3 July 2019
India Capital Growth Fund Limited (the "Company" or "ICGF")
Net Asset Value statement at 30 June 2019
Net Asset Value
The Company announces its Net Asset Value per share as at 30 June 2019 was 97.02 pence.
In June the Net Asset Value (NAV) was down 5.1% in Sterling terms, whilst the BSE MidCap TR Index was down 1.0%, delivering an under performance against the notional benchmark of 4.1%. In local currency terms, the NAV was down 5.8% for the month.
Portfolio update
Positive contribution to the portfolio's performance came from Motherson Sumi Systems (up 5.7%), PI Industries (up 3.1%) and City Union Bank (up 2.9%). Negative contribution came from Jammu & Kashmir Bank (down 32.2%), Yes Bank (down 26.4%) and Jain Irrigation (down 48.3%).
Market and economic update
Indian equity markets corrected in June. The BSE Sensex and BSE MidCap Total Return indices fell 0.5% and 1.8% respectively (in Indian Rupees). This was on the back of concerns owing to the late onset of the monsoon, which has since arrived, and challenges concerning the ongoing "liquidity squeeze" in the shadow banking sector, as further downgrades from the rating agencies (on specific companies' credit) undermines confidence. Foreign institutional investors and domestic institutions were net buyers to the tune of US$149m and US$523m respectively over the month. The Indian Rupee appreciated by 1.0% against US Dollar and 0.8% against Pound Sterling.
In the June meeting, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) cut headline interest rates by 25 basis points to 5.75% for third time in just four months, and changed its stance from "neutral" to "accommodative". Furthermore the RBI revised down FY20 growth forecast to 7.0% from 7.2%. Since consumer price inflation is well under 4% the market expects further rate cuts. However the extent of further monetary loosening is likely to be affected by the outcome of the monsoon rains. Nonetheless, 10 year Government bond yields reached a 19-month low of 6.8%.
India's current account deficit (CAD) for March quarter stood at US$4.60bn or 0.7% of gross domestic product against US$17.7bn, or 2.7% of GDP in the previous quarter. The lower trade deficit came about on the back of higher exports combining with lower oil and non-oil imports. Overall, the balance of payments clocked a US$14.2bn surplus in the fourth quarter after 12 months of deficit, as oil prices stabilised combined with an overall improvement in the capital account.
Portfolio analysis by sector as at 30 June 2019 |
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Sector |
No. of Companies |
% of Portfolio |
Financials |
7 |
23.1% |
Materials |
8 |
20.5% |
Consumer Discretionary |
5 |
11.8% |
Information Technology |
3 |
10.3% |
Consumer Staples |
4 |
9.2% |
Industrials |
4 |
9.0% |
Health Care |
3 |
7.1% |
Real Estate |
2 |
1.6% |
Communication Services |
0 |
0.0% |
Energy |
0 |
0.0% |
Utilities |
0 |
0.0% |
Total Equity Investment |
36 |
92.7% |
Net Cash |
|
7.3% |
Total Portfolio |
36 |
100.0% |
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Top 20 holdings as at 30 June 2019 |
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Holding |
Sector |
% of Portfolio |
Federal Bank |
Financials |
5.7% |
City Union Bank |
Financials |
5.2% |
Tech Mahindra |
Information Technology |
4.7% |
NIIT Technologies |
Information Technology |
4.5% |
Kajaria Ceramics |
Industrials |
4.0% |
PI Industries |
Materials |
3.9% |
Divi's Laboratories |
Health Care |
3.6% |
Jyothy Laboratories |
Consumer Staples |
3.5% |
Berger Paints India |
Materials |
3.3% |
IDFC Bank |
Financials |
3.2% |
Ramkrishna Forgings |
Materials |
3.1% |
Welspun India |
Consumer Discretionary |
3.0% |
Motherson Sumi Systems |
Consumer Discretionary |
2.8% |
Indusind Bank |
Financials |
2.8% |
Aurobindo Pharma |
Health Care |
2.7% |
The Ramco Cements |
Materials |
2.6% |
Exide Industries |
Consumer Discretionary |
2.6% |
Radico Khaitan |
Consumer Staples |
2.6% |
Emami |
Consumer Staples |
2.5% |
Essel Propack |
Materials |
2.5% |
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Portfolio analysis by market capitalisation size as 30 June 2019 |
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Market capitalisation size |
No. of Companies |
% of Portfolio |
Small Cap (M/Cap < US$2bn) |
22 |
45.2% |
Mid Cap (US$2bn < M/Cap < US$7bn) |
12 |
39.9% |
Large Cap (M/Cap > US$7bn) |
2 |
7.5% |
Total Equity Investment |
36 |
92.7% |
Net Cash |
|
7.3% |
Total Portfolio |
36 |
100.0% |