Final Results
ABERDEEN LATIN AMERICAN INVESTMENT TRUST PLC
2 September 1999
ABERDEEN LATIN AMERICAN INVESTMENT TRUST PLC
PRELIMINARY ANNOUNCEMENT OF UNAUDITED ANNUAL RESULTS
for the year ended 30 June 1999
The Company's undiluted net asset value per Ordinary share at
30 June 1999 was 75.05p, which compares with a value of 76.95p
at 30 June 1998. This represents a fall in the net asset
value of 2.5%, which compares with an increase of 7.3% in the
MSCI EMF Latin American index in sterling terms over the same
period. Performance versus the benchmark has been
disappointing, with the portfolio having been hard hit by the
extreme volatility seen in Latin American markets in August
and September 1998 when emerging markets hit all time lows.
However, since the end of September 1998, the Trust has
outperformed the benchmark over nine months, six months and
three months to 30 June 1999. The mid-market prices of the
Company's Ordinary shares and Warrants as at 30 June 1999 were
58.25p and 13.25p respectively.
Latin America seems to be finally emerging from the
difficulties that have weighed on the developing markets over
the last two years. The region's markets have been buffeted
by a series of setbacks beginning with the economic crisis in
Southeast Asia, the devaluation of the Russian rouble last
year, and culminating in the devaluation of the Brazilian real
in January of this year. At the same time, persistent
weakness in commodity prices for most of the period put
additional pressure on the region's fiscal and external
accounts. As investor worries mounted, interest rates rose to
extremely high levels throughout the region, causing economic
growth to slow dramatically over the last nine months.
The economic situation began to improve soon after the
Brazilian government decided to abandon its managed exchange
rate regime in January. After a brief period of nervousness,
the newly floating real stabilised and interest rates, which
had been kept high in an effort to defend the currency, began
a downward trend. This accelerated as evidence emerged that
the Brazilian economy was recovering from the crisis faster
than expected. Most importantly, consumer prices have
remained under control and it now looks as though inflation
will only be around 8% in 1999, despite the devaluation. The
economy has also begun showing signs of growth sooner than
expected, and now looks set for a sustained recovery.
The region's other major economy, Mexico, has improved
markedly during the first half of 1999. The country has
benefited from the strength in the US economy, the sharp
recovery in oil prices, and declining interest rates that have
provided a boost to the domestic economy. Argentina and Chile
have had a more difficult time this year. Argentina was
perhaps the most affected by the economic slowdown and
devaluation in neighbouring Brazil, its largest trading
partner. Like the rest of the region, the Chilean economy was
weighed down by high interest rates, but also suffered from a
fall off in global demand for copper, its largest export.
Recent statistics indicate that these economies have now
bottomed, and they should soon join the recovery that is
taking place in the rest of the region.
The outlook for Latin American equities for the next year
looks more favourable, although volatility is expected to
continue. In the short term, the markets will be affected by
concerns about US interest rates, and by worries surrounding
the 'Y2K' issue. In addition, with presidential elections in
Argentina and Mexico over the next year, the political
backdrop will be less predictable than in the past few years.
However, investors are aware of many of these concerns and,
with equity valuations again at very low levels, much of this
uncertainty has already been priced into the markets. Most
importantly, the region's economies are now emerging from a
deep recession, and this should underpin a sustained long-term
recovery in the region's equity markets.
Bryan N. Lenygon
Chairman
2 September 1999
The unaudited results were:
Statement of total return (incorporating the revenue account*)
For the year ended 30 June 1999
Year ended
30 June 1999
(unaudited)
Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Loss on investments - (258) (258)
Income 426 - 426
Investment management fee (37) (110) (147)
Other expenses (265) - (265)
Exchange losses (5) (84) (89)
---- ---- ----
Net return before finance
costs and taxation 119 (452) (333)
Interest payable and
similar charges (13) (13) (26)
---- ---- ----
Return on ordinary
activities before tax 106 (465) (359)
Tax on ordinary activities (44) 24 (20)
---- ---- ----
Return attributable to
equity shareholders 62 (441) (379)
Dividends in respect of
equity shares nil (1998: nil) - - -
---- ---- ----
Transfers to/(from) reserves 62 (441) (379)
==== ==== ====
Return per Ordinary share
(pence):
- Basic 0.31 (2.20) (1.89)
==== ==== ====
Year ended
30 June 1998
(audited)
Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Losses on investments - (6,744) (6,744)
Income 561 - 561
Investment management fee (62) (185) (247)
Other expenses (314) - (314)
Exchange losses (2) (24) (26)
---- ----- -----
Net return before finance
costs and taxation 183 (6,953) (6,770)
Interest payable and
similar charges (29) (40) (69)
---- ----- -----
Return on ordinary
activities before tax 154 (6,993) (6,839)
Tax on ordinary activities (72) 45 (27)
---- ----- -----
Return attributable to
equity shareholders 82 (6,948) (6,866)
Dividends in respect of
equity shares nil (1997: nil) - - -
---- ----- -----
Transfers to/(from) reserves 82 (6,948) (6,866)
==== ===== =====
Return per Ordinary share
(pence):
- Basic 0.41 (34.74) (34.33)
==== ===== =====
* The Statements of total return presented above are in
accordance with the Statement of Recommended Practice for
Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies
Balance Sheet of the Company as at 30 June 1999
30 June 30 June
1999 1998
(unaudited) (audited)
£'000 £'000
Fixed assets
Investments 14,716 16,006
Current assets
Debtors 329 868
Cash 154 1,171
------ ------
483 2,039
Creditors: amounts falling
due within one year (189) (1,445)
------ ------
Net current assets 294 594
------ ------
Total assets less current
liabilities 15,010 16,600
Creditors: amounts falling
due after more than one year - (1,199)
Provisions for liabilities
and charges - (12)
------ ------
Total net assets 15,010 15,389
====== ======
Capital and reserves
Called-up share capital 5,000 5,000
Share premium account 11,642 11,642
Warrant reserve 2,353 2,353
Other reserves
Capital reserve - realised (4,893) (1,457)
Capital reserve - unrealised 633 (2,362)
Revenue reserve 275 213
------ ------
Total equity shareholders'
funds 15,010 15,389
====== ======
Net asset value per Ordinary
share (pence)
Basic 75.05 76.95
====== ======
Fully diluted n/a n/a
====== ======
Notes:
1 The basic revenue return per share is based on the
earnings of £62,000 (1998: £82,000) and on 20,000,000
Ordinary shares of 25p each in issue for the period (1998:
20,000,000).
2 The basic capital return per share is based on capital
losses of £441,000 (1998: capital losses of £6,948,000)
and on 20,000,000 Ordinary shares of 25p each in issue for
the period (1998: 20,000,000).
3 The financial information set out above does not
constitute the Company's statutory accounts for the years
ended 30 June 1999 or 1998. The financial information for
1998 is derived from the statutory accounts for 1998 which
have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies. The
auditors have reported on the 1998 accounts; their report
was unqualified and did not contain a statement under
section 237(2) or (3) of the Companies Act 1985. The
statutory accounts for 1999 will be finalised on the basis
of the financial information presented by the Directors in
this preliminary announcement and will be delivered to the
Registrar of Companies following the Company's Annual
General Meeting.
4 Copies of the Annual Report will be posted to shareholders
in late September and further copies may be obtained from
the registered office, One Bow Churchyard, Cheapside,
London EC4M 9HH. The Annual General Meeting will be held
at the registered office of the Company on Thursday 21
October 1999 at 12.30 p.m.
Aberdeen Asset Management PLC - Secretaries