6 June 2013
India Capital Growth Fund Limited (the "Company" or "ICGF")
Net Asset Value statement as at 31 May 2013
Net Asset Value
The Company announces its Net Asset Value per share as at 31 May 2013 was 50.77 pence.
In May the Net Asset Value (NAV) was down 0.5% in Sterling terms, whilst the BSE Mid Cap Index was down 1.6%, delivering an outperformance against the notional benchmark of 1.1% in Sterling terms. Against Ocean Dial's Composite Index, the portfolio delivered an outperformance of 1.2%.
Portfolio update
Positive contributors to the portfolio's performance came from Jyothy Laboratories (up 15.5%), Eicher Motors (up 25.1%) and Kajaria Ceramics (up 19.4%), whilst negative attribution came from Indian Bank (down 16.5%), Jammu & Kashmir Bank (down 10.2%) and Divi's Laboratories (down 9.0%).
Market and economic update
In spite of strong equity inflows of USD4bn into the market this month, the Rupee fell to 56 against the US Dollar on the back of further deterioration in the trade deficit, rumours that the Central Bank was rebuilding foreign exchange reserves and global macro concerns.
GDP growth was reported at 4.8% for the fiscal quarter ending March 2013 and at 5% for the full year, the lowest level for a decade. Closer inspection of the numbers suggests that the deterioration in growth in the manufacturing sector has bottomed, whilst the services sector, which had been slowing, is now stabilising. Looking forward we expect a modest recovery in GDP growth, close to 6% for next year. On a more positive note, inflation pressures continued to ease as wholesale inflation fell to 4.9% and core inflation eased to 2.7% which is below RBI's target. Importantly consumer inflation is also now falling as input prices fall and demand pressure eases, thereby increasing expectations of additional interest rate easing.
The corporate results season ended with the Consumer, Pharmaceutical, IT and Telecom sectors reporting earnings which modestly beat low expectations. In contrast the more cyclical sectors, Capital Goods, Infrastructure and Materials in particular continued to disappoint. Private Sector Banks beat guidance as opposed to their public sector peers whose results were lacklustre at best.
Portfolio analysis by sector as at 31 May 2013
Sector |
No. of Companies |
% of Portfolio |
Financials |
11 |
30.0% |
Industrials |
6 |
16.4% |
Consumer Discretionary |
4 |
13.5% |
Consumer Staples |
3 |
11.8% |
Health Care |
3 |
9.3% |
Information Technology |
3 |
5.0% |
Energy |
2 |
3.9% |
Telecommunication Services |
1 |
3.2% |
Materials |
2 |
1.5% |
Total Equity Investment |
35 |
94.7% |
Net Cash |
|
5.3% |
Total Portfolio |
|
100.0% |
|
|
|
Top 20 holdings as at 31 May 2013
Holding |
Sector |
% of Portfolio |
Jyothy Laboratories |
Consumer Staples |
6.5% |
Federal Bank |
Financials |
5.1% |
Yes Bank |
Financials |
4.1% |
Lupin |
Health Care |
3.9% |
Kajaria Ceramics |
Consumer Discretionary |
3.7% |
KPIT Cummins Infosystems |
IT |
3.7% |
Dish TV India |
Consumer Discretionary |
3.5% |
Indusind Bank |
Financials |
3.5% |
Emami |
Consumer Staples |
3.5% |
Jammu & Kashmir Bank |
Financials |
3.3% |
Eicher Motors |
Industrials |
3.2% |
Motherson Sumi Systems |
Consumer Discretionary |
3.2% |
Idea Cellular |
Telecom |
3.2% |
Max India |
Financials |
3.2% |
Berger Paints India |
Materials |
3.0% |
Larsen & Toubro |
Industrials |
3.0% |
Dewan Housing Finance |
Financials |
2.8% |
IPCA Laboratories |
Health Care |
2.8% |
Divi's Laboratories |
Health Care |
2.6% |
Sintex Industries |
Industrials |
2.6% |
Portfolio analysis by market capitalisation size as at 31 May 2013
Market capitalisation size |
No. of Companies |
% of Portfolio |
Small Cap (M/Cap <INR15bn) |
3 |
4.8% |
Mid Cap (INR15bn <M/Cap<INR100bn) |
19 |
54.6% |
Large Cap (M/Cap > INR100bn) |
12 |
35.3% |
Unlisted |
1 |
0.0% |
Total Equity Investment |
35 |
94.7% |
Net Cash |
|
5.3% |
Total Portfolio |
|
100.0% |