Final Results - NAV Up 16.5%
Bankers Investment Trust PLC
20 December 1999
THE BANKERS INVESTMENT TRUST PLC
Preliminary Unaudited Results for the Year Ended 31 October 1999
Highlights
* Net asset value per share up 16.5% to 316.1p
* Total dividend per share increased 5.8% to 6.00p
* Forecast minimum dividend per share increase of 3.3% to 6.20p
The Chairman commented:-
Results
During the year the Company's net asset value per share rose from
271.4p to 316.1p, an increase over the year of 16.5%. This
compares with a rise in our main benchmark, the FTSE All-Share
Index of 16.0%.
The change in our investment policy in the USA towards more growth
oriented stocks and a reduction in special and scrip dividends led
to a 6.4% decline in earnings. We propose a final dividend of
1.53p which brings the total for the year to 6.00p per ordinary
share, compared to last year's dividend of 5.67p, an increase of
5.8%. This is the thirty-second consecutive annual increase in
the dividend.
Investment Background
Economic growth almost everywhere has been significantly stronger
than generally expected a year ago. The upshot has been
significant growth with low inflation - a combination that has
sent stocks rising again. Inflation, encouragingly, has remained
low despite a tighter labour market and significant rises in
commodity prices, including the oil price - up 152% during 1999.
The USA, UK and Continental Europe have seen the first interest
rate rises for some time but these have been viewed as pre-emptive
moves, which should extend the economic cycle. Equity markets,
this year, have continued to do well outperforming bonds for the
second decade in a row and ending 1999 on a strong note despite
the rise in bond yields. A very striking feature in the second
half of the year has been the high concentration of investor
interest in a few growth sectors, notably technology and
telecommunications. We remained fully invested throughout the
year. The main changes we made were to increase the focus on
growth companies in the USA and to add to our UK and Japanese
investments.
Share Buy-backs
At an Extraordinary General Meeting and Separate Class Meetings
held in June, shareholders granted the Board authority to buy-back
for cancellation up to 23.25 million shares. By the end of
October, 900,000 shares had been bought back at an average
discount of around 14% which enhanced net assets by about
£400,000. The Board will be seeking to renew the authority to
purchase up to 14.99% of the existing issued shares for
cancellation at this year's Annual General Meeting. This is the
maximum authority permitted by the London Stock Exchange. The
timing of any purchases will be dependant on market conditions and
the level of discount but subject to these provisos we shall be
actively seeking to buy back available shares.
Forecast Dividend & Accounting Policy
Dividends for the year to 31 October 2000 are forecast to be at
least 6.20p per share subject, as always, to market conditions. A
regular dividend of 1.55p per share will be paid at the end of
May, August and November and a minimum of 1.55p will be paid as a
final dividend at the end of February 2001.
In line with the recommended practice of the Association of
Investment Trust Companies (AITC), from 1 November 1999, we have
decided to change the accounting policy to reflect the
relationship between management fees and interest costs on the one
hand, and the long term split of total returns between revenue and
capital from the portfolio on the other. The investment
management fees and interest payable on loans and debentures,
previously charged wholly to the revenue account, will in future
be allocated 30% to revenue and 70% to capital reserve. This will
provide flexibility to step up investment in lower yielding stocks
whilst at the same time allowing the Board to continue to increase
dividends.
Outlook
Confidence in the gradual recovery of the global economy continues
to improve, following the traumatic economic events in the autumn
of 1998. The robust growth in the US economy continues unabated
but we do expect a slowdown next year as the rise in long term and
short term interest rates begins to take effect. The major
European economies are still growing below trend but an
acceleration in real growth to 3% is widely expected, and the
weakness of the Euro and low levels of interest rates are
providing a major stimulus.
Having avoided a recession, the UK economy is now in danger of
growing too quickly and although price inflation remains low,
asset inflation is becoming a concern leading to early increases
in interest rates. Japan is a conundrum. With the Yen having
risen to very high levels, economists are equally divided as to
whether the recovery can be sustained. We are optimistic based on
the current strength of consumer spending there and a renewed
determination by their government to use measures to stimulate
growth. Japan has also been helped by the size and speed of the
recovery in the Asia Pacific region, where real growth of 5-6% is
expected to continue in 2000, stimulated by strong export growth
and a boom in technology hardware. With most of the world growing
strongly in 2000, inflation is almost bound to increase,
principally because of the rise in oil and commodity prices.
However, excess global capacity and the deflationary implications
of the internet should keep the increase down.
In this economic environment the outlook for corporate profits and
hence the equity market would normally be quite promising but
unfortunately markets are far from normal. We are currently
experiencing a speculative hunger for technology stocks which is
driving the market overall to overvalued levels. The average
company, particularly in the USA, has been in a bear market since
April 1998 and their valuations would normally be attractive.
However, any bursting of the technology bubble will also have a
major negative impact on the rest of the equity market. At these
levels we are cautious about the outlook for stock markets. We
will aim to steer a course which balances risk with reward and to
find sustainable growth at reasonable prices.
For further information, please contact:
Michael Moule Vicki Staveacre
The Bankers Investment Trust PLC Henderson Press Office
Telephone: 0171 410 4378 Telephone: 0171 410 4028
Stephen Westwood
Client Service Director
Telephone: 0171 477 5517
Highlights of the Year
31 31 Change
October October %
1999 1998
Assets
Total assets less current £513,827,000 £451,486,000 +13.8
liabilities
Net asset value per ordinary 316.1p 271.4p +16.5
share
Ordinary share mid-market price 273.5p 234.3p +16.7
Discount (share price to net 13.5% 13.7%
asset value)
Indices
FTSE All-Share Index 2,904.38 2,504.85 +16.0
Standard & Poor's Composite 1,362.92 1,098.67 +26.6*
Index
FT/S&P World Europe (ex UK) 306.80 270.96 +13.2
Index (£)
TOPIX (Tokyo First Section 1,563.89 1,035.60 +72.1*
Index)
FT/S&P World (ex UK) Index (£) 307.82 239.10 +28.7
50/50 FTSE All-Share/
FT/S&P World (ex UK) Index 244.70 200.00 +22.4
(£)
* £ adjusted
Revenue
Gross revenue £16,457,000 £17,359,000 -5.2
Earnings per ordinary share 6.18p 6.60p -6.4
Dividends per ordinary share 6.00p 5.67p +5.8
Retail Prices Index 166.5 164.5 +1.2
Currencies
US Dollar 1.6409 1.6747
Yen 171.244 195.147
D Mark 3.054 2.774
Euro 1.5612 -
Preliminary Unaudited Group Results
for the Year Ended 31 October 1999
Group Statement of Total Return (incorporating the revenue account)
Year ended 31 October 1999 Year ended 31 October 1998
Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Total capital gains - 68,730 68,730 - 14,077 14,077
from investments
Income from fixed asset 14,620 - 14,620 15,424 - 15,424
investments
Other interest 1,837 - 1,837 1,935 - 1,935
receivable and similar
income
------ ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Gross revenue and 16,457 68,730 85,187 17,359 14,077 31,436
capital gains
Management fee (2,137) - (2,137) (2,025) - (2,025)
Other administrative (583) - (583) (458) - (458)
expenses
------ ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Net return on ordinary
activities
before interest 13,737 68,730 82,467 14,876 14,077 28,953
payable and taxation
Interest payable (2,437) - (2,437) (2,440) - (2,440)
------ ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Net return on ordinary
activities
before taxation 11,300 68,730 80,030 12,436 14,077 26,513
Taxation on net return (1,680) - (1,680) (2,155) - (2,155)
on ordinary activities
------ ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Net return on ordinary
activities
after taxation 9,620 68,730 78,350 10,281 14,077 24,358
Appropriations -
Dividends
Cumulative preference (38) - (38) (50) - (50)
stock
------ ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Available for ordinary 9,582 68,730 78,312 10,231 14,077 24,308
shareholders
------ ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Ordinary shares:
Three interims of 1.49p (6,920) - (6,920) (6,556) - (6,556)
(1998 - 1.41p)
Fourth interim of nil - - - (1,551) - (1,551)
(1998 - 1.00p)
Proposed final of 1.53p (2,360) - (2,360) (683) - (683)
(1998 - 0.44p)
------ ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
(9,280) - (9,280) (8,790) - (8,790)
------ ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Transfer to reserves 302 68,730 69,032 1,441 14,077 15,518
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Return per ordinary 6.18p 44.36p 50.54p 6.60p 9.07p 15.67p
share (note 1)
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The revenue columns of this statement represent the revenue accounts of the
Group.
Preliminary Unaudited Group Results
for the Year Ended 31 October 1999
Summary of Group Net Assets
31 October 1999 31 October 1998
£'000 £'000
Valuation of fixed asset 493,377 444,535
investments
Net current assets 20,450 6,951
---------- ----------
Total assets less current 513,827 451,486
liabilities
Creditors: amounts falling due (26,300) (28,991)
after more than one year
Provisions for liabilities and (66) (71)
charges
---------- ----------
Total net assets 487,461 422,424
Cumulative preference stock - (1,430)
---------- ----------
Net assets attributable to 487,461 420,994
ordinary shares
====== ======
Number of ordinary shares in 154,221,015 155,121,015
issue
Net asset value per ordinary
share after
deducting prior charges at par 316.1p 271.4p
Notes:
1. Return Per Ordinary Share
Revenue return per ordinary share is based on net earnings
attributable to ordinary shares of £9,582,000 (1998: £10,231,000)
and on the weighted average number of ordinary shares in issue
throughout the year of 154,950,329 (1998: 155,121,015). Capital
return per ordinary share is based on net capital gains in the
year of £68,730,000 (1998: £14,077,000) and on the weighted
average number of ordinary shares in issue, as shown above.
2. 1998 Accounts
The figures and financial information for the year ended 31
October 1998 are an extract of the latest published accounts of
the Group and do not constitute statutory accounts for that year.
Those accounts have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies
and included the report of the auditors which was unqualified and
did not contain a statement under Section 237(2) or 237(3) of the
Companies Act 1985.
3. 1999 Accounts
The preliminary figures for the year ended 31 October 1999 have
been extracted from the latest Group accounts. These accounts
have not yet been delivered to the Registrar of Companies, nor
have the auditors yet reported on them.
4. Dividend
A final dividend of 1.53p per ordinary share will, if approved by
shareholders, be paid on 28 February 2000 to shareholders on the
register on 28 January 2000. The Company's shares go ex-
dividend on 24 January 2000.
5. AGM
The annual report will be posted to shareholders in January 2000
and thereafter copies will be available at the registered office
at 3 Finsbury Avenue, London EC2M 2PA. The Annual General
Meeting of the Company will be held at Drapers' Hall, Throgmorton
Avenue, London EC2 on Friday 18 February 2000 at 12.00 noon.
6. Year 2000 Statement
Henderson plc and its subsidiaries ('Henderson'), which provide
investment management, UK custodial, accounting, administrative
and company secretarial services to The Bankers Investment Trust
PLC, has undertaken a corporate action programme, under its
Board's supervision, to establish the precise scope of the risks
posed to The Bankers Investment Trust PLC by the consequences of
the Year 2000 date change and to address those risks.
Henderson's strategy is to validate that its computer systems
achieve Year 2000 conformity (as defined by British Standards
Institute in its paper DISC PD2000-1), and to require both its
suppliers and the suppliers to The Bankers Investment Trust PLC
to ensure that their computer systems achieve the same or an
equivalent standard. Costs relating to the Year 2000 project are
to be borne by Henderson.
Largest Investments
at 31 October 1999
The 40 largest investments (convertibles and all classes of equity in
any one company being treated as one investment) were as follows:
Market Market
Value Value
31 Oct 31 Oct
99 99
£'000 £'000
British Telecommunications 13,242 Unilever 3,387
BP Amoco 13,227 General Electric 3,374
Shell Transport & Trading 10,730 VNU 3,295
Glaxo Wellcome 10,058 Diageo 3,259
Vodafone AirTouch 7,641 France Telecom 2,946
Lloyds TSB 7,573 ABN-Amro 2,945
HSBC 6,521 Microsoft 2,877
Total 6,423 Seguros 2,873
Tranquilidade
Philips Electronics 6,033 Prudential 2,864
National Westminster 5,221 Novartis 2,822
Barclays 5,216 Cisco Systems 2,778
SmithKline Beecham 5,096 CGU 2,748
AstraZeneca 4,128 Alcatel 2,667
Henderson American Smaller 3,913 Pharmacia Upjohn 2,631
Companies
Abbey National 3,808 NTT Mobile 2,588
Communications
Cable & Wireless 3,555 Banco Santander 2,533
Siemens 3,554 Johnson & Johnson 2,528
Royal Bank of Scotland 3,505 ENI 2,502
Nestle 3,500 Telefonos de Mexico 2,501
General Electric Co (USA) 3,419 Citigroup 2,479
These investments total £182,960,000 or 37.1% of the portfolio.
Changes in Investments
at 31 October 1999
Valuation Sales Appreciation/ Valuation
Purchases Proceeds
1998 (Depreciation) 1999
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
United Kingdom 235,210 39,247 36,662 23,942 261,737
Europe 77,563 16,635 20,373 13,434 87,259
USA 67,313 75,508 78,332 6,767 71,256
Japan 20,862 15,181 14,594 19,370 40,819
Hong Kong 7,205 137 1,745 833 6,430
Australia 7,365 608 267 1,165 8,871
Far East 3,235 353 21 2,496 6,063
Latin America 4,307 - 3,453 2,459 3,313
Other 7,980 1,360 6,246 575 3,669
Countries
Fixed Interest 13,495 - 9,251 (284) 3,960
-------- -------- ------- ---------- -------
444,535 149,029 170,944 70,757 493,377
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