Final Results

NEWS RELEASE 6 March 2003 DUNEDIN INCOME GROWTH INVESTMENT TRUST PLC PRELIMINARY RESULTS FOR THE YEAR TO 31 JANUARY 2003 Highlights · Total return for the year of -30.8% compared to a total return for the FTSE All-Share Index of -28.9% · The equity portfolio returned -25.2% and therefore outperformed the benchmark by 5.2% · Net gearing maintained at around 20% · Proposed total dividend to increase by 3.7% from last year to 7.0p per share · Revenue per share increased from 6.87p to 7.08p - END - For further information, please contact:- Max Ward, Chairman Dunedin Income Growth Investment Trust PLC 0131 220 4167 David Binnie, Investment Manager Edinburgh Fund Managers plc 0131 313 1000 Chairman's Review No matter which statistics one looks at, the year under review has been a dismal one for equity markets with most stockmarkets having fallen sharply. The UK was no exception to this and in the year to 31 January 2003 the FTSE All-Share Index, our benchmark, recorded a negative total return of 28.9%. Our own performance, a negative return of 30.8%, was rather worse than this. However, in the absence of gearing, the result would have been a negative return of 25.2%, representing an outperformance of our benchmark of 5.2%. I make this point not to excuse us for a disappointing result, but to draw attention to the good job our manager has done on the underlying portfolio in very difficult circumstances. I shall return to the subject of gearing below. You will note that my comments on performance have been confined to the NAV total return, but for those who would like to consider other measures a comprehensive table of statistics is included in the full Report and Accounts and the manager's review in that document contains comments on the capital performance of the company's assets. This year, we have for the first time published a complete list of our investments in the Report and Accounts. Dividend The proposed final dividend of 4.8p per share will give a total dividend for the year of 7.0p, a rise of some 3.7% on last year's 6.75p. For comparison, headline inflation for the period was 2.9% and core inflation, which excludes the impact of changes in mortgage interest rates, was 2.7%. The revenue per share within the trust rose from 6.87p to 7.08p. The proposed dividend is thus covered by our earnings and we continue to have a substantial revenue reserve to draw upon should the need arise. However, the strength of our position is attributable in part to our policy of charging to capital some 70% of our management fee and our interest costs. The board remains satisfied that this is an appropriate accounting policy at present, but will keep it under review in the light of changing circumstances. Gearing Over the years, your board has taken the view that the long term returns from equities would be such as to justify the use of borrowings to finance a significant part of the portfolio, a strategy to which the investment trust structure is ideally suited. Whatever the merits of this view, with the benefit of hindsight two things are clear. First, the fixed rates of interest set on our long term borrowings at the time of issue (in 1986, 1989 and 1997) now appear uncomfortably high, making the borrowings expensive to service and to redeem ahead of their term; and secondly, the scale of the fall in the stockmarket over the last two years has been greater than anything we had envisaged as remotely likely. Should these two observations affect our policy on gearing either in the immediate future or in the long term? As far as the immediate future is concerned, the key issues are the current level of long term interest rates (which determines the return needed from our equity portfolio to make our gearing a benefit rather than a burden) and the overall valuation of equities (which has a major influence on the likelihood of our achieving this return). At the moment, the relevant long term interest rate for DIGIT is some 5.9%, being the blended redemption yield on our outstanding debentures, while the overall valuation of equities is in many sectors more attractive than it has been for much of the last twenty years. DIGIT's portfolio is currently yielding around 4.4%, which implies that capital growth in excess of 1.5% pa is required from it to deliver a total return above the current cost of borrowing. We see this as readily achievable and thus consider that, however badly the presence of gearing may have served us over the past two years, it is appropriate in today's market to maintain our net gearing at around 20%, which was the level prevailing at 31 January 2003. For the longer term, you may rest assured that we shall continue to keep the level of gearing under constant review and shall not hesitate to adjust our views as circumstances change. Above all, we shall ensure that gearing remains within prudent limits whatever the level of the market. Discount The discount to net asset value at which the company's share price stands is an important statistic for an investment trust. At the year- end DIGIT's discount was 12.4%, compared to 11.2% at the end of the previous year. However, if the discount is calculated using the market value of the debentures instead of the par value, then the discount has fallen during the year from 6.1% to 2.3%. The discount has been relatively stable during the year. Our marketing efforts (described below) and the renewal of our authority to buy in our own shares should both be a help to us in achieving our objective of a low and stable discount. Marketing The board works actively to stimulate demand for the company's shares through the manager's Investment Trust Initiative which helps to maintain a low level of discount to asset value. The company's website, www.itsdigit.com, highlights all aspects of the company's performance and strategy. This site contains detailed information on investing in the shares of DIGIT in a low cost manner, either through regular savings or a lump sum. Details of these products can also be found in the full Report and Accounts. Our manager has a regular programme of visits to financial advisers and potential investors throughout the country. We continue to support the Association of Investment Trust Companies and their active campaigning to attract more retail investors to the industry. Management Our manager, Edinburgh Fund Managers plc (EFM), has had a difficult year and attracted some unwelcome publicity. We should like to make it clear that DIGIT has not suffered any adverse consequences as a result of this: the standard of service we have received has remained consistently high and the key people providing this service have remained in place. For as long as this continues and appears sustainable to us, EFM will continue to command our full support. Outlook With the myriad uncertainties of the Middle East, hesitant progress in many of the world's leading economies, the lurking threat of deflation in some of them and a global bear market that is already among the worst in living memory, it is not hard to find causes for concern. However, the observation that the future is a dangerous place is not a new one: it is just that the dangers appear more visible at the moment than is sometimes the case. Throughout time, investors have had a choice between buying shares at high prices when the outlook appears comforting and buying shares at low prices when the outlook appears worrying. It is not hard to work out which strategy has produced the better returns for those with a genuine long term perspective. We have no way of knowing how close we are to a market bottom, but we think that the UK economy is relatively well placed in a global context. There are still plenty of strong businesses in the UK and the shares of many of these businesses, particularly those with strong income- producing characteristics, are attractively valued. We suspect that when we look back on this time in the years ahead we shall think of it as a period of opportunity for stockmarket investors, especially those seeking growth in income as well as capital. The company's Annual General Meeting takes place in Edinburgh on 22 April and I look forward to seeing as many of you there as possible. Max Ward Chairman STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN (AUDITED) For the year ended 31 January 2003 Revenue Capital Total £000 £000 £000 Realised losses on - (26,949) (26,949) investments Unrealised losses on - (89,300) (89,300) investments _____________________________ TOTAL CAPITAL LOSSES - (116,249) (116,249) ON INVESTMENTS Income from investments 13,698 - 13,698 Interest receivable on 773 - 773 short term deposits Other income 14 - 14 Investment management fee (506) (1,181) (1,687) Administrative expenses (546) - (546) _____________________________ NET RETURN BEFORE 13,433 (117,430) (103,997) FINANCE COSTS AND TAXATION Interest payable and (2,092) (4,883) (6,975) similar charges _____________________________ RETURN ON ORDINARY 11,341 (122,313) (110,972) ACTIVITIES BEFORE TAXATION Taxation - - - _____________________________ RETURN ON ORDINARY 11,341 (122,313) (110,972) ACTIVITIES AFTER TAXATION Dividends in respect (11,204) - (11,204) of equity shares _____________________________ 137 (122,313) (122,176) _____________________________ RETURN PER 7.08p (76.40p) (69.32p) ORDINARY SHARE ______________________________ STATEMENT OF TOTAL RETURN (AUDITED) For the year ended 31 January 2002 Revenue Capital Total £000 £000 £000 Realised losses on - (8,647) (8,647) investments Unrealised losses on - (48,319) (48,319) investments _____________________________ TOTAL CAPITAL - (56,966) (56,966) LOSSES ON INVESTMENTS Income from investments 13,956 - 13,956 Interest receivable on 497 - 497 short term deposits Other income 2 - 2 Investment management fee (601) (1,402) (2,003) Administrative expenses (579) - (579) _____________________________ NET RETURN BEFORE 13,275 (58,368) (45,093) FINANCE COSTS AND TAXATION Interest payable and (2,276) (5,310) (7,586) similar charges _____________________________ RETURN ON ORDINARY 10,999 (63,678) (52,679) ACTIVITIES BEFORE TAXATION Taxation - - - RETURN ON ORDINARY 10,999 (63,678) (52,679) ACTIVITIES AFTER TAXATION Dividends in respect (10,806) - (10,806) of equity shares _____________________________ 193 (63,678) (63,485) _____________________________ RETURN PER ORDINARY 6.87p (39.77p) (32.90p) SHARE _____________________________ The revenue column of this statement represents the revenue account of the company All revenue and capital items in the above statement derive from continuing operations BALANCE SHEET (AUDITED) As at 31 January 2003 2002 £000 £000 FIXED ASSETS Investments 296,469 428,890 CURRENT ASSETS Debtors 2,183 1,284 UK Treasury Bills 2,979 4,960 AAA Money Market Funds 20,000 13,000 Cash and short term deposits 5,196 3,359 ____________ ___________ 30,358 22,603 CREDITORS: 8,340 10,843 Amounts falling due within one year ____________ ___________ NET CURRENT ASSETS 22,018 11,760 ____________ ___________ TOTAL ASSETS LESS 318,487 440,650 CURRENT LIABILITIES CREDITORS: 69,779 69,766 Amounts falling due after one year ____________ ___________ 248,708 370,884 _____________ ___________ CAPITAL AND RESERVES Called up share capital - equity 40,025 40,025 Share premium 4,543 4,543 Capital reserve - realised 258,805 291,818 Capital reserve - unrealised (61,748) 27,552 Revenue reserve 7,083 6,946 _____________ ___________ TOTAL EQUITY 248,708 370,884 SHAREHOLDERS' FUNDS _____________ ___________ Net asset value per 155.21p 231.51p ordinary 25p share CASHFLOW STATEMENT (AUDITED) For the year ended 31 January 2003 2003 2002 2002 £000 £000 £000 £000 Net cash inflow from 12,068 12,705 operating activities Servicing of finance Interest paid (6,962) (7,572) Net cash outflow from (6,962) (7,572) servicing of finance Taxation UK tax paid - (412) _______ ________ Total tax paid - (412) Financial investment Purchase of investments (91,635) (199,101) Sales of investments 104,269 211,400 ________ ________ Net cash inflow from 12,634 12,299 financial investment Equity dividends paid (10,884) (10,565) ________ _________ Net cash inflow before use of liquid resources and 6,856 6,455 financing Net cash outflow from (5,019) (8,061) management of liquid resources Financing Loan drawn down - 25,000 Loan repaid - (25,000) _________ _________ Net cash inflow from - - financing _________ ________ Increase/(Decrease) in cash 1,837 (1,606) _________ ________ Notes: 1.The directors recommend that a final dividend of 4.8p per ordinary share be paid, making a total of 7.0p for the year ended 31 January 2003 (2002 - 6.75p). The final dividend will be paid on 25 April 2003 to shareholders on the register at 4 April 2003. The ex-dividend date is 2 April 2003. 2. The accounts have been prepared under the same accounting policies used for the year to 31 January 2002. The statutory accounts for 2003 contain an unqualified audit report and will be delivered to the Registrar of Companies following the company's Annual General Meeting which will be held at Donaldson House, 97 Haymarket Terrace, Edinburgh, EH12 5HD, on Tuesday 22 April 2003 at 12 noon. 3. The financial information for the year ended 31 January 2002 has been extracted from the annual report and accounts of the company which has been filed with the Registrar of Companies and on which the auditors' report was unqualified. 4 The statement of total return (incorporating the revenue account), balance sheet and cash flow statement do not represent full accounts in accordance with Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. The accounts have been prepared in accordance with the Statement of Recommended Practice 'Financial Statements of Investment Trust Companies'. 5.The annual report will be posted to shareholders on 17 March 2003 and copies will be available at the head office of the Secretary - Edinburgh Fund Managers plc, Donaldson House, 97 Haymarket Terrace, Edinburgh EH12 5HD. Please note that past performance is not necessarily a guide to the future and that the value of investments and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Investors may not get back the amount they originally invested.
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