Interim Results - 6 Months to 31 October 1999
Baring Emerging Europe Trust PLC
7 December 1999
THE BARING EMERGING EUROPE TRUST PLC
Interim announcement in respect of the six months ended
31st October 1999.
The Board of Baring Emerging Europe Trust PLC today
announces its unaudited interim results for the six months
ended 31st October 1999.
Overview of the 6 month period:
*NAV per ordinary share (basic) fell from 219.2c to 214.3c,
a fall at 2.2% compared with an average fall of 1.4% by a
peer group of comparable East European regional funds
(source: Micropal).
Central Europe
The Czech Republic and Hungary performed well during the
period as interest rates have fallen and their currencies
have strengthened as a result of rising exports to the EU.
Only Poland has failed to benefit from this trend due to its
lower exposure to the EU. The Company is underweight in
Poland, overweight in Hungary and neutral in the Czech
Republic.
Russia
Russia's natural resource companies have seen enormous
benefits from the rise in commodity prices, but this has not
been reflected in stock market appreciation due to the
current political situation. However it is likely the
political situation will improve during 2000 to the benefit
of the equity market, while the outlook for commodities
remains positive. The Company is slightly overweight in
Russia.
Eastern Mediterranean
The Greek market has continued to soar and this, coupled
with the dominance of the market by retail investors, has
led to expectations of a serious correction. In Turkey the
new reformist government and the recent earthquakes are
acting as a catalyst for reform and are likely to lead to a
deal with the IMF in the near future. This should prove
positive for the Turkish equity market. The Company is
extremely underweight in Greece and overweight in Turkey.
Martin Taylor, Fund Manager commented:
'We expect the markets of Central Europe to be major
beneficiaries of the ongoing economic recovery in the EU
over the next year. Strong oil prices and progress on
reform also mean we are positive on the outlook for Russia
and Turkey, respectively. Of the major markets in the
region we are only negative on Greece, which we believe to
be seriously overvalued at the current time.'
For more information, please contact:
Peter Willis, Baring Asset Management
Tel: 0171 214 1842
Sally Rickman/Robin Hepburn, Ludgate Communications
Tel: 0171 216 4423
MANAGER'S REPORT
During the period under review the undiluted net asset value
per share ('NAV') of the Company fell from 219.2c to 214.3c,
a fall of 2.2%, compared with an average fall of 1.4% by a
peer group of comparable East European regional funds
(source: Micropal).
Unlike the corresponding period during 1998, which was
dominated by the Russian default, no single event has
determined market sentiment since May. This has resulted in
widely disparate market returns as local indices have
responded more to local political and economic events rather
than broader international trends.
These returns are shown in the table below:
% change in $ terms
Central Europe
Czech Republic (PX50) +23.1
Hungary (BUX) +13.1
Poland (WIG) -7.8
Russia (RTS) +6.5
Eastern Mediterranean
Greece (ATG) + 47.4
Turkey (ISE 100) -0.3
(Source: Reuters)
Central Europe
The Czech Republic and Hungary performed strongly as
interest rates fell in response to a combination of rising
exports and progress on economic reform. Czech and
Hungarian exports have responded positively to growing signs
of recovery in the EU, which is the destination of 70% of
their exports. This has resulted in balance of payment
surpluses in both countries, falling interest rates and
strengthening currencies; ideal liquidity conditions for
equity markets. On the reform front the Czechs are at last
making progress in privatising their banking sector, whilst
Hungary is returning to a prudent fiscal stance after a
brush with popularism in the first quarter of the year.
Poland, on the other hand, has failed to benefit from either
of these trends; their export exposure to the EU is half
that of Hungary and the Czech Republic whilst the process of
economic reform has temporarily stagnated under the current
government. The Company is underweight Poland, overweight
Hungary and neutral the Czech Republic.
Russia
The Russian economy and Russia's leading natural resource
companies have enormously benefited during the period from
the sharp rise in commodity prices, particularly oil and
base metals. Unfortunately, this has not been reflected in
stock market appreciation due to the concurrent rise in
political risk as a result of the increasingly erratic
behaviour of Boris Yeltsin and the growing proximity of
December's parliamentary elections and next June's
presidential elections. Given the positive outlook for
commodity prices, low valuations and the likelihood of an
improvement in the political outlook after the forthcoming
elections, the Company is slightly overweight in Russia.
The Eastern Mediterranean
The Greek market continued to soar, rising 47.4% during the
period. Unfortunately, the market has now become wholly
liquidity driven, with retail investors now dominating and
has lost touch with fundamentally fair valuation levels.
This has raised the spectre of a serious correction leading
the Company to be extremely underweight Greek equities.
Turkish valuations, on the other hand, remain low which
reflects the historically high level of political and
economic risk prevalent in this country. However, with a
new reformist government making steady progress on an accord
with the IMF and the recent earthquakes acting as a catalyst
for reform, this may change in the near future. The Company
is overweight the Turkish market.
Conclusion
Central Europe is likely to be a prime beneficiary of the
current economic recovery in the EU whilst the higher
commodity prices stimulated by stronger global growth should
also be good news for Russia. In Turkey, we are also
optimistic of progress in much-needed economic reforms. Of
the regions major markets only Greece - which has trebled
since March 1998 - appears to offer few attractions for
investors.
Rory Landman
Martin Taylor
7 December 1999
INTERIM ACCOUNTS
for the six months ended 31st October, 1999, (unaudited)
Half-year to 31st October 1999
STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN+ Revenue Capital Total
$000 $000 $000
Gains/(losses) on investments - (6,024) (6,024)
Gains/(losses) on foreign
exchange - 94 94
Income 3,088 - 3,088
Investment management fee (2,012) - (2,012)
Other expenses (855) - (855)
Net return before interest
payable and taxation 221 (5,930) (5,709)
Interest payable (31) - (31)
Return on ordinary activities
before taxation 190 (5,930) (5,740)
Taxation (276) - (276)
Return attributable to ordinary
shareholders (86) (5,930) (6,016)
Dividends - - -
Dividends per share - - -
Transfers to reserves (86) (5,930) (6,016)
Earnings Capital Total
Return per ordinary share (0.07)c (4.78)c (4.86)c
SUMMARY OF NET ASSETS 31st October
1999
$000
Fixed asset investments 266,359
Net current assets (304)
Creditors: amounts falling due after more
than one year -
Equity shareholders' funds 266,055
Net asset value per ordinary share
- basic 214.30c
- fully diluted 195.38c
+ The revenue column of this statement is the profit and
loss account of the Company.
No dividend has been declared for the current period as
the Company has no distributable reserves.
Half-year to 31st October 1998
STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN+ Revenue Capital Total
$000 $000 $000
Gains/(losses) on investments - (85,921) (85,921)
Gains/(losses) on foreign
exchange - 130 130
Income 4,334 - 4,334
Investment management fee (1,569) - (1,569)
Other expenses (917) - (917)
Net return before interest
payable and taxation 1,848 (85,791) (83,943)
Interest payable (58) - (58)
Return on ordinary activities
before taxation 1,790 (85,791) (84,001)
Taxation (237) - (237)
Return attributable to ordinary
shareholders 1,553 (85,791) (84,238)
Dividends - - -
Dividends per share - - -
Transfers to reserves 1,553 (85,791) (84,238)
Earnings Capital Total
Return per ordinary share 1.25c (69.12)c (67.87)c
SUMMARY OF NET ASSETS 31st October
1998
$000
Fixed asset investments 216,095
Net current assets (5,491)
Creditors: amounts falling due after
more than one year -
Equity shareholders' funds 210,604
Net asset value per ordinary share
- basic 169.67c
- fully diluted 158.12c
Full year to 30th April 1999
STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN+ Revenue Capital Total
$000 $000 $000
Gains/(losses) on investments - (41,018) (41,018)
Gains/(losses) on foreign
exchange - (508) (508)
Income 5,470 - 5,470
Investment management fee (3,259) - (3,259)
Other expenses (1,878) - (1,878)
Net return before interest
payable and taxation 333 (41,526) (41,193)
Interest payable (114) - (114)
Return on ordinary activities
before taxation 219 (41,526) (41,307)
Taxation (236) - (236)
Return attributable to ordinary
shareholders (17) (41,526) (41,543)
Dividends - - -
Dividends per share - - -
Transfers to reserves (17) (41,526) (41, 543)
Earnings Capital Total
Return per ordinary share (0.01)c (33.46)c (33.47)c
SUMMARY OF NET ASSETS 30th April 1999
$000
Fixed asset investments 276,212
Net current assets (4,165)
Creditors: amounts falling due after
more than one year -
Equity shareholders' funds 272,047
Net asset value per ordinary share
- basic 219.20c
- fully diluted 199.40c
The results stated above for the year ended 30th April 1999
are not statutory accounts. Full accounts for that year, on
which the Auditors of the Company made an unqualified
report, have been filed with the Registrar of Companies.
NOTE TO INTERIM ACCOUNTS
True and fair over-ride
The Company has ceased to be an investment company as its
Articles of Association do not comply with section 266 of
the Companies Act 1985 in that they do not prohibit the
distribution of capital profits. However, it remains an
investment trust for taxation purposes under section 842 of
the Income and Corporation Taxes Act 1988 and the Articles
of the Company prohibit capital profits from being
distributed by way of dividend. As such, the Directors
consider it appropriate to continue to present the accounts
in accordance with the Statement of Recommended Practice for
the financial statements of investment trust companies ('the
SORP'). Under the SORP, the financial performance of the
Company is presented in a statement of total return in which
the revenue column is the profit and loss account of the
Company. The revenue column excludes certain capital items
which, since the Company is no longer an investment company,
the Companies Act and/or FRS3 would ordinarily require to be
included in the profit and loss account: profits and/or
losses on disposal of investments and profits and/or losses
on foreign exchange. In the opinion of the Directors, the
inclusion of these items in the profit and loss account
would obscure and distort both the revenue and capital
performance of the Company, and would not show clearly the
revenue profits emerging to be distributable by way of
dividend. The Directors therefore consider that these
departures from the specific provisions of the Companies Act
and accounting standards are necessary to give a true and
fair view. The departures have no effect on total return or
on the balance sheet.
YEAR 2000
The Directors are aware of the possible impact on the
operations of the Company of the year 2000 issue on computer
systems. For the Company this issue is made more complex
because the Company has no systems of its own and sub-
contracts the performance of its operations to third
parties. As such, it is the key systems of the sub-
contractors relevant to the functions performed on behalf of
the Company which need to be year 2000 compliant.
The Company has received assurances from all its key sub-
contractors that they have completed development and testing
procedures so as to ensure that their systems will be
compliant for the new millennium. Costs associated with the
development and testing of relevant systems will be borne by
the respective sub-contractors and will not fall on the
Company.
The interim report will be sent to shareholders on 20th
December, 1999. It will not be advertised in newspapers, but
copies will be available from that date at the Company's
Registered Office at 155 Bishopsgate, London, EC2M 3XY
GEOGRAPHIC EXPOSURE
31st October Benchmark
1999 *
(%) (%)
Central Europe
Czech Republic 8.3 8.3
Croatia 1.7 2.8
Estonia 2.5 -
Hungary 35.2 22.5
Poland 18.1 20.3
Slovakia - 1.5
Slovenia 0.6 1.3
66.4 56.7
Eastern Mediterranean
Greece 2.2 26.3
Turkey 17.9 6.6
20.1 32.9
Russia 13.3 10.4
Cash & Equivalents 0.2 -
100.0 100.0
* Bespoke BEMI Emerging Europe Index
20 LARGEST EQUITY HOLDINGS
Valuation 31st October 1999 Valuation 31st October 1999
(%) (%)
1. OTP Bank (Hungary) 10.12 12. Borsodchem (Hungary) 2.50
2. Matav (Hungary) 8.96 13. Turkiye Is Bank
(Turkey) 2.39
3. Richter Gedeon 14. Tiszai Vegyi Komb
(Hungary) 6.03 (Hungary) 2.29
4. Lukoil (Russia) 15. Ceska Sporitelna
4.83 (Czech) 2.28
5. Telekomun Pol 16. Powzechny Bank
(Poland) 4.60 (Poland) 2.15
7. KGHM (Poland) 3.93 17. KOC Holding (Turkey) 2.10
6. Surgutneftegaz 18. Unified Energy
(Russia) 4.08 (Russia) 2.10
8. Akbank (Turkey) 3.12 19. Demask (Hungary) 2.01
9. SPT Telecom (Czech) 20. Haci Omer Sabanci
3.08 (Turkey) 1.91
10. Yapi Kredi Bank
(Turkey) 3.06
11. Eesti Telekom 74.10%
(Estonia) 2.56
The Ordinary Share and Warrant price of the Company is
quoted in the Financial Times under the heading 'Investment
Companies' in the 'London Share Service' Section.
Additionally for internet users, the prices appear on the
TrustNet website (http://www.trustnet.co.uk)
SAVINGS SCHEME
The Company's shares can be purchased through the Baring
Investment Trusts Savings Scheme. The Scheme provides an
easy way to purchase the Company's shares. It caters for
regular and/or occasional savers.
Full details of the Scheme may be obtained from the Company
Secretary.