6 November 2015
India Capital Growth Fund Limited (the "Company" or "ICGF")
Net Asset Value statement at 31 October 2015
Net Asset Value
The Company announces its Net Asset Value per share as at 31 October 2015 was 78.38 pence.
In October the Net Asset Value (NAV) was up 0.1% in Sterling terms, whilst the BSE Mid Cap Index was up 1.2%, delivering an under performance against the notional benchmark of 1.1%. Against Ocean Dial's Composite Index, ICGF under performed by 1.3%. In local currency terms, the NAV was up 0.4% for the month.
The Company also announces its fully diluted NAV per share as at 31 October 2015 was 72.59 pence.
The above fully diluted NAV assumes that the 37,500,710 Subscription Shares rights will be exercised at their subscription price of 61 pence. The Subscription Shares have a subscription date of 6 August 2016. However, if at any time after 6 August 2015 the average middle market quotation for an Ordinary Share for at least 10 consecutive trading days is 5% or more above the subscription price, the Company has the right, (but not the obligation) by an announcement on a RIS to change the subscription date for exercise of the Subscription Shares to an earlier date (being a date not less than 30 days after the Company's announcement) that it is bringing forward the subscription date. In that event an announcement will be made on a RIS and a notice of the revised subscription date will be given to all holders of the Subscription Shares on the register at 5.00pm on the date falling three business days following the announcement of the revised subscription date.
Portfolio update
Positive attribution to the portfolio's performance came from Kajaria Ceramics (up 13.7%), Sobha (up 16.5%), NIIT Tech (up 19.7%) and KPIT Technologies (up 28.1%). Negative attribution came from Federal Bank (down 15.2%), Neuland Laboratories (down 23.2%) and Gujarat Pipavav Port (down 12.9%).
Market and economic update
Indian equity markets continued to claw back some of the value lost in August with the BSE Sensex up 1.9% and the BSE Mid Cap Index up 1.6% (local currency). Foreign Institutions were net buyers of US$765m whilst domestic institutions sold US$324m for the period. The Indian Rupee appreciated by 0.5% against the US Dollar but fell 0.4% against Sterling.
The country's fiscal deficit for the period April to September (H1FY16) reached 68% of full year target of 3.9% of GDP, a high number, but still 14% lower than last year. Tax receipts (mainly indirect) increased 25.7%, whilst expenditure rose 5.6%, reflecting the Government's determination to support growth. In time we expect this to trigger a revival in private sector capital commitment to the investment cycle.
Industrial production (IIP) grew to 6.4% in August (a three-year high), up from 4.1% in July. The rise was mainly on account of double digit growth in consumer durable spending and capital goods, both factors driven by restocking ahead of the annual festival season. Contrary to this better news, food price inflation hardened from 2.9% growth to 4.3% in September, chiefly driven by rising prices for proteins and pulses. Core inflation remains within the Reserve Bank of India's comfort zone.
Second quarter (FY15) corporate results started filtering in; in line on aggregate. The results to date suggest weak revenue growth, offset by firmer margins (due to lower input costs); unremarkable overall. Sector wise, the Consumer Discretionary stocks beat expectations in the main, whilst Health Care and IT were mixed. "Staples" disappointed on lower volume growth. Elsewhere the Industrials failed to reflect any improvement arising from increased Government spending and Financials reported weak credit growth and increased provisioning. The market remains range bound ahead of State elections in Bihar.
Portfolio analysis by sector as at 31 October 2015 |
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Sector |
No. of Companies |
% of Portfolio |
Financials |
9 |
27.1% |
Consumer Discretionary |
5 |
14.6% |
Industrials |
6 |
14.4% |
Materials |
5 |
12.9% |
Healthcare |
4 |
10.9% |
Consumer Staples |
4 |
9.9% |
IT |
3 |
6.6% |
Total Equity Investment |
36 |
96.4% |
Net Cash |
|
3.6% |
Total Portfolio |
36 |
100.0% |
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Top 20 holdings as at 31 October 2015 |
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Holding |
Sector |
% of Portfolio |
Dewan Housing |
Financials |
4.4% |
Jyothy Laboratories |
Consumer Staples |
4.4% |
Kajaria Ceramics |
Industrials |
4.2% |
Federal Bank |
Financials |
3.9% |
Yes Bank |
Financials |
3.9% |
PI Industries |
Materials |
3.9% |
Divis Laboratories |
Healthcare |
3.8% |
Max India |
Financials |
3.6% |
Dish TV India |
Consumer Discretionary |
3.5% |
Indusind Bank |
Financials |
3.4% |
City Union |
Financials |
3.1% |
Exide Industries |
Consumer Discretionary |
3.0% |
Sobha |
Financials |
2.9% |
Motherson Sumi Systems |
Consumer Discretionary |
2.9% |
Ajanta Pharma |
Healthcare |
2.9% |
Tech Mahindra |
IT |
2.9% |
Berger Paints India |
Materials |
2.9% |
Balkrishna Industries |
Consumer Discretionary |
2.7% |
Lupin |
Healthcare |
2.6% |
Eicher Motors |
Industrials |
2.6% |
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Portfolio analysis by market capitalisation size as 31 October 2015 |
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Market capitalisation size |
No. of Companies |
% of Portfolio |
Small Cap (M/Cap <INR60bn) |
13 |
26.1% |
Mid Cap (INR60bn <M/Cap<INR250bn) |
15 |
46.4% |
Large Cap (M/Cap > INR250bn) |
8 |
23.9% |
Total Equity Investment |
36 |
96.4% |
Net Cash |
|
3.6% |
Total Portfolio |
36 |
100.0% |