British Airways PLC
3 October 2001
TRAFFIC AND CAPACITY STATISTICS - SEPTEMBER 2001
September was a month of considerable disruption for passenger traffic, cargo
and aircraft flying. On September 11, 29 flights were diverted. North Atlantic
capacity was grounded until the evening of September 14 and a full schedule
was only operating again on September 23. In the week of September 11, traffic
to the US was down around 60 per cent. The revenue loss for the week was some
£48 million and operating results were impacted by some £40 million. The costs
associated with the disruption and taking care of passengers were
considerable. The impact of immediate security and restrictions on cargo were
also considerable.
Immediate action was taken to conserve cash and analyse the impact on the
business. On September 17, an extensive series of cost cutting measures was
announced, including a further headcount reduction of 5,200 and the plan to
take 20 aircraft out of the flying programme. On September 24 a revised
network plan was announced for the winter programme that will reduce capacity
by around 9 per cent more than the previous plan of some 8 per cent.
Summary of the headline figures
Capacity in September, measured in Available Seat Kilometres, was 13.8 per
cent below September 2000. Traffic, measured in Revenue Passenger Kilometres,
fell 22.0 per cent. The reduction in traffic comprised a 33.2 per cent decline
in premium traffic and a 20.0 per cent fall in non-premium traffic. Passenger
load factor of 69.2 per cent was down 7.3 points on September 2000. Cargo,
measured in Cargo Tonne Kilometres, fell by 38.0 per cent.
For the July - September quarter, ASKs were down 10.5 per cent, with RPKs down
14.0 per cent. Premium traffic fell by 19.3 per cent, while non-premium
traffic fell by 13.2 per cent. Cargo Tonne Kilometres fell by 23.1 per cent.
Market conditions
Trading is difficult. In the seven days following the attacks, traffic was
down by around 36 per cent, and subsequently recovered to be down 28 per cent
in the last week of the month. In that last week, seat factor on North America
was down some 30 per cent, Middle East was down some 10 per cent and Far East
was down some 10 percent (against a market that was already weaker than the
previous year). Shorthaul was down some 12 per cent but this is largely driven
by the reduction in transfer flows from the longhaul network. Business traffic
has been more heavily affected as many companies introduced restrictions due
to concerns about travel risk. Equally we would expect this segment of the
market to recover more quickly as any perceived risks are better understood.
Until any retaliatory action becomes clear, the outlook will remain
unpredictable. Forward bookings for October are indicating that traffic for
that month will be down by around 25-30 per cent versus last year, with
capacity down at least 15 per cent. Clearly, forward bookings are volatile; a
further update will be given at the interim results on November 6.
Costs
Costs for insurance and security are expected to rise significantly going
forward.
Expected fuel costs for the year have fallen due to lower prices and a reduced
flying programme to around £50 million less than last year.
Strategic developments
The events of September 11 have in no way reduced the company's focus on its
core strategy of reducing capacity and exposure to the unprofitable business
segments. In response to the weaker travel outlook both longhaul and shorthaul
capacity have been reduced and some of the Gatwick restructuring plans that
were announced 10 months ago have been brought forward. The fleet and network
plans are working towards aligning capacity with expected demand while
maintaining the flexibility to respond to further market changes. As the
revenue outlook becomes clearer we will make the necessary changes to align
supply with our view of stable demand.
Meetings with the UK Government continue to discuss airport security and
insurance, as well as the need to maintain a level playing field with respect
to any government support. The company has restated its view that
liberalisation is core to the long-term success of the airline industry.
Outlook
British Airways is in a sound position in spite of the immediate revenue
pressures, having responded quickly with a series of measures to reduce the
scale of our business. We continue to assess the demand outlook, and will take
all necessary actions.
October 3, 2001
BRITISH AIRWAYS MONTHLY TRAFFIC AND CAPACITY STATISTICS
Month of September Financial year to date
April through September
BRITISH AIRWAYS Change Change
SCHEDULED SERVICES 2001 2000 (%) 2001 2000 (%)
Passengers carried (000)
UK/Europe 2449 2581 -5.1 15351 15159 +1.3
Americas 488 720 -32.1 3672 4563 -19.5
Asia Pacific 149 188 -20.6 908 1135 -20.0
Africa and Middle East 235 270 -12.8 1475 1512 -2.5
Total 3322 3758 -11.6 21406 22369 -4.3
Revenue passenger km (m)
UK/Europe 1984 2177 -8.9 12581 12856 -2.1
Americas 3356 4946 -32.2 24997 31182 -19.8
Asia Pacific 1503 1901 -20.9 9031 11123 -18.8
Africa and Middle East 1574 1773 -11.2 9847 9866 -0.2
Total 8417 10797 -22.0 56455 65027 -13.2
Available seat km (m)
UK/Europe 3115 3059 +1.8 18984 18585 +2.1
Americas 4936 6331 -22.0 33664 39444 -14.7
Asia Pacific 1917 2269 -15.5 12112 14367 -15.7
Africa and Middle East 2199 2447 -10.2 13930 14713 -5.3
Total 12166 14107 -13.8 78690 87109 -9.7
Passenger load factor (%)
UK/Europe 63.7 71.2 -7.5 pts 66.3 69.2 -2.9 pts
Americas 68.0 78.1 -10.1 pts 74.3 79.1 -4.8 pts
Asia Pacific 78.4 83.8 -5.4 pts 74.6 77.4 -2.8 pts
Africa and Middle East 71.6 72.4 -0.8 pts 70.7 67.1 +3.6 pts
Total 69.2 76.5 -7.3 pts 71.7 74.7 -3.0 pts
Revenue tonne km (RTK) (m)
Cargo tonne km (CTK) 251 405 -38.0 2031 2433 -16.5
Total RTK 1100 1485 -25.9 7653 8929 -14.3
Available tonne km (m) 1826 2084 -12.4 11915 12771 -6.7
Overall load factor (%) 60.2 71.3 -11.1 pts 64.2 69.9 -5.7 pts
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