To: RNS
From: City Natural Resources High Yield Trust plc
Date: 24 September 2008
Unaudited results for the year ended 30 June 2008
Net asset value total return of 16.3 per cent since 1 July 2007 compared to a total return of 21.7 per cent from the benchmark index.
Ordinary share price total return since 1 July 2007 of 8.8 per cent.
Net asset value total return of 372.9 per cent since 1 August 2003 compared to a total return of 217.8 per cent from the benchmark index.
Ordinary share price total return since 1 August 2003 of 297.9 per cent.
Dividend of 2.65 pence per share for the year, an increase of 12.8 per cent.
The chairman, Geoff Burns noted,
Investment Performance and Strategy
At 30 June 2008 the Company's fully diluted net asset value stood at 222.1 pence, giving a net asset value total return for the year of 16.3 per cent.
This bald statement of fact conceals a rollercoaster ride; the net asset value registered a low of 148.7 pence in August 2007, before climbing to an all time high of 238.9 pence on 21 May 2008. It subsequently fell by 35.2 per cent to 154.9 pence during a traumatic August and September.
This turbulence was not wholly unexpected given the credit-crunch and threats of recession playing out in the background. The Manager had trimmed gearing to a historically low 116 per cent by the end of May, as well as top-slicing a number of the largest holdings and adding to our portfolio of natural resource convertibles. These precautions moderated, but could only moderate, some of the worst effects of the market's re-rating of commodity related stocks, the latter a topic to which I shall return below.
Share Price Performance
The share price total return for the year was 8.8 per cent. This reflected a widening of the discount to net asset value at which the Company's shares traded to 14.9 per cent. The Board and Manager have worked, and continue to work, hard to minimise this figure, but the commodities sector is, at least temporarily, unloved and it is not clear how long this situation will persist.
The warrant price increased by more than 20 per cent to 109.5 pence during the year ended 30 June 2008. It has since fallen back to 64.5 pence.
Income
I promised in my Statement last year not to lose sight of the importance of income to shareholders, and the fourth interim dividend of 1.0 pence per share paid at the end of August took dividends for the year to 2.65 pence per share. This represents a 12.8 per cent increase over last year's level.
Earnings per share increased from 2.85 pence to 3.10 pence, allowing 0.25 pence per share to be added to the Company's revenue reserve at the same time as the dividend was increased. The Revenue Reserve now stands at more than 2.8 pence per share. The yield on the Company's shares is 2.0 per cent.
Benchmark
We have since 2003 compared our performance to that of a composite benchmark index weighted two-thirds to the HSBC World Mining Index (sterling adjusted) and one third to the MSCI Euro Sterling Corporate Index (non-financials). The latter index was discontinued during the period and, following careful research, we have chosen to replace it with the Credit Suisse High Yield Bond Index (sterling adjusted).
The total return on the old composite index between 1 August 2003, the date that the reconstruction of the investment portfolio was completed following the change to the Company's investment objective, and 30 June 2007 was 148.5 per cent. The total return on the new composite index was 149.0 per cent.
The total return on the new composite index during the year to 30 June 2008 was 21.7 per cent. This brought its total return since 1 August 2003 to 217.8 per cent, while the Company's net asset value total return over the same period was 372.9 per cent and its share price total return 297.9 per cent.
Outlook
Volatility has been the defining quality of the fifteen months since the Company's 2007 year end, with particularly severe market storms in August 2007 and August 2008 / September 2008. In respect of the latter, the falls in commodity related share prices look disproportionate even allowing for the decline in the commodities markets, and there are signs that the market has begun to recognise this.
At the level of individual commodities everything from palm oil to uranium has a story to tell; but, it is oil that compels the attention. Breaking through the US$100 per barrel level in December 2007, the price paused only briefly before pushing on to new highs, peaking at US$147 per barrel in July before it rapidly retrenched in August. It stands at US$121 as I write.
More than any other commodity oil encapsulates the inflationary fears that have revisited a market that had begun to believe them banished. As the US economy looked to be heading into recession, perhaps accompanied by Asia as well as Europe, the word 'stagflation' was heard again. Already nerves have steadied, but there can be no guarantee that this stoicism will be sustained, especially in view of the renewed energy security concerns highlighted by the Georgian crisis.
We are cautiously optimistic that, while there is consolidation in commodity markets which may continue for a while, over the longer term the commodity cycle remains intact. The rationale behind this view includes the fact that a number of the companies in the sector are capitalised at less than half of their cash backing; that corporate activity and consolidation within the commodity sectors (currently exemplified by the recent bid for Lonmin by Xstrata) is extending to the type of smaller mining companies which our portfolio holds; and, that despite the reduction in prospective growth rates amongst emerging economies, their demand for commodities will be little abated.
We believe that patience in this period of disturbing volatility will, ultimately, be rewarded.
Audited Income Statement
for the year ended 30 June 2008
|
Notes |
2008 |
2008 |
2008 |
|
|
|
Revenue |
Capital |
Total |
|
|
|
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Realised gains on investments |
|
- |
11,233 |
11,233 |
|
Increase in fair value of investments |
|
- |
9,766 |
9,766 |
|
Exchange losses |
|
- |
(261) |
(261) |
|
Income |
|
3,864 |
- |
3,864 |
|
Investment management fee |
|
(412) |
(1,235) |
(1,647) |
|
Other expenses |
|
(394) |
(8) |
(402) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net return before finance costs and taxation |
|
3,058 |
19,495 |
22,553 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest payable and similar charges |
|
(510) |
(1,353) |
(1,863) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net return on ordinary activities before taxation |
|
2,548 |
18,142 |
20,690 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tax on ordinary activities |
|
(600) |
676 |
76 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net return attributable to equity shareholders |
|
1,948 |
18,818 |
20,766 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Return per share |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Basic |
|
3.10p |
29.93p |
33.03p |
|
Fully diluted |
|
2.92p |
28.16p |
31.08p |
Audited Income Statement
for the year ended 30 June 2007
|
Notes |
2007 |
2007 |
2007 |
|
|
|
Revenue |
Capital |
Total |
|
|
|
£'000 |
£'000 |
£'000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Realised gains on investments |
|
- |
15,616 |
15,616 |
|
Increase in fair value of investments |
|
- |
35,968 |
35,968 |
|
Exchange losses |
|
- |
(91) |
(91) |
|
Income |
|
3,567 |
- |
3,567 |
|
Investment management fee |
|
(304) |
(912) |
(1,216) |
|
Other expenses |
|
(333) |
- |
(333) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net return before finance costs and taxation |
|
2,930 |
50,581 |
53,511 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest payable and similar charges |
|
(322) |
(967) |
(1,289) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net return on ordinary activities before taxation |
|
2,608 |
49,614 |
52,222 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tax on ordinary activities |
|
(818) |
581 |
(237) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net return attributable to equity shareholders |
|
1,790 |
50,195 |
51,985 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Return per share |
1 |
|
|
|
|
Basic |
|
2.85p |
79.84p |
82.69p |
|
Fully diluted |
|
2.78p |
77.97p |
80.75p |
Balance Sheet as at 30 June
|
2008 Audited |
2007 Audited |
||
|
£'000 |
£'000 |
||
Fixed assets |
|
|
||
Investments |
170,166 |
148,455 |
||
|
|
|
||
Current assets |
|
|
||
Debtors |
1,461 |
3,514 |
||
Cash at bank and on deposit |
3,284 |
427 |
||
|
4,745 |
3,941 |
||
Creditors: amounts falling due within one year |
(29,780) |
(26,468) |
||
|
|
|
||
Net current liabilities |
(25,035) |
(22,527) |
||
|
|
|
||
Net assets |
145,131 |
125,928 |
||
|
|
|
||
Capital and reserves |
|
|
||
Called-up share capital |
15,721 |
15,719 |
||
Special distributable reserve |
30,386 |
30,386 |
||
Share premium |
34 |
22 |
||
Warrant reserve |
2,336 |
2,342 |
||
Other reserves: |
|
|
||
Capital reserve - realised |
43,911 |
20,709 |
||
Capital reserve - unrealised |
50,956 |
55,339 |
||
Revenue reserve |
1,787 |
1,411 |
||
|
|
|
||
Equity shareholders' funds |
145,131 |
125,928 |
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
||
Net asset value per share 2 |
|
|
||
Basic |
230.79p |
200.28p |
||
Fully diluted |
222.11p |
193.42p |
Reconciliation of Movements in Shareholders' Funds
|
Year ended 30 June 2008
Audited
£’000
|
Year ended 30 June 2007
Audited
£’000
|
Opening equity shareholders’ funds
|
125,928
|
75,278
|
Gains on investments
|
20,999
|
51,584
|
Return on ordinary activities after taxation
|
1,948
|
1,790
|
Costs charged to capital
|
(1,920)
|
(1,298)
|
Exchange losses
|
(261)
|
(91)
|
Exercise of warrants
|
9
|
16
|
Dividends paid
|
(1,572)
|
(1,351)
|
Closing equity shareholders’ funds
|
145,131
|
125,928
|
Cash Flow Statement for the year to 30 June
|
2008 Audited |
2007 Audited |
|
£'000 |
£'000 |
Operating activities |
|
|
Investment income received |
3,930 |
2,747 |
Capital dividend received |
- |
1,200 |
Deposit interest received |
68 |
35 |
Investment management fees paid |
(1,626) |
(1,254) |
Other cash payments |
(86) |
(476) |
Net cash inflow from operating activities |
2,286 |
2,252 |
|
|
|
Servicing of finance |
|
|
Interest on loan |
(1,621) |
(1,278) |
Bank overdraft interest |
(59) |
- |
Net cash outflow from servicing of finance |
(1,680) |
(1,278) |
|
|
|
Taxation |
|
|
Tax paid |
(170) |
(107) |
Capital expenditure and financial investment |
|
|
Purchases of investments |
(57,679) |
(56,656) |
Disposals of investments |
59,924 |
49,634 |
Net cash inflow / (outflow) from capital expenditure and financial investment |
2,245 |
(7,022) |
|
|
|
Dividends |
|
|
Equity dividends paid |
(1,572) |
(1,351) |
Net cash inflow/(outflow) before financing |
1,109 |
(7,506) |
|
|
|
Financing |
|
|
Bank loan drawn down |
2,000 |
7,500 |
Issue of ordinary shares |
9 |
16 |
Net cash inflow from financing |
2,009 |
7,516 |
Increase in cash |
3,118 |
10 |
Reconciliation of net cash flow to movement in net debt Increase in cash in the year |
3,118 |
10 |
Cash inflow from drawdown of loans |
(2,000) |
(7,500) |
Exchange losses |
(261) |
(91) |
Movement in net debt in the year |
857 |
(7,581) |
|
|
|
Opening net debt at 1 July |
(24,573) |
(16,992) |
|
|
|
Closing net debt at 30 June |
(23,716) |
(24,573) |
|
|
|
Notes
3. The Board declared a fourth interim dividend of 1.00p per share which was paid on 29 August 2008 to shareholders on the register on 1 August 2008, having an ex-dividend date of 30 July 2008.
Principal Risks
The Company's assets consist principally of listed equities and fixed interest securities and its principal risks are therefore market related. The Company is also exposed to currency risk in respect of the markets in which it invests. These risks, which have not changed materially since the annual report for the year ended 30 June 2007, and the way in which they are managed, are described in more detail in the annual report for the year ended 30 June 2008. The report will be available on the manager's website www.ncim.co.uk during September 2008.
Statement of Directors' Responsibilities in Respect of the Annual Financial Report
In accordance with Chapter 4 of the Disclosure and Transparency Rules, we confirm that to the best of our knowledge, in respect of the annual report for the year ended 30 June 2008, of which this statement of results is an extract:
The financial statements have been prepared in accordance with the applicable set of accounting standards, give a true and fair view of the assets, liabilities, financial position and profit or loss of the Company; and
The Report of the Directors includes a fair review of the development and performance of the business and the position of the Company together with a description of the principal risks and uncertainties that it faces.
On behalf of the Board
G Burns, Chairman
23 September 2008