BP PLC
02 July 2003
July 2, 2003
BP 2Q 2003 TRADING UPDATE
This trading update is aimed at providing an overview of the revenue and trading
conditions experienced by BP during the second quarter ending June 30, 2003. The
second quarter margin, price, realisation, cost and other data referred to below
are currently provisional, some being drawn from figures applicable to the first
month or so of the quarter. All such data are subject to change and may differ
quite considerably from the final numbers that will be reported on July 29,
2003. The statement is produced in order to provide greater disclosure to
investors and potential investors of currently expected outcomes, and to ensure
that they all receive equal access to the same information at the same time.
Exploration and Production
Marker prices
2Q'03 1Q'03 2Q'02
Brent dated ($/bbl) 26.03 31.47 25.07
WTI ($/bbl) 29.02 34.00 26.30
ANS USWC ($/bbl) 27.04 33.16 25.04
US gas Henry Hub first of month index ($/mmbtu) 5.40 6.53 3.38
UK gas price - National Balancing Point (p/therm) 17.44 21.28 12.10
Compared to 1Q'03, liquid realisations are expected to move broadly in line with
the change in marker prices. Compared to 1Q'03, the Henry Hub gas marker price
is expected to decrease by $1.13/mmbtu. However, US gas realisations are
expected to decrease by a smaller amount due to a narrowing of basin
differentials.
Gas, Power and Renewables
North American gas marketing margins are expected to be significantly lower than
1Q'03 as gas price volatility has decreased. NGL margins are anticipated to be
lower than 1Q'03 in line with normal seasonality.
Refining and Marketing
Refining Indicator Margins ($/bbl)
2Q'03 1Q'03 2Q'02
USA
- West Coast 6.34 6.77 4.46
- Gulf Coast 3.59 6.14 2.62
- Midwest 4.73 4.14 3.76
North West Europe 2.15 3.70 0.59
Singapore 0.67 2.98 0.18
Refining Global Indicator Margin* ($/bbl.) 3.27 4.52 2.05
*The refining Global Indicator Margin (GIM) is a weighted average based on BP's
portfolio. Actual margins may vary because of refinery configuration, crude
slate and operating practices.
2Q'03 refining margins are expected to be lower than 1Q'03. The marketing
environment is projected to be up in 2Q'03 versus both 1Q'03 and 2Q'02 due to
falling oil prices and despite continuing economic slowdown.
Petrochemicals
Weighted Chemicals Indicator Margin ($/te)
2Q'03 1Q'03 4Q'02 2Q'02
n/a 90 (prov) 108 109
*The Chemicals Indicator Margin is a weighted average of externally-based
product margins. It is based on market data collected by Nextant (formerly Chem
Systems) in their quarterly market analyses, then weighted on BP's product
portfolio. This is described more fully in the Group's quarterly results
releases.
Petrochemical margins in 2Q'03 are expected to be better than in 1Q'03 as
feedstock costs fell during the quarter, though this benefit will be partially
offset by reduced product demand in Asia.
Stock Purchases
During the quarter the company purchased for cancellation 144 million of its
shares at a cost of around $1 billion. Shares in issue as at July 1, 2003 were
22,102 million.
- ENDS -
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
*A Private Investor is a recipient of the information who meets all of the conditions set out below, the recipient:
Obtains access to the information in a personal capacity;
Is not required to be regulated or supervised by a body concerned with the regulation or supervision of investment or financial services;
Is not currently registered or qualified as a professional securities trader or investment adviser with any national or state exchange, regulatory authority, professional association or recognised professional body;
Does not currently act in any capacity as an investment adviser, whether or not they have at some time been qualified to do so;
Uses the information solely in relation to the management of their personal funds and not as a trader to the public or for the investment of corporate funds;
Does not distribute, republish or otherwise provide any information or derived works to any third party in any manner or use or process information or derived works for any commercial purposes.
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