India Capital Growth Fund Limited
07 January 2009
India Capital Growth Fund Limited (the 'Company' or 'ICGF')
31 December 2008 NAV Statement
Net Asset Values
The Company announces its net asset values per share as at 31 December 2008:
Net asset value per share - undiluted 42.87 p
Net asset value per share - fully diluted 42.87 p
Update
NAV for the month was up 12.5%, helped by an 8.9% appreciation of the Rupee against Sterling. The BSE Sensex was up 6.1% and the BSE Small Cap Index was up 11.5% on the month. Most of the holdings in the portfolio registered useful gains in the month, although performance was held back by declines in the share price in three of the larger holdings. For the year to 31 December 2008 as a whole, NAV fell 73.9%, while the BSE Sensex fell by 52.4%, the BSE Small Cap Index fell by 72.4% and the Rupee appreciated 11.1% against Sterling.
Indian equities were among the worst performers worldwide in 2008 and India was the third worst performing emerging market in 2008 (after Russia and Pakistan). However Indian GDP growth at 7.6% year-on-year for the quarter ended 30 September 2008 was still one of the best worldwide.
After seven months of being net sellers in the market, FIIs turned net buyers of USD 433.5 million in December. This was against a background of a continued fall in inflation (wholesale price inflation fell to 6.38% for the week ending 20 Dec 2008), and lower interest rates (the Reserve Bank cut the repo rate to 5.5%, the reverse repo rate to 4% and the 10 year Government Bond yield ended the year at a 5.56%, a 5 year low). While 2009 may also be a difficult year (industrial production and exports have been falling), lower interest rates and substantially lower commodity prices including oil are expected to help the Indian economy later in the year.
The strategy throughout the year has been to support existing investee companies which we believe have an attractive future and not to sell in panic. Even so, fundamental company analysis has meant little in an extraordinarily volatile market dominated by pressures on forced sellers and the flight of FIIs. While the NAV fall has been dramatic, we believe that current valuations are extremely attractive and that once markets stabilise investee companies' underlying performance should once again be reflected in their share prices.
In the month of December the Company continued to buy into existing investments where we believe the valuations to be most attractive, using cash generated by selling out of a few other holdings, including a complete exit from one holding.
The net cash as on 31 December was GBP 3.2 mn, 10.1% of the portfolio.
Analysis of holdings at 31 December 2008
Sector Summary |
No. of Companies |
% of Portfolio |
Textiles |
2 |
14.7% |
Financial Services |
3 |
14.5% |
Pharmaceutical services and packaging |
1 |
11.2% |
Transportation |
2 |
11.0% |
Media |
2 |
9.4% |
IT |
3 |
6.8% |
Process controls |
1 |
6.6% |
Housing & Construction |
4 |
4.3% |
Offshore oil & gas services |
1 |
3.4% |
Hotels |
1 |
3.2% |
Engineering / Manufacturing |
2 |
2.6% |
Others |
2 |
2.2% |
Total investments |
24 |
89.9% |
Net Cash |
|
10.1% |
Total Portfolio |
|
100% |
Top 10 holdings at 31 December 2008
Holding |
Sector |
% of Portfolio |
Bilcare |
Pharma Packaging |
11.2% |
Marwadi Shares and Finance |
Financial Services |
9.5% |
S. Kumars Nationwide |
Textiles |
9.5% |
Varun Shipping |
Transport |
8.0% |
ICSA India |
Process Controls |
6.6% |
Prime Focus |
Media |
5.2% |
Grabal Alok Impex |
Textiles |
5.2% |
Logix Microsystems |
IT |
5.0% |
IOL Netcom |
Media |
4.2% |
Great Offshore |
Offshore Oil and Gas Services |
3.4% |
Portfolio breakdown by size at 31 December 2008
Size |
No. of Companies |
% of Portfolio |
Small Cap |
21 |
79.6% |
Unlisted |
3 |
10.3% |
Cash |
|
10.1% |
Total |
|
100.0% |