Final Results

F&C Latin American Inv Trust PLC 11 March 2005 Date: 11 March 2005 Contact: Rupert Brandt Lisa Stanley F&C Emerging Markets Lansons Communications 020 7628 8000 020 7294 3692 F&C LATIN AMERICAN INVESTMENT TRUST PLC Unaudited Preliminary Statement of Results for the year ended 31 December 2004 HIGHLIGHTS • The fully diluted NAV per share produced a total return of 47.5%, which significantly outperformed the benchmark's 39.6% return. The share price and the warrant price appreciated 51.7% and 90.2% respectively on a total return basis. (all in US dollars). • For the second year running, Latin America was the best performing region in both in the emerging market asset class and in the world. Our Company was the best performing Latin American closed end fund in its peer group over both years • The Company's dividend income has continued to materially increase over the period and as a result the Board are pleased to declare a second interim dividend of 3.00 cents per share payable on 29 April 2005. • The Company removed the majority of its gearing in December 2004, ending the period with a 0.9% net debt position. We have since moved to a 5.9% net cash position. • The Board introduced a formal twice yearly tender offer based discount control mechanism during the period. As announced on 1 October 2004, the first tender offer was triggered. SUMMARY OF RESULTS 31 December 2004 31 December 2003 % Change Net assets attributable to equity shareholders US$303.0m US$219.9m +37.8 Net assets per ordinary share - basic total return* +47.3 Net assets per ordinary share - +47.5 diluted total return* Share price - total return +51.7 Warrant price 232.00 cents 122.00 cents +90.2 Dividends per share 5.00 cents 0.56 cents * Total return figures include income distributed during the year. Extracts from the Chairman's Statement I am delighted to report that Latin American stock markets enjoyed another very robust year in 2004 as the region's economic recovery continued to build momentum whilst corporate earnings and cash flow grew rapidly. The global environment was highly supportive to the Latin American region, which benefited from strong global GDP growth, rapidly increasing commodity prices, low consumer price inflation across the G7 economies, high levels of global liquidity and a robust risk appetite. For the second year running, Latin America was the best performing region in both in the emerging market asset class and in the world. These conditions helped your Company produce another year of very strong performance. Investment performance The fully diluted, cum income Net Asset Value per share ('fully diluted NAV''), which shows our investment performance net of the smoothed dilutive impact of the warrants, gave investors a total return of 47.5% in US dollars over the year. We are very pleased to report that this was significantly ahead of the benchmark, the MSCI Emerging Markets Latin America Index, which returned 39.6%. A narrowing in our discount from 17.1% to 14.8% over the year helped produce a share price total return of 51.7% in US dollar terms. Our warrants appreciated by 90.2% over the same period. For the second consecutive year, our fully diluted NAV, undiluted NAV and share price total returns were the highest amongst the universe of Latin American closed end funds. Our undiluted cum income Net Asset Value per share ('undiluted NAV'') produced a total return of 47.3% in US dollars over the year. This measurement of our NAV shows the dilutive impact of the warrants only when they are exercised. In 2004, 2,595,470 warrants were exercised in the run up to the tender offer which reduced the undiluted NAV. This dilution occurred because the share price was between two to three times the exercise price at the various times that the warrants were exercised. Had it not been for the exercise of these warrants, our undiluted NAV would have provided a total return of 49.9%. This figure gives the clearest guide to our underlying investment performance over the year. The remaining outstanding warrants expire on 31 July 2005. They are deeply 'in the money'' and as such, are likely to have a significant dilutive effect in to our undiluted NAV when they are exercised in 2005. Since the end of the financial year, we have begun to establish a more defensive posture to the Company's investment portfolio, as we have become more cautious about the market outlook. In absolute terms our performance has continued to be good. From 31 December 2004 to 9 March, the undiluted NAV has risen by 6.8%, the fully diluted NAV has risen by 6.4% whilst the share price has risen by 12.2%. The discount has narrowed further to 10.2%. However we have underperformed our benchmark index's 9.0% appreciation due to our more defensive position. We are currently planning to maintain a more defensive portfolio and expect this to deliver strong relative performance over the medium term. Performance attribution Positive stock selection in Brazil and Mexico, and the correct use of tactical gearing were the three main drivers of our outperformance in 2004. Brazilian stock selection was very strong with our Brazilian portfolio returning 44.9% compared to the Brazilian index's 36.5% return. Mexican stock selection was even more successful with our Mexican portfolio appreciating by 61.2% against the Mexican index's 48.3% return. Tactical gearing continued to add value over the year as we were on average 12.0% geared in a market that rose by 39.6% over the year. Whilst we materially outperformed our benchmark, not everything went well. An overweight position in Brazil, negative stock selection in Peru and mildly negative stock selection in Chile slightly detracted from overall performance. Regional review The Latin American region continued to experience robust economic growth in 2004. Brazil's GDP expanded by 5.2%, Mexico's by 4.4% and Chile's GDP grew by 5.8%. These three core markets make up over 90% of our benchmark index. All three economies have benefited from high commodity prices and very strong export growth and all are currently seeing a pick up in domestic consumption which should fuel another strong year of growth in 2005. Of the main stock markets, Mexico was the best performer as it confounded its sceptics by mounting a stronger than expected economic recovery. Brazil produced another year of strong absolute performance but marginally underperformed the regional index. Chile continued to register strong absolute gains although not quite as high as those seen in Mexico and Brazil or in the overall regional benchmark index. Of the smaller markets, Colombia was the star performer. After being a major laggard in 2003, the Colombian index produced an outstanding return of 133% in US dollars over the year as its economy experienced a significant recovery, its security situation improved materially and Alvaro Uribe, Colombia's president, pushed through the constitutional changes to allow him to stand for a second term in office. We established a small position in this market during a correction in the second quarter of 2004 and bought shares in a very well managed bank which returned 129% over the rest of the year. We were prevented from buying a larger position due to the very limited liquidity in this market. We have since sold this position as we felt it had become fully valued. Prospects and gearing We have become more defensive in our short to medium term outlook for the region but remain very bullish over the long term. Economic growth should remain robust throughout most of the region in 2005 and should continue to be a source of generally constructive newsflow, providing a positive backdrop for solid earnings momentum. That said, we believe the risk / reward trade off has deteriorated. Whilst some of the key Latin equity markets continue to trade at relatively attractive levels on forecast twelve month forward earnings, these forecasts have become more optimistic across the region, increasing the risk of disappointment and reducing the potential for positive surprises. After rising by 48.3% in 2004, the Mexican stockmarket ended the year trading towards the top end of its historic twelve month forward price to earnings range. We feel that this might result in a period of consolidation and don't expect Mexico to break out of its trading range in this cycle. In Brazil, the stock market remains attractively valued on paper but the downside risk has risen considerably. The Brazilian market is vulnerable to a peak in commodity prices and to any deterioration in the interest rate outlook in the US. We are also concerned that the region's stockmarkets may experience a correction in the latter part of 2005 and the early part of 2006 due to a rise in political risk related to the approach of presidential elections in Brazil and Mexico in mid 2006. Since the end of 2004, we have moved underweight in Brazil, remain at zero weight in Argentina, are close to neutral in Mexico and have built up an overweight position in Chile. As mentioned earlier, our effective gearing averaged 12.0% during 2004. It started the review period at 12.0%, was reduced to 10.8% in early March and peaked at 18.7% at the end of June. We removed the majority of our gearing in December 2004, ending the period with a 0.9% net debt position. We have since moved to a 5.9% net cash position. Investment policy and dividends Latin American companies have continued to become more shareholder oriented and a robust economic backdrop has resulted in a continued rise in the Company's dividend receipts. The Company paid a 2.00 cents per share interim dividend on 5 November 2004. The Board has also decided to pay out a further interim dividend of 3.00 cents per share, payable on 29 April, making a total of 5.00 cents for the full year. No final dividend is expected to be paid. The Board expects the Company to continue paying dividends over the medium term and believes that this should help make us a more attractive investment to our shareholders. We have changed our accounting procedures to facilitate a larger and more consistent dividend payout. As we announced in the interim statement, with effect from 1 January 2005, the Company has apportioned 75% of the management fee and finance costs to the capital account. Barring unforeseen events, this should further increase our dividend payments. Discount and discount control mechanisms The Company's discount at the beginning of 2004 was 17.1%. It fluctuated throughout the year, reaching a high of just under 20.0% in January 2004 and a low of just below 5.0% in the height of the correction in Latin American equity markets in mid May, before ending the year at 14.8%. Since the end of the review period and at the time of publishing this report, the Company's discount has fallen to 10.6%. The Company continued to make use of its share repurchase scheme during the year, repurchasing and cancelling 932,093 shares. As shareholders will recall, the Board introduced a twice yearly tender offer scheme with the following characteristics: Trigger mechanism: a tender offer will be made if there is an average discount of 13.5% or more to the cum income, fully diluted Net Asset Value per share for a period of 60 days ending 30 September and 31 March. Frequency and size: if the above trigger mechanism is met in either of the calculation periods, there will be a tender offer of up to 7.5% of the then outstanding issued share capital on each such occasion. Tender price: the price at which the shares will be acquired will be 95% of the cum income, fully diluted Net Asset Value per share. As announced on 1 October 2004, the first tender offer was triggered as the average discount in the 60 day period was over the 13.5% threshold. A total of 5,656,975 shares were repurchased and cancelled in the tender offer. Following the tender offer, 69,770,192 ordinary shares and 10,374,850 warrants remain in issue. The second calculation period ends on 31 March 2005. An announcement will be made in early April as to whether the second tender offer was triggered. Corporate Governance The new principles and guidelines covered by the revised Combined Code on Corporate Governance ('Combined Code'') issued by the Financial Reporting Council in 2003 came into effect for the year ending 31 December 2004. We have included a full report on corporate governance in the annual report. As mentioned in last year's annual report, the Board agrees with the rationale for these developments. The Company currently complies with the Combined Code save that, in line with most investment trusts, it does not have an internal audit function. The Board does not believe that length of service necessarily affects the independence of a non executive director. We subscribe to the view expressed in the AITC's Code of Corporate Governance regarding the length of Board members' tenure, that maintenance of an appropriate balance of experience and skills and the continuing effectiveness of the Board, based on regular review is a more appropriate criteria than the adoption of an absolute limit of nine years. Those directors who have served nine years and who the Board feels should continue in office will, however, be required to seek annual re-election. At the 4 May 2005 Annual General Meeting ('AGM''), Peter Burnell, Fred Packard and Mailson Ferreira da Nobrega, who have all served the Company for more than nine years will consequently seek re-election to the Board. The Board reviews the Manager on an ongoing basis and a formal review happens once a year. The last formal review was completed on 8 December 2004. The review process takes many factors into account, including the quality and continuity of personnel assigned to handle the Company's affairs and the performance that the Company produces compared to both its benchmark and its peer group. Following completion of this review and, given the excellent performance of Rupert Brandt and his team combined with good back up from F&C in the administration of the Company's affairs, it will not be a surprise that the Board concluded that the ongoing appointment of the Manager on the current terms was in the best interests of our shareholders. Annual General Meeting The AGM will be held at 12.15 pm on Wednesday, 4 May 2005 at F&C's offices. We hope that as many shareholders as possible will attend. In this year's AGM, the Board's requests include the re-election of three directors, the renewal of our share repurchase facility and the permission to use our tender offer based Discount Control Mechanism in the 60 day period ending 30 September 2005. Following the AGM, Rupert Brandt will give a brief presentation reviewing 2004 and discussing the outlook for 2005. After the presentation, shareholders are invited to join the Board and Managers at a buffet lunch. Peter Burnell March 2005 Balance Sheet at 31 December 2004 2003 US$'000s US$'000s Fixed assets Investments 302,685 246,626 Current assets Debtors 7,379 2,305 Taxation recoverable - 109 Cash at bank 8,693 3,185 16,072 5,599 Current liabilities Creditors: amounts falling due within one year Bank loans (11,250) (22,250) Other (4,555) (2,839) (15,805) (25,089) Net current assets/(liabilities) 267 (19,490) Total assets less current liabilities 302,952 227,136 Creditors: amounts falling due after more than one year Bank loans - (7,250) Net assets 302,952 219,886 Capital and Reserves Called up share capital: Including non-equity share capital 7,001 7,400 Share premium account 63,880 61,544 Capital redemption reserve 972 313 Warrant reserve 3,484 4,356 Non-distributable reserve 872 - Capital reserves 226,079 146,273 Revenue reserve 664 - Total shareholders' funds 302,952 219,886 Equity interests 302,928 219,862 Non-equity interests 24 24 Total shareholders' funds 302,952 219,886 Net asset value per ordinary share Basic - cents 434.18 298.06 Diluted - cents 390.92 268.44 Statement of Total Return (incorporating the Revenue Account*) for the year ended 31 December 2004 2003 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total US$'000s US$'000s US$'000s US$'000s US$'000s US$'000s Gains on investments - 100,928 100,928 - 101,536 101,536 Exchange losses (30) (960) (990) (49) (189) (238) Income 10,037 - 10,037 7,138 - 7,138 Management fee (3,703) - (3,703) (2,716) - (2,716) Other expenses (1,039) (31) (1,070) (858) (17) (875) Net return before finance costs and taxation 5,265 99,937 105,202 3,515 101,330 104,845 Interest payable and similar charges (831) - (831) (690) - (690) Return on ordinary activities before taxation 4,434 99,937 104,371 2,825 101,330 104,155 Taxation on ordinary activities (220) (100) (320) (699) - (699) Return on ordinary activities after taxation 4,214 99,837 104,051 2,126 101,330 103,456 Dividend on ordinary shares 1st interim of 2.00 cents (2003: 0.56 cents) (1,457) - (1,457) (413) - (413) Proposed second interim of 3.00 cents (2003: nil) (2,093) - (2,093) - - - (3,550) - (3,550) (413) - (413) Amount transferred to reserves 664 99,837 100,501 1,713 101,330 103,043 Return per ordinary share (basic) - cents 5.80 137.31 143.11 2.88 137.37 140.25 Return per ordinary share (diluted) - cents 5.33 2.71 * The revenue column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the Company. All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing operations. Cash Flow Statement for the year ended 31 December 2004 2003 US$'000s US$'000s Net cash inflow from operating activities 4,988 2,239 Interest paid (1,249) (456) Taxation paid (616) (421) Net cash inflow/(outflow) from financial investment 40,908 (14,521) Equity dividends paid (1,870) - Net cash inflow/(outflow) before use of liquid resources and financing 42,161 (13,159) Decrease in short-term deposits - 13,011 Net cash outflow from financing (35,700) - Increase/(decrease) in cash 6,461 (148) Notes The Board has declared an interim dividend 3.00 cents per share payable on 29 April 2005, to shareholders on the register on 29 March 2005. The Board is not recommending a payment of a final dividend. The above financial information comprises non-statutory accounts within the meaning of section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. The financial information for the year ended 31 December 2003 has been extracted from published accounts for the year ended 31 December 2003 that have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies and on which the report of the auditors was unqualified. Diluted net asset value per ordinary share has been calculated in accordance with the Articles basis as set out in the Statement of Recommended Practice ' Financial Statements of Investment trust Companies' (SORP) issued in January 2003. The report and accounts will be posted to shareholders at the end of March 2005 and copies Maybe obtained during normal business hours from the Registered Office of the Company, Exchange House, Primrose Street, London, EC2A 2NY. The Annual General Meeting will be held at the Company's Registered Office, Exchange House, Primrose Street, London EC2A 2NY, on Wednesday 4 May 2005, at 12.15 p.m. By order of the Board F&C Emerging Markets Limited, Secretary 10 March 2005 This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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