6 October 2016
India Capital Growth Fund Limited (the "Company" or "ICGF")
Net Asset Value statement at 30 September 2016
Net Asset Value
The Company announces its Net Asset Value per share as at 30 September 2016 was 92.84 pence.
In the month the Net Asset Value (NAV) was up 1.4% in Sterling terms, whilst the BSE Mid Cap Total Return Index was up 1.1%, delivering an outperformance against the notional benchmark of 0.3%. In local currency terms, the NAV was little changed for the month.
Portfolio update
Positive attribution to the portfolio's performance came from Jyothy Laboratories (up 11.7%), Kajaria Ceramics (up 10.1%), Balkrishna Industries (up 15.5%) and Federal Bank (up 4.7%). Negative attribution came from Yes Bank (down 8.2%), Tech Mahindra (down 10.4%) and Ramkrishna Forgings (down 15.8%).
Market and economic update
The Indian equity market corrected after gaining for six consecutive months; the BSE Sensex was down 2.1% whilst the BSE Mid Cap Total Return Index fell 0.3%. This was mainly on the back of geopolitical risk, as the Indian Army carried out surgical strikes on terrorist camps in Pakistan in response to increased hostility in Kashmir. Foreign Institutions were net buyers (US$1.4bn), as were domestic institutions (US$299m). The Indian Rupee appreciated 0.5% against the US Dollar and 1.4% against Sterling.
July Industrial Production fell 2.4% driven by a decline in capital goods, manufacturing and consumer non-durables, whilst mining and electricity expanded. Better news flow came from August consumer price inflation, which fell to 5.1% (a four month low) led by lower food prices, mainly pulses. As largely anticipated, this was followed by a 0.25% cut in nominal interest rates to 6.25%, announced by the newly formed Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), chaired by central bank governor Urjit Patel, and comprising of five additional members (two further Reserve Bank appointees and three highly qualified independent appointees). All six members voted unanimously in favour of the cut. Looking ahead, any further changes will be dependent on consumer price inflation, which has a five year target of 4%, with a 2% tolerance level. The recent public salary pay increases, and the fiscal impact that may ensue, makes any further near term cuts to interest rates less likely.
In an effort to crack down on illicit "black money", the Indian Government conducted "The Income Declaration Scheme" which allowed citizens to report previously undeclared assets to the taxman, without risk of prosecution. The Government received disclosures worth US$9.9bn, implying an aggregate Government tax revenue of US$4.4bn. In addition, between April and September this year, the Government has raised US$3.1bn through stake sales and buybacks of public sector companies; this is the highest figure publicly divested in the first half of a financial year, but accounts for only 37% of the total disinvestment target for FY16/17.
Portfolio analysis by sector as at 30 September 2016 |
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Sector |
No. of Companies |
% of Portfolio |
Financials |
9 |
27.1% |
Materials |
8 |
17.3% |
Consumer Discretionary |
7 |
16.4% |
Industrials |
5 |
11.6% |
Healthcare |
4 |
8.6% |
Consumer Staples |
4 |
7.3% |
IT |
2 |
4.6% |
Total Equity Investment |
39 |
92.9% |
Net Cash |
|
7.1% |
Total Portfolio |
39 |
100.0% |
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Top 20 holdings as at 30 September 2016 |
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Holding |
Sector |
% of Portfolio |
Yes Bank |
Financials |
5.1% |
Federal Bank |
Financials |
4.4% |
Dewan Housing |
Financials |
4.2% |
Jyothy Laboratories |
Consumer Staples |
4.0% |
Kajaria Ceramics |
Industrials |
3.7% |
Motherson Sumi Systems |
Consumer Discretionary |
3.5% |
Dish TV India |
Consumer Discretionary |
3.3% |
PI Industries |
Materials |
3.1% |
Indusind Bank |
Financials |
2.9% |
Sobha Developers |
Financials |
2.9% |
Berger Paints India |
Materials |
2.8% |
City Union Bank |
Financials |
2.8% |
Divis Laboratories |
Healthcare |
2.8% |
Finolex Cables |
Industrials |
2.7% |
The Ramco Cements |
Materials |
2.7% |
Max Financial Services |
Financials |
2.6% |
Exide Industries |
Consumer Discretionary |
2.5% |
NIIT Technologies |
IT |
2.4% |
Skipper |
Materials |
2.3% |
Essel Propack |
Materials |
2.2% |
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Portfolio analysis by market capitalisation size as 30 September 2016 |
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Market capitalisation size* |
No. of Companies |
% of Portfolio |
Small Cap (M/Cap < US$2bn) |
26 |
58.9% |
Mid Cap (US$2bn < M/Cap < US$7bn) |
9 |
22.3% |
Large Cap (M/Cap > US$7bn) |
4 |
11.6% |
Total Equity Investment |
39 |
92.9% |
Net Cash |
|
7.1% |
Total Portfolio |
39 |
100.0% |
* Please note that as at 1 September 2016, our mid cap market capitalisation definitions have been amended from INR60bn < x < INR250bn to US$2bn < x < US$7bn