6 February 2017
India Capital Growth Fund Limited (the "Company" or "ICGF")
Net Asset Value statement at 31 January 2017
Net Asset Value
The Company announces its Net Asset Value per share as at 31 January 2017 was 94.62 pence.
In January, the Net Asset Value (NAV) was up 6.0% in Sterling terms, whilst the BSE Mid Cap Total Return Index was up 5.4%, delivering an outperformance against the notional benchmark of 0.6%. In local currency terms, the NAV was up 7.8% for the month.
Portfolio update
Positive attribution to the portfolio's performance came from Yes Bank (up 20.7%), Ramkrishna Forgings (up 35.6%), Kajaria Ceramics (up 24.4%) and The Ramco Cements (up 28.2%). Negative attribution came from Divis Laboratories (down 10.7%), Neuland Laboratories (down 12.8%) and Tech Mahindra (down 7.5%).
Market and economic update
India's equity markets recovered sharply following two consecutive months of falling prices. The BSE Sensex rose 3.9%, whilst the BSE Mid Cap Index recovered 6.9%. The first quarterly earnings release since demonetisation indicates a lower impact on corporate profitability than was expected, in the main. Energy, Materials and Financials outperformed, the latter reporting stable asset quality (with some exceptions), while Consumer Staples and Consumer Discretionary companies reported weaker volume growth as expected. Encouragingly though, management commentary was upbeat, pointing to a swift resumption in demand as cash in the economy normalises. IT disappointed on muted guidance. Consumer price inflation softened further to 3.4% in December, a two year low, largely on the back of demonetisation. Foreign Institutions were net equity sellers (US$6.4m for the month) while domestic institutions were net equity buyers (US$696m for the month). The Indian Rupee appreciated 0.1% against the US Dollar and depreciated 1.7% against Sterling.
2017 Budget
The Finance Minister delivered a fiscally prudent budget. Modest tax revenue assumptions combined with a targeted increase in spending towards rural India and infrastructure capital expenditure, in particular roads and railways. The continued path towards fiscal consolidation will be well regarded by investors and should clear the way for looser monetary policy. Additional focus towards further liberalisation of foreign direct investment norms, greater transparency in political funding, clarity over taxation on indirect transfers for foreigners and lower corporate taxes for SME's is encouraging. Emphasis on digital transactions and a low ceiling on cash transactions is also welcome.
Portfolio analysis by sector as at 31 January 2017 |
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Sector |
No. of Companies |
% of Portfolio |
Financials |
7 |
25.8% |
Materials |
8 |
18.9% |
Consumer Discretionary |
7 |
18.2% |
Consumer Staples |
5 |
11.0% |
Industrials |
4 |
10.2% |
Health Care |
3 |
5.0% |
IT |
2 |
4.7% |
Real Estate |
2 |
3.0% |
Total Equity Investment |
38 |
96.8% |
Net Cash |
|
3.2% |
Total Portfolio |
38 |
100.0% |
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Top 20 holdings as at 31 January 2017 |
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Holding |
Sector |
% of Portfolio |
Yes Bank |
Financials |
5.7% |
Federal Bank |
Financials |
4.6% |
Dewan Housing |
Financials |
4.3% |
Jyothy Laboratories |
Consumer Staples |
4.0% |
Motherson Sumi Systems |
Consumer Discretionary |
3.6% |
Kajaria Ceramics |
Industrials |
3.5% |
PI Industries |
Materials |
3.3% |
City Union Bank |
Financials |
3.2% |
The Ramco Cements |
Materials |
3.2% |
Dish TV India |
Consumer Discretionary |
3.1% |
Indusind Bank |
Financials |
3.1% |
Welspun India |
Consumer Discretionary |
3.1% |
Ramkrishna Forgings |
Materials |
3.0% |
Finolex Cables |
Industrials |
2.7% |
Max Financial Services |
Financials |
2.7% |
Exide Industries |
Consumer Discretionary |
2.7% |
Sobha Developers |
Real Estate |
2.6% |
Essel Propack |
Materials |
2.4% |
NIIT Technologies |
IT |
2.4% |
Tech Mahindra |
IT |
2.3% |
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Portfolio analysis by market capitalisation size as 31 January 2017 |
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Market capitalisation size |
No. of Companies |
% of Portfolio |
Small Cap (M/Cap < US$2bn) |
26 |
63.5% |
Mid Cap (US$2bn < M/Cap < US$7bn) |
8 |
20.9% |
Large Cap (M/Cap > US$7bn) |
4 |
12.4% |
Total Equity Investment |
38 |
96.8% |
Net Cash |
|
3.2% |
Total Portfolio |
38 |
100.0% |