14 Trading assets
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Trading assets: |
|
|
|
- not subject to repledge or resale by counterparties ........................................................... |
201,492 |
|
305,312 |
- which may be repledged or resold by counterparties ......................................................... |
101,700 |
|
103,499 |
|
|
|
|
|
303,192 |
|
408,811 |
|
|
|
|
Treasury and other eligible bills ............................................................................................... |
21,584 |
|
26,282 |
Debt securities ......................................................................................................................... |
141,644 |
|
144,677 |
Equity securities ...................................................................................................................... |
63,891 |
|
41,634 |
|
|
|
|
Trading securities at fair value ................................................................................................. |
227,119 |
|
212,593 |
Loans and advances to banks ................................................................................................... |
27,885 |
|
78,271 |
Loans and advances to customers ............................................................................................ |
48,188 |
|
117,947 |
|
|
|
|
|
303,192 |
|
408,811 |
Trading securities valued at fair value1
|
Fair value |
||
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
|
|
|
US Treasury and US Government agencies2 ............................................................................. |
23,450 |
|
28,405 |
UK Government ..................................................................................................................... |
11,591 |
|
11,688 |
Hong Kong Government ......................................................................................................... |
5,909 |
|
6,228 |
Other government .................................................................................................................. |
86,714 |
|
91,498 |
Asset-backed securities3 ........................................................................................................... |
2,736 |
|
2,896 |
Corporate debt and other securities ......................................................................................... |
32,828 |
|
30,244 |
Equity securities ...................................................................................................................... |
63,891 |
|
41,634 |
|
|
|
|
|
227,119 |
|
212,593 |
1 Included within these figures are debt securities issued by banks and other financial institutions of US$22,989m (2012: US$20,274m), of which US$3,973m (2012: US$3,469m) are guaranteed by various governments.
2 Include securities that are supported by an explicit guarantee issued by the US Government.
3 Exclude asset-backed securities included under US Treasury and US Government agencies.
Trading securities listed on a recognised exchange and unlisted
|
Treasury and other eligible bills |
|
Debt securities |
|
Equity securities |
|
Total |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Fair value at 31 December 2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Listed1 ............................................................................... |
194 |
|
85,821 |
|
62,724 |
|
148,739 |
Unlisted2 ............................................................................ |
21,390 |
|
55,823 |
|
1,167 |
|
78,380 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21,584 |
|
141,644 |
|
63,891 |
|
227,119 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fair value at 31 December 2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Listed1 ............................................................................... |
606 |
|
82,732 |
|
39,945 |
|
123,283 |
Unlisted2 ............................................................................ |
25,676 |
|
61,945 |
|
1,689 |
|
89,310 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26,282 |
|
144,677 |
|
41,634 |
|
212,593 |
1 Included within listed investments are US$3,836m (2012: US$2,828m) of investments listed on a recognised exchange in Hong Kong.
2 Unlisted treasury and other eligible bills primarily comprise treasury bills not listed on an exchange but for which there is a liquid market.
Loans and advances to banks held for trading
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
|
|
|
Reverse repos1 ........................................................................................................................ |
2,940 |
|
45,015 |
Settlement accounts ................................................................................................................ |
7,572 |
|
6,324 |
Stock borrowing ...................................................................................................................... |
2,323 |
|
5,361 |
Other ...................................................................................................................................... |
15,050 |
|
21,571 |
|
|
|
|
|
27,885 |
|
78,271 |
Loans and advances to customers held for trading
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
|
|
|
Reverse repos1 ........................................................................................................................ |
7,180 |
|
73,666 |
Settlement accounts ................................................................................................................ |
11,863 |
|
8,186 |
Stock borrowing ...................................................................................................................... |
7,995 |
|
10,710 |
Other ...................................................................................................................................... |
21,150 |
|
25,385 |
|
|
|
|
|
48,188 |
|
117,947 |
1 In 2013, GB&M changed the way it manages repo and reverse repo activities in the Credit and Rates businesses as set out on page 220. This led to a reduction in the amount of reverse repos classified as trading assets.
15 Fair values of financial instruments carried at fair value
The accounting policies which determine the classification of financial instruments and the use of assumptions and estimation in valuing them are described on pages 432 to 450 and page 74. The fair value of financial instruments is generally measured on the basis of the individual financial instrument. However, when HSBC manages a group of financial assets and financial liabilities on the basis of its net exposure to either market risks or credit risk, it measures the fair value of the group of financial instruments on a net basis, but presents the underlying financial assets and liabilities separately in the financial statements, unless they satisfy the IFRSs offsetting criteria as described on page 442.
Fair value is the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. The following table sets out the financial instruments carried at fair value.
Financial instruments carried at fair value and bases of valuation
|
|
|
Valuation techniques |
|
|
||
|
Quoted market price Level 1 |
|
Using observable inputs Level 2 |
|
With significant unobservable inputs Level 3 |
|
Total |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Recurring fair value measurements |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trading assets ................................................................. |
182,721 |
|
115,124 |
|
5,347 |
|
303,192 |
Financial assets designated at fair value ........................... |
30,173 |
|
7,649 |
|
608 |
|
38,430 |
Derivatives ..................................................................... |
2,539 |
|
277,224 |
|
2,502 |
|
282,265 |
Financial investments: available for sale ......................... |
262,836 |
|
130,760 |
|
7,245 |
|
400,841 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trading liabilities ............................................................ |
88,935 |
|
110,576 |
|
7,514 |
|
207,025 |
Financial liabilities designated at fair value ...................... |
10,482 |
|
78,602 |
|
- |
|
89,084 |
Derivatives ..................................................................... |
4,508 |
|
267,441 |
|
2,335 |
|
274,284 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trading assets ................................................................. |
198,843 |
|
205,590 |
|
4,378 |
|
408,811 |
Financial assets designated at fair value ........................... |
25,575 |
|
7,594 |
|
413 |
|
33,582 |
Derivatives ..................................................................... |
1,431 |
|
352,960 |
|
3,059 |
|
357,450 |
Financial investments: available for sale ......................... |
253,246 |
|
135,931 |
|
8,511 |
|
397,688 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trading liabilities ............................................................ |
116,550 |
|
180,543 |
|
7,470 |
|
304,563 |
Financial liabilities designated at fair value ...................... |
10,703 |
|
77,017 |
|
- |
|
87,720 |
Derivatives ..................................................................... |
1,506 |
|
354,375 |
|
3,005 |
|
358,886 |
The decrease in Level 2 trading assets and liabilities reflects the change in the way GB&M manages repo and reverse repo activities described on page 220. Movement in derivative balances is described in Note 18.
Transfers between Level 1 and Level 2 fair values
|
Assets |
|
Liabilities |
||||||||||
|
Available |
|
Held for trading |
Designated through profit or loss |
|
Derivatives |
|
Held for trading |
Designated at fair value through profit or loss |
|
Derivatives |
||
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
At 31 December 2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Transfers from Level 1 to Level 2 ..................................................... |
110 |
|
24,140 |
|
- |
|
18 |
|
35,274 |
|
- |
|
17 |
Transfers from Level 2 to Level 1 ..................................................... |
1,275 |
|
1,264 |
|
423 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
Transfers between levels of the fair value hierarchy are deemed to occur at the end of each semi-annual reporting period. Transfers from Level 1 to Level 2 reflect the reclassification of settlement balances and cash collateral following reassessment of the application of levelling criteria to these balances. Transfers from Level 2 to Level 1 related to increased liquidity in certain emerging market government bonds.
Control framework
Fair values are subject to a control framework designed to ensure that they are either determined or validated by a function independent of the risk‑taker.
For all financial instruments where fair values are determined by reference to externally quoted prices or observable pricing inputs to models, independent price determination or validation is utilised. In inactive markets, direct observation of a traded price may not be possible. In these circumstances, HSBC will source alternative market information to validate the financial instrument's fair value, with greater weight given to information that is considered to be more relevant and reliable. The factors that are considered in this regard are, inter alia:
· the extent to which prices may be expected to represent genuine traded or tradeable prices;
· the degree of similarity between financial instruments;
· the degree of consistency between different sources;
· the process followed by the pricing provider to derive the data;
· the elapsed time between the date to which the market data relates and the balance sheet date; and
· the manner in which the data was sourced.
For fair values determined using valuation models, the control framework may include, as applicable, development or validation by independent support functions of (i) the logic within valuation models; (ii) the inputs to those models; (iii) any adjustments required outside the valuation models; and (iv) where possible, model outputs. Valuation models are subject to a process of due diligence and calibration before becoming operational and are calibrated against external market data on an ongoing basis.
The majority of financial instruments measured at fair value are in GB&M. GB&M's fair value governance structure is illustrated below as an example:
Determination of fair value
Fair values are determined according to the following hierarchy:
· Level 1 - quoted market price:financial instruments with quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets that HSBC can access at the measurement date.
· Level 2 - valuation technique using observable inputs: financial instruments with quoted prices for similar instruments in active markets or quoted prices for identical or similar instruments in inactive markets and financial instruments valued using models where all significant inputs are observable.
· Level 3 - valuation technique with significant unobservable inputs: financial instruments valued using valuation techniques where one or more significant inputs are unobservable.
The best evidence of fair value is a quoted price in an actively traded market. The fair values of financial instruments that are quoted in active markets are based on bid prices for assets held and offer prices for liabilities issued. Where a financial instrument has a quoted price in an active market, the fair value of the total holding of the financial instrument is calculated as the product of the number of units and quoted price. In the event that the market for a financial instrument is not active, a valuation technique is used.
The judgement as to whether a market is active may include, but is not restricted to, the consideration of factors such as the magnitude and frequency of trading activity, the availability of prices and the size of bid/offer spreads. The bid/offer spread represents the difference in prices at which a market participant would be willing to buy compared with the price at which they would be willing to sell. In inactive markets, obtaining assurance that the transaction price provides evidence of fair value or determining the adjustments to transaction prices that are necessary to measure the fair value of the instrument requires additional work during the valuation process.
Valuation techniques
Valuation techniques incorporate assumptions about factors that other market participants would use in their valuations. A range of valuation techniques is employed, dependent on the instrument type and available market data. Most valuation techniques are based upon discounted cash flow analyses, in which expected future cash flows are calculated and discounted to present value using a discounting curve. Prior to considering credit risk, the expected future cash flows may be known, as would be the case for the fixed leg of an interest rate swap, or may be uncertain and require projection, as would be the case for the floating leg of an interest rate swap. 'Projection' utilises market forward curves, if available. In option models, the probability of different potential future outcomes must be considered. In addition, the value of some products are dependent on more than one market factor, and in these cases it will typically be necessary to consider how movements in one market factor may affect the other market factors. The model inputs necessary to perform such calculations include interest rate yield curves, exchange rates, volatilities, correlations, prepayment and default rates. For interest rate derivatives with collateralised counterparties and in significant currencies, HSBC uses a discounting curve that reflects the overnight interest rate ('OIS discounting').
The majority of valuation techniques employ only observable market data. However, certain financial instruments are valued on the basis of valuation techniques that feature one or more significant market inputs that are unobservable, and for them the measurement of fair value is more judgemental. An instrument in its entirety is classified as valued using significant unobservable inputs if, in the opinion of management, a significant proportion of the instrument's inception profit ('day 1 gain or loss') or greater than 5% of the instrument's valuation is driven by unobservable inputs. 'Unobservable' in this context means that there is little or no current market data available from which to determine the price at which an arm's length transaction would be likely to occur. It generally does not mean that there is no data available at all upon which to base a determination of fair value (consensus pricing data may, for example, be used). All fair value adjustments are included within the levelling determination.
In certain circumstances, HSBC records its own debt in issue at fair value, based on quoted prices in an active market for the specific instrument concerned, where available. An example of this is where own debt in issue is hedged with interest rate derivatives. When quoted market prices are unavailable, the own debt in issue is valued using valuation techniques, the inputs for which are either based upon quoted prices in an inactive market for the instrument, or are estimated by comparison with quoted prices in an active market for similar instruments. In both cases, the fair value includes the effect of applying the credit spread which is appropriate to HSBC's liabilities. The change in fair value of issued debt securities attributable to the Group's own credit spread is computed as follows: for each security at each reporting date, an externally verifiable price is obtained or a price is derived using credit spreads for similar securities for the same issuer. Then, using discounted cash flow, each security is valued using a Libor-based discount curve. The difference in the valuations is attributable to the Group's own credit spread. This methodology is applied consistently across all securities.
Structured notes issued and certain other hybrid instrument liabilities are included within trading liabilities and are measured at fair value. The credit spread applied to these instruments is derived from the spreads at which HSBC issues structured notes.
Gains and losses arising from changes in the credit spread of liabilities issued by HSBC reverse over the contractual life of the debt, provided that the debt is not repaid at a premium or a discount.
Changes in fair value are generally subject to a profit and loss analysis process. This process disaggregates changes in fair value into three high level categories; (i) portfolio changes, such as new transactions or maturing transactions, (ii) market movements, such as changes in foreign exchange rates or equity prices, and (iii) other, such as changes in fair value adjustments, discussed below.
Fair value adjustments
Fair value adjustments are adopted when HSBC considers that there are additional factors that would be considered by a market participant which are not incorporated within the valuation model. HSBC classifies fair value adjustments as either 'risk-related' or 'model-related'. The majority of these adjustments relate to GB&M.
Movements in the level of fair value adjustments do not necessarily result in the recognition of profits or losses within the income statement. For example, as models are enhanced, fair value adjustments may no longer be required. Similarly, fair value adjustments will decrease when the related positions are unwound, but this may not result in profit or loss.
Global Banking and Markets fair value adjustments
|
At |
|
At |
|
31 December |
|
31 December |
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Type of adjustment |
|
|
|
Risk-related ............................................................................................................................. |
1,565 |
|
2,013 |
Bid-offer ............................................................................................................................. |
561 |
|
638 |
Uncertainty ......................................................................................................................... |
343 |
|
142 |
Credit valuation adjustment ................................................................................................. |
1,274 |
|
1,747 |
Debit valuation adjustment .................................................................................................. |
(616) |
|
(518) |
Other .................................................................................................................................. |
3 |
|
4 |
|
|
|
|
Model-related .......................................................................................................................... |
202 |
|
162 |
Model limitation ................................................................................................................. |
199 |
|
161 |
Other .................................................................................................................................. |
3 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
Inception profit (Day 1 P&L reserves) (Note 18) ................................................................... |
167 |
|
181 |
|
|
|
|
|
1,934 |
|
2,356 |
Fair value adjustments declined by US$422m during the year. The most significant movement was a decline of US$473m in respect of the credit valuation adjustment, as a result of both reduced derivative counterparty exposures and general narrowing of CDS spreads.
Risk-related adjustments
Bid-offer
IFRS 13 requires use of the price within the bid-offer spread that is most representative of fair value. Valuation models will typically generate mid-market values. The bid-offer adjustment reflects the extent to which bid-offer costs would be incurred if substantially all residual net portfolio market risks were closed using available hedging instruments or by disposing of or unwinding the position.
Uncertainty
Certain model inputs may be less readily determinable from market data, and/or the choice of model itself may be more subjective. In these circumstances, there exists a range of possible values that the financial instrument or market parameter may assume and an adjustment may be necessary to reflect the likelihood that in estimating the fair value of the financial instrument, market participants would adopt more conservative values for uncertain parameters and/or model assumptions than those used in the valuation model.
Credit valuation adjustment
The credit valuation adjustment is an adjustment to the valuation of OTC derivative contracts to reflect within fair value the possibility that the counterparty may default and that HSBC may not receive the full market value of the transactions (see below).
Debit valuation adjustment
The debit valuation adjustment is an adjustment to the valuation of OTC derivative contracts to reflect within fair value the possibility that HSBC may default, and that HSBC may not pay full market value of the transactions (see below).
Model-related adjustments
Model limitation
Models used for portfolio valuation purposes may be based upon a simplifying set of assumptions that do not capture all material market characteristics. Additionally, markets evolve, and models that were adequate in the past may require development to capture all material market characteristics in current market conditions. In these circumstances, model limitation adjustments are adopted. As model development progresses, model limitations are addressed within the valuation models and a model limitation adjustment is no longer needed.
Inception profit (Day 1 P&L reserves)
Inception profit adjustments are adopted when the fair value estimated by a valuation model is based on one or more significant unobservable inputs. The accounting for inception profit adjustments is discussed on page 433. An analysis of the movement in the deferred Day 1 P&L reserve is provided on page 501.
Credit valuation adjustment/debit valuation adjustment methodology
HSBC calculates a separate credit valuation adjustment ('CVA') and debit valuation adjustment ('DVA') for each HSBC legal entity, and within each entity for each counterparty to which the entity has exposure. The calculation of the monoline credit valuation adjustment is described on page 208.
HSBC calculates the CVA by applying the probability of default ('PD') of the counterparty, conditional on the non-default of HSBC, to HSBC's expected positive exposure to the counterparty and multiplying the result by the loss expected in the event of default. Conversely, HSBC calculates the DVA by applying the PD of HSBC, conditional on the non-default of the counterparty, to the expected positive exposure of the counterparty to HSBC and multiplying by the loss expected in the event of default. Both calculations are performed over the life of the potential exposure.
For most products HSBC uses a simulation methodology to calculate the expected positive exposure to a counterparty. This incorporates a range of potential exposures across the portfolio of transactions with the counterparty over the life of the portfolio. The simulation methodology includes credit mitigants such as counterparty netting agreements and collateral agreements with the counterparty. A standard loss given default ('LGD') assumption of 60% is generally adopted for developed market exposures, and 75% for emerging market exposures. Alternative loss given default assumptions may be adopted when both the nature of the exposure and the available data support this.
For certain types of exotic derivatives where the products are not currently supported by the simulation, or for derivative exposures in smaller trading locations where the simulation tool is not yet available, HSBC adopts alternative methodologies. These may involve mapping to the results for similar products from the simulation tool or, where the mapping approach is not appropriate, using a simplified methodology which generally follows the same principles as the simulation methodology. The calculation is applied at a trade level, with more limited recognition of credit mitigants such as netting or collateral agreements than is used in the simulation methodology.
The methodologies do not, in general, account for 'wrong-way risk'. Wrong-way risk arises when the underlying value of the derivative prior to any CVA is positively correlated to the probability of default by the counterparty. When there is significant wrong-way risk, a trade-specific approach is applied to reflect the wrong-way risk within the valuation.
With the exception of certain central clearing parties, HSBC includes all third-party counterparties in the CVA and DVA calculations and does not net these adjustments across Group entities. During the year, HSBC refined the methodologies used to calculate the CVA and DVA to more accurately reflect the impact of ratings downgrade triggers on credit mitigation. HSBC reviews and refines the CVA and DVA methodologies on an ongoing basis.
Valuation of uncollateralised derivatives
HSBC values uncollateralised derivatives by discounting expected future cash flows at a benchmark interest rate, typically Libor or its equivalent. This approach has historically been adopted across the industry, and has therefore been an appropriate basis for fair value. HSBC and other industry participants are currently considering whether this approach appropriately reflects the manner in which the derivatives are funded, which may occur at rates other than interbank offer rates. No consensus has yet emerged on how such funding should be reflected in the fair value measurement for uncollateralised derivatives. In the future, and possibly in 2014, HSBC may adopt a 'funding fair value adjustment' to reflect funding of uncollateralised derivatives at rates other than interbank offer rates.
Fair value valuation bases
Financial instruments measured at fair value using a valuation technique with significant unobservable inputs - Level 3
|
Assets |
|
Liabilities |
||||||||||||||
|
Available for sale |
|
Held for trading |
At fair value1 |
|
Deriv- atives |
|
Total |
|
Held for trading |
At fair value1 |
|
Deriv- atives |
|
Total |
||
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
At 31 December 2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Private equity including strategic |
3,729 |
|
103 |
|
420 |
|
- |
|
4,252 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
Asset-backed securities .............. |
1,677 |
|
643 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
2,320 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
Loans held for securitisation ..... |
- |
|
83 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
83 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
Structured notes ........................ |
- |
|
14 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
14 |
|
7,514 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
7,514 |
Derivatives with monolines ....... |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
320 |
|
320 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
Other derivatives ...................... |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
2,182 |
|
2,182 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
2,335 |
|
2,335 |
Other portfolios ........................ |
1,839 |
|
4,504 |
|
188 |
|
- |
|
6,531 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7,245 |
|
5,347 |
|
608 |
|
2,502 |
|
15,702 |
|
7,514 |
|
- |
|
2,335 |
|
9,849 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Private equity including strategic investments ........................... |
3,582 |
|
92 |
|
377 |
|
- |
|
4,051 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
Asset-backed securities .............. |
2,288 |
|
652 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
2,940 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
Loans held for securitisation ..... |
- |
|
547 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
547 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
Structured notes ........................ |
- |
|
23 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
23 |
|
6,987 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
6,987 |
Derivatives with monolines ....... |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
630 |
|
630 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
Other derivatives ...................... |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
2,429 |
|
2,429 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
3,005 |
|
3,005 |
Other portfolios ........................ |
2,641 |
|
3,064 |
|
36 |
|
- |
|
5,741 |
|
483 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
483 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8,511 |
|
4,378 |
|
413 |
|
3,059 |
|
16,361 |
|
7,470 |
|
- |
|
3,005 |
|
10,475 |
1 Designated at fair value through profit or loss.
Level 3 instruments are present in both ongoing and legacy businesses. Loans held for securitisation, derivatives with monolines, certain 'other derivatives' and all level 3 asset-backed securities are legacy. HSBC has the capability to hold these positions.
Private equity and strategic investments
HSBC's private equity and strategic investments are generally classified as available for sale and are not traded in active markets. In the absence of an active market, an investment's fair value is estimated on the basis of an analysis of the investee's financial position and results, risk profile, prospects and other factors, as well as by reference to market valuations for similar entities quoted in an active market, or the price at which similar companies have changed ownership.
Asset-backed securities
While quoted market prices are generally used to determine the fair value of these securities, valuation models are used to substantiate the reliability of the limited market data available and to identify whether any adjustments to quoted market prices are required. For ABSs including residential MBSs, the valuation uses an industry standard model and the assumptions relating to prepayment speeds, default rates and loss severity based on collateral type, and performance, as appropriate. The valuations output is benchmarked for consistency against observable data for securities of a similar nature.
Loans, including leveraged finance and loans held for securitisation
Loans held at fair value are valued from broker quotes and/or market data consensus providers when available. In the absence of an observable market, the fair value is determined using valuation techniques. These techniques include discounted cash flow models, which incorporate assumptions regarding an appropriate credit spread for the loan, derived from other market instruments issued by the same or comparable entities.
Structured notes
The fair value of structured notes valued using a valuation technique is derived from the fair value of the underlying debt security, and the fair value of the embedded derivative is determined as described in the paragraph below on derivatives.
Trading liabilities valued using a valuation technique with significant unobservable inputs principally comprised equity-linked structured notes which are issued by HSBC and provide the counterparty with a return that is linked to the performance of certain equity securities, and other portfolios. The notes are classified as Level 3 due to the unobservability of parameters such as long-dated equity volatilities and correlations between equity prices, between equity prices and interest rates and between interest rates and foreign exchange rates.
Derivatives
OTC (i.e. non-exchange traded) derivatives are valued using valuation models. Valuation models calculate the present value of expected future cash flows, based upon 'no-arbitrage' principles. For many vanilla derivative products, such as interest rate swaps and European options, the modelling approaches used are standard across the industry. For more complex derivative products, there may be some differences in market practice. Inputs to valuation models are determined from observable market data wherever possible, including prices available from exchanges, dealers, brokers or providers of consensus pricing. Certain inputs may not be observable in the market directly, but can be determined from observable prices via model calibration procedures or estimated from historical data or other sources. Examples of inputs that may be unobservable include volatility surfaces, in whole or in part, for less commonly traded option products, and correlations between market factors such as foreign exchange rates, interest rates and equity prices. The valuation of derivatives with monolines is discussed on page 208.
Derivative products valued using valuation techniques with significant unobservable inputs included certain types of correlation products, such as foreign exchange basket options, equity basket options, foreign exchange interest rate hybrid transactions and long-dated option transactions. Examples of the latter are equity options, interest rate and foreign exchange options and certain credit derivatives. Credit derivatives include certain tranched CDS transactions.
Reconciliation of fair value measurements in Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy
The following table provides a reconciliation of the movement between opening and closing balances of Level 3 financial instruments, measured at fair value using a valuation technique with significant unobservable inputs:
Movement in Level 3 financial instruments
|
Assets |
|
Liabilities |
||||||||||
|
Available |
|
Held for trading |
Designated at fair value through profit or loss |
|
Derivatives |
|
Held for trading |
Designated at fair value through profit or loss |
|
Derivatives |
||
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 1 January 2013 .................... |
8,511 |
|
4,378 |
|
413 |
|
3,059 |
|
7,470 |
|
- |
|
3,005 |
Total gains/(losses) recognised |
(52) |
|
343 |
|
36 |
|
(205) |
|
(747) |
|
- |
|
393 |
- trading income excluding net interest income ........... |
- |
|
343 |
|
- |
|
(205) |
|
(747) |
|
- |
|
393 |
- net income/(expense) from |
- |
|
- |
|
36 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
- gains less losses from financial investments ........ |
(66) |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
- loan impairment charges and |
14 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total gains/(losses) recognised in |
487 |
|
20 |
|
- |
|
(7) |
|
9 |
|
- |
|
57 |
- available-for-sale investments: |
568 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
- cash flow hedges: |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
(11) |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
- exchange differences ......... |
(81) |
|
20 |
|
- |
|
4 |
|
9 |
|
- |
|
57 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases .................................. |
1,838 |
|
1,293 |
|
56 |
|
- |
|
(482) |
|
- |
|
- |
New issuances ........................... |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
3,161 |
|
- |
|
- |
Sales ......................................... |
(766) |
|
(1,821) |
|
(4) |
|
- |
|
(14) |
|
- |
|
- |
Settlements ............................... |
(756) |
|
(473) |
|
(27) |
|
(311) |
|
(1,150) |
|
- |
|
(1,004) |
Transfers out ............................ |
(3,121) |
|
(385) |
|
(68) |
|
(171) |
|
(1,051) |
|
- |
|
(160) |
Transfers in .............................. |
1,104 |
|
1,992 |
|
202 |
|
137 |
|
318 |
|
- |
|
44 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2013 ............ |
7,245 |
|
5,347 |
|
608 |
|
2,502 |
|
7,514 |
|
- |
|
2,335 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unrealised gains/(losses) recognised |
(166) |
|
362 |
|
41 |
|
(297) |
|
(401) |
|
- |
|
72 |
- trading income excluding net interest income ........... |
- |
|
362 |
|
- |
|
(297) |
|
(401) |
|
- |
|
72 |
- net income/(expense) from other financial instruments designated |
- |
|
- |
|
41 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
- loan impairment charges and |
(166) |
� |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 1 January 2012 .................... |
9,121 |
|
4,780 |
|
716 |
|
4,449 |
|
7,827 |
|
567 |
|
3,129 |
Total gains/(losses) recognised |
(414) |
|
356 |
|
10 |
|
(974) |
|
319 |
|
- |
|
10 |
Total gains/(losses) recognised in |
472 |
|
78 |
|
(32) |
|
92 |
|
143 |
|
- |
|
84 |
Purchases .................................. |
1,738 |
|
942 |
|
113 |
|
- |
|
(368) |
|
- |
|
- |
New issuances ........................... |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
2,852 |
|
- |
|
- |
Sales ......................................... |
(840) |
|
(1,408) |
|
(69) |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
Settlements ............................... |
(367) |
|
(617) |
|
(25) |
|
(14) |
|
(1,604) |
|
- |
|
18 |
Transfers out ............................ |
(2,944) |
|
(298) |
|
(350) |
|
(571) |
|
(1,901) |
|
(567) |
|
(291) |
Transfers in .............................. |
1,745 |
|
545 |
|
50 |
|
77 |
|
202 |
|
- |
|
55 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2012 .............. |
8,511 |
|
4,378 |
|
413 |
|
3,059 |
|
7,470 |
|
- |
|
3,005 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total gains/(losses) recognised in |
166 |
|
339 |
|
9 |
|
(1,294) |
|
384 |
|
- |
|
(395) |
1 Included in 'Available-for-sale investments: fair value gains/(losses)' and 'Exchange differences' in the consolidated statement of comprehensive income.
Purchases of Level 3 available-for-sale assets primarily reflect the acquisition of certain less liquid emerging market government and corporate debt. Transfers in of Level 3 available-for-sale securities reflect decreased confidence in the pricing of certain ABS assets. This is offset by transfers out reflecting increased confidence in the pricing of certain other ABS assets and increased liquidity in certain emerging market sovereign and corporate debt. Sales of Level 3 trading assets reflect the unwind of certain legacy monoline and structured credit exposures. New issuances of trading liabilities reflect structured note issuances, predominantly equity-linked notes.
Effect of changes in significant unobservable assumptions to reasonably possible alternatives
The following table shows the sensitivity of Level 3 fair values to reasonably possible alternative assumptions:
Sensitivity of fair values to reasonably possible alternative assumptions
|
Reflected in profit or loss |
|
Reflected in other |
||||
|
Favourable changes |
|
Unfavourable |
|
Favourable changes |
|
Unfavourable changes |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
At 31 December 2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Derivatives, trading assets and trading liabilities1 ................ |
350 |
|
(285) |
|
- |
|
- |
Financial assets and liabilities designated at fair value ......... |
32 |
|
(51) |
|
- |
|
- |
Financial investments: available for sale ............................. |
- |
|
- |
|
434 |
|
(673) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
382 |
|
(336) |
|
434 |
|
(673) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Derivatives, trading assets and trading liabilities1 ................ |
465 |
|
(384) |
|
- |
|
- |
Financial assets and liabilities designated at fair value .......... |
41 |
|
(41) |
|
- |
|
- |
Financial investments: available for sale ............................. |
- |
|
- |
|
680 |
|
(710) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
506 |
|
(425) |
|
680 |
|
(710) |
1 Derivatives, trading assets and trading liabilities are presented as one category to reflect the manner in which these financial instruments are risk-managed.
The decrease in the effect of favourable and unfavourable changes in significant unobservable inputs in relation to derivatives, trading assets and trading liabilities reflects a reduction in exposures and reduced market data dispersion as market volatility generally declined over the year. The reduction in the effect of favourable changes in financial investments primarily reflects a decline in private equity, following a reassessment of potential upside.
Sensitivity of fair values to reasonably possible alternative assumptions by Level 3 instrument type
|
Reflected in profit or loss |
|
Reflected in other |
||||
|
Favourable changes |
|
Unfavourable |
|
Favourable changes |
|
Unfavourable changes |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
At 31 December 2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Private equity including strategic investments .................... |
31 |
|
(61) |
|
226 |
|
(436) |
Asset-backed securities ....................................................... |
60 |
|
(27) |
|
113 |
|
(99) |
Loans held for securitisation .............................................. |
3 |
|
(3) |
|
- |
|
- |
Structured notes ................................................................. |
16 |
|
(9) |
|
- |
|
- |
Derivatives with monolines ................................................ |
25 |
|
(16) |
|
- |
|
- |
Other derivatives ............................................................... |
212 |
|
(164) |
|
- |
|
- |
Other portfolios ................................................................. |
35 |
|
(56) |
|
95 |
|
(138) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
382 |
|
(336) |
|
434 |
|
(673) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Private equity including strategic investments .................... |
62 |
|
(62) |
|
353 |
|
(353) |
Asset-backed securities ....................................................... |
41 |
|
(27) |
|
143 |
|
(139) |
Loans held for securitisation .............................................. |
3 |
|
(3) |
|
- |
|
- |
Structured notes ................................................................. |
4 |
|
(5) |
|
- |
|
- |
Derivatives with monolines ................................................ |
36 |
|
(20) |
|
- |
|
- |
Other derivatives ............................................................... |
320 |
|
(267) |
|
- |
|
- |
Other portfolios ................................................................. |
40 |
|
(41) |
|
184 |
|
(218) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
506 |
|
(425) |
|
680 |
|
(710) |
Favourable and unfavourable changes are determined on the basis of sensitivity analysis. The sensitivity analysis aims to measure a range of fair values consistent with the application of a 95% confidence interval. Methodologies take account of the nature of the valuation technique employed, as well as the availability and reliability of observable proxy and historical data. When the available data is not amenable to statistical analysis, the quantification of uncertainty is judgemental, but remains guided by the 95% confidence interval.
When the fair value of a financial instrument is affected by more than one unobservable assumption, the above table reflects the most favourable or the most unfavourable change from varying the assumptions individually.
Key unobservable inputs to Level 3 financial instruments
The table below lists key unobservable inputs to Level 3 financial instruments, and provides the range of those inputs as at 31 December 2013. The core range of inputs is the estimated range within which 90% of the inputs fall. A further description of the categories of key unobservable inputs is given below.
Private equity including strategic investments
HSBC's private equity and strategic investments are generally classified as available for sale and are not traded in active markets. In the absence of an active market, an investment's fair value is estimated on the basis of an analysis of the investee's financial position and results, risk profile, prospects and other factors, as well as by reference to market valuations for similar entities quoted in an active market, or the price at which similar companies have changed ownership. Given the bespoke nature of the analysis in respect of each holding, it is not practical to quote a range of key unobservable inputs.
Prepayment rates
Prepayment rates are a measure of the anticipated future speed at which a loan portfolio will be repaid in advance of the due date. Prepayment rates are an important input into modelled values of ABSs. A modelled price may be used where insufficient observable market prices exist to enable a market price to be determined directly. Prepayment rates are also an important input into the valuation of derivatives linked to securitisations. For example, so-called securitisation swaps have a notional value that is linked to the size of the outstanding loan portfolio in a securitisation, which may fall as prepayments occur. Prepayment rates vary according to the nature of the loan portfolio, and expectations of future market conditions. For example, current prepayment rates in US residential mortgage-backed securities would generally be expected to rise as the US economy improves. Prepayment rates may be estimated using a variety of evidence, such as prepayment rates implied from proxy observable security prices, current or historic prepayment rates and macro-economic modelling.
Market proxy
Market proxy pricing may be used for an instrument for which specific market pricing is not available, but evidence is available in respect of instruments that have some characteristics in common. In some cases it might be possible to identify a specific proxy, but more generally evidence across a wider range of instruments will be used to understand the factors that influence current market pricing and the manner of that influence. For example, in the collateralised loan obligation market it may be possible to establish that A-rated securities exhibit prices in a range, and to isolate key factors that influence position within the range. Application of this to a specific A-rated security within HSBC's portfolio allows assignment of a price.
The range of prices used as inputs into a market proxy pricing methodology may therefore be wide. This range is not indicative of the uncertainty associated with the price derived for an individual security.
Volatility
Volatility is a measure of the anticipated future variability of a market price. Volatility tends to increase in stressed market conditions, and decrease in calmer market conditions. Volatility is an important input in the pricing of options. In general, the higher the volatility, the more expensive the option will be. This reflects both the higher probability of an increased return from the option, and the potentially higher costs that HSBC may incur in hedging the risks associated with the option. If option prices become more expensive, this will increase the value of HSBC's long option positions (i.e. the positions in which HSBC has purchased options), while HSBC's short option positions (i.e. the positions in which HSBC has sold options) will suffer losses.
Quantitative information about significant unobservable inputs in Level 3 valuations
|
Fair value |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
Assets |
|
Liabilities |
|
|
|
Key unobservable |
|
Full range of inputs |
|
Core range of inputs |
||||
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
Valuation technique |
|
inputs |
|
Lower |
|
Higher |
|
Lower |
|
Higher |
At 31 December 2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Private equity including strategic investments ................................ |
4,252 |
|
- |
|
See notes on page 491 ............. |
|
See notes on page 491.......... |
|
n/a |
|
n/a |
|
n/a |
|
n/a |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asset-backed securities .................. |
2,320 |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CLO/CDO1 ................................. |
1,180 |
|
- |
|
Model - Discounted cash flow |
|
Prepayment rate ................. |
|
0% |
|
5% |
|
0% |
|
5% |
|
|
|
|
|
Market proxy .... |
|
Bid quotes ...... |
|
0 |
|
102 |
|
46 |
|
95 |
Other ABSs ................................ |
1,140 |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loans held for securitisation ......... |
83 |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Structured notes............................. |
14 |
|
7,514 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity-linked notes .................... |
- |
|
5,750 |
|
Model - Option model ................. |
|
Equity volatility ........ |
|
6% |
|
73% |
|
13% |
|
39% |
|
|
|
|
|
Model - Option model.................. |
|
Equity correlation ..... |
|
51% |
|
59% |
|
52% |
|
57% |
Fund-linked notes ....................... |
- |
|
717 |
|
Model - Option model ................. |
|
Fund volatility ......................... |
|
18% |
|
22% |
|
20% |
|
21% |
FX-linked notes ......................... |
14 |
|
662 |
|
Model - Option model ................. |
|
FX volatility ... |
|
0.1% |
|
28% |
|
5% |
|
15% |
Other ......................................... |
- |
|
385 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Derivatives with monolines ........... |
320 |
|
- |
|
Model - Discounted cash flow..................... |
|
Credit spread |
|
3% |
|
5% |
|
4% |
|
5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other derivatives .......................... |
2,182 |
|
2,335 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest rate derivatives: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- securitisation swaps ................. |
275 |
|
1,127 |
|
Model - Discounted cash flow |
|
Prepayment rate ................. |
|
0% |
|
22% |
|
2% |
|
20% |
- long-dated swaptions ............... |
655 |
|
185 |
|
Model - Option model.................. |
|
IR volatility ... |
|
3% |
|
160% |
|
13% |
|
41% |
- other ....................................... |
540 |
|
265 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
FX derivatives: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- FX options............................... |
114 |
|
151 |
|
Model - Option model ................. |
|
FX volatility ... |
|
0.1% |
|
75% |
|
7% |
|
18% |
- other........................................ |
69 |
|
51 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity derivatives: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- long-dated single stock options ................................................. |
218 |
|
247 |
|
Model - Option model ................. |
|
Equity volatility......... |
|
6% |
|
73% |
|
15% |
|
36% |
- other ....................................... |
24 |
|
151 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Credit derivatives: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- other ....................................... |
287 |
|
158 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other portfolios ............................ |
6,531 |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Structured certificates ................. |
3,800 |
|
- |
|
Model - Discounted cash flow |
|
Credit volatility......... |
|
1% |
|
3% |
|
1% |
|
3% |
EM corporate debt ..................... |
2,073 |
|
- |
|
Market proxy .... |
|
Credit spread |
|
0.2% |
|
17% |
|
1% |
|
7% |
|
|
|
|
|
Market proxy .... |
|
Bid quotes ...... |
|
57 |
|
141 |
|
100 |
|
134 |
Other2 ........................................ |
658 |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15,702 |
|
9,849 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 Collateralised loan obligation/collateralised debt obligation.
2 Includes a range of smaller asset holdings.
Volatility varies by underlying reference market price, and by strike and maturity of the option. Volatility also varies over time. As a result, it is difficult to make general statements regarding volatility levels. For example, while it is generally the case that foreign exchange volatilities are lower than equity volatilities, there may be examples in particular currency pairs or for particular equities where this is not the case.
Certain volatilities, typically those of a longer-dated nature, are unobservable. The unobservable volatility is then estimated from observable data. For example, longer-dated volatilities may be extrapolated from shorter-dated volatilities.
The range of unobservable volatilities quoted in the table reflects the wide variation in volatility inputs by reference market price. For example, foreign exchange volatilities for a pegged currency may be very low, whereas for non-managed currencies the foreign exchange volatility may be higher. As a further example, volatilities for deep-in-the-money or deep-out-of-the-money equity options may be significantly higher than at-the-money options. The core range is significantly narrower than the full range because these examples with extreme volatilities occur relatively rarely within the HSBC portfolio. For any single unobservable volatility, the uncertainty in the volatility determination is significantly less than the range quoted above.
Correlation
Correlation is a measure of the inter-relationship between two market prices. Correlation is a number between minus one and one. A positive correlation implies that the two market prices tend to move in the same direction, with a correlation of one implying that they always move in the same direction. A negative correlation implies that the two market prices tend to move in opposite directions, with a correlation of minus one implying that the two market prices always move in opposite directions.
Correlation is used to value more complex instruments where the payout is dependent upon more than one market price. For example, an equity basket option has a payout that is dependent upon the performance of a basket of single stocks, and the correlation between the price movements of those stocks will be an input to the valuation. This is referred to as equity-equity correlation. There is a wide range of instruments for which correlation is an input, and consequently a wide range of both same-asset correlations (e.g. equity-equity correlation) and cross-asset correlations (e.g. foreign exchange rate-interest rate correlation) used. In general, the range of same-asset correlations will be narrower than the range of cross-asset correlations.
Correlation may be unobservable. Unobservable correlations may be estimated on the basis of a range of evidence, including consensus pricing services, HSBC trade prices, proxy correlations and examination of historical price relationships.
The range of unobservable correlations quoted in the table reflects the wide variation in correlation inputs by market price pair. For any single unobservable correlation, the uncertainty in the correlation determination is likely to be less than the range quoted above.
Credit spread
Credit spread is the premium over a benchmark interest rate required by the market to accept lower credit quality. In a discounted cash flow model, the credit spread increases the discount factors applied to future cash flows, thereby reducing the value of an asset. Credit spreads may be implied from market prices. Credit spreads may not be observable in more illiquid markets.
Inter-relationships between key unobservable inputs
Key unobservable inputs to Level 3 financial instruments may not be independent of each other. As described above, market variables may be correlated. This correlation typically reflects the manner in which different markets tend to react to macroeconomic or other events. For example, improving economic conditions may lead to a 'risk on' market, in which prices of risky assets such as equities and high yield bonds rise, while 'safe haven' assets such as gold and US Treasuries decline. Furthermore, the impact of changing market variables upon the HSBC portfolio will depend on HSBC's net risk position in respect of each variable. For example, increasing high-yield bond prices will benefit long high-yield bond positions, but the value of any credit derivative protection held against these bonds will fall.
HSBC Holdings
The following table provides an analysis of the basis for valuing financial assets and financial liabilities measured at fair value in the financial statements:
Basis of valuing HSBC Holdings' financial assets and liabilities measured at fair value
|
At 31 December |
||
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Valuation technique using observable inputs: Level 2 |
|
|
|
Assets |
|
|
|
Derivatives .......................................................................................................................... |
2,789 |
|
3,768 |
Available for sale ................................................................................................................. |
1,210 |
|
1,208 |
|
|
|
|
Liabilities |
|
|
|
Designated at fair value ....................................................................................................... |
21,027 |
|
23,195 |
Derivatives .......................................................................................................................... |
704 |
|
760 |
Financial instruments measured at fair value - Level 3
Financial instruments measured using a valuation technique with significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) comprised fixed-rate preferred securities and senior notes purchased from HSBC undertakings. The unobservable elements of the valuation technique included the use of implied credit spreads and simplified bond pricing assumptions.
Movement in Level 3 financial instruments available for sale
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
|
|
|
At 1 January ........................................................................................................................... |
- |
|
1,078 |
Total gains or losses: |
|
|
|
- recognised in profit or loss .................................................................................................. |
- |
|
- |
- recognised in other comprehensive income ......................................................................... |
- |
|
130 |
Settlements ............................................................................................................................. |
- |
|
- |
Transfers out .......................................................................................................................... |
- |
|
(1,208) |
|
|
|
|
At 31 December ...................................................................................................................... |
- |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
Unrealised gains/(losses) recognised in profit or loss relating to assets and liabilities held at 31 December ....................................................................................................................... |
- |
|
- |
16 Fair values of financial instruments not carried at fair value
The classification of financial instruments is determined in accordance with the accounting policies set out in Note 2.
Fair values of financial instruments which are not carried at fair value and bases of valuation
|
At 31 December 2013 |
|
At 31 December 2012 |
||||||||||
|
|
|
Fair value |
|
Carrying amount |
|
Fair value |
||||||
|
|
|
|
|
Valuation techniques |
|
|
|
|
||||
|
Carrying amount |
|
Quoted market price Level 1 |
|
Using observable inputs Level 2 |
|
With significant unobserv- able inputs Level 3 |
|
Total |
|
|
||
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Assets and liabilities not held for sale |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loans and advances to banks ....... |
211,521 |
|
- |
|
201,643 |
|
9,858 |
|
211,501 |
|
152,546 |
|
152,823 |
Loans and advances to customers1 .................................................... |
1,080,304 |
|
- |
|
98,932 |
|
971,555 |
|
1,070,487 |
|
997,623 |
|
973,741 |
Financial investments: debt |
25,084 |
|
1,432 |
|
23,960 |
|
25 |
|
25,417 |
|
23,413 |
|
25,458 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Deposits by banks ....................... |
129,212 |
|
- |
|
129,144 |
|
52 |
|
129,196 |
|
107,429 |
|
107,392 |
Customer accounts ...................... |
1,482,812 |
|
- |
|
1,467,812 |
|
14,622 |
|
1,482,434 |
|
1,340,014 |
|
1,340,521 |
Debt securities in issue ................. |
104,080 |
|
166 |
|
101,551 |
|
2,941 |
|
104,658 |
|
119,461 |
|
120,779 |
Subordinated liabilities ................. |
28,976 |
|
- |
|
29,704 |
|
1,309 |
|
31,013 |
|
29,479 |
|
32,159 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loans and advances and customer accounts held for sale2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loans and advances to banks and customers ................................ |
1,973 |
|
- |
|
249 |
|
1,731 |
|
1,980 |
|
6,632 |
|
6,387 |
Customer accounts ...................... |
2,187 |
|
- |
|
2,186 |
|
- |
|
2,186 |
|
2,990 |
|
2,990 |
1 Level 2 fair value amounts primarily include reverse repos.
2 Including financial instruments within disposal groups held for sale.
Fair values are determined according to the hierarchy set out in Note 15.
The following is a list of financial instruments whose carrying amount is a reasonable approximation of fair value because, for example, they are short-term in nature or reprice to current market rates frequently:
Assets
Cash and balances at central banks
Items in the course of collection from other banks
Hong Kong Government certificates of indebtedness
Endorsements and acceptances
Short-term receivables within 'Other assets'
Liabilities
Hong Kong currency notes in circulation
Items in the course of transmission to other banks
Investment contracts with discretionary participation features within 'Liabilities under insurance contracts'
Endorsements and acceptances
Short-term payables within 'Other liabilities'
Carrying amount and fair value of loans and advances to customers by industry sector
|
Carrying amount at 31 December |
||||||
|
Not impaired |
|
Impaired |
|
Impairment allowances1 |
|
Total |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loans and advances to customers ....................................... |
1,059,019 |
|
36,428 |
|
(15,143) |
|
1,080,304 |
- personal ......................................................................... |
391,930 |
|
18,798 |
|
(6,602) |
|
404,126 |
- corporate and commercial .............................................. |
529,661 |
|
16,877 |
|
(8,059) |
|
538,479 |
- financial ......................................................................... |
137,428 |
|
753 |
|
(482) |
|
137,699 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loans and advances to customers ....................................... |
975,064 |
|
38,671 |
|
(16,112) |
|
997,623 |
- personal ......................................................................... |
391,342 |
|
23,751 |
|
(8,212) |
|
406,881 |
- corporate and commercial .............................................. |
503,291 |
|
14,093 |
|
(7,346) |
|
510,038 |
- financial ......................................................................... |
80,431 |
|
827 |
|
(554) |
|
80,704 |
|
Fair value at 31 December |
||||
|
Not impaired |
|
Impaired |
|
Total |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
Loans and advances to customers ................................................................. |
1,045,900 |
|
24,587 |
|
1,070,487 |
- personal ................................................................................................... |
379,353 |
|
13,774 |
|
393,127 |
- corporate and commercial ........................................................................ |
529,586 |
|
10,340 |
|
539,926 |
- financial ................................................................................................... |
136,961 |
|
473 |
|
137,434 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
Loans and advances to customers ................................................................. |
948,822 |
|
24,919 |
|
973,741 |
- personal ................................................................................................... |
369,692 |
|
15,369 |
|
385,061 |
- corporate and commercial ........................................................................ |
499,261 |
|
9,158 |
|
508,419 |
- financial ................................................................................................... |
79,869 |
|
392 |
|
80,261 |
1 Impairment allowances relate to both impaired and not impaired loans and advances.
Analysis of loans and advances to customers by geographical segment
|
At 31 December 2013 |
|
At 31 December 2012 |
||||
|
Carrying amount |
|
Fair value |
|
Carrying amount |
|
Fair value |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Loans and advances to customers |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Europe ............................................................................... |
504,201 |
|
501,422 |
|
463,440 |
|
453,382 |
Hong Kong ........................................................................ |
195,549 |
|
194,081 |
|
173,613 |
|
171,926 |
Rest of Asia-Pacific ........................................................... |
147,796 |
|
147,488 |
|
138,119 |
|
138,015 |
Middle East and North Africa ............................................. |
27,211 |
|
26,891 |
|
28,086 |
|
27,954 |
North America ................................................................... |
161,629 |
|
156,500 |
|
140,756 |
|
128,637 |
Latin America .................................................................... |
43,918 |
|
44,105 |
|
53,609 |
|
53,827 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,080,304 |
|
1,070,487 |
|
997,623 |
|
973,741 |
Valuation
The fair value measurement is HSBC's estimate of the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. It does not reflect the economic benefits and costs that HSBC expects to flow from the instruments' cash flows over their expected future lives. Other reporting entities may use different valuation methodologies and assumptions in determining fair values for which no observable market prices are available.
The fair values of loans and advances to customers in the US are substantially lower than their carrying amount, reflecting the market conditions at the balance sheet date. The secondary market demand and estimated value for US loans and advances have been heavily influenced by the challenging economic conditions during the past number of years, including house price depreciation, rising unemployment, changes in consumer behaviour, changes in discount rates and the lack of financing options available to support the purchase of loans and advances. Many investors are non-bank financial institutions or hedge funds with high equity levels and a high cost of debt. For certain consumer loans, investors take a more conservative view of future performance than HSBC. As a result, third parties are likely to assume higher charge-off levels and/or slower voluntary prepayment speeds than HSBC believes will ultimately be the case. The investor discount rates reflect this difference in the overall cost of capital as well as the potential volatility in the underlying cash flow assumptions, the combination of which may yield a significant pricing discount from HSBC's intrinsic value. The relative fair value of loans and advances to customers increased during 2013 largely due to improved conditions in the housing industry driven by increased property values and, to a lesser extent, lower required market yields and increased investor demand for these types of loans and advances.
The fair value of loans and advances to customers has improved in Europe relative to carrying amounts, primarily in the UK mortgage market where increased competition and Central Bank policies to stimulate lending have reduced interest rates and increased fair values accordingly. The overall improvement in fair value has also benefited from higher valuations of ABSs classified as loans and advances following improved market appetite for such securities.
The fair values of loans and advances to customers in Latin America are higher than their carrying amount, primarily driven by mortgages where the market interest rate remains below the historic average.
Fair values of the following assets and liabilities are estimated for the purpose of disclosure as described below:
Loans and advances to banks and customers
The fair value of loans and advances is based on observable market transactions, where available. In the absence of observable market transactions, fair value is estimated using valuation models that incorporate a range of input assumptions. These assumptions may include value estimates from third party brokers which reflect over-the-counter trading activity, forward looking discounted cash flow models using assumptions which HSBC believes are consistent with those which would be used by market participants in valuing such loans, and trading inputs from other market participants which includes observed primary and secondary trades.
Loans are grouped, as far as possible, into homogeneous groups and stratified by loans with similar characteristics to improve the accuracy of estimated valuation outputs. The stratification of a loan book considers all material factors including vintage, origination period, estimates of future interest rates, prepayment speeds, delinquency rates, loan-to-value ratios, the quality of collateral, default probability, and internal credit risk ratings.
Valuation techniques are calibrated on a regular basis and tested for validity using prices from observable current market transactions in the same instrument, without modification or repackaging, or are based on any available observable market data.
The fair value of a loan reflects both loan impairments at the balance sheet date and estimates of market participants' expectations of credit losses over the life of the loans, and the fair value effect of repricing between origination and the balance sheet date.
Financial investments
The fair values of listed financial investments are determined using bid market prices. The fair values of unlisted financial investments are determined using valuation techniques that take into consideration the prices and future earnings streams of equivalent quoted securities.
Deposits by banks and customer accounts
For the purpose of estimating fair value, deposits by banks and customer accounts are grouped by remaining contractual maturity. Fair values are estimated using discounted cash flows, applying current rates offered for deposits of similar remaining maturities. The fair value of a deposit repayable on demand is approximated by its carrying value.
Debt securities in issue and subordinated liabilities
Fair values are determined using quoted market prices at the balance sheet date where available, or by reference to quoted market prices for similar instruments.
The fair values in this note are stated at a specific date and may be significantly different from the amounts which will actually be paid on the maturity or settlement dates of the instruments. In many cases, it would not be possible to realise immediately the estimated fair values given the size of the portfolios measured. Accordingly, these fair values do not represent the value of these financial instruments to HSBC as a going concern.
HSBC Holdings
The following table provides an analysis of the fair value of financial instruments not carried at fair value on the balance sheet:
Fair values of HSBC Holdings' financial instruments not carried at fair value on the balance sheet
|
At 31 December 2013 |
|
At 31 December 2012 |
||||
|
Carrying amount |
|
Fair value1 |
|
Carrying amount |
|
Fair value |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loans and advances to HSBC undertakings ................................... |
53,344 |
|
55,332 |
|
41,675 |
|
42,843 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amounts owed to HSBC undertakings ........................................... |
11,685 |
|
11,868 |
|
12,856 |
|
13,133 |
Debt securities in issue .................................................................. |
2,791 |
|
3,124 |
|
2,691 |
|
3,188 |
Subordinated liabilities .................................................................. |
14,167 |
|
16,633 |
|
11,907 |
|
14,865 |
1 Fair values were determined using valuation techniques with observable inputs (Level 2).
17 Financial assets designated at fair value
|
At 31 December |
||
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Financial assets designated at fair value: |
|
|
|
- not subject to repledge or resale by counterparties ........................................................... |
38,062 |
|
33,562 |
- which may be repledged or resold by counterparties ......................................................... |
368 |
|
20 |
|
|
|
|
|
38,430 |
|
33,582 |
|
|
|
|
Treasury and other eligible bills ............................................................................................... |
50 |
|
54 |
Debt securities ......................................................................................................................... |
12,589 |
|
12,551 |
Equity securities ...................................................................................................................... |
25,711 |
|
20,868 |
|
|
|
|
Securities designated at fair value ............................................................................................. |
38,350 |
|
33,473 |
Loans and advances to banks ................................................................................................... |
76 |
|
55 |
Loans and advances to customers ............................................................................................ |
4 |
|
54 |
|
|
|
|
|
38,430 |
|
33,582 |
Securities designated at fair value1
|
At 31 December |
||
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
|
|
|
Fair value |
|
|
|
US Treasury and US Government agencies2 ............................................................................ |
34 |
|
37 |
UK Government .................................................................................................................... |
534 |
|
625 |
Hong Kong Government ........................................................................................................ |
113 |
|
135 |
Other government ................................................................................................................. |
4,097 |
|
4,508 |
Asset-backed securities3 ......................................................................................................... |
140 |
|
158 |
Corporate debt and other securities ........................................................................................ |
7,721 |
|
7,142 |
Equities .................................................................................................................................. |
25,711 |
|
20,868 |
|
|
|
|
|
38,350 |
|
33,473 |
1 Included within these figures are debt securities issued by banks and other financial institutions of US$4,419m (2012: US$3,509m), of which US$92m (2012: US$5m) are guaranteed by various governments.
2 Include securities that are supported by an explicit guarantee issued by the US Government.
3 Exclude asset-backed securities included under US Treasury and US Government agencies.
Securities listed on a recognised exchange and unlisted
|
Treasury and other eligible bills |
|
Debt securities |
|
Equity securities |
|
Total |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Fair value at 31 December 2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Listed1 ............................................................................... |
− |
|
2,773 |
|
18,235 |
|
21,008 |
Unlisted ............................................................................. |
50 |
|
9,816 |
|
7,476 |
|
17,342 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50 |
|
12,589 |
|
25,711 |
|
38,350 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fair value at 31 December 2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Listed1 ............................................................................... |
- |
|
3,007 |
|
14,063 |
|
17,070 |
Unlisted ............................................................................. |
54 |
|
9,544 |
|
6,805 |
|
16,403 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
54 |
|
12,551 |
|
20,868 |
|
33,473 |
1 Included within listed investments are US$1,148m of investments listed on a recognised exchange in Hong Kong (2012: US$931m).
18 Derivatives
Fair values of derivatives by product contract type held by HSBC
|
Assets |
|
Liabilities |
||||||||
|
Trading |
|
Hedging |
|
Total |
|
Trading |
|
Hedging |
|
Total |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
At 31 December 2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange ........................................ |
78,652 |
|
2,262 |
|
80,914 |
|
75,350 |
|
448 |
|
75,798 |
Interest rate ................................................ |
456,282 |
|
2,294 |
|
458,576 |
|
448,434 |
|
4,097 |
|
452,531 |
Equity ......................................................... |
18,389 |
|
- |
|
18,389 |
|
22,573 |
|
- |
|
22,573 |
Credit .......................................................... |
9,092 |
|
- |
|
9,092 |
|
8,926 |
|
- |
|
8,926 |
Commodity and other ................................. |
2,624 |
|
- |
|
2,624 |
|
1,786 |
|
- |
|
1,786 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross total fair values .................................. |
565,039 |
|
4,556 |
|
569,595 |
|
557,069 |
|
4,545 |
|
561,614 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Offset .......................................................... |
|
|
|
|
(287,330) |
|
|
|
|
|
(287,330) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total ........................................................... |
|
|
|
|
282,265 |
|
|
|
|
|
274,284 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange ........................................ |
68,277 |
|
1,227 |
|
69,504 |
|
70,944 |
|
239 |
|
71,183 |
Interest rate ................................................ |
628,162 |
|
2,417 |
|
630,579 |
|
618,808 |
|
6,491 |
|
625,299 |
Equity ......................................................... |
15,413 |
|
- |
|
15,413 |
|
19,889 |
|
- |
|
19,889 |
Credit .......................................................... |
12,740 |
|
- |
|
12,740 |
|
13,508 |
|
- |
|
13,508 |
Commodity and other ................................. |
1,443 |
|
- |
|
1,443 |
|
1,236 |
|
- |
|
1,236 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross total fair values .................................. |
726,035 |
|
3,644 |
|
729,679 |
|
724,385 |
|
6,730 |
|
731,115 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Offset........................................................... |
|
|
|
|
(372,229) |
|
|
|
|
|
(372,229) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total ........................................................... |
|
|
|
|
357,450 |
|
|
|
|
|
358,886 |
Derivative assets and liabilities decreased during the year, driven by a decrease in the fair value of interest rate derivatives as yield curves in major currencies steepened. This resulted in the decrease in gross fair values and a commensurate decrease in the offset amount.
Fair values of derivatives by product contract type held by HSBC Holdings with subsidiaries
|
Assets |
|
Liabilities |
||||||||
|
Trading |
|
Hedging |
|
Total |
|
Trading |
|
Hedging |
|
Total |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
At 31 December 2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange ........................................ |
1,774 |
|
45 |
|
1,819 |
|
471 |
|
- |
|
471 |
Interest rate ................................................ |
955 |
|
15 |
|
970 |
|
233 |
|
- |
|
233 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,729 |
|
60 |
|
2,789 |
|
704 |
|
- |
|
704 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange ........................................ |
1,636 |
|
- |
|
1,636 |
|
760 |
|
- |
|
760 |
Interest rate ................................................ |
2,132 |
|
- |
|
2,132 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,768 |
|
- |
|
3,768 |
|
760 |
|
- |
|
760 |
Derivatives are financial instruments that derive their value from the price of underlying items such as equities, bonds, interest rates, foreign exchange, credit spreads, commodities and equity or other indices. Derivatives enable users to increase, reduce or alter exposure to credit or market risks.
Derivatives are carried at fair value and shown in the balance sheet as separate totals of assets and liabilities. A description of how the fair value of derivatives is derived is set out on page 488. Derivative assets and liabilities are only offset and reported net in the balance sheet when there is a legally enforceable right to offset and the cash flows are intended to be settled on a net basis.
HSBC transacts derivatives for three primary purposes: to create risk management solutions for clients, to manage the portfolio risks arising from client business and to manage and hedge HSBC's own risks. Derivatives (except for derivatives which are designated as effective hedging instruments as defined in IAS 39) are held for trading. Within the held-for-trading classification are two types of derivatives: those used in sales and trading activities, and those used for risk management purposes but which for various reasons do not meet the qualifying criteria for hedge accounting. The second category includes derivatives managed in conjunction with financial instruments designated at fair value. These activities are described more fully below.
HSBC's derivative activities give rise to significant open positions in portfolios of derivatives. These positions are managed constantly to ensure that they remain within acceptable risk levels. When entering into derivative transactions, HSBC employs the same credit risk management framework to assess and approve potential credit exposures that it uses for traditional lending.
Trading derivatives
Most of HSBC's derivative transactions relate to sales and trading activities. Sales activities include the structuring and marketing of derivative products to customers to enable them to take, transfer, modify or reduce current or expected risks. Trading activities include market-making and risk management. Market-making entails quoting bid and offer prices to other market participants for the purpose of generating revenues based on spread and volume. Risk management activity is undertaken to manage the risk arising from client transactions, with the principal purpose of retaining client margin.
Other derivatives classified as held for trading include non-qualifying hedging derivatives, ineffective hedging derivatives and the components of hedging derivatives that are excluded from assessing hedge effectiveness. Non-qualifying hedging derivatives are entered into for risk management purposes but do not meet the criteria for hedge accounting. Trading derivatives also include derivatives managed in conjunction with financial instruments designated at fair value.
Gains and losses from changes in the fair value of derivatives, including the contractual interest, that do not qualify for hedge accounting are reported in 'Net trading income' except for derivatives managed in conjunction with financial instruments designated at fair value, where gains and losses are reported in 'Net income from financial instruments designated at fair value' together with the gains and losses on the economically hedged items. Where the derivatives are managed with debt securities in issue, the contractual interest is shown in 'Interest expense' together with the interest payable on the issued debt. Substantially all of HSBC Holdings' derivatives entered into with HSBC undertakings are managed in conjunction with financial liabilities designated at fair value.
The notional contract amounts of derivatives held for trading purposes indicate the nominal value of transactions outstanding at the balance sheet date; they do not represent amounts at risk. The 23% increase in the notional contract amounts of HSBC's derivatives during 2013 was primarily driven by an increase in the trading volumes of interest rate contracts.
Notional contract amounts of derivatives held for trading purposes by product type
|
HSBC |
|
HSBC Holdings |
||||
|
At |
|
At |
|
At |
|
At |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange ............................................................... |
5,264,978 |
|
4,435,729 |
|
17,280 |
|
17,576 |
Interest rate ....................................................................... |
27,056,367 |
|
21,355,749 |
|
10,304 |
|
11,554 |
Equity ................................................................................ |
589,903 |
|
495,668 |
|
- |
|
- |
Credit ................................................................................. |
678,256 |
|
901,507 |
|
- |
|
- |
Commodity and other ........................................................ |
77,842 |
|
80,219 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
33,667,346 |
|
27,268,872 |
|
27,584 |
|
29,130 |
HSBC trades credit derivatives through its principal dealing operations and acts as a principal counterparty to a broad range of users, structuring transactions to produce risk management products for its customers, or making markets in certain products. Risk is typically controlled through entering into offsetting credit derivative contracts with other counterparties.
HSBC manages the credit risk arising on buying and selling credit derivative protection by including the related credit exposures within its overall credit limit structure for the relevant counterparty. Trading of credit derivatives is restricted to a small number of offices within the major centres which have the control infrastructure and market skills to manage effectively the credit risk inherent in the products.
Credit derivatives are also deployed to a limited extent for the risk management of the Group's loan portfolios. The notional contract amount of credit derivatives of US$678bn (2012: US$902bn) consisted of protection bought of US$339bn (2012: US$446bn) and protection sold of US$339bn (2012: US$455bn). The credit derivative business operates within the market risk management framework described on page 281.
Derivatives valued using models with unobservable inputs
The difference between the fair value at initial recognition (the transaction price) and the value that would have been derived had valuation techniques used for subsequent measurement been applied at initial recognition, less subsequent releases, is as follows:
Unamortised balance of derivatives valued using models with significant unobservable inputs
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
|
|
|
Unamortised balance at 1 January ........................................................................................... |
181 |
|
200 |
Deferral on new transactions ................................................................................................... |
206 |
|
149 |
Recognised in the income statement during the period: |
|
|
|
- amortisation ..................................................................................................................... |
(105) |
|
(112) |
- subsequent to unobservable inputs becoming observable .................................................... |
(39) |
|
(1) |
- maturity, termination or offsetting derivative .................................................................. |
(77) |
|
(46) |
- risk hedged ....................................................................................................................... |
- |
|
(11) |
Exchange differences .............................................................................................................. |
1 |
|
2 |
|
|
|
|
Unamortised balance at 31 December1 .................................................................................... |
167 |
|
181 |
1 This amount is yet to be recognised in the consolidated income statement.
Hedge accounting derivatives
HSBC uses derivatives (principally interest rate swaps) for hedging purposes in the management of its own asset and liability portfolios and structural positions. This enables HSBC to optimise the overall cost to the Group of accessing debt capital markets, and to mitigate the market risk which would otherwise arise from structural imbalances in the maturity and other profiles of its assets and liabilities.
The accounting treatment of hedge transactions varies according to the nature of the instrument hedged and the type of hedge transactions. Derivatives may qualify as hedges for accounting purposes if they are fair value hedges, cash flow hedges, or hedges of net investment in foreign operations. These are described under the relevant headings below.
The notional contract amounts of derivatives held for hedge accounting purposes indicate the nominal value of transactions outstanding at the balance sheet date; they do not represent amounts at risk.
Notional contract amounts of derivatives held for hedge accounting purposes by product type
|
At 31 December 2013 |
|
At 31 December 2012 |
||||
|
Cash flow hedge |
|
Fair value |
|
Cash flow hedge |
|
Fair value |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
HSBC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange ................................................ |
25,799 |
|
226 |
|
16,716 |
|
112 |
Interest rate ........................................................ |
201,197 |
|
90,354 |
|
182,688 |
|
75,505 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
226,996 |
|
90,580 |
|
199,404 |
|
75,617 |
|
Fair value hedge |
||
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
HSBC Holdings |
|
|
|
Foreign exchange .................................................................................................................... |
1,120 |
|
- |
Interest rate ............................................................................................................................ |
1,977 |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
3,097 |
|
- |
HSBC's fair value hedges principally consist of interest rate swaps that are used to protect against changes in the fair value of fixed-rate long-term financial instruments due to movements in market interest rates. For fair value hedges, all changes in the fair value of the derivative and in the fair value of the item in relation to the risk being hedged are recognised in the income statement. If the hedge relationship is terminated, the fair value adjustment to the hedged item continues to be reported as part of the basis of the item and is amortised to the income statement as a yield adjustment over the remainder of the hedging period.
Fair value of derivatives designated as fair value hedges
|
At 31 December 2013 |
|
At 31 December 2012 |
||||
|
Assets |
|
Liabilities |
|
Assets |
|
Liabilities |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
HSBC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange ........................................... |
5 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
Interest rate ................................................... |
1,163 |
|
2,889 |
|
199 |
|
4,450 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,168 |
|
2,889 |
|
199 |
|
4,450 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HSBC Holdings |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange ........................................... |
45 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
Interest rate ................................................... |
15 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
Gains or losses arising from fair value hedges
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
2011 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
HSBC |
|
|
|
|
|
Gains/(losses): |
|
|
|
|
|
- on hedging instruments ............................................................................. |
1,997 |
|
(898) |
|
(4,082) |
- on the hedged items attributable to the hedged risk ................................... |
(1,932) |
|
871 |
|
3,858 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
65 |
|
(27) |
|
(224) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
HSBC Holdings |
|
|
|
|
|
Gains/(losses): |
|
|
|
|
|
- on hedging instruments ............................................................................. |
14 |
|
- |
|
- |
- on the hedged items attributable to the hedged risk ................................... |
(21) |
|
- |
|
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(7) |
|
- |
|
- |
The gains and losses on ineffective portions of fair value hedges are recognised immediately in 'Net trading income'.
HSBC's cash flow hedges consist principally of interest rate swaps, futures and cross-currency swaps that are used to protect against exposures to variability in future interest cash flows on non-trading assets and liabilities which bear interest at variable rates or which are expected to be re-funded or reinvested in the future. The amounts and timing of future cash flows, representing both principal and interest flows, are projected for each portfolio of financial assets and liabilities on the basis of their contractual terms and other relevant factors, including estimates of prepayments and defaults. The aggregate principal balances and interest cash flows across all portfolios over time form the basis for identifying gains and losses on the effective portions of derivatives designated as cash flow hedges of forecast transactions. Gains and losses are initially recognised in other comprehensive income, and accumulated in the cash flow hedging reserve, and are transferred to the income statement when the forecast cash flows affect the income statement.
Fair value of derivatives designated as cash flow hedges
|
At 31 December 2013 |
|
At 31 December 2012 |
||||
|
Assets |
|
Liabilities |
|
Assets |
|
Liabilities |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign exchange ........................................... |
2,257 |
|
439 |
|
1,230 |
|
200 |
Interest rate ................................................... |
1,131 |
|
1,208 |
|
2,218 |
|
2,041 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,388 |
|
1,647 |
|
3,448 |
|
2,241 |
Forecast principal balances on which interest cash flows are expected to arise
|
3 months |
|
More than 3 months but less than 1 year |
|
5 years or less but more than |
|
More than |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
At 31 December 2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Assets ........................................................................... |
135,857 |
|
124,670 |
|
89,405 |
|
2,156 |
Liabilities ..................................................................... |
(60,402) |
|
(46,990) |
|
(38,406) |
|
(10,221) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net cash inflows/(outflows) exposure ............................ |
75,455 |
|
77,680 |
|
50,999 |
|
(8,065) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Assets ........................................................................... |
112,846 |
|
93,072 |
|
72,557 |
|
5,055 |
Liabilities ..................................................................... |
(68,534) |
|
(43,800) |
|
(29,401) |
|
(4,777) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net cash inflows exposure ............................................ |
44,312 |
|
49,272 |
|
43,156 |
|
278 |
This table reflects the interest rate repricing profile of the underlying hedged items.
The gains and losses on ineffective portions of such derivatives are recognised immediately in 'Net trading income'. During the year to 31 December 2013 a gain of US$22m (2012: gain of US$35m; 2011: gain of US$26m) was recognised due to hedge ineffectiveness.
Hedges of net investments in foreign operations
The Group applies hedge accounting in respect of certain consolidated net investments. Hedging is undertaken using forward foreign exchange contracts or by financing with currency borrowings.
At 31 December 2013, the fair values of outstanding financial instruments designated as hedges of net investments in foreign operations were assets of US$4m (2012: US$3m), liabilities of US$23m (2012: US$50m) and notional contract values of US$2,840m (2012: US$2,654m).
The ineffectiveness recognised in 'Net trading income' in the year ended 31 December 2013 that arose from hedges in foreign operations was nil (2012 and 2011: nil).
19 Financial investments
|
At 31 December |
||
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Financial investments: |
|
|
|
- not subject to repledge or resale by counterparties ........................................................... |
394,207 |
|
399,613 |
- which may be repledged or resold by counterparties ......................................................... |
31,718 |
|
21,488 |
|
|
|
|
|
425,925 |
|
421,101 |
Carrying amount and fair value of financial investments
|
At 31 December 2013 |
|
At 31 December 2012 |
||||
|
Carrying |
|
Fair |
|
Carrying |
|
Fair |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Treasury and other eligible bills .......................................... |
78,111 |
|
78,111 |
|
87,550 |
|
87,550 |
-. available for sale ......................................................... |
78,111 |
|
78,111 |
|
87,550 |
|
87,550 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Debt securities .................................................................... |
338,674 |
|
339,007 |
|
327,762 |
|
329,807 |
-. available for sale ......................................................... |
313,590 |
|
313,590 |
|
304,349 |
|
304,349 |
-. held to maturity ......................................................... |
25,084 |
|
25,417 |
|
23,413 |
|
25,458 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity securities ................................................................. |
9,140 |
|
9,140 |
|
5,789 |
|
5,789 |
-. available for sale ......................................................... |
9,140 |
|
9,140 |
|
5,789 |
|
5,789 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total financial investments ............................................... |
425,925 |
|
426,258 |
|
421,101 |
|
423,146 |
Financial investments at amortised cost and fair value
|
Amortised cost1 |
|
Fair value2 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
At 31 December 2013 |
|
|
|
US Treasury ............................................................................................................................ |
50,369 |
|
50,421 |
US Government agencies3 ....................................................................................................... |
19,211 |
|
18,771 |
US Government sponsored entities3 ........................................................................................ |
5,263 |
|
5,445 |
UK Government ..................................................................................................................... |
23,565 |
|
23,580 |
Hong Kong Government ......................................................................................................... |
49,570 |
|
49,579 |
Other government .................................................................................................................. |
153,619 |
|
156,208 |
Asset-backed securities4 ........................................................................................................... |
25,961 |
|
24,115 |
Corporate debt and other securities ......................................................................................... |
87,469 |
|
88,999 |
Equities ................................................................................................................................... |
8,081 |
|
9,140 |
|
|
||
|
423,108 |
|
426,258 |
|
Amortised cost1 |
|
Fair value2 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
At 31 December 2012 |
|
|
|
US Treasury ............................................................................................................................ |
60,657 |
|
61,925 |
US Government agencies3 ....................................................................................................... |
22,579 |
|
23,500 |
US Government sponsored entities3 ........................................................................................ |
5,262 |
|
5,907 |
UK Government ..................................................................................................................... |
17,018 |
|
17,940 |
Hong Kong Government ......................................................................................................... |
42,687 |
|
42,711 |
Other government .................................................................................................................. |
146,507 |
|
149,179 |
Asset-backed securities4 ........................................................................................................... |
29,960 |
|
26,418 |
Corporate debt and other securities ......................................................................................... |
86,099 |
|
89,777 |
Equities ................................................................................................................................... |
4,284 |
|
5,789 |
|
|
||
|
415,053 |
|
423,146 |
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2011 |
|
|
|
US Treasury ............................................................................................................................ |
43,848 |
|
45,283 |
US Government agencies3 ....................................................................................................... |
25,079 |
|
26,093 |
US Government sponsored entities3 ........................................................................................ |
4,425 |
|
5,056 |
UK Government ..................................................................................................................... |
32,165 |
|
33,603 |
Hong Kong Government ......................................................................................................... |
33,359 |
|
33,374 |
Other government .................................................................................................................. |
125,623 |
|
127,049 |
Asset-backed securities4 ........................................................................................................... |
35,096 |
|
28,625 |
Corporate debt and other securities ......................................................................................... |
94,110 |
|
95,233 |
Equities ................................................................................................................................... |
5,122 |
|
7,210 |
|
|
||
|
398,827 |
|
401,526 |
1 Represents the amortised cost or cost basis of the financial investment.
2 Included within these figures are debt securities issued by banks and other financial institutions of US$55,303m (2012: US$59,908m; 2011: US$68,334m), of which US$8,946m (2012: US$6,916m; 2011: US$17,079m) are guaranteed by various governments. The fair value of the debt securities issued by banks and other financial institutions was US$55,467m (2012: US$60,616m; 2011: US$68,765m).
3 Include securities that are supported by an explicit guarantee issued by the US Government.
4 Exclude asset-backed securities included under US Government agencies and sponsored entities.
Financial investments listed on a recognised exchange and unlisted
|
Treasury and other eligible bills available for sale |
|
Debt securities available for sale |
|
Debt securities held to maturity |
|
Equity securities available |
|
Total |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Carrying amount at 31 December 2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Listed1 ......................................................... |
1,404 |
|
134,473 |
|
6,176 |
|
3,950 |
|
146,003 |
Unlisted2 ..................................................... |
76,707 |
|
179,117 |
|
18,908 |
|
5,190 |
|
279,922 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
78,111 |
|
313,590 |
|
25,084 |
|
9,140 |
|
425,925 |
Carrying amount at 31 December 2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Listed1 ......................................................... |
3,284 |
|
113,399 |
|
5,599 |
|
536 |
|
122,818 |
Unlisted2 ..................................................... |
84,266 |
|
190,950 |
|
17,814 |
|
5,253 |
|
298,283 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
87,550 |
|
304,349 |
|
23,413 |
|
5,789 |
|
421,101 |
1 The fair value of listed held-to-maturity debt securities as at 31 December 2013 was US$6,281m (2012: US$6,123m). Included within listed investments were US$2,832m (2012: US$3,512m) of investments listed on a recognised exchange in Hong Kong.
2 Unlisted treasury and other eligible bills available for sale primarily comprise treasury bills not listed on an exchange but for which there is a liquid market.
Maturities of investments in debt securities at their carrying amount
|
At 31 December |
||
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Remaining contractual maturity of total debt securities: |
|
|
|
1 year or less ....................................................................................................................... |
81,215 |
|
67,268 |
5 years or less but over 1 year ............................................................................................. |
154,580 |
|
157,075 |
10 years or less but over 5 years .......................................................................................... |
50,998 |
|
47,123 |
Over 10 years ...................................................................................................................... |
51,881 |
|
56,296 |
|
|
|
|
|
338,674 |
|
327,762 |
Remaining contractual maturity of debt securities available for sale: |
|
|
|
1 year or less ....................................................................................................................... |
78,222 |
|
65,500 |
5 years or less but over 1 year ............................................................................................. |
146,200 |
|
149,195 |
10 years or less but over 5 years .......................................................................................... |
44,556 |
|
39,498 |
Over 10 years ...................................................................................................................... |
44,612 |
|
50,156 |
|
|
|
|
|
313,590 |
|
304,349 |
Remaining contractual maturity of debt securities held to maturity: |
|
|
|
1 year or less ....................................................................................................................... |
2,993 |
|
1,768 |
5 years or less but over 1 year ............................................................................................. |
8,380 |
|
7,880 |
10 years or less but over 5 years .......................................................................................... |
6,442 |
|
7,625 |
Over 10 years ...................................................................................................................... |
7,269 |
|
6,140 |
|
|
|
|
|
25,084 |
|
23,413 |
Contractual maturities and weighted average yields of investment debt securities at 31 December 2013
|
Within one year |
|
After one year but within five years |
|
After five years but within ten years |
|
After ten years |
||||||||
|
Amount |
|
Yield |
|
Amount |
|
Yield |
|
Amount |
|
Yield |
|
Amount |
|
Yield |
|
US$m |
|
% |
|
US$m |
|
% |
|
US$m |
|
% |
|
US$m |
|
% |
Available for sale |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
US Treasury ...................................... |
11,876 |
|
0.3 |
|
29,185 |
|
0.7 |
|
5,871 |
|
2.2 |
|
1,991 |
|
4.1 |
US Government agencies ................... |
- |
|
- |
|
46 |
|
2.1 |
|
98 |
|
2.1 |
|
18,802 |
|
2.6 |
US Government-sponsored agencies .. |
50 |
|
0.4 |
|
821 |
|
2.3 |
|
2,773 |
|
3.3 |
|
775 |
|
3.8 |
UK Government ................................ |
- |
|
- |
|
12,129 |
|
3.6 |
|
10,165 |
|
7.2 |
|
644 |
|
5.1 |
Hong Kong Government ................... |
773 |
|
1.8 |
|
109 |
|
0.7 |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
Other governments ........................... |
49,919 |
|
2.5 |
|
63,276 |
|
3.2 |
|
10,212 |
|
5.1 |
|
2,432 |
|
5.2 |
Asset-backed securities ...................... |
72 |
|
1.7 |
|
1,681 |
|
2.4 |
|
6,666 |
|
0.7 |
|
17,524 |
|
0.8 |
Corporate debt and other securities .... |
15,244 |
|
2.9 |
|
36,703 |
|
2.0 |
|
8,136 |
|
2.0 |
|
4,249 |
|
3.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total amortised cost ......................... |
77,934 |
|
|
|
143,950 |
|
|
|
43,921 |
|
|
|
46,417 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total carrying value .......................... |
78,222 |
|
|
|
146,200 |
|
|
|
44,556 |
|
|
|
44,612 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Held to maturity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
US Treasury ...................................... |
1 |
|
4.0 |
|
55 |
|
4.8 |
|
59 |
|
4.8 |
|
109 |
|
4.2 |
US Government agencies ................... |
- |
|
- |
|
1 |
|
7.6 |
|
2 |
|
7.7 |
|
262 |
|
6.5 |
US Government-sponsored agencies .. |
1 |
|
8.0 |
|
1 |
|
6.9 |
|
2 |
|
8.0 |
|
843 |
|
6.1 |
Hong Kong Government ................... |
- |
|
- |
|
30 |
|
0.4 |
|
28 |
|
2.7 |
|
2 |
|
1.2 |
Other governments ........................... |
267 |
|
4.1 |
|
317 |
|
4.5 |
|
278 |
|
4.9 |
|
661 |
|
4.8 |
Asset-backed securities ...................... |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
18 |
|
6.2 |
Corporate debt and other securities .... |
2,724 |
|
3.9 |
|
7,976 |
|
3.7 |
|
6,073 |
|
4.1 |
|
5,374 |
|
4.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total amortised cost ......................... |
2,993 |
|
|
|
8,380 |
|
|
|
6,442 |
|
|
|
7,269 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total carrying value .......................... |
2,993 |
|
|
|
8,380 |
|
|
|
6,442 |
|
|
|
7,269 |
|
|
The maturity distributions of asset-backed securities are presented in the above table on the basis of contractual maturity dates. The weighted average yield for each range of maturities is calculated by dividing the annualised interest income for the year ended 31 December 2013 by the book amount of available-for-sale debt securities at that date. The yields do not include the effect of related derivatives.
20 Transfers of financial assets
HSBC enters into transactions in the normal course of business by which it transfers financial assets to third parties including structured entities ('SEs'). Depending on the circumstances, these transfers may either result in these financial assets being derecognised or continuing to be recognised.
· Full derecognition occurs when HSBC transfers its contractual right to receive cash flows from the financial assets, or retains the right but assumes an obligation to pass on the cash flows from the asset, and transfers substantially all the risks and rewards of ownership. The risks include credit, interest rate, foreign currency, prepayment and other price risks.
· Derecognition does not occur when HSBC transfers its contractual right to receive cash flows from the financial assets, or retains the right but assumes an obligation to pass on the cash flows from the asset, but either:
(i) retains substantially all of the risks and rewards of ownership of the transferred asset; or
(ii) neither retains nor transfers substantially all of the risks and rewards of ownership but has retained control of the financial asset. In this situation, the financial assets are recognised on the balance sheet to the extent of HSBC's continuing involvement.
The majority of transferred financial assets that do not qualify for derecognition are (i) debt securities held by counterparties as collateral under repurchase agreements or (ii) equity securities lent under securities lending agreements. As the substance of these transactions is secured borrowings the asset collateral continues to be recognised in full and the related liability reflecting the Group's obligation to repurchase the transferred assets for a fixed price at a future date is recognised in deposits from banks or customers as appropriate. As a result of these transactions, the Group is unable to use, sell or pledge the transferred assets for the duration of the transaction. The Group remains exposed to interest rate risk and credit risk on these pledged instruments. The counterparty's recourse is not limited to the transferred assets.
Other transactions that do not qualify for full derecognition include other sales where the counterparty's recourse is only to the transferred asset. 'Other sales (recourse to transferred asset only)' in the table below includes a Canadian government sponsored securitisation programme, where HSBC Bank Canada assigns ownership and its right to sell or pledge residential mortgages. HSBC Bank Canada remains exposed to credit and interest rate risk on the assigned residential mortgages, which continue to be recorded as loans and advances. Third party funds received by HSBC Bank Canada under the programme are accounted for as secured borrowings and presented as debt securities in issue on the consolidated balance sheet.
In a small number of securitisation transactions, HSBC has neither transferred nor retained substantially all the risks and rewards of ownership of the transferred assets, and has retained control of the transferred assets. Circumstances in which HSBC has continuing involvement in the transferred assets may include retention of servicing rights over the transferred assets, entering into a derivative transaction with the securitisation vehicle or retaining an interest in the securitisation vehicle. Where HSBC has continuing involvement it continues to recognise the transferred assets to the extent of its continuing involvement and recognises an associated liability. The net carrying amount of the transferred assets and associated liabilities reflects the rights and obligations that HSBC has retained.
The following table analyses the carrying amount of financial assets that did not qualify for derecognition and their associated financial liabilities, including those that are recognised to the extent of HSBC's continuing involvement and the associated liabilities.
Financial assets not qualifying for full derecognition and associated financial liabilities
|
Carrying amount of assets before transfer |
|
Carrying amount of transferred assets |
|
Carrying amount of associated liabilities |
|
Fair value of transferred assets |
|
Fair value of associated liabilities |
|
Net position |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
At 31 December 2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Repurchase agreements ................................ |
|
|
125,508 |
|
126,175 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Securities lending agreements ....................... |
|
|
9,175 |
|
8,884 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other sales (recourse to transferred asset only) ................................................................. |
|
|
6,707 |
|
7,019 |
|
6,827 |
|
6,707 |
|
120 |
Securitisations recognised to the extent of continuing involvement ........................... |
17,427 |
|
16 |
|
8 |
|
16 |
|
8 |
|
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Repurchase agreements ................................ |
|
|
122,130 |
|
121,589 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Securities lending agreements ....................... |
|
|
5,891 |
|
5,820 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other sales (recourse to transferred asset only) ................................................................. |
|
|
9,727 |
|
9,733 |
|
9,767 |
|
9,856 |
|
(89) |
Securitisations recognised to the extent of continuing involvement ........................... |
17,427 |
|
12 |
|
6 |
|
12 |
|
6 |
|
6 |
Financial assets qualifying for full derecognition and associated financial liabilities by type of continuing involvement
|
At 31 December |
|
For the year |
||||||||||||
|
Carrying amount |
|
|
|
|
|
Gain or |
|
|
|
Income/ |
||||
|
of continuing |
|
Fair value of |
|
|
|
loss |
|
Income/ |
|
(expenses) |
||||
|
involvement in |
|
continuing |
|
Maximum |
|
recognised |
|
(expenses) |
|
recognised |
||||
|
the balance sheet |
|
involvement |
|
exposure |
|
at transfer |
|
recognised |
|
cumulat- |
||||
|
Assets |
|
Liabilities |
|
Assets |
|
Liabilities |
|
to loss |
|
date |
|
in year |
|
ively |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Interest in structured entities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2013 ..................................... |
305 |
|
- |
|
307 |
|
- |
|
305 |
|
10 |
|
8 |
|
68 |
2012 ..................................... |
393 |
|
- |
|
354 |
|
- |
|
393 |
|
10 |
|
8 |
|
58 |
The assets in the table above represent our continuing involvement in securitisations where HSBC has transferred assets to an unconsolidated SE, but has retained some of the notes issued by the SE. These notes are reported in loans and advances to customers. The maximum exposure to loss is the carrying amount of the notes.
21 Interests in associates and joint ventures
Associates
At 31 December 2013, the carrying amount of HSBC's interests in associates was US$16,417m (2012: US$17,523m).
Principal associates of HSBC
|
At 31 December 2013 |
|
At 31 December 2012 |
||||
|
Carrying |
|
Fair value1 |
|
Carrying |
|
Fair value1 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Listed |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bank of Communications Co., Limited .............................. |
13,412 |
|
9,954 |
|
11,770 |
|
10,633 |
Industrial Bank Co., Limited .............................................. |
- |
|
- |
|
2,851 |
|
3,665 |
The Saudi British Bank ....................................................... |
2,437 |
|
4,693 |
|
2,135 |
|
3,189 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15,849 |
|
14,647 |
|
16,756 |
|
17,487 |
1 Principal associates are listed on recognised stock exchanges. The fair values are based on the quoted market prices of the shares held (Level 1 in the fair value hierarchy).
|
At 31 December 2013 |
||||||
|
Country of incorporation and principal place of business |
|
Principal activity |
|
HSBC's interest in equity capital |
|
Issued equity capital |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bank of Communications Co., Limited .............................. |
PRC1 |
|
Banking services |
|
19.03% |
|
RMB74,263m |
The Saudi British Bank ....................................................... |
Saudi Arabia |
|
Banking services |
|
40.00% |
|
SR10,000m |
1 People's Republic of China.
Details of all HSBC associates and joint ventures, as required under Section 409 of the Companies Act 2006, will be annexed to the next Annual Return of HSBC Holdings filed with the UK Registrar of Companies.
HSBC had US$13,412m (2012: US$11,770m) of interests in associates listed in Hong Kong.
HSBC's interest in Industrial Bank Co., Limited ('Industrial Bank') was equity accounted with effect from May 2004. HSBC's significant influence was established as a result of representation on Industrial Bank's Board of Directors. In January 2013, Industrial Bank completed a private placement of additional share capital to a number of third parties which diluted HSBC's equity holding from 12.8% to 10.9%. As a result of this and other factors, HSBC is no longer in a position to exercise significant influence over Industrial Bank and ceased to account for the interest as an associate from that date, giving rise to a gain of US$1.1bn recognised in other operating income. Thereafter, the holding was recognised as an available-for-sale financial investment.
Bank of Communications Co., Limited ('BoCom')
HSBC's investment in BoCom was equity accounted with effect from August 2004. HSBC's significant influence in BoCom was established as a result of representation on the Board of Directors and, in accordance with the Technical Cooperation and Exchange Programme, HSBC is assisting in the maintenance of financial and operating policies and a number of staff have been seconded to assist in this process.
Impairment testing
As at 31 December 2013, the fair value of HSBC's investment in BoCom had been below the carrying amount for approximately 20 months, apart from a short period in 2013. As a result, we performed an impairment test on the carrying amount of the investment in BoCom. The test confirmed that there was no impairment as at 31 December 2013.
Basis of recoverable amount
The impairment test was performed by comparing the recoverable amount of BoCom, determined by a value-in-use ('VIU') calculation, with its carrying amount. The VIU calculation used discounted cash flow projections based on management's estimates. Cash flows beyond the short to medium-term were then extrapolated in perpetuity using a long-term growth rate. Management judgement is required in estimating the future cash flows of BoCom. The projected values are particularly sensitive to the following key assumptions.
Key assumptions in VIU calculation
Long-term growth rate: the growth rate is 5% for periods after 2018 and does not exceed forecast GDP growth in China.
Discount rate: the discount rate of 13% is derived from a range of values obtained by applying a Capital Asset Pricing Model ('CAPM') calculation for BoCom, using market data. Management supplements this by comparing the rates derived from the CAPM with discount rates available from external sources, and HSBC's discount rate for evaluating investments in mainland China. The discount rate used is within the range of 10.5% to 15% indicated by the CAPM and external sources.
Loan impairment charge as a percentage of customer advances: the ratio used increases from 0.64% to 1% in the short to medium term. The long-term ratio is assumed to revert to a historical rate of 0.64%. The rates are within the medium-term range forecast of 0.55% and 1.20% used by external analysts.
Management's judgement in estimating the VIU
In 2013, the impairment testing model for BoCom was changed to reflect the expected regulatory impact on cash flow projections. The changes reduced the projected available cash flows by including a regulatory cap on the loan-to-deposit ratio and by retaining a proportion of cash flows to maintain capital ratio requirements above the expected regulatory minima. If these changes had been made as at 31 December 2012, the VIU would still have been above the carrying amount as at that date.
VIU was US$14bn, or US$0.6bn ('headroom') in excess of the carrying amount of the investment in BoCom of US$13.4bn as at 31 December 2013. The carrying amount increased by US$1.6bn during 2013. At the point where the carrying amount exceeds the value in use, the carrying amount would be reduced to equal value in use, with a corresponding reduction in income, unless the market value has increased to a level above the carrying amount.
Sensitivity analyses were performed on each key assumption to ascertain the impact of reasonably possible changes in assumptions. The following changes to the key assumptions used in the VIU calculation would be necessary to reduce headroom to nil:
Key assumption Change to key assumption to reduce headroom to nil
Discount rate Increase by 20 basis points
Long-term growth rate Decrease by 23 basis points
Loan impairment charge as a percentage of customer advances Increase by 0.12% in each of the years from 2013 to 2018 respectively
The following illustrates the impact on VIU of reasonably possible changes to key assumptions:
|
Favourable change |
|
Current model |
|
Unfavourable change |
||
|
US$bn |
US$bn |
|
US$bn |
|
US$bn |
US$bn |
Carrying value |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Long-term growth rate (basis points) ............................... |
+50 |
+100 |
|
5% |
|
-50 |
-100 |
VIU ............................................................................. |
15.4 |
16.9 |
|
14.0 |
|
12.9 |
11.8 |
Increase/(decrease) in VIU ........................................... |
1.4 |
2.9 |
|
|
|
(1.1) |
(2.2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Discount rate (basis points) ............................................. |
-50 |
-100 |
|
13% |
|
+50 |
+100 |
VIU ............................................................................. |
15.6 |
17.3 |
|
14.0 |
|
12.7 |
11.6 |
Increase/(decrease) in VIU ........................................... |
1.6 |
3.3 |
|
|
|
(1.3) |
(2.4) |
|
|
|
2013 to 2018: 0.64% to 1% 2019 onwards 0.64% |
|
|
||
Loan impairment charge as a percentage of customer advances .......................................................................... |
0.64% throughout |
|
|
1% from 2014 to 2018 |
|||
VIU ............................................................................. |
14.8 |
|
14.0 |
|
13.5 |
||
Increase/(decrease) in VIU ........................................... |
0.8 |
|
|
|
(0.5) |
Selected financial information of BoCom
The statutory accounting reference date of BoCom is 31 December. For the year ended 31 December 2013, HSBC included the associate's results on the basis of financial statements made up for the 12 months to 30 September 2013, taking into account changes in the subsequent period from 1 October 2013 to 31 December 2013 that would have materially affected the results. BoCom's results announcements for the nine months ended 30 September formed the bases for the 12 month financial statements which include adjustments made by HSBC when applying equity accounting.
|
At 2013 |
|
At 2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Selected balance sheet information of BoCom |
|
|
|
Cash and balances at central banks .......................................................................................... |
142,209 |
|
131,044 |
Loans and advances to banks and other financial institutions .................................................. |
88,049 |
|
82,042 |
Loans and advances to customers ............................................................................................ |
516,161 |
|
445,958 |
Other financial assets .............................................................................................................. |
165,521 |
|
138,283 |
Other assets ............................................................................................................................ |
34,392 |
|
25,997 |
|
|
|
|
Total assets ............................................................................................................................. |
946,332 |
|
823,324 |
|
|
|
|
Deposits by banks and other financial institutions ................................................................... |
170,916 |
|
151,147 |
Customer accounts .................................................................................................................. |
667,588 |
|
579,158 |
Other financial liabilities ......................................................................................................... |
20,564 |
|
16,177 |
Other liabilities ....................................................................................................................... |
19,655 |
|
18,072 |
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities ........................................................................................................................ |
878,723 |
|
764,554 |
|
|
|
|
Total equity ............................................................................................................................ |
67,609 |
|
58,770 |
|
|
|
|
Reconciliation of BoCom's total shareholders' equity to the carrying amount in HSBC's consolidated financial statements as at 31 December 2013 |
|
|
|
HSBC's share of total shareholders' equity .............................................................................. |
12,810 |
|
11,142 |
Add: Goodwill .......................................................................................................................... |
541 |
|
524 |
Add: Intangible assets .............................................................................................................. |
61 |
|
104 |
|
|
|
|
Carrying amount ..................................................................................................................... |
13,412 |
|
11,770 |
|
For the 12 months ended 30 September |
||
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Selected income statement information of BoCom |
|
|
|
Net interest income ................................................................................................................ |
20,768 |
|
18,404 |
Net fee and commission income .............................................................................................. |
4,010 |
|
3,118 |
Loan impairment charges ........................................................................................................ |
(2,811) |
|
(2,153) |
Depreciation and amortisation ................................................................................................ |
(809) |
|
(689) |
Tax expense ........................................................................................................................... |
(2,823) |
|
(2,618) |
Profit for the year .................................................................................................................. |
10,099 |
|
9,002 |
Other comprehensive income ................................................................................................. |
(375) |
|
250 |
Total comprehensive income .................................................................................................. |
9,724 |
|
9,264 |
Dividends received from BoCom ............................................................................................. |
549 |
|
188 |
Summarised aggregate financial information in respect of all associates excluding BoCom
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
|
|
|
Carrying amount ..................................................................................................................... |
3,005 |
|
5,753 |
|
|
|
|
HSBC's share of: |
|
|
|
- total assets .......................................................................................................................... |
21,007 |
|
80,659 |
- total liabilities ..................................................................................................................... |
18,056 |
|
74,960 |
- revenues .............................................................................................................................. |
927 |
|
9,825 |
- profit or loss from continuing operations ............................................................................ |
408 |
|
1,851 |
- other comprehensive income .............................................................................................. |
9 |
|
243 |
- total comprehensive income ............................................................................................... |
417 |
|
2,094 |
Joint ventures
At 31 December 2013, the carrying amount of HSBC's interests in joint ventures was US$223m (2012: US$311m).
Principal joint ventures of HSBC
|
2013 |
||||||
|
Country of incorporation and principal place of business |
|
Principal activity |
|
HSBC's interest in equity capital |
|
Issued equity capital |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HSBC Saudi Arabia Limited ................................................ |
Saudi Arabia |
|
Investment banking |
|
49.00% |
|
SR500m |
Vaultex UK Limited ........................................................... |
England |
|
Cash management |
|
50.00% |
|
£10m |
Summarised aggregate financial information in respect of all joint ventures
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
|
|
|
Carrying amount ..................................................................................................................... |
223 |
|
311 |
|
|
|
|
HSBC's share of: |
|
|
|
- total assets .......................................................................................................................... |
734 |
|
2,166 |
- total liabilities ..................................................................................................................... |
526 |
|
1,885 |
- revenues .............................................................................................................................. |
251 |
|
347 |
- profit or loss from continuing operation ............................................................................. |
39 |
|
36 |
- other comprehensive income .............................................................................................. |
- |
|
3 |
- total comprehensive income ............................................................................................... |
39 |
|
39 |
Associates and joint ventures
For the year ended 31 December 2013, HSBC's share of associates and joint ventures' tax on profit was US$556m (2012: US$959m), which is included within 'Share of profit in associates and joint ventures' in the income statement.
Movements in interests in associates and joint ventures
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
|
|
|
At 1 January ........................................................................................................................... |
17,834 |
|
20,399 |
Additions ................................................................................................................................ |
26 |
|
1,804 |
Disposals ................................................................................................................................. |
(3,148) |
|
(7,580) |
Share of results ........................................................................................................................ |
2,325 |
|
3,557 |
Dividends ................................................................................................................................ |
(694) |
|
(489) |
Exchange differences .............................................................................................................. |
396 |
|
60 |
Share of other comprehensive income/(expense) of associates and joint ventures ................... |
(35) |
|
311 |
Other movements ................................................................................................................... |
(64) |
|
(228) |
|
|
|
|
At 31 December ...................................................................................................................... |
16,640 |
|
17,834 |
Goodwill included in carrying amount of associates and joint ventures
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Gross amount |
|
|
|
At 1 January ........................................................................................................................... |
670 |
|
1,551 |
Disposals ................................................................................................................................. |
(75) |
|
(874) |
Exchange differences .............................................................................................................. |
13 |
|
3 |
Other changes ......................................................................................................................... |
- |
|
(10) |
|
|
|
|
At 31 December1 .................................................................................................................... |
608 |
|
670 |
1 Includes the carrying amount of goodwill arising from joint ventures of US$15m (2012: US$30m).
22 Goodwill and intangible assets
|
At 31 December |
||
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
|
|
|
Goodwill .................................................................................................................................. |
21,179 |
|
21,390 |
Present value of in-force long-term insurance business ('PVIF') .............................................. |
5,335 |
|
4,847 |
Other intangible assets ............................................................................................................ |
3,404 |
|
3,616 |
|
|
|
|
|
29,918 |
|
29,853 |
Goodwill
Reconciliation of goodwill
|
Europe |
|
Hong |
|
Rest of Pacific |
|
MENA |
|
North America |
|
Latin America |
|
Total |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Gross amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 1 January 2013 ................ |
14,660 |
|
114 |
|
1,020 |
|
60 |
|
8,339 |
|
3,646 |
|
27,839 |
Disposals .............................. |
− |
|
− |
|
− |
|
− |
|
− |
|
(1) |
|
(1) |
Exchange differences ............ |
596 |
|
6 |
|
(135) |
|
(5) |
|
(2) |
|
(132) |
|
328 |
Reclassified to held for sale1 . |
(611) |
|
− |
|
− |
|
− |
|
− |
|
(272) |
|
(883) |
Reinstated from held for sale |
332 |
|
− |
|
− |
|
− |
|
− |
|
− |
|
332 |
Other ................................... |
− |
|
− |
|
11 |
|
− |
|
(476) |
|
− |
|
(465) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2013 .......... |
14,977 |
|
120 |
|
896 |
|
55 |
|
7,861 |
|
3,241 |
|
27,150 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Accumulated impairment losses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 1 January 2013 ................ |
− |
|
− |
|
− |
|
− |
|
(6,449) |
|
− |
|
(6,449) |
Exchange differences ............ |
− |
|
− |
|
− |
|
− |
|
2 |
|
− |
|
2 |
Other ................................... |
− |
|
− |
|
− |
|
− |
|
476 |
|
− |
|
476 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2013 .......... |
− |
|
− |
|
− |
|
− |
|
(5,971) |
|
− |
|
(5,971) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net carrying amount at |
14,977 |
|
120 |
|
896 |
|
55 |
|
1,890 |
|
3,241 |
|
21,179 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 1 January 2012 ................ |
14,433 |
|
124 |
|
1,063 |
|
63 |
|
8,747 |
|
3,765 |
|
28,195 |
Disposals .............................. |
(2) |
|
(4) |
|
(5) |
|
- |
|
- |
|
(21) |
|
(32) |
Exchange differences ............ |
229 |
|
(6) |
|
(38) |
|
(3) |
|
- |
|
23 |
|
205 |
Reclassified to held for sale ... |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
(408) |
|
(121) |
|
(529) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2012 .......... |
14,660 |
|
114 |
|
1,020 |
|
60 |
|
8,339 |
|
3,646 |
|
27,839 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Accumulated impairment losses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 1 January 2012 ................ |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
(6,857) |
|
- |
|
(6,857) |
Reclassified to held for sale ... |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
408 |
|
- |
|
408 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2012 .......... |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
(6,449) |
|
- |
|
(6,449) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net carrying amount at |
14,660 |
|
114 |
|
1,020 |
|
60 |
|
1,890 |
|
3,646 |
|
21,390 |
1 During the year, goodwill in Europe amounting to US$611m was reclassified to assets held for sale following the decision to sell the private banking operations of HSBC Private Bank Holdings (Suisse) SA. On transfer to held for sale, a write down of the disposal group by US$279m was recorded and allocated to goodwill. Following the later decision to retain the private banking operations in Monaco, the reclassification of the private banking operations in Monaco out of held for sale resulted in the reinstatement of the remaining goodwill.
Impairment testing
Timing of impairment testing
HSBC's impairment test in respect of goodwill allocated to each cash-generating unit ('CGU') is performed as at 1 July each year. In line with the accounting policy described in Note 2(p), goodwill is also retested for impairment whenever there is an indication that it may be impaired. For the purpose of impairment testing, the Group's CGUs are based on geographical regions subdivided by global businesses. The CGUs represent the lowest level at which goodwill is monitored for internal management purposes. For the Global Private Banking - Europe CGU, reduced forecast cash flows in management's latest approved plan was an indicator of goodwill impairment leading to a retest at 31 December 2013.For other CGUs there was no indication of impairment in the period to 31 December 2013 and therefore goodwill has not been retested since 1 July 2013.
Basis of the recoverable amount - value in use or fair value less costs to sell
The recoverable amount of all CGUs to which goodwill has been allocated was equal to its value in use ('VIU') at each respective testing date for 2012 and 2013.
For each significant CGU, the VIU is calculated by discounting management's cash flow projections for the CGU. The discount rate used is based on the cost of capital HSBC allocates to investments in the countries within which the CGU operates. The long-term growth rate is used to extrapolate the cash flows in perpetuity because of the long-term perspective within the Group of the business units making up the CGUs. For the goodwill impairment test conducted at 1 July 2013, management's cash flow projections until the end of 2017 were used. For the retest of goodwill impairment for the Global Private Banking - Europe CGU at 31 December 2013, management's cash flow projections until the end of 2018 were used.
Key assumptions in VIU calculation and management's approach to determining the values assigned to each key assumption
|
Goodwill at 1 July 2013 |
|
Discount |
|
Nominal growth rate beyond initial projections |
|
US$m |
|
% |
|
% |
2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
Cash-generating unit |
|
|
|
|
|
Retail Banking and Wealth Management - Europe ....................................... |
4,135 |
|
8.0 |
|
3.9 |
Commercial Banking - Europe ..................................................................... |
3,062 |
|
10.0 |
|
3.8 |
Global Private Banking - Europe .................................................................. |
3,607 |
|
7.3 |
|
3.0 |
Global Banking and Markets - Europe .......................................................... |
3,101 |
|
9.9 |
|
3.7 |
Retail Banking and Wealth Management - Latin America ............................ |
1,812 |
|
11.2 |
|
8.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15,717 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.0
|
|
|
|
2012 |
|
|
|
|
|
Cash-generating unit |
|
|
|
|
|
Retail Banking and Wealth Management - Europe ....................................... |
4,054 |
|
10.0 |
|
3.9 |
Commercial Banking - Europe ..................................................................... |
2,968 |
|
10.2 |
|
3.7 |
Global Private Banking - Europe .................................................................. |
4,139 |
|
9.1 |
|
3.2 |
Global Banking and Markets - Europe .......................................................... |
3,016 |
|
10.2 |
|
3.5 |
Retail Banking and Wealth Management - Latin America ............................ |
1,994 |
|
15.3 |
|
8.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16,171 |
|
|
|
|
At 1 July 2013, aggregate goodwill of US$4,550m (1 July 2012: US$4,741m) had been allocated to CGUs that were not considered individually significant. The Group CGUs do not carry on their balance sheets any significant intangible assets with indefinite useful lives, other than goodwill.
Nominal long-term growth rate: this growth rate reflects GDP and inflation for the countries within which the CGU operates. The rates are based on IMF forecast growth rates as these rates are regarded as the most relevant estimate of likely future trends. The rates used for 2013 and 2012 do not exceed the long-term growth rate for the countries within which the CGU operates.
Discount rate: the discount rate used to discount the cash flows is based on the cost of capital assigned to each CGU, which is derived using a CAPM. The CAPM depends on inputs reflecting a number of financial and economic variables including the risk-free rate and a premium to reflect the inherent risk of the business being evaluated. These variables are based on the market's assessment of the economic variables and management's judgement. In addition, for the purposes of testing goodwill for impairment, management supplements this process by comparing the discount rates derived using the internally generated CAPM with cost of capital rates produced by external sources. HSBC uses externally-sourced cost of capital rates where, in management's judgement, those rates reflect more accurately the current market and economic conditions. For 2013 and 2012, internal costs of capital rates were consistent with externally-sourced rates.
Management's judgement in estimating the cash flows of a CGU: the cash flow projections for each CGU are based on plans approved by the Group Management Board. The key assumptions in addition to the discount rate and nominal long-term growth rate for each significant CGU are discussed below.
Global Private Banking - Europe: the cash flow forecast for GBP - Europe primarily reflects the repositioning of the business that is underway to concentrate on clients aligned with the Group's priorities. Revenues in GPB - Europe are predominately generated through HSBC's client relationships and the key assumption in the cash flow forecast is the level of assets under management and profitability therein following the strategic repositioning. The cash flow forecast includes increased profitability in GPB - Europe which is dependent on management achieving the planned strategic repositioning.
At 1 July 2013, GPB - Europe had an excess of recoverable amount over carrying amount ('headroom') of US$4.5bn. At 31 December 2013, headroom was US$0.4bn based on goodwill at that point of US$4.1bn. The change in goodwill carrying value between 1 July 2013 and 31 December 2013 arises from the partial reinstatement of goodwill classified as held for sale at 1 July 2013 as well as retranslating goodwill into the presentation currency of the group. For the test of goodwill impairment at 31 December 2013 for GPB - Europe, in addition to updated cash flow forecasts the nominal long-term growth rate was updated to 3.3% and the discount rate updated to 7.6%.
The following changes to the key assumptions used in the value in use calculation would be necessary in order to reduce headroom to nil:
Key assumption |
Change to key assumption to reduce headroom to nil |
Discount rate |
Increase by 23 basis points |
Nominal growth rate beyond initial cash flow projection |
Decrease by 27 basis points |
Cash flow projection over the forecast period |
Decrease by 5.2% |
Retail Banking and Wealth Management - Europe and Commercial Banking - Europe: the assumptions included in the cash flow projections for RBWM - Europe and CMB - Europe reflect the economic environment and financial outlook of the European countries within these two CGUs. Key assumptions include the level of interest rates, nominal GDP growth, competitors' positions within the market and the level and change in unemployment rates. While current economic conditions in Europe continue to be challenging, management's cash flow projections are based primarily on these prevailing conditions. Risks include slower than expected growth and an uncertain regulatory environment. RBWM - Europe specifically, is sensitive to further customer remediation and regulatory actions. Based on the conditions at the balance sheet date, management determined that a reasonably possible change in any of the key assumptions described above would not cause an impairment to be recognised in respect of RBWM - Europe or CMB - Europe.
Global Banking and Markets - Europe: the key assumption included in the cash flow projection for GB&M - Europe is that European markets will continue to recover during 2014. Accordingly, recovery in European revenues is assumed to continue over the projection period to 2017. Interest rate fluctuations would put further pressure on European markets revenue recovery. Our ability to achieve the forecast cash flows for GB&M - Europe could be adversely impacted by regulatory change during the forecast period including but not limited to the extent that the recommendations set out in the Final Report by the Independent Commission on Banking are implemented. Based on the conditions at the balance sheet date, management determined that a reasonably possible change in any of the key assumptions described above would not cause an impairment to be recognised in respect of GB&M - Europe.
Retail Banking and Wealth Management - Latin America: the assumptions included in the cash flow projections for RBWM - Latin America reflect the economic environment and financial outlook of the countries within this
CGU, with Brazil and Mexico being the two largest. Key assumptions include growth in lending and deposit volumes and the credit quality of the loan portfolios. Mexico in particular is sensitive to economic conditions in the US which could constrain demand. Potential challenges include unfavourable economic conditions restricting client demand and competitor pricing constraining margins. Based on the conditions at the balance sheet date, management determined that a reasonably possible change in any of the key assumptions described above would not cause an impairment to be recognised in respect of RBWM - Latin America.
Present value of in-force long-term insurance business ('PVIF')
Our life insurance business is accounted for using the embedded value approach which, inter alia, provides a risk and valuation framework. The PVIF asset at 31 December 2013 was US$5.3bn (2012: US$4.8bn), representing the present value of the equity holders' interest in the issuing insurance companies' profits expected to emerge from long-term insurance business and the long-term investment contracts with DPF in force at the balance sheet date.
Movements in PVIF
(Audited)
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
PVIF |
|
PVIF |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
|
|
|
At 1 January ........................................................................................................................... |
4,847 |
|
4,092 |
|
|
|
|
Value of new business written during the year1 ......................................................................... |
924 |
|
1,027 |
Movements arising from in-force business: |
|
|
|
- expected return ................................................................................................................ |
(505) |
|
(420) |
- experience variances2 ....................................................................................................... |
(20) |
|
12 |
- changes in operating assumptions ..................................................................................... |
186 |
|
(3) |
Investment return variances .................................................................................................... |
42 |
|
(18) |
Changes in investment assumptions ........................................................................................ |
(120) |
|
78 |
Other adjustments3 .................................................................................................................. |
18 |
|
61 |
|
|
|
|
Change in PVIF of long-term insurance business ...................................................................... |
525 |
|
737 |
|
|
|
|
Exchange differences and other ............................................................................................... |
(37) |
|
18 |
|
|
|
|
At 31 December ...................................................................................................................... |
5,335 |
|
4,847 |
1 Value of net new business during the year is the present value of the projected stream of profits from the business.
2 Experience variances include the effect of the difference between demographic, expense and persistency assumptions used in the previous PVIF calculation and actual experience observed during the year to the extent this affects profits on future business.
3 Other adjustments for 2012 included a one-off gain of US$119m for a PVIF asset recognised on linked insurance business in Brazil.
In the PVIF calculation, expected cash flows are projected after adjusting for a variety of assumptions made by each insurance operation to reflect local market conditions and management's judgement of future trends, and after applying risk margins to reflect any uncertainty in the underlying assumptions. The main assumptions relate to economic and non-economic assumptions and policyholder behaviour. Variations in actual experience and changes to assumptions can contribute to volatility in the results of the insurance business.
The key drivers of the movement in the value of the PVIF asset are the expected cash flows from:
· new business adjusted for anticipated maturities and assumptions relating to policyholder behaviour ('Value of new business written during the year');
· unwind of the discount rate less the reversal of expected cash flows for the period ('Expected return');
· changes in non-economic operating assumptions such as mortality or lapse rates ('Change in operating assumptions');
· the effects of changes in projected future cash flows associated with operating assumption experience variances compared with those assumed at the start of the period ('Experience variances');
· changes related to future investment returns ('Changes in investment assumptions'); and
· the effect of actual investment experience on existing assets compared with the assumptions at the start of the period ('Investment return variances').
The valuation of the PVIF asset includes explicit risk margins for non-economic risks in the projection assumptions and explicit allowances for financial options and guarantees using stochastic methods. Risk discount rates are set on an active basis with reference to market risk-free yields.
Key assumptions used in the computation of PVIF for main life insurance operations
Economic assumptions are set in each country in a way that is consistent with observable market values where deep and liquid markets exist. When economic assumptions are set for a term that is beyond the observable range or the observable values are not appropriate with regard to the nature and term of liabilities, we use relevant historical data and research analyses performed by the Group's Economic Research team and internationally reputable consultants in deriving the assumptions.
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
||||||||
|
UK |
|
Hong Kong |
|
France |
|
UK |
|
HongKong |
|
France |
|
% |
|
% |
|
% |
|
% |
|
% |
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk free rate ............................................... |
2.45 |
|
2.31 |
|
2.38 |
|
1.53 |
|
0.60 |
|
2.12 |
Risk discount rate ........................................ |
2.95 |
|
7.41 |
|
4.69 |
|
2.03 |
|
7.46 |
|
4.05 |
Expense inflation ........................................ |
3.39 |
|
3.00 |
|
2.00 |
|
2.84 |
|
3.00 |
|
2.00 |
Sensitivity to changes in economic assumptions
The Group sets the risk discount rate applied to the PVIF calculation by starting from an observed risk-free rate curve and adding explicit allowances for risks not reflected in the best estimate cash flow modelling. Where shareholders provide guarantees and options to policyholders the cost of these options and guarantees is an explicit reduction to PVIF, unless it is already allowed for as an explicit addition to the technical provisions required by regulators. See page 254 for further details of these guarantees.
The following table shows the effect on the PVIF of reasonably possible changes in the main economic assumption, risk-free rates, across all insurance manufacturing subsidiaries. Due to certain characteristics of the contracts, the relationships are non-linear and the results of the sensitivity testing should not be extrapolated to higher levels of stress. The sensitivities shown are before actions that could be taken by management to mitigate effects and before resultant changes in policyholder behaviour.
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Effect on PVIF at 31 December of: |
|
|
|
+ 100 basis point shift in risk-free rate .................................................................................... |
184 |
|
137 |
- 100 basis point shift in risk-free rate .................................................................................... |
(289) |
|
(191) |
Sensitivity to changes in non-economic assumptions
Policyholder liabilities and PVIF for life manufacturers are determined by reference to non-economic assumptions including mortality and/or morbidity, lapse rates and expense rates. The table below shows the sensitivity of PVIF to reasonably possible changes in these non-economic assumptions at that date across all our insurance manufacturing subsidiaries.
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Effect on PVIF at 31 December of: |
|
|
|
10% increase in mortality and/or morbidity rates .................................................................... |
(84) |
|
(115) |
10% decrease in mortality and/or morbidity rates .................................................................... |
84 |
|
111 |
10% increase in lapse rates ...................................................................................................... |
(154) |
|
(156) |
10% decrease in lapse rates ..................................................................................................... |
173 |
|
178 |
10% increase in expense rates ................................................................................................. |
(109) |
|
(114) |
10% decrease in expense rates ................................................................................................. |
110 |
|
114 |
Other intangible assets
Movement of intangible assets excluding goodwill and the PVIF
|
Internally generated software |
|
Other |
|
Total |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
|
US$m |
Cost |
|
|
|
|
|
At 1 January 2013 ..................................................................................... |
5,703 |
|
3,345 |
|
9,048 |
Additions ................................................................................................... |
731 |
|
142 |
|
873 |
Disposals ................................................................................................... |
(117) |
|
(196) |
|
(313) |
Amount written off ................................................................................... |
(57) |
|
(47) |
|
(104) |
Other changes ........................................................................................... |
(261) |
|
(269) |
|
(530) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2013 ............................................................................... |
5,999 |
|
2,975 |
|
8,974 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Accumulated amortisation |
|
|
|
|
|
At 1 January 2013 ..................................................................................... |
(3,469) |
|
(1,963) |
|
(5,432) |
Charge for the year1 .................................................................................. |
(675) |
|
(179) |
|
(854) |
Impairment ............................................................................................... |
(39) |
|
(4) |
|
(43) |
Disposals ................................................................................................... |
111 |
|
167 |
|
278 |
Amount written off ................................................................................... |
57 |
|
47 |
|
104 |
Other changes ........................................................................................... |
206 |
|
171 |
|
377 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2013 ............................................................................... |
(3,809) |
|
(1,761) |
|
(5,570) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net carrying amount at |
2,190 |
|
1,214 |
|
3,404 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cost |
|
|
|
|
|
At 1 January 2012 ..................................................................................... |
5,598 |
|
3,315 |
|
8,913 |
Additions ................................................................................................... |
765 |
|
277 |
|
1,042 |
Disposals ................................................................................................... |
(32) |
|
(189) |
|
(221) |
Amount written off ................................................................................... |
(680) |
|
(60) |
|
(740) |
Other changes ........................................................................................... |
52 |
|
2 |
|
54 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2012 ............................................................................... |
5,703 |
|
3,345 |
|
9,048 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Accumulated amortisation |
|
|
|
|
|
At 1 January 2012 ..................................................................................... |
(3,437) |
|
(1,872) |
|
(5,309) |
Charge for the year1 .................................................................................. |
(645) |
|
(334) |
|
(979) |
Impairment ............................................................................................... |
(63) |
|
(5) |
|
(68) |
Disposals ................................................................................................... |
28 |
|
183 |
|
211 |
Amount written off ................................................................................... |
680 |
|
60 |
|
740 |
Other changes ........................................................................................... |
(32) |
|
5 |
|
(27) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
At 31 December 2012 ............................................................................... |
(3,469) |
|
(1,963) |
|
(5,432) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net carrying amount at 31 December 2012 ............................................... |
2,234 |
|
1,382 |
|
3,616 |
1 The amortisation charge for the year is recognised within the income statement under 'Amortisation and impairment of intangible assets', with the exception of the amortisation of mortgage servicing rights which is recognised in 'Net fee income'. The revaluation net of amortisation charge for mortgage servicing rights was a credit of US$34m in 2013 (2012: amortisation charge of US$78m).