Interim Results
Baillie Gifford Shin Nippon PLC
01 September 2006
BAILLIE GIFFORD SHIN NIPPON PLC
Results for the six months to 31 July 2006
For the six months to 31 July 2006, the Company's net asset value per share
declined 24.8% compared with a 22.6% decline in the comparative index*. With a
number of Japanese small cap shares having halved from their recent peaks,
current valuations are much more palatable and the Managers are finding good
investment opportunities in high growth stocks
• The market overall has proved sensitive to global cyclical concerns and
Japanese small cap stocks have suffered falling investor confidence.
• During the period, stock selection made a positive contribution to the
Company's relative performance.
• Net gearing made a negative contribution to performance. However, the
Managers continue to perceive potential for gearing to enhance portfolio
returns over the long term owing to the low level of yen borrowing costs.
• Although export growth has tapered in recent months, the Managers note that
there is no sign of a slowdown in the key domestic drivers of private
capital expenditure and consumption, and view another year of 3%+ GDP
growth as probable.
• Despite recent market weakness, the Board and Managers are of the opinion
that the fundamental prospects for Japanese small cap companies remain
positive.
* The Company's comparative index is a composite index of the Tokyo Second
Section Index, the TOPIX Small Index and the JASDAQ Index, weighted by market
capitalisation, in sterling terms.
Shin Nippon aims to achieve long-term capital growth principally through
investment in small Japanese companies which are believed to have above average
prospects for capital growth. At 31 July 2006 the Company had total assets of
£79.1 million (before deduction of bank loans of £13.6 million). The Company is
managed by Baillie Gifford & Co, an Edinburgh based fund management group with
around £45 billion funds under management and advice as at 31 August 2006.
Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. The value of an
investment and any income from it is not guaranteed and may go down as well as
up and investors may not get back the amount invested. This is because the share
price is determined by the changing conditions in the relevant stock markets in
which the Company invests and by the supply and demand for the Company's shares.
Investment in investment trusts should be regarded as medium to long-term. You
can find up to date performance information about Shin Nippon on the Baillie
Gifford website at www.bailliegifford.com.
- ends -
For further information please contact:
Alistair Way
Baillie Gifford & Co 0131 275 2000
Mike Lord, Director
Broadgate Marketing 020 7726 6111
BAILLIE GIFFORD SHIN NIPPON PLC
Interim Report
Following very strong gains in the year to January 2006, when Shin Nippon's net
asset value surged by 60.6% and its share price hit an all time high, the most
recent six months have proved much more difficult for small capitalisation
equity investment in Japan. The market overall has proved sensitive to global
cyclical concerns, and investor confidence in small companies has been harmed by
a number of stock-specific problems. Net asset value declined by 24.8% over the
period, in comparison to a 22.6% fall in the weighted index of the TOPIX Small,
JASDAQ and Tokyo Stock Exchange Second Section. Larger stocks proved more
resilient, reflected in a sterling decline of just 10.5% in the broad market
TOPIX index.
Throughout the 1990s the Japanese equity market was very sensitive to the global
economic cycle, reflecting the economy's gearing to the buoyancy of exports
given its lack of domestic vitality. The weakness of the market this year,
seemingly at least partially in response to monetary tightening in the US and
China, suggests that perceptions of global investors have not changed. However,
our belief is that the fundamental strength of the Japanese economy has been
greatly enhanced by corporate restructuring and financial sector normalisation
over the last few years, and the strength of domestic demand should make the
economy much less sensitive to global volatility. Although export growth has
tapered in recent months, we see no sign of a slowdown in the key domestic
drivers of private capital expenditure and consumption and view another year of
3%+ GDP growth as probable.
After a period of extremely buoyant performance since early 2003, small
capitalisation shares have been notably weak compared to the overall market.
Several events have impacted sentiment. The collapse of the internet company
Livedoor in mid-January was followed by earnings shortfalls at a few other high
profile internet operators such as E*Trade, Usen and Index. Meanwhile the real
estate sector witnessed accounting and management concerns about some of its
lower quality constituents. The investigation of Murakami-san of the
shareholder activist fund MAC Japan for insider dealing was a further upset. The
fund is currently being wound up, although we are confident that we will realise
a profit on our investment. The effect of these underlying concerns on small
company share prices was exacerbated by margin calls and short selling among the
highly active component of retail investors who account for the bulk of trading
volumes in indices such as JASDAQ. However, we do not view these issues as
representative of operational trends at Japanese small companies overall, the
majority of which continue to report strong profits growth. A simpler
explanation of this year's trends may be that small cap valuations had reached
extreme levels by the end of the previous period.
Our stock selection made a positive contribution to the Company's relative
performance against its benchmark index over the period, particularly in the
Commerce and services and Real estate and construction sectors. We had
increased weightings in several of our Commerce and services stocks which
offered stable growth at acceptable valuations, and were rewarded by an
increased market focus on the defensive appeal of these domestic names.
Examples include USS, which dominates the thriving second hand car auction
market, and H.I.S., which has grown to become Japan's largest travel agency.
Meanwhile, trends in the real estate market remain extremely favourable, with
asset prices reflating and the real estate investment funds market ballooning to
almost Y10tr, and better quality plays such as our property broker Tokyu Livable
and refurbishment specialist Suruga Corporation have continued to grow earnings
rapidly.
Owing to concerns about the valuations of certain small cap sectors we reduced
net gearing sharply early in the period, but then, seeing a number of
attractively valued ideas, reinvested most of our borrowings in the market
rather too early, with July proving a particularly difficult month. We continue
to perceive significant potential for gearing to enhance portfolio returns over
the long term given the low level of yen borrowing costs.
We are enthused about fundamental prospects in Japan and feel that there are
good opportunities in particular among higher growth stocks. Many small company
share prices have roughly halved from their peaks, despite their earnings
continuing to grow in line with projections, and this has brought valuations
down to much more palatable levels. New holdings acquired in recent months
include Message, a fast growing operator of low cost nursing homes, Harakosan, a
supplier of environmentally-friendly condominiums and developer of alternative
power generation, and Funai Zaisan Consultants, which provides tax planning
services for wealthy retirees. We have also bought several stocks which have
fallen from grace owing to weak profitability but where we anticipate a
significant recovery not discounted by the market; examples include the leading
pachislo supplier Aruze and lingerie designer Maruko.
The last six months has clearly been a very disappointing period for investing
in smaller Japanese companies. It is hard to judge precisely when investor
sentiment on Japanese equities might recover. However, we have seen no evidence
to alter our positive view on economic growth and corporate earnings in Japan,
and view current valuations as significantly more attractive.
The following is the interim statement for the six months ended 31 July 2006
which has been neither reviewed nor audited by the auditors. This statement is
being printed and will be sent to all shareholders on 14 September 2006. Copies
will be available for inspection at the Registered Office of the Company or may
be obtained on request from the Managers and Secretaries after that date.
BAILLIE GIFFORD SHIN NIPPON PLC
INCOME STATEMENT
(unaudited)
For the six months ended For the six months ended For the year ended
31 July 2006 31 July 2005 31 January 2006
Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Realised gains on
investments - 4,649 4,649 - 1,061 1,061 - 12,619 12,619
Unrealised (losses)/
gains on investments - (26,537) (26,537) - 4,151 4,151 - 20,049 20,049
Currency gains/(losses) - 409 409 - (46) (46) - 538 538
(note 2)
Income (note 3) 526 - 526 479 - 479 780 - 780
Investment management (373) - (373) (281) - (281) (675) - (675)
fee
Other administrative (109) - (109) (97) - (97) (207) - (207)
expenses
Net return before
finance costs and
taxation 44 (21,479) (21,435) 101 5,166 5,267 (102) 33,206 33,104
Finance costs of (120) - (120) (109) - (109) (216) - (216)
borrowings
Return on ordinary
activities before
taxation (76) (21,479) (21,555) (8) 5,166 5,158 (318) 33,206 32,888
Tax on ordinary (33) - (33) (30) - (30) (47) - (47)
activities
Return on ordinary
activities after
taxation (109) (21,479) (21,588) (38) 5,166 5,128 (365) 33,206 32,841
Return per ordinary
share (0.36p) (70.19p) (70.55p) (0.13p) 16.88p 16.75p (1.20p) 108.52p 107.32p
(note 5)
The total column of the Income Statement is the profit and loss account of
the Company.
All revenue and capital items in this statement derive from continuing
operations.
A Statement of Total Recognised Gains and Losses is not required as all gains
and losses of the Company have been reflected in the above statement.
BAILLIE GIFFORD SHIN NIPPON PLC
SUMMARISED BALANCE SHEET
at 31 July 2006
(unaudited)
31 July 31 July 31 January
2006 2005 2006
£'000 £'000 £'000
NET ASSETS
Listed equities 77,727 65,109 90,696
Unlisted equities 1,208 3,201 3,024
78,935 68,310 93,720
Net liquid assets 127 681 7,295
Total assets (before deduction of bank loans) 79,062 68,991 101,015
Bank loans (note 6) (13,573) (9,627) (13,938)
65,489 59,364 87,077
CAPITAL AND RESERVES
Called-up share capital 3,060 3,060 3,060
Capital reserves 67,433 60,872 88,912
Revenue reserve (5,004) (4,568) (4,895)
EQUITY SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS 65,489 59,364 87,077
NET ASSET VALUE PER ORDINARY SHARE 214.0p 194.0p 284.6p
Ordinary shares in issue (note 7) 30,600,497 30,600,497 30,600,497
RECONCILIATION OF MOVEMENTS IN SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS
(unaudited)
For the six For the six For the year
months months ended ended
ended 31 31 July 2005 31 January 2006
July 2006 £'000 £'000
£'000
Shareholders' funds at 1 February 87,077 54,236 54,236
Total recognised gains and losses for the period (21,588) 5,128 32,841
Shareholders' funds at 31 July/31 January 65,489 59,364 87,077
BAILLIE GIFFORD SHIN NIPPON PLC
SUMMARISED CASH FLOW STATEMENT
(unaudited)
Six months Six months Year to
to 31 July to 31 July 31 January
2006 2005 2006
£'000 £'000 £'000
NET CASH (OUTFLOW)/INFLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES (note (82) 94 (35)
9)
NET CASH OUTFLOW FROM SERVICING OF FINANCE (124) (153) (235)
TOTAL TAX PAID (31) (30) (46)
FINANCIAL INVESTMENT
Acquisitions of investments (19,149) (12,167) (36,327)
Disposals of investments 14,063 8,455 33,014
Realised currency profit/(loss) 44 (230) (324)
NET CASH OUTFLOW FROM FINANCIAL INVESTMENT (5,042) (3,942) (3,637)
NET CASH OUTFLOW BEFORE FINANCING (5,279) (4,031) (3,953)
FINANCING
Net (outflow)/inflow from bank loans - (4,538) 450
DECREASE IN CASH (5,279) (8,569) (3,503)
RECONCILIATION OF NET CASH FLOW TO MOVEMENT IN NET DEBT
Decrease in cash in the period (5,279) (8,569) (3,503)
Net outflow/(inflow) from bank loans - 4,538 (450)
Exchange movement on bank loans 365 185 862
MOVEMENT IN NET DEBT IN THE PERIOD 4,914 (3,846) (3,091)
NET DEBT AT START OF THE PERIOD (8,160) (5,069) (5,069)
NET DEBT AT END OF THE PERIOD (13,074) (8,915) (8,160)
BAILLIE GIFFORD SHIN NIPPON PLC
TWENTY LARGEST EQUITY HOLDINGS
at 31 July 2006
Name Sector Value % of total
£'000 assets
USS Company Commerce and services 2,818 3.6
Suruga Corp Real estate and construction 2,080 2.6
Sumisho Lease Financials 1,991 2.5
Nabtesco Manufacturing and machinery 1,910 2.4
Asia Securities Printing Manufacturing and machinery 1,899 2.4
Plenus Retail 1,856 2.3
Moshi Moshi Hotline Commerce and services 1,846 2.3
Ryobi Chemicals and other materials 1,812 2.3
Funai Zaisan Consultants Financials 1,806 2.3
Tokyu Livable Real estate and construction 1,676 2.1
Aruze Manufacturing and machinery 1,673 2.1
H.I.S. Commerce and services 1,670 2.1
Juki Manufacturing and machinery 1,623 2.1
Horiba Manufacturing and machinery 1,587 2.0
Sankyo Manufacturing and machinery 1,560 2.0
CKD Manufacturing and machinery 1,560 2.0
Hamakyorex Commerce and services 1,555 2.0
Park24 Real estate and construction 1,547 2.0
Nishimatsuya Chain Retail 1,536 1.9
Nakanishi Manufacturing and machinery 1,483 1.9
35,488 44.9
BAILLIE GIFFORD SHIN NIPPON PLC
NOTES
1. The financial statements for the six months to 31 July 2006 have been prepared on the basis of
the same accounting policies set out in the Company's Annual Financial Statements at 31 January
2006.
Six months to Six months to Year to
31 July 2006 31 July 2005 31 January 2006
£'000 £'000 £'000
2. Currency gains/(losses)
Realised exchange differences 44 336 243
Movement in unrealised exchange differences 365 (382) 295
409 (46) 538
3. Income includes stock lending fee income of £56,000 (31 July 2005 - £54,000; 31 January 2006 -
£106,000).
4. No interim dividend will be declared.
5. Return per ordinary share
Revenue return (109) (38) (365)
Capital return (21,479) 5,166 33,206
Return per ordinary share is based on the above totals of revenue and capital and on 30,600,497
(31 July 2005 and 31 January 2006 - 30,600,497) ordinary shares, being the weighted average
number of ordinary shares in issue during the period.
6. Bank loans of £13.6 million (Y2.9 billion) have been drawn down under yen loan facilities which
are repayable between March 2007 and October 2012 (31 July 2005 - £9.6 million (Y1.9 billion); 31
January 2006 - £13.9 million (Y2.9 billion)).
7. At 31 July 2006 the Company had authority to buy back 4,587,014 of its own shares for
cancellation in accordance with the authority granted at the AGM in April 2006. No shares were
bought back during the period under review.
8. Transaction costs incurred on the purchase and sale of investments are added to the purchase cost
or deducted from the sale proceeds, as appropriate. During the period, transaction costs on
purchases amounted to £36,000 (31 July 2005 - £25,000; 31 January 2006 - £70,000) and transaction
costs on sales amounted to £23,000 (31 July 2005 - £18,000; 31 January 2006 - £61,000).
Year to
Six months to 31 Six months to 31 January
July 2006 31 July 2005 2006
£'000 £'000 £'000
9. Reconciliation of net return before finance costs
and taxation to net cash (outflow)/inflow from
operating activities
Net return before finance costs and taxation (21,435) 5,267 33,104
Losses/(gains) on investments 21,888 (5,212) (32,668)
Currency (gains)/losses (409) 46 (538)
(Increase)/decrease in accrued income (22) 10 (9)
Increase in other debtors (21) (10) (7)
(Decrease)/increase in creditors (83) (7) 83
Net cash (outflow)/inflow from operating (82) 94 (35)
activities
BAILLIE GIFFORD SHIN NIPPON PLC
NOTES (Ctd)
10. The financial information contained within this interim report does not constitute statutory accounts as
defined in section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. The financial information for the year ended
31 January 2006 has been extracted from the statutory accounts which have been filed with the Registrar
of Companies and which contain an unqualified Auditors' Report and do not contain a statement under the
sections 237(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985.
11. The Interim Report was approved by the Board on 31 August 2006. None of the views expressed in this
document should be construed as advice to buy or sell a particular investment.
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange