HY14 part 5 of 5

RNS Number : 4782O
Aviva PLC
07 August 2014
 

 

Start of part 5 of 5

 

Page 113

 

 

MCEV financial statements

 

 

In this section

Page

Consolidated financial statements


Consolidated income statement - MCEV basis

114

Consolidated statement of comprehensive
income - MCEV basis

115

Consolidated statement of changes in equity - MCEV basis

116

Consolidated statement financial position -
MCEV basis

117

Reconciliation of shareholders' equity on IFRS and MCEV bases

118

Reconciliation of IFRS total equity to Life MCEV

118

Reconciliation of IFRS total equity to MCEV
net worth

119

Group MCEV analysis of earnings

120



Notes to the consolidated financial statements


F1   Basis of preparation

121

F2   Development of MCEV

127

F3   Geographical analysis of life MCEV
        operating earnings

129

F4   Earnings per share

134

F5   Geographical analysis of general insurance
        and health operating earnings

135

F6   Geographical analysis of fund management
        operating earnings

136

F7   Other operations

136

F8   Integration and restructuring costs

136

F9   Exceptional Items

136

F10 Analysis of life and pension earnings

137

F11 MCEV free surplus emergence

139

F12 Segmental analysis of life and related
        business embedded value

140

F13 Present value of life new business premiums

141

F14 Geographical analysis of value of
        new business

142

F15 Maturity profile of business

143

F16 Risk allowance within present value of
        in-force (VIF)

144

F17 Implied discount rates (IDR)

145

F18 Summary of non-controlling interest in life         and related businesses' MCEV results

145

F19 Principal assumptions

146

F20 Sensitivity analysis

153



Directors' responsibility statement

155

Independent review report to the directors of Aviva plc - MCEV

156

 

 

 

 

Page 114

 

 

MCEV financial statements

 

Consolidated income statement - MCEV basis

For the six month period ended 30 June 2014

 


Reviewed

6 months 2014

£m

Restated1

 Reviewed
6 months 2013
£m

Restated1

 Audited
Full Year 2013
£m



Continuing Operations

Discontinued

Operations2

Continuing Operations

Discontinued

Operations2

Operating profit/(loss) before tax attributable to shareholders' profits






United Kingdom & Ireland

475

-

921

Europe

598

-

1,088

Asia

69

-

252

Other3

2

-

-

(2)

-

Long-term business from continuing operations (note F3)

1,272

1,142

-

2,259

-

United States2

-

111

-

General insurance and health (note F5)4

423

-

777

Fund management (note F6)5

15

22

29

Other operations (note F7)6

(46)

(40)

(2)

(76)

(4)

Market operating profit/(loss)

1,643

1,540

131

2,989

299

Corporate centre

(72)

-

(150)

Group debt costs and other interest

(235)

(251)

(6)

(502)

(9)

Operating profit/(loss) before tax attributable to shareholders' profits

1,344

1,217

125

2,337

290

Integration and restructuring costs (note F8)

(40)

(163)

(2)

(354)

(3)

Operating profit/(loss) before tax attributable to shareholders' profits
after integration and restructuring costs

1,304

1,054

123

1,983

287

Adjusted for the following:






Economic variances on long-term business

590

279

1,627

Short-term fluctuation in return on investments on non-long-term business

(306)

-

(336)

Economic assumption changes on general insurance and health business

27

-

33

Impairment of goodwill

(86)

-

(86)

Amortisation and impairment of intangibles

(46)

(6)

(99)

Profit on the disposal and remeasurement of subsidiaries; joint ventures and associates7

164

91

155

Exceptional items (note F9)

(236)

-

-

(242)

-

Non-operating items before tax

(31)

343

364

1,052

1,251

Profit/(loss) before tax attributable to shareholders' profits

1,273

1,397

487

3,035

1,538

Tax on operating profit

(344)

(386)

(23)

(778)

(83)

Tax on other activities

(19)

(66)

(94)

(297)

(182)


(363)

(452)

(117)

(1,075)

(265)

Profit/(loss) after tax

910

945

370

1,960

1,273

Profit/(loss) from discontinued operations

-

370


1,273


Profit/(loss) for the period

910

1,315


3,233








Attributable to:




Equity shareholders' of Aviva plc

1,036


2,745

Non-controlling Interest

143

279


488



910

1,315


3,233


Earnings/(loss) per share




Basic (pence per share)

34.5p


90.4p

Diluted (pence per share)

25.0p

34.0p


89.3p








Continuing operations - Basic (pence per share)

21.9p


47.1p

Continuing operations - Diluted (pence per share)

25.0p

21.6p


46.6p


1    The income statement and other primary MCEV financial statements have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.  

2    Discontinued operations represent the results of the US Life and related internal asset management business (US Life) until the date of disposal (2 October 2013). From 1 January 2013, the US Life operations were reported within non-covered business on an IFRS basis. For further details, see note F1 - Basis of preparation

3    Includes UK retail fund management business, which transferred from UK Life to Aviva Investors on 9 May 2014. In comparative periods this was included in UK Life.

4    Excludes the results of the UK and Singapore health businesses now included in covered business. These results are included within the long-term MCEV operating earnings consistent with the MCEV methodology.

5    Excludes the proportion of the results of Aviva Investors fund management businesses and other fund management operations within the Group that arise from the provision of fund management services to our life businesses. These results, in the current period and for continuing operations in the comparative periods, are included within the long-term business MCEV operating earnings consistent with the MCEV methodology. Operating earnings for US fund management, in the comparative periods as part of discontinued operations, are included in this line item.

6    Excludes the proportion of the results of subsidiaries providing services to the long-term business as well as the retail fund management business in the UK. These results are included within the long-term MCEV operating earnings consistent with the MCEV methodology.

7    Includes profit or loss in respect of both re-measurement of held for sale operations to expected fair value less cost to sell; and completion of the disposal of held for sale operations. The current period included profit or loss on completion of the sale of Eurovita and Korea. The comparative period includes the profit or loss on completion of the sale of the US business, Aseval, Ark Life, Russia, Romanian pensions and Malaysia; and the held for sale re-measurement of Eurovita and Korea.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 115

 

 

Consolidated statement of comprehensive income - MCEV basis

For the six month period ended 30 June 2014

 


Reviewed

6 months 2014

£m

Restated1

 Reviewed

6 months 2013

 £m

Restated1

 Audited

Full Year

2013

£m

Profit for the period from continuing operations

910

945

1,960

Profit/(loss) for the period from discontinued operations2

-

370

1,273

Total profit for the period

910

1,315

3,233





Other comprehensive income from continuing operations:




Items that may be reclassified subsequently to income statement




Foreign exchange rate movements

(424)

485

(4)

Aggregate tax effect - shareholders tax on items that may be reclassified subsequently to the income statement

7

(20)

(6)





Items that will not be reclassified to income statement




Remeasurement of pension schemes

387

(294)

(674)

Aggregate tax effect - shareholders tax on items that will not be reclassified subsequently to the
income statement

(67)

65

125

Other comprehensive income, net of tax from continuing operations

(97)

236

(559)

Other comprehensive income, net of tax from discontinued operations2

-

(206)

(319)

Total other comprehensive income, net of tax

(97)

30

(878)

Total comprehensive income for the period from continuing operations

813

1,181

1,401

Total comprehensive income for the period from discontinued operations2

-

164

954

Total comprehensive income for the period

813

1,345

2,355





Attributable to:




EEquity shareholders of Aviva plc

737

970

1,819

NNon-controlling Interests

76

375

536


813

1,345

2,355

1    The income statement and other primary MCEV financial statements have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.  

2    Discontinued operations represent the results of the US Life and related internal asset management business (US Life) until the date of disposal (2 October 2013). From 1 January 2013, the US Life operations were reported within non-covered business on an IFRS basis. For further details, see note F1 - Basis of preparation

 

 

 

 

 

Page 116

 

 

Consolidated statement of changes in equity - MCEV basis

For the six month period ended 30 June 2014

 


Reviewed

 6 months 2014

£m

Restated1

 Reviewed

6 months 2013

£m

Restated1

 Audited

Full Year 2013

£m

Balance at 1 January

17,428

16,999

16,999

Total comprehensive income for the period

813

1,345

2,355

Dividends and appropriations

Capital contributions from non-controlling interests

(302)

-

(290)

-

(538)

1

Share of dividends declared in the period applicable to non-controlling interests

(96)

(75)

(134)

Transfer to (loss)/profit on disposal of subsidiaries, joint ventures and associates

(16)

(175)

(820)

Non-controlling interest in (disposed)/acquired subsidiaries

(56)

(497)

(497)

Shares acquired by employee trusts

-

-

(32)

Shares distributed by employee trusts

1

3

5

Reserves credit for equity compensation plans

21

23

37

Aggregate tax effect - shareholder tax

4

4

52

Total equity

17,797

17,337

17,428

Non-controlling interests

(2,124)

(2,100)

(2,203)

Balance at 30 June / 31 December

15,673

15,237

15,225

1    The income statement and other primary MCEV financial statements have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

 

 

 

Page 117

 

Consolidated statement of financial position - MCEV basis

As at 30 June 2014

 


Reviewed

30 June 2014

£m

Restated1

 Reviewed

30 June
 2013

£m

Restated1

 Audited

31 December 2013

£m

Assets




Goodwill

1,364

1,504

1,476

Acquired value of in-force business and other intangible assets

965

1,095

1,068

Additional value of in-force long-term business2

6,244

5,973

6,411

Interest in, and loans to, joint ventures

1,226

1,237

1,200

Interest in, and loans to, associates

362

265

267

Property and equipment

286

395

313

Investment property

8,647

9,832

9,451

Loans

22,967

24,225

23,879

Financial investments

197,607

193,470

194,027

Reinsurance assets

7,551

6,907

7,220

Deferred tax assets

112

234

244

Current tax assets

117

89

76

Receivables

7,526

8,477

7,476

Deferred acquisition costs and other assets

3,677

3,417

3,051

Prepayments and accrued income

2,721

2,826

2,635

Cash and cash equivalents

23,584

27,662

26,131

Assets of operations classified as held for sale

149

41,712

3,113

Total assets

285,105

329,320

288,038

Equity3




Capital




Ordinary share capital

736

736

736

Preference share capital

200

200

200


936

936

936

Capital reserves




Share premium

1,165

1,165

1,165

Merger reserve

3,271

3,271

3,271


4,436

4,436

4,436

Shares held by employee trusts

(11)

(9)

(31)

Other reserves2

127

1,437

371

Retained earnings

3,138

1,581

2,348

Additional retained earnings on an MCEV basis2

5,665

5,474

5,783

Equity attributable to shareholders of Aviva plc3

14,291

13,855

13,843

Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes

1,382

1,382

1,382

Non-controlling interests2

2,124

2,100

2,203

Total equity

17,797

17,337

17,428

Liabilities




Gross insurance liabilities

110,980

113,060

110,555

Gross liabilities for investment contracts

115,563

113,285

116,058

Unallocated divisible surplus

8,923

6,569

6,713

Net asset value attributable to unitholders

9,463

12,340

10,362

Provisions

871

1,079

984

Deferred tax liabilities

624

551

563

Current tax liabilities

54

130

116

Borrowings

6,944

8,254

7,819

Payables and other financial liabilities

11,418

13,769

11,945

Other liabilities

2,329

1,826

2,472

Liabilities of operations classified as held for sale

139

41,120

3,023

Total liabilities

267,308

311,983

270,610

Total equity and liabilities

285,105

329,320

288,038

1    The income statement and other primary MCEV financial statements have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation. The statement of financial position has been restated following the adoption of amendments to 'IAS32: Financial Instruments: Presentation'. Refer to notes B2 and F1 for further information. There is no impact on the total equity for any period presented herein as a result of the IAS32 restatement.

2    The summarised consolidated statement of financial position presented above is unaltered from the corresponding IFRS summarised consolidated statement of financial position with the exception of the following: Adding the excess of the Life MCEV, including non-controlling interests, over the corresponding Life IFRS net assets represented as the additional value of in-force long-term business; and reflecting this excess within equity as additional retained profit on an MCEV basis and other reserves, with corresponding adjustments to non-controlling interest.

3    The presentation of equity has changed compared to that published in the MCEV disclosures at HY13. The new presentation is consistent with that used in the IFRS financial statements. This line now represents equity attributable to all shareholders, including preference shareholders.

 

 

 

Page 118

 

Reconciliation of shareholders' equity on IFRS and MCEV bases

As at 30 June 2014

 


Reviewed
6 months
2014

£m

Restated1
Reviewed 6 months
2013

£m

Restated1
Audited Full Year
2013

£m


IFRS

Adjustment

MCEV

IFRS

Adjustment

MCEV

IFRS

Adjustment

MCEV

Share capital2

936

-

936

936

-

936

936

-

936

Capital reserves

4,436

-

4,436

4,436

-

4,436

4,436

-

4,436

Shares held by employee trusts

(11)

-

(11)

(9)

-

(9)

(31)

-

(31)

Other reserves3

258

(131)

127

1,532

(95)

1,437

475

(104)

371

Retained earnings

3,138

-

3,138

1,581

-

1,581

2,348

-

2,348

Additional retained earnings on an MCEV basis

-

5,665

5,665

-

5,474

5,474

-

5,783

5,783

Equity attributable to shareholders of
Aviva plc2

8,757

5,534

14,291

8,476

5,379

13,855

8,164

5,679

13,843

Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes

1,382

-

1,382

1,382

-

1,382

1,382

-

1,382

Non-controlling Interests

1,414

710

2,124

1,506

594

2,100

1,471

732

2,203

Total equity

11,553

6,244

17,797

11,364

5,973

17,337

11,017

6,411

17,428

1    The income statement and other primary MCEV financial statements have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    The presentation of equity has changed compared to that published in the MCEV disclosures at HY13. The new presentation is consistent with that used in the IFRS financial statements. This line now represents equity attributable to all shareholders, including preference shareholders.

3    The adjustment to "Other reserves" relates to the movement in AFS securities.

Reconciliation of IFRS total equity to Life MCEV

As at 30 June 2014

 


Reviewed

6 months
2014

£m

Restated1
Reviewed 6 months
2013

£m

Restated1
Audited Full Year
2013

£m


Life and related businesses

General business and other

Group

Life and related businesses

General business and other

Group

Life and related businesses

General business and other

Group

Total assets included in the IFRS statement of financial position

249,575

29,286

278,861

291,269

32,078

323,347

251,547

30,080

281,627

Liabilities of the long-term business

(238,372)

-

(238,372)

(279,116)

-

(279,116)

(240,145)

-

(240,145)

Liabilities of the general insurance and other businesses

-

(28,936)

(28,936)

-

(32,867)

(32,867)

-

(30,465)

(30,465)

Total equity on an IFRS basis

11,203

350

11,553

12,153

(789)

11,364

11,402

(385)

11,017

Equity of general insurance and other businesses included in Life MCEV2

218

(218)

-

207

(207)

-

232

(232)

-

Additional value of in-force long-term business

6,244

-

6,244

5,973

-

5,973

6,411

-

6,411

Total equity on a MCEV basis

17,665

132

17,797

18,333

(996)

17,337

18,045

(617)

17,428

Notional allocation of IAS 19 pension fund surplus to long-term business3

(338)



(258)



(170)



Life net assets on IFRS basis4

-



(1,288)



-



Goodwill and intangible assets allocated to long-term business5

(561)



(631)



(581)



Life MCEV (gross of non-controlling interests)

16,766



16,156



17,294



Non-controlling interests

(1,457)



(1,424)



(1,538)



Life MCEV (net of non-controlling interests)

15,309



14,732



15,756



1    The income statement and other primary MCEV financial statements have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    Refers to the IFRS equity of the UK and Singapore health businesses now included in covered business.

3    The value of the Aviva Staff Pension Scheme surplus has been notionally allocated between segments, based on current funding. Within the long-term business net assets on an MCEV basis, the Life proportion has been included. The pension fund surplus notionally allocated to long-term business is net of the agreed funding borne by the UK with-profit funds.

4    At HY13 this represents the results of the US Life and related internal asset management business (US Life) until the date of disposal (2 October 2013). From 1 January 2013, the US Life operations were reported within non-covered business on an IFRS basis. For further details, see note F1 - Basis of preparation.

5    Goodwill and intangible assets includes amounts related to associated undertakings and joint ventures and are after adjustments reflected in the additional value of in-force long-term business in the consolidated statement of financial position. At HY14, there is no adjustment to impair goodwill and intangible assets compared to IFRS (HY13: £13 million, FY13: £28 million). In aggregate, the goodwill and intangibles on an MCEV basis is £120 million (HY13: £113 million, FY13: £125 million) lower than on an IFRS basis, allowing for exchange rate movements. Refer to the next table for goodwill allocated to long-term business on an IFRS basis.

 

 

 

Page 119

 

Reconciliation of IFRS total equity to MCEV net worth

As at 30 June 2014

 


Reviewed

30 June

2014

£m

Restated1

Reviewed

30 June

2013

£m

 Restated1

Audited

31 December 2013

£m

Net assets on a statutory IFRS net basis

11,553

11,364

11,017

Adjusting for general business and other net assets on a statutory IFRS net basis

(350)

789

385

Life and related businesses net assets on a statutory IFRS net basis

11,203

12,153

11,402

Adjustment for Life net assets on an IFRS basis

-

(1,288)

-

Equity of general insurance and other businesses included in Life MCEV

218

207

232

Goodwill and other intangibles

(681)

(744)

(706)

Acquired value of in-force business

(112)

(155)

(132)

Adjustment for share of joint ventures and associates

13

(7)

(7)

Adjustment for assets to regulatory value net of tax

(446)

125

(52)

Adjustment for DAC and DIR net of tax

(1,091)

(1,051)

(1,069)

Adjustment for differences in technical provisions

41

(694)

(335)

Other accounting and tax differences

1,246

442

825

MCEV net worth (gross of non-controlling interests)

10,391

8,988

10,158

MCEV value of in-force (gross of non-controlling interests)2

6,375

7,168

7,136

MCEV (gross of non-controlling interests)

16,766

16,156

17,294

Non-controlling interests

(1,457)

(1,424)

(1,538)

MCEV (net of non-controlling interests)

15,309

14,732

15,756

1    The income statement and other primary MCEV financial statements have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    Comprises PVFP of £8,949 million (30 June 2013: £9,752 million; 31 December 2013: £9,595 million), FC of £(566) million (30 June 2013: £(509) million; 31 December 2013: £(532) million), CNHR of £(972) million (30 June 2013: £(1,171) million; 31 December 2013: £(1,021) million) and TVOG of £(1,036) million (30 June 2013: £(904) million; 31 December 2013: £(906) million).

 

For 30 June 2013, the adjustment for life net assets on an IFRS basis reflects the inclusion of the US operations on an IFRS basis within non-covered but related to life business.

 

 

 

 

Page 120

 

 

Group MCEV analysis of earnings

For the six month period ended 30 June 2014

 

Net of tax & non-controlling interests

Reviewed

30 June 2014

Covered business1,4  £m

A

Non-covered but related to life

 business2

 £m

B

Total life

 business3

 £m

A+B

Non-covered relating to non-life

£m

C

Total non-covered

business4

 £m

B+C

Total

£m

A+B+C

Opening Group MCEV

14,990

599

15,589

(898)

(299)

14,691

Opening Adjustments5

766

-

766

(232)

(232)

534

Adjusted opening Group MCEV

15,756

599

16,355

(1,130)

(531)

15,225

Operating MCEV earnings

880

-

880

5

5

885

Non-operating MCEV earnings

(192)

(27)

(219)

101

74

(118)

Total MCEV earnings

688

(27)

661

106

79

767

Other movements in IFRS net equity

-

168

168

159

327

327

Capital and dividend flows

(818)

-

(818)

526

526

(292)

Foreign exchange variances

(281)

(13)

(294)

(63)

(76)

(357)

Acquired/divested business

(36)

26

(10)

13

39

3

Closing Group MCEV

15,309

753

16,062

(389)

364

15,673

Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes






(1,382)

Equity attributable to shareholders of Aviva plc on an MCEV basis






14,291

1    Covered business represents the business that the MCEV calculations cover, as detailed in note F1 - Basis of preparation. The embedded value is presented net of non-controlling interests and tax.

2    Non-covered but related to life business represents the adjustments to the MCEV, including goodwill, to calculate the long-term business net assets on an MCEV basis. An analysis of net assets on an MCEV basis gross of non-controlling interests is provided in the table "Reconciliation of IFRS total equity to Life MCEV" above.

3    Net assets for the total life businesses on an MCEV basis presented net of non-controlling interests.

4    Covered business includes an adjustment for held for sale and disposed operations through the acquired/divested business line which is reflected as non-operating earnings for non-covered business, consistent with where the profit would arise on completion of the sale.

5    Represents the restatement as explained in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

 

Net of tax & non-controlling interests

Restated1  

Reviewed

30 June 2013

Covered business2,5  £m

A

Non-covered but related to

life business3

 £m

B

Total life

business4  

£m

A+B

Non-covered relating to non-life

£m

C

Total non-covered

business5  

£m

B+C

Total

£m

A+B+C

Opening Group MCEV

14,941

1,175

16,116

(2,100)

(925)

14,016

Opening Adjustments6

(162)

1,058

896

(210)

848

686

Adjusted opening Group MCEV

14,779

2,233

17,012

(2,310)

(77)

14,702

Operating MCEV earnings

744

94

838

(6)

88

832

Non-operating MCEV earnings

209

186

395

(191)

(5)

204

Total MCEV earnings

953

280

1,233

(197)

83

1,036

Other movements in IFRS net equity

-

(417)

(417)

(67)

(484)

(484)

Capital and dividend flows

(774)

23

(751)

316

339

(435)

Foreign exchange variances

337

108

445

(27)

81

418

Acquired/divested business

(563)

(217)

(780)

780

563

-

Closing Group MCEV

14,732

2,010

16,742

(1,505)

505

15,237

Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes






(1,382)

Equity attributable to shareholders of Aviva plc on an MCEV basis7






13,855

1    The income statement and other primary MCEV financial statements have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    Covered business represents the business that the MCEV calculations cover, as detailed in note F1 - Basis of preparation. The embedded value is presented net of non-controlling interests and tax.

3    Non-covered but related to life business represents the adjustments to the MCEV, including goodwill, to calculate the long-term business net assets on an MCEV basis. An analysis of net assets on an MCEV basis gross of non-controlling interests is provided in the table "Reconciliation of IFRS total equity to Life MCEV" above. Note that US Life disposed in 2013, was part of non-covered but related to life business with effect from 1 January 2013.

4    Net assets for the total life businesses on an MCEV basis presented net of non-controlling interests.

5    Covered business includes an adjustment for held for sale and disposed operations through the acquired/divested business line which is reflected as non-operating earnings for non-covered business, consistent with where the profit would arise on completion of the sale.

6    For covered business and non-covered relating to non-life business, this represents the restatement as explained in F1 - Basis of preparation. For non-covered but related to life business, this represents the transfer of the held for sale US life operations from covered business to non-covered business.

7    The presentation of equity has changed compared to that published in the MCEV disclosures at HY13. The new presentation is consistent with that used in the IFRS financial statements. This line now represents equity attributable to all shareholders, including preference shareholders.

 

Net of tax & non-controlling interests

Restated1  

Audited

31 December 2013

Covered business2,5  £m

A

Non-covered but related to

life business3  £m

B

Total life

business4  

£m

A+B

Non-covered relating to non-life

£m

C

Total non-covered

business5  

£m

B+C

Total

£m

A+B+C

Opening Group MCEV

14,941

1,175

16,116

(2,100)

(925)

14,016

Opening Adjustments6

(162)

1,058

896

(210)

848

686

Adjusted opening Group MCEV

14,779

2,233

17,012

(2,310)

(77)

14,702

Operating MCEV earnings

1,525

195

1,720

(115)

80

1,605

Non-operating MCEV earnings

533

149

682

458

607

1,140

Total MCEV earnings

2,058

344

2,402

343

687

2,745

Other movements in IFRS net equity

-

(585)

(585)

(285)

(870)

(870)

Capital and dividend flows

(614)

16

(598)

(698)

(682)

(1,296)

Foreign exchange variances

90

1

91

(147)

(146)

(56)

Acquired/divested business

(557)

(1,410)

(1,967)

1,967

557

-

Closing Group MCEV

15,756

599

16,355

(1,130)

(531)

15,225

Direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes






(1,382)

Equity attributable to shareholders of Aviva plc on an MCEV basis7






13,843

1    The income statement and other primary MCEV financial statements have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    Covered business represents the business that the MCEV calculations cover, as detailed in note F1 - Basis of preparation. The embedded value is presented net of non-controlling interests and tax.

3    Non-covered but related to life business represents the adjustments to the MCEV, including goodwill, to calculate the long-term business net assets on an MCEV basis. An analysis of net assets on an MCEV basis gross of non-controlling interests is provided in the table "Reconciliation of IFRS total equity to Life MCEV" above. Note that US Life, disposed in 2013, was part of non-covered but related to life business with effect from 1 January 2013.

4    Net assets for the total life businesses on an MCEV basis presented net of non-controlling interests.

5    Covered business includes an adjustment for held for sale and disposed operations through the acquired/divested business line which is reflected as non-operating earnings for non-covered business, consistent with where the profit would arise on completion of the sale.

6    For covered business and non-covered relating to non-life business, this represents the restatement as explained in note F1 - Basis of preparation. For non-covered but related to life business, this represents the transfer of the held for sale US life operations from covered business to non-covered business.

7    The presentation of equity has changed compared to that published in the MCEV disclosures at HY13. The new presentation is consistent with that used in the IFRS financial statements. This line now represents equity attributable to all shareholders, including preference shareholders.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 121

 

 

F1 - Basis of preparation

The consolidated income statement and consolidated statement of financial position on pages 114 to 117 present the Group's results and financial position for the covered life and related businesses on the Market Consistent Embedded Value (MCEV) basis and for its non-covered businesses and non-covered but related to life businesses on the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) basis.

      The MCEV methodology adopted is in accordance with the MCEV Principles© published by the CFO Forum in October 2009 with the exception of stating held for sale operations at their expected fair value, as represented by expected sale proceeds, less cost to sell. 

      The CFO Forum MCEV Guidance is not adopted in a number of respects:

n Guidance 2.1 requires that covered business includes contracts regarded as long-term life insurance business.  However, for the comparative periods the US operations are not included in the covered business from 1 January 2013 as, from this date MCEV was not used to manage the business due to the planned sale of the operation, which was completed on 2 October 2013. 

n Guidance 17.3.29 indicates that changes to models to reflect improvements or rectify errors should be included in the 'other operating variances' line in the analysis of earnings. Where possible, such model refinements have been reported in the analysis of earnings on the line where the impact would have occurred in order to provide better information when considering assumption changes/experience variances over multiple reporting periods.

n Guidance 17.3.32 and 17.3.47 indicates that, when a company has more than one geographical area of operation, the business classifications disclosed should be consistent with those used for the IFRS financial statements. While MCEV results have been aligned with Aviva's management structure the classifications have been presented at a more aggregated level than those segments presented in the Group's IFRS financial statements.

 

The directors consider that the MCEV methodology gives useful insight into the drivers of financial performance of the Group's life and related businesses. This basis values future cash flows from assets consistently with market prices, including explicit allowance for the impact of uncertainty in future investment returns and other risks. Embedded value is also consistent with the way pricing is assessed and the business is managed.

      The results for our half year report have been reviewed by our auditors, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP.  The PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP report in respect of the half-year can be found on page 156.

 

Copyright © Stichting CFO Forum Foundation 2008

MCEV restatement and methodology changes

During 2013 Aviva underwent a review of its interpretation of the MCEV Principles, to ensure its on-going relevance as a key metric in both external reporting and in management decision making, and to ensure that Aviva's MCEV results are reported consistently with the way that the business is managed. Input from a wide variety of different sources, including competitors, our external actuarial consultants and individual business units, were used in this review. This review suggested two areas where it would be appropriate to change Aviva's current practice; the extension of covered business and changes to the derivation and application of the liquidity premium. These changes have been introduced from 1 January 2014 onwards. The effect of these changes have been applied to prior periods and therefore comparatives have been restated accordingly.

Extension of Covered Business

It is appropriate for covered business to include short term life insurance, long term accident and health insurance as well as any mutual fund and short term healthcare, where these contracts are managed on a long-term basis. Therefore the definition of covered business has been extended to include the following product lines:

n UK retail fund management business;

n UK health business; and

n Singapore guaranteed renewable health business.

 

As these product lines remain classified as short-term business under IFRS:

n Investment sales for UK retail fund management are now included in both investment sales (see note E8) and MCEV PVNBP; and

n Premiums for health business in the UK and Singapore are now included in both IFRS Net Written Premium (see note E11) and MCEV PVNBP.

 

We note that comparatives for Singapore are not affected until the second half of 2013 when the product terms and conditions were changed, resulting in new business or business renewing after 1 July 2013 to be included as covered business.

 

 

 

 

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F1 - Basis of preparation continued

Liquidity Premium

The CEIOPS (now EIOPA) Task Force on Liquidity Premium issued a set of Principles dated 1 March 2010 on the application of the liquidity premium.  Principle 2 states that "The liquidity premium should be independent of the investment strategy followed by the company". In agreement with this, Aviva has removed the requirement for the liquidity premium to only apply to those liabilities backed by corporate bonds or certain illiquid non-traded assets (notably UK commercial mortgages). As a consequence an optimised notional portfolio is assumed which can include the actual assets backing the liabilities.

      The approach to estimating the market level of liquidity premium is set out in F19. For assets valued on a marked to model basis (notably UK commercial mortgages) the liquidity premium continues to be estimated consistently with the underlying valuation model. For all other assets, the formula structure proposed by the CFO / CRO Forum and adopted in the Solvency II Fifth Quantitative Impact Study (QIS 5) is adopted.

      The application of the liquidity premium has also been extended to apply to participating business, and the adjustment to annuity type contracts exposed to some lapse risk (15% reduction to the market level of liquidity premium) has been removed. An adjustment factor is now applied to the market level of liquidity premium to reflect the degree to which the liabilities are illiquid. The adjustment applied to various product lines is as follows:

n 100% of full liquidity premium applied to Immediate Annuities, UK Bulk Purchase Annuities and Spanish cash flow matched business such as Financial Annuities;

n 75% of full liquidity premium applied to participating contracts (both UK and Continental European types) and deferred annuities; and

n 0% of full liquidity premium applied to all other products.

Restatement Impacts

The impact of both the extension of scope and liquidity premium change on the key metrics is shown in the table below.

 


Restated Half year 2013

Restated Full year 2013

£m

Extension of scope

Liquidity Premium Change

Extension of scope

Liquidity Premium Change

Gross of tax and non-controlling interests





Value of New Business

13.1

11.9

45.3

20.7

MCEV Operating Earnings

30.2

(89.5)

70.0

(127.3)

MCEV Total Earnings

41.6

(65.8)

110.2

(346.4)






Net of tax and non-controlling interests





Operating Capital Generation

5.8

-

5.1

-

Opening MCEV

373

523

373

523

MCEV Operating Earnings

23.3

(20.5)

57.3

(32.4)

MCEV Total Earnings

32.0

(42.1)

88.3

(201.7)

Closing MCEV

393.1

470.7

445.9

319.6

IFRS Restatement of prior period figures

Restatements of IFRS financial statements have been consistently reflected in Group MCEV financial statements. These reflect:

n The Group has adopted amendments to IAS 32 Financial Instruments: Presentation that became effective as of 1 January 2014. These amendments clarify the meaning of 'current legally enforceable right to set-off' and 'simultaneous realisation and settlement' in assessing whether related financial assets and liabilities should be offset and presented net in the statement of financial position. The application of the amendments has resulted in the grossing up of certain financial assets and financial liabilities in the statement of financial position that were previously reported net. The amendments to IAS 32 have been applied retrospectively in accordance with the transitional provisions of the standard. There is no impact on the profit or loss and equity for any periods presented. For further information, see note B2 of the IFRS financial statements at 30 June 2014.

Covered business

The MCEV calculations cover the following lines of business unless specifically noted below:

n Life insurance;

n Long-term health and accident insurance;

n Short-term health business in the UK and Singapore managed on a long term basis (introduced 1 January 2014);

n Savings and annuity business;

n Managed pension fund business;

n Equity release business in the UK; and

n UK retail fund management business (introduced 1 January 2014).

 

From 1 January 2014, health business managed as long term business in the UK and Singapore and retail fund management business in the UK are classified as long-term covered business under MCEV. In the IFRS financial statements, however, these contracts remain classified as short-term business. Guaranteed renewable health business in Singapore remains to be treated as long term business locally.

      Effective 9 May 2014, the UK's retail fund management business was sold to Aviva Investors by UK Life. As this business is now also included within covered business, the MCEV balance sheet value of this business at 30 June 2014 is disclosed in the "Other" operating segment (where Aviva Investors is presented) while remaining in the "United Kingdom and Ireland" operating segment for the comparative periods. In the consolidated income statement, the first 4 months profit or loss is included in the "United Kingdom and Ireland" operating segment with the remaining 2 months in the "Other" operating segment.

 

 

 

 

Page 123

 

 

F1 - Basis of preparation continued

Covered business includes that written by the Group's life insurance subsidiaries as well as the Group's share of certain life and related business written in our associated undertakings and joint ventures, including India, China, Turkey, Malaysia (until disposal in April 2013), Taiwan and South Korea (until disposal in June 2014). In addition, the results of Group companies providing significant administration, fund management and other services and of Group holding companies have been included to the extent that they relate to covered business. Together these businesses are referred to as "Life and related businesses". For Group MCEV reporting, which includes general insurance and other non-covered business, US operations were included on an IFRS basis for the comparative period.

Held for Sale operations

Aviva's methodology adopts the MCEV Principles published by the CFO Forum in October 2009 with the exception of stating held for sale operations at their expected fair value less cost to sell in the consolidated statement of financial position.

      It is considered that the CFO Forum MCEV Principles were designed to define the approach to valuing covered business on an ongoing basis and do not explicitly define the appropriate treatment of covered business operations that are held for sale. For these operations, where a sale price is known with relative certainty, the directors believe it is reasonable to value the shareholders' interest as the expected fair value less cost to sell thus reflecting the expected value upon completion of the transaction.

      There are no held for sale operations included in life covered business at 30 June 2014. Certain life covered operations classified as held for sale in the comparative periods, consistent with the IFRS classification, were sold or reclassified during 2014, as detailed in note F19. In the comparative periods, the life covered MCEV for the held for sale operations was adjusted within the value of in force business and this adjustment was reported in the analysis of earnings through the acquired/divested business line (31 December 2013: £35 million, 30 June 2013: £25 million). Comparative periods have been adjusted to allow for the impact of the MCEV restatement on the held for sale values. The adjustment reflects the amount needed to align the contribution to shareholder equity with the expected fair value less cost to sell, and there was no impact to the life and related business MCEV operating profits and total earnings.

      In line with the preparation of the consolidated statement of financial position - MCEV basis, the assets and liabilities of held for sale operations are stated at the IFRS values with any differences in measurement on an MCEV basis reflected in the additional value of in-force long term business.

      Within other disclosures where applicable, held for sale operations in the comparative periods are excluded, reflecting that these operations are stated at expected fair value less cost to sell. Further details are provided against each applicable disclosure.

Treatment of US Operations

Following the classification of the United States business as held for sale on 21 December 2012, the US was re-measured to expected fair value less cost to sell, in line with treatment of other Held for Sale businesses, as described above. This resulted in an increase to the closing life MCEV at 31 December 2012 of £1,095 million to £1,058 million. This adjustment was reported in the analysis of earnings through the acquired/divested line, and hence there was no impact to the life and related business MCEV operating profits and total earnings.  No adjustment has been made to the closing life MCEV at 31 December 2012 in relation to the MCEV restatement.

      From 1 January 2013 the results for the held for sale operations in the US were not included within the covered business as MCEV was not used to manage this business.  For Group MCEV reporting, which includes general insurance and other non-covered business, the US operations were included prior to sale on an IFRS basis within non-covered but related to life business.  The transfer to non-covered but related to life business was reported as an 'opening adjustment' in both the Group MCEV and covered business analysis of earnings.  There was no impact to the total earnings from the transfer as the US operations were reported on both an IFRS and MCEV basis at the sale price less cost to sell. The sale of the Aviva US business completed on 2 October 2013 and the transaction proceeds received were based on the estimated earnings and other improvements in statutory surplus over the period from 30 June 2012 to 30 September 2013. The final purchase price is subject to customary completion adjustments. The process to agree completion adjustments is on-going and is expected to complete in the second half of 2014. Until the outcome of this process is known there remains uncertainty on the final determination of the completion adjustment.
The transaction resulted in a profit on disposal of £808 million in 2013, reflecting management's best estimate of the
completion adjustment.

New business premiums

New business premiums include:

n premiums arising from the sale of new contracts during the period;

n non-contractual additional premiums; and

n expected renewals on new contracts and expected future contractual alterations to new contracts.

 

The Group's definition of new business under MCEV includes contracts that meet the definition of "non-participating investment" contracts under IFRS.

      For products sold to individuals, premiums are considered to represent new business where a new contract has been signed,

or where underwriting has been performed. Renewal premiums include contractual renewals, non-contractual variations that are reasonably predictable and recurrent single premiums that are pre-defined and reasonably predictable.

 

 

 

 

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F1 - Basis of preparation continued

For group products, new business includes new contracts and increases to aggregate premiums under existing contracts. Renewal premiums are based on the level of premium received during the reporting period and allow for premiums expected to be received beyond the expiry of any guaranteed premium rates.

Life and pensions operating earnings

For life and pensions operating earnings, Aviva uses normalised investment returns. The use of asset risk premia reflects management's long-term expectations of asset returns in excess of the swap yield from investing in different asset classes.

      The normalised investment return on equities and property has been calculated by reference to the ten-year swap rate in the relevant currency plus an appropriate risk premium. The expected return on bonds has been calculated by reference to the swap rate consistent with the duration of the backing assets in the relevant currency plus an appropriate risk margin (expected return is equivalent to the gross redemption yield less an allowance for defaults).

      The expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) is calculated using the start of period implied discount rate (IDR), which itself is based on the normalised investment returns. The methodology applies the IDR to the Value of In Force (VIF) and Required Capital (RC) components of the MCEV and adds to this the total expected return for Free Surplus (FS) to derive the total expected return, in a manner consistent with that previously used under European Embedded Value reporting. This total is presented as the expected existing business contribution (reference rate), expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate) and expected return on shareholders' net worth (grossed up for tax for pre-tax presentation), with only the excess contribution being impacted by the approach. For businesses where the IDR is unpublished, the expected return in excess of the reference rate is calculated as the excess of the real world equivalent embedded value (EqEV) over the MCEV amortised over the average duration of the portfolio. The approach to expected return has no impact on total return or on the closing balance sheet.

MCEV methodology

Overview

Under the MCEV methodology, profit is recognised as it is earned over the life of products defined within covered business. The total profit recognised over the lifetime of a policy is the same as under the IFRS basis of reporting, but the timing of recognition
is different.

Calculation of the embedded value

The shareholders' interest in the life and related businesses is represented by the embedded value. The embedded value is the total of the net worth of the life and related businesses and the value of in-force covered business. Calculations are performed separately for each business and are based on the cash flows of that business, after allowing for both external and intra-Group reinsurance. Where one life business has an interest in another, the net worth of that business excludes the interest in the dependent company.

      The embedded value is calculated on an after-tax basis applying current legislation and practice together with future known changes. Consistent with CFO Forum guidance issued in 2012, no explicit allowance has been made for the developing European regulation regime (Solvency II) and associated consequences. Where gross results are presented, these have been calculated by grossing up post-tax results at the full rate of corporation tax for each country based on opening period tax rates, apart from the UK, where a 20% tax rate was used for 2014 for grossing up (2013: 23%; 2012: 24%).

Net worth

The net worth is the market value of the shareholders' funds and the shareholders' interest in the surplus held in the non-profit component of covered business, determined on a statutory solvency basis and adjusted to add back any non-admissible assets, and consists of the required capital and free surplus.

      Required capital is the market value of assets attributed to the covered business over and above that required to back liabilities for covered business, for which distribution to shareholders is restricted. Required capital is reported net of implicit items permitted on a local regulatory basis to cover minimum solvency margins which are assessed at a local entity level. The level of required capital for each business unit is generally set equal to the highest of:

n The level of capital at which the local regulator is empowered to take action;

n The capital requirement of the business unit under the Group's economic capital requirements; and

n The target capital level of the business unit;

where "highest of" is assessed as the basis yielding the lowest level of free assets.

 

This methodology reflects the level of capital considered by the directors to be appropriate to manage the business, and includes any additional shareholder funds not available for distribution, such as the reattributed inherited estate in the UK. The same definition of required capital is used for both existing and new business except in certain entities in Italy and Spain where new business reflects the targeted capital level which better reflects the capital requirements of the new business. The total required capital for the entities in question is still based on the overall biting constraint. There is a true-up within economic variances for the difference between calculating the new business required capital on a target rather than economic capital basis, where the latter is the biting constraint.

      The level of required capital across the business units expressed as a percentage of EU minimum solvency margin (or equivalent) can be found in note F19.

      The free surplus is the market value of any assets allocated to, but not required to support, the in-force covered business at the valuation date.

 

 

 

 

Page 125

 

 

F1 - Basis of preparation continued

Value of in-force covered business (VIF)

The value of in-force covered business consists of the following components:

n present value of future profits;

n time value of financial options and guarantees;

n frictional costs of required capital; and

n cost of residual non-hedgeable risks.

Present value of future profits (PVFP)

This is the present value of the distributable profits to shareholders arising from the in-force covered business projected on a best estimate basis.

      Distributable profits generally arise when they are released following actuarial valuations. These valuations are carried out in accordance with any local statutory requirements designed to ensure and demonstrate solvency in long-term business funds. Future distributable profits will depend on experience in a number of areas such as investment return, discontinuance rates, mortality, administration costs, as well as management and policyholder actions. Releases to shareholders arising in future years from the in-force covered business and associated required capital can be projected using assumptions of future experience.

      Future profits are projected using best estimate non-economic assumptions and market consistent economic assumptions. In principle, each cash flow is discounted at a rate that appropriately reflects the riskiness of that cash flow, so higher risk cash flows are discounted at higher rates. In practice, the PVFP is calculated using the "certainty equivalent" approach, under which the reference rate is used for both the investment return and the discount rate. This approach ensures that asset cash flows are valued consistently with the market prices of assets without options and guarantees. Further information on the risk-free rates is given in note F19.

      The PVFP includes the capitalised value of profits and losses arising from subsidiary companies providing administration, investment management and other services to the extent that they relate to covered business. This is referred to as the "look through" into service company expenses. In addition, expenses arising in holding companies that relate directly to acquiring or maintaining covered business have been allowed for. Where external companies provide services to the life and related businesses, their charges have been allowed for in the underlying projected cost base.

Time value of financial options and guarantees (TVOG)

The PVFP calculation is based on a single (base) economic scenario; however, a single scenario cannot appropriately allow for the effect of certain product features. If an option or guarantee affects shareholder cash flows in the base scenario, the impact is included in the PVFP and is referred to as the intrinsic value of the option or guarantee; however, future investment returns are uncertain and the actual impact on shareholder profits may be higher or lower. The value of in-force business needs to be adjusted for the impact of the range of potential future outcomes. Stochastic modelling techniques can be used to assess the impact of potential future outcomes, and the difference between the intrinsic value and the total stochastic value is referred to as the time value of the option or guarantee.

      Stochastic modelling typically involves projecting the future cash flows of the business under thousands of economic scenarios that are representative of the possible future outcomes for market variables such as interest rates and equity returns. Under a market consistent approach, the economic scenarios generated reflect the market's tendency towards risk aversion. Allowance is made, where appropriate, for the effect of management and/or policyholder actions in different economic conditions on future assumptions such as asset mix, bonus rates and surrender rates.

      Stochastic models are calibrated to market yield curves and volatility levels at the valuation date. Tests are performed to confirm that the scenarios used produce results that replicate the market price of traded instruments.

      Where evidence exists that persistency rates are linked to economic scenarios, dynamic lapse assumptions are set that vary depending on the individual scenarios. This cost is included in the TVOG. Dynamic lapses are modelled for parts of the UK, Italian, French and Spanish businesses. Asymmetries in non-economic assumptions that are linked to economic scenarios, but that have insufficient evidence for credible dynamic assumptions, are allowed for within mean best estimate assumptions.

Frictional costs of required capital

The additional costs to a shareholder of holding the assets backing required capital within an insurance company rather than directly in the market are called frictional costs. They are explicitly deducted from the PVFP. The additional costs allowed for are the taxation costs and any additional investment expenses on the assets backing the required capital. The level of required capital has been set out above in the net worth section.

      Frictional costs are calculated by projecting forwards the future levels of required capital in line with drivers of the capital requirement. Tax on investment return and investment expenses are payable on the assets backing required capital, up until the point that they are released to shareholders.

Cost of residual non-hedgeable risks (CNHR)

The cost of residual non-hedgeable risks (CNHR) covers risks not already allowed for in the time value of options and guarantees or the PVFP. The allowance includes the impact of both non-hedgeable financial and non-financial risks. The most significant risk not included in the PVFP or TVOG is operational risk.

      Asymmetric risks allowed for in the TVOG or PVFP are described earlier in the basis of preparation. No allowance has been made within the cost of non-hedgeable risk for symmetrical risks as these are diversifiable by investors.

 

 

 

 

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F1 - Basis of preparation continued

New business tax

Where the present value of future profits is negative, tax on new business is applied at the full corporation rate and consequential movements in the value of any associated deferred tax asset is included as a variance within existing business operating return. This treatment, in both the current and comparative periods, only applied to certain entities in Italy.

Participating business

Future regular bonuses on participating business are projected in a manner consistent with current bonus rates and expected future market-consistent returns on assets deemed to back the policies.

      For with-profit funds in the UK and Ireland, for the purpose of recognising the value of the estate, it is assumed that terminal bonuses are increased to exhaust all of the assets in the fund over the future lifetime of the in-force with-profit policies. However, under stochastic modelling there may be some extreme economic scenarios when the total assets in the Group's with-profit funds are not sufficient to pay all policyholder claims. The average additional shareholder cost arising from this shortfall has been included in the TVOG.

      For profit-sharing business in continental Europe, where policy benefits and shareholder value depend on the timing of realising gains, the apportionment of unrealised gains between policyholders and shareholders reflect contractual requirements as well as existing practice. Under certain economic scenarios where additional shareholder injections are required to meet policyholder payments, the average additional cost has been included in the TVOG.

Consolidation adjustments

The effect of transactions between the Group's life companies such as loans and reinsurance arrangements have been included in the results split by territory in a consistent manner. No elimination is required on consolidation.

      During 2014, UK Annuities (UKA) and UK General Insurance (UK GI) have entered into a quota share reinsurance arrangement with Aviva International Insurance Limited (AII). Both treaties have an effective date of 1 January 2014 covering 10% of the UKA business and 5% of the UK GI business. The impact of this arrangement has been reflected within the Group MCEV results.

      As the MCEV methodology incorporates the impact of profits and losses arising from subsidiary companies providing administration, investment management and other services to the Group's life companies, the equivalent profits and losses have been removed from the relevant segment (other operations or fund management) and are instead included within the results of life and related businesses. In addition, the underlying basis of calculation for these profits has changed from the IFRS basis to the MCEV basis.

      The capitalised value of the future profits and losses from such service companies are included in the embedded value and value of new business calculations for the relevant business, but the net assets (representing historical profits and other amounts) remain under other operations or fund management. In order to reconcile the profits arising in the financial period within each segment with the assets on the opening and closing statement of financial positions, a transfer of IFRS profits from life and related business to the appropriate segment is deemed to occur. An equivalent approach has been adopted for expenses within our holding companies.

      The assessments of goodwill, intangibles and pension schemes relating to life insurance business utilise the IFRS measurement basis with any required adjustment reflected in the additional value of the in force long-term business in the consolidated statement of financial position.

Exchange rates

The Group's principal overseas operations during the period were located within the Eurozone and Poland.

      The results and cash flows of these operations have been translated at the average rates for that period and the assets and liabilities have been translated at the period end rates. Please refer to note F19.

 

 

 

 

Page 127

 

 

F2 - Development of MCEV

The life covered MCEV (net of tax and minority interest) is £15,309 million, a decrease of £447 million in the period from the restated opening MCEV of £15,756 million. This movement comprises operating earnings of £880 million in the six months, economic variances of £4 million and exceptional items of £(196) million, resulting in total MCEV earnings of £688 million. Dividends and other capital flows from the covered business reduce MCEV by £818 million and a reduction in acquired/divested business of £36 million, primarily due to the sale of Eurovita in Italy and Woori Aviva Life in South Korea. Exchange rate impacts also reduce closing MCEV by £281 million.

 


 

6 months

2014

£m

Restated1

Reviewed

6 months

2013

£m

Restated1

Audited

Full year

2013

£m





Present value of new business premiums (gross of tax & non-controlling interests)

12,630

11,462

23,177

New business margins (gross of tax & non-controlling interests)

3.5%

3.7%

3.9%





Value of new business

444

426

904

Expected returns

632

651

1,291

Experience variances

6

(28)

75

Operating assumption changes

109

(8)

(142)

Other operating variances

81

101

131

Operating earnings (gross of tax & non-controlling interests)

1,272

1,142

2,259





Economic variances

113

590

1,627

Other non-operating variances

(248)

(21)

(308)

Non-operating earnings (gross of tax & non-controlling interests)

(135)

569

1,319

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

 

Please note that all comparative figures quoted in this note relate to restated results for continuing operations only.

Profitability (gross of tax and non-controlling interests)

Operating earnings at HY14 are £1,272 million (HY13: £1,142 million) and total MCEV earnings are £1,137 million (HY13:
£1,711 million)

New Business

VNB has increased by 4% to £444 million (HY13: £426 million) primarily driven by increases in Asia and Europe which more than offset the lower VNB in the UK. In Asia increases are due to increased sales in protection business in China and the extension of covered business to include Singapore's healthcare business. The increase in France reflects higher volumes and a shift in product mix towards higher margin unit-linked products, and in Poland, is primarily due to increased sales of higher margin unit-linked protection business and the one-off impact of higher volume of Lithuanian pension business, due to regulatory changes. In the UK, the reduction in VNB is driven by difficult trading in the individual annuity market due to recent Budget announcements which is partially offset by an increase in volumes of bulk purchase annuities and increased volumes and margins on equity release and protection. New business volumes increased by 10% to £12,630 million (HY13: £11,462 million) on a PVNBP basis, principally driven by higher volumes across most European businesses and products (other than individual annuities in the UK) due to the improved economic environment. Margins have fallen slightly as the increase in margin on European business is more than offset by the falling margin on UK annuities.

Expected Return

The total expected return has fallen to £632 million (HY13: £651 million). Expected return from existing business was £521 million (HY13: £544 million) and expected return on shareholders' net worth was £111 million (HY13: £107 million). The reduction from HY13 is principally driven by a fall in the expected return in Italy and Spain, partially offset by an increase in France and UK.  In Italy and Spain expected return includes an anticipated release of allowances for guarantees in the opening MCEV. This allowance was significantly lower at the start of 2014 than at the start of 2013, reflecting the narrowing of credit spreads over 2013, and therefore reduces expected return. There is an increase in the expected return in the UK as the opening MCEV at the start of 2014 is higher than the start of 2013 due to a higher volume of business in force. In France the increased expected return in 2014 is driven by a higher opening MCEV value at the start of 2014 and higher earnings over 2013.

Experience Variances, Operating Assumption Changes and Other Operating Variances

Experience variances and operating assumption changes total £115 million (HY13: £(36) million). The increase in operating assumption changes is driven by expense savings in the UK as a result of continuing restructuring and process improvements, reducing the current and long-term cost base. Experience variances are minimal at HY14. During the first half of 2013 negative experience variances and operating assumption changes reflected the strengthening of persistency assumptions in Spain following the poor short-term experience in our joint ventures.

      Other operating variances of £81 million (HY13: £101 million) primarily reflect the change in terms and conditions on some of Asia's healthcare business in Singapore, so that it is now included as covered business and, the impact of prior period adjustments in Asia and France.

 

 

 

 

Page 128

 

 

F2 - Development of MCEV continued

Non-operating earnings

Non-operating earnings in the period were £(135) million ( HY13: £569 million)

      Economic variances of £113 million (HY13: £590 million) occurred due to benefits in the Eurozone and Poland, offset by negative economic impacts in Asia, and to a lesser extent, in the UK. In the Eurozone, investment gains driven by falling yields are more than offsetting any increase in the cost of guarantees. Falling interest rates in Poland have increased unit-linked assets under management and therefore future fund management fees. In Asia, falling risk-free rates are increasing the cost of guarantees in China and Korea (prior to sale) while in the UK, the benefit of falling risk-free rates and narrowing spreads on the annuity book has been more than offset by the decrease in liquidity premium.

      Other non-operating variances are £(248) million (HY13: £(21) million) primarily driven by the UK where pension legislation changes have resulted in lower future management charges levied on auto-enrolment pension funds, and Poland, due to a reduction in expected future pension contributions receivable following legislation changes.

 

 

 

 

Page 129

 

 

F3 - Geographical analysis of life MCEV operating earnings

The table below presents the components of the life and pensions MCEV earnings. These components are calculated using the

economic assumptions as at the start of the year (in-force business) or start of the quarter or more frequently (new business) and operating (demographic and expenses) assumptions as at the end of the period.

 

Gross of tax and

non-controlling interests

6 months 2014

UK &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Asia

£m

Other

£m

Total

£m

Value of new business

183

193

66

2

444

Earnings from existing business






- expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

91

70

10

-

171

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

154

183

13

-

350


245

253

23

-

521

Experience Variances






- maintenance expense

11

2

(1)

-

12

- project and other related expenses

(28)

-

(1)

-

(29)

- mortality/morbidity

(9)

6

(2)

-

(5)

- lapses

(16)

4

-

-

(12)

- other

33

4

4

(1)

40


(9)

16

-

(1)

6

Operating assumption changes:






- maintenance expense

100

6

3

-

109

- project and other related expenses

-

-

-

-

-

- mortality/morbidity

-

1

-

-

1

- lapses

-

4

-

-

4

- other

(5)

-

-

-

(5)


95

11

3

-

109

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

35

70

5

1

111

Other operating variances

(4)

65

20

-

81

Operating earnings before tax and non-controlling interests

545

608

117

2

1,272

Economic variances





113

Other non-operating variances





(248)

Earnings before tax and non-controlling interests





1,137

Tax on operating earnings





(320)

Tax on other activities





10

Earnings after tax and before non-controlling interests





827

 

Please refer to F2 for analysis of the components of MCEV earnings.

 

 

 

 

Page 130

 

 

F3 - Geographical analysis of life MCEV operating earnings continued

 

Gross of tax and
non-controlling interests

Restated1  

6 months 2013

UK &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Asia

£m

Other

£m

Total

£m

Value of new business

226

158

42

-

426

Earnings from existing business






- expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

110

63

10

-

183

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

114

241

6

-

361


224

304

16

-

544

Experience Variances






- maintenance expense

7

(6)

(2)

-

(1)

- project and other related expenses2

(25)

(1)

(7)

-

(33)

- mortality/morbidity

2

5

1

-

8

- lapses3

(17)

3

(1)

(1)

(16)

- other

10

2

2

-

14


(23)

3

(7)

(1)

(28)

Operating assumption changes:






- maintenance expense

(1)

-

-

-

(1)

- project and other related expenses

-

-

-

-

-

- mortality/morbidity4

(3)

1

12

-

10

- lapses5

-

(25)

1

-

(24)

- other

7

-

-

-

7


3

(24)

13

-

(8)

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

37

62

7

1

107

Other operating variances6

8

95

(2)

-

101

Operating earnings before tax and non-controlling interests

475

598

69

-

1,142

Economic variances





590

Other non-operating variances





(21)

Earnings before tax and non-controlling interests





1,711

Tax on operating earnings





(309)

Tax on other activities





(179)

Earnings after tax and non-controlling interests





1,223

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    Within the UK project and other related expenses reflect higher than expected expenditure on development of systems and processes.

3    At HY13 persistency experience remained volatile across most of our business, in part reflecting the wider economic circumstances. Positive lapse variance in Europe reflected increased lapses on businesses with guarantees in Italy. 

4    Morbidity assumptions were updated in Korea.

5    Persistency assumptions include an additional short term provision in Spain reflecting adverse experience in the joint ventures.

6    Other operating variances reflect management actions taken to reduce guarantees on existing business in Italy and France.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 131

 

 

F3 - Geographical analysis of life MCEV operating earnings continued

 

Gross of tax and

non-controlling interests

Restated1  

Full Year 2013

UK &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Asia

£m

Other

£m

Total

£m

Value of new business

477

323

104

-

904

Earnings from existing business:






- expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

190

128

19

-

337

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

246

462

22

-

730


436

590

41

-

1,067

Experience Variances






- maintenance expense

17

(16)

-

1

2

- project and other related expenses2

(84)

(7)

4

-

(87)

- mortality/morbidity

35

6

9

1

51

- lapses3

27

43

(5)

-

65

- other

32

5

7

-

44


27

31

15

2

75

Operating assumption changes:






- maintenance expense4

120

(127)

27

(4)

16

- project and other related expenses

16

-

-

-

16

- mortality/morbidity5

35

20

12

(1)

66

- lapses6

(125)

(75)

(2)

-

(202)

- other7

(73)

36

(1)

-

(38)


(27)

(146)

36

(5)

(142)

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

87

122

14

1

224

Other operating variances8

(79)

168

42

-

131

Operating earnings before tax and non-controlling interests

921

1,088

252

(2)

2,259

Economic variances9





1,627

Other non-operating variances10





(308)

Earnings before tax and non-controlling interests





3,578

Tax on operating earnings





(599)

Tax on other activities





(446)

Earnings after tax and before non-controlling interests





2,533

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    Within the UK project and other related expenses reflect higher than expected expenditure on development of systems and processes.

3    Persistency experience saw an improvement at FY13 in most of our businesses reflecting a more stable economic outlook.

4    UK maintenance expense assumption change is primarily driven by the capitalisation of the benefit of recent expense reductions. In Europe the negative impact of expense assumption change relates primarily to France, following a review of expense allocation.

5    Positive mortality/morbidity operating assumption changes primarily reflect a change to annuitant assumptions in the UK.

6    Despite the positive experience variances due to short term provision releases in the UK, there is a negative impact from lapse assumptions changes, primarily due to the strengthening of the assumptions on early retirement. The negative impact in Europe is a result of strengthening of long - term persistency assumptions primarily in Poland.

7    Other UK assumption changes reflect the change in the assumed level of non-hedgeable risks. In Europe other assumption changes relate to a reduction in the guaranteed annuity take up rate in Italy.

8    Other operating variances include management actions taken to reduce guarantees on existing business in Italy and France. In the UK and Ireland this is due to management actions enhancing benefits to with-profits policyholders.

9    Favourable economic variances are mainly driven by narrowing credit spreads in UK and across European markets.

10  Other non-operating variances include the pension legislation change in Poland, dividend tax in France, offset by change of corporate tax in UK.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 132

 

 

 

 

F3 - Geographical analysis of life MCEV operating earnings continued

 

Net of tax and

non-controlling interests

6 months 2014

UK &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Asia

£m

Other

£m

Total

£m

Value of new business

147

112

53

1

313

Earnings from existing business






- expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

73

44

8

-

125

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)1

123

105

10

-

238


196

149

18

-

363

Experience variances






- maintenance expense

9

2

(1)

-

10

- project and other related expenses2

(23)

-

-

-

(23)

- mortality/morbidity

(7)

3

(2)

-

(6)

- lapses

(13)

2

-

-

(11)

- other3

27

1

3

(1)

30


(7)

8

-

(1)

-

Operating assumption changes:






- maintenance expense4

80

5

2

-

87

- project and other related expenses

-

-

-

-

-

- mortality/morbidity

-

1

-

-

1

- lapses

-

3

-

-

3

- other

(4)

-

-

-

(4)


76

9

2

-

87

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

28

36

4

1

69

Other operating variances5

(3)

34

17

-

48

Operating earnings after tax and non-controlling interests

437

348

94

1

880

Economic variances6





4

Other non-operating variances7





(196)

Earnings after tax and non-controlling interests





688

1    The expected existing business contribution (in excess of the reference rate) for Europe is lower at HY14 compared to HY13 as the release of the allowance for guarantees in Italy is lower.

2    Within the UK, project and other related expenses reflect higher than expected expenditure on development of systems and processes.

3    There are a number of items impacting other experience variances in the UK, most notably a reduction in reserves arising from a review of systems and processes.

4    Positive maintenance expense operating assumption changes in the UK are driven by continuing restructuring and process improvements, reducing the current and long-term cost base.

5    Other operating variances include management actions taken to change terms and conditions on some of Asia's healthcare business in Singapore. In Europe, other operating variances are driven by prior period adjustments in France.

6    Economic variances, driven by overall favourable impacts in the Eurozone and Poland offset by negative impacts in Asia, and to a lesser extent, UK.

7    Other non-operating variances are driven by the impact of pension legislation changes in the UK, resulting in lower future management charges levied on auto-enrolment pension funds, and legislation changes in Poland, due to a reduction in expected future pension contributions received following legislation changes.

 

Net of tax and

non-controlling interests

Restated1  

6 months 2013

UK &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Asia

£m

Other

£m

Total

£m

Value of new business

174

91

35

-

300

Earnings from existing business






- expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

84

43

8

-

135

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

88

122

5

-

215


172

165

13

-

350

Experience variances






- maintenance expense

6

(2)

(1)

-

3

- project and other related expenses2

(19)

(1)

(6)

-

(26)

- mortality/morbidity

2

3

1

-

6

- lapses3

(13)

2

(1)

-

(12)

- other

7

2

1

-

10


(17)

4

(6)

-

(19)

Operating assumption changes:






- maintenance expenses

(1)

-

-

-

(1)

- project and other related expenses

-

-

-

-

-

- mortality/morbidity4

(2)

-

10

-

8

- lapses5

-

(9)

1

-

(8)

- other

6

-

-

-

6


3

(9)

11

-

5

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

30

29

6

-

65

Other operating variances6

6

39

(2)

-

43

Operating earnings after tax and non-controlling interests

368

319

57

-

744

Economic variances





225

Other non-operating variances





(16)

Earnings after tax and before non-controlling interests





953

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    Within the UK project and other related expenses reflect higher than expected expenditure on development of systems and processes.

3    At HY13 persistency experience remained volatile across most of our business, in part reflecting the wider economic circumstances. Positive lapse variance in Europe reflected increased lapses on businesses with guarantees in Italy. 

4    Morbidity assumptions were updated in Korea.

5    Persistency assumptions include an additional short term provision in Spain reflecting adverse experience in the joint ventures.

6    Other operating variances reflect management actions taken to reduce guarantees on existing business in Italy and France.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Page 133

 

 

 

F3 - Geographical analysis of life MCEV operating earnings continued

 

Net of tax and

non-controlling interests

Restated1  

Full Year 2013

UK

& Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Asia

£m

Other

£m

Total

£m

Value of new business

368

183

85

-

636

Earnings from existing business






- expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

148

85

15

-

248

- expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

189

235

17

-

441


337

320

32

-

689

Experience variances






- maintenance expense

13

(6)

-

1

8

- project and other related expenses2

(65)

(4)

3

-

(66)

- mortality/morbidity

27

4

7

-

38

- lapses3

21

25

(4)

-

42

- other

25

6

6

-

37


21

25

12

1

59

Operating assumption changes:






- maintenance expenses4

93

(74)

24

(2)

41

- project and other related expenses

12

-

-

-

12

- mortality/morbidity5

27

14

9

(1)

49

- lapses6

(96)

(44)

(2)

-

(142)

- other7

(55)

17

(1)

-

(39)


(19)

(87)

30

(3)

(79)

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

67

58

11

1

137

Other operating variances8

(64)

111

36

-

83

Operating earnings after tax and non-controlling interests

710

610

206

(1)

1,525

Economic variances9





718

Other non-operating variances10





(185)

Earnings after tax and non-controlling interests





2,058

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    Within the UK project and other related expenses reflect higher than expected expenditure on development of systems and processes.

3    Persistency experience saw an improvement at FY13 in most of our businesses reflecting a more stable economic outlook.

4    UK maintenance expense assumption change is primarily driven by the capitalisation of the benefit of recent expense reductions. In Europe the negative impact of expense assumption change relates primarily to France, following a review of expense allocation.

5    Positive mortality/morbidity operating assumption changes primarily reflect change to annuitant assumption in the UK.

6    Despite the positive experience variances due to short term provision releases in the UK, there is a negative impact from lapse assumptions changes, primarily due to the strengthening of the assumptions on early retirement. The negative impact in Europe is a result of strengthening of long term persistency assumptions primarily in Poland.

7    Other UK assumption changes reflect the change in the assumed level of non-hedgeable risks. In Europe other assumption changes relate to a reduction in the guaranteed annuity take up rate in Italy.

8    Other operating variances include management actions taken to reduce guarantees on existing business in Italy and France. In the UK and Ireland this is due to management actions enhancing benefits to with-profits policyholders.

9    Favourable economic variances are mainly driven by narrowing credit spreads in UK and across European markets.

10  Other non-operating variances include the pension legislation change in Poland, dividend tax in France, offset by change of corporate tax in UK.

 

 

 

 

Page 134

 

 

F4 - Earnings per share

(a)  Basic earnings per share

(i)   The profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary shareholders is:

 




6 months 2014



Restated1

6 months 2013



Restated1

Full Year 2013

Continuing operations

Operating profit

£m

Non-operating items

£m

Total

£m

Operating profit

£m

Non-operating items

£m

Total

£m

Operating profit

£m

Non-operating items

£m

Total

£m

Profit/(loss) before tax attributable to
shareholders' profits

1,344

(71)

1,273

1,217

180

1,397

2,337

698

3,035

Tax attributable to shareholders' profit/(loss)

(344)

(19)

(363)

(386)

(66)

(452)

(778)

(297)

(1,075)

Profit/(loss) for the year

1,000

(90)

910

831

114

945

1,559

401

1,960

Amount attributable to non-controlling interests

(86)

(57)

(143)

(101)

(178)

(279)

(160)

(328)

(488)

Cumulative preference dividends for the year

(9)

-

(9)

(9)

-

(9)

(17)

-

(17)

Coupon payments in respect of direct capital instruments (DCI) and fixed rate tier 1 notes
(net of tax)

(12)

-

(12)

(13)

-

(13)

(70)

-

(70)

Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary shareholders from continuing operations

893

(147)

746

708

(64)

644

1,312

73

1,385

Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary shareholders from discontinued operations

-

-

-

102

268

370

207

1,066

1,273

Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary shareholders

893

(147)

746

810

204

1,014

1,519

1,139

2,658

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

 

(ii)  Basic earnings per share is calculated as follows:

 




6 months 2014



Restated1

6 months 2013



Restated1

Full Year 2013

Continuing operations

Before tax £m

Net of tax, non-controlling interests, preference dividends

and DCI2

 £m

Per share

p

Before tax £m

Net of tax, non-controlling interests, preference dividends

and DCI2

  £m

Per share

p

Before tax £m

Net of tax, non-controlling interests, preference dividends

and DCI2

  £m

Per share

p

Operating profit attributable to ordinary shareholders

1,344

893

30.4

1,217

708

24.1

2,337

1,312

44.6

Non-operating items:










Economic variance on long-term business

113

3

0.1

590

225

7.6

1,627

719

24.5

Short-term fluctuation in return on investments backing non-long-term business

165

119

4.0

(306)

(227)

(7.7)

(336)

(255)

(8.7)

Economic assumption changes on general insurance and health business

(67)

(52)

(1.8)

27

21

0.7

33

27

0.9

Impairment of goodwill

(24)

(24)

(0.8)

(86)

(86)

(2.9)

(86)

(86)

(2.9)

Amortisation and impairment of intangibles

(37)

(27)

(0.9)

(46)

(33)

(1.1)

(99)

(59)

(2.0)

Profit/(loss) on disposal and remeasurement of subsidiaries, joint ventures and associates

55

51

1.7

164

168

5.7

155

157

5.3

Integration and restructuring costs and exceptional items

(276)

(217)

(7.3)

(163)

(132)

(4.5)

(596)

(430)

(14.6)

Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary shareholders from continuing operations

1,273

746

25.4

1,397

644

21.9

3,035

1,385

47.1

Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary shareholders from discontinued operations

-

-

-

487

370

12.6

1,538

1,273

43.3

Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary shareholders

1,273

746

25.4

1,884

1,014

34.5

4,573

2,658

90.4

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    DCI includes direct capital instruments and fixed rate tier 1 notes.

 

(iii) The calculation of basic earnings per share uses a weighted average of 2,941 million (HY13: 2,942 million; FY13: 2,940 million) ordinary shares in issue, after deducting shares owned by the employee share trusts. The actual number of shares in issue at 30 June 2014 was 2,948 million (HY13: 2,947 million; FY13: 2,947 million) and 2,945 million (HY13: 2,944 million; FY13: 2,938 million) excluding shares owned by the employee share trusts.

 

 

 

 

Page 135

 

 

F4 - Earnings per share continued

(b) Diluted earnings per share

(i) Diluted earnings per share is calculated as follows:

 




6 months 2014



Restated1

6 months 2013



Restated1

Full Year 2013


Total

£m

Weighted average number of shares million

Per share

p

Total

£m

Weighted average number of shares
 million

Per share

p

Total

£m

Weighted average number of shares
 million

Per share

p

Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary shareholders

746

2,941

25.4

644

2,942

21.9

1,385

2,940

47.1

Dilutive effect of share awards and options

-

40

(0.4)

-

42

(0.3)

-

39

(0.5)

Diluted earnings/(loss) per share from continuing operations

746

2,981

25.0

644

2,984

21.6

1,385

2,979

46.6

Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary shareholders

-

2,941

-

370

2,942

12.6

1,273

2,940

43.3

Dilutive effect of share awards and options

-

40

-

-

42

(0.2)

-

39

(0.6)

Diluted earnings/(loss) per share from discontinued operations

-

2,981

-

370

2,984

12.4

1,273

2,979

42.7

Diluted earnings/(loss) per share

746

2,981

25.0

1,014

2,984

34.0

2,658

2,979

89.3

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

 

(ii) Diluted earnings per share on operating profit attributable to ordinary shareholders is calculated as follows:

 




6 months 2014



Restated1

6 months 2013



Restated1

Full Year 2013


Total

£m

Weighted average number of shares million

Per share

p

Total

£m

Weighted average number of shares
 million

Per share

p

Total

£m

Weighted average number of shares
 million

Per share

p

Operating profit attributable to ordinary shareholders

893

2,941

30.4

708

2,942

24.1

1,312

2,940

44.6

Dilutive effect of share awards and options

-

40

(0.4)

-

42

(0.4)

-

39

(0.6)

Diluted operating profit per share from continuing operations

893

2,981

30.0

708

2,984

23.7

1,312

2,979

44.0

Operating profit attributable to ordinary shareholders

-

2,941

-

102

2,942

3.5

207

2,940

7.0

Dilutive effect of share awards and options

-

40

-

-

42

(0.1)

-

39

(0.1)

Diluted operating profit per share from discontinued operations

-

2,981

-

102

2,984

3.4

207

2,979

6.9

Diluted operating profit per share

893

2,981

30.0

810

2,984

27.1

1,519

2,979

50.9

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

F5 - Geographical analysis of general insurance and health operating earnings

The consolidated income statement on an MCEV basis includes earnings from the Group's general insurance and health insurances business (managed on a short-term basis). These results for non-covered business are included within MCEV operating earnings on an IFRS basis as analysed below.

 



6 months 2014

£m

Restated1  

6 months 2013

£m

Restated1  

Full Year 2013

£m

General insurance




United Kingdom & Ireland

260

248

455

Canada

83

147

246

Europe

51

44

98

Asia & Other

(1)

(25)

(52)

Operating profit - general insurance

393

414

747

Health insurance




United Kingdom & Ireland

4

6

16

Europe

6

3

14

Asia & Other

2

-

-

Operating profit - health insurance

12

9

30

Total operating profit

405

423

777

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

 

 

 

Page 136

 

F6 - Geographical analysis of fund management operating earnings

The consolidated income statement on an MCEV basis includes earnings from the Group's fund management operations. These results are included within MCEV operating profit on an IFRS basis as analysed below. This excludes the proportion of the results of Aviva Investors fund management businesses and other fund management operations within the Group that arise from the provision of fund management services to our Life business.

 


Reviewed
6 months 2014

£m

Restated1  

6 months 2013

£m

Restated1  

Full Year 2013

£m

Aviva Investors

11

14

27

Asia

1

1

2

Total - continuing operations

12

15

29

Total - discontinued operations2

-

22

31

Total operating profit

12

37

60

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    Discontinued operations represent the results of the US operations on an IFRS basis.

F7 - Other operations

Where subsidiaries provide services to our life business, the MCEV value associated with that activity is included within the Life MCEV operating earnings. Other activities undertaken by such subsidiaries are included in the MCEV Consolidated income statement on an IFRS basis as analysed below.

 


6 months 2014

£m

Restated1  

6 months 2013

£m

Restated1  

Full Year 2013

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

(3)

(16)

(16)

Europe

(7)

3

(7)

Asia

(10)

(6)

(12)

Other operations2

(26)

(21)

(41)

Total - continuing operations

(46)

(40)

(76)

Total - discontinued operations3

-

(2)

(4)

Total operating profit

(46)

(42)

(80)

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    Other operations include Group and head office costs.

3    Discontinued operations represent the results of the US operations on an IFRS basis.

F8 - Integration and restructuring costs

Integration and restructuring costs during 2014 were £40 million (HY13: £163 million for continuing business) and mainly include expenses associated with the Group's Solvency II programme. Integration and Restructuring costs have reduced significantly compared to the prior period, principally driven by the reduction in the Group's transformation programme spend.    

F9 - Exceptional items

Exceptional items are those items that, in the Directors' view, are required to be separately disclosed by virtue of their nature or incidence to enable a full understanding of the Group's financial performance. Exceptional items are £(236) million (HY13: £nil) on a gross of tax gross of non-controlling interest basis. This is driven by pension legislation changes in the UK reducing future management charges levied on auto-enrolment default funds, with an impact of £(188) million and a reduction in future contributions receivable in Poland following regulation change with an impact of £(55) million. This is partially offset by the benefit from a reduction in corporation tax in Italy of £7 million.

 

 

 

 

Page 137

 

 

F10 - Analysis of life and pension earnings

The following table provides an analysis of the movement in embedded value for covered business. The analysis is shown separately for free surplus, required capital and the value of in-force covered business, and includes amounts transferred between these categories. During the first half of 2014, UK Life implemented two capital management actions that enable certain shareholder assets to be reflected on the regulatory balance sheet and the economic risk to be hedged more efficiently. The first involved the transfer of certain assets and associated liabilities from the RIEESA to the New With Profits Sub Fund (NWPSF). This action reduced the present value of in-force covered business by £864 million and increased required capital by the same amount. The second capital management action results in future shareholder transfers (that arise as bonuses are paid to policyholders) emerging in the NWPSF rather than the NPSF and this reduces the present value of in-force covered business by £233 million and increased required capital by £49 million and increases free surplus by £184 million. These effects are presented within 'Other operating variances' in the table below.

 

Net of tax and non-controlling interests

30 June 2014

Free

surplus

£m

Required

capital1  

£m

VIF

£m

Total

MCEV

£m

Opening MCEV

2,310

6,551

6,129

14,990

Opening Adjustments2

125

107

534

766

Adjusted Opening MCEV

2,435

6,658

6,663

15,756

New business value

(237)

58

492

313

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

-

-

125

125

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

-

-

238

238

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

21

48

-

69

Transfers from VIF and required capital to the free surplus

647

(115)

(532)

-

Experience variances

(48)

(11)

59

-

Assumption changes3

87

(3)

3

87

Other operating variances4

73

1,049

(1,074)

48


112

1,035

(1,012)

135

Operating MCEV earnings5

543

1,026

(689)

880

Economic variances

(4)

45

(37)

4

Other non-operating variances6

(10)

-

(186)

(196)

Total MCEV earnings

529

1,071

(912)

688

Capital & dividend flows7

(818)

-

-

(818)

Foreign exchange variances

(28)

(122)

(131)

(281)

Acquired/divested business8

31

(194)

127

(36)

Closing MCEV

2,149

7,413

5,747

15,309

1    Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

2    Represents the impact of the MCEV restatement as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

3    Assumption changes include maintenance expense assumption changes in the UK, driven by continuing restructuring and process improvements, reducing the current and long-term cost base.

4    Other operating variances include prior period adjustments in France.

5    An internal reinsurance arrangement was undertaken in the first half of 2014 to reinsure an additional 10% of UK Annuity business to Aviva International Insurance Limited which has had an adverse impact on Group MCEV free surplus of £105 million (MCEV Note F11). On an economic capital basis this transaction improves the UK Life position and as a result the adverse impact on MCEV has therefore been excluded from OCG to reflect the economic substance of the management action.

6    Other non-operating variances include pension legislation changes in UK and Poland and a change in tax rate in Italy.

7    Included within capital and dividend flows is the transfer to Life and related businesses from other segments consisting of service company profits and losses during the reported period that have emerged from the value of in-force. Since the 'look through' into service companies includes only future profits and losses, these amounts must be eliminated from the closing embedded value.

8    Acquired/divested business includes any adjustment for held for sale operations and disposal of Eurovita and Korea.

 

Net of tax and non-controlling interests

Restated1  

30 June 2013

Free

surplus

£m

Required

capital2  

£m

VIF

£m

Total

MCEV

£m

Opening MCEV3

1,951

6,417

6,411

14,779

New business value

(180)

91

389

300

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

-

-

135

135

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

-

-

215

215

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

10

55

-

65

Transfers from VIF and required capital to the free surplus

630

(161)

(469)

-

Experience variances

(13)

54

(60)

(19)

Assumption changes

5

6

(6)

5

Other operating variances

188

(14)

(131)

43


180

46

(197)

29

Operating MCEV earnings

640

31

73

744

Economic variances

(139)

(91)

455

225

Other non-operating variances4

(17)

-

1

(16)

Total MCEV earnings

484

(60)

529

953

Capital & dividend flows5

(774)

-

-

(774)

Foreign exchange variance

23

199

115

337

Acquired/divested business6

(159)

(165)

(239)

(563)

Closing MCEV

1,525

6,391

6,816

14,732

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

3    Opening MCEV includes the adjustments related to the removal of US Life held for sale operations from covered business on 1 January 2013 and the adjustment for the MCEV restatement. Details of both are set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

4    Other non-operating variances relate to costs for Solvency II implementation and other restructuring exercises.

5    Included within capital and dividend flows is the transfer to Life and related businesses from other segments consisting of service company profits and losses during the reported period that have emerged from the value of in-force. Since the 'look through' into service companies includes only future profits and losses, these amounts must be eliminated from the closing embedded value.

6    Acquired/divested business includes the adjustment for held for sale operations and disposal of Aseval, Ark Life, Malaysia, Russia and Romania pensions.

 

 

 

 

Page 138

 

 

F10 - Analysis of life and pension earnings continued

 

Net of tax and non-controlling interests

Restated1  

Full Year 2013

Free

surplus

£m

Required

capital2  

£m

VIF

£m

Total

MCEV

£m

Opening MCEV3

1,951

6,417

6,411

14,779

New business value

(353)

172

817

636

Expected existing business contribution (reference rate)

-

-

248

248

Expected existing business contribution (in excess of reference rate)

-

-

441

441

Expected return on shareholders' net worth

18

119

-

137

Transfers from VIF and required capital to the free surplus

1,256

(345)

(911)

-

Experience variances

(92)

131

20

59

Assumption changes

126

27

(232)

(79)

Other operating variances

259

213

(389)

83


293

371

(601)

63

Operating MCEV earnings

1,214

317

(6)

1,525

Economic variances

(77)

11

784

718

Other non-operating variances4

119

-

(304)

(185)

Total MCEV earnings

1,256

328

474

2,058

Capital & dividend flows5

(610)

(4)

-

(614)

Foreign exchange variance

(2)

83

9

90

Acquired/divested business6

(160)

(166)

(231)

(557)

Closing MCEV

2,435

6,658

6,663

15,756

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

3    Opening MCEV includes the adjustment related to the removal of US Life held for sale operations from covered business on 1 January 2013 and the adjustment for the MCEV restatement. Details of both are set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

4    Other non-operating variances are primarily driven by the impact of pension legislation change in Poland as well as the impact of tax changes in France and the UK.

5    Included within capital and dividend flows is the transfer to Life and related businesses from other segments consisting of service company profits and losses during the reported period that have emerged from the value of in-force. Since the 'look through' into service companies includes only future profits and losses, these amounts must be eliminated from the closing embedded value.

6    Acquired/divested business includes the adjustment for held for sale operations and disposal of Aseval, Ark Life, Malaysia, Russia and Romania pensions.

 

 

 

 

 

Page 139

 

 

F11 - MCEV Free Surplus Emergence

The table below shows the free surplus generation of existing and new business. Total free surplus generation of £543 million in the current period includes the impact of an internal reinsurance arrangement to reinsure an additional 10% on UK Annuity business to Aviva International Insurance Limited which has had an adverse impact on Group MCEV free surplus of £105 million. On an economic capital basis this transaction improves the UK Life position and as a result the adverse impact on MCEV has therefore been excluded from OCG to reflect the economic substance of the management action.

 

Net of tax and non-controlling interests

6 months 2014

United

Kingdom &

Ireland1

£m

Europe

£m

Asia &

Other2

£m

Total

£m

Existing business





Transfer from VIF to net worth

235

259

38

532

Return on net worth

28

36

5

69

Impact of experience variances and assumption changes on net worth

1,139

13

(5)

1,147

Release of required capital to free surplus

(1,038)

79

(9)

(968)

Total existing business free surplus generation

364

387

29

780

New business





Impact on net worth

(104)

(53)

(22)

(179)

Reduction in free surplus from required capital

52

(100)

(10)

(58)

Total new business free surplus generation

(52)

(153)

(32)

(237)

Total free surplus generation

312

234

(3)

543

1    In the UK the release of required capital to free surplus and the impact of experience variances primarily reflect capital management actions, see F10 for further details.

2    The introduction of a reinsurance arrangement in Asia during 2013 had a positive impact on both HY13 and FY13 free surplus emergence which is not repeated at HY14.

 

Net of tax and non-controlling interests

Restated 1  

6 months 2013

United

Kingdom &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Asia &

Other

£m

Total

£m

Existing business





Transfer from VIF to net worth

191

241

37

469

Return on net worth

30

29

6

65

Impact of experience variances and assumption changes on net worth

119

52

55

226

Release of required capital to free surplus

(72)

121

11

60

Total existing business surplus generation

268

443

109

820

New business





Impact on net worth

(17)

(48)

(24)

(89)

Reduction in free surplus from required capital

18

(98)

(11)

(91)

Total new business surplus generation

1

(146)

(35)

(180)

Total free surplus generation

269

297

74

640

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

 

Net of tax and non-controlling interests

Restated 1  

Full Year 2013

United

Kingdom &

Ireland

£m

Europe

£m

Asia &

Other

£m

Total

£m

Existing business





Transfer from VIF to net worth

386

448

77

911

Return on net worth

67

58

12

137

Impact of experience variances and assumption changes on net worth

529

61

74

664

Release of required capital to free surplus

(373)

210

18

(145)

Total existing business free surplus generation

609

777

181

1,567

New business





Impact on net worth

(45)

(90)

(46)

(181)

Reduction in free surplus from required capital

32

(182)

(22)

(172)

Total new business free surplus generation

(13)

(272)

(68)

(353)

Total free surplus generation

596

505

113

1,214

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

 

 

 

 

Page 140

 

 

F12 - Segmental analysis of life and related business embedded value

 

Net of tax and non-controlling interests

6 months 2014

Free

surplus

£m

Required

Capital1  

£m

VIF

£m

Total

MCEV

£m

United Kingdom2,3

1,333

4,316

2,100

7,749

Ireland

126

160

386

672

United Kingdom & Ireland

1,459

4,476

2,486

8,421

France

146

2,152

1,284

3,582

Poland

176

107

896

1,179

Italy4

148

248

213

609

Spain5

35

194

178

407

Other Europe

4

13

114

131

Europe

509

2,714

2,685

5,908

Asia

156

213

527

896

Other

25

10

49

84

Total

2,149

7,413

5,747

15,309

1    Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

2    In the UK, the reduction in VIF is offset by an increase in required capital and free surplus as a result of capital management transactions, see F10 for further details. Free surplus in the UK also benefits from expense savings.

3    An internal reinsurance arrangement was undertaken in the first half of 2014 to reinsure an additional 10% of UK Annuity business to Aviva International Insurance Limited which has had an adverse impact on Group MCEV free surplus of £105 million (MCEV Note F11). On an economic capital basis this transaction improves the UK Life position and as a result the adverse impact on MCEV has therefore been excluded from OCG to reflect the economic substance of the management action.

4    The significant increase in free surplus and VIF in Italy compared to HY13 is driven by the sale of Eurovita (see F19 for further information).

5    Required capital in Spain reflects the current economic environment and is in excess of regulatory requirements.

 

Net of tax and non-controlling interests

Restated1  

6 months 2013

Free

surplus

£m

Required

Capital2  

£m

VIF

£m

Total

MCEV

£m

United Kingdom

1,023

2,765

3,462

7,250

Ireland

107

188

494

789

United Kingdom & Ireland

1,130

2,953

3,956

8,039

France3

(2)

2,235

1,193

3,426

Poland

137

110

1,208

1,455

Italy3,4

(27)

576

(4)

545

Spain3,4

-

244

93

337

Other Europe

8

19

114

141

Europe

116

3,184

2,604

5,904

Asia

239

244

244

727

Other

40

10

12

62

Total

1,525

6,391

6,816

14,732

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

3    France, Italy and Spain have a positive surplus on a statutory basis.

4    Required capital in Italy and Spain reflects the current economic environment and is in excess of regulatory requirements.

 

Net of tax and non-controlling interests

Restated1  

Full Year 2013

Free

surplus

£m

Required

Capital2  

£m

VIF

£m

Total

MCEV

£m

United Kingdom

1,581

3,225

3,173

7,979

Ireland

131

165

380

676

United Kingdom & Ireland

1,712

3,390

3,553

8,655

France

227

2,213

1,318

3,758

Poland

202

111

969

1,282

Italy 3

62

484

92

638

Spain3

32

204

146

382

Other Europe

10

15

102

127

Europe

533

3,027

2,627

6,187

Asia

185

236

473

894

Other

5

5

10

20

Total

2,435

6,658

6,663

15,756

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    Required capital is shown net of implicit items permitted by local regulators to cover minimum solvency margins.

3    Required capital in Italy and Spain reflects the current economic environment and is in excess of regulatory requirements.

 

The required capital across our life businesses varies between 100% and 200% of EU minimum or equivalent (100% to 222% at HY13). The weighted average level of required capital for our life business expressed as a percentage of EU minimum (or equivalent) solvency margin is 109% (HY13: 120%). These levels of required capital are used in the calculation of the Group's embedded value to evaluate the cost of locked in capital. At 30 June 2014 the aggregate regulatory requirements based on the EU minimum test amounted to £6.8 billion (HY13: £5.5 billion). At this date, the actual net worth held in our long-term business, was £9.6 billion (HY13: £7.9 billion) which represents 142% (HY13: 145%) of these minimum requirements.

 

 

 

 

Page 141

 

 

F13 - Present value of life new business premiums

The tables below set out the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) written by the life and related businesses, gross of tax and non-controlling interests. The PVNBP calculation is equal to total single premium sales received in the period plus the discounted value of regular premiums expected to be received over the term of the new contracts, and is expressed at the point
of sale.

      The premium volumes and projection assumptions used to calculate the present value of regular premiums for each product

are the same as those used to calculate the value of new business, so the components of the new business margin are on a

consistent basis.

      The weighted average capitalisation factor (WACF) is the multiple of the annualised regular premium which gives the present value at point of sale of the regular premiums.

 

Gross of tax and non-controlling interests

6 months 2014

Regular

premiums

£m

WACF

Present

value of

regular

premiums

£m

Single

premiums

£m

Present

value of

new

business

premiums

£m

United Kingdom

499

5.0

2,513

3,539

6,052

Ireland

13

5.2

67

129

196

United Kingdom & Ireland

512

5.0

2,580

3,668

6,248

France

47

8.1

383

2,044

2,427

Poland1

29

9.5

275

57

332

Italy

30

5.3

160

1,449

1,609

Spain

22

5.6

123

439

562

Other Europe

54

3.7

201

30

231

Europe

182

6.3

1,142

4,019

5,161

Asia2

133

6.0

796

168

964

Other

-

-

-

257

257

Total life and pensions

827

5.5

4,518

8,112

12,630

1    WACF increases in Poland reflect higher volume of regular premium Lithuanian pension business.

2    Increase in WACF in Asia relates to the longer term healthcare business included as covered business at HY14 but not at HY13.

 

Gross of non-controlling interests

Restated1  

6 months 2013

Regular

premiums

£m

WACF

Present

value of

regular

premiums

£m

Single

premiums

£m

Present

value of

new

business

premiums

£m

United Kingdom

395

5.0

1,969

3,591

5,560

Ireland

13

4.2

55

170

225

United Kingdom & Ireland

408

5.0

2,024

3,761

5,785

France

49

8.1

397

1,966

2,363

Poland

23

7.5

173

54

227

Italy

33

5.7

188

1,117

1,305

Spain

31

5.6

175

466

641

Other Europe

58

3.9

225

48

273

Europe

194

6.0

1,158

3,651

4,809

Asia

149

5.3

786

75

861

Other

-

-

-

7

7

Total life and pensions

751

5.3

3,968

7,494

11,462

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

 

Gross of tax and non-controlling interests

Restated1  

Full Year 2013

Regular

premiums

£m

WACF

Present

value of

regular

premiums

£m

Single

premiums

£m

Present

value of

new

business

premiums

£m

United Kingdom

878

5.1

4,443

7,481

11,924

Ireland

26

4.4

114

355

469

United Kingdom & Ireland

904

5.0

4,557

7,836

12,393

France

89

8.0

712

3,786

4,498

Poland

38

9.0

341

145

486

Italy

51

5.5

279

1,955

2,234

Spain

52

5.6

290

934

1,224

Other Europe

103

4.6

473

71

544

Europe

333

6.3

2,095

6,891

8,986

Asia

290

5.6

1,632

108

1,740

Other

-

-

-

58

58

Total life and pensions

1,527

5.4

8,284

14,893

23,177

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

 

 

 

 

Page 142

 

 

F14 - Geographical analysis of value of new business

The tables below set out the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) written by the life and related businesses, the value of the new business and the resulting margin, firstly gross and then net of tax and non-controlling interests. The value generated by new business written during the period is the present value of the projected stream of after-tax distributable profit from that business, including expected profit between point of sale and the valuation date. It reflects the additional value to shareholders created through the activity of writing new business including the impacts of interactions between in force and new business with the exception of tax as noted in the basis of preparation. The value of new business has been calculated using economic assumptions at the point of sale which have been implemented with the assumptions being taken as those appropriate to the start of each quarter. For contracts that are re-priced more frequently, weekly or monthly economic assumptions have been used. The operating assumptions are consistent with those used to determine the embedded value. The value of new business is shown after the effect of the frictional costs of holding required capital, and after the effect of the costs of residual non-hedgeable risks on the same basis as for the in-force covered business.

 


Present value of new

business premiums

Value of new business

New business margin

Gross of tax and non-controlling interests

6 months 2014

£m

Restated1  

6 months 2013

£m

Restated1  

Full Year 2013

£m

6 months 2014

£m

Restated1

 6 months 2013

£m

Restated1  

Full Year 2013

£m

6 months 2014

%

Restated1

 6 months 2013

%

Restated1  

Full Year 2013

%

United Kingdom

6,052

5,560

11,924

177

224

469

2.9%

4.0%

3.9%

Ireland

196

225

469

6

2

8

3.1%

0.9%

1.7%

United Kingdom & Ireland

6,248

5,785

12,393

183

226

477

2.9%

3.9%

3.8%

France

2,427

2,363

4,498

110

90

172

4.5%

3.8%

3.8%

Poland

332

227

486

34

21

51

10.2%

9.3%

10.5%

Italy

1,609

1,305

2,234

17

11

27

1.1%

0.8%

1.2%

Spain

562

641

1,224

18

15

35

3.2%

2.3%

2.9%

Other Europe

231

273

544

14

21

38

6.1%

7.7%

7.0%

Europe

5,161

4,809

8,986

193

158

323

3.7%

3.3%

3.6%

Asia

964

861

1,740

66

42

104

6.8%

4.9%

6.0%

Other

257

7

58

2

-

-

0.8%

-

-

Total life and pensions

12,630

11,462

23,177

444

426

904

3.5%

3.7%

3.9%

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

 


Present value of new

business premiums

Value of new business

New business margin

Net of tax and non-controlling interests

6 months 2014

£m

Restated1  

6 months 2013

£m

Restated1  

Full Year 2013

£m

6 months 2014

£m

Restated1

 6 months 2013

£m

Restated1  

Full Year 2013

£m

6 months 2014

%

Restated1

 6 months 2013

%

Restated1  

Full Year 2013

%

United Kingdom

6,052

5,560

11,924

141

172

361

2.3%

3.1%

3.0%

Ireland

196

205

448

6

2

7

3.1%

1.0%

1.6%

United Kingdom & Ireland

6,248

5,765

12,372

147

174

368

2.4%

3.0%

3.0%

France

2,023

1,970

3,779

66

52

99

3.3%

2.6%

2.6%

Poland

300

205

440

25

16

38

8.3%

7.8%

8.6%

Italy

662

546

932

4

3

7

0.6%

0.5%

0.8%

Spain

323

357

689

6

3

9

1.9%

0.8%

1.3%

Other Europe

231

273

544

11

17

30

4.8%

6.2%

5.5%

Europe

3,539

3,351

6,384

112

91

183

3.2%

2.7%

2.9%

Asia

964

860

1,739

53

35

85

5.5%

4.1%

4.9%

Other

257

7

58

1

-

-

0.4%

-

-

Total life and pensions

11,008

9,983

20,553

313

300

636

2.8%

3.0%

3.1%

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

 

 

 

Page 143

 

F15 - Maturity profile of business

(a) Total in-force business

To show the profile of the VIF emergence, the value of VIF in the statement of financial position has been split into five-year tranches depending on the date when the profit is expected to emerge.

 

Net of non-controlling interests

30 June 2014

£m

0-5

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

Total

United Kingdom & Ireland1

488

533

418

255

792

2,486

Europe

1,125

706

410

224

220

2,685

Asia and Other

277

105

84

30

80

576

Total

1,890

1,344

912

509

1,092

5,747

1    The large reduction in UK VIF relates to capital management transactions which result in an offsetting increase in Required Capital and Free Surplus.

 

Net of non-controlling interests

Restated1  

30 June 2013

£m

0-52

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

Total

United Kingdom & Ireland

769

1,113

787

386

901

3,956

Europe

918

651

399

247

389

2,604

Asia and Other

160

143

38

5

(90)

256

Total

1,847

1,907

1,224

638

1,200

6,816

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    For held for sale operations, the VIF emergence is reported in the 0-5 column.

 

Net of non-controlling interests

Restated1  

31 December 2013

£m

0-52

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

Total

United Kingdom & Ireland

735

974

675

317

852

3,553

Europe

1,012

702

420

236

257

2,627

Asia and Other

217

97

78

36

55

483

Total

1,964

1,773

1,173

589

1,164

6,663

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    For held for sale operations, the VIF emergence is reported in the 0-5 column.

(b) New business

To show the profile of the VIF emergence, the value of new business has been split into five-year tranches depending on the date when the profit is expected to emerge.

 

Net of non-controlling interests

30 June 2014

£m

0-5

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

Total

United Kingdom & Ireland

65

51

36

26

73

251

Europe

67

42

23

15

18

165

Asia and Other

39

15

8

5

9

76

Total

171

108

67

46

100

492

 

Net of non-controlling interests

Restated1  

30 June 2013

£m

0-52

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

Total

United Kingdom & Ireland

75

36

16

9

55

191

Europe

58

32

22

13

14

139

Asia and Other

25

17

9

6

2

59

Total

158

85

47

28

71

389

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    For held for sale operations, the VIF emergence is reported in the 0-5 column.

 

Net of non-controlling interests

Restated1  

31 December 2013

£m

0-52

6-10

11-15

16-20

20+

Total

United Kingdom & Ireland

116

77

49

34

137

413

Europe

99

70

42

28

32

271

Asia and Other

75

27

14

6

11

133

Total

290

174

105

68

180

817

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    For held for sale operations, the VIF emergence is reported in the 0-5 column.

 

 

 

 

Page 144

 

 

F16 - Risk allowance within present value of in-force (VIF)

Within the VIF in the tables, there are additional allowances for risks not included within the basic present value of future

profits calculation.

 

Net of non-controlling interests

30 June 2014

PVFP

£m

Frictional

costs

£m

Non-

hedgeable risks

£m

Time value

of financial

options and

guarantees

£m

VIF

£m

United Kingdom

3,049

(378)

(492)

(79)

2,100

Ireland

411

(7)

(18)

-

386

United Kingdom & Ireland

3,460

(385)

(510)

(79)

2,486

France

2,391

(106)

(219)

(782)

1,284

Poland

1,043

(8)

(88)

(51)

896

Italy

246

(8)

(7)

(18)

213

Spain

214

(7)

(25)

(4)

178

Other Europe

117

(2)

(1)

-

114

Europe

4,011

(131)

(340)

(855)

2,685

Asia

649

(29)

(79)

(14)

527

Other

50

-

(1)

-

49

Total

8,170

(545)

(930)

(948)

5,747

 

Total risk allowances have increased compared to HY13:

n Frictional costs have increased by £65 million principally driven by the UK where capital transactions have increased required capital and therefore frictional costs. This is somewhat offset by France where frictional costs have fallen due to economic movements.

n The allowance for non-hedgeable risks has decreased by £141 million, primarily in Poland where legislation changes have reduced the allowance for future legislation risk, given the lower value now at risk.

n The allowance for Time Value of Options and Guarantees has increased by £126 million primarily due to the increase in the cost of guarantees in France as a result of falling interest rates and the impact of the pension legislation changes in Poland, which increases the volatility of future management charges. This is somewhat offset by a reduction in Asia driven by the sale of Korea.

 

Net of non-controlling interests

Restated1  

30 June 2013

PVFP

£m

Frictional

costs

£m

Non-

hedgeable

risks

£m

Time value of

financial

options and

guarantees

£m

VIF

£m

United Kingdom

4,182

(245)

(441)

(34)

3,462

Ireland

525

(9)

(22)

-

494

United Kingdom & Ireland

4,707

(254)

(463)

(34)

3,956

France

2,282

(162)

(238)

(689)

1,193

Poland

1,454

(10)

(226)

(10)

1,208

Italy

65

(12)

(30)

(27)

(4)

Spain

145

(10)

(27)

(15)

93

Other Europe

117

(1)

(2)

-

114

Europe

4,063

(195)

(523)

(741)

2,604

Asia

406

(31)

(84)

(47)

244

Other

13

-

(1)

-

12

Total

9,189

(480)

(1,071)

(822)

6,816

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

 

Net of non-controlling interests

Restated1  

31 December 2013

PVFP

£m

Frictional

costs

£m

Non-

hedgeable

risks

£m

Time value

of financial

options and

guarantees

£m

VIF

£m

United Kingdom

3,952

(255)

(468)

(56)

3,173

Ireland

405

(8)

(17)

-

380

United Kingdom & Ireland

4,357

(263)

(485)

(56)

3,553

France

2,341

(175)

(213)

(635)

1,318

Poland

1,150

(9)

(111)

(61)

969

Italy

158

(11)

(30)

(25)

92

Spain

185

(9)

(25)

(5)

146

Other Europe

104

(1)

(1)

-

102

Europe

3,938

(205)

(380)

(726)

2,627

Asia

614

(33)

(79)

(29)

473

Other

11

-

(1)

-

10

Total

8,920

(501)

(945)

(811)

6,663

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

 

 

 

Page 145

 

F17 - Implied discount rates (IDR)

In the valuation of a block of business, the IDR is the rate of discount such that a traditional embedded value calculation for the covered business equates to the MCEV.

      The cash flows projected are the expected future cash flows including expected investment cash flows from equities, bonds and properties earning a risk premium in excess of risk free, statutory reserves and required capital. The risk premiums used are consistent with those used in the expected existing business contribution within operating earnings. As the risk premiums are positive, a discount rate higher than risk-free is required to give a value equal to the market-consistent embedded value.

      Average derived risk discount rates are shown below for the embedded value.

 


30 June

2014

%

Restated1  

30 June

2013

%

Restated1  

31 December

2013

%

United Kingdom

6.6%

6.3%

6.4%

Ireland2

1.7%

1.3%

1.7%

United Kingdom & Ireland

6.2%

5.8%

6.0%

France

6.6%

6.5%

6.7%

Poland

5.8%

5.8%

6.3%

Italy2,3

3.8%

7.5%

3.7%

Spain2,3

5.4%

10.2%

7.8%

Other Europe2

9.3%

6.3%

9.8%

Europe

6.0%

6.8%

6.2%

Asia2

4.6%

5.4%

3.6%

Other

5.3%

-

-

Total

6.0%

6.3%

6.0%

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    IDRs have been calculated excluding held for sale operations, reflecting that they are stated at expected fair value less cost to sell.

3    The IDRs in Italy and Spain have decreased since HY13 following a significant narrowing of government bond spreads, which has reduced substantially the difference between the risk-free and real-world returns.

 

As part of the MCEV restatement described in Note F1, 31 December 2012 IDRs were restated for UK, France, Italy, Spain and Ireland to 6.6%, 6.2%, 8.8%, 11.3% and 1.5% respectively. The 31 December 2012 IDR determines the expected existing business contributions for the restated 30 June 2013 and 31 December 2013 analysis of earnings (notes F3 and F10). Singapore's FY12 IDR, a component of the "Asia" operating segment IDR, remains unchanged following the restatement because the region's healthcare business did not become covered business until the second half of 2013.

F18 - Summary of non-controlling interest in life and related businesses' MCEV results

 

30 June 2014

France

£m

Spain

£m

Italy

£m

Poland

£m

Asia

£m

Total

£m

Share-holders'

Interest

£m

Group

£m

Value of new business after tax

7

7

7

3

-

24

313

337

Life MCEV operating earnings/(loss) after tax

21

17

27

7

-

72

880

952

Life MCEV earnings/(loss) after tax

19

63

54

3

-

139

688

827

Closing covered businesses' embedded value

293

335

679

150

-

1,457

15,309

16,766

 

Restated1  

30 June 2013

France

£m

Spain

£m

Italy

£m

Poland

£m

Asia

£m

 

 

Total

£m

Share-holders'

Interest

£m

Group

£m

Value of new business after tax

7

7

4

1

-

19

300

319

Life MCEV operating earnings after tax

14

11

57

7

-

89

744

833

Life MCEV earnings after tax

8

93

172

(3)

-

270

953

1,223

Closing covered businesses' embedded value

309

305

608

199

3

1,424

14,732

16,156

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

 

Restated1  

31 December 2013

France

£m

Spain

£m

Italy

£m

Poland

£m

Asia

£m

 

 

Total

£m

Share-holders'

Interest

£m

Group

£m

Value of new business after tax

13

15

10

4

-

42

636

678

Life MCEV operating earnings after tax

(2)

24

99

14

-

135

1,525

1,660

Life MCEV earnings after tax

(7)

146

375

(39)

-

475

2,058

2,533

Closing covered businesses' embedded value

284

316

770

166

2

1,538

15,756

17,294

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

 

Non-controlling interest in life and related businesses is not impacted by the treatment of held for sale operations. There are no non-controlling interests in the United Kingdom. For comparative figures, non-controlling interest in Ireland was assumed to be 0% throughout the period on the grounds of materiality; no such approximation is required for the closing embedded value.

 

 

 

 

Page 146

 

 

F19 - Principal assumptions

(a) Economic assumptions - Deterministic calculations

Economic assumptions are derived actively, based on market yields on risk-free fixed interest assets at the end of each reporting period.

      In setting the risk-free rate we have, wherever possible, used the mid-price swap yield curve for an AA-rated bank. The curve is extrapolated beyond the last available market data point to an ultimate forward rate using the Nelson-Siegel functional form if necessary. For markets in which there is no reliable swap yield curve, the relevant government bond yields are used. For certain business, swap rates are adjusted for a 'liquidity premium' in deriving the risk free rates, and these adjustments are shown below the reference rate table.

      Required capital is shown as a multiple of the EU statutory minimum solvency margin or equivalent.

      The principal economic assumptions used are as follows:

Reference rate (spot, swap rates) and expense inflation

 

United Kingdom

30 June

2014

30 June

2013

Full Year

2013

Full Year

2012

Reference Rate





1 year

0.8%

0.6%

0.6%

0.6%

5 years

2.2%

1.6%

2.2%

1.0%

10 years

2.9%

2.7%

3.1%

1.9%

15 years

3.2%

3.2%

3.5%

2.6%

20 years

3.3%

3.4%

3.6%

2.9%

Expense inflation

3.3%

3.1%

3.4%

2.8%

 

Eurozone

30 June

2014

30 June

2013

Full Year

2013

Full Year

2012

Reference Rate





1 year

0.3%

0.4%

0.4%

0.3%

5 years

0.7%

1.2%

1.3%

0.8%

10 years

1.5%

2.1%

2.2%

1.6%

15 years

2.0%

2.5%

2.7%

2.1%

20 years

2.2%

2.6%

2.9%

2.3%

Expense inflation1

2.5%

2.5%

2.5%

2.5%

1    Based on France, the largest Eurozone business

 

Poland

30 June

2014

30 June

2013

Full Year

2013

Full Year

2012

Reference Rate





1 year

2.4%

2.8%

2.7%

3.4%

5 years

2.9%

3.8%

3.7%

3.4%

10 years

3.4%

4.2%

4.3%

3.5%

15 years

3.6%

4.2%

4.4%

3.4%

20 years

3.7%

4.1%

4.3%

3.2%

Expense inflation

1.9%

2.6%

3.8%

2.1%

 

For service companies, expense inflation relates to the underlying expenses rather than the fees charged to the life company.

      The following liquidity premium adjustments are made to the swap rate for certain immediate annuity and participating type contracts. The risk-free rate is taken as the swap yield curve for the currency of the liability, adjusted by adding the following to each swap rate:

 


New business

Embedded value


2Q 2014

1Q 2014

Restated1

4Q 2013

Restated1

3Q 2013

Restated1

2Q 2013

Restated1

1Q 2013

30 June

2014

Restated1  

Full Year

2012

Restated1  

30 June

2013

Restated1

Full Year

2013

UK immediate annuities2,3

1.05%

1.06%

1.17%

1.21%

1.24%

1.01%

1.30%

1.22%

1.10%

UK bulk purchase annuities2,3

0.98%

1.05%

1.06%

1.17%

1.21%

1.24%

1.01%

1.30%

1.22%

1.10%

UK participating business

0.40%

0.39%

0.44%

0.55%

0.53%

0.58%

0.35%

0.58%

0.55%

0.39%

Ireland immediate annuities

0.24%

0.28%

0.32%

0.38%

0.39%

0.44%

0.21%

0.44%

0.38%

0.28%

France annuities

0.24%

0.28%

0.32%

0.38%

0.39%

0.44%

0.21%

0.44%

0.38%

0.28%

France participating business

0.18%

0.21%

0.24%

0.29%

0.30%

0.33%

0.16%

0.33%

0.29%

0.21%

Italy participating business

0.18%

0.21%

0.24%

0.29%

0.30%

0.33%

0.16%

0.33%

0.29%

0.21%

Spain annuities

0.24%

0.28%

0.32%

0.38%

0.39%

0.44%

0.21%

0.44%

0.38%

0.28%

Spain participating business

0.18%

0.21%

0.24%

0.29%

0.30%

0.33%

0.16%

0.33%

0.29%

0.21%

1    The comparative periods have been restated as set out in note F1 - Basis of preparation.

2    An additional provision of £230 million (HY13: £150 million) has been set aside by the UK due to the uncertainty in their estimation of future liquidity premium on mark to model assets (commercial, healthcare and equity release mortgages). This additional provision reduces total MCEV only.

3    The approach to estimating the liquidity premium on new business in the UK has been revised during 2014, with an immaterial impact at both 30 June 2014 and the comparative periods.

 

The approach to estimating the market level of liquidity premium is consistent with the formula structure proposed by CFO/CRO Forum and adopted in the Solvency II Fifth Quantitative Impact Study (QIS5).

 

 

 

 

Page 147

 

 

F19 - Principal assumptions continued

(a) Economic assumptions - Deterministic calculations continued

The formula for the liquidity premium is:

      United Kingdom/Europe:                 50% of (iBoxx Corporate bond spread - 40bp)

 

The CEIOPS (now EIOPA) Task Force on Liquidity Premium issued a set of Principles dated 1 March 2010 on the application of the liquidity premium. Principle 2 states that "The liquidity premium should be independent of the investment strategy followed by the company". In agreement with this, Aviva has removed the requirement for the liquidity premium to only apply to those liabilities backed by corporate bonds or certain illiquid non-traded assets (notably UK commercial mortgages). As a consequence an optimised notional portfolio is assumed which can include the actual assets backing the liabilities.

      For assets valued on a marked to model basis (notably UK commercial mortgages) the liquidity premium continues to be estimated consistently with the underlying valuation model. For all other assets, the formula stated above is adopted.

      The application of the liquidity premium has also been extended to apply to participating business, and the adjustment to annuity type contracts exposed to some lapse risk (15% reduction to the market level of liquidity premium) has been removed. An adjustment factor is now applied to the market level of liquidity premium to reflect the degree to which the liabilities are illiquid. The adjustment applied to various product lines is as follows:

n 100% of full liquidity premium applied to Immediate Annuities, UK Bulk Purchase Annuities and Spanish cash flow matched business such as Financial Annuities;

n 75% of full liquidity premium applied to participating contracts (both UK and Continental European types) and deferred annuities; and

n 0% of full liquidity premium applied to all other products

 

The liquidity premium is applied to all components of the MCEV with the exception of the adjustment for the "look-through" into service company expenses. There is no term structure for the liquidity premium.

Risk premium - used for operating profit, Implied Discount Rates (IDR), Internal Rates of Return (IRR) and payback period

For life and pensions operating earnings, Aviva uses normalised investment returns. The normalised investment returns are

expressed as a swap rate based on the typical duration of the assets held plus an asset risk premium. More detail is given in note

F1 - Basis of preparation.

      The use of asset risk premia only impacts operating earnings as expected returns reflect management's long-term expectations of asset returns in excess of the reference rate from investing in different asset classes. This assumption does not impact the embedded value or value of new business as asset risk premia are not recognised until earned. The asset risk premia set out in the table below are added to the ten year swap rate to calculate expected returns.

 

All territories

30 June

2014

30 June

2013

Full Year

2013

Full Year

2012

Equity risk premium

3.5%

3.5%

3.5%

3.5%

Property risk premium

2.0%

2.0%

2.0%

2.0%

 

Future returns on fixed interest investments are calculated from prospective yields less an adjustment for credit risk; this includes an adjustment for credit risk on all Eurozone sovereign debt.

Required capital and tax

 

 

 




Tax rates1

Required capital (% EU minimum or

equivalent)


30 June

2014

30 June

2013

Full Year

2013

Full Year

2012

30 June

2014

30 June

2013

Full Year

2013

United Kingdom2

20.0%

20.0%

20.0%

23.0%

100%/200%

100%/200%

100%/200%

Ireland

12.5%

12.5%

12.5%

12.5%

180%

180.0%

180.0%

France

34.4%

34.4%

34.4%

34.4%

107.5%

107.5%

107.5%

Spain3

30.0%

30.0%

30.0%

30.0%

192.4%

197.0%

188.1%

Italy4

33.7%

34.3%

34.3%

34.3%

115.7%

222.0%

191.7%

Poland

19.0%

19.0%

19.0%

19.0%

125.5%

125.5%

125.5%

1    Current tax legislation and rates have been assumed to continue unaltered except where changes in future tax rates have been substantively enacted.

2    The required capital in the United Kingdom under MCEV is 100% for unit-linked and other non-participating business and annuity business with 200% for BPA business. In addition, the reattribution of the inherited estate has led to additional capital being locked in to support the with-profit business, and this has been included within required capital.

3    This is the aggregate required capital for in force business in Spain. New business metrics continue to use management target levels of required capital (123% - 134% of EU minimum), which better reflects the capital requirements of the new business.

4    This is the aggregate required capital level for in force business in Italy and reflects the current economic environment. Higher percentages in comparative periods reflect the inclusion of Eurovita at that time.

 

The main rate of UK Corporation tax was reduced to 21% from 1 April 2014, with a further reduction to 20% from 1 April 2015. This reduction to 20% is considered a known future change for MCEV purposes and has been reflected in the Group's MCEV net assets as at 30 June 2014.

 

 

 

 

Page 148

 

 

F19 - Principal assumptions continued

Following the inclusion of the 3% dividend distribution tax in the France MCEV at 31 December 2013, Aviva has undertaken a review to ensure that dividend withholding taxes across the territories in which it does business are consistently treated in its results. As a result, the MCEV of Aviva's Turkish joint venture business has been adjusted to reflect the 15% withholding tax payable on distribution of profits to its Aviva Group UK shareholder. As this adjustment is a model refinement it has been made to the opening MCEV with an impact of £(19) million (net of tax and minority interest) presented within economic variances in note F3 and F10. Furthermore all components of MCEV profit during 2014 have also been adjusted to reflect the additional withholding tax due, which has had an impact of £(4) million (net of tax and minority interest) in the first six months of 2014.

      There has been a reduction in the tax rate in Italy from 34.3% to 33.7%, following the reduction in the regional tax on productive activities (IRAP) from 6.82% to 6.22%, with effect from 1 January 2014. The reduced rate has been used in the calculation of the MCEV results for the period ended 30 June 2014 with an impact of £2 million (net of tax and minority interests).

Other economic assumptions

Required capital relating to with-profit business is generally assumed to be covered by the surplus within the with-profit funds and no effect has been attributed to shareholders. Where the fund is insufficient and additional shareholder support is required, this is included within required capital, including the RIEESA in the UK. Bonus rates on participating business have been set at levels consistent with the economic assumptions. The distribution of profit between policyholders and shareholders within the with-profit funds assumes that the shareholder interest in conventional with-profit business in the UK and Ireland continues at the current rate of one-ninth of the cost of bonus. In the UK, two capital management actions have been taken that enable certain shareholder assets to be reflected on the regulatory balance sheet and the economic risk to be hedged more efficiently.  The first involved the transfer of certain assets and associated liabilities from the RIEESA to the New With Profits Sub Fund (NWPSF).  The second capital management action results in future shareholder transfers (that arise as bonuses are paid to policyholders) emerging in the NWPSF rather than the NPSF and this reduces the present value of in-force covered business with an offsetting increase in required capital and free surplus. These effects are presented within 'Other operating variances' in note F10.

(b) Economic assumptions - Stochastic calculations

The calculation of time value of options and guarantees allows for expected management and policyholder actions in response to varying future investment conditions. The management actions modelled include changes to asset mix, bonus rates and rates of interest and other guarantees granted to policyholders. Modelled policyholder actions are described under 'Non-economic assumptions'.

Model - United Kingdom

Swap rates are generated by a model, the LIBOR Market Model Plus (LMM+), which projects a full swap curve at monthly intervals.

Forward rates are assumed to have a distribution that lies between the log-normal and normal distributions. Although this no longer guarantees non-negative interest rates, it maintains interest rates within a more plausible range than the standard Libor Market Model, and gives a better fit to certain swaption volatility surfaces. The model is calibrated to volatilities for swaptions for ten year swaps for a range of option terms and strike rates. Swaption volatilities are taken from SuperDerivatives. Tests have been performed to ensure that sufficient scenarios have been used that the result converges to the stochastic value of the business
being valued.

      The total annual return on equities is calculated as the return on one-year swaps plus an excess return. A stochastic volatility jump defusion model is used, which allows for varying levels of volatility over time and across strike prices. Option volatilities are taken from Markit.

      The model also generates property total returns and real yield curves, which are significant asset classes for the UK. In the absence of liquid market data, the property volatilities are based on historic data.

      Assumptions for correlations between asset classes have been set based on historic data.

Model - Europe and Asia

Swap rates are generated by a model, the LIBOR Market Model (LMM) that projects a full swap curve at monthly intervals. Forward rates are assumed to have a log-normal distribution which guarantees non-negative interest rates. The introduction of a liquidity premium results in a parallel shift in the underlying yield curve. The model is calibrated to at-the-money options of a variety of terms and tenors. Swaption volatilities are taken from SuperDerivatives. Tests have been performed to ensure that sufficient scenarios have been used that the result converges to the stochastic value of the business being valued.

      The total annual return on equities is calculated as the return on one-year swaps plus a liquidity premium, where applicable, plus an excess return. This excess return is generally modelled using a log-normal model where volatility varies by time horizon. This allows the model to capture the term structure of implied volatilities. For most business, the model is calibrated to at-the-money options for a variety of terms; the exception is the model in Poland which uses a fixed volatility based on historic data, given the lack of a deep and liquid market for options in Poland. Option volatilities are taken from Markit.

      Assumptions for correlations between asset classes have been set based on historic data.

Asset classes

The significant asset classes for UK participating business are equities, property and long-term fixed rate bonds. The most significant assumptions are the distribution of future long-term interest rates (nominal and real) and swaption implied volatilities.

      For many businesses, including France, the most important assets are fixed rate bonds of various durations. For Poland the most significant asset class is equity.

 

 

 

 

Page 149

 

 

F19 - Principal assumptions continued

Summary statistics

Swaption implied volatilities

The implied volatility is that determined by Black-Scholes' formula to reproduce the market price of the option. The following table

sets out the swaption implied volatilities.

 


30 June 2014

Swap length

30 June 2013

 Swap length

31 December 2013

Swap length

Option length

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

UK Sterling













10 years

18.3%

17.5%

16.8%

16.3%

17.8%

17.4%

17.0%

16.7%

16.3%

16.0%

15.5%

15.2%

15 years

16.7%

15.9%

15.2%

14.7%

16.3%

15.9%

15.4%

15.1%

15.4%

14.9%

14.2%

13.8%

20 years

16.1%

15.1%

14.2%

13.5%

15.9%

15.3%

14.6%

14.2%

15.1%

14.3%

13.5%

13.0%

25 years

15.6%

14.6%

13.5%

12.7%

15.8%

15.1%

14.5%

14.0%

14.9%

14.2%

13.2%

12.5%

Euro













10 years

24.0%

22.6%

21.8%

21.2%

23.8%

23.1%

22.4%

21.9%

23.3%

22.3%

21.7%

21.1%

15 years

23.4%

21.6%

20.1%

19.4%

24.8%

23.4%

21.7%

20.9%

23.3%

21.5%

20.2%

19.3%

20 years

23.3%

20.7%

18.7%

18.0%

24.7%

22.0%

19.6%

18.6%

23.0%

20.3%

18.4%

17.5%

25 years

22.5%

19.4%

17.4%

16.7%

23.0%

19.8%

18.2%

17.1%

21.8%

18.7%

16.9%

15.9%

Poland Zloty1













10 years

21.3%

20.7%

20.0%

19.3%

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

19.2%

19.0%

18.6%

18.1%

15 years

18.5%

17.8%

17.1%

16.3%

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

16.6%

16.3%

15.8%

15.2%

20 years

16.7%

16.0%

15.3%

14.6%

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

15.1%

14.7%

14.2%

13.6%

25 years

15.1%

14.4%

13.7%

13.1%

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

13.8%

13.3%

12.8%

12.3%

1    Based on implied volatilities from modelled returns.

Equity implied volatilities

The implied volatility is that determined by the Black-Scholes formula to reproduce the market price of the option, except for Poland as noted above. The following table sets out the equity implied volatilities.

 


30 June 2014

Option length

UK

Ireland

France

Spain

Italy

Poland

5 years

17.8%

19.7%

19.7%

21.6%

19.7%

30.0%

10 years

20.4%

20.7%

20.7%

22.6%

20.7%

30.0%

15 years

20.8%

21.2%

21.2%

23.0%

21.2%

30.0%

 


30 June 2013

Option length

UK

Ireland

France

Spain

Italy

Poland

5 years

21.7%

22.5%

22.5%

26.3%

22.5%

n/a

10 years

25.0%

23.1%

23.1%

27.0%

23.1%

n/a

15 years

26.9%

23.4%

23.4%

27.2%

23.4%

n/a

 


31 December 2013

Option length

UK

Ireland

France

Spain

Italy

Poland

5 years

18.9%

20.1%

20.1%

23.4%

20.1%

30.0%

10 years

22.1%

20.6%

20.6%

24.1%

20.6%

30.0%

15 years

22.4%

21.4%

21.4%

24.7%

21.4%

30.0%

Property implied volatilities

Best estimate levels of volatility have been used in the absence of meaningful option prices from which implied levels of volatility can be derived.

      For the UK, model property implied volatility is 15% for 30 June 2014 (30 June 2013: 15%; 31 December 2013: 15%).

(c) Non-economic assumptions

Demographic assumptions

Assumed future mortality, morbidity and lapse rates have been derived from an analysis of Aviva's recent operating experience with

a view to giving a best estimate of future experience. We have anticipated future changes in experience where that is appropriate,

for example we have allowed for improvements in future policyholder longevity.

      We have set the assumptions based on a best estimate of shareholder outcomes. In particular, where the policyholder behaviour varies with economic experience, we have set assumptions which are dynamic, that is, vary depending on the economic assumptions.

      For example, surrender and option take up rate assumptions that vary according to the investment scenario under consideration have been used in the calculation of the time value of options and guarantees, based on our assessment of likely policyholder behaviour in different investment scenarios.

      Additionally, where demographic experience is not driven by economic scenarios but is asymmetric on a stand-alone basis, the best estimate assumption considers the weighted-average expected experience, not simply the median or most likely outcome.

 

 

 

 

Page 150

 

 

F19 - Principal assumptions continued

Expense assumptions

Management expenses and operating expenses of holding companies attributed to life and related businesses have been included in the MCEV calculations and split between expenses relating to the acquisition of new business, the maintenance of business in-force and project expenses. Future expense assumptions include an allowance for maintenance expenses and a proportion of recurring project expenses. Certain expenses of an exceptional nature, when they occur, are identified separately and are generally charged as incurred. No future productivity gains have been anticipated, although in a number of start-up operations an allowance is made for the spreading of fixed costs over a larger volume of business. In the UK maintenance expense assumption changes in the current period are driven by expense savings as a result of continuing restructuring and process improvements, reducing the current and long-term cost base. 

      Where subsidiary companies provide administration, investment management or other services to our life businesses, the value

of profits or losses arising from these services have been included in the embedded value and value of new business.

Poland Pensions potential legislation change

During 2013 a review of the Pillar II Pensions system (OFE) was carried out and on 4 September 2013, the Polish government announced a preferred option to change the system, with the draft law being published on 10 October 2013. The changes are significant and in summary involved the transfer of over 50% of existing pensions assets to the state system along with an additional gradual transfer 10 years before retirement; in addition new premiums will be credited to the state system unless pension scheme members specifically state otherwise.

      The document enacting the law was signed by the President on 27 December 2013 and became law on 1 February 2014. Given the scale of the changes, the impact on the value of the Poland pensions business at 31 December 2013 was significant, reducing the value in force  by £236 million (net of tax and minority interests), based on an assumption of 70% of existing customers directing future premiums to the state system. This has been revised to 97% at 30 June 2014 following experience during the first half of the year. The impact of this at 30 June 2014 has been to further reduce the value in force by £38 million (net of tax and minority interests).

UK budget announcement on annuity reform

On 19 March 2014, the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer announced new legislation that removes the requirement for people who are retiring to take their defined contribution pension as an annuity. From April 2015 anyone who is aged 55 or over will be able to take their entire pension fund as cash, although only the first 25% will be tax-free. The remaining 75% of the fund will be taxed at the saver's marginal rate.

      Following the announcement, Aviva has experienced decreased demand for annuities in the UK, although the average size of annuities has increased and annuities still play a central role in post-retirement financial planning as a tax efficient method of securing a guaranteed lifetime income. The reforms are expected to have an influence on policyholder behaviour, however the impact is uncertain given the recent timing of the announcement, and consequently no adjustment has been made to any assumption at HY14.

UK pension scheme charge caps and commission

On 27 March 2014 the Pensions Minister announced that fees on default funds in auto-enrolment schemes would be capped at 0.75% p.a. from April 2015; and both active member discounts and commission payments will not be permitted from April 2016. Further clarification on certain aspects of the announcement is expected in the second half of 2014. Based on the available information, Aviva's response has been to:

n Apply a cap on annual management charges on default funds of 0.75% p.a.

n Set the active charge equal to the scheme annual management charge where an active member discount has previously
been applied

n Remove commission and fund based consultancy charges

n Reduce annual management charges to allow for the removal of commission.

 

The expected impact on MCEV has been estimated as £150 million and this amount has been deducted from the value-in-force at HY14, thereby reducing the closing MCEV.

 

Non-hedgeable risk

For the balance sheet and operating profit, a charge of 3.9% (HY13: 3.6%; FY13: 3.9%) has been applied to the group-diversified capital required on a 1-in-200 one-year basis over the remaining lifetime of in-force business. The charge is set so as to give an aggregate allowance that is in excess of the expected operational risk costs arising from the in-force covered business over its remaining lifetime. The increase in the charge since HY13 results from a reassessment of the group diversification benefit.

      The capital levels used are projected to be sufficient to cover non-hedgeable risks at the 99.5% confidence level one-year after the valuation date. The capital is equal to the capital from the ICA results for those risks considered including allowance for management actions consistent with the base MCEV. Diversification benefits are included between non-hedgeable risks of the covered business. No diversification benefit is assumed with hedgeable risks of the covered business or with non-covered business in general. The capital has been projected as running off over the remaining life of the in-force portfolio in line with the drivers of the capital requirement.

      In addition to the operational risk allowance, financial non-hedgeable risks and other product level asymmetries have been allowed for. These allowances are not material as significant financial non-hedgeable risks and product level asymmetries are either modelled explicitly and included in the TVOG or are included in the PVFP through the use of appropriate best estimate assumptions.

Other

It has been assumed that there will be no changes to the methods and bases used to calculate the statutory technical provisions and current surrender values, except where driven by varying future investment conditions under stochastic economic scenarios.

 

 

 

 

Page 151

 

 

F19 - Principal assumptions continued

(d) Held for sale operations, sold operations and other disposals

During the first half of 2014, certain life covered operations were either sold or re-classified from held for sale (consistent with the IFRS classification).

US long - term business

On 21 December 2012 the Group announced that it had agreed to sell the US life operations, consisting of Aviva Life and Annuity Company and the associated internal asset management operations of Aviva Investors North America, Inc, to Athene Holding Ltd for consideration of £1.0 billion including the shareholder loan (£1.1 billion including repayment of external loan) and these operations were classified as held for sale.  

      The sale of the Aviva US business completed on 2 October 2013 and the transaction proceeds received were based on the estimated earnings and other improvements in the statutory surplus over the period from 30 June 2012 to 30 September 2013. The final purchase price is subject to customary completion adjustments. The process to agree completion adjustments is on-going and is expected to complete in the second half of 2014. Until the outcome of this process is known there remains uncertainty on the final determination of the completion adjustment. The transaction resulted in a profit on disposal of £808 million in 2013, reflecting management's best estimate of the completion adjustments.

Italian long - term business - Eurovita

During 2013 the Italian long-term business Eurovita Assicurazioni S.p.A ("Eurovita") was classified as held for sale, as a result of management determining that the value of this business will principally be recovered through sale. Following classification as held for sale, Eurovita, included with the "Europe" operating segment, was re-measured to fair value less cost to sell resulting in a decrease to the closing MCEV at 31 December 2013 of £17 million. This figure has increased since FY13 due to the MCEV restatement, which increased the MCEV of Eurovita but had no impact on the sale price. The disposal completed on 30 June 2014 with net proceeds of £32 million and loss on sale of £3 million.

Korean long - term business

During 2013, the Group's Korean joint venture business, Woori Aviva Life Insurance ("WALI"), was classified as held for sale following the decision of management to seek to dispose of the business. Following classification as held for sale, WALI, included within the "Asia" operating segment, was re-measured to fair value less cost to sell, resulting in an increase to the closing MCEV at 31 December 2013 of £48 million. The disposal completed on 27 June 2014 with net proceeds of £17 million and profit on sale of £6 million.

Indonesian long - term business

During 2013, the Group's 60% stake in the Indonesian business "Aviva Indonesia" was classified as held for sale following the intention to structure the business as a joint venture where Aviva's ownership is 50%. Following classification as held for sale, Aviva Indonesia was re-measured to fair value less cost to sell, resulting in an increase to the closing MCEV at 31 December 2013 of £4 million.

      The restructure completed on 26 May 2014 with a loss of £6 million and this business is included in the consolidated statement of financial position at its closing MCEV.

Other held for sale operations

During 2014 it was determined that the value of the Group's Taiwan joint venture, First - Aviva Life Insurance Co Ltd would no longer be recovered principally through a sale. As a result, the business was reclassified out of 'assets of operations held for sale'. Consequently, this business is included in the consolidated statement of financial position at its closing MCEV.

Held for sale operations in the comparative periods

During 2013 several additional operations were held for sale which have now been sold. Details are as follows:

n Aseval Aseguradora Valenciana, Sociedad Anonima de Seguros y Reaseguros ("Aseval") was sold to Bankia SA ("Bankia") on 24 April 2013.

n Aviva Life Holdings Ireland Limited ("ALHI") sold Ark Life Assurance Company ("Ark Life") to Allied Irish Bank ("AIB") on 8 March 2013. 

n The Group's Malaysian joint ventures were sold to Sun Life Assurance Company of Canada on 12 April 2013

n Aviva Russia was sold to Blagosostoyanie on 8 April 2013

n The Group's Romanian pensions business was sold on 7 May 2013

n Aviva transferred 16% of its holdings in its Polish joint venture business to Bank Zachodni WBK S.A., its partner in these operations, on 20 December 2013

 

 

 

 

Page 152

 

 

F19 - Principal assumptions continued

(e) Other assumptions

Valuation of debt

Borrowings in the MCEV consolidated statement of financial position are valued on an IFRS basis, consistent with the IFRS primary financial statements. At 30 June 2014 the market value of the Group's external debt, subordinated debt, preference shares including General Accident plc preference shares of £250 million (classified as non-controlling interests) and direct capital instrument was £7,486 million (30 June 2013: £7,499 million; 31 December 2013: £7,573 million).

 


6 months 2014

£m

6 months 2013

£m

Full Year 2013

£m

Borrowings per summarised consolidated statement of financial position - MCEV basis

6,944

8,254

7,819

Add: Amount included in held for sale

-

212

29

Less: Securitised mortgage funding

(1,340)

(1,284)

(1,313)

Borrowings excluding non-recourse funding - MCEV basis

5,604

7,182

6,535

Less: Operational financing by businesses

(771)

(1,721)

(1,410)

External debt and subordinated debt - MCEV basis

4,833

5,461

5,125

Add: Preference shares (including General Accident plc), direct capital instrument and fixed rate tier 1 notes

1,832

1,832

1,832

External debt, subordinated debt, preference shares, direct capital instrument and fixed tier 1 notes - MCEV basis

6,665

7,293

6,957

Effect of marking these instruments to market

821

206

616

Market value of external debt, subordinated debt, preference shares, direct capital instrument and
fixed rate tier 1 notes

7,486

7,499

7,573

Exchange rates

The Group's principal overseas operations during the period were located within the Eurozone and Poland. The results and cash flows of these operations have been translated into sterling at the average rates for the period and the assets and liabilities have been translated at the period end rates as follows:

 


6 months 2014

6 months 2013

Full Year 2013

Eurozone




Average rate (€1 equals)

£0.82

£0.85

£0.85

Period end rate (€1 equals)

£0.80

£0.86

£0.83

Canada




Average rate ($CAD1 equals)

£0.55

£0.64

£0.62

Period end rate ($CAD1 equals)

£0.55

£0.62

£0.57

Poland




Average rate (PLN1 equals)

£0.20

£0.20

£0.20

Period end rate (PLN1 equals)

£0.19

£0.20

£0.20

United States




Average rate ($US1 equals)

£0.60

£0.65

£0.64

Period end rate ($US1 equals)

£0.58

£0.66

£0.60

 

 

 

 

Page 153

 

 

F20 - Sensitivity analysis

(a) Economic assumptions

The following tables show the sensitivity of the embedded value and the value of new business to:

n 10 basis point increase in the liquidity premium adjustment, where applicable;

n one percentage point increase and decrease in the risk-free rate with a floor of 0%, including all consequential changes (including assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets, risk discount rates);

n 10% increase and decrease in market values of equity and property assets;

n 25% multiplicative increase in equity, property and swaption volatilities;

n 50 basis point increase and decrease in credit spreads with no change to liquidity premium; and

n decrease in the level of required capital to 100% EU minimum (or equivalent).

 

In each sensitivity calculation, all other assumptions remain unchanged except where they are directly affected by the revised economic conditions. For example, future bonus rates are automatically adjusted to reflect sensitivity changes to future investment returns. Some of the sensitivity scenarios may have consequential effects on valuation bases, where the basis for certain blocks of business is actively updated to reflect current economic circumstances. Consequential valuation impacts on the sensitivities are allowed for where an active valuation basis is used. Where businesses have a target asset mix, the portfolio is re-balanced after a significant market movement otherwise no re-balancing is assumed.

      For new business, the sensitivities reflect the impact of a change immediately after inception of the policy.

      In general, the magnitude of the sensitivities will reflect the size of the embedded values, though this will vary as the sensitivities have different impacts on the different components of the embedded value. In addition, other factors can have a material impact, such as the nature of the options and guarantees, as well as the types of investments held.

      The credit spread sensitivities assume that the change relates to credit risk and not liquidity risk; in practice, credit spread movements may be partially offset due to changes in liquidity risk. Own sovereign debt is excluded from credit spread sensitivities.

      Sensitivities will also vary according to the current economic assumptions, mainly due to the impact of changes to both the intrinsic cost and time value of options and guarantees. Options and guarantees are the main reason for the asymmetry of the sensitivities where the guarantee impacts to different extents under the different scenarios.

Life and related business embedded value

 




Interest rates


30 June 2014

Embedded value

(net of non-controlling interests)

As reported

in F12

£m

10bp

increase in

adjustment

to risk-free

rates

£m

1%

increase

£m

1%

decrease

£m

25%

increase in swaption

implied

volatilities

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

8,421

270

(160)

125

(5)

France

3,582

60

85

(285)

(160)

Poland, Italy, Spain and Other Europe

2,326

5

(55)

65

-

Asia and Other

980

-

25

(55)

(5)

Total

15,309

335

(105)

(150)

(170)

 



Equity/property

Credit spread


30 June 2014

Embedded value

(net of non-controlling interests)

As reported

in F12

£m

10%

increase in market values

£m

10%

decrease in market values

£m

 

25%

increase in volatility

£m

50bps

increase

£m

50bps

decrease

£m

EU

minimum

capital or

equivalent

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

8,421

125

(145)

(110)

(1,015)

1,095

-

France

3,582

270

(275)

(145)

(40)

40

25

Poland, Italy, Spain and Other Europe

2,326

35

(35)

(15)

(25)

25

5

Asia and Other

980

15

(15)

(5)

(20)

20

15

Total

15,309

445

(470)

(275)

(1,100)

1,180

45

 

 

 

 

Page 154

 

 

F20 - Sensitivity analysis continued

New business

 




Interest rates


30 June 2014

Value of new business

(net of tax and non-controlling interests)

As reported

in F14

£m

10bp

increase in

adjustment

to risk-free

rates

£m

1%

increase

£m

1%

decrease

£m

25%

increase in swaption

implied

volatilities

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

147

4

(4)

5

-

France

66

-

3

(9)

(3)

Poland, Italy, Spain and Other Europe

46

-

(3)

2

-

Asia and Other

54

-

5

(7)

-

Total

313

4

1

(9)

(3)

 



Equity/property

Credit spread


30 June 2014

Value of new business

(net of tax and non-controlling interests)

As reported

in F14

£m

10%

increase in market values

£m

10%

decrease in market values

£m

 

25%

increase in volatility

£m

50bps

increase

£m

50bps

decrease

£m

EU

minimum

capital or

equivalent

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

147

-

-

-

(17)

18

-

France

66

5

(3)

(1)

(2)

1

-

Poland, Italy, Spain and Other Europe

46

-

-

-

-

-

-

Asia and Other

54

-

-

-

-

-

1

Total

313

5

(3)

(1)

(19)

19

1

(b) Non-economic assumptions

The following tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value and the value of new business to the following changes in non-economic assumptions:

n 10% decrease in maintenance expenses (a 10% sensitivity on a base expense assumption of £10 pa would represent an expense assumption of £9 pa). Where there is a "look through" into service company expenses the fee charged by the service company is unchanged while the underlying expense decreases;

n 10% decrease in lapse rates (a 10% sensitivity on a base assumption of 5% pa would represent a lapse rate of 4.5% pa); and

n 5% decrease in both mortality and morbidity rates disclosed separately for life assurance and annuity business.

 

No future management actions are modelled in reaction to the changing non-economic assumptions. In each sensitivity calculation all other assumptions remain unchanged. No changes to valuation bases have been included.

Life and related business embedded value

 

30 June 2014

Embedded value

(net of non-controlling interests)

As reported

in F12

£m

10%

decrease in

maintenance

expenses

£m

10%

decrease in

lapse rates

£m

5%

decrease in

mortality/

morbidity

rates - life

assurance

£m

5%

decrease in

mortality/

morbidity

rates - annuity

business

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

8,421

220

90

195

(380)

France

3,582

110

40

25

(25)

Poland, Italy, Spain and Other Europe

2,326

40

95

25

-

Asia and Other

980

35

30

25

-

Total

15,309

405

255

270

(405)

New business

 

30 June 2014

Value of new business

(net of tax and non-controlling interests)

As reported

in F14

£m

10%

decrease in

maintenance

expenses

£m

10%

decrease in

lapse rates

£m

5%

decrease in

mortality/

morbidity

rates - life

assurance

£m

5%

decrease in

mortality/

morbidity

rates - annuity

business

£m

United Kingdom & Ireland

147

16

6

19

(3)

France

66

2

2

1

-

Poland, Italy, Spain and Other Europe

46

3

6

1

-

Asia and Other

54

3

2

1

-

Total

313

24

16

22

(3)

 

 

 

 

Page 155

 

 

Directors' responsibility statement

 

 

Statement of directors' responsibilities in respect of the Market Consistent Embedded Value (MCEV) basis

When compliance with the European Insurance CFO Forum Market Consistent Embedded Value Principles (MCEV Principles), published in October 2009, is stated, those principles require the directors to prepare supplementary information in accordance with the methodology contained in the MCEV Principles and to disclose and explain any non-compliance with the guidance included in the MCEV Principles.

      In preparing this supplementary information, the directors have done so in accordance with these MCEV principles with the exception of stating held for sale operations as at 30 June 2013 and 31 December 2013 at their expected fair value, as represented by expected sales proceeds, less cost to sell at those dates and have also complied with the guidance as set out in the basis of preparation. Specifically the directors have:

n determined assumptions on a realistic basis, having regard to past, current and expected future experience and to relevant external data, and then applied them consistently;

n made estimates that are reasonable and consistent; and,

n provided additional disclosures when compliance with the specific requirements of the MCEV Principles is insufficient to enable users to understand the impact of particular transactions, other events and conditions and the Group's financial position and financial performance.

 

Information on the current directors responsible for providing this statement can be found on the Company's website http://www.aviva.com/investor-relations/corporate-governance/board-of-directors/

 

 

By order of the Board

 

 

 

Thomas D. Stoddard

Chief financial officer

6 August 2014

 

 

 

 

Page 156

 

Independent review report to Aviva plc

 

 

Report on the consolidated MCEV financial statements

Our qualified conclusion

We have reviewed the consolidated MCEV financial statements, defined below, in the half year report of Aviva Plc ("the half year report") for the six months ended 30 June 2014. Based on our review, except for the effects of the matter described in the 'Basis for qualified conclusion' paragraph below, nothing has come to our attention that causes us to believe that the consolidated MCEV financial statements are not prepared, in all material respects, in accordance with the European Insurance CFO Forum MCEV Principles issued in June 2008 and as amended in October 2009 ("CFO Forum Principles") and the Basis of Preparation set out on pages 121 to 126.

      This conclusion is to be read in the context of what we say in the remainder of this report.

Basis for qualified conclusion

Our qualified conclusion is in relation to the preparation of the consolidated MCEV financial statements for the half year ended 30 June 2013 and year ended 31 December 2013 and the related impacts on the comparability of the financial information in the current period with these prior periods.

      As explained in Note F1 - Basis of Preparation to the consolidated MCEV financial statements, the net assets of held for sale operations were stated at their expected fair value less costs to sell from the year ended 31 December 2012 until their disposal in the year ended 31 December 2013 because the directors believed this to be a better assessment of the value to shareholders' from these operations. At 1 January 2013, the carrying value of the held for sale operations was £1,264 million in excess of their MCEV. Following the disposal of the held for sale operations during the year ended 31 December 2013, the profit on disposal and remeasurement of subsidiaries and associates was calculated as the difference between the expected fair value less costs to sell at 1 January 2013 and the actual fair value of the consideration received less transaction costs. By stating the held for sale operations at a value in excess of their MCEV up to the date of disposal the consolidated MCEV financial statements did not comply with the CFO Forum Principles in the comparative periods. If the consolidated MCEV financial statements had been prepared in accordance with the CFO Forum Principles the profit for the year ended 31 December 2013 would have increased by £1,264 million to £4,497 million. It is not practicable for us to quantify the effect of the non-compliance for the half year ended 30 June 2013.

What we have reviewed

The consolidated MCEV financial statements, which are prepared by Aviva plc, comprise:

n the consolidated income statement - MCEV basis for the six months ended 30 June 2014;

n the consolidated statement of comprehensive income - MCEV Basis for the six months ended 30 June 2014;

n the consolidated statement of changes in equity - MCEV basis for the six months ended 30 June 2014;

n the consolidated statement of financial position - MCEV basis as at 30 June 2014;

n the reconciliation of shareholders' equity on IFRS and MCEV bases as at 30 June 2014;

n the reconciliation of IFRS total equity to Life MCEV as at 30 June 2014;

n the reconciliation of IFRS total equity to Life MCEV net worth as at 30 June 2014;

n the group MCEV analysis of earnings for the six months ended 30 June 2014; and

n the explanatory notes to the consolidated MCEV financial statements.

 

We have reported separately on the condensed consolidated financial statements of Aviva plc prepared on an IFRS basis for the six months ended 30 June 2014. The information contained in the consolidated MCEV financial statements should be read in conjunction with the condensed consolidated financial statements prepared on an IFRS basis, included within the half year report.

The consolidated MCEV financial statements included in the half year report have been prepared in accordance with the CFO Forum Principles and the Basis of Preparation set out on pages 121 to 126.

What a review of consolidated MCEV financial statements involves

We conducted our review in accordance with International Standard on Review Engagements (UK and Ireland) 2410, 'Review of Interim Financial Information Performed by the Independent Auditor of the Entity' issued by the Auditing Practices Board for use in the United Kingdom. A review of interim financial information consists of making enquiries, primarily of persons responsible for financial and accounting matters, and applying analytical and other review procedures.

      A review is substantially less in scope than an audit conducted in accordance with International Standards on Auditing (UK and Ireland) and, consequently, does not enable us to obtain assurance that we would become aware of all significant matters that might be identified in an audit. Accordingly, we do not express an audit opinion.

      We have read the other information contained in the half year report of Aviva plc for the six months ended 30 June 2014 and considered whether it contains any apparent misstatements or material inconsistencies with the information in the consolidated MCEV financial statements.

 

 

 

 

Page 157

 

 

Responsibilities for the consolidated MCEV financial statements and the review

Our responsibilities and those of the directors

The half year report, including the consolidated MCEV financial statements, is the responsibility of, and has been approved by, the directors. The directors are responsible for preparing the half year report in accordance with the Disclosure and Transparency Rules of the United Kingdom's Financial Conduct Authority, and for preparing the consolidated MCEV financial statements in accordance with the CFO Forum Principles and the Basis of Preparation set out on pages 121 to 126.

      Our responsibility is to express to the company a conclusion on the consolidated MCEV financial statements in the half year report based on our review. This report, including the conclusion, has been prepared for and only for the company for the purpose of complying with the CFO Forum Principles and the Basis of Preparation set out on pages 121 to 126 and for no other purpose. We do not, in giving this conclusion, accept or assume responsibility for any other purpose or to any other person to whom this report is shown or into whose hands it may come save where expressly agreed by our prior consent in writing.

 

 

 

 

PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

Chartered Accountants

London

6 August 2014

 

 

Notes:

(a)  The maintenance and integrity of the Aviva plc website is the responsibility of the directors; the work carried out by the auditors does not involve consideration of these matters and, accordingly, the auditors accept no responsibility for any changes that may have occurred to the financial statements since they were initially presented on the website.

(b)  Legislation in the United Kingdom governing the preparation and dissemination of financial statements may differ from legislation in other jurisdictions.

 

 

 

Page 158

 

 

This page is intentionally left blank

 

 

 

 

Page 159

 

Other information

 

 

In this section

Page

Glossary

160

Shareholder services

164

 

 

 

 

 

Page 160

 

Glossary

 

Product definitions

Annuities

A type of policy that pays out regular amounts of benefit, either immediately and for the remainder of a person's lifetime, or deferred to commence from a future date. Immediate annuities may be purchased for an individual and his or her dependants or on a bulk purchase basis for groups of people. Deferred annuities are accumulation contracts, which may be used to provide benefits in retirement. Annuities may be guaranteed, unit-linked or index-linked.

Bonds and savings

These are accumulation products with single or regular premiums and unit-linked or guaranteed investment returns.

Critical illness cover

Pays out a lump sum if the insured person is diagnosed with a serious illness that meets the plan definition.

Deferred annuities

An annuity (or pension) due to be paid from a future date or when the policyholder reaches a specified age. A deferred annuity may be funded by a policyholder by payment of a series of regular contributions or by a capital sum.

General insurance

Also known as non-life or property and casualty insurance. Property insurance covers loss or damage through fire, theft, flood, storms and other specified risks. Casualty insurance primarily covers losses arising from accidents that cause injury to other people or damage the property of others.

Group pension

A pension plan that covers a group of people, which is typically purchased by a company and offered to their employees.

Health insurance

Provides cover against loss from illness or bodily injury. Can pay for medicine, visits to the doctor, hospital stays, other medical expenses and loss of earnings, depending on the conditions covered and the benefits and choices of treatment available on the policy.

Income drawdown

The policyholder can transfer money from any pension fund to an income drawdown plan from which they receive an income. The remainder of the pension fund continues to be invested, giving it the potential for growth.

Investment sales

Comprise retail sales of mutual fund-type products such as unit trusts, individual savings accounts (ISAs) and open ended investment companies (OEICs).

Individual savings account (ISAs)

Tax-efficient plans for investing in stocks and shares, cash deposits or life insurance investment funds, subject to certain limits.

Mortgage endowment

An insurance contract combining savings and protection elements which is designed to repay the principal of a loan or mortgage.

Mortgage life insurance

A protection contract designed to pay off the outstanding amount of a mortgage or loan in the event of death of the insured.

 

Open ended investment company (OEIC)

A collective investment fund structured as a limited company in which investors can buy and sell shares.

Pension

A means of providing income in retirement for an individual and possibly his/her dependants.

Personal pension

A pension plan tailored to the individual policyholder, which includes the options to stop, start or change their payments.

Protection

An insurance contract that protects the policyholder or his/her dependants against financial loss on death or ill-health.

Regular premium

A series of payments are made by the policyholder, typically monthly or annually, for part of or all of the duration of the contract.

Collective investment scheme (SICAVs)

This is an open-ended investment fund, structured as a legally independent joint stock company, whose units are issued in the form of shares.

Single premium

A single lump sum is paid by the policyholder at commencement of the contract.

Stakeholder pensions

Low cost and flexible pension plans available in the UK, governed by specific regulations.

Term assurance

A simple form of life insurance, offering cover over a fixed number of years during which a lump sum will be paid out if the life insured dies.

Unit trusts

A form of open ended collective investment constituted under a trust deed, in which investors can buy and sell units.

Whole life

A protection policy that remains in force for the insured's whole life; a lump sum will be paid out on death. Traditional whole life contracts have fixed premium payments that typically cannot be missed without lapsing the policy. Flexible whole life contracts allow the policyholder to vary the premium and/or amount of life cover, within certain limits.

General terms

Annual premium equivalent (APE)

Used as a measure of annual sales, taking the annual premium of regular premium contract plus 10% of single premium contract.

Available for sale (AFS)

Securities that have been acquired neither for short-term sale nor to be held to maturity. These are shown at fair value on the statement of financial position and changes in value
are taken straight to equity instead of the income statement.

Association of British Insurers (ABI)

A major trade association for UK insurance companies, established in July 1985.

 

 

 

 

Page 161

 

Acquired value of in force (AVIF)

The present value of future profits on a portfolio of long-term insurance and investment contracts, acquired either directly or through the purchase of a subsidiary.

Bancassurance

An arrangement whereby banks and building societies sell insurance and investment products to their customers on behalf of other financial providers.

Combined operating ratio (COR)

General insurance COR is calculated as incurred claims expressed as a percentage of net earned premiums, plus written commissions and written expenses expressed as a percentage of net written premiums.

Deferred acquisition costs (DAC)
The costs directly attributable to the acquisition of new business for insurance and investment contracts may be deferred to the extent that they are expected to be recoverable out of future margins in revenue on these contracts.

Fair value

The price that would be received to sell or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date (i.e. an exit price).

Financial Conduct Authority (FCA)

Is one of the two bodies (along with the PRA) which replaced the Financial Services Authority from the 1 April 2013. The FCA is a company limited by guarantee and is independent of the Bank of England. It is responsible for the conduct business regulation of all firms (including those firms subject to prudential regulation by the PRA) and the prudential regulation of firms not regulated by the PRA. The FCA has three statutory objectives: securing an appropriate degree of protection for consumers, protecting and enhancing the integrity of the UK financial system and promoting effective competition in the interests of consumers.

Gross written premiums

The total earnings or revenue generated by sales of insurance products, before any reinsurance is taken into account. Not all premiums written will necessarily be treated as income in the current financial year, because some of them could relate to insurance cover for a subsequent period.

Independent Financial Advisers (IFAs)

A person or organisation, authorised under the FCA, to give independent advice on financial matters.

Internal rate of return (IRR)

A discount rate used to measure profitability. The rate used is that which will bring a series of cash flows to a net present value of nil.

 

International financial reporting standards (IFRS)

These are accounting regulations designed to ensure comparable statement of financial position preparation and disclosure, and are the standards that all publicly listed companies in the European Union are required to use.

Inherited estate

In the UK, the assets of the long-term with-profit funds less the realistic reserves for non-profit policies written within the with-profit funds, less asset shares aggregated across the with-profit policies and any additional amounts expected at the valuation date to be paid to in-force policyholders in the future in respect of smoothing costs and guarantees.

Long-term and savings business

Collective term for life insurance, pensions, savings, investments and related business.

Net written premiums

Total gross written premiums for the given period, minus premiums paid over or 'ceded' to reinsurers.

New business strain (NBS)

The name given to an initial impact on shareholders' net assets when an insurance contract is sold. This "strain" arises because, in addition to meeting costs associated with the sale of contracts, insurance companies must meet capital and reserving requirements at the outset of a contract that are often significantly higher than the premiums received.

Operating expense ratio

The Group operating expense ratio is calculated as the Group's operating expenses from continuing operations expressed as a percentage of the Group's operating profit from continuing operations before Group debt costs and operating expenses.

Operating profit

This is a non-GAAP financial performance measure also referred to as adjusted operating profit or operating profit (IFRS basis). It is based on expected investment returns and stated before tax and before non-operating items including impairment of goodwill, exceptional and other items.

Present value of new business (PVNBP)

Present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business under Market Consistent Embedded Value (MCEV) principles published by the CFO Forum.

Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA)

Is one of the two bodies (along with the FCA) which replaced the Financial Services Authority from the 1 April 2013. The PRA is a part of the Bank of England and is responsible for the prudential regulation of deposit taking institutions, insurers and major investment firms. The PRA has two statutory objectives: to promote the safety and soundness of these firms and, specifically for insurers, to contribute to the securing of an appropriate degree of protection for policyholders.

Solvency II

These are insurance regulations designed to harmonise EU insurance regulation. Primarily this concerns the amount of capital that European insurance companies must hold under a measure of capital and risk. Solvency II is due to become effective from 1 January 2016.

 

 

 

 

Page 162

 

 

UK Corporate Governance Code

The code sets out guidance in the form of principles and provisions on how companies should be directed and controlled to follow good governance practice.

Value of new business (VNB)

VNB is the present value of future profits from new business written at the point of sale. It is calculated on a market consistent basis using economic assumptions set at the start of each quarter and the same operating assumptions as those used to determine the embedded value at the end of the reporting period and is stated after the effect of any frictional costs. Unless otherwise stated, it is quoted net of tax and non-controlling interests.

Market Consistent Embedded Value

(MCEV) terms

Asymmetric risk

Risks that will cause shareholder profits to vary where the variation above and below the average are not equal in distribution.

CFO Forum

The CFO Forum (www.cfoforum.nl) is a group formed by the chief financial officers of major European listed and non-listed insurance companies. Its aim is to discuss issues relating to proposed new accounting regulations for their businesses and how they can create greater transparency for investors.

Cost of non-hedgeable risks

This is the cost of undertaking those risks for which a deep and liquid market in which to hedge that risk does not exist. This can include both financial risks and non-financial risks such as mortality, persistency and expense.

Covered business

The contracts to which the MCEV methodology has been applied.

Financial options and guarantees

Features of the covered business conferring potentially valuable guarantees underlying, or options to change, the level or nature of policyholder benefits and exercisable at the discretion of the policyholder, whose potential value is impacted by the behaviour of financial variables.

Free surplus

The amount of any capital and surplus allocated to, but not required to support, the in-force covered business.

Frictional costs

The additional taxation and investment costs incurred by shareholders through investing the Required Capital in the Company rather than directly.

Group MCEV

A measure of the total consolidated value of the Group with covered life business included on an MCEV basis and non-covered business (including pension schemes and goodwill) included on an IFRS basis.

Gross risk-free yields

Gross of tax yields on risk-free fixed interest investments, generally swap rates under MCEV.

Implicit items

Amounts allowed by local regulators to be deducted from capital amounts when determining the EU required minimum margin.

Life business

Subsidiaries selling life and pensions contracts that are classified as covered business under MCEV.

Life MCEV

The MCEV of covered business as at the reporting date.

Liquidity premium

An addition to the risk-free rate used when projecting investment returns and discounting cash flows on certain types of contracts where the liabilities are illiquid and have cash flows that are predictable.

Look-through basis

Inclusion of the capitalised value of profits and losses arising from subsidiary companies providing administration, investment management and other services to the extent that they relate to covered business.

Market consistent embedded value (MCEV)

A measure of the value of a life business to its shareholders. It is the sum of shareholders net assets and today's value of the future profits that are expected to emerge from business already written, where the assumptions used to calculate future profits are consistent with current market prices for traded assets.

Net worth

The market value of the shareholders' funds and the shareholders' interest in the surplus held in the non-profit component of the long-term business funds, determined on a statutory solvency basis and adjusted to add back any non-admissible assets, and consists of the required capital and free surplus.

New business margin

New business margins are calculated as the value of new business divided by the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP), and expressed as a percentage.

 

 

 

 

Page 163

 

 

Real world equivalent Embedded Value (EqEV)

As for other embedded value measures, EqEV is a way of measuring the current value to shareholders of the in-force portfolio of a life and pensions business. EqEV includes the value of future profits and uses a set of realistic assumptions, including real world expected investment returns, allowing for the impact of the uncertainty in these returns in the risk discount rate.

Required capital

The amount of assets, over and above the value placed on liabilities in respect of covered business, whose distribution to shareholders is restricted.

Service companies

Companies providing administration or fund management services to the covered business.

Solvency cover

The excess of the regulatory value of total assets over total liabilities, divided by the regulatory value of the required minimum solvency margin.

Statutory basis

The valuation basis and approach used for reporting financial statements to local regulators.

Stochastic techniques

Techniques that allow for the potential future variability in assumptions.

Symmetric risks

Risks that will cause shareholder profits to vary where the variation above and below the average are equal and opposite. Financial theory says that investors do not require compensation for non-market risks that are symmetrical as the risks can be diversified away by investors.

Time value and intrinsic value

A financial option or guarantee has two elements of value, the time value and intrinsic value. The intrinsic value is the discounted value of the option or guarantee at expiry, assuming that future economic conditions follow best estimate assumptions. The time value is the additional value arising from uncertainty about future economic conditions.

 

 

 

 

Page 164

 

 

Shareholder services

 

2014 financial calendar

Announcement of third quarter

Interim Management Statement

30 October 2014

Annual General Meeting (AGM)

n The voting results for the 2014 AGM, including proxy votes and votes withheld, can be viewed on our website at www.aviva.com/agm.  There, you will also find a webcast of the formal business of the meeting and information relating to Aviva's annual general meetings since 2002.

Dividends

2014 interim dividend dates - ordinary shares

Ex-dividend date*

9 October 2014

Record date

10 October 2014

Dividend payment date *

17 November 2014

Last day for Dividend

Reinvestment Plan election

27 October 2014

* Please note that the ADR ex-dividend date will be 8 October 2014. The ADR dividend payment date will be 21 November 2014.

 

n Dividends on ordinary shares are normally paid in May and November - please see the table above for the key dates in respect of the 2014 interim dividend.

n Dividends on preference shares are normally paid in March, June, September and December - please visit www.aviva.com/preferenceshares for the latest dividend payment dates.

n Holders of ordinary and preference shares will receive any dividends payable in sterling and holders of ADRs will receive any dividends payable in US dollars.

Direct credit of dividend payments

n If you would like to have your cash dividends paid directly into your bank or building society account, please visit www.aviva.com/dividendmandate for more information or contact the Company's Registrar, Computershare Investor Services Plc (Computershare), using the contact details overleaf.

Overseas global dividend service

n The Global Payments Service provided by Computershare enables shareholders living overseas to elect to receive their dividends in a choice of over 65 international currencies.  For further details and fees for this service please visit www.investorcentre.co.uk/faq and select the Dividends and Payments tab, followed by Global Payment Service.

Dividend Reinvestment Plan

n Computershare operates a Dividend Reinvestment Plan where you can choose to have the cash dividends paid on your Aviva ordinary shares used to purchase additional shares. Full details can be found at www.aviva.com/dividends or by contacting Computershare (contact details overleaf)

Online Shareholder Services

View and manage your holdings online

Aviva ordinary shareholders, preference shareholders and ADR holders can view, find general information and manage their shareholding online by visiting

www.aviva.com/investor-relations/shareholder-services

 

To register you will require your Shareholder Reference Number (11 digit number beginning with a C, I, or G) which you will find on your latest dividend stationery or any share certificate issued since 4 July 2011.

 

On the site, you can:

 

n View your shareholding;

n Change your personal details;

n Switch to electronic communications;

n View your transaction and payment history;

n View your dividend election;

n Arrange direct credit of dividend payments; and

n Access a guide for shareholders (which includes: frequently asked questions, information about the Aviva Share Account, current and historic ordinary share and ADR prices, dividend dates, share dealing information and, when available, presentations from Aviva's senior management).

n View recent Company reports

 

ShareGift

Small parcels of shares, which may be uneconomic to sell on their own, can be donated to ShareGift - the share donation charity (Registered Charity number 1052686). ShareGift transfers these holdings into their name, aggregates them, and uses the proceeds to support a wide range of UK registered charities based on donor suggestion. They can also accept larger donations of shares.

 

If you would like further details about ShareGift, please visit www.sharegift.org or telephone them on +44 (0)20 7930 3737.

 

 

Be on your guard - beware of fraudsters!

Please be very wary of any unsolicited telephone calls or correspondence offering to buy shares at a discount or offering free financial advice or company reports. Boiler rooms use increasingly sophisticated means to approach investors and often leave their victims out of pocket. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has found that most share fraud victims are experienced investors who lose an average of £20,000. The FCA has provided tips on how to protect your savings which you can find at www.fca.org.uk/scams.

n Remember: if it sounds too good to be true, it probably is!

n Keep in mind that firms authorised by the FCA are unlikely to call you out of the blue with an offer to buy or sell shares.

n Do not get into conversation, note the name and firm contacting you and hang up.

 

For more information please visit the warning to shareholders page at www.aviva.com/investor-relations/shareholder-services/ordinary-shareholders

 

 

 

 

Page 165

 

 

Contact details

Ordinary and preference shares - Computershare Investor Services Plc

For any queries regarding your shareholding, or to advise of changes to your personal details, please contact our Registrar, Computershare:

 

By telephone: 0871 495 0105

Lines are open from 8.30am to 5pm (UK time), Monday to Friday (excluding public holidays).

Please call +44 117 378 8361 if calling from outside the UK.

 

By email: avivaSHARES@computershare.co.uk

 

In writing: Computershare Investor Services Plc,

The Pavilions, Bridgwater Road, Bristol BS99 6ZZ

American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) - Citibank

For any queries regarding Aviva ADRs, please contact Citibank Shareholder Services (Citibank):

 

By telephone: 1 877 248 4237 (1 877-CITI-ADR), or +1 781 575 4555 if you are calling from outside the US. (Lines are open from 8.30am to 6.00pm, Monday to Friday US Eastern Standard Time).

By email: citibank@shareholders-online.com

 

In writing: Citibank Shareholder Services,

PO Box 43077, Providence, Rhode Island 02940-3077 USA

 

Please visit www.citi.com/dr for further information about Aviva's ADR programme.

Group Company Secretary

Shareholders may contact the Group Company Secretary as follows:

 

By email: aviva.shareholders@aviva.com

 

In writing: Kirstine Cooper, Group Company Secretary, St Helen's, 1 Undershaft, London EC3P 3DQ

 

By telephone: +44 (0)20 7283 2000

 

 

 

Useful links for shareholders

 

Online Shareholder Services Centre www.aviva.com/shareholders

 

Dividend information for ordinary shares

www.aviva.com/dividends

 

 

Annual General Meeting information

www.aviva.com/agm

 

Aviva share price

www.aviva.com/shareprice

 

ADR holders

www.aviva.com/adr

 

Aviva preference shareholders

www.aviva.com/preferenceshares

 

Aviva preference share price

www.londonstockexchange.com

 

Aviva reports information

(Annual report and accounts; Strategic Report; 20F)

www.aviva.com/reports

 

 

Do you receive duplicate documents?

A number of shareholders still receive duplicate documentation and split dividend payments as a result of having more than one account on the Aviva Register of Members. If you think you fall into this group and would like to combine your accounts, please contact Computershare.

 

 

End of part 5 of 5

 

 


 


This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
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