Final Results

Capital Gearing Trust PLC 3 June 2003 CAPITAL GEARING TRUST plc PRELIMINARY ANNOUNCEMENT 5th APRIL 2003 Leading world equity markets experienced further savage falls during the year to 5th April 2003. The severity of the retreat can be evidenced by the fall in the FTSE All Share Index of 23.2% and of 33.1% in the FTSE Investment Companies Index. The reverse has been the case in bond markets with a rise in the FTSE All Stocks Gilt Index of 9.5%. It is pleasing to be able to report to shareholders that the Trust's NAV has increased by 2.1% to 1234p per share. This is an excellent relative performance but we should recognise that we have avoided significant loss rather than achieved much gain. This performance has been the result of eschewing equity markets where 20% of our assets are deployed and focusing more on fixed interest holdings (31%), index linked stocks (17%) and concentrating on good quality zero coupon shares (32%). On this analysis the equity exposure is understated as we estimate on a look-through basis the exposure is nearer 30%. Despite the alarming destruction of value amongst some split capital investment trusts and the damage inflicted on their shareholders - a risk to which I have consistently drawn attention over the last few years - there are still opportunities to be found in this area and of course amongst conventionally managed investment trusts. Our manager has successfully circumvented the rocks. In the light of the present allocation of assets the Board has considered the accuracy of the Trust's stated investment objective - 'to achieve capital growth principally through investment in closed ended vehicles'. We have now adopted the following statement which more nearly reflects our present view - 'to achieve capital growth in absolute terms principally through investment in closed ended and other collective investment vehicles with a willingness to hold cash and bonds when appropriate'. In this context the choice of the Investment Trust Companies Index as the main comparator is not used as a reason to suspend the exercise of investment judgement. One of the consequences of our higher exposure to fixed interest securities and other money instruments has been a sharp jump in earnings per share to 21.1p compared to 11.3p last year. Indeed the capital return mentioned above does not do justice to the total return achieved. In the circumstances the Directors recommend a dividend for the year of 16p per share, in part to maintain investment trust status. However, shareholders will appreciate that this level of distribution is unlikely to be sustainable as and when market conditions change and we decide to re-enter the equity market. It would be wise therefore to say that we regard a base dividend of 10p as the level from which we would hope to grow the dividend in the medium term and that 6p must be regarded as a 'special'. The present level of fee of 0.7% p.a. of the gross assets of the trust paid to our investment manager came into effect on 5th April 1999. In the light of increased costs placed on the financial services industry, the charges levied by comparable trusts, and the satisfactory performance achieved, the Directors have reviewed the position and have approved an increase in these fees to 0.85% p.a. with effect from 5th April 2003. We consider the fee level to be justified and still fully competitive and so report to shareholders. During the year we reviewed our agreement with Gerrard Management Services for the provision of secretarial services and their changing priorities. In the event we decided to move this service to Ernst & Young LLP in January 2003. This new relationship has started well and is a vital part of the control and efficient management of the Trust. In the last two years we have sought shareholder authority to issue shares on a non-preemptive basis, when there is demand, at a premium to net asset value. In total we have issued 225,000 shares over this period. The Board now recommends to shareholders that authority be given at the AGM to issue up to 10% of the present share capital in the coming year, should the occasion arise. In reaching this view we have considered the size of the market on which we focus, and the attraction of spreading costs over a larger fund on the one hand; and the potential dilution in the ownership, commitment and loyalty of existing shareholders, which we so value, on the other. We have already indicated to shareholders our readiness to buy in shares should the supply and demand ratio change, and have indeed demonstrated such a commitment - provided this is at a discount to net asset value. Accordingly, we seek again power to buy-in stock in the terms set out in the resolution in the Notice of Meeting. I come last to the most difficult part of my statement to shareholders - a comment on prospects. It will be apparent from his report that our investment manager remains very cautious of equity markets and provides good arguments for this stance. His view has been right and commands respect. It is the duty of the Board to challenge regularly these arguments, particularly when the attraction of fixed interest stocks may be changing in the light of deteriorating government finances and confidence in the direction of the economy. We remain cautious as a Board but the fear of further loss is becoming more evenly balanced by the hope of future gain. A clear resolution of this tension is unlikely for some time yet. Mark Cornwall-Jones 2nd June 2003 INVESTMENT MANAGER'S REPORT AND PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS In the year to 5th April 2003, the Net Asset Value per share rose by 2.1%. This compares to falls in the FTSE All Share Index of 23.2% and in the Investment Companies Index of 33.1%. As these figures suggest, the year was difficult for equity investors as the aftermath of the stock market and investment bubble played out. However, other bubbles continued, notably in house prices in the USA and the UK, and this helped to sustain consumer expenditure at levels that deferred the recession that usually prevails after such excesses. Allied to the aggressive easing of monetary policy - by the end of the period short-term real rates of interest were negative in the USA and less than 1% in the UK- this prevented the stock markets from falling far enough for them to offer fair value. The trust's asset allocation was therefore defensive throughout the year. We do not attempt to play the technical rallies in equities. The holdings in bonds showed excellent returns in local and in sterling terms, outperforming the bond indices because of their long duration, both in index linked and conventional government obligations. In the split capital market, two of our zero preference holdings, Henderson Eurotrust and JOS Holdings were repaid in full at the anticipated level. Because of publicity given to justified concern over this part of the market, a number of opportunities were thrown up by distresses sellers and much of our equity investment was in this area. New or increased holdings included the zero dividend preference shares in Legg Mason International Utilities, New Fulcrum, Premier High Income and Martin Currie Income and Growth. All have proved satisfactory so far. The best return was in American Trust Zero, which by the year-end had more than doubled its purchase price. Outlook Although equity markets have fallen markedly in the last year, they still represent poor value. That is particularly true of the USA, where accommodative monetary policy has sustained levels for the S & P 500 that remain well above our estimate of fair value even if the economic prospects had been sound. In fact, the imbalances in the American economy, to which we referred last year, have, if anything, deteriorated. Balance sheets for both companies and individuals are in aggregate exceptionally weak. The current account deficit now exceeds 5% of GDP and as a result the dollar is under pressure. Unfortunately, that dollar weakness is exporting deflationary pressures to Europe and the UK. The latter already faces quite severe problems as the rise in house prices comes to an end; a reversion to more normal levels of saving looks likely soon, leading to a very modest growth, if any, in retail sales. The only significant source of growth will be government expenditure, hardly a sustainable position. With estimates of world growth continuing to fall, central banks can be expected to cut short term interest rates even further. In the USA, the lax monetary policy and explicit threat of printing money should lead to a steep yield curve. That is a threat to all bond markets. However, we do not believe that the European Central Bank is a printing bank and expect good returns from government bonds there. Index-linked government bonds continue to look attractive on real yields of close to 3% outside the UK. As last year, we hope to produce a modest but satisfactory absolute return for the trust. R P A Spiller 2nd June 2003 Statement of Total Return (incorporating the Revenue Account) for the year ended 5 April 2003 2003 2002 Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 Gains on investments - 674 674 - 2,559 2,559 Income 765 - 765 500 - 500 GROSS RETURN 765 674 1,439 500 2,559 3,059 Investment management fees (48) (190) (238) (43) (165) (208) Other expenses (148) - (148) (185) - (185) RETURN ON ORDINARY ACTIVITIES BEFORE TAXATION 569 484 1,053 272 2,394 2,666 Tax on ordinary activities (57) 57 - (13) 13 - RETURN ATTRIBUTABLE TO EQUITY SHAREHOLDERS 512 541 1,053 259 2,407 2,666 Dividends on ordinary shares: Dividend payable 16p per ordinary share (2002 - 9p) (407) - (407) (209) - (209) TRANSFER TO RESERVES 105 541 646 50 2,407 2,457 RETURN PER ORDINARY SHARE 21.14p 22.34p 43.48p 11.30p 104.97p 116.27p The revenue column of this statement is the profit and loss account of the company. All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing operations Balance sheet - 5 April 2003 2003 2002 £'000 £'000 FIXED ASSETS Investments: Listed investments 31,454 26,793 CURRENT ASSETS Debtors 397 1,455 Cash at bank 99 159 496 1,614 CREDITORS: amounts falling due within one year 538 366 NET CURRENT (LIABILITIES)/ ASSETS (42) 1,248 NET ASSETS 31,412 28,041 CAPITAL AND RESERVES Called up share capital 636 580 Share premium account 4,279 1,610 Capital redemption reserve 16 16 Capital reserve - unrealised 2,295 3,087 Capital reserve - realised 23,857 22,524 Revenue reserve 329 224 TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS - EQUITY 31,412 28,041 NET ASSET VALUE PER ORDINARY SHARE 1233.8p 1208.2p Cash Flow Statement for the year ended 5 April 2003 2003 2002 £'000 £'000 NET CASH INFLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES 230 14 TAXATION Income tax recovered 37 - CAPITAL EXPENDITURE AND FINANCIAL INVESTMENT Payments to acquire investments (13,230) (13,518) Receipts from sale of investments 9,243 14,239 (3,987) 721 EQUITY DIVIDENDS PAID (209) (181) MANAGEMENT OF LIQUID RESOURCES Cash paid to brokers awaiting investment 1,143 (1,199) FINANCING Issue of new shares 2,726 632 DECREASE IN CASH (60) (13) The financial information set out above does not constitute the Company's statutory accounts for the year ended 5 April 2002 and 2003 but is derived from these accounts. Statutory accounts for 2002 have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies and those for 2003 will be delivered following the Company's Annual General Meeting. The auditors have reported on those accounts; their reports were unqualified and did not contain statements under Article 245 (2) or (3) of the Companies (Northern Ireland) Order 1986. Dividend The dividend will be paid on 31st July 2003 to shareholders on the register as at 11th July 2003. For queries, please contact: Madeleine Cordes, Ernst & Young LLP 01582 643057 Campbell Morton, Senior Independent Director 028 90 763631 This information is provided by RNS The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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