilities of £1.7 billion and therefore does not contribute to the realistic inherited estate.

5. The risk capital margin (RCM) is 4.9 times covered by the inherited estate and support arrangement (31 December 2010: 3.7 times).

Investment mix

The aggregate investment mix of the assets in the three main with-profit funds was:

 

 

30 June 2011
 %

31 December 2010
 %

Equity

26%

26%

Property

16%

16%

Fixed interest

55%

57%

Other

3%

1%

The equity backing ratios, including property, supporting with-profit asset shares are 69% in NWPSF and OWPSF, and 68% in WPSF.

 

 

 

Page 89

 

C7 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis

 

 

The Group uses a number of sensitivity test-based risk management tools to understand the volatility of earnings, the volatility of its capital requirements, and to manage its capital more efficiently. Primarily, MCEV, ICA, and scenario analysis are used. Sensitivities to economic and operating experience are regularly produced on all of the Group's financial performance measurements to inform the Group's decision making and planning processes, and as part of the framework for identifying and quantifying the risks that each of its business units, and the Group as a whole are exposed to.

      For long-term business in particular, sensitivities of MCEV performance indicators to changes in both economic and noneconomic experience are continually used to manage the business and to inform the decision making process. More information on MCEV sensitivities can be found in the presentation of results on an MCEV basis in the supplementary section of this report.

Life insurance and investment contracts

The nature of long-term business is such that a number of assumptions are made in compiling these financial statements. Assumptions are made about investment returns, expenses, mortality rates, and persistency in connection with the in-force policies for each business unit. Assumptions are best estimates based on historic and expected experience of the business. A number of the key assumptions for the Group's central scenario are disclosed elsewhere in these statements for both IFRS reporting and reporting under MCEV methodology.

General insurance and health business

General insurance and health claim liabilities are estimated by using standard actuarial claims projection techniques.

      These methods extrapolate the claims development for each accident year based on the observed development of earlier years. In most cases, no explicit assumptions are made as projections are based on assumptions implicit in the historic claims.

Sensitivity test results

Illustrative results of sensitivity testing for long-term business, general insurance and health business and the fund management and non-insurance business are set out below. For each sensitivity test the impact of a reasonably possible change in a single factor is shown, with other assumptions left unchanged.

 

Sensitivity factor

Description of sensitivity factor applied

Interest rate and investment return

The impact of a change in market interest rates by a 1% increase or decrease. The test allows consistently for similar changes to investment returns and movements in the market value of backing fixed interest securities.

Equity/property market values

The impact of a change in equity/property market values by ± 10%.

Expenses

The impact of an increase in maintenance expenses by 10%.

Assurance mortality/morbidity (life insurance only)

The impact of an increase in mortality/morbidity rates for assurance contracts by 5%.

Annuitant mortality (life insurance only)

The impact of a reduction in mortality rates for annuity contracts by 5%.

Gross loss ratios (non-life insurance only)

The impact of an increase in gross loss ratios for general insurance and health business by 5%.

 

Long-term businesses

 

 

30 June 2011

Impact on profit before tax
£m

Interest rates
+1%

Interest rates
-1%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses
+10%

Assurance mortality
+5%

Annuitant mortality
-5%

Insurance participating

5

(105)

60

(120)

(50)

(5)

(40)

Insurance non-participating

(160)

160

40

(40)

(20)

(55)

(320)

Investment participating

(285)

220

80

(75)

(5)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(20)

20

15

(20)

(5)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(5)

10

20

(20)

-

-

-

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

(465)

305

215

(275)

(80)

(60)

(360)

 

 

30 June 2011

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax
£m

Interest rates
+1%

Interest rates
-1%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses
+10%

Assurance mortality
+5%

Annuitant mortality
-5%

Insurance participating

(25)

(70)

60

(120)

(50)

(5)

(40)

Insurance non-participating

(555)

595

40

(40)

(20)

(55)

(320)

Investment participating

(285)

220

80

(75)

(5)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(100)

110

15

(20)

(5)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(120)

125

25

(25)

-

-

-

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

(1,085)

980

220

(280)

(80)

(60)

(360)

 

 

 

 

Page 90

 

 

C7 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued

Long-term businesses continued

 

 

 

31 December 2010

Impact on profit before tax
£m

Interest rates
+1%

Interest rates
-1%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses
+10%

Assurance mortality
+5%

Annuitant mortality
-5%

Insurance participating

(35)

(155)

45

(105)

(30)

(10)

(45)

Insurance non-participating

(210)

225

45

(40)

(10)

(45)

(305)

Investment participating

(20)

15

15

(55)

-

-

-

Investment non-participating

(10)

10

10

(10)

(5)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

30

(35)

15

(10)

-

-

-

Total - continuing operations

(245)

60

130

(220)

(45)

(55)

(350)

Discontinued operations

(60)

5

200

(200)

(40)

-

(5)

Total

(305)

65

330

(420)

(85)

(55)

(355)

 

 

31 December 2010

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax
£m

Interest rates
+1%

Interest rates
-1%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses
+10%

Assurance mortality
+5%

Annuitant mortality
-5%

Insurance participating

(60)

(125)

40

(100)

(30)

(10)

(45)

Insurance non-participating

(575)

635

45

(40)

(10)

(45)

(305)

Investment participating

(20)

15

15

(55)

-

-

-

Investment non-participating

(90)

100

10

(10)

(5)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(75)

70

20

(15)

-

-

-

Total - continuing operations

(820)

695

130

(220)

(45)

(55)

(350)

Discontinued operations

(70)

25

505

(505)

(40)

-

(5)

Total

(890)

720

635

(725)

(85)

(55)

(355)

The different impacts of the economic sensitivities on profit and shareholders' equity arise from classification of certain assets as available for sale in some business units, for which movements in unrealised gains or losses would be taken directly to shareholders' equity.

      The sensitivities to economic movements relate mainly to the UK, US and Italy. In general a fall in market interest rates has a beneficial impact on non-participating business and shareholders' funds due to the increase in market value of fixed interest securities; similarly a rise in interest rates has a negative impact. In the US most debt securities are classified as available-for-sale, which limits the overall sensitivity of IFRS profit to interest rate movements. The mortality sensitivities relate primarily to the UK.

      Changes in sensitivities between 31 December 2010 and 30 June 2011 reflect the deconsolidation of Delta Lloyd on 6th May 2011, as well as movements in market interest rates, portfolio growth, changes to asset mix and relative durations of assets and liabilities and asset liability management actions.

      The impact on the Group's results from sensitivity to these assumptions can also be found in the MCEV sensitivities included in the alternative method of reporting long-term business profits section.

 

 

Page 91

 

 

C7 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued

General insurance and health businesses

 

 

 

30 June 2011

Impact on profit before tax
£m

Interest
rates
+1%

Interest
rates
-1%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses
+10%

Gross loss ratios
+5%

Gross of reinsurance excluding Delta Lloyd

(220)

205

50

(50)

(70)

(155)

Net of reinsurance excluding Delta Lloyd

(280)

280

50

(50)

(70)

(150)

 

 

30 June 2011

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax
£m

Interest
rates
+1%

Interest
rates
-1%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses
+10%

Gross loss ratios
+5%

Gross of reinsurance excluding Delta Lloyd

(220)

205

50

(50)

(30)

(155)

Net of reinsurance excluding Delta Lloyd

(280)

280

50

(50)

(30)

(150)

 

 

31 December 2010

Impact on profit before tax
£m

Interest
rates
+1%

Interest
rates
-1%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses
+10%

Gross loss ratios
+5%

Gross of reinsurance - continuing operations

(235)

220

45

(50)

(110)

(285)

Gross of reinsurance - discontinued operations

(70)

80

50

(50)

(25)

(40)

Total gross of reinsurance

(305)

300

95

(100)

(135)

(325)

 







Net of reinsurance - continuing operations

(290)

285

45

(50)

(110)

(280)

Net of reinsurance - discontinued operations

(70)

80

50

(50)

(25)

(35)

Total net of reinsurance

(360)

365

95

(100)

(135)

(315)

 

 

31 December 2010

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax
£m

Interest
rates
+1%

Interest
rates
-1%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Expenses
+10%

Gross loss ratios
+5%

Gross of reinsurance - continuing operations

(235)

220

45

(50)

(30)

(285)

Gross of reinsurance - discontinued operations

(70)

80

50

(50)

(5)

(40)

Total gross of reinsurance

(305)

300

95

(100)

(35)

(325)

 







Net of reinsurance - continuing operations

(290)

285

45

(50)

(30)

(280)

Net of reinsurance - discontinued operations

(70)

80

50

(50)

(5)

(35)

Total net of reinsurance

(360)

365

95

(100)

(35)

(315)

For general insurance, the impact of the expense sensitivity on profit also includes the increase in ongoing administration expenses, in addition to the increase in the claims handling expense provision.

Fund management and non-insurance businesses

 

30 June 2011

Impact on profit before tax
£m

Interest
rates
+1%

Interest
rates
-1%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

(20)

20

5

35

 

30 June 2011

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax
£m

Interest
rates
+1%

Interest
rates
-1%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

(20)

20

10

35

 

31 December 2010

Impact on profit before tax
£m

Interest
rates
+1%

Interest
rates
-1%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Continuing operations

(15)

15

(5)

55

Discontinued operations

20

(20)

20

(20)

Total

5

(5)

15

35

 

31 December 2010

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax
£m

Interest
rates
+1%

Interest
rates
-1%

Equity/ property
+10%

Equity/ property
-10%

Continuing operations

(15)

15

-

50

Discontinued operations

(15)

25

20

(20)

Total

(30)

40

20

30

 

 

Page 92

 

 

C7 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued

 

 

The sensitivity of the Group's fund management and non-insurance business to movements in equity and property markets includes the impact of hedging instruments held at Group Centre.

 

Delta Lloyd

The HY11 sensitivities contained in the above tables exclude any contribution from Delta Lloyd following deconsolidation of this business. The main financial sensitivities in Delta Lloyd are as follows:

Interest rate risk

Delta Lloyd Group incurs interest rate risk as the value of its assets and liabilities depend on different yield curves. All fixed income assets and instruments bear an additional risk, as the yields on these assets may develop differently from the yields used for discounting the liabilities.

Equity risk and property risk

The Delta Lloyd equity risk is managed by hedging a major part of its equity portfolio. By use of equity options Delta Lloyd Group is protected against the downside risk in the equity portfolio while maintaining upward potential. For property risk Delta Lloyd Group's risk management strategy is focused on retaining a high-quality self-managed portfolio.

Credit risk

The Delta Lloyd credit risk is related primarily to government bonds, corporate bonds, mortgages, reinsurance and other loans. Delta Lloyd maintains a diversified fixed-income investment portfolio that is structured to match its insurance liabilities.

Sensitivity analysis

The financial risk management strategy aims to minimise the exposure to market fluctuations. The techniques used include selling investments, changing investment portfolio allocation and using derivative financial instruments.

      Delta Lloyd's General Insurance business is subject to underwriting, reserve and catastrophe risks, but manages these risks via its governance, control processes, and the purchase of reinsurance.

 

Limitations of sensitivity analysis

The previous tables demonstrate the effect of a change in a key assumption while other assumptions remain unchanged. In reality, there is a correlation between the assumptions and other factors. It should also be noted that these sensitivities are non-linear, and larger or smaller impacts should not be interpolated or extrapolated from these results.

      The sensitivity analyses do not take into consideration that the Group's assets and liabilities are actively managed. Additionally, the financial position of the Group may vary at the time that any actual market movement occurs. For example, the Group's financial risk management strategy aims to manage the exposure to market fluctuations.

      As investment markets move past various trigger levels, management actions could include selling investments, changing investment portfolio allocation, adjusting bonuses credited to policyholders, and taking other protective action.

      A number of the business units use passive assumptions to calculate their long-term business liabilities. Consequently, a change in the underlying assumptions may not have any impact on the liabilities, whereas assets held at market value in the statement of financial position will be affected. In these circumstances, the different measurement bases for liabilities and assets may lead to volatility in shareholder equity. Similarly, for general insurance liabilities, the interest rate sensitivities only affect profit and equity where explicit assumptions are made regarding interest (discount) rates or future inflation.

      Other limitations in the above sensitivity analyses include the use of hypothetical market movements to demonstrate potential risk that only represent the Group's view of possible near-term market changes that cannot be predicted with any certainty; and the assumption that all interest rates move in an identical fashion.

 

 

 


Page 93

Analysis of assets

 

 

In this section


Page



D1   Total assets - Shareholder/policyholder exposure to risk

 

94

D2   Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy

 

95

D3   Analysis of asset quality

 

98

        D3.1 Goodwill, Acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

 

98

        D3.2 Investment property

 

98

        D3.3 Loans

 

99

        D3.4 Financial investments

 

102

D4   Pension fund assets

 

106

D5   Available funds

 

106

D6   Guarantees

 

106

 

 

 


Page 94

 

 

Analysis of assets

 

 

As an insurance business, Aviva Group holds a variety of assets to match the characteristics and duration of its insurance liabilities. Appropriate and effective asset liability matching (on an economic basis) is the principal way in which we manage our investments. In addition, to support this, we also use a variety of hedging and other risk management strategies to diversify away residual mis-match risk that is outside of our risk appetite.

D1 - Total assets - Shareholder/policyholder exposure to risk

 

 

30 June 2011

Policyholder assets

£m

Participating fund assets

£m

Shareholder assets

£m

Total assets analysed

£m

Less
assets of operations classified
as held
for sale

£m

Balance sheet total

£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

5,732

5,732

(513)

5,219

Interests in joint ventures and associates

286

1,582

1,727

3,595

(14)

3,581

Property and equipment

-

121

377

498

(31)

467

Investment property

4,424

5,660

1,152

11,236

-

11,236

Loans

-

6,232

18,608

24,840

(12)

24,828

Financial investments







   Debt securities

14,997

85,861

54,796

155,654

-

155,654

   Equity securities

23,295

12,103

1,237

36,635

-

36,635

   Other investments

27,898

5,745

2,077

35,720

(3)

35,717

Reinsurance assets

1,389

733

4,449

6,571

(1)

6,570

Deferred tax assets

-

-

138

138

(2)

136

Current tax assets

-

-

112

112

-

112

Receivables and other financial assets

323

2,773

6,259

9,355

(84)

9,271

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

122

222

5,631

5,975

(19)

5,956

Prepayments and accrued income

135

1,580

1,684

3,399

(9)

3,390

Cash and cash equivalents

4,334

10,259

8,553

23,146

(40)

23,106

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

728

728

Total

77,203

132,871

112,532

322,606

-

322,606

Interest in Delta Lloyd as an associate

-

-

1,061

1,061

-

1,061

Total (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

77,203

132,871

111,471

321,545

-

321,545

Total % (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

24.0%

41.3%

34.7%

100.0%

0.0%

100.0%

FY10 as reported

85,462

136,787

147,858

370,107

-

370,107

Delta Lloyd

10,947

8,815

39,501

59,263

-

59,263

FY10 Total (excluding Delta Lloyd)

74,515

127,972

108,357

310,844

-

310,844

FY10 Total % (excluding Delta Lloyd)

24.0%

41.2%

34.8%

100.0%

-

100.0%

As at 30 June 2011, 34.7% of our total asset base was shareholder assets, 41.3% participating assets where Aviva shareholders have partial exposure, and 24.0% policyholder assets where Aviva shareholders have no exposure. Of the total assets, investment property, loans and financial investments comprised £264.1billion, compared to £254.6 billion at 31 December 2010 (excluding Delta Lloyd).

      During 2011 Aviva have completed a partial disposal of their equity holding in Delta Lloyd.

      At 31 December 2010 Aviva held a controlling interest of 58% in Delta Lloyd's issued equity, and as a result and in accordance with IFRS, consolidated 100% of Delta Lloyd's assets and liabilities. At 30 June 2011 Aviva held 43% of Delta Lloyd's issued equity and is no longer considered to have control of Delta Lloyd. The Group therefore no longer consolidates Delta Lloyd's assets and liabilities as at 30 June 2011. In place of 100% of Delta Lloyd's assets, there is a substantial asset shown as a 'Share in joint ventures and associates' which represents Aviva's equity share of Delta Lloyd. As a result, a direct comparison of the 31 December 2010 and 30 June 2011 balance sheets for asset quality purposes would be distorted by the effect of this deconsolidation. Throughout the disclosure, therefore, Delta Lloyd have been excluded for the purposes of the 31 December 2010 balance sheet to allow a proper comparison.  Aviva continue to actively monitor the quality of Delta Lloyd's balance sheet and manage the Group balance sheet holistically including all sources of risk within our overall risk appetite.

 

 

Page 95

 

 

D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy

 

 

 

30 June 2011

Total assets

Fair value
£m

Amortised cost
£m

Equity
accounted/

tax assets1

£m

Total
£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

5,732

-

5,732

Interests in joint ventures and associates (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

-

-

2,534

2,534

Property and equipment

245

253

-

498

Investment property

11,236

-

-

11,236

Loans

15,757

9,083

-

24,840

Financial investments





   Debt securities

155,654

-

-

155,654

   Equity securities

36,635

-

-

36,635

   Other investments

35,720

-

-

35,720

Reinsurance assets

-

6,571

-

6,571

Deferred tax assets

-

-

138

138

Current tax assets

-

-

112

112

Receivables and other financial assets

-

9,355

-

9,355

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

5,975

-

5,975

Prepayments and accrued income

-

3,399

-

3,399

Cash and cash equivalents

23,146

-

-

23,146

Total (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

278,393

40,368

2,784

321,545

Total % (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

86.6%

12.6%

0.8%

100.0%

FY10 Total (excluding Delta Lloyd)

270,973

37,171

2,700

310,844

FY10 Total % (excluding Delta Lloyd)

87.2%

11.9%

0.9%

100%

1. Within the group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted within the analysis of the group's assets.

 

Total assets - Policyholder assets 30 June 2011

Fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Equity accounted/

tax assets1

£m

Total

£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

-

-

Interests in joint ventures and associates (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

-

-

286

286

Property and equipment

-

-

-

-

Investment property

4,424

-

-

4,424

Loans

 

 

 

-

   Debt securities

14,997

-

-

14,997

   Equity securities

23,295

-

-

23,295

   Other investments

27,898

-

-

27,898

Reinsurance assets

-

1,389

-

1,389

Deferred tax assets

-

-

-

-

Current tax assets

-

-

-

-

Receivables and other financial assets

-

323

-

323

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

122

-

122

Prepayments and accrued income

-

135

-

135

Cash and cash equivalents

4,334

-

-

4,334

Total (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

74,948

1,969

286

77,203

Total % (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

97.0%

2.6%

0.4%

100.0%

FY10 Total (excluding Delta Lloyd)

72,280

1,644

591

74,515

FY10 Total % (excluding Delta Lloyd)

97.0%

2.2%

0.8%

100%

1. Within the group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted within the analysis of the group's assets.

 

 

Page 96

 

 

D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

 

 

Total assets - Participating fund assets 30 June 2011

Fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Equity accounted/

tax assets1

£m

Total

£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

-

-

Interests in joint ventures and associates (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

-

-

1,582

1,582

Property and equipment

27

94

-

121

Investment property

5,660

-

-

5,660

Loans

1,017

5,215

-

6,232

Financial investments

 

 

 

 

   Debt securities

85,861

-

-

85,861

   Equity securities

12,103

-

-

12,103

   Other investments

5,745

-

-

5,745

Reinsurance assets

-

733

-

733

Deferred tax assets

-

-

-

-

Current tax assets

-

-

-

-

Receivables and other financial assets

-

2,773

-

2,773

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

222

-

222

Prepayments and accrued income

-

1,580

-

1,580

Cash and cash equivalents

10,259

-

-

10,259

Total (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

120,672

10,617

1,582

132,871

Total % (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

90.8%

8.0%

1.2%

100.0%

FY10 Total (excluding Delta Lloyd)

118,517

8,936

519

127,972

FY10 Total % (excluding Delta Lloyd)

92.6%

7.0%

0.4%

100%

1. Within the group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted within the analysis of the group's assets.

 

Total assets - Shareholder assets 30 June 2011

Fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Equity accounted/

tax assets1

£m

Total

£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

5,732

-

5,732

Interests in joint ventures and associates (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

-

-

666

666

Property and equipment

218

159

-

377

Investment property

1,152

-

-

1,152

Loans

14,740

3,868

-

18,608

Financial investments

 

 

 

 

   Debt securities

54,796

-

-

54,796

   Equity securities

1,237

-

-

1,237

   Other investments

2,077

-

-

2,077

Reinsurance assets

-

4,449

-

4,449

Deferred tax assets

-

-

138

138

Current tax assets

-

-

112

112

Receivables and other financial assets

-

6,259

-

6,259

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

5,631

-

5,631

Prepayments and accrued income

-

1,684

-

1,684

Cash and cash equivalents

8,553

-

-

8,553

Total (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

82,773

27,782

916

111,471

Total % (excluding Delta Lloyd as an associate)

74.3%

24.9%

0.8%

100.0%

FY10 Total (excluding Delta Lloyd)

80.176

26,591

1,590

108,357

FY10 Total % (excluding Delta Lloyd)

74.0%

24.5%

1.5%

100%

1. Within the group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted within the analysis of the group's assets.

 

 

Page 97

 

 

D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

 

 

Financial instruments (including derivatives and loans)

The Group classifies its investments as either financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (FV) or financial assets available for sale (AFS). The classification depends on the purpose for which the investments were acquired, and is determined by local management
at initial recognition. The FV category has two subcategories - those that meet the definition as being held for trading and those the Group chooses to designate as FV (referred to in this section as "other than trading").

      In general, the FV category is used as, in most cases, our investment or risk management strategy is to manage our financial investments on a fair value basis. All securities in the FV category are classified as other than trading, except for non-hedge derivatives and a small amount of debt and equity securities, bought with the intention to resell in the short term, which are classified as trading. The AFS category is used where the relevant long-term business liability (including shareholders' funds) is passively managed.

      Loans are carried at amortised cost, except for certain mortgage loans, where we have taken advantage of the fair value option under IAS 39 to present the mortgages, associated borrowings, other liabilities and derivative financial instruments at fair value, since they are managed together on a fair value basis. We believe this presentation provides more relevant information and eliminates any accounting mismatch that would otherwise arise from using different measurement bases for these four items.

Fair value hierarchy

To provide further information on the valuation techniques we use to measure assets carried at fair value, we have categorised the measurement basis for assets carried at fair value into a 'fair value hierarchy' in accordance with the valuation inputs and consistent with IFRS7 Financial Instruments: Disclosures.

n Inputs to Level 1 fair values are quoted prices (unadjusted) in active markets for identical assets.

n Inputs to Level 2 fair values are inputs other than quoted prices included within Level 1 that are observable for the asset, either directly or indirectly. If the asset has a specified (contractual) term, a Level 2 input must be observable for substantially the full term of the asset.

n Inputs to Level 3 fair values are unobservable inputs for the asset. Unobservable inputs may have been used to measure fair value to the extent that observable inputs are not available, thereby allowing for situations in which there is little, if any, market activity for the asset at the measurement date (or market information for the inputs to any valuation models). As such, unobservable inputs reflect the assumptions the business unit considers that market participants would use in pricing the asset. Examples are certain private equity investments and private placements.

 

Fair values sourced from internal models are Level 2 only if substantially all the inputs are market observable. Otherwise fair values sourced from internal models are classified as Level 3.

      The table below presents an analysis of investments according to fair value hierarchy:

 

 

Fair value hierarchy

 

 

 

Total assets

30 June 2011

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Sub-total

 fair value

£m

Amortised

cost

£m

Less:
Assets of operations classified
as held
for sale

£m

Balance sheet

total

£m

Investment properties

-

11,236

-

11,236

-

-

11,236

Loans

-

15,757

-

15,757

9,083

(12)

24,828

Debt securities

106,393

40,352

8,909

155,654

-

-

155,654

Equity securities

35,383

724

528

36,635

-

-

36,635

Other investments (including derivatives)

27,121

5,749

2,850

35,720

-

(3)

35,717

Total

168,897

73,818

12,287

255,002

9,083

(15)

264,070

Total %

64.0%

28.0%

4.6%

96.6%

3.4%

-

100.0%

FY10 Total (excluding Delta Lloyd)

163,302

71,153

11,830

246,285

8,352

-

254,637

FY10 Total % (excluding Delta Lloyd)

64.1%

28.0%

4.6%

96.7%

3.3%

-

100%

At 30 June 2011, the proportion of total financial investments, loans and investment properties classified as Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy were broadly level at 64.0% (31 December 2010: 64.1%). At Level 2 and Level 3 (fair valued using models with significant unobservable market parameters) financial investments, loans and investment properties have remained constant at 28.0% (31 December 2010: 28.0%) and 4.6% (31 December 2010: 4.6%) , respectively

 

Page 98

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality

D3.1 - Goodwill, Acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

 

 

The group's goodwill, acquired value of in-force business and the majority of other intangible assets have arisen from the group's business combinations. These business combinations include several bancassurance arrangements, which have resulted in £689 million of the total £3,107 million of goodwill and £797 million of the total £2,625 million of other intangible assets. These balances primarily represent the value of bancassurance distribution agreements acquired in these business combinations, and are before the deduction of goodwill and other intangibles held for sale.

 

D3.2 - Investment property

 

 

 

30 June 2011

 

31 December 2010

Excluding Delta Lloyd

 

Fair value hierarchy

 

 

Fair value hierarchy

 

Investment property - Total

Level 1
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

 

Level 1
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Lease to third parties under operating leases

-

11,224

-

11,224

 

-

10,936

-

10,936

Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation

-

12

-

12

 

-

85

-

85

Total

-

11,236

-

11,236

 

-

11,021

-

11,021

Total %

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

 

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

 

 

30 June 2011

 

31 December 2010

Excluding Delta Lloyd

 

Fair value hierarchy

 

 

Fair value hierarchy

 

Investment property - Shareholder assets

Level 1
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

 

Level 1
£m

Level 2
£m

Level 3
£m

Total
£m

Lease to third parties under operating leases

-

1,140

-

1,140

 

-

485

-

485

Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation

-

12

-

12

 

-

14

-

14

Total

-

1,152

-

1,152

 

-

499

-

499

Total %

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

 

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

90% (31 December 2010: 95%) of investment properties by value are held in unit-linked or participating funds. Shareholder exposure to investment properties is principally through investments in Property Limited Partnerships (PLPs). Depending on the Group's interest in these PLPs its investments are classified as either interest in joint ventures, unit trusts or consolidated as a subsidiary, in which case the underlying investment properties held by the PLP are included on the balance sheet. The increase in shareholder exposure to investment properties is a result of the consolidation of more PLPs at 30 June 2011 compared to 2010 and is entirely offset by a reduction in shareholder exposure to PLPs classified as joint ventures.

      Investment properties are stated at their market values as assessed by qualified external valuers or by local qualified staff of the Group in overseas operations, all with recent relevant experience. Values are calculated using a discounted cash flow approach and are based on current rental income plus anticipated uplifts at the next rent review, assuming no future growth in rental income. This uplift and the discount rate are derived from rates implied by recent market transactions on similar properties. The basis of valuation therefore naturally falls to be classified as Level 2. Valuations are typically undertaken on a quarterly (and in some cases monthly) basis.

      99% (31 December 2010: 99%) of investment properties by value are leased to third parties under operating leases, with the remainder either being vacant or held for capital appreciation.

 

 

Page 99

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Loans

The Group loan portfolio is principally made up of:

n Policy loans which are generally collateralised by a lien or charge over the underlying policy;

n Loans and advances to banks, which primarily relate to loans of cash collateral received in stock lending transactions.
These loans are fully collateralised by other securities;

n Mortgage loans collateralised by property assets; and

n Other loans, which include loans and advances to customers of our banking business, and to brokers and intermediaries.

 

Loans with fixed maturities, including policy loans, mortgage loans (at amortised cost) and loans and advances to banks, are recognised when cash is advanced to borrowers. These loans are carried at their unpaid principal balances and adjusted for amortisation of premium or discount, non-refundable loan fees and related direct costs. These amounts are deferred and amortised over the life of the loan as an adjustment to loan yield using the effective interest rate method.

      For certain mortgage loans, the Group has taken advantage of the revised fair value option under IAS 39 to present the mortgages, associated borrowings, other liabilities and derivative financial instruments at fair value, since they are managed together on a fair value basis. Due to the illiquid nature of these assets, where fair value accounting is applied, it is done so on a Level 2 basis.

 

Loans - Total assets
30 June 2011

United

Kingdom
£m

Aviva Europe
£m

North America
£m

Asia
Pacific
£m

Total
£m

Policy loans

39

977

433

38

1,487

Loans and advances to banks

4,783

-

-

-

4,783

Mortgage loans

16,082

4

2,192

-

18,278

Other loans

177

15

98

2

292

Total*

21,081

996

2,723

40

24,840

Total %

84.8%

4.0%

11.0%

0.2%

100.0%

FY10 Total (excluding Delta Lloyd)

20,407

977

2,529

40

23,953

FY10 Total % (excluding Delta Lloyd)

85.2%

4.1%

10.5%

0.2%

100.0%

*Includes £12 million classified as held for sale

 

Loans - Total shareholder assets
30 June 2011

United Kingdom
£m

Aviva Europe
£m

North America
£m

Asia
Pacific
£m

Total
£m

Policy loans

7

14

231

38

290

Loans and advances to banks

856

-

-

-

856

Mortgage loans

15,071

1

2,109

-

17,181

Other loans

177

4

98

2

281

Total*

16,111

19

2,438

40

18,608

Total %

86.6%

0.1%

13.1%

0.2%

100.0%

FY10 Total (excluding Delta Lloyd)

15,899

18

2,256

40

18,213

FY10 Total % (excluding Delta Lloyd)

87.3%

0.1%

12.4%

0.2%

100.0%

The value of the group's loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), at 30 June 2011 stood at £24.8 billion (31 December 2010 (excluding Delta Lloyd): £24.0 billion), an increase of £0.8 billion.

      The total shareholder exposure to loans increased to £18.6 billion (31 December 2010 (excluding Delta Lloyd): £18.2 billion), and represented 75% of the total loan portfolio, with the remaining 25% in participating funds (£6.2 billion).

 

 

Page 100

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Loans continued

 

 

Mortgage loans - Shareholder assets

 

 

30 June 2011

United Kingdom
£m

Aviva Europe
£m

North America
£m

Asia
Pacific
£m

Total
£m

Non-securitised mortgage loans

 

 

 

 

 

- Residential

-

1

-

-

1

- Equity release

2,092

-

-

-

2,092

- Commercial

8,166

-

2,109

-

10,275

- Healthcare

2,897

-

-

-

2,897

 

13,155

1

2,109

-

15,265

Securitised mortgage loans

1,916

-

-

-

1,916

Total

15,071

1

2,109

-

17,181

FY10 Total (excluding Delta Lloyd)

14,918

1

1,943

-

16,862

Of the group's total loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), 74% (31 December 2010 (excluding Delta Lloyd): 74%) is invested in mortgage loans. The group's mortgage loan portfolio spans several business units, primarily in the UK and USA, and across various sectors, including residential loans, commercial loans and government supported healthcare loans. Aviva shareholders are exposed predominantly to mortgage loans (accounting for 92% of total Shareholder asset loans). This section focuses on explaining the residual shareholder risk within these exposures.

      Mortgage loan assets are divided into type of loan (residential, equity release, commercial, healthcare and securitised) and the regions in which they are held (predominantly United Kingdom and the United States). Each loan type and region has its own unique characteristic and composition.

UK Residential

The UK non-securitised residential mortgage portfolio has a total current value of £2.1 billion (31 December 2010: £2.0 billion). The increase from 2010 to 2011 relates to c£0.2bn of new loans and accrued interest offset by c£0.1bn of repayments and fair value losses. These mortgages are all in the form of equity release, whereby homeowners that usually own a fully paid up property will mortgage it to release cash equity. Due to the low relative levels of equity released in each property, they predominantly all currently have a Loan to Value ("LTV") of below 70%, and the average LTV across the portfolio is approximately 29% (31 December 2010: 26%). We therefore consider these mortgages to be low risk.

Non-securitised mortgage loans - Commercial

Gross exposure by loan to value and arrears

United Kingdom - shareholder assets

 

30 June 2011

>120%
£m

115-

120%
£m

110-

115%
£m

105-

110%
£m

100-

105%
£m

95-
100%
£m

90-
95%
£m

80-
90%
£m

70-
80%
£m

<70%
£m

Total
£m

Not in arrears

211

19

119

1,195

2,117

827

595

1,548

1,008

307

7,946

0 - 3 months

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

3

-

-

3

3 - 6 months

11

-

-

-

-

-

6

35

-

-

52

6 - 12 months

9

43

7

-

-

-

-

59

1

-

119

> 12 months

12

-

-

-

-

23

3

-

-

8

46

Total

243

62

126

1,195

2,117

850

604

1,645

1,009

315

8,166

Of the total £9.2 billion of UK non-securitised commercial mortgage loans, held in both the shareholder and participating funds, £8.8 billion are held by our UK Life business to back annuity liabilities, and are stated on a fair value basis. The loan exposures for our UK Life business are calculated on a discounted cash flow basis, and include a risk adjustment through the use of Credit Risk Adjusted Value ("CRAV") methods. Aviva UK General Insurance hold the remaining £405 million of loans which are stated on an amortised cost basis and are subject to impairment review, using a fair value methodology calibrated to the UK Life approach, adjusted for specific portfolio characteristics.

      Loan service collection ratios, a key indicator of mortgage portfolio performance, remained high during the period. Loan Interest Cover ("LIC"), which is defined as the annual net rental income (including rental deposits and less ground rent) divided by the annual loan interest service, remained stable at 1.32x due to low levels of material tenant defaults. In addition, mortgage LTV's were little changed over the period whilst the amount of uncovered exposure has reduced.

      All loans in arrears have been assessed for impairment. Of the £220 million (31 December 2010: £246 million) value of loans in arrears, the interest and capital amount in arrears is only £19.5 million. The valuation allowance (including supplementary provisions) made in the UK for corporate bonds and commercial mortgages (including healthcare mortgages) carried at fair value equates to 66bps and 79bps respectively at 30 June 2011 (31 December 2010: 63bps and 78bps respectively). This is equivalent to a valuation allowance of £1.3 billion (31 December 2010: £1.3 billion) over the remaining term of the UK Life corporate bond and commercial mortgage portfolio which maintains a strong buffer against potential future losses. In addition, we hold £91 million (31 December 2010: £60 million) of impairment provisions in our UK General Insurance mortgage portfolio, which is carried at amortised cost.

 

 

Page 101

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Loans continued

The UK portfolio remains well diversified in terms of property type, location and tenants as well as the spread of loans written over time. The risks in commercial mortgages are addressed through several layers of protection with the mortgage risk profile being primarily driven by the ability of the underlying tenant rental income to cover loan interest and amortisation. Should any single tenant default on their rental payment, rental from other tenants backing the same loan often ensures the loan interest cover does not fall below 1.0x. Where there are multiple loans to a single borrower further protection may be achieved through cross-charging (or pooling) such that any single loan is also supported by rents received within other pool loans. Additionally, there may be support provided by the borrower of the loan itself and further loss mitigation from any general floating charge held over other assets within the borrower companies.

      If the LIC cover falls below 1.0x and the borrower defaults then Aviva still retains the option of selling the security or restructuring the loans and benefiting from the protection of the collateral. A combination of these benefits and the high recovery levels afforded by property collateral (compared to corporate debt or other uncollateralised credit exposures) results in the economic exposure being significantly lower than the gross exposure reported above."

UK Primary Healthcare & PFI

Of the £11.1 billion (31 December 2010: £11.0 billion) UK non-securitised commercial and healthcare mortgage loans in the Shareholders Fund, £2.9 billion (31 December 2010: £2.8 billion) relates to primary healthcare & PFI businesses and is secured against General Practitioner premises, other primary health related premises or schools leased to government bodies. For all such loans, Government support is provided through either direct funding or reimbursement of rental payments to the tenants to meet income service and provide for the debt to be reduced substantially over the term of the loan. Although the loan principal is not Government guaranteed, the nature of these businesses and premises provides considerable comfort of an ongoing business model and low risk of default.

      On a market value basis, we estimate the average LTV of these mortgages to be 90%, although as explained above, we do not consider this to be a key risk driver. Income support from the government bodies and the social need for these premises provide sustained income stability. Aviva therefore considers these loans to be low risk and uncorrelated with the strength of the UK or global economy.

Non-securitised mortgage loans - Commercial

Gross exposure by loan to value and arrears

North America - shareholder assets

 

30 June 2011

>120%
£m

115-

120%
£m

110-

115%
£m

105-

110%
£m

100-

105%
£m

95-
100%
£m

90-
95%
£m

80-
90%
£m

70-
80%
£m

<70%
£m

Total
£m

Neither past due nor impaired

11

-

14

19

9

39

58

189

435

1,315

2,089

0 - 3 months

-

-

-

1

-

2

-

-

-

-

3

3 - 6 months

-

-

-

-

17

-

-

-

-

-

17

6 - 12 months

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

> 12 months

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total

11

-

14

20

26

41

58

189

435

1,315

2,109

Total %

0.5%

0.0%

0.7%

0.9%

1.2%

1.9%

2.8%

9.0%

20.6%

62.4%

100.0%

Aviva USA currently holds £2.1 billion (31 December 2010: £1.9 billion) of commercial mortgages under shareholder assets. Of these, 62% (31 December 2010: 59%) have LTV ratios of below 70%, and 92% (31 December 2010: 90%) have LTV ratios of below 90%. The mortgage portfolio currently has a total of £71 million (3% of portfolio) in principal balances where the LTV exceeds 100%. These mortgages continue to perform well, reflecting:

n Low underwriting LTVs (shall not exceed 80% at the time of issuance), and consequently a portfolio with an average LTV of 65% (31 December 2010: 65%);

n A highly diversified portfolio, with strong volumes in many states with more stable economies and related real estate values; and

n Strong LIC ratios, with 94% of the loans having an LIC above 1.4x, and 3% with LIC below 1.0x.

 

As at 30 June 2011, the actual amount of payment in arrears was £1.2 million.

Securitised mortgage loans

Of the total securitised residential mortgages (£1.9 billion), approximately £262 million of securities are still held by Aviva. The remaining securities have been sold to third parties, and therefore present little credit risk to Aviva. Securitised residential mortgages held are predominantly issued through vehicles in the UK.

 

 

Page 102

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.4 - Financial investments

 

 

Total Assets

30 June 2011

 

31 December 2010

Excluding Delta Lloyd

 

Cost/
amortised
cost
£m

Unrealised
gains
£m

Impairment
and
Unrealised
losses
£m

Fair value
£m

 

Cost/
amortised
cost
£m

Unrealised
gains
£m

Impairment and
Unrealised
losses
£m

Fair value
£m

Debt securities

151,271

8,270

(3,887)

155,654


145,418

7,104

(3,671)

148,851

Equity securities

32,981

5,595

(1,941)

36,635

32,077

5,431

(2,038)

35,470

Other investments

34,732

1,868

(880)

35,720


33,225

2,733

(618)

35,340

Total

218,984

15,733

(6,708)

228,009


210,720

15,268

(6,327)

219,661

The table above is a summary of the cost/amortised cost, gross unrealised gains and losses and fair value of financial investments.

      Aviva holds large quantities of high quality bonds, primarily to match our liability to make guaranteed payments to policyholders. Some credit risk is taken, partly to increase returns to policyholders and partly to optimise the risk/return profile for shareholders.
The risks are consistent with the products we offer and the related investment mandates, and are in line with our risk appetite.

      The Group also holds equities, the majority of which are held in participating funds or unit linked funds, where they form an integral part of the investment expectations of policyholders and follow well-defined investment mandates. Some equities are also held in shareholder funds and the staff pension schemes, where the holdings are designed to maximise long-term returns with an acceptable level of risk. The vast majority of equity investments are valued at quoted market prices.

D3.4.1 - Debt securities

 

 

30 June 2011

 

Fair value hierarchy

 

Debt securities - Shareholder assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

UK Government

2,125

-

-

2,125

Non-UK Government

6,048

4,149

117

10,314

   Europe

4,901

273

-

5,174

   North America

363

3,480

11

3,854

   Asia Pacific & Other

784

396

106

1,286

Corporate bonds - Public utilities

2,298

2,723

17

5,038

Corporate convertible bonds

7

133

-

140

Other corporate bonds

9,903

20,534

444

30,881

Other

1,376

4,728

194

6,298

Total

21,757

32,267

772

54,796

Total %

39.7%

58.9%

1.4%

100.0%

FY10 (excluding Delta Lloyd)

21,040

32,285

845

54,170

FY10 % (excluding Delta Lloyd)

38.8%

59.6%

1.6%

100.0%

Only 1.4% (31 December 2010: 1.6%) of shareholder exposure to debt securities is fair valued using models with significant unobservable market parameters (classified as Fair Value Level 3). Where estimates are used, these are based on a combination of independent third party evidence and internally developed models, calibrated to market observable data where possible.

      40% of shareholder exposure to debt securities is based on quoted prices in an active market and are therefore classified as Fair Value Level 1 (31 December 2010: 39%). The majority of the debt instruments held by our North American businesses are valued by independent pricing firms in accordance with usual market practice in that region and consistent with other companies operating in the region are classified as Level 2 in the Fair Value hierarchy. Excluding our North American businesses, the proportion of shareholder debt securities classified as Level 1 in the Fair Value hierarchy would be 84% (31 December 2010: 84%).

       

 

 

Page 103

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.4 - Financial investments continued

 

D3.4.1 - Debt securities continued

 

 

 

External ratings

 

 

Debt securities - Shareholder assets

30 June 2011

AAA

£m

AA

£m

A

£m

BBB

£m

Less than BBB

£m

Non-rated

£m

Total

£m

Government








UK Government

2,105

-

-

-

-

-

2,105

UK local authorities

4

-

-

-

-

16

20

Non-UK Government

5,278

3,308

1,130

365

163

70

10,314

 

7,387

3,308

1,130

365

163

86

12,439

Corporate







 

Public utilities

12

344

2,709

1,603

82

288

5,038

Convertibles and bonds with warrants

7

-

47

85

-

1

140

Other corporate bonds

1,538

4,947

10,214

8,647

1,385

4,150

30,881

 

1,557

5,291

12,970

10,335

1,467

4,439

36,059

Certificates of deposits

-

161

160

117

108

20

566

Structured








RMBS non-agency sub-prime

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

RMBS non-agency ALT A

12

5

6

11

131

-

165

RMBS non-agency prime

108

20

10

21

23

-

182

RMBS agency

1,378

-

-

-

-

-

1,378

 

1,498

25

16

32

154

-

1,725

CMBS

1,280

215

368

144

211

3

2,221

ABS

687

167

148

77

30

23

1,132

CDO (including CLO)

-

-

-

1

107

-

108

ABCP

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

ABFRN

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

 

1,967

382

516

222

348

26

3,461

Wrapped credit

-

186

85

83

40

56

450

Other

-

4

92

-

-

-

96

Total

12,409

9,357

14,969

11,154

2,280

4,627

54,796

Total %

22.6%

17.1%

27.3%

20.4%

4.2%

8.4%

100.0%

FY10 (excluding Delta Lloyd)

13,280

8,112

14,796

10,936

2,146

4,900

54,170

FY10 % (excluding Delta Lloyd)

24.5%

15.0%

27.3%

20.2%

4.0%

9.0%

100.0%

The overall quality of the book remains strong, despite the continuing downgrade activity by the major rating agencies during the first two quarters of 2011. 23% of shareholder exposure to debt securities is in government holdings (31 December 2010 (excluding Delta Lloyd): 23%). Our corporate debt securities portfolio represents 66% (31 December 2010 (excluding Delta Lloyd): 65%) of total shareholder debt securities. 

      The majority of non-rated corporate bonds are held by our businesses in the US and UK.

      During the first two quarters of 2011, the proportion of our shareholder debt securities that are investment grade remained relatively stable at 87.4% (31 December 2010 (excluding Delta Lloyd): 87.0%). The remaining 12.6% of shareholder debt securities that do not have an external rating of BBB or higher can be split as follows:

n 4.2% are debt securities that are rated as below investment grade

n 3.7% are US private placements which are not rated by the major ratings agencies, but are rated as an average equivalent of A by the Securities Valuation Office of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC), a US national regulatory agency

n 4.7% are not rated by the major rating agencies or the NAIC.

Of the securities not rated by an external agency or NAIC most are allocated an internal rating using a methodology largely consistent with that adopted by an external ratings agency, and are considered to be of investment grade credit quality; these include £2.1 billion (3.8% of total shareholder debt securities) of debt securities held in our UK Life business, predominantly made up of private placements and other corporate bonds, which have been internally rated as investment grade. 

 

 

Page 104

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.4 - Financial investments continued

 

 

The majority of the Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) are U.S. investments and over 86% of this exposure is backed by one of the U.S. Government Sponsored Entities (GSEs) including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac which, under the conservatorship arrangements implemented in September 2008, have an implicit guarantee, although they are not expressly backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. Government.

      The Group has extremely limited exposure to CDOs, CLOs and 'Sub-prime' debt securities.

      Asset backed securities (ABS) are held primarily by our US business. 95% of the Group's shareholder holdings in ABS are investment grade. ABS that either have a rating below BBB or are not rated represent less than 0.1% of shareholder exposure to debt securities.

D3.4.2 - Equity securities

 

 

30 June 2011

 

31 December 2010

Excluding Delta Lloyd

 

Fair value hierarchy

 

 

Fair value hierarchy

 

Equity securities - Shareholder assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

 

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Public utilities

27

-

-

27

 

22

-

-

22

Banks, trusts and insurance companies

186

84

367

637

 

201

78

352

631

Industrial miscellaneous and all other

247

-

10

257

 

247

2

9

258

Non-redeemable preferred shares

-

316

-

316

 

2

196

4

202

Total

460

400

377

1,237

 

472

276

365

1,113

Total %

37.2%

32.3%

30.5%

100.0%

 

42.4%

24.8%

32.8%

100.0%

37% of our shareholder exposure to equity securities is based on quoted prices in an active market and as such is classified as Level 1 (31 December 2010: 42%). The increase in absolute amount and relative proportion of Level 2 shareholder equities is principally a result of an increase of £112 million in non-redeemable preference shares held by our Canadian business unit, following a strategic decision to further invest in this asset class. As a result Level 2 shareholder equities as proportion of total shareholder equities have increased from 25% in 2010 to 32% at 30 June 2011. 

      Shareholder investments include a strategic holding in UniCredit and other Italian banks of £459 million (£287 million net of non-controlling interest share).

D3.4.3 - Other investments

 

 

30 June 2011

 

31 December 2010

Excluding Delta Lloyd

 

Fair value hierarchy

 

 

Fair value hierarchy

 

Other investments - Shareholder assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

 

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Unit trusts and other investment vehicles

205

140

300

645

 

275

202

262

739

Derivative financial instruments

65

1,060

13

1,138

 

67

899

10

976

Deposits with credit institutions

146

-

30

176

 

161

11

28

200

Minority holdings in property management undertakings

-

56

-

56

 

-

60

-

60

Other

11

-

51

62

 

9

2

51

62

Total

427

1,256

394

2,077

 

512

1,174

351

2,037

Total %

20.5%

60.5%

19.0%

100.0%

 

25.1%

57.7%

17.2%

100.0%

In total 81% (31 December 2010: 83%) of shareholder other investments, are classified as Level 1 or 2 in the fair value hierarchy. The unit trusts and other investment vehicles invest in a variety of assets with the majority of the value being invested in Property and Equity securities with a smaller portion being invested in Debt Securities. The relative increase Level in 2 and 3 other investments compared to Level 1 investments reflect asset allocation decisions made by individual businesses rather than transfers between fair value hierarchies. In the UK there has been a reduction in shareholder investments in unit trusts (predominately Level 1), while in the US there have been some further investments made in hedge funds (classified as Level 3). The increase in shareholder exposure to Level 2 derivative instruments arises in our US business, principally as a result of valuation increases on index options.

D3.4.4 - Available for sale investments - Impairments and duration and amount of unrealised losses

The total impairment expense for the six months to 30 June 2011 for AFS debt securities was £8 million (31 December 2010: £79 million) of which £7 million relates to Alt-A securities in our U.S. business, that are not yet in default. However, continued deterioration in market values and defaults on more junior tranches are considered indicators of impairment.

      Total unrealised losses on available for sale debt securities at 30 June 2011 were £115 million (31 December 2010: £373 million) and are at their lowest level since the onset of the credit crisis in 2007.

      Since the disposal of Delta Lloyd the Group no longer has any significant direct interest in equity securities classified as available for sale.

 

 

Page 105

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.4 - Financial investments continued

D3.4.5 - Exposures to peripheral European countries

 

 

As with other disclosures in the analysis of assets section, all current and comparative figures stated below exclude Delta Lloyd.

Included in our debt securities and other financial assets are exposures to peripheral European countries. All of these assets are held on a mark to market through the profit and loss basis under IAS 39, and therefore our balance sheet and profit and loss statement already reflect any reduction in value between the date of purchase and the balance sheet date.

      We have limited exposure to Greek sovereign, financial or other counterparties, especially within our shareholder assets.

 

Direct exposures to Greece (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)

30 June 2011

Participating fund assets

£m

Shareholder assets

£m

Total

£m

Sovereign

72

1

73

Financial

-

10

10

Non financial

3

4

7

Total

75

15

90

Our exposure to the governments (and local authorities and agencies) of Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain has reduced since FY10 and is detailed below. 98% (FY10: 73%) of our shareholder asset exposure to Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain countries arises from investment exposure in businesses domiciled in the respective countries.

 

Direct sovereign exposures to Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)

30 June 2011

Participating fund assets

£billion

Shareholder assets

£billion

Total

£billion

Greece

0.1

-

0.1

Ireland

0.4

0.2

0.6

Portugal

0.3

-

0.3

Spain

0.6

0.3

0.9

Total Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain

1.4

0.5

1.9

FY10 Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain

1.4

0.7

2.1

In addition, we hold £7.5 billion of Italian sovereign debt. The significant majority of this holding is within our participating funds where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds.

 

Direct sovereign exposures to Italy (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)

30 June 2011

Participating fund assets

£billion

Shareholder assets

£billion

Total

£billion

Italy

6.6

0.9

7.5

 

 

Page 106

 

 

D4 - Pension fund assets

 

 

In addition to the assets recognised directly on the group's balance sheet outlined in the disclosures above, the Group is also exposed to the ''Plan assets'' that are shown net of the present value of scheme liabilities within the IAS 19 net pension deficit. Pension surpluses are included within other assets and pension deficits are recognised within provisions in the group's consolidated statement of financial position.

      Plan assets include insurance policies of £155 million in the UK scheme. The 2010 comparatives exclude insurance policies in the Dutch scheme which were considered non-transferable under the requirements of IAS 19 and so were excluded as assets of the relevant scheme in this table. Delta Lloyd ceased to be a subsidiary on 6 May 2011.

 

 

 

 

30 June 2011

 

31 December 2010

 

United Kingdom

£m

Ireland

£m

Canada

£m

Total

£m

 

United Kingdom

£m

Delta Lloyd

£m

Ireland

£m

Canada

£m

Total

£m

Equities

1,190

47

55

1,292

 

2,435

-

50

54

2,539

Bonds

6,604

236

148

6,988

 

5,533

-

202

150

5,885

Property

587

18

-

605

 

558

-

17

-

575

Other

1,180

107

11

1,298

 

835

7

118

12

972

Total

9,561

408

214

10,183

 

9,361

7

387

216

9,971

Risk management and asset allocation strategy

The long-term investment objectives of the trustees and the employers are to limit the risk of the assets failing to meet the liabilities of the schemes over the long term, and to maximise returns consistent with an acceptable level of risk so as to control the long-term costs of these schemes. To meet these objectives, each scheme's assets are invested in a diversified portfolio, consisting primarily of equity and debt securities. These reflect the current long-term asset allocation ranges chosen, having regard to the structure of liabilities within the schemes.

Main UK scheme

Both the Group and the trustees regularly review the asset/liability management of the main UK scheme. It is fully understood that, whilst the current asset mix is designed to produce appropriate long-term returns, this introduces a material risk of volatility in the scheme's surplus or deficit of assets compared with its liabilities.

      The principal asset risks to which the scheme is exposed are:

n Equity market risk - the effect of equity market falls on the value of plan assets.

n Inflation risk - the effect of inflation rising faster than expected on the value of the plan liabilities.

n Interest rate risk - falling interest rates leading to an increase in liabilities significantly exceeding the increase in the value
of assets.

 

There is also an exposure to currency risk where assets are not denominated in the same currency as the liabilities. The majority of this exposure has been removed by the use of hedging instruments.

Other schemes

The other schemes are considerably less material but their risks are managed in a similar way to those in the main UK scheme.

 

D5 - Available funds

To ensure access to liquidity as and when needed, the Group maintains over £2.1 billion of undrawn committed central borrowing facilities with various highly rated banks, £0.75 billion of which is allocated to support the credit rating of Aviva plc's £2 billion commercial paper programme. The expiry profile of the undrawn committed central borrowing facilities is as follows:

 

 

£m

Expiring in one year

800

Expiring beyond one year

1,315

Total

2,115

D6 - Guarantees

As a normal part of their operating activities, various Group companies have given guarantees and options, including investment return guarantees, in respect of certain long-term insurance and fund management products.

      For the UK Life with-profit business, provisions in respect of these guarantees and options are calculated on a market consistent basis, in which stochastic models are used to evaluate the level of risk (and additional cost) under a number of economic scenarios, which allow for the impact of volatility in both interest rates and equity prices. For UK Life non-profit business, provisions do not materially differ from those determined on a market consistent basis.

      In all other businesses, provisions for guarantees and options are calculated on a local basis with sensitivity analysis undertaken where appropriate to assess the impact on provisioning levels of a movement in interest rates and equity levels (typically a 1% decrease in interest rates and 10% decline in equity markets).

 

 

End of Part 4 of 5

 


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