Start part 4 of 5
Page 77
Capital & assets
In this section |
Page |
Capital and liquidity |
|
C1 Capital performance |
78 |
C2 Regulatory capital |
82 |
C3 IFRS sensitivity analysis |
83 |
|
|
Analysis of assets |
|
D1 Total assets |
87 |
D2 Total assets -Valuation bases/fair |
88 |
D3 Analysis of asset quality |
91 |
D4 Pension fund assets |
101 |
D5 Available funds |
102 |
D6 Guarantees |
102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 78
Capital and liquidity
C1 - Capital performance
(a) Capital generation and utilisation
|
6 months |
Restated |
Restated |
Group operating capital generated after investment in new business |
1,019 |
891 |
1,982 |
Interest, corporate and other costs |
(271) |
(321) |
(677) |
External dividends and appropriations, net of shares issued in lieu of dividends |
(297) |
(447) |
(723) |
Net operating capital generation after financing |
451 |
123 |
582 |
(b) Capital required to write life new business, internal rate of return and payback period
The Group generates a significant amount of capital each year which supports both shareholder distribution and reinvestment in new business. The new business written requires up front capital investment, due to set-up costs and capital requirements.
The internal rate of return (IRR) is a measure of the shareholder return expected on this capital investment. It is equivalent to the discount rate at which the present value of the post-tax cash flows expected to be earned over the life time of the business written, including allowance for the time value of options and guarantees, is equal to the total invested capital to support the writing of the business. The capital included in the calculation of the IRR is the initial capital required to pay acquisition costs and set up statutory reserves in excess of premiums received ('initial capital'), plus required capital at the same level as for the calculation of the value of new business.
The payback period shows how quickly shareholders can expect the total capital to be repaid. The payback period has been calculated based on undiscounted cash flows and allows for the initial and required capital.
The projected investment returns in both the IRR and payback period calculations assume that equities, properties and bonds earn a return in excess of risk-free, consistent with the long-term rate of return assumed in operating earnings.
The internal rates of return on new business written during the period are set out below:
|
6 months 2013 |
|
6 months 2012 |
|
Full year 2012 |
||||||
Gross of non-controlling interests |
Internal rate of return % |
New business impact on free surplus |
Payback period years |
|
Internal rate of return % |
New |
Payback period years |
|
Internal rate of return % |
New |
Payback period years |
United Kingdom |
25% |
(33) |
5 |
|
15% |
35 |
7 |
|
18% |
6 |
6 |
Ireland |
4% |
16 |
19 |
|
2% |
16 |
20 |
|
2% |
31 |
25 |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
21% |
(17) |
7 |
|
13% |
51 |
9 |
|
16% |
37 |
8 |
France |
12% |
73 |
8 |
|
11% |
70 |
8 |
|
11% |
125 |
8 |
Poland |
19% |
14 |
5 |
|
22% |
15 |
4 |
|
20% |
25 |
4 |
Italy |
12% |
27 |
6 |
|
12% |
27 |
6 |
|
12% |
41 |
6 |
Spain |
18% |
19 |
4 |
|
16% |
23 |
4 |
|
21% |
35 |
4 |
Other Europe |
32% |
13 |
3 |
|
20% |
24 |
3 |
|
22% |
42 |
3 |
Europe |
15% |
146 |
6 |
|
14% |
159 |
6 |
|
15% |
268 |
6 |
Asia |
14% |
35 |
11 |
|
12% |
40 |
11 |
|
11% |
84 |
11 |
Total - excluding United States |
16.3% |
164 |
7 |
|
13.5% |
250 |
7 |
|
14.9% |
389 |
8 |
Total - United States |
- |
- |
- |
|
14% |
199 |
5 |
|
17% |
319 |
4 |
Total |
16.3% |
164 |
7 |
|
13.6% |
449 |
7 |
|
15.5% |
708 |
7 |
Page 79
C1 - Capital performance continued
(c) Analysis of return of equity - IFRS basis
|
Operating return1 |
|
|
|
6 months 2013 |
Before Tax £m |
After tax £m |
Opening shareholders' funds including non- controlling interests £m |
Return on equity % |
United Kingdom & Ireland life |
446 |
364 |
5,646 |
12.9% |
United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance and health |
214 |
168 |
4,008 |
8.4% |
Europe |
472 |
323 |
5,860 |
11.0% |
Canada |
147 |
109 |
1,039 |
21.0% |
Asia |
37 |
33 |
825 |
8.0% |
Fund management |
42 |
30 |
225 |
26.7% |
Corporate and Other Business2 |
(190) |
(193) |
(1,471) |
n/a |
Return on total capital employed (excluding United States) |
1,168 |
834 |
16,132 |
10.3% |
United States |
125 |
102 |
367 |
55.6% |
Return on total capital employed (including United States) |
1,293 |
936 |
16,499 |
11.3% |
Subordinated debt |
(148) |
(114) |
(4,337) |
5.3% |
External debt |
(12) |
(8) |
(802) |
2.0% |
Return on total equity |
1,133 |
814 |
11,360 |
14.3% |
Less: Non-controlling interests |
|
(93) |
(1,574) |
11.8% |
Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes |
|
(13) |
(1,382) |
1.9% |
Preference capital |
|
(9) |
(200) |
9.0% |
Return on equity shareholders' funds |
|
699 |
8,204 |
17.0% |
1 The operating return is based upon Group adjusted operating profit, which is stated before impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles, exceptional items and investment variance.
2 The 'Corporate and Other Business' loss before tax of £190 million comprises corporate costs of £72 million, interest on internal lending arrangements of £119 million, other business operating loss (net of investment return) of £27 million offset by finance income on the main UK pension scheme of £28 million.
|
Operating return1 |
|
|
|
Full year 2012 |
Restated before tax £m |
Restated after tax £m |
Opening shareholders' funds including non- controlling interests £m |
Restated return on equity % |
United Kingdom & Ireland life |
892 |
869 |
5,478 |
15.9% |
United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance and health |
490 |
370 |
3,903 |
9.5% |
Europe |
967 |
671 |
5,420 |
12.4% |
Canada |
277 |
205 |
1,034 |
19.8% |
Asia |
64 |
56 |
916 |
6.1% |
Fund management |
51 |
36 |
185 |
19.5% |
Corporate and Other Business 2 |
(498) |
(541) |
(234) |
n/a |
Return on total capital employed (excluding Delta Lloyd and United States) |
2,243 |
1,666 |
16,702 |
10.0% |
Delta Lloyd |
112 |
84 |
776 |
10.8% |
United States |
239 |
161 |
3,140 |
5.1% |
Return on total capital employed (including Delta Lloyd and United States) |
2,594 |
1,911 |
20,618 |
9.3% |
Subordinated debt |
(294) |
(222) |
(4,550) |
4.9% |
External debt |
(23) |
(17) |
(705) |
2.4% |
Return on total equity |
2,277 |
1,672 |
15,363 |
10.9% |
Less: Non-controlling interest |
|
(184) |
(1,530) |
12.0% |
Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes |
|
(55) |
(990) |
5.6% |
Preference capital |
|
(17) |
(200) |
8.5% |
Return on equity shareholders' funds |
|
1,416 |
12,643 |
11.2% |
1 The operating return is based upon Group adjusted operating profit, which is stated before impairment of goodwill, amortisation of intangibles, exceptional items and investment variance.
2 The 'Corporate and Other Business' loss before tax of £498 million comprises corporate costs of £136 million, interest on internal lending arrangements of £307 million, other business operating loss (net of investment return) of £142 million offset by finance income on the main UK pension scheme of £87 million.
Page 80
C1 - Capital performance continued
(d) Group capital structure
The table below shows how our capital, on both an IFRS and MCEV basis, is deployed by market and how that capital is funded.
|
30 June |
|
|
|
31 December 2012 |
|
|
|
IFRS basis £m |
Internally generated AVIF £m |
MCEV4 basis £m |
|
IFRS basis £m |
Internally generated AVIF £m |
MCEV4 basis £m |
United Kingdom & Ireland life |
5,336 |
2,017 |
7,353 |
|
5,646 |
1,956 |
7,602 |
United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance |
4,330 |
- |
4,330 |
|
4,008 |
- |
4,008 |
Europe |
5,400 |
3,131 |
8,531 |
|
5,860 |
2,873 |
8,733 |
Canada |
1,068 |
- |
1,068 |
|
1,039 |
- |
1,039 |
Asia |
746 |
79 |
825 |
|
825 |
28 |
853 |
Fund Management |
234 |
- |
234 |
|
225 |
- |
225 |
Corporate and Other Business1 |
(812) |
12 |
(800) |
|
(1,471) |
13 |
(1,458) |
Delta Lloyd |
- |
- |
- |
|
- |
- |
- |
United States |
523 |
- |
523 |
|
367 |
- |
367 |
Total capital employed |
16,825 |
5,239 |
22,064 |
|
16,499 |
4,870 |
21,369 |
Financed by |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity shareholders' funds |
8,276 |
4,723 |
12,999 |
|
8,204 |
4,230 |
12,434 |
Non-controlling interests |
1,506 |
516 |
2,022 |
|
1,574 |
640 |
2,214 |
Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes |
1,382 |
- |
1,382 |
|
1,382 |
- |
1,382 |
Preference shares |
200 |
- |
200 |
|
200 |
- |
200 |
Subordinated debt |
4,435 |
- |
4,435 |
|
4,337 |
- |
4,337 |
External debt |
1,026 |
- |
1,026 |
|
802 |
- |
802 |
Total capital employed |
16,825 |
5,239 |
22,064 |
|
16,499 |
4,870 |
21,369 |
Less Goodwill & Other Intangibles (net of tax and non-controlling interests)2 |
(2,250) |
|
(2,137) |
|
(2,523) |
|
(2,429) |
Total tangible capital employed |
14,575 |
|
19,927 |
|
13,976 |
|
18,940 |
Total Debt3 |
7,293 |
|
7,293 |
|
6,971 |
|
6,971 |
Tangible debt leverage |
50% |
|
37% |
|
50% |
|
37% |
1 'Corporate' and 'other Business' includes centrally held tangible net assets, the main UK staff pension scheme surplus and also reflects internal lending arrangements. These internal lending arrangements, which net out on consolidation, arise in relation to the following:
- Post the 2012 year end the Group took action to improve access to its dividends from the Group's insurances and asset management businesses by undertaking a corporate restructuring whereby Aviva Group Holdings (AGH) purchased the majority of the overseas businesses from Aviva Insurance Limited (AIL).
- The internal leverage through the interdivisional balance within AIL has been replaced by a formal loan between AIL and AGH with plans in place to reduce this loan by £600 million over the next three years.
- Certain subsidiaries, subject to satisfying standalone capital and liquidity requirements, loan funds to corporate and holding entities. These loans satisfy arm's-length criteria and all interest payments are made when due.
2 Goodwill and intangibles comprise £1,504 million (FY12: £1,703 million) of goodwill in subsidiaries, £1,095 million (FY12: £1,090 million) of intangibles in subsidiaries and £75 million (FY12: £132 million) of goodwill and intangibles in joint ventures, net of deferred tax liabilities of £(203) million (FY12: £(188) million) and the non controlling interest share of intangibles of £(221) million (FY12: £(214) million). Under MCEV goodwill and intangibles have been further impaired by £113 million (FY12: £94 million) which has been reflected in the additional value of in-force long-term business in the MCEV balance sheet.
3 Total debt comprises direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes, Aviva Plc preference share capital and core structural borrowings. In addition preference share capital of GA plc of £250 million within non-controlling interests has been included.
4 In preparing the MCEV information, the directors have done so in accordance with the European Insurance CFO Forum MCEV Principles with the exception of stating held for sale operation at their expected fair value, as represented by expected sale proceeds, less cost to sell.
Total capital employed is financed by a combination of equity shareholders' funds, preference capital, subordinated debt and borrowings. At HY13 we had £16.8 billion (FY12: £16.5 billion) of total capital employed in our trading operations measured on an IFRS basis and £22.1 billion (FY12: £21.4 billion) of total capital employed on an MCEV basis.
Financial leverage, the ratio of external senior and subordinated debt to tangible capital employed, is 50% (FY12: 50%), and financial leverage under MCEV is 37% (FY12: 37%).
At HY13 the market value of our external debt, subordinated debt, preference shares (including both Aviva plc preference shares of £200 million and General Accident plc preference shares, within non-controlling interest, of £250 million), and direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes was £7,499 million (FY12: £7,260 million), with a weighted average cost, post tax, of 4.6% (FY12: 4.4%). The Group Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is 6.6% (FY12: 6.3%) and has been calculated by reference to the cost of equity and the cost of debt at the relevant date. The cost of equity at HY13 was 8.1% (FY12: 7.5%) based on a risk free rate of 2.5% (FY12: 1.9%), an equity risk premium of 4.0% (FY12: 4.0%) and a market beta of 1.4 (FY12: 1.4).
Page 81
C1 - Capital performance continued
(e) Equity sensitivity analysis
The sensitivity of the group's total equity, excluding Delta Lloyd and US, on an IFRS basis and MCEV basis at 30 June 2013 to
a 10% fall in global equity markets, a rise of 1% in global interest rates or a 0.5% increase in credit spreads is as follows:
31 December 2012 £bn |
|
IFRS basis |
30 June 2013 £bn |
Equities down 10% £bn |
Interest rates up 1% £bn |
0.5% increased credit spread £bn |
11.5 |
|
Long-term savings |
10.6 |
(0.1) |
(0.4) |
(0.2) |
4.6 |
|
General insurance and other |
5.7 |
(0.1) |
(0.5) |
0.5 |
(5.1) |
|
Borrowings |
(5.5) |
- |
- |
- |
11.0 |
|
Total equity |
10.8 |
(0.2) |
(0.9) |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
Equities down 10% |
|
|
|
31 December 2012 £bn |
|
MCEV basis |
30 June 2013 £bn |
Direct £bn |
Indirect £bn |
Interest rates up 1% £bn |
0.5% increased credit spread £bn |
16.3 |
|
Long-term savings |
15.9 |
(0.1) |
(0.4) |
(0.5) |
(1.1) |
4.6 |
|
General insurance and other |
5.7 |
(0.1) |
- |
(0.5) |
0.5 |
(5.1) |
|
Borrowings |
(5.5) |
- |
- |
- |
- |
15.8 |
|
Total equity |
16.1 |
(0.2) |
(0.4) |
(1.0) |
(0.6) |
These sensitivities assume a full tax charge/credit on market value assumptions. The interest rate sensitivity also assumes an equivalent movement in both inflation and discount rate (i.e. no change to real interest rates) and therefore incorporates the offsetting effects of these items on the pension scheme liabilities. A 1% increase in the real interest rate has the effect of reducing the pension scheme liability in the main UK pension scheme by £1.6 billion (before any associated tax impact).
The 0.5% increased credit spread sensitivities for IFRS and MCEV do not make an allowance for any adjustment to risk-free interest rates. MCEV sensitivities assume that the credit spread movement relates to credit risk and not liquidity risk; in practice, credit spread movements may be partially offset due to changes in liquidity risk. Life IFRS sensitivities provide for any impact of credit spread movements on liability valuations. The IFRS and MCEV sensitivities also include the allocation of staff pension scheme sensitivities, which assume inflation rates and government bond yields remain constant. In practice, the sensitivity of the business to changes in credit spreads is subject to a number of complex interactions. The impact of the credit spread movements will be related to individual portfolio composition and may be driven by changes in credit or liquidity risk; hence, the actual impact may differ substantially from applying spread movements implied by various published credit spread indices to these sensitivities.
Page 82
C2 - Regulatory capital
Individual regulated subsidiaries measure and report solvency based on applicable local regulations, including in the UK the regulations established by the Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA). These measures are also consolidated under the European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) to calculate regulatory capital adequacy at an aggregate Group level, where Aviva has a regulatory obligation to have a positive position at all times. This measure represents the excess of the aggregate value of regulatory capital employed in our business over the aggregate minimum solvency requirements imposed by local regulators, excluding the surplus held in the UK and Ireland with-profit life funds. The minimum solvency requirement for our European businesses is based on the Solvency 1 Directive. In broad terms, for EU operations, this is set at 4% and 1% of non-linked and unit-linked life reserves respectively and for our general insurance portfolio of business is the higher of 18% of gross premiums or 26% of gross claims, in both cases adjusted to reflect the level of reinsurance recoveries. For our major non-European businesses (the US and Canada) a risk charge on assets and liabilities approach is used.
Based on individual guidance from the PRA we recognise surpluses of the non-profit funds of our UK Life and pensions businesses which are available for transfer to shareholders. These have decreased to £nil as at 30 June 2013 (FY12: £0.4 billion) due to the transfer of surpluses to the shareholder fund at the beginning of the year.
(a) Regulatory capital - Group: European Insurance Groups Directive (IGD)
|
UK life funds £bn |
Other business £bn |
30 June 2013 £bn |
31 December 2012 £bn |
Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) capital resources |
4.7 |
9.8 |
14.5 |
14.4 |
Less: capital resource requirement |
(4.7) |
(5.6) |
(10.3) |
(10.6) |
Insurance Group Directive (IGD) excess solvency |
- |
4.2 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
Cover over EU minimum (calculated excluding UK life funds) |
|
|
1.8 times |
1.7 times |
The EU Insurance Groups Directive (IGD) regulatory capital solvency surplus has increased by £0.4 billion since FY12 to £4.2 billion. On a pro forma basis the estimated IGD solvency surplus at 30 June 2013 is £3.7 billion. The pro forma 30 June 2013 position includes the impact of the announced disposal of the Aviva US Life and Annuities business and related asset management operations classified as held for sale in the Group IFRS balance sheet.
The key movements over the period are set out in the following table:
|
£bn |
IGD solvency surplus at 31 December 2012 |
3.8 |
Operating profits net of other income and expenses |
0.6 |
Dividends and appropriations |
(0.3) |
Market movements including foreign exchange1 |
(0.2) |
Pension scheme funding |
(0.1) |
Disposals |
0.6 |
Other regulatory adjustments |
(0.2) |
Estimated IGD solvency surplus at 30 June 2013 |
4.2 |
1 Market movements include the impact of equity, credit spread, interest rate and foreign exchange movements net of the effect of hedging instruments.
(b) Regulatory capital - UK Life with-profits funds
The available capital of the with-profit funds is represented by the realistic inherited estate. The estate represents the assets of the long-term with-profit funds less the realistic liabilities for non-profit policies within the funds, less asset shares aggregated across the with-profit policies and any additional amounts expected at the valuation date to be paid to in-force policyholders in the future in respect of smoothing costs, guarantees and promises. Realistic balance sheet information is shown below for the three main UK with-profit funds: New With-Profit Sub Fund (NWPSF), Old With-Profit Sub Fund (OWPSF) and With-Profit Sub-Fund (WPSF). These realistic liabilities have been included within the long-term business provision and the liability for insurance and investment contracts on the Group's IFRS balance sheet at 30 June 2013 and 31 December 2012.
|
|
|
|
|
|
30 June |
|
31 December 2012 |
|
Estimated realistic assets £bn |
Estimated realistic liabilities1 £bn |
Estimated realistic inherited estate2 £bn |
Capital support arrange- ment3 £bn |
Estimated risk capital margin £bn |
Estimated excess available capital £bn |
|
Estimated excess available capital £bn |
NWPSF |
16.6 |
(16.6) |
- |
0.7 |
(0.3) |
0.4 |
|
0.3 |
OWPSF |
2.8 |
(2.5) |
0.3 |
- |
(0.1) |
0.2 |
|
0.2 |
WPSF4 |
17.4 |
(15.4) |
2.0 |
- |
(0.3) |
1.7 |
|
1.3 |
Aggregate |
36.8 |
(34.5) |
2.3 |
0.7 |
(0.7) |
2.3 |
|
1.8 |
1 These realistic liabilities include the shareholders' share of future bonuses of £0.3 billion (FY12: £0.3 billion). Realistic liabilities adjusted to eliminate the shareholders' share of future bonuses are £34.2 billion (FY12: £36.0 billion). These realistic liabilities make provision for guarantees, options and promises on a market consistent stochastic basis. The value of the provision included within realistic liabilities is £1.6 billion, £0.3 billion and £3.1 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively (FY12: £1.8 billion, £0.3 billion and £3.5 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively).
2 Estimated realistic inherited estate at FY12 was £nil, £0.3billion and £1.8 billion for NWPSF, OWPSF and WPSF respectively.
3 The support arrangement represents the reattributed estate (RIEESA) of £0.7 billion at 30 June 2013 (FY12: £0.7 billion).
4 The WPSF fund includes the Provident Mutual (PM) fund which has realistic assets and realistic liabilities of £1.6 billion and therefore does not contribute to the realistic inherited estate.
Page 83
C2 - Regulatory capital continued
(c) Investment mix
The aggregate investment mix of the assets in the three main with-profit funds was:
|
30 June 2013 % |
31 December 2012 % |
Equity |
23% |
23% |
Property |
13% |
16% |
Fixed interest |
48% |
51% |
Other |
16% |
10% |
The equity backing ratios, including property, supporting with-profit asset shares are 72% in NWPSF and OWPSF, and 66%
in WPSF.
C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis
The Group uses a number of sensitivity test-based risk management tools to understand the volatility of earnings, the volatility of its capital requirements, and to manage its capital more efficiently. Primarily, MCEV, ICA, and scenario analysis are used. Sensitivities to economic and operating experience are regularly produced on all of the Group's financial performance measurements to inform the Group's decision making and planning processes, and as part of the framework for identifying and quantifying the risks that each of its business units, and the Group as a whole are exposed to.
For long-term business in particular, sensitivities of MCEV performance indicators to changes in both economic and non-economic experience are continually used to manage the business and to inform the decision making process. More information on MCEV sensitivities can be found in the presentation of results on an MCEV basis in section F (note F19) of this report.
(a) Life insurance and investment contracts
The nature of long-term business is such that a number of assumptions are made in compiling these financial statements. Assumptions are made about investment returns, expenses, mortality rates, and persistency in connection with the in-force policies for each business unit. Assumptions are best estimates based on historic and expected experience of the business. A number of the key assumptions for the Group's central scenario are disclosed elsewhere in these statements for both IFRS reporting and reporting under the MCEV methodology.
(b) General insurance and health business
General insurance and health claim liabilities are estimated by using standard actuarial claims projection techniques.
These methods extrapolate the claims development for each accident year based on the observed development of earlier years.
In most cases, no explicit assumptions are made as projections are based on assumptions implicit in the historic claims.
(c) Sensitivity test results
Illustrative results of sensitivity testing for long-term business, general insurance and health and fund management business and other operations are set out below. For each sensitivity test the impact of a reasonably possible change in a single factor is shown, with other assumptions left unchanged.
Sensitivity factor |
Description of sensitivity factor applied |
Interest rate and investment return |
The impact of a change in market interest rates by a 1% increase or decrease. The test allows consistently for similar changes to investment returns and movements in the market value of backing fixed interest securities. |
Credit Spreads |
The impact of a 0.5% increase in credit spreads over risk-free interest rates on corporate bonds and other non-sovereign credit assets. The test allows for any consequential impact on liability valuations. |
Equity/property market values |
The impact of a change in equity/property market values by ± 10%. |
Expenses |
The impact of an increase in maintenance expenses by 10%. |
Assurance mortality/morbidity (life insurance only) |
The impact of an increase in mortality/morbidity rates for assurance contracts by 5%. |
Annuitant mortality (life insurance only) |
The impact of a reduction in mortality rates for annuity contracts by 5%. |
Gross loss ratios (non-life insurance only) |
The impact of an increase in gross loss ratios for general insurance and health business by 5%. |
Page 84
C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued
(d) Long-term businesses
30 June 2013 Impact on profit before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Expenses +10% |
Assurance mortality +5% |
Annuitant mortality -5% |
Insurance Participating |
(125) |
20 |
(80) |
20 |
(70) |
(25) |
(5) |
(50) |
Insurance non-participating |
(135) |
80 |
(410) |
- |
- |
(85) |
(65) |
(500) |
Investment participating |
(80) |
30 |
(10) |
10 |
(20) |
(10) |
- |
- |
Investment non-participating |
(55) |
25 |
(5) |
10 |
(15) |
(15) |
- |
- |
Assets backing life shareholders' funds |
- |
- |
(40) |
45 |
(45) |
- |
- |
- |
Total excluding United States |
(395) |
155 |
(545) |
85 |
(150) |
(135) |
(70) |
(550) |
United States |
1,010 |
(755) |
555 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
615 |
(600) |
10 |
85 |
(150) |
(135) |
(70) |
(550) |
30 June 2013 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Expenses +10% |
Assurance mortality +5% |
Annuitant mortality -5% |
Insurance Participating |
(125) |
20 |
(80) |
20 |
(70) |
(25) |
(5) |
(50) |
Insurance non-participating |
(135) |
80 |
(410) |
- |
- |
(85) |
(65) |
(500) |
Investment participating |
(80) |
30 |
(10) |
10 |
(20) |
(10) |
- |
- |
Investment non-participating |
(55) |
25 |
(5) |
10 |
(15) |
(15) |
- |
- |
Assets backing life shareholders' funds |
(25) |
25 |
(45) |
50 |
(50) |
- |
- |
- |
Total excluding United States |
(420) |
180 |
(550) |
90 |
(155) |
(135) |
(70) |
(550) |
United States |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
(420) |
180 |
(550) |
90 |
(155) |
(135) |
(70) |
(550) |
31 December 2012 Impact on profit before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Expenses +10% |
Assurance mortality +5% |
Annuitant mortality -5% |
Insurance Participating |
(45) |
(15) |
(110) |
60 |
(95) |
(25) |
(5) |
(50) |
Insurance non-participating |
(160) |
130 |
(430) |
- |
- |
(75) |
(45) |
(470) |
Investment participating |
(55) |
45 |
- |
5 |
(10) |
(10) |
- |
- |
Investment non-participating |
(40) |
35 |
(5) |
10 |
(15) |
(20) |
- |
- |
Assets backing life shareholders' funds |
10 |
(15) |
(40) |
45 |
(45) |
- |
- |
- |
Total excluding Delta Lloyd and United States |
(290) |
180 |
(585) |
120 |
(165) |
(130) |
(50) |
(520) |
United States |
880 |
(640) |
495 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total excluding Delta Lloyd |
590 |
(460) |
(90) |
120 |
(165) |
(130) |
(50) |
(520) |
31 December 2012 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Expenses +10% |
Assurance mortality +5% |
Annuitant mortality -5% |
Insurance Participating |
(45) |
(15) |
(110) |
60 |
(95) |
(25) |
(5) |
(50) |
Insurance non-participating |
(165) |
125 |
(430) |
- |
- |
(75) |
(45) |
(470) |
Investment participating |
(55) |
45 |
- |
5 |
(10) |
(10) |
- |
- |
Investment non-participating |
(45) |
40 |
- |
10 |
(15) |
(20) |
- |
- |
Assets backing life shareholders' funds |
(5) |
- |
(45) |
50 |
(50) |
- |
- |
- |
Total excluding Delta Lloyd and United States |
(315) |
195 |
(585) |
125 |
(170) |
(130) |
(50) |
(520) |
United States |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total excluding Delta Lloyd |
(315) |
195 |
(585) |
125 |
(170) |
(130) |
(50) |
(520) |
Changes in sensitivities between HY13 and FY12 reflect movements in market interest rates, portfolio growth, changes to asset mix and the relative durations of assets and liabilities and asset liability management actions. The sensitivities to economic movements (excluding the United States) relate mainly to business in the UK. In general, a fall in market interest rates has a beneficial impact on non-participating business, due to the increase in market value of fixed interest securities and the relative durations of assets and liabilities; similarly a rise in interest rates has a negative impact. The mortality sensitivities also relate primarily to the UK.
In the United States, most debt securities are classified as AFS for which movements in unrealised gains or losses are taken directly to shareholders' equity. This limits the overall sensitivity of IFRS profit to interest rate and credit spread movements. Following the classification of the business as held for sale in 2012 it was remeasured to fair value less costs to sell. It has been assumed that economic movements would not materially impact the fair value less costs to sell and the impact on shareholders' equity is therefore reported as £nil. As a result, were economic movements to occur, the corresponding movements in AFS assets which would be taken directly to shareholders' equity are reversed out through profit before tax in order to maintain the remeasurement value of the US at fair value less costs to sell.
Page 85
C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued
(e) General insurance and health businesses
30 June 2013 Impact on profit before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Expenses +10% |
Gross loss ratios +5% |
Gross of reinsurance |
(280) |
265 |
(125) |
50 |
(50) |
(70) |
(150) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net of reinsurance |
(330) |
320 |
(125) |
50 |
(50) |
(70) |
(145) |
30 June 2013 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Expenses +10% |
Gross loss ratios +5% |
Gross of reinsurance |
(280) |
265 |
(125) |
50 |
(50) |
(25) |
(150) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net of reinsurance |
(330) |
320 |
(125) |
50 |
(50) |
(25) |
(145) |
31 December 2012 Impact on profit before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Expenses +10% |
Gross loss ratios +5% |
Gross of reinsurance excluding Delta Lloyd |
(260) |
235 |
(125) |
45 |
(50) |
(120) |
(300) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net of reinsurance excluding Delta Lloyd |
(300) |
285 |
(125) |
45 |
(50) |
(120) |
(285) |
31 December 2012 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Expenses +10% |
Gross loss ratios +5% |
Gross of reinsurance excluding Delta Lloyd |
(260) |
235 |
(125) |
50 |
(50) |
(25) |
(300) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net of reinsurance excluding Delta Lloyd |
(300) |
285 |
(125) |
50 |
(50) |
(25) |
(285) |
For general insurance, the impact of the expense sensitivity on profit also includes the increase in ongoing administration expenses,
in addition to the increase in the claims handling expense provision.
(f) Fund management and other operations businesses1
30 June 2013 Impact on profit before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Total |
(5) |
5 |
30 |
(30) |
55 |
30 June 2013 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Total |
(5) |
5 |
30 |
(30) |
55 |
31 December 2012 Impact on profit before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Total excluding Delta Lloyd |
(5) |
- |
30 |
(90) |
10 |
31 December 2012 Impact on shareholders' equity before tax £m |
Interest rates +1% |
Interest rates -1% |
Credit spreads +0.5% |
Equity/ property +10% |
Equity/ property -10% |
Total excluding Delta Lloyd |
(5) |
- |
30 |
(90) |
10 |
1 The Fund management and other operations are not shown excluding the United States as their sensitivities are immaterial to the group.
(g) Delta Lloyd
The FY12 sensitivities contained in the above tables exclude any contribution from Delta Lloyd following deconsolidation
of this business.
Page 86
C3 - IFRS Sensitivity analysis continued
(h) Limitations of sensitivity analysis
The previous tables demonstrate the effect of a change in a key assumption while other assumptions remain unchanged. In reality, there is a correlation between the assumptions and other factors. It should also be noted that these sensitivities are non-linear, and larger or smaller impacts should not be interpolated or extrapolated from these results.
The sensitivity analyses do not take into consideration that the Group's assets and liabilities are actively managed. Additionally, the financial position of the Group may vary at the time that any actual market movement occurs. For example, the Group's financial risk management strategy aims to manage the exposure to market fluctuations.
As investment markets move past various trigger levels, management actions could include selling investments, changing investment portfolio allocation, adjusting bonuses credited to policyholders, and taking other protective action.
A number of the business units use passive assumptions to calculate their long-term business liabilities. Consequently, a change in the underlying assumptions may not have any impact on the liabilities, whereas assets held at market value in the statement of financial position will be affected. In these circumstances, the different measurement bases for liabilities and assets may lead to volatility in shareholders' equity. Similarly, for general insurance liabilities, the interest rate sensitivities only affect profit and equity where explicit assumptions are made regarding interest (discount) rates or future inflation.
Other limitations in the above sensitivity analyses include the use of hypothetical market movements to demonstrate potential risk that only represent the Group's view of possible near-term market changes that cannot be predicted with any certainty, and the assumption that all interest rates move in an identical fashion.
Page 87
Analysis of assets
D1 - Total assets
As an insurance business, Aviva Group holds a variety of assets to match the characteristics and duration of its insurance liabilities. Appropriate and effective asset liability matching (on an economic basis) is the principal way in which Aviva manages its investments. In addition, to support this, Aviva also uses a variety of hedging and other risk management strategies to diversify away any residual mis-match risk that is outside of the Group's risk appetite.
30 June 2013 |
Policyholder assets £m |
Participating fund assets £m |
Shareholder assets £m |
Total assets analysed £m |
Less assets of operations classified as held for sale £m |
Balance sheet total £m |
Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets |
- |
- |
3,095 |
3,095 |
(496) |
2,599 |
Interests in joint ventures and associates |
50 |
1,102 |
363 |
1,515 |
(13) |
1,502 |
Property and equipment |
- |
206 |
189 |
395 |
- |
395 |
Investment property |
4,060 |
5,519 |
259 |
9,838 |
(6) |
9,832 |
Loans |
461 |
5,898 |
21,650 |
28,009 |
(3,784) |
24,225 |
Financial investments |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Debt securities |
14,780 |
84,883 |
61,805 |
161,468 |
(33,079) |
128,389 |
Equity securities |
22,442 |
11,134 |
1,095 |
34,671 |
(107) |
34,564 |
Other investments |
25,578 |
3,557 |
2,280 |
31,415 |
(1,698) |
29,717 |
Reinsurance assets |
1,553 |
635 |
5,431 |
7,619 |
(712) |
6,907 |
Deferred tax assets |
- |
- |
247 |
247 |
(13) |
234 |
Current tax assets |
- |
- |
96 |
96 |
(7) |
89 |
Receivables |
549 |
2,414 |
5,404 |
8,367 |
(386) |
7,981 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other assets |
4 |
420 |
5,409 |
5,833 |
(2,416) |
3,417 |
Prepayments and accrued income |
132 |
1,300 |
1,752 |
3,184 |
(480) |
2,704 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
4,790 |
10,838 |
10,412 |
26,040 |
(965) |
25,075 |
Additional impairment to write down the disposal group to fair value less costs to sell |
- |
- |
(2,450) |
(2,450) |
2,450 |
- |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
41,712 |
41,712 |
Total |
74,399 |
127,906 |
117,037 |
319,342 |
- |
319,342 |
Total % |
23.3% |
40.1% |
36.6% |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
FY12 restated |
73,968 |
125,366 |
115,409 |
314,743 |
- |
314,743 |
FY12 Total % |
23.5% |
39.8% |
36.7% |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
As at 30 June 2013, 36.6% of Aviva's total asset base was shareholder assets, 40.1% participating assets where Aviva shareholders have partial exposure, and 23.3% policyholder assets where Aviva shareholders have no exposure. Of the total assets (excluding assets held for sale), investment property, loans and financial investments comprise £226.7 billion, compared to £223.5 billion at 31 December 2012.
Page 88
D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy
Total assets - 30 June 2013 |
Fair value £m |
Amortised cost £m |
Equity accounted/ tax assets1 £m |
Total £m |
Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets |
- |
3,095 |
- |
3,095 |
Interests in joint ventures and associates |
- |
- |
1,515 |
1,515 |
Property and equipment |
261 |
134 |
- |
395 |
Investment property |
9,838 |
- |
- |
9,838 |
Loans |
18,489 |
9,520 |
- |
28,009 |
Financial investments |
|
|
|
|
Debt securities |
161,468 |
- |
- |
161,468 |
Equity securities |
34,671 |
- |
- |
34,671 |
Other investments |
31,415 |
- |
- |
31,415 |
Reinsurance assets |
- |
7,619 |
- |
7,619 |
Deferred tax assets |
- |
- |
247 |
247 |
Current tax assets |
- |
- |
96 |
96 |
Receivables and other financial assets |
- |
8,367 |
- |
8,367 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other assets |
- |
5,833 |
- |
5,833 |
Prepayments and accrued income |
- |
3,184 |
- |
3,184 |
Additional impairment to write down the disposal group to fair value less costs to sell |
- |
(2,450) |
- |
(2,450) |
Cash and cash equivalents |
26,040 |
- |
- |
26,040 |
Total |
282,182 |
35,302 |
1,858 |
319,342 |
Total % |
88.4% |
11.0% |
0.6% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
35,913 |
5,740 |
59 |
41,712 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
246,269 |
29,562 |
1,799 |
277,630 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
88.8% |
10.6% |
0.6% |
100.0% |
FY12 restated |
278,464 |
34,210 |
2,069 |
314,743 |
FY12 Total % |
88.4% |
10.9% |
0.7% |
100.0% |
1 Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.
Total assets - Policyholder assets 30 June 2013 |
Fair value £m |
Amortised cost £m |
Equity accounted/ tax assets1 £m |
Total £m |
Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Interests in joint ventures and associates |
- |
- |
50 |
50 |
Property and equipment |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Investment property |
4,060 |
- |
- |
4,060 |
Loans |
- |
461 |
- |
461 |
Financial investments |
|
|
|
|
Debt securities |
14,780 |
- |
- |
14,780 |
Equity securities |
22,442 |
- |
- |
22,442 |
Other investments |
25,578 |
- |
- |
25,578 |
Reinsurance assets |
- |
1,553 |
- |
1,553 |
Deferred tax assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Current tax assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Receivables and other financial assets |
- |
549 |
- |
549 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other assets |
- |
4 |
- |
4 |
Prepayments and accrued income |
- |
132 |
- |
132 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
4,790 |
- |
- |
4,790 |
Total |
71,650 |
2,699 |
50 |
74,399 |
Total % |
96.3% |
3.6% |
0.1% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
74 |
- |
- |
74 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
71,576 |
2,699 |
50 |
74,325 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
96.3% |
3.6% |
0.1% |
100.0% |
FY12 restated |
71,196 |
2,701 |
71 |
73,968 |
FY12 Total % |
96.3% |
3.6% |
0.1% |
100.0% |
1 Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.
Page 89
D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued
Total assets - Participating fund assets 30 June 2013 |
Fair value £m |
Amortised cost £m |
Equity accounted/ tax assets1 £m |
Total £m |
Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Interests in joint ventures and associates |
- |
- |
1,102 |
1,102 |
Property and equipment |
135 |
71 |
- |
206 |
Investment property |
5,519 |
- |
- |
5,519 |
Loans |
925 |
4,973 |
- |
5,898 |
Financial investments |
|
|
|
|
Debt securities |
84,883 |
- |
- |
84,883 |
Equity securities |
11,134 |
- |
- |
11,134 |
Other investments |
3,557 |
- |
- |
3,557 |
Reinsurance assets |
- |
635 |
- |
635 |
Deferred tax assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Current tax assets |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Receivables and other financial assets |
- |
2,414 |
- |
2,414 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other assets |
- |
420 |
- |
420 |
Prepayments and accrued income |
- |
1,300 |
- |
1,300 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
10,838 |
- |
- |
10,838 |
Total |
116,991 |
9,813 |
1,102 |
127,906 |
Total % |
91.5% |
7.7% |
0.8% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
3,740 |
484 |
32 |
4,256 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
113,251 |
9,329 |
1,070 |
123,650 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
91.6% |
7.5% |
0.9% |
100.0% |
FY12 restated |
114,532 |
9,603 |
1,231 |
125,366 |
FY12 Total % |
91.4% |
7.6% |
1.0% |
100.0% |
1 Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.
Total assets - Shareholders assets 30 June 2013 |
Fair value £m |
Amortised cost £m |
Equity accounted/ tax assets1 £m |
Total £m |
Goodwill and acquired value of in-force business and intangible assets |
- |
3,095 |
- |
3,095 |
Interests in joint ventures and associates |
- |
- |
363 |
363 |
Property and equipment |
126 |
63 |
- |
189 |
Investment property |
259 |
- |
- |
259 |
Loans |
17,564 |
4,086 |
- |
21,650 |
Financial investments |
|
|
|
|
Debt securities |
61,805 |
- |
- |
61,805 |
Equity securities |
1,095 |
- |
- |
1,095 |
Other investments |
2,280 |
- |
- |
2,280 |
Reinsurance assets |
- |
5,431 |
- |
5,431 |
Deferred tax assets |
- |
- |
247 |
247 |
Current tax assets |
- |
- |
96 |
96 |
Receivables and other financial assets |
- |
5,404 |
- |
5,404 |
Deferred acquisition costs and other assets |
- |
5,409 |
- |
5,409 |
Prepayments and accrued income |
- |
1,752 |
- |
1,752 |
Additional impairment to write down the disposal group to fair value less costs to sell |
- |
(2,450) |
- |
(2,450) |
Cash and cash equivalents |
10,412 |
- |
- |
10,412 |
Total |
93,541 |
22,790 |
706 |
117,037 |
Total % |
79.9% |
19.5% |
0.6% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
32,099 |
5,256 |
27 |
37,382 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
61,442 |
17,534 |
679 |
79,655 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
77.1% |
22.0% |
0.9% |
100.0% |
FY12 restated |
92,736 |
21,906 |
767 |
115,409 |
FY12 Total % |
80.4% |
19.0% |
0.6% |
100.0% |
1 Within the Group's statement of financial position, assets are recognised for deferred tax and current tax. The valuation basis of these assets does not directly fall within any of the categories outlined above. As such, these assets have been reported together with equity accounted items within the analysis of the Group's assets.
Page 90
D2 - Total assets - Valuation bases/fair value hierarchy continued
Fair value hierarchy
To provide further information on the valuation techniques we use to measure assets carried at fair value, we have categorised the measurement basis for assets carried at fair value into a 'fair value hierarchy' in accordance with the fair value methodology disclosed in Note B17 in the consolidated financial statements (IFRS section).
Financial assets of operations classified as held for sale have been analysed by underlying financial assets in the following tables.
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
|
|
|||
Investment property and financial assets - total 30 June 2013 |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Sub-total fair value £m |
Amortised cost £m |
Less: Assets of operations classified as held for sale £m |
Balance sheet total £m |
Investment property |
- |
9,838 |
- |
9,838 |
- |
(6) |
9,832 |
Loans |
- |
18,489 |
- |
18,489 |
9,520 |
(3,784) |
24,225 |
Debt securities |
110,516 |
41,445 |
9,507 |
161,468 |
- |
(33,079) |
128,389 |
Equity securities |
34,110 |
76 |
485 |
34,671 |
- |
(107) |
34,564 |
Other investments (including derivatives) |
22,743 |
5,781 |
2,891 |
31,415 |
- |
(1,698) |
29,717 |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
38,674 |
38,674 |
Total |
167,369 |
75,629 |
12,883 |
255,881 |
9,520 |
- |
265,401 |
Total % |
63.0% |
28.5% |
4.9% |
96.4% |
3.6% |
- |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
2,231 |
31,884 |
833 |
34,948 |
3,726 |
- |
38,674 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
165,138 |
43,745 |
12,050 |
220,933 |
5,794 |
- |
226,727 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
72.8% |
19.3% |
5.3% |
97.4% |
2.6% |
- |
100.0% |
FY12 restated |
162,731 |
78,396 |
13,440 |
254,567 |
8,961 |
- |
263,528 |
FY12 Total % |
61.8% |
29.7% |
5.1% |
96.6% |
3.4% |
- |
100.0% |
At 30 June 2013, the proportion of total financial assets and investment property classified as Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy has increased slightly to 63.0% (FY12: 61.8%). Level 2 and Level 3 financial investments, loans and investment properties have reduced marginally to 28.5% (FY12: 29.7%) and 4.9% (FY12: 5.1%), respectively. Excluding assets classified as held for sale, the proportion of Level 1 assets at 30 June 2013 increases to 72.8% with Level 2 assets reducing to 19.3% reflecting the impact of the higher proportion of Level 2 debt securities within the US business (see D3.3.1).
Page 91
D3 - Analysis of asset quality
The analysis of assets that follows provides information about the assets held by the Group. The amounts in individual line items below may differ from those presented in the IFRS section of this document, as it includes assets which are held for sale.
D3.1 - Investment property
|
30 June 2013 |
Restated 31 December 2012 |
||||||
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
||||
Investment property - Total |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Total £m |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Total £m |
Leased to third parties under operating leases |
- |
9,819 |
- |
9,819 |
- |
9,946 |
- |
9,946 |
Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation |
- |
19 |
- |
19 |
- |
11 |
- |
11 |
Total |
- |
9,838 |
- |
9,838 |
- |
9,957 |
- |
9,957 |
Total % |
- |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
6 |
- |
6 |
- |
18 |
- |
18 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
- |
9,832 |
- |
9,832 |
- |
9,939 |
- |
9,939 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
- |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
|
30 June 2013 |
Restated 31 December 2012 |
||||||
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
||||
Investment property - Shareholder assets |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Total £m |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Total £m |
Leased to third parties under operating leases |
- |
249 |
- |
249 |
- |
243 |
- |
243 |
Vacant investment property/held for capital appreciation |
- |
10 |
- |
10 |
- |
10 |
- |
10 |
Total |
- |
259 |
- |
259 |
- |
253 |
- |
253 |
Total % |
- |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
6 |
- |
6 |
- |
6 |
- |
6 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
- |
253 |
- |
253 |
- |
247 |
- |
247 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
- |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
- |
100.0% |
97.4% (FY12: 97.5%) of total investment properties by value are held in unit-linked or participating funds. Shareholder exposure to investment properties is principally through investments in Property Limited Partnerships (PLPs). Depending on the Group's interest in these PLPs, its investments are classified as either interests in joint ventures, unit trusts or consolidated as a subsidiary, in which case the underlying investment properties held by the PLP are included on the balance sheet.
Investment properties are stated at their market values as assessed by qualified external independent valuers or by local qualified staff of the Group in overseas operations, all with recent relevant experience. Values are calculated using a discounted cash flow approach and are based on current rental income plus anticipated uplifts at the next rent review, lease expiry or break option taking into consideration lease incentives, assuming no future growth in the estimated rental value of the property. This uplift and the discount rate are derived from rates implied by recent market transactions on similar properties. The basis of valuation therefore naturally falls to be classified as Level 2. Valuations are typically undertaken on a quarterly (and in some cases monthly) basis.
99.8% (FY12: 99.9%) of total investment properties by value are leased to third parties under operating leases, with the remainder either being vacant or held for capital appreciation.
Page 92
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.2 - Loans
The Group loan portfolio is principally made up of:
Loans with fixed maturities, including policy loans, mortgage loans (at amortised cost) and loans and advances to banks, are recognised when cash is advanced to borrowers. These loans are carried at their unpaid principal balances and adjusted for amortisation of premium or discount, non-refundable loan fees and related direct costs. These amounts are deferred and amortised over the life of the loan as an adjustment to loan yield using the effective interest rate method.
For certain mortgage loans, the Group has taken advantage of the fair value option under IAS 39 to present the mortgages, associated borrowings, other liabilities and derivative financial instruments at fair value, since they are managed together on a fair value basis. The mortgage loans are not traded in active markets. These investments are valued using internal models with market observable inputs such as current property values and credit assumptions, which support classification as Level 2.
Loans - Total 30 June 2013 |
United Kingdom & Ireland £m |
Europe £m |
Canada £m |
Asia £m |
United States £m |
Total £m |
Policy loans |
28 |
855 |
- |
31 |
437 |
1,351 |
Loans and advances to banks |
4,413 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
4,413 |
Mortgage loans |
18,679 |
1 |
- |
- |
3,345 |
22,025 |
Other loans |
94 |
38 |
86 |
- |
2 |
220 |
Total |
23,214 |
894 |
86 |
31 |
3,784 |
28,009 |
Total % |
82.9% |
3.2% |
0.3% |
0.1% |
13.5% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
3,784 |
3,784 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
23,214 |
894 |
86 |
31 |
- |
24,225 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
95.8% |
3.7% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
- |
100.0% |
FY12 Total |
23,562 |
862 |
83 |
30 |
3,397 |
27,934 |
FY12 Total % |
84.3% |
3.1% |
0.3% |
0.1% |
12.2% |
100.0% |
Loans - Shareholder assets 30 June 2013 |
United Kingdom & Ireland £m |
Europe £m |
Canada £m |
Asia £m |
United States £m |
Total £m |
Policy loans |
8 |
12 |
- |
10 |
244 |
274 |
Loans and advances to banks |
249 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
249 |
Mortgage loans |
17,755 |
- |
- |
- |
3,178 |
20,933 |
Other loans |
94 |
12 |
86 |
- |
2 |
194 |
Total |
18,106 |
24 |
86 |
10 |
3,424 |
21,650 |
Total % |
83.6% |
0.1% |
0.5% |
- |
15.8% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
- |
- |
- |
3,424 |
3,424 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
18,106 |
24 |
86 |
10 |
- |
18,226 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
99.3% |
0.1% |
0.5% |
0.1% |
- |
100.0% |
FY12 Total |
18,558 |
14 |
83 |
31 |
3,081 |
21,767 |
FY12 Total % |
85.2% |
0.1% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
14.2% |
100.0% |
The value of the Group's loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), at 30 June 2013 stood at £28.0 billion (FY12: £27.9 billion), an increase of £0.1 billion. Excluding assets held for sale, the Group's loan portfolio amounts to £24.2 billion.
The total shareholder exposure to loans decreased to £21.6 billion (FY12: £21.8 billion), and represented 77% of the total loan portfolio, with the remaining 23% split between participating funds (£5.9 billion) and policyholder assets (£0.5 billion).
Of the Group's total loan portfolio (including Policyholder, Participating Fund and Shareholder assets), 79% (FY12: 79%) is invested in mortgage loans.
Page 93
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.2 - Loans continued
Mortgage loans - Shareholder assets
30 June 2013 |
United Kingdom & Ireland £m |
United States £m |
Total £m |
Non-securitised mortgage loans |
|
|
|
- Residential (Equity release) |
3,156 |
- |
3,156 |
- Commercial |
8,371 |
3,178 |
11,549 |
- Healthcare |
4,064 |
- |
4,064 |
|
15,591 |
3,178 |
18,769 |
Securitised mortgage loans |
2,164 |
- |
2,164 |
Total |
17,755 |
3,178 |
20,933 |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
- |
3,178 |
3,178 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
17,755 |
- |
17,755 |
FY12 Total |
18,211 |
2,859 |
21,070 |
The Group's mortgage loan portfolio spans several business units, primarily in the UK and USA, and across various sectors, including residential loans, commercial loans and government supported healthcare loans. Aviva's shareholder exposure to mortgage loans accounts for 97% of total shareholder asset loans. This section focuses on explaining the shareholder risk within these exposures.
United Kingdom & Ireland
(Non-securitised mortgage loans)
Residential
The UK non-securitised residential mortgage portfolio has a total current value of £3.2 billion (FY12: £3.2 billion). Movements during the period include £195 million of new loans and accrued interest, £38 million of redemptions and £198 million of fair value losses. These mortgages are all in the form of equity release, whereby homeowners mortgage their property to release cash equity. Due to the low relative levels of equity released in each property, they predominantly have a Loan to Value ("LTV") of below 70%, and the average LTV across the portfolio is approximately 29.8% (FY12: 29.6%).
Healthcare
Primary Healthcare & PFI businesses loans included within shareholder assets are £4.1 billion (FY12: £4.1 billion) and are secured against General Practitioner premises, other primary health related premises or other emergency services related premises. For all such loans, government support is provided through either direct funding or reimbursement of rental payments to the tenants to meet income service and provide for the debt to be reduced substantially over the term of the loan. Although the loan principal is not Government guaranteed, the nature of these businesses and premises provides considerable comfort of an ongoing business model and low risk of default.
On a market value basis, we estimate the average LTV of these mortgages to be 91%, although as explained above, we do not consider this to be a key risk indicator. Income support from the Government bodies and the social need for these premises provide sustained income stability. Aviva therefore considers these loans to be lower risk.
Commercial
Gross exposure by loan to value and arrears is shown in the table below.
Shareholder assets
30 June 2013 |
>120% £m |
115-120% £m |
110-115% £m |
105-110% £m |
100-105% £m |
95-100% £m |
90-95% £m |
80-90% £m |
70-80% £m |
<70% £m |
Total £m |
Not in arrears |
142 |
168 |
616 |
766 |
1,401 |
1,268 |
392 |
791 |
947 |
1,384 |
7,875 |
0 - 3 months |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
82 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
82 |
3 - 6 months |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
32 |
67 |
2 |
- |
- |
101 |
6 - 12 months |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
56 |
1 |
3 |
- |
- |
60 |
> 12 months |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
151 |
102 |
- |
- |
- |
253 |
Total |
142 |
168 |
616 |
766 |
1,401 |
1,589 |
562 |
796 |
947 |
1,384 |
8,371 |
Of the total £8.4 billion of UK non-securitised commercial mortgage loans in the shareholder fund, £8.1 billion are held by our UK Life business to back annuity liabilities, and are stated on a fair value basis. The loan exposures for our UK Life business are calculated on a discounted cash flow basis, and include a risk adjustment through the use of Credit Risk Adjusted Value ("CRAV") methods.
Aviva UK General Insurance hold the remaining £0.3 billion of loans which are stated on an amortised cost basis and are subject to impairment review, using a fair value methodology calibrated to the UK Life approach, adjusted for specific portfolio characteristics.
Page 94
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.2 - Loans continued
For the commercial mortgages held by the UK Life and UK General Insurance business, loan service collection ratios, a key indicator of mortgage portfolio performance, decreased slightly during the period. Loan Interest Cover ("LIC"), which is defined as the annual net rental income (including rental deposits and less ground rent) divided by the annual loan interest service, decreased to 1.37x (FY12: 1.40x). Mortgage LTVs decreased during the half year from 95% to 91% (CRAV basis) largely due to an increase in gilt spot rates (on average 42bps) causing the value of the mortgage assets to decrease, (average property values have fallen c0.6% since end 2012).
All loans in arrears have been assessed for impairment. Of the £496 million (FY12: £446 million) value of all loans in arrears included within our shareholder assets, the interest and capital amount in arrears is only £4.1 million.
Although portfolio level metrics are stable or improved, reflecting the quality of new lending, there has been a rise in impairments, restructuring of loans and requests for forbearance. These relate to loans made prior to the current financial downturn, with particular exposure to the retail sector in the north of England. As a result we have increased allowances on commercial mortgages (including healthcare and PFI mortgages) to £1.5 billion (FY12: £1.2 billion including an implicit reinvestment risk margin of £0.2 billion) against the risk of default on our riskier mortgages. This includes a net increase of £0.3 billion and explicit recognition of the £0.2 billion margin previously held implicitly. For the mortgages with an LTV of greater than 100% there is negative equity at today's property prices of circa £1.3 billion compared with the underlying value of the properties. The provision of £1.5 billion therefore would be available to contribute to this amount.
The valuation allowance (including supplementary allowances) of £1.5 billion made in the UK Life business for commercial mortgages, including healthcare and PFI mortgages, held by Aviva Annuity UK Limited and carried at fair value equates to 128 bps at 30 June 2013 (FY12: 89 bps).
The total valuation allowance held by Aviva Annuity UK Limited in respect of corporate bonds and mortgages, including healthcare and PFI mortgages, is £2.2 billion (FY12: £2.0 billion - including the implicit margin of £0.2 billion) over the remaining term of the UK Life corporate bond and mortgage portfolio.
In addition, we hold £127 million (FY12: £118 million) of impairment provisions in our UK General Insurance mortgage portfolio, which is carried at amortised cost.
The UK portfolio remains diversified in terms of property type, location and tenants as well as the spread of loans written over time. The risks in commercial mortgages are addressed through several layers of protection with the mortgage risk profile being primarily driven by the ability of the underlying tenant rental income to cover loan interest and amortisation. Should any single tenant default on their rental payment, rental from other tenants backing the same loan often ensures the loan interest cover does not fall below 1.0x. Where there are multiple loans to a single borrower further protection may be achieved through cross-charging (or pooling) such that any single loan is also supported by rents received within other pool loans. Additionally, there may be support provided by the borrower of the loan itself and further loss mitigation from any general floating charge held over assets within the borrower companies.
If the LIC cover falls below 1.0x and the borrower defaults then Aviva still retains the option of selling the security or restructuring the loans and benefiting from the protection of the collateral. A combination of these benefits and the higher recovery levels afforded by property collateral (compared to corporate debt or other uncollateralised credit exposures) should result in the economic exposure being significantly lower than the gross exposure reported above.
Securitised mortgage loans
Funding for the securitised residential mortgage assets (£2.2 billion) was obtained by issuing loan note securities. Of these loan notes approximately £260 million are held by Aviva shareholder funds. The remainder are held by third parties external to Aviva. As any cash shortfall arising once all mortgages have redeemed is borne by the loan note holders, the majority of the credit risk of these mortgages is borne by third parties. Securitised residential mortgages held are predominantly issued through vehicles in the UK.
United States
(Non-securitised mortgage loans)
Commercial
Gross exposure by loan to value and arrears is shown in the table below.
Shareholder assets
30 June 2013 |
>120% £m |
115-120% £m |
110-115% £m |
105-110% £m |
100-105% £m |
95-100% £m |
90-95% £m |
80-90% £m |
70-80% £m |
<70% £m |
Total £m |
Neither past due nor impaired |
10 |
- |
3 |
- |
3 |
15 |
39 |
135 |
543 |
2,429 |
3,177 |
0 - 3 months |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
3 - 6 months |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
6 - 12 months |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
1 |
1 |
> 12 months |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total |
10 |
- |
3 |
- |
3 |
15 |
39 |
135 |
543 |
2,430 |
3,178 |
Aviva USA currently holds £3.2 billion (FY12: £2.9 billion) of commercial mortgages included within shareholder assets. These mortgages continue to perform well, reflecting:
n Low underwriting LTVs (shall not exceed 80% at the time of issuance), and consequently a portfolio with an average LTV of 61% (FY12: 61%);
n A highly diversified portfolio, with strong volumes in many states with more stable economies and related real estate values; and
n Strong LIC ratios, with 96% of the loans having an LIC above 1.4x, and 0.9% with LIC below 1.0x.
As at 30 June 2013, the actual amount of interest payments in arrears was £1 million.
Page 95
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3 - Financial investments
|
30 June 2013 |
Restated 31 December 2012 |
||||||
Financial investments - Total |
Cost/ amortised cost £m |
Unrealised gains £m |
Impairments and unrealised losses £m |
Fair value £m |
Cost/ amortised cost £m |
Unrealised gains £m |
Impairments and unrealised losses £m |
Fair value £m |
Debt securities |
150,832 |
13,599 |
(2,963) |
161,468 |
147,822 |
16,439 |
(2,030) |
162,231 |
Equity securities |
30,155 |
6,578 |
(2,062) |
34,671 |
31,453 |
5,067 |
(2,177) |
34,343 |
Other investments |
30,743 |
2,513 |
(1,841) |
31,415 |
27,946 |
2,063 |
(1,149) |
28,860 |
Total |
211,730 |
22,690 |
(6,866) |
227,554 |
207,221 |
23,569 |
(5,356) |
225,434 |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
33,094 |
3,193 |
(1,403) |
34,884 |
32,834 |
3,762 |
(181) |
36,415 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
178,636 |
19,497 |
(5,463) |
192,670 |
174,387 |
19,807 |
(5,175) |
189,019 |
Aviva holds large quantities of high quality bonds, primarily to match our liability to make guaranteed payments to policyholders. Some credit risk is taken, partly to increase returns to policyholders and partly to optimise the risk/return profile for shareholders.
The risks are consistent with the products we offer and the related investment mandates, and are in line with our risk appetite.
The Group also holds equities, the majority of which are held in participating funds and policyholder funds, where they form an integral part of the investment expectations of policyholders and follow well-defined investment mandates. Some equities are also held in shareholder funds. The vast majority of equity investments are valued at quoted market prices.
D3.3.1 - Debt securities
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
||
Debt securities - Shareholder assets 2013 |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Total £m |
UK Government |
3,916 |
140 |
- |
4,056 |
Non-UK Government |
7,459 |
4,517 |
37 |
12,013 |
Europe |
6,638 |
426 |
37 |
7,101 |
North America |
481 |
3,724 |
- |
4,205 |
Asia Pacific & Other |
340 |
367 |
- |
707 |
Corporate bonds - Public utilities |
2,869 |
3,186 |
20 |
6,075 |
Corporate convertible bonds |
- |
73 |
53 |
126 |
Other corporate bonds |
9,527 |
23,989 |
431 |
33,947 |
Other |
1,556 |
3,992 |
40 |
5,588 |
Total |
25,327 |
35,897 |
581 |
61,805 |
Total % |
41.0% |
58.1% |
0.9% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
296 |
29,217 |
248 |
29,761 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
25,031 |
6,680 |
333 |
32,044 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
78.1% |
20.8% |
1.1% |
100.0% |
FY12 restated |
25,046 |
36,234 |
427 |
61,707 |
FY12 Total % |
40.6% |
58.7% |
0.7% |
100.0% |
0.9%(FY12: 0.7%) of shareholder exposure to debt securities and 1.1% excluding assets held for sale is fair valued using models
with significant unobservable market parameters (classified as Fair Value Level 3). Where estimates are used, these are based on a combination of independent third party evidence and internally developed models, calibrated to market observable data where possible.
41.0% (FY12: 40.6%) of shareholder exposure to debt securities is based on quoted prices in an active market and are therefore classified as Fair Value Level 1. The majority of the debt instruments in Level 2 are held by our US and Canadian businesses. These debt instruments are valued by independent pricing firms in accordance with usual market practice in that region and consistent with other companies operating in the region are classified as Level 2 in the Fair Value hierarchy. Excluding our US and Canadian businesses, the proportion of shareholder debt securities classified as Level 1 in the Fair Value hierarchy would be 87.2% (FY12: 84.3%); while excluding assets held for sale (including our US business) 78.1% of shareholder debt securities are classified as Level 1.
Page 96
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3 - Financial investments continued
D3.3.1 - Debt securities continued
|
External ratings |
|
|
||||
Debt securities - Shareholder assets 2013 |
AAA £m |
AA £m |
A £m |
BBB £m |
Less than BBB £m |
Non-rated £m |
Total £m |
Government |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
UK Government |
- |
3,813 |
44 |
- |
- |
184 |
4,041 |
UK local authorities |
- |
11 |
- |
- |
- |
4 |
15 |
Non-UK Government |
4,647 |
4,513 |
1,058 |
1,692 |
51 |
52 |
12,013 |
|
4,647 |
8,337 |
1,102 |
1,692 |
51 |
240 |
16,069 |
Corporate |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Public utilities |
23 |
146 |
3,600 |
2,020 |
65 |
221 |
6,075 |
Convertibles and bonds with warrants |
- |
- |
19 |
107 |
- |
- |
126 |
Other corporate bonds |
1,836 |
2,951 |
11,836 |
11,487 |
1,484 |
4,353 |
33,947 |
|
1,859 |
3,097 |
15,455 |
13,614 |
1,549 |
4,574 |
40,148 |
Certificates of deposits |
- |
- |
- |
6 |
141 |
204 |
351 |
Structured |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RMBS1 non-agency ALT A |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
RMBS1 non-agency prime |
47 |
21 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
68 |
RMBS1 agency |
773 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
773 |
|
820 |
21 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
841 |
CMBS2 |
1,659 |
486 |
265 |
269 |
128 |
- |
2,807 |
ABS3 |
322 |
297 |
122 |
15 |
59 |
10 |
825 |
CDO (including CLO)4 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
8 |
- |
8 |
ABCP5 |
30 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
23 |
53 |
|
2,011 |
783 |
387 |
284 |
195 |
33 |
3,693 |
Wrapped credit |
1 |
15 |
260 |
77 |
36 |
46 |
435 |
Other |
29 |
16 |
78 |
57 |
75 |
13 |
268 |
Total |
9,367 |
12,269 |
17,282 |
15,730 |
2,047 |
5,110 |
61,805 |
Total % |
15.2% |
19.9% |
28.0% |
25.5% |
3.2% |
8.2% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
3,288 |
3,227 |
8,988 |
10,414 |
1,501 |
2,343 |
29,761 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
6,079 |
9,042 |
8,294 |
5,316 |
546 |
2,767 |
32,044 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
19.0% |
28.2% |
25.9% |
16.6% |
1.7% |
8.6% |
100.0% |
FY12 restated |
12,288 |
8,877 |
17,780 |
15,424 |
1,924 |
5,414 |
61,707 |
FY12 Total % |
19.9% |
14.4% |
28.8% |
25.0% |
3.1% |
8.8% |
100.0% |
1 RMBS - Residential Mortgage Backed Security.
2 CMBS - Commercial Mortgage Backed Security.
3 ABS - Asset Backed Security.
4 CDO - Collateralised Debt Obligation, CLO - Collateralised Loan Obligation.
5 ABCP - Asset Backed Commercial Paper.
The overall quality of the book remains strong, despite the continuing downgrade activity by the major rating agencies during the period. 26% of shareholder exposure to debt securities is in government holdings (FY12: 25%). Our corporate debt securities portfolio represents 65% (FY12: 66%) of total shareholder debt securities.
The majority of non-rated corporate bonds are held by our businesses in the UK and US.
At 30 June 2013, the proportion of our shareholder debt securities that are investment grade remained stable at 88.6%
(FY12: 88.1%). The remaining 11.4% of shareholder debt securities that do not have an external rating of BBB or higher can be split as follows:
n 3.2% are debt securities that are rated as below investment grade;
n 3.5% are US private placements which are not rated by the major rating agencies, but are rated as investment grade by the Securities Valuation Office of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC), a US national regulatory agency; and,
n 4.7% are not rated by the major rating agencies or the NAIC.
Of the securities not rated by an external agency or NAIC most are allocated an internal rating using a methodology largely consistent with that adopted by an external rating agency, and are considered to be of investment grade credit quality; these include £2.5 billion of debt securities held in our UK Life business, predominantly made up of private placements and other corporate bonds, which have been internally rated as investment grade.
The majority of the Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) are U.S. investments and over 89% of this exposure is backed by one of the U.S. Government Sponsored Entities (GSEs) including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac which, under the conservatorship arrangements implemented in September 2008, have an implicit guarantee, although they are not expressly backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. Government.
The Group has extremely limited exposure to CDOs, CLOs and 'Sub-prime' debt securities.
Asset backed securities (ABS) are held primarily by our UK (£519 million) and US (£305 million) businesses. 91.6% of the Group's shareholder holdings in ABS are investment grade. ABS that either have a rating below BBB or are not rated represent approximately 0.1% of shareholder exposure to debt securities.
Page 97
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3.2 - Equity securities
|
30 June 2013 |
Restated 31 December 2012 |
||||||
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
||||
Equity securities - Shareholder assets |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Total £m |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Total £m |
Public utilities |
3 |
- |
- |
3 |
18 |
- |
- |
18 |
Banks, trusts and insurance companies |
131 |
58 |
328 |
517 |
644 |
72 |
327 |
1,043 |
Industrial miscellaneous and all other |
227 |
- |
16 |
243 |
112 |
- |
12 |
124 |
Non-redeemable preferred shares |
332 |
- |
- |
332 |
323 |
- |
- |
323 |
Total |
693 |
58 |
344 |
1,095 |
1,097 |
72 |
339 |
1,508 |
Total % |
63.3% |
5.3% |
31.4% |
100.0% |
72.7% |
4.8% |
22.5% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
1 |
56 |
3 |
60 |
11 |
61 |
- |
72 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
692 |
2 |
341 |
1,035 |
1,086 |
11 |
339 |
1,436 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
66.9% |
0.2% |
32.9% |
100.0% |
75.6% |
0.8% |
23.6% |
100.0% |
63.3% of our shareholder exposure to equity securities is based on quoted prices in an active market and as such is classified as Level 1 (FY12: 72.7%). The decrease in Level 1 shareholder equity securities reflects the sale of our holding in Delta Lloyd during the period. Excluding assets of operations classified as held for sale, 66.9% of shareholder exposure is to equities that are Level 1 (FY12: 75.6%).
Shareholder investments include a strategic holding in Italian banks of £294 million (£150 million, net of any non-controlling interest share in the Group companies that own the investments).
D3.3.3 - Other investments
|
30 June 2013 |
Restated 31 December 2012 |
||||||
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
Fair value hierarchy |
|
||||
Other investments - Shareholders assets |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Total £m |
Level 1 £m |
Level 2 £m |
Level 3 £m |
Total £m |
Unit trusts and other investment vehicles |
196 |
50 |
436 |
682 |
261 |
22 |
416 |
699 |
Derivative financial instruments |
70 |
1,175 |
11 |
1,256 |
174 |
896 |
47 |
1,117 |
Deposits with credit institutions |
128 |
11 |
26 |
165 |
143 |
11 |
26 |
180 |
Minority holdings in property management undertakings |
- |
116 |
- |
116 |
- |
115 |
- |
115 |
Other |
10 |
- |
51 |
61 |
10 |
- |
47 |
57 |
Total |
404 |
1,352 |
524 |
2,280 |
588 |
1,044 |
536 |
2,168 |
Total % |
17.7% |
59.3% |
23.0% |
100.0% |
27.1% |
48.2% |
24.7% |
100.0% |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
70 |
996 |
440 |
1,506 |
169 |
658 |
396 |
1,223 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
334 |
356 |
84 |
774 |
419 |
386 |
140 |
945 |
Total % (excluding assets held for sale) |
43.2% |
46.0% |
10.8% |
100.0% |
44.4% |
40.8% |
14.8% |
100.0% |
In total 77.0% (FY12: 75.3%) of shareholder other investments, are classified as Level 1 or 2 in the fair value hierarchy.
The unit trusts and other investment vehicles invest in a variety of assets, which can include cash equivalents, debt, equity and property securities. Excluding assets classified as held for sale, 89.2% of shareholder exposure is to other investments that are Level 1 or 2.
D3.3.4 - Available for sale investments - Impairments and duration and amount of unrealised losses
The total impairment expense for the six months to 30 June 2013 for AFS debt securities was £7 million (FY12: £12 million). The total AFS impairment expense relates to corporate bonds that are not yet in default but showed continued deterioration in market value from the previous impairment value.
Total unrealised losses on AFS debt securities, equity securities and other investments at 30 June 2013 were £1,175 million (FY12: £74 million), £3 million (FY12: £nil) and £12 million (FY12: £5 million) respectively. This increase includes an unrealised loss on AFS debt securities of £1,169 million attributable to the US operations of the Group, and is a result of a significant increase in the 10 year Treasury yield curve rate, which has adversely affected the value of the Groups' investments in US debt securities.
Page 98
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3 - Financial investments continued
D3.3.5 - Exposures to peripheral European countries
Included in our debt securities and other financial assets are exposures to peripheral European countries. All of these assets are valued on a mark to market basis under IAS 39, and therefore our statement of financial position and income statement already reflect any reduction in value between the date of purchase and the balance sheet date. The significant majority of these holdings are within our participating funds where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds.
Net of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder and participating fund asset exposure to the government (and local authorities and agencies) of Italy is £4.9 billion (FY12: £4.9 billion). Gross of non-controlling interests, 94% of our shareholder asset exposure to Italy arises from the investment exposure of our Italian business.
Direct sovereign exposures to Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)
|
Participating |
Shareholder |
Total |
|||
|
30 June 2013 £bn |
31 December 2012 £bn |
30 June 2013 £bn |
31 December 2012 £bn |
30 June 2013 £bn |
31 December 2012 £bn |
Greece |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Ireland |
0.4 |
0.4 |
- |
- |
0.4 |
0.4 |
Portugal |
0.3 |
0.3 |
- |
- |
0.3 |
0.3 |
Italy |
4.5 |
4.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
4.9 |
4.9 |
Spain |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
Total Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain |
6.0 |
6.1 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
6.9 |
7.0 |
Direct sovereign exposures to Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain (gross of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)
|
Participating |
Shareholder |
Total |
|||
|
30 June 2013 £bn |
31 December 2012 £bn |
30 June 2013 £bn |
31 December 2012 £bn |
30 June 2013 £bn |
31 December 2012 £bn |
Greece |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Ireland |
0.4 |
0.4 |
- |
- |
0.4 |
0.4 |
Portugal |
0.2 |
0.3 |
- |
- |
0.2 |
0.3 |
Italy |
8.6 |
8.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
9.2 |
9.1 |
Spain |
1.2 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
Total Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain |
10.4 |
10.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
11.9 |
12.0 |
Page 99
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3 - Financial investments continued
D3.3.6 - Non UK Government debt securities (gross of non-controlling interests)
|
Policyholder |
Participating |
Shareholder |
Total |
||||
Non UK Government Debt Securities |
30 June 2013 £m |
Restated 31 December 2012 £m |
30 June 2013 £m |
Restated 31 December 2012 £m |
30 June 2013 £m |
Restated 31 December 2012 £m |
30 June 2013 £m |
Restated 31 December 2012 £m |
Austria |
10 |
14 |
705 |
634 |
161 |
123 |
876 |
771 |
Belgium |
31 |
45 |
1,441 |
1,343 |
287 |
172 |
1,759 |
1,560 |
France |
137 |
191 |
10,312 |
9,076 |
1,657 |
1,944 |
12,106 |
11,211 |
Germany |
140 |
220 |
2,163 |
2,394 |
748 |
957 |
3,051 |
3,571 |
Greece |
1 |
- |
3 |
- |
- |
- |
4 |
- |
Ireland |
28 |
35 |
363 |
363 |
- |
26 |
391 |
424 |
Italy |
251 |
265 |
8,615 |
8,521 |
575 |
617 |
9,441 |
9,403 |
Netherlands |
56 |
69 |
1,262 |
1,200 |
309 |
228 |
1,627 |
1,497 |
Poland |
627 |
673 |
923 |
1,014 |
419 |
445 |
1,969 |
2,132 |
Portugal |
1 |
- |
242 |
257 |
- |
- |
243 |
257 |
Spain |
41 |
37 |
1,174 |
1,319 |
908 |
854 |
2,123 |
2,210 |
European Supranational debt |
100 |
136 |
2,641 |
2,928 |
1,419 |
1,470 |
4,160 |
4,534 |
Other European countries |
326 |
244 |
822 |
651 |
618 |
421 |
1,766 |
1,316 |
Europe |
1,749 |
1,929 |
30,666 |
29,700 |
7,101 |
7,257 |
39,516 |
38,886 |
Canada |
13 |
19 |
190 |
196 |
2,445 |
2,517 |
2,648 |
2,732 |
United States |
140 |
139 |
58 |
56 |
1,760 |
1,665 |
1,958 |
1,860 |
North America |
153 |
158 |
248 |
252 |
4,205 |
4,182 |
4,606 |
4,592 |
Singapore |
9 |
7 |
401 |
453 |
279 |
276 |
689 |
736 |
Sri Lanka |
3 |
1 |
4 |
3 |
- |
- |
7 |
4 |
Other |
707 |
637 |
1,622 |
1,315 |
428 |
393 |
2,757 |
2,345 |
Asia Pacific and other |
719 |
645 |
2,027 |
1,771 |
707 |
669 |
3,453 |
3,085 |
Total |
2,621 |
2,732 |
32,941 |
31,723 |
12,013 |
12,108 |
47,575 |
46,563 |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
7 |
197 |
1,684 |
556 |
2,169 |
2,274 |
3,860 |
3,027 |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
2,614 |
2,535 |
31,257 |
31,167 |
9,844 |
9,834 |
43,715 |
43,536 |
At 30 June 2013, the Group's total government (non-UK) debt securities stood at £47.6 billion (FY12: £46.6 billion), an increase of £1.0 billion. The significant majority of these holdings are within our participating funds where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds.
Our direct shareholder asset exposure to government (non-UK) debt securities amounts to £12.0 billion (FY12: £12.1 billion). The primary exposures, relative to total shareholder (non-UK) government debt exposure, are to French (13.8%), German (6.2%), Spanish (7.6%) and Italian (4.8%) government debt securities.
The participating funds exposure to (non-UK) government debt amounts to £32.9 billion (FY12: £31.7 billion), an increase of £1.2 billion. The primary exposures, relative to total (non-UK) government debt exposures included within our participating funds, are to the (non-UK) government debt securities of France (31.3%), Italy (26.2%), Germany (6.6%), Belgium (4.4%), Spain (3.6%), Netherlands (3.8%) and Poland (2.8%).
Page 100
D3 - Analysis of asset quality continued
D3.3 - Financial investments continued
D3.3.7 - Exposure to worldwide bank debt securities
Direct shareholder and participating fund assets exposures to worldwide bank debt securities (net of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)
|
Shareholder assets |
Participating fund assets |
||||
30 June 2013 |
Total senior debt £bn |
Total subordinated debt £bn |
Total debt £bn |
Total senior debt £bn |
Total subordinated debt £bn |
Total debt £bn |
Austria |
- |
- |
- |
0.2 |
- |
0.2 |
France |
0.2 |
- |
0.2 |
3.7 |
0.9 |
4.6 |
Germany |
- |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
Ireland |
- |
0.1 |
0.1 |
- |
- |
- |
Italy |
- |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
- |
0.3 |
Netherlands |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.9 |
0.2 |
2.1 |
Portugal |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Spain |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
1.0 |
United Kingdom |
0.6 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
United States |
1.4 |
0.9 |
2.3 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
1.1 |
Other |
0.6 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
0.9 |
2.9 |
Total |
3.9 |
2.4 |
6.3 |
11.3 |
3.9 |
15.2 |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
1.2 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
- |
- |
- |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
2.7 |
1.4 |
4.1 |
11.3 |
3.9 |
15.2 |
FY12 Total |
4.2 |
2.3 |
6.5 |
11.7 |
3.9 |
15.6 |
Net of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder assets exposure to worldwide bank debt securities is £6.3 billion. The majority of our holding (61.9%) is in senior debt. The primary exposures are to US (36.5%) and UK (15.9%) banks.
Net of non-controlling interests, the participating fund exposures to worldwide bank debt securities, where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds, is £15.2 billion. The majority of the exposure (74.3%) is in senior debt. Participating funds are the most exposed to French (30.3%), Dutch (13.8%) and UK (11.8%) banks.
Direct shareholder and participating fund assets exposures to worldwide bank debt securities (gross of non-controlling interests, excluding policyholder assets)
|
Shareholder assets |
Participating fund assets |
||||
30 June 2013 |
Total senior debt £bn |
Total subordinated debt £bn |
Total debt £bn |
Total senior debt £bn |
Total subordinated debt £bn |
Total debt £bn |
Austria |
- |
- |
- |
0.2 |
- |
0.2 |
France |
0.2 |
- |
0.2 |
4.1 |
1.0 |
5.1 |
Germany |
- |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
Ireland |
- |
0.1 |
0.1 |
- |
- |
- |
Italy |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
Netherlands |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
2.0 |
0.3 |
2.3 |
Portugal |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Spain |
1.0 |
0.1 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
0.1 |
1.3 |
United Kingdom |
0.6 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
United States |
1.4 |
0.9 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
0.1 |
2.4 |
Other |
0.6 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
2.5 |
0.9 |
3.4 |
Total |
4.3 |
2.4 |
6.7 |
14.5 |
4.3 |
18.8 |
Assets of operations classified as held for sale |
1.2 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
- |
- |
- |
Total (excluding assets held for sale) |
3.1 |
1.4 |
4.5 |
14.5 |
4.3 |
18.8 |
FY12 Total |
4.9 |
2.4 |
7.3 |
13.3 |
4.4 |
17.7 |
Gross of non-controlling interests, our direct shareholder assets exposure to worldwide bank debt securities is £6.7 billion. The majority of our holding (64.2%) is in senior debt. The primary exposures are to US (34.3%), Spanish (16.4%) and UK (14.9%) banks.
Gross of non-controlling interests, the participating fund exposures to worldwide bank debt securities, where the risk to our shareholders is governed by the nature and extent of our participation within those funds, is £18.8 billion. The majority of the exposure (77.1%) is in senior debt. Participating funds are the most exposed to French (27.1%), US (12.8%), Dutch (12.2%) and UK (10.6%) banks.
Page 101
D4 - Pension fund assets
In addition to the assets recognised directly on the Group's statement of financial position outlined in the disclosures above, the Group is also exposed to the ''Plan assets'' that are shown net of the present value of scheme liabilities within the IAS 19 net pension surplus. Pension surpluses are included within other assets and pension deficits are recognised within provisions in the Group's consolidated statement of financial position.
Plan assets comprise
|
30 June 2013 |
31 December 2012 |
||||||
|
United Kingdom £m |
Ireland £m |
Canada £m |
Total £m |
United Kingdom £m |
Ireland £m |
Canada £m |
Total £m |
Equities |
920 |
96 |
80 |
1,096 |
909 |
87 |
92 |
1,088 |
Bonds |
8,961 |
259 |
142 |
9,362 |
8,867 |
260 |
121 |
9,248 |
Property |
996 |
13 |
- |
1,009 |
914 |
12 |
- |
926 |
Other |
839 |
54 |
24 |
917 |
957 |
47 |
15 |
1,019 |
Total |
11,716 |
422 |
246 |
12,384 |
11,647 |
406 |
228 |
12,281 |
Risk management and asset allocation strategy
The long-term investment objectives of the trustees and the employers are to limit the risk of the assets failing to meet the liabilities of the schemes over the long term, and to maximise returns consistent with an acceptable level of risk so as to control the long-term costs of these schemes. To meet these objectives, each scheme's assets are invested in a diversified portfolio, consisting primarily of debt securities, equity securities and property.
Main UK Scheme
Both the Group and the trustees regularly review the asset/liability management of the main UK scheme. It is fully understood that, whilst the current asset mix is designed to produce appropriate long-term returns, this introduces a material risk of volatility in the scheme's surplus or deficit of assets compared with its liabilities.
The principal risks to which the scheme assets are exposed are interest rate, inflation and equity markets. These are actively mitigated, for example, by using inflation and interest rate swaps. Additionally, the exposure to equities has been reduced over time. There is also an exposure to currency risk where assets are not denominated in the same currency as the liabilities. The majority of this exposure has been removed by the use of hedging instruments.
Other schemes
The other schemes are considerably less material but their risks are managed in a similar way to those in the main UK scheme.
Refer to Note B15 for details on the movements in the main schemes' surpluses and deficits.
Page 102
D5 - Available funds
To ensure access to liquidity as and when needed, the Group maintains £1.5 billion of undrawn committed central borrowing facilities with various highly rated banks, £0.75 billion of which is allocated to support the credit ratings of Aviva plc's commercial paper programmes. The expiry profile of the undrawn committed central borrowing facilities is as follows:
30 June 2013 |
|
£m |
Expiring within one year |
|
300 |
Expiring beyond one year |
|
1,200 |
Total |
|
1,500 |
D6 - Guarantees
As a normal part of their operating activities, various Group companies have given guarantees and options, including investment return guarantees, in respect of certain long-term insurance and fund management products.
For the UK Life with-profit business, provisions in respect of these guarantees and options are calculated on a market consistent basis, in which stochastic models are used to evaluate the level of risk (and additional cost) under a number of economic scenarios, which allow for the impact of volatility in both interest rates and equity prices. For UK Life non-profit business, provisions do not materially differ from those determined on a market consistent basis.
In all other businesses, provisions for guarantees and options are calculated on a local basis with sensitivity analysis undertaken where appropriate to assess the impact on provisioning levels of a movement in interest rates and equity levels (typically a 1% decrease in interest rates and 10% decline in equity markets).
Page 103
VNB & Sales analysis
In this section |
Page |
E1 Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations) - cumulative |
104 |
E2 Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations) - discrete |
104 |
E3 Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations) - cumulative |
105 |
E4 Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations) - discrete |
105 |
E5 Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations) - cumulative |
106 |
E6 Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations) - discrete |
106 |
E7 Trend analysis of investment sales (continuing operations) - cumulative |
107 |
E8 Trend analysis of investment sales (continuing operations) - discrete |
107 |
E9 Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - cumulative |
108 |
E10 Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - discrete |
108 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page 104
E1 - Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations1) - cumulative
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth on 2Q12 YTD |
Gross of tax and non-controlling interests |
1Q12 YTD £m |
2Q12 YTD £m |
3Q12 YTD £m |
4Q12 YTD £m |
1Q13 YTD £m |
2Q13 YTD £m |
Sterling % |
Local currency % |
United Kingdom |
81 |
182 |
288 |
420 |
108 |
211 |
16% |
16% |
Ireland |
(2) |
(6) |
(11) |
(8) |
(1) |
1 |
117% |
117% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
79 |
176 |
277 |
412 |
107 |
212 |
20% |
20% |
France |
35 |
62 |
84 |
119 |
39 |
86 |
39% |
34% |
Poland |
10 |
18 |
23 |
35 |
10 |
21 |
17% |
10% |
Italy |
9 |
14 |
19 |
29 |
4 |
6 |
(57)% |
(59)% |
Spain |
14 |
21 |
32 |
56 |
5 |
13 |
(38)% |
(40)% |
Turkey |
6 |
13 |
20 |
30 |
10 |
20 |
54% |
53% |
Other Europe |
- |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
(50)% |
(47)% |
Europe |
74 |
130 |
180 |
271 |
69 |
147 |
13% |
9% |
Asia - excluding Malaysia and Sri Lanka |
14 |
29 |
46 |
55 |
19 |
41 |
41% |
37% |
Value of new business - pro forma basis |
167 |
335 |
503 |
738 |
195 |
400 |
19% |
18% |
Effect of disposals (Malaysia and Sri Lanka) |
2 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
1 |
1 |
(88)% |
(88)% |
Total |
169 |
343 |
511 |
746 |
196 |
401 |
17% |
15% |
1 Following the announced disposal of US Life, it is no longer being managed on a MCEV basis and it is no longer included in covered business.
E2 - Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations1) - discrete
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth on 1Q13 |
Gross of tax and non-controlling interests |
1Q12 Discrete £m |
2Q12 Discrete £m |
3Q12 Discrete £m |
4Q12 Discrete £m |
1Q13 Discrete £m |
2Q13 Discrete £m |
Sterling % |
Local currency % |
United Kingdom |
81 |
101 |
106 |
132 |
108 |
103 |
(5)% |
(5)% |
Ireland |
(2) |
(4) |
(5) |
3 |
(1) |
2 |
300% |
300% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
79 |
97 |
101 |
135 |
107 |
105 |
(2)% |
(2)% |
France |
35 |
27 |
22 |
35 |
39 |
47 |
21% |
21% |
Poland |
10 |
8 |
5 |
12 |
10 |
11 |
10% |
10% |
Italy |
9 |
5 |
5 |
10 |
4 |
2 |
(50)% |
(50)% |
Spain |
14 |
7 |
11 |
24 |
5 |
8 |
60% |
60% |
Turkey |
6 |
7 |
7 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
- |
1% |
Other Europe |
- |
2 |
- |
- |
1 |
- |
(100)% |
(100)% |
Europe |
74 |
56 |
50 |
91 |
69 |
78 |
13% |
13% |
Asia - excluding Malaysia and Sri Lanka |
14 |
15 |
17 |
9 |
19 |
22 |
16% |
15% |
Value of new business - pro forma basis |
167 |
168 |
168 |
235 |
195 |
205 |
5% |
5% |
Effect of disposals (Malaysia and Sri Lanka) |
2 |
6 |
- |
- |
1 |
- |
(100)% |
(100)% |
Total |
169 |
174 |
168 |
235 |
196 |
205 |
5% |
5% |
1 Following the announced disposal of US Life, it is no longer being managed on a MCEV basis and it is no longer included in covered business.
Page 105
E3 - Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations1) - cumulative
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth on 2Q12 YTD |
Present value of new business premiums2 |
1Q12 YTD £m |
2Q12 YTD £m |
3Q12 YTD £m |
4Q12 YTD £m |
1Q13 YTD £m |
2Q13 YTD £m |
Sterling % |
Local currency % |
Life and pensions business |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom |
2,430 |
5,387 |
8,002 |
10,410 |
2,336 |
4,441 |
(18)% |
(18)% |
Ireland |
199 |
342 |
469 |
632 |
117 |
225 |
(34)% |
(36)% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
2,629 |
5,729 |
8,471 |
11,042 |
2,453 |
4,666 |
(19)% |
(19)% |
France |
1,092 |
1,944 |
2,671 |
3,638 |
1,245 |
2,373 |
22% |
18% |
Poland |
107 |
201 |
274 |
373 |
123 |
227 |
13% |
7% |
Italy |
673 |
1,259 |
1,603 |
1,971 |
614 |
1,305 |
4% |
- |
Spain |
402 |
705 |
934 |
1,295 |
375 |
641 |
(9)% |
(12)% |
Turkey |
68 |
141 |
212 |
312 |
135 |
253 |
79% |
77% |
Other Europe |
56 |
108 |
132 |
158 |
20 |
20 |
(81)% |
(82)% |
Europe |
2,398 |
4,358 |
5,826 |
7,747 |
2,512 |
4,819 |
11% |
7% |
Asia |
442 |
913 |
1,367 |
1,765 |
488 |
861 |
(6)% |
(8)% |
Other business3 |
13 |
30 |
79 |
92 |
4 |
7 |
(77)% |
(77)% |
Total life and pensions |
5,482 |
11,030 |
15,743 |
20,646 |
5,457 |
10,353 |
(6)% |
(8)% |
Investment sales4 |
949 |
1,934 |
3,400 |
4,586 |
1,134 |
2,498 |
29% |
27% |
Total long-term savings sales |
6,431 |
12,964 |
19,143 |
25,232 |
6,591 |
12,851 |
(1)% |
(3)% |
1 Following the announced disposal of US Life, it is no longer being managed on a MCEV basis and it is no longer included in covered business.
2 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.
3 Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions, Russia up to the date of disposal in April 2013 and the Czech Republic, Hungary and Romania Life up to the date of disposal in July 2012.
4 Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.
E4 - Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations1) - discrete
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth on 1Q13 |
Present value of new business premiums2 |
1Q12 Discrete £m |
2Q12 Discrete £m |
3Q12 Discrete £m |
4Q12 Discrete £m |
1Q13 Discrete £m |
2Q13 Discrete £m |
Sterling % |
Local currency % |
Life and pensions business |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom |
2,430 |
2,957 |
2,615 |
2,408 |
2,336 |
2,105 |
(10)% |
(10)% |
Ireland |
199 |
143 |
127 |
163 |
117 |
108 |
(8)% |
(8)% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
2,629 |
3,100 |
2,742 |
2,571 |
2,453 |
2,213 |
(10)% |
(10)% |
France |
1,092 |
852 |
727 |
967 |
1,245 |
1,128 |
(9)% |
(9)% |
Poland |
107 |
94 |
73 |
99 |
123 |
104 |
(15)% |
(15)% |
Italy |
673 |
586 |
344 |
368 |
614 |
691 |
13% |
13% |
Spain |
402 |
303 |
229 |
361 |
375 |
266 |
(29)% |
(29)% |
Turkey |
68 |
73 |
71 |
100 |
135 |
118 |
(13)% |
(12)% |
Other Europe |
56 |
52 |
24 |
26 |
20 |
- |
(100)% |
(100)% |
Europe |
2,398 |
1,960 |
1,468 |
1,921 |
2,512 |
2,307 |
(8)% |
(8)% |
Asia |
442 |
471 |
454 |
398 |
488 |
373 |
(24)% |
(24)% |
Other business3 |
13 |
17 |
49 |
13 |
4 |
3 |
(25)% |
(25)% |
Total life and pensions |
5,482 |
5,548 |
4,713 |
4,903 |
5,457 |
4,896 |
(10)% |
(10)% |
Investment sales4 |
949 |
985 |
1,466 |
1,186 |
1,134 |
1,364 |
20% |
20% |
Total long-term savings sales |
6,431 |
6,533 |
6,179 |
6,089 |
6,591 |
6,260 |
(5)% |
(5)% |
1 Following the announced disposal of US Life, it is no longer being managed on a MCEV basis and it is no longer included in covered business.
2 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.
3 Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions, Russia up to the date of disposal in April 2013 and the Czech Republic, Hungary and Romania Life up to the date of disposal in July 2012.
4 Investment sales are calculated as new single premium plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.
Page 106
E5 - Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations1) - cumulative
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth on 2Q12 YTD |
Present value of new business premiums2 |
1Q12 £m |
2Q12 £m |
3Q12 £m |
4Q12 £m |
1Q13 £m |
2Q13 £m |
Sterling |
Local currency |
Life and pensions business |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pensions |
1,251 |
2,762 |
3,963 |
5,158 |
1,322 |
2,479 |
(10)% |
(10)% |
Annuities |
662 |
1,555 |
2,459 |
3,211 |
630 |
1,217 |
(22)% |
(22)% |
Bonds |
128 |
253 |
322 |
379 |
33 |
59 |
(77)% |
(77)% |
Protection |
300 |
608 |
920 |
1,228 |
253 |
504 |
(17)% |
(17)% |
Equity release |
89 |
209 |
338 |
434 |
98 |
182 |
(13)% |
(13)% |
United Kingdom |
2,430 |
5,387 |
8,002 |
10,410 |
2,336 |
4,441 |
(18)% |
(18)% |
Ireland |
199 |
342 |
469 |
632 |
117 |
225 |
(34)% |
(36)% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
2,629 |
5,729 |
8,471 |
11,042 |
2,453 |
4,666 |
(19)% |
(19)% |
Savings |
1,038 |
1,842 |
2,541 |
3,462 |
1,169 |
2,235 |
21% |
17% |
Protection |
54 |
102 |
130 |
176 |
76 |
138 |
35% |
31% |
France |
1,092 |
1,944 |
2,671 |
3,638 |
1,245 |
2,373 |
22% |
18% |
Pensions |
180 |
311 |
430 |
672 |
246 |
409 |
32% |
28% |
Savings |
994 |
1,836 |
2,337 |
2,888 |
882 |
1,770 |
(4)% |
(7)% |
Annuities |
11 |
18 |
25 |
39 |
11 |
17 |
(6)% |
(9)% |
Protection |
121 |
249 |
363 |
510 |
128 |
250 |
- |
(3)% |
Poland, Italy, Spain and Other |
1,306 |
2,414 |
3,155 |
4,109 |
1,267 |
2,446 |
1% |
(2)% |
Europe |
2,398 |
4,358 |
5,826 |
7,747 |
2,512 |
4,819 |
11% |
7% |
Asia |
442 |
913 |
1,367 |
1,765 |
488 |
861 |
(6)% |
(8)% |
Other business3 |
13 |
30 |
79 |
92 |
4 |
7 |
(77)% |
(77)% |
Total life and pensions sales |
5,482 |
11,030 |
15,743 |
20,646 |
5,457 |
10,353 |
(6)% |
(8)% |
1 Following the announced disposal of US Life, it is no longer being managed on a MCEV basis and it is no longer included in covered business.
2 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.
3 Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions, Russia up to the date of disposal in April 2013 and the Czech Republic, Hungary and Romania Life up to the date of disposal in July 2012.
E6 - Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations1) - discrete
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth on 1Q13 |
Present value of new business premiums2 |
1Q12 Discrete |
2Q12 Discrete |
3Q12 Discrete |
4Q12 Discrete |
1Q13 Discrete |
2Q13 Discrete |
Sterling |
Local currency |
Life and pensions business |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pensions |
1,251 |
1,511 |
1,201 |
1,195 |
1,322 |
1,157 |
(12)% |
(12)% |
Annuities |
662 |
893 |
904 |
752 |
630 |
587 |
(7)% |
(7)% |
Bonds |
128 |
125 |
69 |
57 |
33 |
26 |
(21)% |
(21)% |
Protection |
300 |
308 |
312 |
308 |
253 |
251 |
(1)% |
(1)% |
Equity release |
89 |
120 |
129 |
96 |
98 |
84 |
(14)% |
(14)% |
United Kingdom |
2,430 |
2,957 |
2,615 |
2,408 |
2,336 |
2,105 |
(10)% |
(10)% |
Ireland |
199 |
143 |
127 |
163 |
117 |
108 |
(8)% |
(8)% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
2,629 |
3,100 |
2,742 |
2,571 |
2,453 |
2,213 |
(10)% |
(10)% |
Savings |
1,038 |
804 |
699 |
921 |
1,169 |
1,066 |
(9)% |
(9)% |
Protection |
54 |
48 |
28 |
46 |
76 |
62 |
(18)% |
(18)% |
France |
1,092 |
852 |
727 |
967 |
1,245 |
1,128 |
(9)% |
(9)% |
Pensions |
180 |
131 |
119 |
242 |
246 |
163 |
(34)% |
(33)% |
Savings |
994 |
842 |
501 |
551 |
882 |
888 |
1% |
1% |
Annuities |
11 |
7 |
7 |
14 |
11 |
6 |
(45)% |
(45)% |
Protection |
121 |
128 |
114 |
147 |
128 |
122 |
(5)% |
(4)% |
Poland, Italy, Spain and Other |
1,306 |
1,108 |
741 |
954 |
1,267 |
1,179 |
(7)% |
(7)% |
Europe |
2,398 |
1,960 |
1,468 |
1,921 |
2,512 |
2,307 |
(8)% |
(8)% |
Asia |
442 |
471 |
454 |
398 |
488 |
373 |
(24)% |
(24)% |
Other business3 |
13 |
17 |
49 |
13 |
4 |
3 |
(25)% |
(25)% |
Total life and pensions sales |
5,482 |
5,548 |
4,713 |
4,903 |
5,457 |
4,896 |
(10)% |
(10)% |
1 Following the announced disposal of US Life, it is no longer being managed on a MCEV basis and it is no longer included in covered business.
2 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.
3 Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions, Russia up to the date of disposal in April 2013 and the Czech Republic, Hungary and Romania Life up to the date of disposal in July 2012.
Page 107
E7 - Trend analysis of Investment sales (continuing operations1) - cumulative
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth on |
|
Investment Sales |
1Q12 |
2Q12 |
3Q12 |
4Q12 |
1Q13 |
2Q13 |
Sterling |
Local |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
432 |
823 |
1,269 |
1,730 |
305 |
841 |
2% |
2% |
Aviva Investors |
479 |
1,043 |
2,038 |
2,727 |
787 |
1,563 |
50% |
45% |
Asia |
38 |
68 |
93 |
129 |
42 |
94 |
38% |
34% |
Total investment sales |
949 |
1,934 |
3,400 |
4,586 |
1,134 |
2,498 |
29% |
27% |
1 Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.
E8 - Trend analysis of Investment sales (continuing operations1) - discrete
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth on |
|
Investment Sales |
1Q12 |
2Q12 |
3Q12 |
4Q12 |
1Q13 |
2Q13 |
Sterling |
Local |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
432 |
391 |
446 |
461 |
305 |
536 |
76% |
76% |
Aviva Investors |
479 |
564 |
995 |
689 |
787 |
776 |
(1)% |
(1)% |
Asia |
38 |
30 |
25 |
36 |
42 |
52 |
24% |
24% |
Total investment sales |
949 |
985 |
1,466 |
1,186 |
1,134 |
1,364 |
20% |
20% |
1 Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.
Page 108
E9 - Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - cumulative
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth on |
|
|
1Q12 |
2Q12 |
3Q12 |
4Q12 |
1Q13 |
2Q13 |
Sterling |
Local |
General insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom |
974 |
2,087 |
3,091 |
4,062 |
923 |
1,963 |
(6)% |
(6)% |
Ireland |
82 |
174 |
252 |
326 |
71 |
146 |
(16)% |
(19)% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
1,056 |
2,261 |
3,343 |
4,388 |
994 |
2,109 |
(7)% |
(7)% |
Europe |
410 |
726 |
982 |
1,295 |
435 |
764 |
5% |
2% |
Canada |
454 |
1,081 |
1,635 |
2,176 |
470 |
1,126 |
4% |
3% |
Asia |
6 |
11 |
17 |
22 |
3 |
7 |
(36)% |
(38)% |
Other |
40 |
51 |
53 |
67 |
20 |
20 |
(61)% |
(61)% |
|
1,966 |
4,130 |
6,030 |
7,948 |
1,922 |
4,026 |
(3)% |
(4)% |
Health insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom |
120 |
255 |
389 |
528 |
138 |
289 |
13% |
13% |
Ireland |
40 |
57 |
76 |
102 |
36 |
52 |
(9)% |
(12)% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
160 |
312 |
465 |
630 |
174 |
341 |
9% |
9% |
Europe |
83 |
123 |
161 |
218 |
89 |
135 |
10% |
6% |
Asia |
27 |
50 |
79 |
98 |
35 |
47 |
(6)% |
(7)% |
|
270 |
485 |
705 |
946 |
298 |
523 |
8% |
6% |
Total |
2,236 |
4,615 |
6,735 |
8,894 |
2,220 |
4,549 |
(1)% |
(3)% |
E10 - Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums - discrete
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth on |
|
|
1Q12 |
2Q12 |
3Q12 |
4Q12 |
1Q13 |
2Q13 |
Sterling |
Local |
General insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom |
974 |
1,113 |
1,004 |
971 |
923 |
1,040 |
13% |
13% |
Ireland |
82 |
92 |
78 |
74 |
71 |
75 |
6% |
6% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
1,056 |
1,205 |
1,082 |
1,045 |
994 |
1,115 |
12% |
12% |
Europe |
410 |
316 |
256 |
313 |
435 |
329 |
(24)% |
(24)% |
Canada |
454 |
627 |
554 |
541 |
470 |
656 |
40% |
40% |
Asia |
6 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
3 |
4 |
33% |
33% |
Other |
40 |
11 |
2 |
14 |
20 |
- |
(100)% |
(100)% |
|
1,966 |
2,164 |
1,900 |
1,918 |
1,922 |
2,104 |
9% |
9% |
Health insurance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
United Kingdom |
120 |
135 |
134 |
139 |
138 |
151 |
9% |
9% |
Ireland |
40 |
17 |
19 |
26 |
36 |
16 |
(56)% |
(56)% |
United Kingdom & Ireland |
160 |
152 |
153 |
165 |
174 |
167 |
(4)% |
(4)% |
Europe |
83 |
40 |
38 |
57 |
89 |
46 |
(48)% |
(48)% |
Asia |
27 |
23 |
29 |
19 |
35 |
12 |
(66)% |
(66)% |
|
270 |
215 |
220 |
241 |
298 |
225 |
(24)% |
(24)% |
Total |
2,236 |
2,379 |
2,120 |
2,159 |
2,220 |
2,329 |
5% |
5% |
End of part 4 of 5