Life New Business Q1 2007
Aviva PLC
24 April 2007
24 April 2007
Aviva plc
Worldwide long-term savings new business
3 months to 31 March 2007
•Record quarter with total worldwide sales* up 18%** to £9,183 million
•Worldwide life and pensions sales up 16% to £7,751 million
•Outstanding USA performance: pro forma sales growth of 67% from the combined business
•Total UK sales up 9% to £3,500 million, with new business margin rising to 3.0%
•Excellent growth continues in Asia Pacific region - total sales up 34% to £700 million
•Strong investment sales - up 30% to £1,432 million
•New business profit growth of 17% with new business margin remaining strong at 3.5%
Andrew Moss, group finance director and incoming group chief executive, commented:
'This is a record quarter from Aviva, showing profitable growth across our multi-national portfolio.
'Our US business has been our star performer. Sales are up by 67%, at an increased margin. AmerUs is proving to be an
exciting acquisition and we now have a much stronger presence in the world's largest savings market.
'Over the last two years in the UK, we've driven profitable growth by simplifying our infrastructure, managing costs
and improving service. This focus will continue and we have more to do, but we're now seeing the benefits of our
strategy with increases in both sales and margin.'
Financial highlights 3 months to 3 months to Local
31 March 31 March currency
2007 2006 growth**
Aviva UK
Life and pensions new business sales £2,843m £2,763m 3%
Investment sales £657m £444m 48%
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Total long-term savings new business sales £3,500m £3,207m 9%
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New business contribution before required capital £86m £77m 12%
New business margin before required capital 3.0% 2.8%
Aviva International
Life and pensions new business sales £4,908m £4,025m 25%
Investment sales £775m £685m 17%
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Total long-term savings new business sales £5,683m £4,710m 24%
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New business contribution before required capital £185m £158m 19%
New business margin before required capital 3.8% 3.9%
Aviva Group
Life and pensions new business sales £7,751m £6,788m 16%
Investment sales £1,432m £1,129m 30%
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Total long-term savings new business sales £9,183m £7,917m 18%
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New business contribution before required capital £271m £235m 17%
New business margin before required capital 3.5% 3.5%
* All references to sales in this announcement refer to the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) unless
otherwise stated. PVNBP is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using
assumptions consistent with those used to determine new business contribution.
** All growth rates quoted are at constant rates of exchange.
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Enquiries:
Analysts/Investors: Andrew Moss, group finance director, Aviva +44 (0)20 7662 2888
Philip Scott, group executive director,Aviva +44 (0)20 7662 2264
Charles Barrows, investor relations director, Aviva +44 (0)20 7662 8115
Jessie Burrows, head of investor relations, Aviva +44 (0)20 7662 2111
Media: Hayley Stimpson, director of external affairs +44 (0)20 7662 7544
Sue Winston, head of group media relations +44 (0)20 7662 8221
Vanessa Rhodes, group media relations manager +44 (0)20 7662 2482
James Murgatroyd/Ed Simpkins, Finsbury +44 (0)20 7251 3801
There will be a conference call today for wire services at 07:45am (BST) on +44(0)20 7162 0125. This conference call
will be hosted by Andrew Moss, group finance director and attended by Philip Scott, group executive director, Aviva
International, Patrick Snowball, group executive director, Aviva UK, Tidjane Thiam, chief executive, Aviva Europe
and Mark Hodges, chief executive, Norwich Union Life.
There will be a conference call today for analysts and investors at 09:30am (BST) on +44 (0)20 7162 0025. This
conference call will be hosted by Andrew Moss, group finance director and attended by Philip Scott, group executive
director, Aviva International, Patrick Snowball, group executive director, Aviva UK, Tidjane Thiam, chief executive,
Aviva Europe and Mark Hodges, chief executive, Norwich Union Life.
Replay will be available for two weeks until 9 May 2007. The dial in number for replays is +44 (0)20 7031 4064 and the
pass code is 743998.
Photographs are available on the Aviva media centre at www.aviva.com.
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Present value of new business
premiums* New business contribution*** New business margin#
----------------------------- -------------------------- -------------------
3 3 Local 3 3 Local 3 3
months months currency months months currency months months
2007 2006 growth** 2007 2006 growth** 2007 2006
£m £m £m £m
Life and pensions business
United Kingdom 2,843 2,763 3% 86 77 12% 3.0% 2.8%
France 989 1,134 (11)% 42 45 (5)% 4.2% 4.0%
Ireland 453 258 80% 6 5 20% 1.3% 1.9%
Italy 935 845 13% 26 21 24% 2.8% 2.5%
Netherlands (including Germany
and Belgium) 603 722 (15)% 21 19 13% 3.5% 2.6%
Poland 167 160 8% 7 8 (13)% 4.2% 5.0%
Spain 592 495 22% 43 46 (4)% 7.3% 9.3%
Other Europe 84 60 50% (1) (1) - (1.2)% (1.7)%
Continental Europe 3,823 3,674 6% 144 143 2% 3.8% 3.9%
Asia 175 129 48% 9 8 29% 5.1% 6.2%
Australia 73 70 9% 4 4 - 5.5% 5.7%
Asia Pacific 248 199 34% 13 12 18% 5.2% 6.0%
United States 837 152 515% 28 3 833% 3.3% 2.0%
International 4,908 4,025 25% 185 158 19% 3.8% 3.9%
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Total life and pensions 7,751 6,788 16% 271 235 17% 3.5% 3.5%
======================================================================================================================
Investment sales##
United Kingdom 657 444 48%
Netherlands 141 134 8%
Poland 64 28 137%
Other Europe 118 168 (28)%
Continental Europe 323 330 -
Australia 325 309 11%
Singapore 127 46 189%
Asia Pacific 452 355 34%
International 775 685 17%
----------------------------------------------------------------
Total investment sales 1,432 1,129 30%
----------------------------------------------------------------
Total long-term savings 9,183 7,917 18%
================================================================
Navigator sales 416 310 41%
(included above)
* All references to sales in this announcement refer to the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) unless
otherwise stated. PVNBP is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using
assumptions consistent with those used to determine new business contribution.
** Growth rates are calculated based on constant rates of exchange.
*** Stated before the effect of required capital.
# New business margin represents the ratio of new business contribution before the effect of required capital to
present value of new business premiums, expressed as a percentage.
## Investment sales are calculated as new single premium plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.
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Overview
Aviva achieved continued strong growth in the 3 months to 31 March 2007, with total long-term savings new business
sales up 18% to £9,183 million (2006: £7,917 million). The overall increase reflects growth in life and pension sales
of 16% to £7,751 million (2006: £6,788 million), and strong investment sales, up 30% to £1,432 million (2006: £1,129
million). The integration of AmerUs Group in the United States is progressing well with very strong sales of £837
million from the combined business (2006 pro forma*: £541 million), a pro forma increase of 67%.
Aviva UK's total sales increased by 9% to £3,500 million (2006: £3,207 million). Within this total, life and pension
new business sales grew by 3% to £2,843 million (2006: £2,763 million); however, sales growth would be 6% if
consistent operating assumptions** were used for the comparative quarter in 2006. Sales benefited from growth in bonds
and annuities, and collective investment sales rose by 48% to £657 million (2006: £444 million). Aviva's share of sales
through its bancassurance joint venture with The Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBSG) was up by 18% to £351 million
(2006: £297 million), reflecting continued strong performance from this partnership.
Aviva International's total long-term savings new business sales grew by 24% to £5,683 million (2006: £4,710 million),
reflecting strong growth in the majority of Aviva's markets, and from businesses acquired in Ireland and the United
States during 2006. Life and pension new business sales were 25% higher at £4,908 million (2006: £4,025 million), while
investment sales grew by 17% to £775 million (2006: £685 million), primarily reflecting increased sales in Poland and
sales through the Navigator platform in Singapore and Australia. New business contribution before the effect of
required capital increased by 19% to £185 million (2006: £158 million) with a margin of 3.8% (2006: 3.9%), which is
broadly in line with sales growth.
Aviva UK
Norwich Union made a strong start to 2007 following a record sales performance in 2006 with total sales, including
investments, up 9%** to £3,500 million (2006: £3,207 million). During the first quarter, Norwich Union has also made
significant progress in its strategic priorities outlined in October 2006 including simplifying its legacy systems, the
potential reattribution of its inherited estate, service improvement, customer retention and cost efficiency.
Strategy implementation update
Legacy simplification: In March, Norwich Union announced an administration outsourcing agreement with Swiss Re that
will allow the company to improve further its service levels and the efficiency of its business. Norwich Union will
decommission 220 of its systems, with migration starting in October 2007 and continuing into 2009.
Service improvements: Norwich Union's ongoing focus on service continues to deliver improvements for customers and
financial advisers, and the company's service capability is increasingly well placed to support its overall objectives.
Customer satisfaction and advocacy scores have improved over the quarter and a regular independent survey of financial
advisers conducted in February showed that the company maintained first place with its highest ever adviser service
ratings***.
Persistency: The company has continued its programme of activity to improve persistency, including active customer
calling, targeting the 200 poorest performing distributors as well as changing the adviser and salesforce remuneration
models. Bond, protection and pension lapse rates are currently in line with expectations.
Efficiency review: Norwich Union remains on target to deliver £125 million of annualised cost savings in its life
business by 2008. The savings will increase the company's new business contribution, will substantially reduce its
adverse expense experience and improve its non-insurance business profitability. Since the announcement in September
2006, the company has delivered estimated annualised cost savings of £67 million.
Sales update
Norwich Union's strong sales performance continued to build on the exceptional sales growth that the company announced
in the first quarter of 2006, which was driven by its excellent performance in the run-up to A-Day. Excluding pensions,
sales increased by 22%, demonstrating the benefit of the company's broad based product strength and performance.
New business margin increased to 3.0% (2006: 2.8%) as the company continued to balance price, volume and mix in order
to maximise overall shareholder value. Margin growth was also driven by a reduction in its new business administration
costs achieved as part of its efficiency review. As a result of this, new business contribution increased by 12% to £86
million (2006: £77 million).
Norwich Union achieved strong first quarter investment sales with bonds growing by 28% to £1,004 million (2006: £787
million), reflecting growth of 125% to £311 million (2006: £138 million) of its unique guarantee-backed RPI bond.
A strong performance in collective investments resulted in sales growing by 48% to £657 million (2006: £444 million).
Strong consumer demand for property funds has continued and the company continues to benefit from Morley's strength in
this market. The Norwich Union UK Income Opportunities fund, one of the company's best selling equity funds, delivered
strong growth and outperformed its benchmark#.
* Pro forma figures represent the sum of the 2006 sales from Aviva's long-established US operations plus the sales
from AmerUs Group, acquired in November 2006, on a consistent basis.
** Comparative sales figures are stated before the effect of year end 2006 assumption changes. Restating sales
comparatives for the effect of 2006 persistency assumption changes, in order to give a like-for-like comparison
using the same persistency basis, results in the following growth progression:
- Norwich Union's total sales, including investments, are up by 12% to £3,500 million (2006: £3,123 million).
- Norwich Union's Life & Pension sales are up by 6% to £2,843 million (2006: £2,679 million).
- Total pension sales of £1,146 million are down 4% (2006: £1,188 million).
*** Independent research - Representing the number of distributors rating Norwich Union's service as excellent or good
# Benchmark: FTSE All Share index
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As expected, due to Norwich Union's strong pre A-Day performance in the first quarter of 2006, total pension sales were
lower at £1,146 million (2006: £1,272 million). Individual pension sales, including group personal pensions of £894
million were lower by 11% (2006: £1,001 million) primarily due to a fall in stakeholder sales. Individual pension sales
were more profitable than in the first quarter of 2006 due to the impact of the higher charging structure on
stakeholder pensions implemented in the second quarter of 2006. Norwich Union launched its SIPP* in April 2006 and
sales were very encouraging at £97 million, 35% higher relative to the fourth quarter (Q4 2006: £72 million). In the
corporate pensions market, sales were down by 7% to £252 million (2006: £271 million), reflecting a longer-term trend
towards group personal pensions and away from trustee-based corporate pension schemes.
Annuity sales increased strongly by 19% to £412 million (2006: £347 million) as the company's competitive pricing and
strong service enabled it to maximise internal transfer rates in a growing market. As part of the wider drive into the
employee benefits market, Norwich Union has implemented, at minimal cost, the necessary infrastructure to participate
in the BPA market. It continues to quote on potential deals with a range of employee benefit consultants and financial
advisers. The general market levels of profitability have been unattractive to date.
Protection sales were lower at £222 million (2006: £272 million) due to the slowdown in the payment protection
insurance market and two partnership agreements concluding at the end of 2006. Against the fourth quarter of 2006,
Norwich Union improved its position with sales increasing by 10% (Q4 2006: £201 million). During the first quarter of
2007, the company maintained a leading position in the financial adviser market and further developed its capability in
the direct to consumer market.
Equity release sales of £59 million were 31% down (2006: £85 million) as the equity release market became increasingly
competitive with a number of new entrants. Norwich Union expects its sales performance to improve in the second half of
the year as it strengthens its distribution capacity and reinvigorates its customer proposition.
Norwich Union's share of sales from its bancassurance partnership with RBSG continued to show excellent growth across
the product range, up by 18% to £351 million (2006: £297 million). A broad product range including bonds, collective
investments, pensions and protection, and an increase in the number of advisers to 860 (full year 2006: 760) were key
drivers of this strong performance. In addition, the profitability of the partnership improved against the first
quarter of 2006 due to enhanced economies of scale and a more balanced sales mix.
Norwich Union continues to expect full year market growth** of 5 - 10% and reaffirms its aim to grow at least in line
with the market, while maintaining or increasing its overall new business margin from current levels.
Aviva International
Continental Europe
Aviva's total sales in continental Europe, including investment sales, grew by 6% to £4,146 million (2006: £4,004
million). Life and pension sales grew by 6% to £3,823 million (2006: £3,674 million) and the margin remained strong at
3.8% (2006: 3.9%).
This performance reflected the benefits of Aviva's strong portfolio of businesses in countries currently experiencing
contrasting market growth rates. Strong and profitable growth was achieved in life and pension sales in southern
Europe, with overall growth up 16% to £1,527 million (2006: £1,340 million) with sales up 13% in Italy and 22% in
Spain. Sales continued to expand in the fast-growing economies of Ireland and Central and Eastern Europe, where life
and pensions sales increased by 52% to £704 million (2006: £478 million). Conditions were particularly challenging in
the more established markets of France and the Netherlands, with life and pension sales having decreased by 12% to
£1,592 million (2006: £1,856 million), against a very strong first quarter in 2006. Nevertheless, Aviva's businesses
in France and the Netherlands delivered a strong margin of 4.0% (2006: 3.4%).
France:
Aviva France's sales were £989 million (2006: £1,134 million) and new business margin increased to 4.2% (2006: 4.0%).
Comparative sales in 2006 were buoyed by strong equity market performance and the reinvestment of 'Plan d'Epargne
Logement' (PEL) banking products.
Overall, the market decline for the two months to February was 9%*** as the long-term savings market in France has
been affected by volatility in the financial markets and uncertainty surrounding the forthcoming presidential
elections. Market decline among traditional insurers was reported as 3%; however, this decrease is reduced by some
peers including Fourgous transfers in their new business figures. As a result of combined efforts with AFER, Aviva
France led the market on Fourgous policy conversions in 2006 and in the first quarter of 2007 generated transfers of
£0.3 billion. Unit-linked funds are more capital-efficient and Aviva France focused on these transfers enabling a
higher proportion of future sales from existing customers to be invested in higher margin funds and providing
policyholders with the opportunity to enjoy a greater flexibility in managing their funds. Since transfers commenced
towards the end of 2005, the total value of Aviva France's conversions amounts to £4.4 billion. Aviva France does not
include these conversions in new business sales.
* Included in collective investment sales
** Market growth projection is on an annual premium equivalent basis
*** Based on gross written premium.
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Sales through France's largest savings association AFER decreased by 11% to £465 million (2006: £535 million). Within
this total, unit-linked sales fell by 17% to £135 million (2006: £165 million) reflecting the volatility in financial
markets. Operationally, AFER recently launched an advertising campaign highlighting the competitiveness of its policy
charges.
Sales through the partnership with Credit du Nord were also affected by the market slowdown and reduced by 10% to £242m
(2006: £273m). This reduction was in line with the bancassurance market, which declined by 10%.
Excluding sales through AFER and the partnership with Credit du Nord, sales were £282 million (2006: £326 million),
mainly reflecting a reduced demand for Euro fund sales. At the same time, the proportion of unit-linked saving sales
increased to 82% (2006: 75%) due to the success of Aviva France's products with a phased investment into equities.
The new business margin of 4.2% was in line with the margin at the 2006 year end, with a new business contribution of
£42 million (2006: £45 million) as a consequence of lower sales.
The outlook for 2007 will be influenced by the outcome of the presidential elections during the second quarter and the
financial markets. Aviva France's strong track record in responding to changes in the economic and regulatory
landscape puts the operations in good shape to face the challenges in 2007.
Ireland:
Total new business sales in Ireland increased by 80% to £453 million (2006: £258 million)*.
Sales through Allied Irish Banks (AIB) increased to £206 million (two months in 2006: £93 million). These comprised
£143 million of life sales, consisting primarily of single premium bonds and £63 million of pension sales. Pro forma**
sales growth for the three-month period was 63%. This substantial increase reflects the successful launch of the
secure capital fund in January 2007, a special offer on life savings products and increased pension sales driven
by strong fund performances.
Sales through Hibernian's broker channel were 53% higher at £247 million (2006: £165 million). Life sales were 21%
higher at £76 million (2006: £64 million), with strong sales of the secure capital fund and sales from the geared
property fund prior to its closure in January. Pension sales were £171 million (2006: £101 million), reflecting higher
sales of investment-only business and the continued success of the revised Horizon product re-launched in September
2006.
New business contribution was £6 million (2006: £5 million) with a margin of 1.3% (2006: 1.9%). The reduction in the
margin primarily reflects assumption changes made in December 2006.
The continued development of new products and expansion of the funds offered through the bank and broker networks are
expected to contribute to further growth in 2007.
Italy:
Aviva Italy sales increased by 13% to £935 million (2006: £845 million) with UniCredit Group, Banche Popolari Unite and
Banca delle Marche all having undertaken marketing initiatives in the quarter. This growth outperformed the Italian
market, where total sales** declined by 3% in the first two months of 2007.
Sales through the UniCredit Group were 12% higher at £581 million (2006: £528 million), benefiting from successful
marketing campaigns. Banche Popolari Unite achieved sales growth of 37% to £264 million (2006: £196 million) boosted by
successful marketing campaigns and strong sales of regular premium creditor protection insurance business. Sales
through the Banca Popolare Italiana Group network were £60 million (2006: £100 million), reflecting delayed marketing
campaigns, which were affected by the merger between BPI and BPVN. Sales through Banca delle Marche were significantly
higher at £21 million (2006: £14 million) as a result of successful marketing campaigns.
New business contribution increased to £26 million (2006: £21 million), reflecting the strong growth in sales and an
increased margin of 2.8% (2006: 2.5%) due to a higher proportion of regular premium sales.
Long-term growth potential remains strong and Aviva Italy continues to develop its bancassurance partnerships. The
timing of marketing campaigns and new product launches will vary throughout the year with some resulting volatility in
sales levels each quarter.
Netherlands (including Germany and Belgium):
Delta Lloyd's total sales, including investment product sales, were £744 million (2006: £856 million). The Dutch market
has continued to be challenging, with a decline in mortgage-related business and a slowdown in unit-linked sales. In
this environment, Delta Lloyd grew life and pension sales by 4% year-on-year, excluding the one-off effect of the £125
million Delta Lloyd pension scheme premium in the first quarter of last year.
Life and savings sales were £202 million (2006: £299 million). In the Netherlands, mortgage related business declined
due to lower activity in the re-mortgaging market, and savings sales have been affected by negative press-coverage of
unit-linked policy charging within the industry. In Germany, investment bond volumes were lower following the increase
in short-term interest rates experienced in 2006. In Belgium, where market conditions have been more stable, savings
product sales increased marginally.
* Sales for January 2006 did not include sales through AIB as the partnership began in February 2006.
** Pro forma sales for 2006 represent the sum of sales through AIB, including the period prior to beginning of the
partnership in February 2006, plus sales through Hibernian's existing broker channel, on a consistent basis
*** Market sales growth is calculated using the volume measure, single plus annualised regular premiums.
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Pension and annuity sales were £401 million (2006: £423 million). Annuity sales were higher at £160 million (2006:
£88 million), reflecting more competitive pricing of Delta Lloyd's immediate annuity products. Delta Lloyd's pension
sales tend to fluctuate from quarter to quarter due to the timing and size of group contracts, with the year-on-year
trend affected by the £125 million premium received from the Delta Lloyd pension scheme in the first quarter of 2006
and an absence of large contracts since the start of 2007.
Investment sales were 8% higher at £141 million (2006: £134 million), reflecting the success of Delta Lloyd's new
Select Opportunity fund, which focuses on undervalued European equities, attracting sales of £34 million.
New business contribution was £21 million (2006: £19 million) with a new business margin of 3.5% (2006: 2.6%). The 2007
margin development benefits from the impact of the 70 basis point increase in the bond yield within assumptions at the
start of 2007.
The Dutch market is expected to remain highly competitive in 2007. In this context, Delta Lloyd continues its strategy
of broadening distribution in order to strengthen its position in the market.
Poland (including Lithuania):
Aviva's life and pension operations in Poland and Lithuania are leading businesses in their respective markets. Total
sales, including investment sales, increased by 28% to £231 million (2006: £188 million).
Life sales in Poland were £75 million (2006: £86 million, including one-off sales of £14 million from a large group
scheme). Underlying growth of 7% reflected increased bancassurance volumes, sales of single premium unit-linked
business and a favourable equity market. Pension sales increased significantly to £87 million (2006: £71 million)
mainly as a result of an increase in higher average premiums from new entrants to the pension market. Single premium
sales benefited from higher transfer activity, which was partially offset by lower receipts of overdue premiums from
the state pension agency.
Life and savings sales in Lithuania were £5 million (2006: £3 million), enhancing Aviva's strong position in this
market.
Investment sales in Poland were substantially higher at £64 million (2006: £28 million) supported by a strong equity
market performance and the benefit of marketing campaigns promoting the umbrella* and balanced funds.
Total new business contribution from life and pension sales was £7 million (2006: £8 million). The new business margin
was 4.2% (2006: 5.0%), affected by the lower amounts of overdue premiums from the state pension agency, which have
no associated costs and therefore a higher margin.
The Polish insurance and investment markets continue to offer strong long-term growth potential, supported by a
favourable economic outlook.
Spain:
Aviva continues to be the leading bancassurer in the Spanish life market and is number two in the life market
overall**. New business sales increased by 22% to £592 million (2006: £495 million) and were boosted by successful
marketing campaigns in the quarter.
Sales through bancassurance partnerships increased by 24% to £540 million (2006: £443 million). Most of this
significant increase was due to strong sales of savings products including the successful launch of savings products
that have been developed to take advantage of the more favourable tax regime for PIAS*** products. A slow down in
mortgage-related protection business was offset by increased sales of free-standing protection products following a
marketing campaign.
Sales in Aviva Vida y Pensiones, which distributes through its direct sales force and intermediaries, were £52 million
(2006: £52 million).
New business contribution was £43 million (2006: £46 million) and the new business margin reduced to 7.3% (2006: 9.3%).
As anticipated, the decrease in margin reflects a higher proportion of sales from savings products, while specific
product margins have remained stable.
Aviva is well placed for future growth through its bancassurance partnerships and Aviva Vida y Pensiones. However, as
in previous years, quarterly sales will continue to be variable due to the timing of marketing campaigns with banking
partners, and the concentration of sales of pension business in the last quarter of the year.
Other Europe:
Life and pension sales in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania, Russia and Turkey amounted to £84 million (2006: £60
million). This strong growth of 50% was achieved principally from an increase in sales through the broker channel in
Hungary that benefited from continuing demand for savings products.
* Umbrella funds were established to offer tax incentives for clients wishing to switch their investments between
funds.
** Based on gross written premiums as at 31 December 2006.
*** PIAS are newly introduced savings contracts with tax benefits after ten years if an annuity is purchased.
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After being granted its licence in February 2006, Aviva Russia commenced trading in corporate sales with a strategy to
achieve a top-five market position and a 10% share in the life insurance market within five years. Sales were £2
million(2006: nil) as Aviva Russia has made a strong start to 2007, with increased growth expected during the remainder
of the year.
In Turkey, where Aviva is a top-five life and pensions provider, total sales increased by 12% to £31 million (2006:
£31 million). Sales in 2006 benefited from transfers from existing life to pension policies ahead of the regulatory
deadline*. Excluding these transfers, underlying growth of 44% has been achieved. Strong growth in regular premium
pensions business has been driven by an increase in the number of sales advisers to a record level of 1,200. During
March, Aviva announced that it had signed a memorandum of understanding with Aksigorta AS and Akbank TAS to form a new
life and pension business. The three parties have entered into exclusive discussions with a view to signing a
definitive document later in 2007.
Asia Pacific
In line with its long-term strategic ambitions, Aviva continues to achieve a strong rate of growth in new business
sales with total sales 34% higher at £700 million (2006: £554 million) driven primarily by significantly higher sales
in the Asian businesses. New business contribution from life and pension sales, before the effect of required capital,
increased by 18% to £13 million (2006: £12 million). New business margin of 5.2% (2006: 6.0%) remained strong compared
to the full year 2006 margin of 4.4%. However, new business margins are influenced by marketing campaigns and product
launches, resulting in some volatility between quarters. Growth potential for the region remains strong and Aviva's
diversified distribution model places the business in a strong position for continued growth in the future.
Singapore:
Total sales increased by 91% to £168 million (2006: £93 million) driven by higher investment sales through Navigator,
Aviva's investment fund administration business. Life and pension sales were £41 million (2006: £47 million),
reflecting a slow quarter with an absence of limited period single premium product sales through Aviva's bancassurance
partner Development Bank of Singapore (DBS). Aviva remains second in the bancassurance market and market leader in the
developing broker market and in the employee benefits and healthcare segment.
Sales through Navigator increased substantially to £127 million (2006: £46 million), reflecting good relationships with
key brokers, the comprehensive range of funds offered and an ongoing buoyant economic environment.
Hong Kong:
Sales increased significantly to £76 million (2006: £40 million). This reflects the development of the IFA channel,
which contributed 68% (2006: 45%) of sales and the continued good performance from the partnership with DBS.
China:
Sales through the joint venture life business Aviva-COFCO, which was ranked fifth amongst foreign joint ventures as at
the end of 2006, increased by 77% to £36 million (2006: £22 million) reflecting ongoing expansion in China. Aviva-COFCO
recently opened sales offices in Zhuzhou, in Hunan province, and in Shijiazhuang, in Hebei province, and it is now
licensed in seven provinces and 17 cities. Aviva's 50% share of sales was £18 million (2006: £11 million).
India:
Total sales from Aviva's joint venture with the Dabur Group increased to £135 million (2006: £105 million), ranking
Aviva seventh amongst private insurers. Aviva's 26% share of sales amounted to £35 million (2006: £27 million). Aviva
is the leader in the bancassurance market in India with over 30 distribution agreements now in place. The direct sales
force continues to expand and now numbers more than 21,000 agents (2006: 9,300), with an additional 6,500 in training.
Sri Lanka:
Total life sales were £5 million (two months in 2006: £4 million). Aviva acquired a 51% stake in Eagle Insurance
Company Limited, the third-largest insurer in Sri Lanka on the 1 February 2006. Sales are expected to continue to
increase through Sri Lanka's two bancassurance agreements that were signed in 2006 and through ongoing expansion of
the direct sales force.
* Turkish legislation for pension business, which came into effect from August 2004, allowed for transfers from
existing life policies to new pension policies with the same life company until October 2006. Pension business has
advantages in terms of the range of investment funds and a lower tax charge on benefits at maturity/retirement.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Page 9
Australia:
Total sales increased by 10% to £398 million (2006: £379 million), driven primarily by significantly higher investment
sales through Navigator, the master trust fund administration business.
Life and pension sales increased by 9% to £73 million (2006: £70 million), with continuing strong growth from
protection products following product enhancements together with an increase in pension sales driven by a transfer in
of corporate pension business. However, successive changes to pension laws since the middle of 2005** have resulted
in a shift of retail pension sales for Aviva Australia towards Navigator retirement funds and this trend is expected to
continue.
Sales through Navigator increased by 15% to £289 million (2006: £264 million) as a result of ongoing improvements in
product offerings, an increase in retirement fund business, sustained strong customer service levels and Aviva
Australia's strategic investments in key distributors. Navigator has recently announced the addition of 26 new funds,
the largest refreshing of the fund list undertaken, applicable to all asset classes and risk appetites. This change,
combined with the changes to pension laws and favourable tax legislation are expected to have a positive impact on the
sales through the Navigator platform. Other investment sales were £36 million (2006: £45 million).
United States
Life and pension sales increased five-fold to £837 million (2006: £152 million). Pro forma* sales increased by 67% from
£541 million in 2006. This performance continues the growth momentum achieved during the fourth quarter of 2006.
This strong performance produced record quarterly sales for life and annuity products and is primarily due to product
enhancements and marketing campaigns in response to continuing strong consumer demand for single premium annuity
products. Pro forma sales of annuity products showed very strong growth of 62% over 2006 against a declining fixed
annuity market. Sales of structured settlements increased by 40%. Funding agreement sales, which are large corporate
transactions and can vary significantly quarter on quarter, were £95 million (2006: £nil).
New business contribution increased to £28 million (2006: £3 million) with a margin of 3.3% (2006: 2.0%), reflecting
the benefit of the new combined business.
Aviva USA remains committed to sales growth in 2007 of 20% for the combined business while maintaining margins.
* Pro forma figures represent the sum of the 2006 sales from Aviva's long-established US operations plus the sales
from AmerUs Group, acquired in November 2006 on a consistent basis.
** From 1 July 2005, for the first time, individuals were entitled to choose where superannuation contributions made on
their behalf by their employer were directed. Previously the employer would choose the plan.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Page 10
Notes to Editors
1. Aviva is one of the leading providers of life and pensions to Europe with substantial positions in other markets
around the world, making it the world's fifth-largest insurance group based on gross worldwide premiums at 31
December 2005.
Aviva's principal business activities are long-term savings, fund management and general insurance, with worldwide
total sales* of £41.5 billion and assets under management of £364 billion at 31 December 2006.
* Based on life and pensions PVNBP, total investment sales and general insurance and health net
written premiums including share of associates' premiums.
The Aviva media centre at www.aviva.com/media includes images, company and product information and a news release
archive.
2. All figures have been translated at average exchange rates applying for the period. The average rates employed in
this announcement are 1 euro = £0.67 (3 months to 31 March 2006: 1 euro = £0.68) and £1 = US$1.94 (3 months to 31
March 2006: £1 = US$1.75).
3. All growth rates are quoted in local currency.
4. Definition: Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100%
of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine new business contribution.
5. Cautionary statements:
This announcement may contain 'forward-looking statements' with respect to certain of Aviva's plans and
its current goals and expectations relating to its future financial condition, performance and results. By their
nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and
circumstances which are beyond Aviva's control, including amongst other things, UK domestic and global economic
business conditions, market-related risks such as fluctuations in interest rates and exchange rates, the policies
and actions of regulatory authorities, the impact of competition, inflation, deflation, the timing impact and other
uncertainties of future acquisitions or combinations within relevant industries, as well as the impact of tax and
other legislation and other regulations in the jurisdictions in which Aviva and its affiliates operate. As a
result, Aviva's actual future financial condition, performance and results may differ materially from the plans,
goals and expectations set forth in Aviva's forward-looking statements.
Aviva undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation or any other
forward-looking statements we may make.
Aviva plc is a company registered in England No. 2468686.
Registered office St Helen's 1 Undershaft London EC3P 3DQ.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Statistical Supplement
CONTENTS
Analyses
1. Present value of life new business premiums
2. Analysis of sales via principal bancassurance channels
3. Detailed analysis of new business contribution
4. Detailed worldwide life and pension new business analysis
5. Detailed worldwide investment sales
6. Analysis of UK long-term savings by distribution channel and Analysis of France long-term savings by fund
7. Principal economic assumptions
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Page 11
Supplement 1
Present value of life new business premiums
The present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is derived from the single and regular premiums of the products
sold during the financial period and is expressed at the point of sale. The PVNBP calculation is equal to total single
premium sales received in the year plus the discounted value of regular premiums expected to be received over the term
of the new contracts. The projection assumptions used to calculate PVNBP for each product are the same as those used
to calculate new business contribution. The discounted value of regular premiums is also expressed as annualised
regular premiums multiplied by a Weighted Average Capitalisation Factor (WACF). The WACF will vary over time depending
on the mix of new products sold, the average outstanding term of the new contracts and the projection assumptions. The
table below sets out the factors required to derive PVNBP by business units.
3 months 3 months
2007 2006
-------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------
Present value
Regular of regular Single
premiums WACF premiums premiums PVNBP PVNBP
£m £m £m £m £m
United Kingdom
Individual pensions 116 4.0 464 430 894 1,001
Group pensions 24 4.7 112 140 252 271
Annuities - - - 412 412 347
Bonds - - - 1,004 1,004 787
Protection 34 5.0 171 51 222 272
Equity release - - - 59 59 85
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total life and pensions 174 4.3 747 2,096 2,843 2,763
France
Euro funds* 6 4.8 29 475 504 586
Unit-linked funds 16 5.3 84 361 445 501
Protection business 6 6.7 40 - 40 47
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total life and pensions 28 5.5 153 836 989 1,134
Ireland
Life and savings 9 6.9 62 157 219 127
Pensions 29 3.2 94 140 234 131
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total life and pensions 38 4.1 156 297 453 258
Italy
Total life and pensions 42 4.9 204 731 935 845
Netherlands (including
Belgium and Germany)
Life 16 6.6 105 97 202 299
Pensions 22 8.2 180 221 401 423
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total life and pensions 38 7.5 285 318 603 722
Poland
Life and savings 6 5.0 30 50 80 89
Pensions 9 7.2 65 22 87 71
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total life and pensions 15 6.3 95 72 167 160
Spain
Life and savings 22 5.1 112 353 465 382
Pensions 9 6.0 54 73 127 113
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total life and pensions 31 5.4 166 426 592 495
Other Europe
Total life and pensions 15 3.7 56 28 84 60
Asia
Total life and pensions 24 4.9 117 58 175 129
Australia
Total life and pensions 11 3.3 36 37 73 70
United States
Life 17 7.2 123 14 137 14
Annuity 1 3.0 3 602 605 138
Funding agreements - - - 95 95 -
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total life and pensions 18 7.0 126 711 837 152
=====================================================================================================================
International total life and pensions 260 5.4 1,394 3,514 4,908 4,025
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total life and pensions 434 4.9 2,141 5,610 7,751 6,788
=====================================================================================================================
* Euro funds are savings that receive an annual bonus declaration, based on the investment performance of the
underlying funds.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Page 12
Supplement 2
Analysis of sales via principal bancassurance channels
Present value of new business premiums**
----------------------------------------
Local
3 months 3 months currency
2007 2006 growth*
£m £m
Life and pensions
United Kingdom
The Royal Bank of Scotland Group 291 256 14%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
291 256 14%
France
Credit du Nord 242 273 (10)%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
242 273 (10)%
Ireland
Ark 206 93 126%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
206 93 126%
Italy
UniCredit Group 581 528 12%
Banca Popolare Italiana Group 60 100 (40)%
Banca delle Marche 21 14 53%
Banche Popolari Unite 264 196 37%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
926 838 13%
Netherlands
ABN AMRO 102 160 (35)%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
102 160 (35)%
Spain
Bancaja 204 211 (1)%
Caixa Galicia 130 67 98%
Unicaja 136 89 56%
Caja Espana 41 42 -
Caja de Granada 29 34 (13)%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
540 443 24%
Asia
DBS 42 57 (20)%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
42 57 (20)%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total life and pensions 2,349 2,120 13%
Investment sales***
United Kingdom
The Royal Bank of Scotland Group 60 41 49%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
60 41 49%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total bancassurance sales 2,409 2,161 14%
======================================================================================================================
* Growth rates are calculated based on constant rates of exchange.
** Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single
premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine new business contribution.
*** Investment sales are calculated as new single premium plus annualised value of new regular premiums.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Page 13
Supplement 3
Detailed analysis of new business contribution
(a) Before the effect of required capital - PVNBP basis
Present value of New business
new business premiums* contribution**,*** New business margin^
------------------------ ------------------ -----------------------------
3 months 3 months 3 months 3 months 3 months 3 months Full year
2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2006
£m £m £m £m
Life and pensions
United Kingdom 2,843 2,763 86 77 3.0% 2.8% 2.9%
France 989 1,134 42 45 4.2% 4.0% 4.3%
Ireland 453 258 6 5 1.3% 1.9% 1.2%
Italy 935 845 26 21 2.8% 2.5% 2.5%
Netherlands (including Belgium and Germany) 603 722 21 19 3.5% 2.6% 2.4%
Poland 167 160 7 8 4.2% 5.0% 5.2%
Spain 592 495 43 46 7.3% 9.3% 8.9%
Other Europe 84 60 (1) (1) (1.2)% (1.7)% (1.3)%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Continental Europe 3,823 3,674 144 143 3.8% 3.9% 3.9%
Asia 175 129 9 8 5.1% 6.2% 3.8%
Australia 73 70 4 4 5.5% 5.7% 5.7%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Asia Pacific 248 199 13 12 5.2% 6.0% 4.4%
United States 837 152 28 3 3.3% 2.0% 2.3%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
International 4,908 4,025 185 158 3.8% 3.9% 3.8%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total life and pensions 7,751 6,788 271 235 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
=====================================================================================================================
Analysed between:
Bancassurance channels 2,349 2,120 103 97 4.4% 4.6% 4.8%
Other distribution channels 5,402 4,668 168 138 3.1% 3.0% 2.9%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
7,751 6,788 271 235 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
=====================================================================================================================
* Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single
premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine new business contribution.
** Before the effect of required capital.
*** New business contribution before the effect of required capital includes minority interests in 2007 of £47 million
(3 months 2006: £48 million). This comprises minority interests in France of £7 million (3 months 2006: £8
million), Ireland £1 million (3 months 2006: nil), Netherlands £1 million (3 months 2006: £3 million), Italy £15
million (3 months 2006: £12 million), Spain £22 million (3 months 2006: £24 million) and Poland £1 million
(3 months 2006: £1 million).
^ New business margin represents the ratio of new business contribution to PVNBP, expressed as a percentage.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Page 14
Supplement 3
(b) After the effect of required capital
Present value of New business
new business premiums* contribution**,*** New business margin^
------------------------ ------------------ -----------------------------
3 months 3 months 3 months 3 months 3 months 3 months Full year
2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2006
£m £m £m £m
Life and pensions business
United Kingdom 2,843 2,763 70 60 2.5% 2.2% 2.4%
France 989 1,134 29 32 2.9% 2.8% 3.1%
Ireland 453 258 5 4 1.1% 1.6% 0.7%
Italy 935 845 20 15 2.1% 1.8% 1.8%
Netherlands (including Belgium and Germany) 603 722 15 9 2.5% 1.2% 1.1%
Poland 167 160 7 8 4.2% 5.0% 4.7%
Spain 592 495 39 42 6.6% 8.5% 8.2%
Other Europe 84 60 (3) (1) (3.6)% (1.7)% (1.9)%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Continental Europe 3,823 3,674 112 109 2.9% 3.0% 3.0%
Asia 175 129 7 6 4.0% 4.7% 3.2%
Australia 73 70 2 2 2.7% 2.9% 3.0%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Asia Pacific 248 199 9 8 3.6% 4.0% 3.2%
United States 837 152 18 1 2.2% 0.7% 0.9%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
International 4,908 4,025 139 118 2.8% 2.9% 2.9%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total life and Pensions 7,751 6,788 209 178 2.7% 2.6% 2.6%
=====================================================================================================================
* Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single
premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine new business contribution.
** New business contribution is after the effect of required capital. The effect of required capital represents the
impact of holding the required capital (expressed as a % of minimum European Union (EU) solvency margin or
equivalent for non-EU operations) and discounting to present value the projected future releases from the required
capital to shareholders.
*** New business contribution after the effect of required capital includes minority interests in 2007 of £38 million
(3 months 2006: £39 million). This comprises minority interests in France of £4 million (3 months 2006:
£4 million), Ireland £1 million (3 months 2006: nil), Italy £11 million (3 months 2006: £9 million), Netherlands
£1 million (3 months 2006: £3 million), Spain £20 million (3 months 2006: £22 million) and Poland £1 million (3
months 2006: £1 million).
^ New business margin represents the ratio of new business contribution after the effect of required capital to
PVNBP, expressed as a percentage.
(c) After the effect of required capital, minority interest, and tax
Present value of New business
new business premiums* contribution** New business margin***
------------------------ ------------------ -----------------------------
3 months 3 months 3 months 3 months 3 months 3 months Full year
2007 2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2006
£m £m £m £m
United Kingdom 2,843 2,763 49 43 1.7% 1.6% 1.7%
Continental Europe 2,648 2,618 51 47 1.9% 1.8% 1.8%
Asia Pacific 246 198 8 7 3.3% 3.4% 2.5%
United States 837 152 11 - 1.3% - 0.6%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
International 3,731 2,968 70 54 1.9% 1.8% 1.7%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Attributable to equity shareholders 6,574 5,731 119 97 1.8% 1.7% 1.7%
=====================================================================================================================
Analysed between:
Bancassurance channels 1,322 1,179 34 30 2.6% 2.5% 2.7%
Other distribution channels 5,252 4,552 85 67 1.6% 1.5% 1.4%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
6,574 5,731 119 97 1.8% 1.7% 1.7%
=====================================================================================================================
* PVNBP is stated after deducting minority interest.
** Contribution stated after deducting cost of required capital, tax and minority interest.
*** New business margin represents the ratio of new business contribution after deducting cost of required capital,
tax and minority interest to PVNBP after deducting the minority share, expressed as a percentage.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Page 15
Supplement 4
Detailed worldwide life and pension new business analysis
Single Regular PVNBP
---------------------------------- ---------------------------------- ------------
3 months 3 months Local 3 months 3 months Local Local
2007 2006 currency 2007 2006 currency currency
£m £m growth* £m £m growth* growth*
United Kingdom
Individual pensions 430 540 (20)% 116 87 33% (11)%
Group pensions 140 125 12% 24 26 (8)% (7)%
Annuities 412 347 19% - - - 19%
Bonds 1,004 787 28% - - - 28%
Protection 51 57 (11)% 34 42 (19)% (18)%
Equity release 59 85 (31)% - - - (31)%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2,096 1,941 8% 174 155 12% 3%
France
Euro funds** 475 565 (14)% 6 4 33% (12)%
Unit-linked funds 361 427 (14)% 16 12 33% (9)%
Protection business - 1 - 6 7 (14)% (13)%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
836 993 (14)% 28 23 22% (11)%
Ireland
Life and savings 157 92 74% 9 7 29% 77%
Pensions 140 61 133% 29 15 93% 83%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
297 153 98% 38 22 73% 80%
Italy
Life and savings 731 658 13% 42 30 45% 13%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
731 658 13% 42 30 45% 13%
Netherlands
(including Belgium and Germany)
Life 97 123 (20)% 16 26 (36)% (31)%
Pensions 221 276 (18)% 22 17 29% (3)%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
318 399 (19)% 38 43 (10)% (15)%
Poland
Life and savings 50 49 6% 6 8 (25)% (7)%
Pensions 22 26 (12)% 9 6 50% 28%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
72 75 - 15 14 7% 8%
Spain
Life and savings 353 270 33% 22 19 16% 24%
Pensions 73 61 22% 9 9 - 14%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
426 331 31% 31 28 11% 22%
Other Europe
Life and pensions 28 15 100% 15 12 36% 50%
Asia
Life and pensions 58 43 45% 24 19 41% 48%
Australia
Life and pensions 37 40 (3)% 11 9 22% 9%
United States
Life 14 11 40% 17 1 1,600% 954%
Annuity 602 133 406% 1 1 - 392%
Funding agreements 95 - - - - - -
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
711 144 451% 18 2 800% 515%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Aviva International
Life and pensions 3,514 2,851 27% 260 202 32% 25%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total life and pensions 5,610 4,792 19% 434 357 23% 16%
======================================================================================================================
* Growth rates are calculated based on constant rates of exchange.
** Euro funds are savings that receive an annual bonus declaration, based on the investment performance of the
underlying funds.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Page 16
Supplement 5
Detailed worldwide investment sales analysis
Single Regular PVNBP
---------------------------------- ---------------------------------- ------------
3 months 3 months Local 3 months 3 months Local Local
2007 2006 currency 2007 2006 currency currency
£m £m growth* £m £m growth* growth*
United Kingdom
Peps/Isas/UTs/Oeics 639 436 47% 18 8 125% 48%
Netherlands
(including Belgium and Germany)
Unit trusts 141 134 8% - - - 8%
Poland
Mutual funds 63 27 142% 1 1 - 137%
Other Europe
UCITS 118 168 (28)% - - - (28)%
Asia Pacific
Unit trusts 36 45 (16)% - - - (16)%
Navigator 416 310 41% - - - 41%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
452 355 34% - - - 34%
Aviva International
Total investments 774 684 17% 1 1 - 17%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total investment sales 1,413 1,120 29% 19 9 111% 30%
=====================================================================================================================
* Growth rates are calculated based on constant rates of exchange.
** Euro funds are savings that receive an annual bonus declaration, based on the investment performance of the
underlying funds.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Page 17
Supplement 6
Analysis of UK long-term savings by distribution channel
Annual premium
Single Regular equivalent**
------------------------------ ------------------------------- -------------------
3 months 3 months Local 3 months 3 months Local 3 months Local
2007 2006 currency 2007 2006 currency 2007 currency
£m £m growth* £m £m growth* £m growth*
IFA
- life & pension products 1,437 1,462 (2)% 151 113 34% 295 14%
- investment products 367 297 24% 1 - - 37 27%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1,804 1,759 3% 152 113 35% 332 15%
Bancassurance partnership
with RBSG
- life & pension products 244 154 58% 11 19 (42)% 36 3%
- investment products 43 33 30% 17 8 113% 21 88%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
287 187 53% 28 27 4% 57 24%
Other partnerships and Direct
- life & pension products 415 325 28% 12 23 (48)% 54 (4)%
- investment products 229 106 116% - - - 23 116%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
644 431 49% 12 23 (48)% 77 16%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total UK long-term savings 2,735 2,377 15% 192 163 18% 466 16%
======================================================================================================================
* Growth rates are calculated based on constant rates of exchange.
** Annual premium equivalent (APE) is the UK industry's standard measure of new regular premiums plus 10% of
single premiums.
Analysis of France long-term savings by fund
Single Regular PVNBP
------------------------------ ------------------------------- -----------
3 months 3 months Local 3 months 3 months Local Local
2007 2006 currency 2007 2006 currency currency
£m £m growth* £m £m growth* growth*
AFER
- Euro funds** 312 370 (14)% 3 - - (9)%
- Unit-linked funds 128 165 (21)% 1 - - (17)%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
440 535 (16)% 4 - - (11)%
Bancassurance partnership
with Credit du Nord
- Euro funds 125 136 (6)% 1 2 (50)% (9)%
- Unit-linked funds 83 92 (8)% 5 6 (17)% (10)%
- Protection - 1 - - - - -
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
208 229 (7)% 6 8 (20)% (10)%
Other
- Euro funds 38 59 (36)% 2 2 - (36)%
- Unit-linked funds 150 170 (10)% 10 6 58% (4)%
- Protection - - - 6 7 (14)% (13)%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
188 229 (16)% 18 15 23% (12)%
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total France long-term savings 836 993 (14)% 28 23 22% (11)%
=====================================================================================================================
* Growth rates are calculated based on constant rates of exchange.
** Euro funds are savings that receive an annual bonus declaration, based on the investment performance of the
underlying funds.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Page 18
Supplement 7
Principal economic assumptions - deterministic calculations
Economic assumptions are derived actively, based on market yields on risk-free fixed interest assets at the end of
each reporting period. The same margins are applied on a consistent basis across the Group to gross risk-free yields to
obtain investment return assumptions for ordinary shares and property and to produce risk discount rates. Expense
inflation is derived as a fixed margin above a local measure of long-term price inflation. Risk-free rates and price
inflation have been harmonised across territories within the Euro currency zone, except for expense inflation in
Ireland where significant differences remain. Required capital is shown as a multiple of the EU statutory minimum
solvency margin.
Investment return assumptions are generally derived by major product class, based on hypothecating the assets at the
valuation date. Assumptions about future investment mix are consistent with long-term plans. In most cases, the
investment mix is assumed to continue unchanged throughout the projection period. The changes in assumptions between
reporting dates reflect the actual movements in risk-free yields in the United Kingdom, the Eurozone and other
territories. The principal economic assumptions used are as follows:
United Kingdom France
------------------- ------------------
2006 2005 2006 2005
Risk discount rate 7.3% 6.8% 6.7% 6.0%
Pre-tax investment returns:
Base government fixed interest 4.6% 4.1% 4.0% 3.3%
Ordinary shares 7.6% 7.1% 7.0% 6.3%
Property 6.6% 6.1% 6.0% 5.3%
Future expense inflation 3.4% 3.2% 2.5% 2.5%
Tax rate 30.0% 30.0% 34.4% 34.4%
Required capital (% EU minimum) 150%/100% 150%/100% 115% 115%
Ireland Italy
------------------- ------------------
2006 2005 2006 2005
Risk discount rate 6.7% 6.0% 6.7% 6.0%
Pre-tax investment returns:
Base government fixed interest 4.0% 3.3% 4.0% 3.3%
Ordinary shares 7.0% 6.3% 7.0% 6.3%
Property 6.0% 5.3% 6.0% 5.3%
Future expense inflation 4.0% 4.0% 2.5% 2.5%
Tax rate 12.5% 12.5% 38.3% 38.3%
Required capital (% EU minimum) 150% 150% 115% 115%
Netherlands Poland
------------------- ------------------
2006 2005 2006 2005
Risk discount rate 6.7% 6.0% 8.7% 8.6%
Pre-tax investment returns:
Base government fixed interest 4.0% 3.3% 5.0% 4.9%
Ordinary shares 7.0% 6.3% 8.0% 7.9%
Property 6.0% 5.3% n/a n/a
Future expense inflation 2.5% 2.5% 3.4% 3.3%
Tax rate 25.5% 29.1% 19.0% 19.0%
Required capital (% EU minimum) 150% 150% 150% 150%
Spain USA
------------------- ------------------
2006 2005 2006 2005
Risk discount rate 6.7% 6.0% 7.4% 7.2%
Pre-tax investment returns:
Base government fixed interest 4.0% 3.3% 4.7% 4.5%
Ordinary shares 7.0% 6.3% n/a n/a
Property 6.0% 5.3% n/a n/a
Future expense inflation 2.5% 2.5% 3.0% 3.0%
Tax rate 30.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0%
Required capital (% EU minimum or equivalent) 125%/110% 125%/110% 250% 200%
For service companies, expense inflation relates to the underlying expenses rather than the fees charged to the life
company. Future returns on corporate fixed interest investments are calculated from prospective yields less an
adjustment for credit risk. Required capital in the United Kingdom is 150% EU minimum for Norwich Union Annuity
Limited and 100% for other companies. Required capital in Spain is 125% EU minimum for Aviva Vida y Pensiones and 110%
for bancassurance companies.
Aviva plc is a company registered in England No. 2468686.
Registered office St Helen's 1 Undershaft London EC3P 3DQ
END OF ANNOUNCEMENT
A pdf version of this announcement can be found on www.aviva.com
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange