HY13 Part 4 of 5

RNS Number : 2189L
Aviva PLC
08 August 2013
 



Start part 4 of 5

Page 77

Capital & assets

 

 

In this section

Page

Capital and liquidity


C1  Capital performance

78

C2  Regulatory capital

82

C3  IFRS sensitivity analysis

83



Analysis of assets


D1 Total assets

87

D2 Total assets -Valuation bases/fair
      value hierarchy

88

D3 Analysis of asset quality

91

D4 Pension fund assets

101

D5 Available funds

102

D6 Guarantees

102








































Page 78

 

 

Capital and liquidity

 

 

C1 - Capital performance

(a)  Capital generation and utilisation

 


6 months
2013
£m

Restated
6 months
2012
£m

Restated
12 months

2012
£m

Group operating capital generated after investment in new business

1,019

891

1,982

Interest, corporate and other costs

(271)

(321)

(677)

External dividends and appropriations, net of shares issued in lieu of dividends

(297)

(447)

(723)

Net operating capital generation after financing

451

123

582

(b)  Capital required to write life new business, internal rate of return and payback period

The Group generates a significant amount of capital each year which supports both shareholder distribution and reinvestment in new business. The new business written requires up front capital investment, due to set-up costs and capital requirements.

      The internal rate of return (IRR) is a measure of the shareholder return expected on this capital investment. It is equivalent to the discount rate at which the present value of the post-tax cash flows expected to be earned over the life time of the business written, including allowance for the time value of options and guarantees, is equal to the total invested capital to support the writing of the business. The capital included in the calculation of the IRR is the initial capital required to pay acquisition costs and set up statutory reserves in excess of premiums received ('initial capital'), plus required capital at the same level as for the calculation of the value of new business.

      The payback period shows how quickly shareholders can expect the total capital to be repaid. The payback period has been calculated based on undiscounted cash flows and allows for the initial and required capital.

      The projected investment returns in both the IRR and payback period calculations assume that equities, properties and bonds earn a return in excess of risk-free, consistent with the long-term rate of return assumed in operating earnings.

      The internal rates of return on new business written during the period are set out below:

 


6 months 2013


6 months 2012


Full year 2012

Gross of non-controlling interests

Internal

rate of

return

%

New business impact on free surplus

Payback

period

years


Internal

rate of

return

%

New
business impact on free surplus

Payback

period

years


Internal

rate of

return

%

New
business impact on free surplus

Payback

period

years

United Kingdom

25%

(33)

5


15%

35

7


18%

6

6

Ireland

4%

16

19


2%

16

20


2%

31

25

United Kingdom & Ireland

21%

(17)

7


13%

51

9


16%

37

8

France

12%

73

8


11%

70

8


11%

125

8

Poland

19%

14

5


22%

15

4


20%

25

4

Italy

12%

27

6


12%

27

6


12%

41

6

Spain

18%

19

4


16%

23

4


21%

35

4

Other Europe

32%

13

3


20%

24

3


22%

42

3

Europe

15%

146

6


14%

159

6


15%

268

6

Asia

14%

35

11


12%

40

11


11%

84

11

Total - excluding United States

16.3%

164

7


13.5%

250

7


14.9%

389

8

Total - United States

-

-

-


14%

199

5


17%

319

4

Total

16.3%

164

7


13.6%

449

7


15.5%

708

7

 

 

 

Page 79

 

 

C1 - Capital performance continued

(c)  Analysis of return of equity - IFRS basis

 


Operating return1



6 months 2013

Before Tax

£m

After tax

£m

Opening

shareholders'

funds

including non-

controlling

interests

£m

Return on

equity

%

United Kingdom & Ireland life

446

364

5,646

12.9%

United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance and health

214

168

4,008

8.4%

Europe

472

323

5,860

11.0%

Canada

147

109

1,039

21.0%

Asia

37

33

825

8.0%

Fund management

42

30

225

26.7%

Corporate and Other Business2

(190)

(193)

(1,471)

n/a

Return on total capital employed (excluding United States)

1,168

834

16,132

10.3%

United States

125

102

367

55.6%

Return on total capital employed (including United States)

1,293

936

16,499

11.3%

Subordinated debt

(148)

(114)

(4,337)

5.3%

External debt

(12)

(8)

(802)

2.0%

Return on total equity

1,133

814

11,360

14.3%

Less: Non-controlling interests


(93)

(1,574)

11.8%

Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes


(13)

(1,382)

1.9%

Preference capital


(9)

(200)

9.0%

Return on equity shareholders' funds


699

8,204

17.0%

1    The operating return is based upon Group adjusted operating profit, which is stated before impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles, exceptional items and investment variance.

2    The 'Corporate and Other Business' loss before tax of £190 million comprises corporate costs of £72 million, interest on internal lending arrangements of £119 million, other business operating loss (net of investment return) of £27 million offset by finance income on the main UK pension scheme of £28 million.

 


Operating return1



Full year 2012

Restated before tax

£m

Restated

after tax

£m

Opening

shareholders'

funds

including non-

controlling

interests

£m

Restated return on

equity

%

United Kingdom & Ireland life

892

869

5,478

15.9%

United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance and health

490

370

3,903

9.5%

Europe

967

671

5,420

12.4%

Canada

277

205

1,034

19.8%

Asia

64

56

916

6.1%

Fund management

51

36

185

19.5%

Corporate and Other Business 2

(498)

(541)

(234)

n/a

Return on total capital employed (excluding Delta Lloyd and United States)

2,243

1,666

16,702

10.0%

Delta Lloyd

112

84

776

10.8%

United States

239

161

3,140

5.1%

Return on total capital employed (including Delta Lloyd and United States)

2,594

1,911

20,618

9.3%

Subordinated debt

(294)

(222)

(4,550)

4.9%

External debt

(23)

(17)

(705)

2.4%

Return on total equity

2,277

1,672

15,363

10.9%

Less: Non-controlling interest


(184)

(1,530)

12.0%

Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes


(55)

(990)

5.6%

Preference capital


(17)

(200)

8.5%

Return on equity shareholders' funds


1,416

12,643

11.2%

1    The operating return is based upon Group adjusted operating profit, which is stated before impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles, exceptional items and investment variance.

2    The 'Corporate and Other Business' loss before tax of £498 million comprises corporate costs of £136 million, interest on internal lending arrangements of £307 million, other business operating loss (net of investment return) of £142 million offset by finance income on the main UK pension scheme of £87 million.

 

 

 

Page 80

 

 

C1 - Capital performance continued

(d)  Group capital structure

The table below shows how our capital, on both an IFRS and MCEV basis, is deployed by market and how that capital is funded.

 


30 June
2013
Capital employed




31 December 2012
Capital employed




IFRS basis

£m

Internally

generated

AVIF

£m

MCEV4 basis

£m


IFRS basis

£m

Internally

generated

AVIF

£m

 

MCEV4 basis

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland life

5,336

2,017

7,353


5,646

1,956

7,602

United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance

4,330

-

4,330


4,008

-

4,008

Europe

5,400

3,131

8,531


5,860

2,873

8,733

Canada

1,068

-

1,068


1,039

-

1,039

Asia

746

79

825


825

28

853

Fund Management

234

-

234


225

-

225

Corporate and Other Business1

(812)

12

(800)


(1,471)

13

(1,458)

Delta Lloyd

-

-

-


-

-

-

United States

523

-

523


367

-

367

Total capital employed

16,825

5,239

22,064


16,499

4,870

21,369

Financed by








Equity shareholders' funds

8,276

4,723

12,999


8,204

4,230

12,434

Non-controlling interests

1,506

516

2,022


1,574

640

2,214

Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes

1,382

-

1,382


1,382

-

1,382

Preference shares

200

-

200


200

-

200

Subordinated debt

4,435

-

4,435


4,337

-

4,337

External debt

1,026

-

1,026


802

-

802

Total capital employed

16,825

5,239

22,064


16,499

4,870

21,369

Less Goodwill & Other Intangibles (net of tax and non-controlling interests)2

(2,250)


(2,137)


(2,523)


(2,429)

Total tangible capital employed

14,575


19,927


13,976


18,940

Total Debt3

7,293


7,293


6,971


6,971

Tangible debt leverage

50%


37%


50%


37%

1    'Corporate' and 'other Business' includes centrally held tangible net assets, the main UK staff pension scheme surplus and also reflects internal lending arrangements. These internal lending arrangements, which net out on consolidation, arise in relation to the following:

      - Post the 2012 year end the Group took action to improve access to its dividends from the Group's insurances and asset management businesses by undertaking a corporate restructuring whereby Aviva Group Holdings (AGH) purchased the majority of the overseas businesses from Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL). 

      - The internal leverage through the interdivisional balance within AIL has been replaced by a formal loan between AIL and AGH with plans in place to reduce this loan by £600 million over the next three years.

      - Certain subsidiaries, subject to satisfying standalone capital and liquidity requirements, loan funds to corporate and holding entities. These loans satisfy arm's-length criteria and all interest payments are made when due.

2    Goodwill and intangibles comprise £1,504 million (FY12: £1,703 million) of goodwill in subsidiaries, £1,095 million (FY12: £1,090 million) of intangibles in subsidiaries and £75 million (FY12: £132 million) of goodwill and intangibles in joint ventures, net of deferred tax liabilities of £(203) million (FY12: £(188) million) and the non controlling interest share of intangibles of £(221) million (FY12: £(214) million).  Under MCEV goodwill and intangibles have been further impaired by £113 million (FY12: £94 million) which has been reflected in the additional value of in-force long-term business in the MCEV balance sheet.   

3    Total debt comprises direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes, Aviva Plc preference share capital and core structural borrowings.  In addition preference share capital of GA plc of £250 million within non-controlling interests has been included.

4    In preparing the MCEV information, the directors have done so in accordance with the European Insurance CFO Forum MCEV Principles with  the exception of stating held for sale operation at their expected fair value, as represented by expected sale proceeds, less cost to sell.

 

Total capital employed is financed by a combination of equity shareholders' funds, preference capital, subordinated debt and borrowings. At HY13 we had £16.8 billion (FY12: £16.5 billion) of total capital employed in our trading operations measured on an IFRS basis and £22.1 billion (FY12: £21.4 billion) of total capital employed on an MCEV basis.

      Financial leverage, the ratio of external senior and subordinated debt to tangible capital employed, is 50% (FY12: 50%), and financial leverage under MCEV is 37% (FY12: 37%). 

      At HY13 the market value of our external debt, subordinated debt, preference shares (including both Aviva plc preference shares of £200 million and General Accident plc preference shares, within non-controlling interest, of £250 million), and direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes was £7,499 million (FY12: £7,260 million), with a weighted average cost, post tax, of 4.6% (FY12: 4.4%). The Group Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is 6.6% (FY12: 6.3%) and has been calculated by reference to the cost of equity and the cost of debt at the relevant date. The cost of equity at HY13 was 8.1% (FY12: 7.5%) based on a risk free rate of 2.5% (FY12: 1.9%), an equity risk premium of 4.0% (FY12: 4.0%) and a market beta of 1.4 (FY12: 1.4).

 

 

Page 81

 

 

C1 - Capital performance continued

(e)  Equity sensitivity analysis

The sensitivity of the group's total equity, excluding Delta Lloyd and US, on an IFRS basis and MCEV basis at 30 June 2013 to

a 10% fall in global equity markets, a rise of 1% in global interest rates or a 0.5% increase in credit spreads is as follows: 

 

31 December 2012

£bn


IFRS basis

30 June 2013

£bn

Equities

down

10%

£bn

Interest

rates up 1%

£bn

0.5%

increased

credit

spread

£bn

11.5


Long-term savings

10.6

(0.1)

(0.4)

(0.2)

4.6


General insurance and other

5.7

(0.1)

(0.5)

0.5

(5.1)


Borrowings

(5.5)

-

-

-

11.0


Total equity

10.8

(0.2)

(0.9)

0.3

 





Equities down 10%



31 December 2012

£bn


MCEV basis

30 June 2013

£bn

Direct

£bn

Indirect

£bn

Interest

rates up 1%

£bn

0.5%

increased

credit

spread

£bn

16.3


Long-term savings

15.9

(0.1)

(0.4)

(0.5)

(1.1)

4.6


General insurance and other

5.7

(0.1)

-

(0.5)

0.5

(5.1)


Borrowings

(5.5)

-

-

-

-

15.8


Total equity

16.1

(0.2)

(0.4)

(1.0)

(0.6)

 

These sensitivities assume a full tax charge/credit on market value assumptions. The interest rate sensitivity also assumes an equivalent movement in both inflation and discount rate (i.e. no change to real interest rates) and therefore incorporates the offsetting effects of these items on the pension scheme liabilities. A 1% increase in the real interest rate has the effect of reducing the pension scheme liability in the main UK pension scheme by £1.6 billion (before any associated tax impact).

      The 0.5% increased credit spread sensitivities for IFRS and MCEV do not make an allowance for any adjustment to risk-free interest rates. MCEV sensitivities assume that the credit spread movement relates to credit risk and not liquidity risk; in practice, credit spread movements may be partially offset due to changes in liquidity risk. Life IFRS sensitivities provide for any impact of credit spread movements on liability valuations. The IFRS and MCEV sensitivities also include the allocation of staff pension scheme sensitivities, which assume inflation rates and government bond yields remain constant. In practice, the sensitivity of the business to changes in credit spreads is subject to a number of complex interactions. The impact of the credit spread movements will be related to individual portfolio composition and may be driven by changes in credit or liquidity risk; hence, the actual impact may differ substantially from applying spread movements implied by various published credit spread indices to these sensitivities.

 

 

Page 82

 

C2 - Regulatory capital

Individual regulated subsidiaries measure and report solvency based on applicable local regulations, including in the UK the regulations established by the Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA). These measures are also consolidated under the European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) to calculate regulatory capital adequacy at an aggregate Group level, where Aviva has a regulatory obligation to have a positive position at all times. This measure represents the excess of the aggregate value of regulatory capital employed in our business over the aggregate minimum solvency requirements imposed by local regulators, excluding the surplus held in the UK and Ireland with-profit life funds. The minimum solvency requirement for our European businesses is based on the Solvency 1 Directive. In broad terms, for EU operations, this is set at 4% and 1% of non-linked and unit-linked life reserves respectively and for our general insurance portfolio of business is the higher of 18% of gross premiums or 26% of gross claims, in both cases adjusted to reflect the level of reinsurance recoveries. For our major non-European businesses (the US and Canada) a risk charge on assets and liabilities approach is used.

      Based on individual guidance from the PRA we recognise surpluses of the non-profit funds of our UK Life and pensions businesses which are available for transfer to shareholders. These have decreased to £nil as at 30 June 2013 (FY12: £0.4 billion) due to the transfer of surpluses to the shareholder fund at the beginning of the year.

(a)  Regulatory capital - Group: European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD)

 


UK life

funds

£bn

Other

business

£bn

 30 June

2013

£bn

31 December

2012

£bn

Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) capital resources

4.7

9.8

14.5

14.4

Less: capital resource requirement

(4.7)

(5.6)

(10.3)

(10.6)

Insurance Group Directive (IGD) excess solvency

-

4.2

4.2

3.8

Cover over EU minimum (calculated excluding UK life funds)



1.8 times

1.7 times

 

The EU Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) regulatory capital solvency surplus has increased by £0.4 billion since FY12 to £4.2 billion. On a pro forma basis the estimated IGD solvency surplus at 30 June 2013 is £3.7 billion. The pro forma 30 June 2013 position includes the impact of the announced disposal of the Aviva US Life and Annuities business and related asset management operations classified as held for sale in the Group IFRS balance sheet.

 

The key movements over the period are set out in the following table:

 


£bn

IGD solvency surplus at 31 December 2012

3.8

Operating profits net of other income and expenses

0.6

Dividends and appropriations

(0.3)

Market movements including foreign exchange1

(0.2)

Pension scheme funding

(0.1)

Disposals

0.6

Other regulatory adjustments

(0.2)

Estimated IGD solvency surplus at 30 June 2013

4.2

1    Market movements include the impact of equity, credit spread, interest rate and foreign exchange movements net of the effect of hedging instruments.

(b)  Regulatory capital - UK Life with-profits funds

The available capital of the with-profit funds is represented by the realistic inherited estate. The estate represents the assets of the long-term with-profit funds less the realistic liabilities for non-profit policies within the funds, less asset shares aggregated across the with-profit policies and any additional amounts expected at the valuation date to be paid to in-force policyholders in the future in respect of smoothing costs, guarantees and promises. Realistic balance sheet information is shown below for the three main UK with-profit funds: New With-Profit Sub Fund (NWPSF), Old With-Profit Sub Fund (OWPSF) and With-Profit Sub-Fund (WPSF). These realistic liabilities have been included within the long-term business provision and the liability for insurance and investment contracts on the Group's IFRS balance sheet at 30 June 2013 and 31 December 2012.

 






30 June
2013


31 December

2012


Estimated

realistic

assets

£bn

Estimated

realistic

liabilities1

£bn

Estimated

realistic

inherited

estate2

£bn

Capital

support

arrange-

ment3

£bn

Estimated

risk

capital

margin

£bn

Estimated

excess

available

capital

£bn


Estimated

excess

available

capital

£bn

NWPSF

16.6

(16.6)

-

0.7

(0.3)

0.4


0.3

OWPSF

2.8

(2.5)

0.3

-

(0.1)

0.2


0.2

WPSF4

17.4

(15.4)

2.0

-

(0.3)

1.7


1.3

Aggregate

36.8

(34.5)

2.3

0.7

(0.7)

2.3


1.8

1    These realistic liabilities include the shareholders' share of future bonuses of £0.3 billion (FY12: £0.3 billion). Realistic liabilities adjusted to eliminate the shareholders' share of future bonuses are £34.2 billion (FY12: £36.0 billion). These realistic liabilities make provision for guarantees, options and promises on a market consistent stochastic basis. The value of the provision included within realistic liabilities is £1.6 billion, £0.3 billion and £3.1 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively (FY12: £1.8 billion, £0.3 billion and £3.5 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively).

2    Estimated realistic inherited estate at FY12 was £nil, £0.3billion and £1.8 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively.

3    The support arrangement represents the reattributed estate (RIEESA) of £0.7 billion at 30 June 2013 (FY12: £0.7 billion).

4    The WPSF fund includes the Provident Mutual (PM) fund which has realistic assets and realistic liabilities of £1.6 billion and therefore does not contribute to the realistic inherited estate.

 

 

 

Page 83

 

C2 - Regulatory capital continued

(c)  Investment mix

The aggregate investment mix of the assets in the three main with-profit funds was:

 


30 June

2013

%

31 December

2012

%

Equity

23%

23%

Property

13%

16%

Fixed interest

48%

51%

Other

16%

10%

 

The equity backing ratios, including property, supporting with-profit asset shares are 72% in NWPSF and OWPSF, and 66%
in WPSF.

C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis

The Group uses a number of sensitivity test-based risk management tools to understand the volatility of earnings, the volatility of its capital requirements, and to manage its capital more efficiently. Primarily, MCEV, ICA, and scenario analysis are used. Sensitivities to economic and operating experience are regularly produced on all of the Group's financial performance measurements to inform the Group's decision making and planning processes, and as part of the framework for identifying and quantifying the risks that each of its business units, and the Group as a whole are exposed to.

      For long-term business in particular, sensitivities of MCEV performance indicators to changes in both economic and non-economic experience are continually used to manage the business and to inform the decision making process. More information on MCEV sensitivities can be found in the presentation of results on an MCEV basis in section F (note F19) of this report.

(a)  Life insurance and investment contracts

The nature of long-term business is such that a number of assumptions are made in compiling these financial statements. Assumptions are made about investment returns, expenses, mortality rates, and persistency in connection with the in-force policies for each business unit. Assumptions are best estimates based on historic and expected experience of the business. A number of the key assumptions for the Group's central scenario are disclosed elsewhere in these statements for both IFRS reporting and reporting under the MCEV methodology.

(b)  General insurance and health business

General insurance and health claim liabilities are estimated by using standard actuarial claims projection techniques.

      These methods extrapolate the claims development for each accident year based on the observed development of earlier years.

In most cases, no explicit assumptions are made as projections are based on assumptions implicit in the historic claims.

(c)  Sensitivity test results

Illustrative results of sensitivity testing for long-term business, general insurance and health and fund management business and other operations are set out below. For each sensitivity test the impact of a reasonably possible change in a single factor is shown, with other assumptions left unchanged.

 

Sensitivity factor

Description of sensitivity factor applied

Interest rate and investment return

The impact of a change in market interest rates by a 1% increase or decrease. The test allows consistently for similar changes to investment returns and movements in the market value of backing fixed interest securities.

Credit Spreads

The impact of a 0.5% increase in credit spreads over risk-free interest rates on corporate bonds and other non-sovereign credit assets. The test allows for any consequential impact on liability valuations.

Equity/property market values

The impact of a change in equity/property market values by ± 10%.

Expenses

The impact of an increase in maintenance expenses by 10%.

Assurance mortality/morbidity (life insurance only)

The impact of an increase in mortality/morbidity rates for assurance contracts by 5%.

Annuitant mortality (life insurance only)

The impact of a reduction in mortality rates for annuity contracts by 5%.

Gross loss ratios (non-life insurance only)

The impact of an increase in gross loss ratios for general insurance and health business by 5%.

 

 

Page 84

 

 

C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued

(d)  Long-term businesses

 

30 June 2013

Impact on profit before tax

£m

Interest

rates

+1%

Interest

rates

-1%

Credit

spreads

+0.5%

Equity/

property

+10%

Equity/

property

-10%

 

Expenses

+10%

Assurance

mortality

+5%

Annuitant

mortality

-5%

Insurance Participating

(125)

20

(80)

20

(70)

(25)

(5)

(50)

Insurance non-participating

(135)

80

(410)

-

-

(85)

(65)

(500)

Investment participating

(80)

30

(10)

10

(20)

(10)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(55)

25

(5)

10

(15)

(15)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

-

-

(40)

45

(45)

-

-

-

Total excluding United States

(395)

155

(545)

85

(150)

(135)

(70)

(550)

United States

1,010

(755)

555

-

-

-

-

-

Total

615

(600)

10

85

(150)

(135)

(70)

(550)

 

30 June 2013

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax

£m

Interest

rates

+1%

Interest

rates

-1%

Credit

spreads

+0.5%

Equity/

property

+10%

Equity/

property

-10%

 

Expenses

+10%

Assurance

mortality

+5%

Annuitant

mortality

-5%

Insurance Participating

(125)

20

(80)

20

(70)

(25)

(5)

(50)

Insurance non-participating

(135)

80

(410)

-

-

(85)

(65)

(500)

Investment participating

(80)

30

(10)

10

(20)

(10)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(55)

25

(5)

10

(15)

(15)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(25)

25

(45)

50

(50)

-

-

-

Total excluding United States

(420)

180

(550)

90

(155)

(135)

(70)

(550)

United States

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total

(420)

180

(550)

90

(155)

(135)

(70)

(550)

 

31 December 2012

Impact on profit before tax

£m

Interest

rates

+1%

Interest

rates

-1%

Credit

spreads

+0.5%

Equity/

property

+10%

Equity/

property

-10%

 

Expenses

+10%

Assurance

mortality

+5%

Annuitant

mortality

-5%

Insurance Participating

(45)

(15)

(110)

60

(95)

(25)

(5)

(50)

Insurance non-participating

(160)

130

(430)

-

-

(75)

(45)

(470)

Investment participating

(55)

45

-

5

(10)

(10)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(40)

35

(5)

10

(15)

(20)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

10

(15)

(40)

45

(45)

-

-

-

Total excluding Delta Lloyd and United States

(290)

180

(585)

120

(165)

(130)

(50)

(520)

United States

880

(640)

495

-

-

-

-

-

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

590

(460)

(90)

120

(165)

(130)

(50)

(520)

 

31 December 2012

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax

£m

Interest

rates

+1%

Interest

rates

-1%

Credit

spreads

+0.5%

Equity/

property

+10%

Equity/

property

-10%

 

Expenses

+10%

Assurance

mortality

+5%

Annuitant

mortality

-5%

Insurance Participating

(45)

(15)

(110)

60

(95)

(25)

(5)

(50)

Insurance non-participating

(165)

125

(430)

-

-

(75)

(45)

(470)

Investment participating

(55)

45

-

5

(10)

(10)

-

-

Investment non-participating

(45)

40

-

10

(15)

(20)

-

-

Assets backing life shareholders' funds

(5)

-

(45)

50

(50)

-

-

-

Total excluding Delta Lloyd and United States

(315)

195

(585)

125

(170)

(130)

(50)

(520)

United States

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

(315)

195

(585)

125

(170)

(130)

(50)

(520)

 

Changes in sensitivities between HY13 and FY12 reflect movements in market interest rates, portfolio growth, changes to asset mix and the relative durations of assets and liabilities and asset liability management actions. The sensitivities to economic movements (excluding the United States) relate mainly to business in the UK. In general, a fall in market interest rates has a beneficial impact on non-participating business, due to the increase in market value of fixed interest securities and the relative durations of assets and liabilities; similarly a rise in interest rates has a negative impact. The mortality sensitivities also relate primarily to the UK.

       In the United States, most debt securities are classified as AFS for which movements in unrealised gains or losses are taken directly to shareholders' equity. This limits the overall sensitivity of IFRS profit to interest rate and credit spread movements. Following the classification of the business as held for sale in 2012 it was remeasured to fair value less costs to sell. It has been assumed that economic movements would not materially impact the fair value less costs to sell and the impact on shareholders' equity is therefore reported as £nil. As a result, were economic movements to occur, the corresponding movements in AFS assets which would be taken directly to shareholders' equity are reversed out through profit before tax in order to maintain the remeasurement value of the US at fair value less costs to sell.

 

 

Page 85

 

 

C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued

(e)  General insurance and health businesses

 

30 June 2013

Impact on profit before tax

£m

Interest

rates

+1%

Interest

rates

-1%

Credit

spreads

+0.5%

Equity/

property

+10%

Equity/

property

-10%

 

Expenses

+10%

Gross loss

ratios

+5%

Gross of reinsurance

(280)

265

(125)

50

(50)

(70)

(150)









Net of reinsurance

(330)

320

(125)

50

(50)

(70)

(145)

 

30 June 2013

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax

£m

Interest

rates

+1%

Interest

rates

-1%

Credit

spreads

+0.5%

Equity/

property

+10%

Equity/

property

-10%

 

Expenses

+10%

Gross loss

ratios

+5%

Gross of reinsurance

(280)

265

(125)

50

(50)

(25)

(150)









Net of reinsurance

(330)

320

(125)

50

(50)

(25)

(145)

 

31 December 2012

Impact on profit before tax

£m

Interest

rates

+1%

Interest

rates

-1%

Credit

spreads

+0.5%

Equity/

property

+10%

Equity/

property

-10%

 

Expenses

+10%

Gross loss

ratios

+5%

Gross of reinsurance excluding Delta Lloyd

(260)

235

(125)

45

(50)

(120)

(300)









Net of reinsurance excluding Delta Lloyd

(300)

285

(125)

45

(50)

(120)

(285)

 

31 December 2012

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax

£m

Interest

rates

+1%

Interest

rates

-1%

Credit

spreads

+0.5%

Equity/

property

+10%

Equity/

property

-10%

 

Expenses

+10%

Gross loss

ratios

+5%

Gross of reinsurance excluding Delta Lloyd

(260)

235

(125)

50

(50)

(25)

(300)









Net of reinsurance excluding Delta Lloyd

(300)

285

(125)

50

(50)

(25)

(285)

 

For general insurance, the impact of the expense sensitivity on profit also includes the increase in ongoing administration expenses,

in addition to the increase in the claims handling expense provision.

(f)  Fund management and other operations businesses1

 

30 June 2013

Impact on profit before tax

£m

Interest

rates

+1%

Interest

rates

-1%

Credit

spreads

+0.5%

Equity/

property

+10%

Equity/

property

-10%

Total

(5)

5

30

(30)

55

 

30 June 2013

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax

£m

Interest

rates

+1%

Interest

rates

-1%

Credit

spreads

+0.5%

Equity/

property

+10%

Equity/

property

-10%

Total

(5)

5

30

(30)

55

 

31 December 2012

Impact on profit before tax

£m

Interest

rates

+1%

Interest

rates

-1%

Credit

spreads

+0.5%

Equity/

property

+10%

Equity/

property

-10%

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

(5)

-

30

(90)

10

 

31 December 2012

Impact on shareholders' equity before tax

£m

Interest

rates

+1%

Interest

rates

-1%

Credit

spreads

+0.5%

Equity/

property

+10%

Equity/

property

-10%

Total excluding Delta Lloyd

(5)

-

30

(90)

10

1    The Fund management and other operations are not shown excluding the United States as their sensitivities are immaterial to the group.

(g)  Delta Lloyd

The FY12 sensitivities contained in the above tables exclude any contribution from Delta Lloyd following deconsolidation
of this business.

 

 

Page 86

 

C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued

(h) Limitations of sensitivity analysis

The previous tables demonstrate the effect of a change in a key assumption while other assumptions remain unchanged. In reality, there is a correlation between the assumptions and other factors. It should also be noted that these sensitivities are non-linear, and larger or smaller impacts should not be interpolated or extrapolated from these results.

      The sensitivity analyses do not take into consideration that the Group's assets and liabilities are actively managed. Additionally, the financial position of the Group may vary at the time that any actual market movement occurs. For example, the Group's financial risk management strategy aims to manage the exposure to market fluctuations.

      As investment markets move past various trigger levels, management actions could include selling investments, changing investment portfolio allocation, adjusting bonuses credited to policyholders, and taking other protective action.

      A number of the business units use passive assumptions to calculate their long-term business liabilities. Consequently, a change in the underlying assumptions may not have any impact on the liabilities, whereas assets held at market value in the statement of financial position will be affected. In these circumstances, the different measurement bases for liabilities and assets may lead to volatility in shareholders' equity. Similarly, for general insurance liabilities, the interest rate sensitivities only affect profit and equity where explicit assumptions are made regarding interest (discount) rates or future inflation.

      Other limitations in the above sensitivity analyses include the use of hypothetical market movements to demonstrate potential risk that only represent the Group's view of possible near-term market changes that cannot be predicted with any certainty, and the assumption that all interest rates move in an identical fashion.

 

 

 

Page 87

 

Analysis of assets

 

 

D1 - Total assets

As an insurance business, Aviva Group holds a variety of assets to match the characteristics and duration of its insurance liabilities. Appropriate and effective asset liability matching (on an economic basis) is the principal way in which Aviva manages its investments. In addition, to support this, Aviva also uses a variety of hedging and other risk management strategies to diversify away any residual mis-match risk that is outside of the Group's risk appetite.

30 June 2013

Policyholder assets

£m

Participating fund assets

£m

Shareholder assets

 £m

Total assets analysed

£m

Less

assets of operations classified as held for sale

£m

Balance sheet total

 £m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

3,095

3,095

(496)

2,599

Interests in joint ventures and associates

50

1,102

363

1,515

(13)

1,502

Property and equipment

-

206

189

395

-

395

Investment property

4,060

5,519

259

9,838

(6)

9,832

Loans

461

5,898

21,650

28,009

(3,784)

24,225

Financial investments







   Debt securities

14,780

84,883

61,805

161,468

(33,079)

128,389

   Equity securities

22,442

11,134

1,095

34,671

(107)

34,564

   Other investments

25,578

3,557

2,280

31,415

(1,698)

29,717

Reinsurance assets

1,553

635

5,431

7,619

(712)

6,907

Deferred tax assets

-

-

247

247

(13)

234

Current tax assets

-

-

96

96

(7)

89

Receivables

549

2,414

5,404

8,367

(386)

7,981

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

4

420

5,409

5,833

(2,416)

3,417

Prepayments and accrued income

132

1,300

1,752

3,184

(480)

2,704

Cash and cash equivalents

4,790

10,838

10,412

26,040

(965)

25,075

Additional impairment to write down the disposal group to fair value less costs to sell

-

-

(2,450)

(2,450)

2,450

-

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

41,712

41,712

Total

74,399

127,906

117,037

319,342

-

319,342

Total %

23.3%

40.1%

36.6%

100.0%

-

100.0%

FY12 restated

73,968

125,366

115,409

314,743

-

314,743

FY12 Total %

23.5%

39.8%

36.7%

100.0%

-

100.0%

 

As at 30 June 2013, 36.6% of Aviva's total asset base was shareholder assets, 40.1% participating assets where Aviva shareholders have partial exposure, and 23.3% policyholder assets where Aviva shareholders have no exposure. Of the total assets (excluding assets held for sale), investment property, loans and financial investments comprise £226.7 billion, compared to £223.5 billion at 31 December 2012.

 

 

Page 88

 

 

D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy

 

Total assets - 30 June 2013

Fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Equity accounted/ tax assets1

£m

Total

£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

3,095

-

3,095

Interests in joint ventures and associates

-

-

1,515

1,515

Property and equipment

261

134

-

395

Investment property

9,838

-

-

9,838

Loans

18,489

9,520

-

28,009

Financial investments





   Debt securities

161,468

-

-

161,468

   Equity securities

34,671

-

-

34,671

   Other investments

31,415

-

-

31,415

Reinsurance assets

-

7,619

-

7,619

Deferred tax assets

-

-

247

247

Current tax assets

-

-

96

96

Receivables and other financial assets

-

8,367

-

8,367

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

5,833

-

5,833

Prepayments and accrued income

-

3,184

-

3,184

Additional impairment to write down the disposal group to fair value less costs to sell

-

(2,450)

-

(2,450)

Cash and cash equivalents

26,040

-

-

26,040

Total

282,182

35,302

1,858

319,342

Total %

88.4%

11.0%

0.6%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

35,913

5,740

59

41,712

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

246,269

29,562

1,799

277,630

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

88.8%

10.6%

0.6%

100.0%

FY12 restated

278,464

34,210

2,069

314,743

FY12 Total %

88.4%

10.9%

0.7%

100.0%

1    Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.

 

Total assets - Policyholder assets 30 June 2013

Fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Equity accounted/ tax assets1

£m

Total

£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

-

-

Interests in joint ventures and associates

-

-

50

50

Property and equipment

-

-

-

-

Investment property

4,060

-

-

4,060

Loans

-

461

-

461

Financial investments





   Debt securities

14,780

-

-

14,780

   Equity securities

22,442

-

-

22,442

   Other investments

25,578

-

-

25,578

Reinsurance assets

-

1,553

-

1,553

Deferred tax assets

-

-

-

-

Current tax assets

-

-

-

-

Receivables and other financial assets

-

549

-

549

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

4

-

4

Prepayments and accrued income

-

132

-

132

Cash and cash equivalents

4,790

-

-

4,790

Total

71,650

2,699

50

74,399

Total %

96.3%

3.6%

0.1%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

74

-

-

74

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

71,576

2,699

50

74,325

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

96.3%

3.6%

0.1%

100.0%

FY12 restated

71,196

2,701

71

73,968

FY12 Total %

96.3%

3.6%

0.1%

100.0%

1    Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.

 

 

 

Page 89

 

 

D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

 

Total assets - Participating fund assets 30 June 2013

Fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Equity accounted/

tax assets1

£m

Total

£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

-

-

-

Interests in joint ventures and associates

-

-

1,102

1,102

Property and equipment

135

71

-

206

Investment property

5,519

-

-

5,519

Loans

925

4,973

-

5,898

Financial investments





   Debt securities

84,883

-

-

84,883

   Equity securities

11,134

-

-

11,134

   Other investments

3,557

-

-

3,557

Reinsurance assets

-

635

-

635

Deferred tax assets

-

-

-

-

Current tax assets

-

-

-

-

Receivables and other financial assets

-

2,414

-

2,414

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

420

-

420

Prepayments and accrued income

-

1,300

-

1,300

Cash and cash equivalents

10,838

-

-

10,838

Total

116,991

9,813

1,102

127,906

Total %

91.5%

7.7%

0.8%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

3,740

484

32

4,256

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

113,251

9,329

1,070

123,650

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

91.6%

7.5%

0.9%

100.0%

FY12 restated

114,532

9,603

1,231

125,366

FY12 Total %

91.4%

7.6%

1.0%

100.0%

1    Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.

 

Total assets - Shareholders assets 30 June 2013

Fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Equity accounted/ tax assets1

£m

Total

£m

Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets

-

3,095

-

3,095

Interests in joint ventures and associates

-

-

363

363

Property and equipment

126

63

-

189

Investment property

259

-

-

259

Loans

17,564

4,086

-

21,650

Financial investments





   Debt securities

61,805

-

-

61,805

   Equity securities

1,095

-

-

1,095

   Other investments

2,280

-

-

2,280

Reinsurance assets

-

5,431

-

5,431

Deferred tax assets

-

-

247

247

Current tax assets

-

-

96

96

Receivables and other financial assets

-

5,404

-

5,404

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

-

5,409

-

5,409

Prepayments and accrued income

-

1,752

-

1,752

Additional impairment to write down the disposal group to fair value less costs to sell

-

(2,450)

-

(2,450)

Cash and cash equivalents

10,412

-

-

10,412

Total

93,541

22,790

706

117,037

Total %

79.9%

19.5%

0.6%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

32,099

5,256

27

37,382

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

61,442

17,534

679

79,655

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

77.1%

22.0%

0.9%

100.0%

FY12 restated

92,736

21,906

767

115,409

FY12 Total %

80.4%

19.0%

0.6%

100.0%

1    Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.

 

 

 

Page 90

 

 

D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued

Fair value hierarchy

To provide further information on the valuation techniques we use to measure assets carried at fair value, we have categorised the measurement basis for assets carried at fair value into a 'fair value hierarchy' in accordance with the fair value methodology disclosed in Note B17 in the consolidated financial statements (IFRS section).

      Financial assets of operations classified as held for sale have been analysed by underlying financial assets in the following tables. 

 

 

Fair value hierarchy




Investment property and financial assets - total

30 June 2013

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Sub-total

fair value

£m

Amortised cost

£m

Less:

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

£m

Balance sheet

total

£m

Investment property

-

9,838

-

9,838

-

(6)

9,832

Loans

-

18,489

-

18,489

9,520

(3,784)

24,225

Debt securities

110,516

41,445

9,507

161,468

-

(33,079)

128,389

Equity securities

34,110

76

485

34,671

-

(107)

34,564

Other investments (including derivatives)

22,743

5,781

2,891

31,415

-

(1,698)

29,717

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

-

38,674

38,674

Total

167,369

75,629

12,883

255,881

9,520

-

265,401

Total %

63.0%

28.5%

4.9%

96.4%

3.6%

-

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

2,231

31,884

833

34,948

3,726

-

38,674

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

165,138

43,745

12,050

220,933

5,794

-

226,727

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

72.8%

19.3%

5.3%

97.4%

2.6%

-

100.0%

FY12 restated

162,731

78,396

13,440

254,567

8,961

-

263,528

FY12 Total %

61.8%

29.7%

5.1%

96.6%

3.4%

-

100.0%

 

At 30 June 2013, the proportion of total financial assets and investment property classified as Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy has increased slightly to 63.0% (FY12: 61.8%). Level 2 and Level 3 financial investments, loans and investment properties have reduced marginally to 28.5% (FY12: 29.7%) and 4.9% (FY12: 5.1%), respectively.  Excluding assets classified as held for sale, the proportion of Level 1 assets at 30 June 2013 increases to 72.8% with Level 2 assets reducing to 19.3% reflecting the impact of the higher proportion of Level 2 debt securities within the US business (see D3.3.1).

 

 

Page 91

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality

The analysis of assets that follows provides information about the assets held by the Group. The amounts in individual line items below may differ from those presented in the IFRS section of this document, as it includes assets which are held for sale.

D3.1 - Investment property

 


30 June 2013

Restated 31 December 2012


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Investment property - Total

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Leased to third parties under operating leases

-

9,819

-

9,819

-

9,946

-

9,946

Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation

-

19

-

19

-

11

-

11

Total

-

9,838

-

9,838

-

9,957

-

9,957

Total %

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

6

-

6

-

18

-

18

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

-

9,832

-

9,832

-

9,939

-

9,939

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

 


30 June 2013

Restated 31 December 2012


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Investment property - Shareholder assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Leased to third parties under operating leases

-

249

-

249

-

243

-

243

Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation

-

10

-

10

-

10

-

10

Total

-

259

-

259

-

253

-

253

Total %

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

6

-

6

-

6

-

6

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

-

253

-

253

-

247

-

247

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

-

100.0%

 

97.4% (FY12: 97.5%) of total investment properties by value are held in unit-linked or participating funds.  Shareholder exposure to investment properties is principally through investments in Property Limited Partnerships (PLPs). Depending on the Group's interest in these PLPs, its investments are classified as either interests in joint ventures, unit trusts or consolidated as a subsidiary, in which case the underlying investment properties held by the PLP are included on the balance sheet.

      Investment properties are stated at their market values as assessed by qualified external independent valuers or by local qualified staff of the Group in overseas operations, all with recent relevant experience. Values are calculated using a discounted cash flow approach and are based on current rental income plus anticipated uplifts at the next rent review, lease expiry or break option taking into consideration lease incentives, assuming no future growth in the estimated rental value of the property. This uplift and the discount rate are derived from rates implied by recent market transactions on similar properties. The basis of valuation therefore naturally falls to be classified as Level 2. Valuations are typically undertaken on a quarterly (and in some cases monthly) basis.

      99.8% (FY12: 99.9%) of total investment properties by value are leased to third parties under operating leases, with the remainder either being vacant or held for capital appreciation.

 

 

Page 92

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.2 - Loans

The Group loan portfolio is principally made up of:

  • Policy loans which are generally collateralised by a lien or charge over the underlying policy;
  • Loans and advances to banks, which primarily relate to loans of cash collateral received in stock lending transactions. These loans are fully collateralised by other securities;
  • Mortgage loans collateralised by property assets; and
  • Other loans, which include loans to brokers and intermediaries.

 

Loans with fixed maturities, including policy loans, mortgage loans (at amortised cost) and loans and advances to banks, are recognised when cash is advanced to borrowers. These loans are carried at their unpaid principal balances and adjusted for amortisation of premium or discount, non-refundable loan fees and related direct costs. These amounts are deferred and amortised over the life of the loan as an adjustment to loan yield using the effective interest rate method.

      For certain mortgage loans, the Group has taken advantage of the fair value option under IAS 39 to present the mortgages, associated borrowings, other liabilities and derivative financial instruments at fair value, since they are managed together on a fair value basis. The mortgage loans are not traded in active markets. These investments are valued using internal models with market observable inputs such as current property values and credit assumptions, which support classification as Level 2.

 

Loans - Total

30 June 2013

United Kingdom &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Canada

£m

Asia

£m

United

States

£m

Total

£m

Policy loans

28

855

-

31

437

1,351

Loans and advances to banks

4,413

-

-

-

-

4,413

Mortgage loans

18,679

1

-

-

3,345

22,025

Other loans

94

38

86

-

2

220

Total

23,214

894

86

31

3,784

28,009

Total %

82.9%

3.2%

0.3%

0.1%

13.5%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

3,784

3,784

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

23,214

894

86

31

-

24,225

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

95.8%

3.7%

0.4%

0.1%

          -

100.0%

FY12 Total

23,562

862

83

30

3,397

27,934

FY12 Total %

84.3%

3.1%

0.3%

0.1%

12.2%

100.0%

 

Loans - Shareholder assets

30 June 2013

United Kingdom &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Canada

£m

Asia

£m

United

States

£m

Total

£m

Policy loans

8

12

-

10

244

274

Loans and advances to banks

249

-

-

-

-

249

Mortgage loans

17,755

-

-

-

3,178

20,933

Other loans

94

12

86

-

2

194

Total

18,106

24

86

10

3,424

21,650

Total %

83.6%

0.1%

0.5%

-

15.8%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

-

-

-

3,424

3,424

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

18,106

24

86

10

-

18,226

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

99.3%

0.1%

0.5%

0.1%

-

100.0%

FY12 Total

18,558

14

83

31

3,081

21,767

FY12 Total %

85.2%

0.1%

0.4%

0.1%

14.2%

100.0%

 

The value of the Group's loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), at 30 June 2013 stood at £28.0 billion (FY12: £27.9 billion), an increase of £0.1 billion. Excluding assets held for sale, the Group's loan portfolio amounts to £24.2 billion.

      The total shareholder exposure to loans decreased to £21.6 billion (FY12: £21.8 billion), and represented 77% of the total loan portfolio, with the remaining 23% split between participating funds (£5.9 billion) and policyholder assets (£0.5 billion).

      Of the Group's total loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), 79% (FY12: 79%) is invested in mortgage loans.

 

 

Page 93

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.2 - Loans continued

Mortgage loans - Shareholder assets

 

30 June 2013

United Kingdom & Ireland

£m

United

States

£m

Total

£m

Non-securitised mortgage loans




- Residential (Equity release)

3,156

-

3,156

- Commercial

8,371

3,178

11,549

- Healthcare

4,064

-

4,064


15,591

3,178

18,769

Securitised mortgage loans

2,164

-

2,164

Total

17,755

3,178

20,933

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

-

3,178

3,178

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

17,755

-

17,755

FY12 Total

18,211

2,859

21,070

 

The Group's mortgage loan portfolio spans several business units, primarily in the UK and USA, and across various sectors, including residential loans, commercial loans and government supported healthcare loans. Aviva's shareholder exposure to mortgage loans accounts for 97% of total shareholder asset loans. This section focuses on explaining the shareholder risk within these exposures.

United Kingdom & Ireland

(Non-securitised mortgage loans)

Residential

The UK non-securitised residential mortgage portfolio has a total current value of £3.2 billion (FY12: £3.2 billion). Movements during the period include £195 million of new loans and accrued interest, £38 million of redemptions and £198 million of fair value losses. These mortgages are all in the form of equity release, whereby homeowners mortgage their property to release cash equity. Due to the low relative levels of equity released in each property, they predominantly have a Loan to Value ("LTV") of below 70%, and the average LTV across the portfolio is approximately 29.8% (FY12: 29.6%).

Healthcare

Primary Healthcare & PFI businesses loans included within shareholder assets are £4.1 billion (FY12: £4.1 billion) and are secured against General Practitioner premises, other primary health related premises or other emergency services related premises. For all such loans, government support is provided through either direct funding or reimbursement of rental payments to the tenants to meet income service and provide for the debt to be reduced substantially over the term of the loan. Although the loan principal is not Government guaranteed, the nature of these businesses and premises provides considerable comfort of an ongoing business model and low risk of default.

      On a market value basis, we estimate the average LTV of these mortgages to be 91%, although as explained above, we do not consider this to be a key risk indicator. Income support from the Government bodies and the social need for these premises provide sustained income stability. Aviva therefore considers these loans to be lower risk.

Commercial

Gross exposure by loan to value and arrears is shown in the table below.

 

Shareholder assets

 

30 June 2013

>120%

£m

115-120%

£m

110-115%

£m

105-110%

£m

100-105%

£m

95-100%

£m

90-95%

£m

80-90%

£m

70-80%

£m

<70%

£m

Total

£m

Not in arrears

142

168

616

766

1,401

1,268

392

791

947

1,384

7,875

0 - 3 months

-

-

-

-

-

82

-

-

-

-

82

3 - 6 months

-

-

-

-

-

32

67

2

-

-

101

6 - 12 months

-

-

-

-

-

56

1

3

-

-

60

> 12 months

-

-

-

-

-

151

102

-

-

-

253

Total

142

168

616

766

1,401

1,589

562

796

947

1,384

8,371

 

Of the total £8.4 billion of UK non-securitised commercial mortgage loans in the shareholder fund, £8.1 billion are held by our UK Life business to back annuity liabilities, and are stated on a fair value basis. The loan exposures for our UK Life business are calculated on a discounted cash flow basis, and include a risk adjustment through the use of Credit Risk Adjusted Value ("CRAV") methods.

      Aviva UK General Insurance hold the remaining £0.3 billion of loans which are stated on an amortised cost basis and are subject to impairment review, using a fair value methodology calibrated to the UK Life approach, adjusted for specific portfolio characteristics.

 

 

Page 94

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.2 - Loans continued

For the commercial mortgages held by the UK Life and UK General Insurance business, loan service collection ratios, a key indicator of mortgage portfolio performance, decreased slightly during the period. Loan Interest Cover ("LIC"), which is defined as the annual net rental income (including rental deposits and less ground rent) divided by the annual loan interest service, decreased to 1.37x (FY12: 1.40x). Mortgage LTVs decreased during the half year from 95% to 91% (CRAV basis) largely due to an increase in gilt spot rates (on average 42bps) causing the value of the mortgage assets to decrease, (average property values have fallen c0.6% since end 2012).

      All loans in arrears have been assessed for impairment. Of the £496 million (FY12: £446 million) value of all loans in arrears included within our shareholder assets, the interest and capital amount in arrears is only £4.1 million.

      Although portfolio level metrics are stable or improved, reflecting the quality of new lending, there has been a rise in impairments, restructuring of loans and requests for forbearance. These relate to loans made prior to the current financial downturn, with particular exposure to the retail sector in the north of England. As a result we have increased allowances on commercial mortgages (including healthcare and PFI mortgages) to £1.5 billion (FY12: £1.2 billion including an implicit reinvestment risk margin of £0.2 billion) against the risk of default on our riskier mortgages. This includes a net increase of £0.3 billion and explicit recognition of the £0.2 billion margin previously held implicitly. For the mortgages with an LTV of greater than 100% there is negative equity at today's property prices of circa £1.3 billion compared with the underlying value of the properties. The provision of £1.5 billion therefore would be available to contribute to this amount.

      The valuation allowance (including supplementary allowances) of £1.5 billion made in the UK Life business for commercial mortgages, including healthcare and PFI mortgages, held by Aviva Annuity UK Limited and carried at fair value equates to 128 bps at 30 June 2013 (FY12: 89 bps).

      The total valuation allowance held by Aviva Annuity UK Limited in respect of corporate bonds and mortgages, including healthcare and PFI mortgages, is £2.2 billion (FY12: £2.0 billion - including the implicit margin of £0.2 billion) over the remaining term of the UK Life corporate bond and mortgage portfolio.

      In addition, we hold £127 million (FY12: £118 million) of impairment provisions in our UK General Insurance mortgage portfolio, which is carried at amortised cost.

      The UK portfolio remains diversified in terms of property type, location and tenants as well as the spread of loans written over time. The risks in commercial mortgages are addressed through several layers of protection with the mortgage risk profile being primarily driven by the ability of the underlying tenant rental income to cover loan interest and amortisation. Should any single tenant default on their rental payment, rental from other tenants backing the same loan often ensures the loan interest cover does not fall below 1.0x. Where there are multiple loans to a single borrower further protection may be achieved through cross-charging (or pooling) such that any single loan is also supported by rents received within other pool loans. Additionally, there may be support provided by the borrower of the loan itself and further loss mitigation from any general floating charge held over assets within the borrower companies.

      If the LIC cover falls below 1.0x and the borrower defaults then Aviva still retains the option of selling the security or restructuring the loans and benefiting from the protection of the collateral. A combination of these benefits and the higher recovery levels afforded by property collateral (compared to corporate debt or other uncollateralised credit exposures) should result in the economic exposure being significantly lower than the gross exposure reported above.

Securitised mortgage loans

Funding for the securitised residential mortgage assets (£2.2 billion) was obtained by issuing loan note securities. Of these loan notes approximately £260 million are held by Aviva shareholder funds. The remainder are held by third parties external to Aviva. As any cash shortfall arising once all mortgages have redeemed is borne by the loan note holders, the majority of the credit risk of these mortgages is borne by third parties. Securitised residential mortgages held are predominantly issued through vehicles in the UK.

United States

(Non-securitised mortgage loans)

Commercial

Gross exposure by loan to value and arrears is shown in the table below.

Shareholder assets

 

30 June 2013

>120%

£m

115-120%

£m

110-115%

£m

105-110%

£m

100-105%

£m

95-100%

£m

90-95%

£m

80-90%

£m

70-80%

£m

<70%

£m

Total

£m

Neither past due nor impaired

10

-

3

-

3

15

39

135

543

2,429

3,177

0 - 3 months

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

3 - 6 months

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

6 - 12 months

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

1

1

> 12 months

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total

10

-

3

-

3

15

39

135

543

2,430

3,178

 

Aviva USA currently holds £3.2 billion (FY12: £2.9 billion) of commercial mortgages included within shareholder assets. These mortgages continue to perform well, reflecting:

n Low underwriting LTVs (shall not exceed 80% at the time of issuance), and consequently a portfolio with an average LTV of 61% (FY12: 61%);

n A highly diversified portfolio, with strong volumes in many states with more stable economies and related real estate values; and

n Strong LIC ratios, with 96% of the loans having an LIC above 1.4x, and 0.9% with LIC below 1.0x.

 

As at 30 June 2013, the actual amount of interest payments in arrears was £1 million.

 

 

Page 95

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments

 


30 June 2013

Restated 31 December 2012

Financial investments - Total

Cost/ amortised

cost

£m

Unrealised

gains

£m

Impairments

and

unrealised

losses

£m

Fair value

£m

Cost/ amortised

cost

£m

Unrealised

gains

£m

Impairments

and

unrealised

losses

£m

Fair value

£m

Debt securities

150,832

13,599

(2,963)

161,468

147,822

16,439

(2,030)

162,231

Equity securities

30,155

6,578

(2,062)

34,671

31,453

5,067

(2,177)

34,343

Other investments

30,743

2,513

(1,841)

31,415

27,946

2,063

(1,149)

28,860

Total

211,730

22,690

(6,866)

227,554

207,221

23,569

(5,356)

225,434

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

33,094

3,193

(1,403)

34,884

32,834

3,762

(181)

36,415

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

178,636

19,497

(5,463)

192,670

174,387

19,807

(5,175)

189,019

 

Aviva holds large quantities of high quality bonds, primarily to match our liability to make guaranteed payments to policyholders. Some credit risk is taken, partly to increase returns to policyholders and partly to optimise the risk/return profile for shareholders.

The risks are consistent with the products we offer and the related investment mandates, and are in line with our risk appetite.

      The Group also holds equities, the majority of which are held in participating funds and policyholder funds, where they form an integral part of the investment expectations of policyholders and follow well-defined investment mandates. Some equities are also held in shareholder funds. The vast majority of equity investments are valued at quoted market prices.

D3.3.1 - Debt securities

 


Fair value hierarchy


Debt securities - Shareholder assets

2013

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

UK Government

3,916

140

-

4,056

Non-UK Government

7,459

4,517

37

12,013

   Europe

6,638

426

37

7,101

   North America

481

3,724

-

4,205

   Asia Pacific & Other

340

367

-

707

Corporate bonds - Public utilities

2,869

3,186

20

6,075

Corporate convertible bonds

-

73

53

126

Other corporate bonds

9,527

23,989

431

33,947

Other

1,556

3,992

40

5,588

Total

25,327

35,897

581

61,805

Total %

41.0%

58.1%

0.9%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

296

29,217

248

29,761

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

25,031

6,680

333

32,044

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

78.1%

20.8%

1.1%

100.0%

FY12 restated

25,046

36,234

427

61,707

FY12 Total %

40.6%

58.7%

0.7%

100.0%

 

0.9%(FY12: 0.7%) of shareholder exposure to debt securities and 1.1% excluding assets held for sale is fair valued using models

with significant unobservable market parameters (classified as Fair Value Level 3). Where estimates are used, these are based on a combination of independent third party evidence and internally developed models, calibrated to market observable data where possible.

      41.0% (FY12: 40.6%) of shareholder exposure to debt securities is based on quoted prices in an active market and are therefore classified as Fair Value Level 1. The majority of the debt instruments in Level 2 are held by our US and Canadian businesses. These debt instruments are valued by independent pricing firms in accordance with usual market practice in that region and consistent with other companies operating in the region are classified as Level 2 in the Fair Value hierarchy. Excluding our US and Canadian businesses, the proportion of shareholder debt securities classified as Level 1 in the Fair Value hierarchy would be 87.2% (FY12: 84.3%); while excluding assets held for sale (including our US business) 78.1% of shareholder debt securities are classified as Level 1.

 

 

 

Page 96

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.1 - Debt securities continued

 


External ratings



Debt securities - Shareholder assets

2013

AAA

£m

AA

£m

A

£m

BBB

£m

Less than BBB

£m

Non-rated

£m

Total

£m

Government








UK Government

-

3,813

44

-

-

184

4,041

UK local authorities

-

11

-

-

-

4

15

Non-UK Government

4,647

4,513

1,058

1,692

51

52

12,013


4,647

8,337

1,102

1,692

51

240

16,069

Corporate








Public utilities

23

146

3,600

2,020

65

221

6,075

Convertibles and bonds with warrants

-

-

19

107

-

-

126

Other corporate bonds

1,836

2,951

11,836

11,487

1,484

4,353

33,947


1,859

3,097

15,455

13,614

1,549

4,574

40,148

Certificates of deposits

-

-

-

6

141

204

351

Structured








RMBS1  non-agency ALT A

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

RMBS1  non-agency prime

47

21

-

-

-

-

68

RMBS1  agency

773

-

-

-

-

-

773


820

21

-

-

-

-

841

CMBS2

1,659

486

265

269

128

-

2,807

ABS3

322

297

122

15

59

10

825

CDO (including CLO)4

-

-

-

-

8

-

8

ABCP5

30

-

-

-

-

23

53


2,011

783

387

284

195

33

3,693

Wrapped credit

1

15

260

77

36

46

435

Other

29

16

78

57

75

13

268

Total

9,367

12,269

17,282

15,730

2,047

5,110

61,805

Total %

15.2%

19.9%

28.0%

25.5%

3.2%

8.2%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

3,288

3,227

8,988

10,414

1,501

2,343

29,761

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

6,079

9,042

8,294

5,316

546

2,767

32,044

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

19.0%

28.2%

25.9%

16.6%

1.7%

8.6%

100.0%

FY12 restated

12,288

8,877

17,780

15,424

1,924

5,414

61,707

FY12 Total %

19.9%

14.4%

28.8%

25.0%

3.1%

8.8%

100.0%

1    RMBS - Residential Mortgage Backed Security.

2    CMBS - Commercial Mortgage Backed Security.

3    ABS - Asset Backed Security.

4    CDO - Collateralised Debt Obligation, CLO - Collateralised Loan Obligation.

5    ABCP - Asset Backed Commercial Paper.

 

The overall quality of the book remains strong, despite the continuing downgrade activity by the major rating agencies during the period. 26% of shareholder exposure to debt securities is in government holdings (FY12: 25%). Our corporate debt securities portfolio represents 65% (FY12: 66%) of total shareholder debt securities.

      The majority of non-rated corporate bonds are held by our businesses in the UK and US.

      At 30 June 2013, the proportion of our shareholder debt securities that are investment grade remained stable at 88.6%

(FY12: 88.1%). The remaining 11.4% of shareholder debt securities that do not have an external rating of BBB or higher can be split as follows:

n 3.2% are debt securities that are rated as below investment grade;

n 3.5% are US private placements which are not rated by the major rating agencies, but are rated as investment grade by the Securities Valuation Office of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC), a US national regulatory agency; and,

n 4.7% are not rated by the major rating agencies or the NAIC.

 

Of the securities not rated by an external agency or NAIC most are allocated an internal rating using a methodology largely consistent with that adopted by an external rating agency, and are considered to be of investment grade credit quality; these include £2.5 billion of debt securities held in our UK Life business, predominantly made up of private placements and other corporate bonds, which have been internally rated as investment grade.

      The majority of the Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) are U.S. investments and over 89% of this exposure is backed by one of the U.S. Government Sponsored Entities (GSEs) including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac which, under the conservatorship arrangements implemented in September 2008, have an implicit guarantee, although they are not expressly backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. Government.

      The Group has extremely limited exposure to CDOs, CLOs and 'Sub-prime' debt securities.

      Asset backed securities (ABS) are held primarily by our UK (£519 million) and US (£305 million) businesses. 91.6% of the Group's shareholder holdings in ABS are investment grade. ABS that either have a rating below BBB or are not rated represent approximately 0.1% of shareholder exposure to debt securities.

 

 

Page 97

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3.2 - Equity securities

 


30 June 2013

Restated 31 December 2012


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Equity securities - Shareholder assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Public utilities

3

-

-

3

18

-

-

18

Banks, trusts and insurance companies

131

58

328

517

644

72

327

1,043

Industrial miscellaneous and all other

227

-

16

243

112

-

12

124

Non-redeemable preferred shares

332

-

-

332

323

-

-

323

Total

693

58

344

1,095

1,097

72

339

1,508

Total %

63.3%

5.3%

31.4%

100.0%

72.7%

4.8%

22.5%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

1

56

3

60

11

61

-

72

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

692

2

341

1,035

1,086

11

339

1,436

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

66.9%

0.2%

32.9%

100.0%

75.6%

0.8%

23.6%

100.0%

 

63.3% of our shareholder exposure to equity securities is based on quoted prices in an active market and as such is classified as Level 1 (FY12: 72.7%). The decrease in Level 1 shareholder equity securities reflects the sale of our holding in Delta Lloyd during the period. Excluding assets of operations classified as held for sale, 66.9% of shareholder exposure is to equities that are Level 1 (FY12: 75.6%).

      Shareholder investments include a strategic holding in Italian banks of £294 million (£150 million, net of any non-controlling interest share in the Group companies that own the investments).

D3.3.3 - Other investments

 


30 June 2013

Restated 31 December 2012


Fair value hierarchy


Fair value hierarchy


Other investments - Shareholders assets

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Level 1

£m

Level 2

£m

Level 3

£m

Total

£m

Unit trusts and other investment vehicles

196

50

436

682

261

22

416

699

Derivative financial instruments

70

1,175

11

1,256

174

896

47

1,117

Deposits with credit institutions

128

11

26

165

143

11

26

180

Minority holdings in property management undertakings

-

116

-

116

-

115

-

115

Other

10

-

51

61

10

-

47

57

Total

404

1,352

524

2,280

588

1,044

536

2,168

Total %

17.7%

59.3%

23.0%

100.0%

27.1%

48.2%

24.7%

100.0%

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

70

996

440

1,506

169

658

396

1,223

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

334

356

84

774

419

386

140

945

Total % (excluding assets held for sale)

43.2%

46.0%

10.8%

100.0%

44.4%

40.8%

14.8%

100.0%

 

In total 77.0% (FY12: 75.3%) of shareholder other investments, are classified as Level 1 or 2 in the fair value hierarchy.

The unit trusts and other investment vehicles invest in a variety of assets, which can include cash equivalents, debt, equity and property securities. Excluding assets classified as held for sale, 89.2% of shareholder exposure is to other investments that are Level 1 or 2.

D3.3.4 - Available for sale investments - Impairments and duration and amount of unrealised losses

The total impairment expense for the six months to 30 June 2013 for AFS debt securities was £7 million (FY12: £12 million). The total AFS impairment expense relates to corporate bonds that are not yet in default but showed continued deterioration in market value from the previous impairment value.

      Total unrealised losses on AFS debt securities, equity securities and other investments at 30 June 2013 were £1,175 million (FY12: £74 million), £3 million (FY12: £nil) and £12 million (FY12: £5 million) respectively. This increase includes an unrealised loss on AFS debt securities of £1,169 million attributable to the US operations of the Group, and is a result of a significant increase in the 10 year Treasury yield curve rate, which has adversely affected the value of the Groups' investments in US debt securities.

 

 

 

Page 98

 

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.5 - Exposures to peripheral European countries

Included in our debt securities and other financial assets are exposures to peripheral European countries. All of these assets are valued on a mark to market basis under IAS 39, and therefore our statement of financial position and income statement already reflect any reduction in value between the date of purchase and the balance sheet date. The significant majority of these holdings are within our participating funds where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds.

      Net of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder and participating fund asset exposure to the government (and local authorities and agencies) of Italy is £4.9 billion (FY12: £4.9 billion). Gross of non-controlling interests, 94% of our shareholder asset exposure to Italy arises from the investment exposure of our Italian business.

 

Direct sovereign exposures to Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)

 


Participating

Shareholder

Total


30 June

2013

£bn

 

31 December

2012

£bn

30 June

2013

£bn

 

31 December

2012

£bn

30 June

2013

£bn

31 December

2012

£bn

Greece

-

-

-

-

-

-

Ireland

0.4

0.4

-

-

0.4

0.4

Portugal

0.3

0.3

-

-

0.3

0.3

Italy

4.5

4.5

0.4

0.4

4.9

4.9

Spain

0.8

0.9

0.5

0.5

1.3

1.4

Total Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain

6.0

6.1

0.9

0.9

6.9

7.0

 

Direct sovereign exposures to Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain (gross of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)

 


Participating

Shareholder

Total


30 June

2013

£bn

 

31 December

2012

£bn

30 June

2013

£bn

 

31 December

2012

£bn

30 June

2013

£bn

 

31 December

2012

£bn

Greece

-

-

-

-

-

-

Ireland

0.4

0.4

-

-

0.4

0.4

Portugal

0.2

0.3

-

-

0.2

0.3

Italy

8.6

8.5

0.6

0.6

9.2

9.1

Spain

1.2

1.3

0.9

0.9

2.1

2.2

Total Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain

10.4

10.5

1.5

1.5

11.9

12.0

 

 

Page 99

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.6 - Non UK Government debt securities (gross of non-controlling interests)

 


Policyholder

Participating

Shareholder

Total

Non UK Government Debt Securities

30 June

2013

£m

Restated

31 December 2012

£m

30 June

2013

£m

Restated

31 December 2012

£m

30 June

2013

£m

Restated

31 December 2012

£m

30 June

2013

£m

Restated

31 December 2012

£m

Austria

10

14

705

634

161

123

876

771

Belgium

31

45

1,441

1,343

287

172

1,759

1,560

France

137

191

10,312

9,076

1,657

1,944

12,106

11,211

Germany

140

220

2,163

2,394

748

957

3,051

3,571

Greece

1

-

3

-

-

-

4

-

Ireland

28

35

363

363

-

26

391

424

Italy

251

265

8,615

8,521

575

617

9,441

9,403

Netherlands

56

69

1,262

1,200

309

228

1,627

1,497

Poland

627

673

923

1,014

419

445

1,969

2,132

Portugal

1

-

242

257

-

-

243

257

Spain

41

37

1,174

1,319

908

854

2,123

2,210

European Supranational debt

100

136

2,641

2,928

1,419

1,470

4,160

4,534

Other European countries

326

244

822

651

618

421

1,766

1,316

Europe

1,749

1,929

30,666

29,700

7,101

7,257

39,516

38,886

Canada

13

19

190

196

2,445

2,517

2,648

2,732

United States

140

139

58

56

1,760

1,665

1,958

1,860

North America

153

158

248

252

4,205

4,182

4,606

4,592

Singapore

9

7

401

453

279

276

689

736

Sri Lanka

3

1

4

3

-

-

7

4

Other

707

637

1,622

1,315

428

393

2,757

2,345

Asia Pacific and other

719

645

2,027

1,771

707

669

3,453

3,085

Total

2,621

2,732

32,941

31,723

12,013

12,108

47,575

46,563

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

7

197

1,684

556

2,169

2,274

3,860

3,027

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

2,614

2,535

31,257

31,167

9,844

9,834

43,715

43,536

 

At 30 June 2013, the Group's total government (non-UK) debt securities stood at £47.6 billion (FY12: £46.6 billion), an increase of £1.0 billion. The significant majority of these holdings are within our participating funds where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds.

      Our direct shareholder asset exposure to government (non-UK) debt securities amounts to £12.0 billion (FY12: £12.1 billion). The primary exposures, relative to total shareholder (non-UK) government debt exposure, are to French (13.8%), German (6.2%), Spanish (7.6%) and Italian (4.8%) government debt securities.       

      The participating funds exposure to (non-UK) government debt amounts to £32.9 billion (FY12: £31.7 billion), an increase of £1.2 billion. The primary exposures, relative to total (non-UK) government debt exposures included within our participating funds, are to the (non-UK) government debt securities of France (31.3%), Italy (26.2%), Germany (6.6%), Belgium (4.4%), Spain (3.6%), Netherlands (3.8%) and Poland (2.8%).

 

 

Page 100

 

D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued

D3.3 - Financial investments continued

D3.3.7 - Exposure to worldwide bank debt securities

Direct shareholder and participating fund assets exposures to worldwide bank debt securities (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)

 


Shareholder assets

Participating fund assets

 

30 June 2013

Total

senior debt

£bn

Total

subordinated

debt

£bn

Total

debt

£bn

Total

senior debt

£bn

Total

subordinated

debt

£bn

Total

debt

£bn

Austria

-

-

-

0.2

-

0.2

France

0.2

-

0.2

3.7

0.9

4.6

Germany

-

0.1

0.1

0.5

0.7

1.2

Ireland

-

0.1

0.1

-

-

-

Italy

-

0.1

0.1

0.3

-

0.3

Netherlands

0.4

0.2

0.6

1.9

0.2

2.1

Portugal

-

-

-

-

-

-

Spain

0.7

0.1

0.8

0.9

0.1

1.0

United Kingdom

0.6

0.4

1.0

0.8

1.0

1.8

United States

1.4

0.9

2.3

1.0

0.1

1.1

Other

0.6

0.5

1.1

2.0

0.9

2.9

Total

3.9

2.4

6.3

11.3

3.9

15.2

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

1.2

1.0

2.2

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

2.7

1.4

4.1

11.3

3.9

15.2

FY12 Total

4.2

2.3

6.5

11.7

3.9

15.6

 

Net of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder assets exposure to worldwide bank debt securities is £6.3 billion. The majority of our holding (61.9%) is in senior debt. The primary exposures are to US (36.5%) and UK (15.9%) banks.

      Net of non-controlling interests, the participating fund exposures to worldwide bank debt securities, where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds, is £15.2 billion. The majority of the exposure (74.3%) is in senior debt. Participating funds are the most exposed to French (30.3%), Dutch (13.8%) and UK (11.8%) banks.

 

Direct shareholder and participating fund assets exposures to worldwide bank debt securities (gross of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)

 


Shareholder assets

Participating fund assets

 

30 June 2013

Total

senior debt

£bn

Total

subordinated

debt

£bn

Total

debt

£bn

Total

senior debt

£bn

Total

subordinated

debt

£bn

Total

debt

£bn

Austria

-

-

-

0.2

-

0.2

France

0.2

-

0.2

4.1

1.0

5.1

Germany

-

0.1

0.1

0.6

0.7

1.3

Ireland

-

0.1

0.1

-

-

-

Italy

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.7

0.1

0.8

Netherlands

0.4

0.2

0.6

2.0

0.3

2.3

Portugal

-

-

-

-

-

-

Spain

1.0

0.1

1.1

1.2

0.1

1.3

United Kingdom

0.6

0.4

1.0

0.9

1.1

2.0

United States

1.4

0.9

2.3

2.3

0.1

2.4

Other

0.6

0.5

1.1

2.5

0.9

3.4

Total

4.3

2.4

6.7

14.5

4.3

18.8

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

1.2

1.0

2.2

-

-

-

Total (excluding assets held for sale)

3.1

1.4

4.5

14.5

4.3

18.8

FY12 Total

4.9

2.4

7.3

13.3

4.4

17.7

 

Gross of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder assets exposure to worldwide bank debt securities is £6.7 billion. The majority of our holding (64.2%) is in senior debt. The primary exposures are to US (34.3%), Spanish (16.4%) and UK (14.9%) banks.

      Gross of non-controlling interests, the participating fund exposures to worldwide bank debt securities, where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds, is £18.8 billion. The majority of the exposure (77.1%) is in senior debt. Participating funds are the most exposed to French (27.1%), US (12.8%), Dutch (12.2%) and UK (10.6%) banks.

 

 

Page 101

 

 

D4 - Pension fund assets

In addition to the assets recognised directly on the Group's statement of financial position outlined in the disclosures above, the Group is also exposed to the ''Plan assets'' that are shown net of the present value of scheme liabilities within the IAS 19 net pension surplus. Pension surpluses are included within other assets and pension deficits are recognised within provisions in the Group's consolidated statement of financial position.

 

Plan assets comprise


30 June 2013

31 December 2012


United Kingdom

£m

Ireland

£m

Canada

£m

Total

£m

United Kingdom

£m

Ireland

£m

Canada

£m

Total

£m

Equities

920

96

80

1,096

909

87

92

1,088

Bonds

8,961

259

142

9,362

8,867

260

121

9,248

Property

996

13

-

1,009

914

12

-

926

Other

839

54

24

917

957

47

15

1,019

Total

11,716

422

246

12,384

11,647

406

228

12,281

Risk management and asset allocation strategy

The long-term investment objectives of the trustees and the employers are to limit the risk of the assets failing to meet the liabilities of the schemes over the long term, and to maximise returns consistent with an acceptable level of risk so as to control the long-term costs of these schemes. To meet these objectives, each scheme's assets are invested in a diversified portfolio, consisting primarily of debt securities, equity securities and property.

Main UK Scheme

Both the Group and the trustees regularly review the asset/liability management of the main UK scheme. It is fully understood that, whilst the current asset mix is designed to produce appropriate long-term returns, this introduces a material risk of volatility in the scheme's surplus or deficit of assets compared with its liabilities.

      The principal risks to which the scheme assets are exposed are interest rate, inflation and equity markets. These are actively mitigated, for example, by using inflation and interest rate swaps. Additionally, the exposure to equities has been reduced over time. There is also an exposure to currency risk where assets are not denominated in the same currency as the liabilities. The majority of this exposure has been removed by the use of hedging instruments.

Other schemes

The other schemes are considerably less material but their risks are managed in a similar way to those in the main UK scheme.

      Refer to Note B15 for details on the movements in the main schemes' surpluses and deficits.

 

 

 

Page 102

 

D5 - Available funds

To ensure access to liquidity as and when needed, the Group maintains £1.5 billion of undrawn committed central borrowing facilities with various highly rated banks, £0.75 billion of which is allocated to support the credit ratings of Aviva plc's commercial paper programmes. The expiry profile of the undrawn committed central borrowing facilities is as follows:

 

30 June 2013


£m

Expiring within one year


300

Expiring beyond one year


1,200

Total


1,500

D6 - Guarantees

As a normal part of their operating activities, various Group companies have given guarantees and options, including investment return guarantees, in respect of certain long-term insurance and fund management products.

      For the UK Life with-profit business, provisions in respect of these guarantees and options are calculated on a market consistent basis, in which stochastic models are used to evaluate the level of risk (and additional cost) under a number of economic scenarios, which allow for the impact of volatility in both interest rates and equity prices. For UK Life non-profit business, provisions do not materially differ from those determined on a market consistent basis.

      In all other businesses, provisions for guarantees and options are calculated on a local basis with sensitivity analysis undertaken where appropriate to assess the impact on provisioning levels of a movement in interest rates and equity levels (typically a 1% decrease in interest rates and 10% decline in equity markets).

 

 

 

 


Page 103

 

VNB & Sales analysis

 

In this section

Page

E1    Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations) - cumulative

104

E2    Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations) - discrete

104

E3    Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations) - cumulative

105

E4    Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations) - discrete

105

E5    Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations) - cumulative

106

E6    Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations) - discrete

106

E7    Trend analysis of investment sales (continuing operations) - cumulative

107

E8    Trend analysis of investment sales (continuing operations) - discrete

107

E9    Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - cumulative

108

E10  Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - discrete

108







 

 

Page 104

 

E1 - Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations1) - cumulative

 









Growth on

2Q12 YTD

Gross of tax and non-controlling interests

1Q12

YTD

£m

2Q12

YTD

£m

3Q12

YTD

£m

4Q12    

YTD

£m

1Q13

YTD

£m

2Q13

YTD

£m

Sterling

%

Local

currency

%

United Kingdom

81

182

288

420

108

211

16%

16%

Ireland

(2)

(6)

(11)

(8)

(1)

1

117%

117%

United Kingdom & Ireland

79

176

277

412

107

212

20%

20%

France

35

62

84

119

39

86

39%

34%

Poland

10

18

23

35

10

21

17%

10%

Italy

9

14

19

29

4

6

(57)%

(59)%

Spain

14

21

32

56

5

13

(38)%

(40)%

Turkey

6

13

20

30

10

20

54%

53%

Other Europe

-

2

2

2

1

1

(50)%

(47)%

Europe

74

130

180

271

69

147

13%

9%

Asia - excluding Malaysia and Sri Lanka

14

29

46

55

19

41

41%

37%

Value of new business - pro forma basis

167

335

503

738

195

400

19%

18%

Effect of disposals (Malaysia and Sri Lanka)

2

8

8

8

1

1

(88)%

(88)%

Total

169

343

511

746

196

401

17%

15%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life, it is no longer being managed on a MCEV basis and it is no longer included in covered business.

E2 - Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations1) - discrete

 









Growth on

1Q13

Gross of tax and non-controlling interests

 

1Q12

Discrete

£m

 

2Q12

Discrete

£m

 

3Q12

Discrete

£m

 

4Q12

Discrete

£m

 

1Q13

Discrete

£m

2Q13

Discrete

£m

Sterling

%

Local

currency

%

United Kingdom

81

101

106

132

108

103

(5)%

(5)%

Ireland

(2)

(4)

(5)

3

(1)

2

300%

300%

United Kingdom & Ireland

79

97

101

135

107

105

(2)%

(2)%

France

35

27

22

35

39

47

21%

21%

Poland

10

8

5

12

10

11

10%

10%

Italy

9

5

5

10

4

2

(50)%

(50)%

Spain

14

7

11

24

5

8

60%

60%

Turkey

6

7

7

10

10

10

-

1%

Other Europe

-

2

-

-

1

-

(100)%

(100)%

Europe

74

56

50

91

69

78

13%

13%

Asia - excluding Malaysia and Sri Lanka

14

15

17

9

19

22

16%

15%

Value of new business - pro forma basis

167

168

168

235

195

205

5%

5%

Effect of disposals (Malaysia and Sri Lanka)

2

6

-

-

1

-

(100)%

(100)%

Total

169

174

168

235

196

205

5%

5%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life, it is no longer being managed on a MCEV basis and it is no longer included in covered business.

 

 

Page 105

 

 

E3 - Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations1) - cumulative

 









Growth on 2Q12 YTD

Present value of new business premiums2

1Q12

YTD

£m

2Q12

YTD

£m

3Q12

YTD

£m

4Q12

YTD

£m

1Q13

YTD

£m

2Q13

YTD

£m

Sterling

%

Local

currency

%

Life and pensions business









United Kingdom

2,430

5,387

8,002

10,410

2,336

4,441

(18)%

(18)%

Ireland

199

342

469

632

117

225

(34)%

(36)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

2,629

5,729

8,471

11,042

2,453

4,666

(19)%

(19)%

France

1,092

1,944

2,671

3,638

1,245

2,373

22%

18%

Poland

107

201

274

373

123

227

13%

7%

Italy

673

1,259

1,603

1,971

614

1,305

4%

-

Spain

402

705

934

1,295

375

641

(9)%

(12)%

Turkey

68

141

212

312

135

253

79%

77%

Other Europe

56

108

132

158

20

20

(81)%

(82)%

Europe

2,398

4,358

5,826

7,747

2,512

4,819

11%

7%

Asia

442

913

1,367

1,765

488

861

(6)%

(8)%

Other business3

13

30

79

92

4

7

(77)%

(77)%

Total life and pensions

5,482

11,030

15,743

20,646

5,457

10,353

(6)%

(8)%

Investment sales4

949

1,934

3,400

4,586

1,134

2,498

29%

27%

Total long-term savings sales

6,431

12,964

19,143

25,232

6,591

12,851

(1)%

(3)%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life, it is no longer being managed on a MCEV basis and it is no longer included in covered business.

2    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

3    Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions, Russia up to the date of disposal in April 2013 and the Czech Republic, Hungary and Romania Life up to the date of disposal in July 2012.

4    Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

E4 - Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations1) - discrete

 









Growth on 1Q13

Present value of new business premiums2

 

1Q12

Discrete

£m

 

2Q12

Discrete

£m

 

3Q12

Discrete

£m

 

4Q12

Discrete

£m

 

1Q13

Discrete

£m

2Q13

Discrete

£m

Sterling

%

Local

currency

%

Life and pensions business









United Kingdom

2,430

2,957

2,615

2,408

2,336

2,105

(10)%

(10)%

Ireland

199

143

127

163

117

108

(8)%

(8)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

2,629

3,100

2,742

2,571

2,453

2,213

(10)%

(10)%

France

1,092

852

727

967

1,245

1,128

(9)%

(9)%

Poland

107

94

73

99

123

104

(15)%

(15)%

Italy

673

586

344

368

614

691

13%

13%

Spain

402

303

229

361

375

266

(29)%

(29)%

Turkey

68

73

71

100

135

118

(13)%

(12)%

Other Europe

56

52

24

26

20

-

(100)%

(100)%

Europe

2,398

1,960

1,468

1,921

2,512

2,307

(8)%

(8)%

Asia

442

471

454

398

488

373

(24)%

(24)%

Other business3

13

17

49

13

4

3

(25)%

(25)%

Total life and pensions

5,482

5,548

4,713

4,903

5,457

4,896

(10)%

(10)%

Investment sales4

949

985

1,466

1,186

1,134

1,364

20%

20%

Total long-term savings sales

6,431

6,533

6,179

6,089

6,591

6,260

(5)%

(5)%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life, it is no longer being managed on a MCEV basis and it is no longer included in covered business.

2    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

3    Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions, Russia up to the date of disposal in April 2013 and the Czech Republic, Hungary and Romania Life up to the date of disposal in July 2012.

4    Investment sales are calculated as new single premium plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

 

 

Page 106

 

 

E5 - Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations1) - cumulative

 









Growth on

2Q12 YTD

Present value of new business premiums2

1Q12
YTD

£m

2Q12
 YTD

£m

3Q12
YTD

£m

4Q12
 YTD

£m

1Q13
YTD

£m

2Q13
YTD

£m

Sterling
%

Local currency
%

Life and pensions business









Pensions

1,251

2,762

3,963

5,158

1,322

2,479

(10)%

(10)%

Annuities

662

1,555

2,459

3,211

630

1,217

(22)%

(22)%

Bonds

128

253

322

379

33

59

(77)%

(77)%

Protection

300

608

920

1,228

253

504

(17)%

(17)%

Equity release

89

209

338

434

98

182

(13)%

(13)%

United Kingdom

2,430

5,387

8,002

10,410

2,336

4,441

(18)%

(18)%

Ireland

199

342

469

632

117

225

(34)%

(36)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

2,629

5,729

8,471

11,042

2,453

4,666

(19)%

(19)%

Savings

1,038

1,842

2,541

3,462

1,169

2,235

21%

17%

Protection

54

102

130

176

76

138

35%

31%

France

1,092

1,944

2,671

3,638

1,245

2,373

22%

18%

Pensions

180

311

430

672

246

409

32%

28%

Savings

994

1,836

2,337

2,888

882

1,770

(4)%

(7)%

Annuities

11

18

25

39

11

17

(6)%

(9)%

Protection

121

249

363

510

128

250

-

(3)%

Poland, Italy, Spain and Other

1,306

2,414

3,155

4,109

1,267

2,446

1%

(2)%

Europe

2,398

4,358

5,826

7,747

2,512

4,819

11%

7%

Asia

442

913

1,367

1,765

488

861

(6)%

(8)%

Other business3

13

30

79

92

4

7

(77)%

(77)%

Total life and pensions sales

5,482

11,030

15,743

20,646

5,457

10,353

(6)%

(8)%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life, it is no longer being managed on a MCEV basis and it is no longer included in covered business.

2    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

3    Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions, Russia up to the date of disposal in April 2013 and the Czech Republic, Hungary and Romania Life up to the date of disposal in July 2012.

E6 - Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations1) - discrete

 









Growth on

1Q13

Present value of new business premiums2

1Q12 

Discrete
£m

2Q12

Discrete
£m

3Q12

Discrete
£m

4Q12

Discrete
£m

1Q13

Discrete
£m

2Q13

Discrete
£m

Sterling
%

Local currency
%

Life and pensions business









Pensions

1,251

1,511

1,201

1,195

1,322

1,157

(12)%

(12)%

Annuities

662

893

904

752

630

587

(7)%

(7)%

Bonds

128

125

69

57

33

26

(21)%

(21)%

Protection

300

308

312

308

253

251

(1)%

(1)%

Equity release

89

120

129

96

98

84

(14)%

(14)%

United Kingdom

2,430

2,957

2,615

2,408

2,336

2,105

(10)%

(10)%

Ireland

199

143

127

163

117

108

(8)%

(8)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

2,629

3,100

2,742

2,571

2,453

2,213

(10)%

(10)%

Savings

1,038

804

699

921

1,169

1,066

(9)%

(9)%

Protection

54

48

28

46

76

62

(18)%

(18)%

France

1,092

852

727

967

1,245

1,128

(9)%

(9)%

Pensions

180

131

119

242

246

163

(34)%

(33)%

Savings

994

842

501

551

882

888

1%

1%

Annuities

11

7

7

14

11

6

(45)%

(45)%

Protection

121

128

114

147

128

122

(5)%

(4)%

Poland, Italy, Spain and Other

1,306

1,108

741

954

1,267

1,179

(7)%

(7)%

Europe

2,398

1,960

1,468

1,921

2,512

2,307

(8)%

(8)%

Asia

442

471

454

398

488

373

(24)%

(24)%

Other business3

13

17

49

13

4

3

(25)%

(25)%

Total life and pensions sales

5,482

5,548

4,713

4,903

5,457

4,896

(10)%

(10)%

1    Following the announced disposal of US Life, it is no longer being managed on a MCEV basis and it is no longer included in covered business.

2    Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.

3    Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions, Russia up to the date of disposal in April 2013 and the Czech Republic, Hungary and Romania Life up to the date of disposal in July 2012.

 

Page 107

 

E7 - Trend analysis of Investment sales (continuing operations1) - cumulative

 








Growth on
2Q12 YTD

Investment Sales

1Q12
YTD
£m

2Q12
YTD
£m

3Q12
YTD
£m

4Q12
YTD
£m

1Q13
YTD
£m

2Q13
YTD
£m

Sterling
%

Local
Currency
%

United Kingdom & Ireland

432

823

1,269

1,730

305

841

2%

2%

Aviva Investors

479

1,043

2,038

2,727

787

1,563

50%

45%

Asia

38

68

93

129

42

94

38%

34%

Total investment sales

949

1,934

3,400

4,586

1,134

2,498

29%

27%

1    Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

E8 - Trend analysis of Investment sales (continuing operations1) - discrete

 








Growth on
 1Q13

Investment Sales

1Q12
Discrete
£m

2Q12
Discrete
£m

3Q12
Discrete
£m

4Q12
Discrete
£m

1Q13
Discrete
£m

2Q13
Discrete
£m

Sterling
%

Local
Currency
%

United Kingdom & Ireland

432

391

446

461

305

536

76%

76%

Aviva Investors

479

564

995

689

787

776

(1)%

(1)%

Asia

38

30

25

36

42

52

24%

24%

Total investment sales

949

985

1,466

1,186

1,134

1,364

20%

20%

1    Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

 

Page 108

 

E9 - Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - cumulative

 








Growth on
2Q12 YTD


1Q12
YTD
£m

2Q12
YTD
£m

3Q12
YTD
£m

4Q12
YTD
£m

1Q13
YTD
£m

2Q13
YTD
£m

Sterling
%

Local
currency
%

General insurance









United Kingdom

974

2,087

3,091

4,062

923

1,963

(6)%

(6)%

Ireland

82

174

252

326

71

146

(16)%

(19)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

1,056

2,261

3,343

4,388

994

2,109

(7)%

(7)%

Europe

410

726

982

1,295

435

764

5%

2%

Canada

454

1,081

1,635

2,176

470

1,126

4%

3%

Asia

6

11

17

22

3

7

(36)%

(38)%

Other

40

51

53

67

20

20

(61)%

(61)%


1,966

4,130

6,030

7,948

1,922

4,026

(3)%

(4)%

Health insurance









United Kingdom

120

255

389

528

138

289

13%

13%

Ireland

40

57

76

102

36

52

(9)%

(12)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

160

312

465

630

174

341

9%

9%

Europe

83

123

161

218

89

135

10%

6%

Asia

27

50

79

98

35

47

(6)%

(7)%


270

485

705

946

298

523

8%

6%

Total

2,236

4,615

6,735

8,894

2,220

4,549

(1)%

(3)%

 

E10 - Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - discrete

 








Growth on
1Q13


1Q12
Discrete
£m

2Q12
Discrete
£m

3Q12
Discrete
£m

4Q12
Discrete
£m

1Q13
Discrete
£m

2Q13
Discrete
£m

Sterling
%

Local
currency
%

General insurance









United Kingdom

974

1,113

1,004

971

923

1,040

13%

13%

Ireland

82

92

78

74

71

75

6%

6%

United Kingdom & Ireland

1,056

1,205

1,082

1,045

994

1,115

12%

12%

Europe

410

316

256

313

435

329

(24)%

(24)%

Canada

454

627

554

541

470

656

40%

40%

Asia

6

5

6

5

3

4

33%

33%

Other

40

11

2

14

20

-

(100)%

(100)%


1,966

2,164

1,900

1,918

1,922

2,104

9%

9%

Health insurance









United Kingdom

120

135

134

139

138

151

9%

9%

Ireland

40

17

19

26

36

16

(56)%

(56)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

160

152

153

165

174

167

(4)%

(4)%

Europe

83

40

38

57

89

46

(48)%

(48)%

Asia

27

23

29

19

35

12

(66)%

(66)%


270

215

220

241

298

225

(24)%

(24)%

Total

2,236

2,379

2,120

2,159

2,220

2,329

5%

5%

 

End of part 4 of 5

 


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