Final Results
Capital Gearing Trust PLC
02 July 2007
CAPITAL GEARING TRUST plc (the 'Company')
PRELIMINARY ANNOUNCEMENT OF ANNUAL RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 5 APRIL 2007
•Net asset value ('NAV') per share increased by 4.5%
•For the 23rd consecutive year, our stated objective of achieving capital
growth in absolute terms has been met
•Dividend recommended of 14p per share, 12p plus a special dividend of 2p
Chairman's Statement
Overview
In the year ended 5 April 2007, I can report that Capital Gearing Trust's net
asset value per share increased from 1,937.0p to 2,024.2p or by 4.5%. This
follows a 14.5% increase in 2006 and a 13.6% increase in 2005.
For the 23rd consecutive year, our stated objective of achieving capital growth
in absolute terms has been met, albeit this year by a relatively modest amount.
This has been achieved during a period when the FTSE Equity Investment
Instruments Index rose by 6.8%, the FTSE All Share Index by 8.0% and the FTSE
Government All Stock Index fell by 4.8%.
During the year, we have continued to adopt a risk averse investment strategy
and there has been little change in the overall asset mix. At the year end,
fixed interest, index linked securities and cash accounted for 40.8% of total
assets with a further 17.6% held in zero dividend preference shares and 6.5% in
endowment funds. Equity exposure was virtually unchanged at 35.1%.
Earnings per share for the period amounted to 18.7p compared to 17.9p in 2006.
Dividend
Last year, a total distribution of 13.5p was paid, made up of 11.5p plus a
special dividend of 2p. Subject to shareholder approval at the Annual General
Meeting ('AGM'), this year the Board recommends a total distribution of 14p made
up of 12p plus a special dividend of 2p. The special dividend continues to
reflect the income generated from the high bond content of the portfolio that
might at some stage be switched into lower yielding capital growth securities.
The dividend will be paid on 17 August 2007 to shareholders on the register as
at 20 July 2007.
Continuation of the Trust
It is the Board's intention to offer shareholders the opportunity to realise
their investment in the Company, at a price that fairly reflects the underlying
net asset value in the Autumn of 2008. Closer to this time, shareholders will
receive a letter detailing the mechanisms through which this will be effected.
However, I can assure investors that providing that there is sufficient support,
the Company will continue in its present form thereafter.
Board Matters
In the course of the year, the company providing us with corporate secretarial
and accounting services was sold to new owners. The Board are satisfied that
this change of ownership will not impact upon the quality of service it
currently receives. Also, Smith & Williamson Investment Management Limited was
appointed to provide certain portfolio administration services supplied
previously by Gerrard Limited.
Your Board acknowledges its responsibility to ensure that there are proper
systems in place to safeguard your investment. There is an ongoing process for
identifying, evaluating and reviewing these systems and the performance of our
service providers, and we consider that there are effective controls in place.
The Board has for some time operated an informal discount/premium control
mechanism whereby market supply and demand imbalances have been satisfied by
either the issuance of shares at a premium to net asset value or buying back
shares at a discount. At the last AGM shareholders approved the necessary
resolutions to enable these policies to be renewed and although no change in the
issued capital took place during our last financial year, similar resolutions
will again be put forward at this year's AGM.
This year, the AGM will be held in Belfast in August. The Notice convening the
forty-fourth AGM of the Company will be circulated to shareholders in due
course. Mr Spiller, Mr Morton and I will all retire at the AGM, and being
eligible, will each offer himself for re-election. Your Board would like to
invite you to attend the AGM and I look forward to welcoming you to the meeting.
Outlook
Turning to the outlook, I commented in last year's report that it is always
impossible to predict with any accuracy when market bubbles might burst. Many of
the concerns that we identified then as major risks to the stability of world
financial markets remain. These include the weakness in the US housing market,
high levels of consumer debt, the excessive leverage of many financial
institutions, rising energy and commodity prices and the prospect of further
tightening in monetary policy by the central banks. I also alluded to some of
the short-term drivers of equity prices including the withdrawal of equity
through debt financed private equity take-overs which have in 2007 continued
apace. For the moment, and apart from some short lived setbacks in world markets
between April and June 2006 and at the end of February 2007, investors appear
willing to ignore the prevailing risks in the pursuit of higher investment
yields. At some stage, this enthusiasm for risk taking will no doubt abate
leading to increased market volatility. We are well placed to take advantage of
the opportunities that might present themselves if this should happen.
Our investment policy is, as always, geared as much to the preservation of
shareholders' wealth as it is to achieving long-term capital growth. We believe
that two decades of producing uninterrupted asset growth is testament to its
effectiveness and is a policy that will continue to serve investors well in the
future.
Finally, I am pleased to note the recent judgement of the European Court of
Justice ('ECJ') with regard to VAT on management expenses. The ECJ's ruling
that listed investment companies should have the same tax rules on their
management fees as unit trusts and open-ended investment companies, which have
been VAT exempt since 1990, is welcomed. Your Board will continue to monitor
closely developments in this case and the practical implications this will have
on the Company.
Mr T R Pattison
Chairman
2 July 2007
Investment Manager's Report and Portfolio Analysis
Review
During the year, the net asset value per share rose by 4.5%. The FTSE All Share
Index did better, with a rise of 8.0%, but the strength of Sterling meant that
the FTSE World Index rose only by 1.2%. The equity portfolio did better than
the All-Share, but our other investments, notably in overseas conventional and
index-linked bonds did less well, showing modest capital losses in Sterling
terms. In general, the zero dividend preference shares performed as expected,
though yields rose a little; the endowment funds actually outperformed the
equity market and with far less risk. The property returns, largely through TR
Property, were excellent. The only major change in allocation was to reduce the
weighting to private equity/venture capital. Although the environment remains
favourable for realising investments made in prior years, new investments are
being made at high prices with extraordinary leverage and the return made on
current acquisitions may turn out to be modest at best. Small additions were
made to the two currencies that suffered from the 'carry trade', the Swiss Franc
and the Japanese Yen.
The portfolio benefited from corporate reconstructions/liquidations in Acorn
Income Fund, Advance UK, Falcon, Hedgefirst, F & C Private Equity 'A', Invesco
English & International, Man Alternative Investments, Platinum and Resources
Investment Trust. Eurovestech was noteworthy in the venture capital sector; the
holding was reduced as the price rose by over 30%.
Overall, this was a year when our fears for the consequences of global
imbalances were not realised; indeed, the 'dash to trash' continued unabated as
appetite for risk increased. At least, the hopes underlying the construction of
the portfolio appeared to be justified when the equity markets wobbled on fears
for sub-prime mortgages in the early spring of 2007. With good appreciation
from the bonds, both conventional and index-linked, and from currencies, the
overall value of the portfolio barely moved during the equity setback.
Outlook
Financial markets in general are at a most interesting stage. After a long
period of low inflation under the influence of globalisation on wages and ever
cheaper imports from China in particular, the threat of accelerating increases
in prices has emerged. Wages, of course, seem under reasonable control in the
major economies, but with the cost of goods leaving China now rising instead of
falling, the output gap closing and food prices rising as agricultural
production switches to energy, the upward pressure on labour incomes is growing.
In the UK, the Bank of England has continuously had to raise the level of
interest rates that it forecasts are required to keep inflation on target; there
must be a fear that its current projection of 53/4% as a peak will once again
prove optimistic.
These rises in interest rates have pushed Sterling to levels that look rich
relative to all currencies with respect to purchasing power parity. However, so
long as rates keep rising and the financial services industry, the UK's major
sector, remains buoyant, there is no reason to expect a reversal any time soon.
Certainly the expanding current account deficit seems to be ignored in foreign
exchange markets. However, once interest rates rise enough to slow the economy
or cause a significant set back in the housing market or indeed a correction in
financial markets, Sterling can be expected to fall significantly.
Interest rises have already been sufficient to bring to an end the compression
in capitalisation rates that has driven commercial property values. Indeed, it
would be no surprise to see some reversal. Rents are increasing for offices in
London and the South East, but prospects elsewhere look poor. However, the
discounts to NAV mean that the sector remains interesting and the possibility of
further consolidation or private equity acquisition remains.
Furthermore, property returns in Europe, especially in Germany, are improving.
Only in Spain is there the danger of a large correction.
The portfolio's reduced exposure to private equity reflects a belief that the
higher gearing and lower quality of current deals may lead to problems in the
event of a downturn in the economy.
Such a downturn is not currently evident outside the US. Even there, the
slowdown can be attributed directly to reduced rates of residential investment.
Surprisingly, consumption has not yet been affected and the savings ratio
remained negative in the first quarter, financed in part by credit card
borrowing rather than mortgage equity withdrawal. Markets had until recently
been assuming that the next change in Federal Funds rate would be a cut, but
with inflation looking likely to be above the Fed's 'comfort zone' for the rest
of 2007 this now looks unlikely. Moreover, the lagged effect of past rate
increases suggests that the economy may not recover in 2008 in the way that the
consensus expects.
If that is so, the rapid increase in credit that has supported the economy
throughout this expansion could go into reverse; that is, the savings ratio
could rise quite rapidly and thus turn a minor downturn into a recession.
Against that background, the portfolio maintains its exposure to both
conventional and index-linked high quality bonds. They may indeed suffer a
little in the short-term if growth continues, but should produce excellent
returns in a downturn. Meanwhile, valuations look fair, with real returns
between 2% and 2.5% in different markets. Returns on these instruments are
likely to be enhanced if the wildly over leveraged financial sector struggles to
deal with a recession and central banks feel forced to be very accommodative to
preserve the integrity of the financial system.
For equities, the classic signs of a bear market are already in place; rising
short and long term interest rates; decelerating though still positive growth in
corporate profits; valuations that are rich on cyclically adjusted earnings; and
even on current earnings, an environment where experienced fund managers have
difficulty in finding attractive investments. However, liquidity is still
powerfully supportive and the availability of high risk debt finance on generous
terms both in interest rates and covenants is still enabling private equity
funds to acquire companies at even higher valuations. With all companies
looking over their shoulder, capital expenditure has disappointed, but companies
are re-leveraging their balance sheets to buy in their shares or distribute cash
to shareholders. So long, therefore, as the 'bubble' in the availability of
cheap finance continues, equity markets could make further progress. We have
confidence that our equities can continue to outperform the market and therefore
continue to maintain over exposure at about 25% (excluding property and private
equity), which seems about right for an absolute return fund, bearing in mind
the potential extent of a downdraft.
Meanwhile, prospective returns on the zero dividend preference shares have risen
to attractive levels and prospective returns on the endowment funds still look
satisfactory.
Mr R P A Spiller
2 July 2007
Income Statement
for the year ended 5 April 2007
2007 2006
Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000
------- ------ ------- ------- ------ ------
Gains on - 3,417 3,417 - 6,471 6,471
investments
Exchange (losses)/ - (717) (717) - 455 455
gains
Investment 990 - 990 948 - 948
Income
------- ------ ------- ------- ------ ------
Gross Return 990 2,700 3,690 948 6,926 7,874
Investment (164) (383) (547) (152) (354) (506)
Management Fee
Transaction - (76) (76) - (74) (74)
costs
Other expenses (250) - (250) (240) - (240)
------- ------ ------- ------- ------ ------
Net return on 576 2,241 2,817 556 6,498 7,054
ordinary
activities before
tax
Tax on ordinary (54) 54 - (59) 59 -
activities
------- ------ ------- ------- ------ ------
Net return 522 2,295 2,817 497 6,557 7,054
attributable to ------- ------ ------- ------- ------ ------
equity
shareholders
Return per 18.68p 82.11p 100.79p 17.89p 236.03p 253.92p
ordinary share ------- ------ ------- ------- ------ ------
The total column of this statement is the Income Statement of the Company. The
revenue return and capital return columns are supplementary to this and are
prepared under guidance issued by the Association of Investment Companies.
All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing
operations.
Reconciliation of Movements in Shareholders' Funds
for the year ended 5 April 2007
Called up Share Capital Capital Capital Revenue Total
share premium redemption reserve- reserve- reserve
capital reserve reserve unrealised realised
£000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Balance at 6 689 7,296 16 7,643 30,078 890 46,612
April 2005
Issue of 10 - - - - - 10
shares
Premium on - 818 - - - - 818
issue of
shares
Exchange gains - - - 444 11 - 455
on
investments
Net gains on - - - - 1,139 - 1,139
realisation of
investments
Net increase - - - 5,332 - - 5,332
in unrealised
appreciation
Transfer on - - - (2,649) 2,649 - -
disposal of
investments
Transaction - - - (63) (11) - (74)
costs
Costs charged - - - - (354) - (354)
to capital
Tax on costs - - - - 59 - 59
charged to
capital
Net revenue - - - - - 497 497
for the year ------ ------- -------- -------- ------- ------- ------
Total 699 8,114 16 10,707 33,571 1,387 54,494
------ ------- -------- -------- ------- ------- ------
Dividends - - - - - (358) (358)
------ ------- -------- -------- ------- ------- ------
Balance at 5 699 8,114 16 10,707 33,571 1,029 54,136
April 2006 ------ ------- -------- -------- ------- ------- ------
Balance at 6 699 8,114 16 10,707 33,571 1,029 54,136
April 2006
Issue of - - - - - - -
shares
Premium on - - - - - - -
issue of
shares
Exchange - - - (717) - - (717)
losses on
investments
Net gains on - - - - 1,087 - 1,087
realisation of
investments
Net increase - - - 2,330 - - 2,330
in unrealised
appreciation
Transfer on - - - (3,564) 3,564 - -
disposal of
investments
Transaction - - - (64) (12) - (76)
costs
Costs charged - - - - (383) - (383)
to capital
Tax on costs - - - - 54 - 54
charged to
capital
Net revenue - - - - - 522 522
for the year ------ ------- -------- -------- ------- ------- ------
Total 699 8,114 16 8,692 37,881 1,551 56,953
------ ------- -------- -------- ------- ------- ------
Dividends - - - - - (377) (377)
------ ------- -------- -------- ------- ------- ------
Balance at 5 699 8,114 16 8,692 37,881 1,174 56,576
April 2007 ------ ------- -------- -------- ------- ------- ------
Balance Sheet
at 5 April 2007
2007 2006
£000 £000
-------- --------
Fixed Assets
Investments:
Listed investments 52,721 53,008
-------- --------
Current Assets
Debtors 3,857 1,193
Cash at bank 228 145
-------- --------
4,085 1,338
Creditors: amounts falling due within one year 230 210
-------- --------
Net current assets 3,855 1,128
-------- --------
Net assets 56,576 54,136
-------- --------
Capital and Reserves
Called up share capital 699 699
Share premium account 8,114 8,114
Capital redemption reserve 16 16
Capital reserve - unrealised 8,692 10,707
Capital reserve - realised 37,881 33,571
Revenue reserve 1,174 1,029
-------- --------
Total shareholders' funds - equity 56,576 54,136
-------- --------
Net asset value per ordinary share 2,024.2p 1,937.0p
-------- --------
Cash Flow Statement
for the year ended 5 April 2007
2007 2006
£000 £000
-------- --------
Net cash inflow from operating activities 334 103
-------- --------
Capital expenditure and financial investment
Payments to acquire investments (14,037) (16,595)
Receipts from sale of investments 16,948 15,697
-------- --------
2,911 (898)
-------- --------
Equity dividends paid (377) (358)
-------- --------
Management of liquid resources
Cash paid to brokers awaiting investment (2,785) 319
-------- --------
Financing
Issue of new shares - 828
-------- --------
Increase /(Decrease) in cash 83 (6)
======== ========
The financial information set out above does not constitute the Company's
statutory accounts for the years ended 5 April 2007 or 2006. The financial
information for the year ended 5 April 2006 is derived from the statutory
accounts for that year which have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies.
The Auditors reported on those accounts and their report was unqualified and
did not contain a statement either under Article 245(2) or Article 245(3) of the
Companies (Northern Ireland) Order 1986. The financial information for the year
ended 5 April 2007 has been prepared using the same accounting policies as
adopted in the company's statutory accounts for the year ended 5 April 2006.
The statutory accounts for the year ended 5 April 2007 will be finalised on the
basis of the financial information presented by the Directors in this
preliminary announcement and will be delivered to the Registrar of Companies
following the Company's Annual General Meeting.
For queries, please contact
Campbell Morton, Senior Independent Director
02890 763 631
Alice Parker, TMF Corporate Secretarial Services Limited
alice.parker@tmf-group.com
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