AGM Statement
BP PLC
14 April 2005
ADDRESS TO SHAREHOLDERS AT THE ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING OF BP p.l.c. ON APRIL 14,
2005 BY PETER SUTHERLAND, KCMG, CHAIRMAN, AND LORD BROWNE,
GROUP CHIEF EXECUTIVE
Introduction by Peter Sutherland
Good morning ladies and gentlemen. Welcome. Thank you for joining us at the
96th Annual General Meeting of BP p.l.c. here at the Royal Festival Hall.
I am Peter Sutherland. Seated on the stage with me in the front row, on my
left, are John Browne, group chief executive; Byron Grote, chief financial
officer; DeAnne Julius, chairman of the Remuneration Committee; and Sir Robin
Nicholson, her predecessor as chairman of the Remuneration Committee.
To my right, in the front row, are David Jackson, our company secretary; Ian
Prosser, deputy chairman, senior independent director and chairman of the Audit
Committee; and Walter Massey, chairman of the Ethics and Environment Assurance
Committee.
Regrettably our newest director Douglas Flint is unable to join us today due to
a long standing prior engagement. Also Michael Wilson has been required to
attend to urgent business in Canada, which means that he too cannot be with us.
Both Douglas and Michael have asked me to give their apologies to the meeting.
All the other members of the Board are on the stage with us.
Our two longest serving directors are joining us for the last time. Sir Robin
Nicholson and Chuck Knight are standing down as directors at the conclusion of
the meeting.
Before we move to any business, I have a brief safety message for you. In the
unlikely event that an emergency evacuation is required, the House Manager will
make an announcement from this stage. Please remain in your seats until the
announcement has been completed. The hall stewards will direct you to your
nearest safe exit. Please keep your admission ticket with you at all times.
Safety is of prime importance to all of us at BP. Safety briefings such as the
one that I have just given precede all our meetings at external venues. We
strive to ensure that all those who work for us or with us may carry out their
work without harm.
The explosion last month at our refinery in Texas City, our largest refinery in
the United States is a tragic and shocking reminder of the consequences of
things going wrong. 15 people were killed and many more, around 70, were
injured as a result of the explosion and the fire. Some seriously. On behalf
of the Board, I and indeed all of BP, take this opportunity to offer our sincere
condolences to the families of those concerned, to our colleagues and to the
community of Texas City.
Events such as this demonstrate that however good the team and the processes
that have been developed, we can never be complacent.
I am not going to comment further on Texas City as it is now a matter of
investigations, by BP and by the State and Federal Authorities in the United
States. We will report on this fully when we are able to do so.
So what of BP in 2004? A number of adjectives have been used to describe the
performance of the Company against a background of sustained high oil and gas
prices. All are entirely appropriate for what, financially, has been the best
year in BP's history.
John Browne will shortly be describing the company and its strategy. The
excellent achievements so far confirms that creating a company with global reach
was the right strategy.
It is the Board's confidence in this strategy and the position of the Group
generally that underpins our decision to make a step-change in the dividend that
we pay to shareholders. Our policy of returning value to shareholders through
dividends and buybacks will continue. John will be commenting on this issue in
his remarks. From my perspective the buyback programme and the increased
dividend gives all shareholders the opportunity to be part of the success of the
Company and addresses the concerns that were raised at our meeting last year.
BP's business is both global and complex. It places huge demands on the
intellect and stamina of the executives who lead the Company. We are fortunate
to have an executive team of such great quality lead by an exemplary chief
executive. These are words that I do not use lightly. A business like ours would
be difficult to manage without individuals such as these.
This is the first year in which British companies have had to meet the
requirements of the new Combined Code. We have taken this opportunity to
describe the activities of the Board and its committees in even greater detail.
We have also endeavoured to give more detailed descriptions of the individual
members of the Board and the contributions that they make. You will see that we
have changed the membership of some of our committees; and as a consequence of
Robin Nicholson's retirement, De Anne Julius has taken the chair of the
remuneration committee.
I am sure that we will develop the manner in which we report these matters to
you our shareholders. It is important to remember that the goal of the Higgs
Report on improving corporate governance was to increase the transparency over
how companies governed themselves, to give an insight into the effectiveness of
the board and the manner in which the directors, particularly the
non-executives, discharge their roles. The idea was not to create a new
compliance industry!
The advent of the Operating and Financial Review in the coming years will create
a similar challenge. Companies will need to shape disclosure in such a way that
it stays relevant and focussed. Shareholders can reasonably expect to have a
description of the material risks and uncertainties which face the company in
which they have invested. Just as with the Revised Combined Code it may take a
little time for companies to find the right balance, dialogue in this area is
something which should be encouraged.
Perhaps I am being unduly optimistic when I say that the goal should be that
reporting should become a pleasure and not a chore. Companies stand at the
centre of the economy. They should be pleased to describe what they do to their
owners and rightly demonstrate that they are a force for good rather than the
contrary position which is often portrayed.
From these remarks you will know that reporting is important to BP. Companies
must be transparent when it comes to how they are governed and how they conduct
their business.
We have moved from a time when it was simply enough to assert that all was well.
Companies now need to show rather than to simply tell. Not only do we wish to
report fully to our shareholders, but we take pride in describing to others,
whom our activities touch, the steps that we are taking to be responsive to
their interests. The BP Sustainability Report 2004 covering the period to
December 2004 was published on Monday of this week. You will be able to find
copies of this Report outside the Hall. The Sustainability Report is a further
development in transparency for our business. I commend it to you.
In last year's Annual Report, I described the plans we had for Board succession.
Two new non-executive directors have joined the board since the last AGM. Tom
McKillop joined us in June last year and Douglas Flint in January this year.
Tony Burgmans, of course had joined us in February 2004. These are three
important appointments which reinforce the Board's skills. Each of these new
directors brings a very broad experience of global business whilst being able to
make specific contributions in the fields of technology and engineering, finance
and accounting and marketing. I trust that you will join me in welcoming them.
During the summer Dick Olver stood down as an executive director on being
appointed Chairman of BAE Systems PLC. Dick had an eminent career with BP
spanning some 30 years. He joined the Board in 1998 when he took over
responsibility for the upstream business. In 2003 he became Deputy Chief
Executive. We certainly miss Dick's robust, yet measured contributions to our
discussions. He already seems to have his hands full at BAE! Dick has our
thanks, and our best wishes go to him and Pam for the future.
In July we were pleased to welcome Iain Conn to the Board. Iain is responsible
for a wide portfolio of activities within BP including Technology, Health and
Safety, Environmental matters and Human Resources; together with Regional
responsibility for Europe and Russia. Iain was previously accountable for the
Petrochemicals segment. Iain, together with Tom and Douglas, substantially
reinforces the Celtic representation around the Board table!
Today we say farewell to Robin Nicholson and Chuck Knight. It is difficult to
describe the contributions that both these men have made to BP and its Board.
Both joined the board in October 1987, at this time British Petroleum p.l.c. was
a very different company to the BP of today. The intervening years have seen a
dramatic transformation of the company. Their perspective on this period of
remarkable growth and evolution has been invaluable to the Board and I believe
to John and his management team.
Chuck was the first US national to join the BP board as a non-executive
director. He has led his business, Emerson, from success to success and is
rightly now recognised as one of the leading businessmen in the United States.
Chuck has been a source of great wisdom and business insight to the board.
Likewise, Robin has made an immense contribution to BP. Recently he has been the
chairman of the Remuneration Committee, leading the wide ranging review of
remuneration policies for executive directors and the successful development of
policy on the renewal of the new long term plan which is before you today.
Robin has also chaired the BP Technology Advisory Committee on behalf of the
Board where his training and scientific background utilised to the full have
made a major contribution to our thinking and developments in this area. I am
delighted that Robin has agreed to continue in this role after his retirement
from the Board.
In these brief words it is not possible to sum up the contributions that Chuck
and Robin have made. They leave with all our thanks; and with best wishes to
them and to Yvonne and Joanne for the future.
So, to the business of the meeting. We have a formidable agenda to consider,
some twenty four resolutions. You will know from our meeting last year that in
the interests of transparency and good governance, it was agreed that all
directors should offer themselves for re-election annually. This decision has
clearly added to the number of resolutions before the meeting today. Indeed a
shareholder commented last year, that he intended to vote against the necessary
change to the Articles as he was appalled at the thought of spending hours
discussing the appointment of each director.
I do believe, however, that we should be able to move through all of the
resolutions today in a timely manner, while ensuring that all present whether
shareholders, proxies or corporate representatives have a full opportunity to
discuss the business before the meeting and gain an insight into the performance
of the company.
Now, I will ask John Browne to speak on our performance in 2004, and the year
ahead.
Remarks by Lord Browne
Thank you, Peter. Ladies and Gentlemen, it is again a great pleasure to be
able to report to you about the purpose, strategy, results and some future
prospects of your company.
Our purpose is to provide better goods and services in the form of light, heat,
power and mobility to the increasing numbers of people around the world who both
want and can afford these things, and through this activity, to deliver
shareholder value on a long-term basis.
To succeed, we need to do this in a way which is profitable, consistent and
sustainable. To deliver profitable performance, we provide high quality
products in an effective way - maximising revenues and minimising costs. To
deliver consistent performance, we invest at a rate which supports an
appropriate level of long-term growth, while balancing this with your returns.
To deliver sustainable performance: we invest for the long-term; attract and
retain the best people; work with others towards a sustainable natural
environment; and build trust through relationships built on mutual advantage
which bring benefits to everyone concerned.
In enacting our strategy, we must also act responsibly, both in our business
operations as well as in the actions we take on those important external issues
where our contribution can make a difference.
Climate change is a good example. A more complete outline of what
responsibility means for BP is provided in the Sustainability Report which I
launched earlier this week in London and copies of which are provided for you
today.
2004 was an outstanding year for our company. Our financial results for 2004
demonstrate the effectiveness of our strategy:
• replacement cost profit of $15.4 billion, a record, up by 24 per cent;
• strong post tax cash flow of $23 billion, up 43 per cent;
• a quarterly dividend of 8.5 cents per share, up by 26 per cent;
• share buybacks of over $7.5 billion;
• and a strong balance sheet with gearing at 22 per cent, at the bottom of
our target range.
Those achievements have been helped by favourable trading conditions. But they
couldn't have been delivered without the internal improvements which have been
achieved over the last decade. Those are down to strategy and to the
disciplined way in which we've pursued it. And that approach will continue. We
believe we have the right strategy and we are determined to maintain the
discipline we've followed so far.
So 2004 was an outstanding year for BP but, of course, that success has been
overshadowed by the explosion at our refinery in Texas City a month ago. As
Peter has said, several people died and many were injured. Our immediate
priority is to support and help the bereaved, the injured, and all those
affected.
We are conducting our own detailed investigation into the accident in parallel
with the investigations being carried out by various US authorities. We will
publish the results of our investigation. We want to know exactly what went
wrong and to use that knowledge to improve our safety procedures there and
everywhere else.
I visited Texas City the day after the accident and I talked to some of the
people most directly affected. I think it was the saddest and most moving day
of my entire career in BP.
I want to reiterate what I said then. I deeply regret this tragic event. BP
takes responsibility for what happens at its sites. We want BP to be a safe
place to work. So as well as mourning for those we have lost, we are determined
to learn from this tragedy and improve our safety record.
Now let me go back to 2004 and talk about the context in which we have been
operating.
World economic growth in 2004 was strong and oil demand growth was the strongest
it has been for almost 30 years. Oil demand was met without interruption, but
the level of spare capacity - that is, production held back by OPEC - was below
historic levels.
2005 is expected to show more moderate oil demand growth as world economic
growth reverts to trend, although over the first three months of the year demand
has remained strong and oil prices have reflected that by averaging over $47 a
barrel.
The prospects for oil price will depend on the strength of underlying supply,
demand growth, OPEC politics and perception of risk to political stability in
the key producing areas.
On supply, non-OPEC production is expected to continue to grow in aggregate.
For the next three years, this net growth is estimated to be about 1 million
barrels per day each year - broadly similar to the average increase over the
last five years. Growth in Russian production is expected to continue, but at a
somewhat slower pace than in the recent past. And OPEC's total production
capacity should also grow.
The level of demand will determine how much spare capacity is available. If the
annual increase in demand reverted to its historic norm, increased OPEC capacity
should allow for a gradual rebuilding of global spare capacity to a level more
like the 3 million barrels per day that has prevailed for the last decade.
We've concluded on the basis of the supply/demand balance and OPEC's five year
track record of maintaining production discipline, that oil prices are likely to
have a support level of around $30 a barrel for at least the medium term.
As far as BP is concerned, we are continuing to use an oil price of $20 a barrel
for the purpose of testing projects and planning our activity level in the
Exploration and Production segment. This allows us to maintain a portfolio of
activities with strong returns.
Turning now to strategy. A key strategic judgement is striking the balance
between the level of investment and the level of cash we distribute to
shareholders.
This balance is driven by consideration of the appropriate level of growth in
what is a maturing industry. Too fast a growth rate is likely to be
unsustainable, and too low a growth rate could hand competitive advantage to
others.
But growth is not an end in itself. The essence of our strategy is to keep
providing better goods and services in a highly competitive way. Our challenge
is to add new sources of cash flow to existing ones with the new sources having
cash returns at least as good as the existing ones. We've identified a strong
set of opportunities to do that over the medium and longer term.
The outcome of all this is that we have confidence in BP's ability to perform
sustainably, not just for the next few years but for the longer term.
Let me summarise the operations and prospects for our four main businesses.
Turning first to Exploration and Production
2004 was the twelfth consecutive year in which our reserves have been replaced
at over 100 per cent as presented under UK Statement of Recommended Practice ('
SORP').
We've made major discoveries in Egypt, Sakhalin in Russia, and in the deepwater
Gulf of Mexico, which are creating exciting opportunities for the future. We've
also made significant discoveries in Trinidad and in Angola. In total we added
over 1 billion barrels oil equivalent of resources in 2004.
At the end of 2004 our reserves, under SORP, stood at 18.6 billion barrels of
oil equivalent. On top of those reserves we have a portfolio of non proved
resources of over twice that amount - some 39 billion barrels of oil equivalent.
We have a strong track record of converting these resources into reserves, and
adding new resources from success in exploration.
This significant base is of high quality, and gives us confidence that it has
the potential to continue to grow production over at least the next ten years
even if we don't go into new geographic areas. This underpins our confidence in
the future.
Now a brief word on our significant set of 15 new major projects in our new
profit centres, primarily the deep water Gulf of Mexico, the Caspian, Angola,
Trinidad and Algeria.
These are on track to add significantly to production in 2005 and beyond. Early
this year we approved our share of the investment in the Tangguh gas project in
Papua, Indonesia and later this year we expect to approve further developments
in Angola and Australia.
Turning now to Russia. Oil production by TNK-BP grew by 14 per cent in 2004 and
we expect production to continue to grow by around 5 per cent in 2005.
Capital expenditure in TNK-BP, which continues to be self-funding, grew to $1.5
billion in 2004 and is forecast to increase further, to approximately $1.8
billion in 2005, as new prospects are developed for the future.
Now, over 18 months into the joint venture with Alfa Access-Renova, significant
positive changes have taken place in TNK-BP's organisation, the system of
internal control, the ability to plan, the approach to safety and environmental
issues, and the application of new technologies. While there are always
uncertainties, our constructive relationship with Russia and our joint venture
continues to strengthen.
Since the formation of TNK-BP, the total investment we've made has been $5.3
billion and total dividends we've received have been $2.2 billion.
Overall for the E&P business, production is on track with our previous
estimates; the absolute level will depend on price, divestments and other
factors such as unusual weather effects. Production grew by 11 per cent in 2004
to 3.9 million barrels oil equivalent per day.
Our expectation for 2005, based on our $20 a barrel planning basis, is that
reported production will be between 4.1 and 4.2 million barrels of oil
equivalent per day before any divestments.
Turning now to the Refining and Marketing Segment. Firstly, refining. Once we
have divested the Lavera and Grangemouth refineries the majority of our
remaining refining capacity will be located in the United States. That refining
capacity is structurally advantaged, and when compared to competitors, our
refineries are in the top quartile on margins and return on investment.
In Europe, without Lavera and Grangemouth, our position should improve
considerably. We've built this strong portfolio by focusing on the quality,
flexibility and location of our refineries.
In retail we continue to improve our products and services and will only operate
where we have competitive advantage. We continue to rationalise our network
with the divestment of 700 underperforming sites in 2004, and will continue to
get out of weaker market positions.
In the places we're investing, we are seeing significant growth above market in
our store sales, including on our BP Connect sites. The sales of our premium
gasoline and diesel, Ultimate, also continue to grow strongly. We still enjoy a
number one position in the UK with a 16 per cent market share.
Now turning to gas. Our global gas sales increased to 32 billion cubic feet per
day in 2004. Going forward, we expect medium term growth of 2 to 3 per cent a
year which is in line with growth in global gas demand.
We continue to be the leading gas marketer in North America - our number one
market, anchored by strong upstream positions in the Gulf of Mexico, the
Mid-Continent, the Rockies, Canada, and Trinidad.
And our plans for LNG are on track both in the Atlantic Basin and in the Pacific
Basin, where we're concluding sales agreements with China, Mexico and South
Korea for the gas from Tangguh in Indonesia.
Next, Petrochemicals and first, Olefins and Derivatives. Almost all of our
existing interests in these activities will form the basis for the new holding
company, called Innovene, which we plan to divest. Innovene will also include
the refineries at Grangemouth and Lavera, and that will allow it to capture
additional synergy value across the two sites. The formation of Innovene is
proceeding on track for divestment during the second half of 2005, probably by
way of an IPO, subject to market conditions and necessary approvals.
In the high growth Aromatics and Acetyls business, BP enjoys leading market
shares and technologies. The business produces important building blocks for
products which enhance our daily lives - products such as light weight bottles
for carbonated drinks. We are retaining this business and investing in it to
maintain our leadership position.
We expect capital expenditure in 2005 to be around $14 billion; the exact level
will depend on the level of the dollar and our continuing track record of
offsetting normal underlying inflation of around 2 per cent per annum. Proceeds
from divestments, with the exception of those from Innovene, are not presently
expected to be large.
Let me now turn to distributions. The Group's dividend policy is to
progressively increase your dividend. In pursuing this policy, we're guided by
several considerations, including:
• the prevailing conditions of the Group;
• our future investment patterns and sustainability;
• and finally, the future trading environment.
These considerations led us to the conclusion that the Group should make a
significant one time step change in the level of the quarterly dividend from the
7.1 to 8.5 cents per share to be paid in the first quarter of 2005. We expect
to grow the dividend from this point in line with our view of future sustainable
performance. We estimate that this level of dividend allows us to maintain
prudent earnings cover even if oil prices went down to $20 a barrel.
We determine and pay our dividend in the functional currency of the Group,
namely dollars. However, many of our shareholders, including most of you here
with us today, are sterling based and clearly the dollar's weakness has had an
impact on your sterling cash flows. This one time step change will be to your
benefit.
This new level of dividend means that dollar based investors will have seen a 26
per cent increase in the dividend paid in the first quarter compared with last
year. For sterling investors the increase is 23 per cent.
And, we remain committed to returning 100 per cent of excess free cash flow to
our investors so long as oil prices remain above $20 a barrel, all other things
being appropriate.
We could use some of the excess free cash flow, for example, for material
acquisitions if we saw opportunities which fitted the strategy, but we see no
such opportunities at present.
Between the completion of the Arco acquisition in 2000 and the end of March this
year we've bought back some 1.8 billion shares for $15.6 billion, reducing the
number of shares in issue by around 8 per cent.
To summarise. 2004 was an excellent year for BP. Our success so far is due to
the combination of strategy and discipline. Over the past few years we've built
a strong base for the Group with material assets and markets into which we're
investing.
Importantly, in spite of the significantly better than expected trading
conditions, we are maintaining a disciplined approach to the execution of our
strategy, and consequently making sure that excess free cash flows are
appropriately distributed to shareholders.
None of this could have been achieved without the outstanding team of 103,000 BP
people that it's my privilege to lead. Some of them are with us here today and I
would like to thank every one of them for the major contribution they've made to
our success. And I would like to thank you, our shareholders, for the
continuing confidence you have shown in us.
There is growing momentum in our activities and growing confidence in our
future. Our commitment to the combination of strategy and discipline, to
deliver long term shareholder value, is unchanged. And that's why I can still
say with great confidence that the best is yet to come.
Thank you very much.
- ENDS -
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