Final Results
NEWS RELEASE
6 March 2003
DUNEDIN INCOME GROWTH INVESTMENT TRUST PLC
PRELIMINARY RESULTS FOR THE YEAR
TO 31 JANUARY 2003
Highlights
· Total return for the year of -30.8% compared to a total return for
the FTSE All-Share Index of -28.9%
· The equity portfolio returned -25.2% and therefore outperformed the
benchmark by 5.2%
· Net gearing maintained at around 20%
· Proposed total dividend to increase by 3.7% from last year to 7.0p
per share
· Revenue per share increased from 6.87p to 7.08p
- END -
For further information, please contact:-
Max Ward, Chairman
Dunedin Income Growth Investment Trust PLC 0131 220 4167
David Binnie, Investment Manager
Edinburgh Fund Managers plc 0131 313 1000
Chairman's Review
No matter which statistics one looks at, the year under review has been
a dismal one for equity markets with most stockmarkets having fallen
sharply. The UK was no exception to this and in the year to 31 January
2003 the FTSE All-Share Index, our benchmark, recorded a negative total
return of 28.9%. Our own performance, a negative return of 30.8%, was
rather worse than this. However, in the absence of gearing, the result
would have been a negative return of 25.2%, representing an
outperformance of our benchmark of 5.2%. I make this point not to excuse
us for a disappointing result, but to draw attention to the good job our
manager has done on the underlying portfolio in very difficult
circumstances. I shall return to the subject of gearing below.
You will note that my comments on performance have been confined to the
NAV total return, but for those who would like to consider other
measures a comprehensive table of statistics is included in the full
Report and Accounts and the manager's review in that document contains
comments on the capital performance of the company's assets.
This year, we have for the first time published a complete list of our
investments in the Report and Accounts.
Dividend
The proposed final dividend of 4.8p per share will give a total dividend
for the year of 7.0p, a rise of some 3.7% on last year's 6.75p. For
comparison, headline inflation for the period was 2.9% and core
inflation, which excludes the impact of changes in mortgage interest
rates, was 2.7%. The revenue per share within the trust rose from 6.87p
to 7.08p. The proposed dividend is thus covered by our earnings and we
continue to have a substantial revenue reserve to draw upon should the
need arise. However, the strength of our position is attributable in
part to our policy of charging to capital some 70% of our management fee
and our interest costs. The board remains satisfied that this is an
appropriate accounting policy at present, but will keep it under review
in the light of changing circumstances.
Gearing
Over the years, your board has taken the view that the long term returns
from equities would be such as to justify the use of borrowings to
finance a significant part of the portfolio, a strategy to which the
investment trust structure is ideally suited. Whatever the merits of
this view, with the benefit of hindsight two things are clear. First,
the fixed rates of interest set on our long term borrowings at the time
of issue (in 1986, 1989 and 1997) now appear uncomfortably high, making
the borrowings expensive to service and to redeem ahead of their term;
and secondly, the scale of the fall in the stockmarket over the last two
years has been greater than anything we had envisaged as remotely
likely. Should these two observations affect our policy on gearing
either in the immediate future or in the long term? As far as the
immediate future is concerned, the key issues are the current level of
long term interest rates (which determines the return needed from our
equity portfolio to make our gearing a benefit rather than a burden) and
the overall valuation of equities (which has a major influence on the
likelihood of our achieving this return). At the moment, the relevant
long term interest rate for DIGIT is some 5.9%, being the blended
redemption yield on our outstanding debentures, while the overall
valuation of equities is in many sectors more attractive than it has
been for much of the last twenty years. DIGIT's portfolio is currently
yielding around 4.4%, which implies that capital growth in excess of
1.5% pa is required from it to deliver a total return above the current
cost of borrowing. We see this as readily achievable and thus consider
that, however badly the presence of gearing may have served us over the
past two years, it is appropriate in today's market to maintain our net
gearing at around 20%, which was the level prevailing at 31 January
2003. For the longer term, you may rest assured that we shall continue
to keep the level of gearing under constant review and shall not
hesitate to adjust our views as circumstances change. Above all, we
shall ensure that gearing remains within prudent limits whatever the
level of the market.
Discount
The discount to net asset value at which the company's share price
stands is an important statistic for an investment trust. At the year-
end DIGIT's discount was 12.4%, compared to 11.2% at the end of the
previous year. However, if the discount is calculated using the market
value of the debentures instead of the par value, then the discount has
fallen during the year from 6.1% to 2.3%. The discount has been
relatively stable during the year. Our marketing efforts (described
below) and the renewal of our authority to buy in our own shares should
both be a help to us in achieving our objective of a low and stable
discount.
Marketing
The board works actively to stimulate demand for the company's shares
through the manager's Investment Trust Initiative which helps to
maintain a low level of discount to asset value. The company's website,
www.itsdigit.com, highlights all aspects of the company's performance
and strategy. This site contains detailed information on investing in
the shares of DIGIT in a low cost manner, either through regular savings
or a lump sum. Details of these products can also be found in the full
Report and Accounts.
Our manager has a regular programme of visits to financial advisers and
potential investors throughout the country. We continue to support the
Association of Investment Trust Companies and their active campaigning
to attract more retail investors to the industry.
Management
Our manager, Edinburgh Fund Managers plc (EFM), has had a difficult year
and attracted some unwelcome publicity. We should like to make it clear
that DIGIT has not suffered any adverse consequences as a result of
this: the standard of service we have received has remained consistently
high and the key people providing this service have remained in place.
For as long as this continues and appears sustainable to us, EFM will
continue to command our full support.
Outlook
With the myriad uncertainties of the Middle East, hesitant progress in
many of the world's leading economies, the lurking threat of deflation
in some of them and a global bear market that is already among the worst
in living memory, it is not hard to find causes for concern. However,
the observation that the future is a dangerous place is not a new one:
it is just that the dangers appear more visible at the moment than is
sometimes the case. Throughout time, investors have had a choice between
buying shares at high prices when the outlook appears comforting and
buying shares at low prices when the outlook appears worrying. It is not
hard to work out which strategy has produced the better returns for
those with a genuine long term perspective.
We have no way of knowing how close we are to a market bottom, but we
think that the UK economy is relatively well placed in a global context.
There are still plenty of strong businesses in the UK and the shares of
many of these businesses, particularly those with strong income-
producing characteristics, are attractively valued. We suspect that when
we look back on this time in the years ahead we shall think of it as a
period of opportunity for stockmarket investors, especially those
seeking growth in income as well as capital.
The company's Annual General Meeting takes place in Edinburgh on 22
April and I look forward to seeing as many of you there as possible.
Max Ward
Chairman
STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN (AUDITED)
For the year ended 31 January
2003
Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000
Realised losses on - (26,949) (26,949)
investments
Unrealised losses on - (89,300) (89,300)
investments
_____________________________
TOTAL CAPITAL LOSSES - (116,249) (116,249)
ON INVESTMENTS
Income from investments 13,698 - 13,698
Interest receivable on 773 - 773
short term deposits
Other income 14 - 14
Investment management fee (506) (1,181) (1,687)
Administrative expenses (546) - (546)
_____________________________
NET RETURN BEFORE 13,433 (117,430) (103,997)
FINANCE COSTS
AND TAXATION
Interest payable and (2,092) (4,883) (6,975)
similar charges
_____________________________
RETURN ON ORDINARY 11,341 (122,313) (110,972)
ACTIVITIES BEFORE
TAXATION
Taxation - - -
_____________________________
RETURN ON ORDINARY 11,341 (122,313) (110,972)
ACTIVITIES AFTER
TAXATION
Dividends in respect (11,204) - (11,204)
of equity shares
_____________________________
137 (122,313) (122,176)
_____________________________
RETURN PER 7.08p (76.40p) (69.32p)
ORDINARY SHARE ______________________________
STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN (AUDITED)
For the year ended 31 January
2002
Revenue Capital Total
£000 £000 £000
Realised losses on - (8,647) (8,647)
investments
Unrealised losses on - (48,319) (48,319)
investments
_____________________________
TOTAL CAPITAL - (56,966) (56,966)
LOSSES ON
INVESTMENTS
Income from investments 13,956 - 13,956
Interest receivable on 497 - 497
short term deposits
Other income 2 - 2
Investment management fee (601) (1,402) (2,003)
Administrative expenses (579) - (579)
_____________________________
NET RETURN BEFORE 13,275 (58,368) (45,093)
FINANCE COSTS AND
TAXATION
Interest payable and (2,276) (5,310) (7,586)
similar charges
_____________________________
RETURN ON ORDINARY 10,999 (63,678) (52,679)
ACTIVITIES BEFORE
TAXATION
Taxation - - -
RETURN ON ORDINARY 10,999 (63,678) (52,679)
ACTIVITIES AFTER
TAXATION
Dividends in respect (10,806) - (10,806)
of equity shares
_____________________________
193 (63,678) (63,485)
_____________________________
RETURN PER ORDINARY 6.87p (39.77p) (32.90p)
SHARE _____________________________
The revenue column of this statement represents the revenue account of
the company
All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from
continuing operations
BALANCE SHEET (AUDITED)
As at 31 January
2003 2002
£000 £000
FIXED ASSETS
Investments 296,469 428,890
CURRENT ASSETS
Debtors 2,183 1,284
UK Treasury Bills 2,979 4,960
AAA Money Market Funds 20,000 13,000
Cash and short term deposits 5,196 3,359
____________ ___________
30,358 22,603
CREDITORS: 8,340 10,843
Amounts falling due within one year
____________ ___________
NET CURRENT ASSETS 22,018 11,760
____________ ___________
TOTAL ASSETS LESS 318,487 440,650
CURRENT LIABILITIES
CREDITORS: 69,779 69,766
Amounts falling due after one year ____________ ___________
248,708 370,884
_____________ ___________
CAPITAL AND RESERVES
Called up share capital - equity 40,025 40,025
Share premium 4,543 4,543
Capital reserve - realised 258,805 291,818
Capital reserve - unrealised (61,748) 27,552
Revenue reserve 7,083 6,946
_____________ ___________
TOTAL EQUITY 248,708 370,884
SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS _____________ ___________
Net asset value per 155.21p 231.51p
ordinary 25p share
CASHFLOW STATEMENT (AUDITED)
For the year ended 31 January
2003 2003 2002 2002
£000 £000 £000 £000
Net cash inflow from 12,068 12,705
operating activities
Servicing of finance
Interest paid (6,962) (7,572)
Net cash outflow from (6,962) (7,572)
servicing of finance
Taxation
UK tax paid - (412)
_______ ________
Total tax paid - (412)
Financial investment
Purchase of investments (91,635) (199,101)
Sales of investments 104,269 211,400
________ ________
Net cash inflow from 12,634 12,299
financial investment
Equity dividends paid (10,884) (10,565)
________ _________
Net cash inflow before use
of liquid resources and 6,856 6,455
financing
Net cash outflow from (5,019) (8,061)
management of liquid
resources
Financing
Loan drawn down - 25,000
Loan repaid - (25,000)
_________ _________
Net cash inflow from - -
financing _________ ________
Increase/(Decrease) in cash 1,837 (1,606)
_________ ________
Notes:
1.The directors recommend that a final dividend of 4.8p per ordinary
share be paid, making a total of 7.0p for the year ended 31 January 2003
(2002 - 6.75p). The final dividend will be paid on 25 April 2003 to
shareholders on the register at 4 April 2003. The ex-dividend date is
2 April 2003.
2. The accounts have been prepared under the same accounting policies
used for the year to 31 January 2002. The statutory accounts for 2003
contain an unqualified audit report and will be delivered to the
Registrar of Companies following the company's Annual General Meeting
which will be held at Donaldson House, 97 Haymarket Terrace, Edinburgh,
EH12 5HD, on Tuesday 22 April 2003 at 12 noon.
3. The financial information for the year ended 31 January 2002 has been
extracted from the annual report and accounts of the company which has
been filed with the Registrar of Companies and on which the auditors'
report was unqualified.
4 The statement of total return (incorporating the revenue account),
balance sheet and cash flow statement do not represent full accounts in
accordance with Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. The accounts have
been prepared in accordance with the Statement of Recommended Practice
'Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies'.
5.The annual report will be posted to shareholders on 17 March 2003 and
copies will be available at the head office of the Secretary - Edinburgh
Fund Managers plc, Donaldson House, 97 Haymarket Terrace, Edinburgh EH12
5HD.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily a guide to the
future and that the value of investments and the income from them may
fall as well as rise. Investors may not get back the amount they
originally invested.