Interim Results
JP Morgan Fleming Asian Inv Tst PLC
23 June 2003
STOCK EXCHANGE ANNOUNCEMENT
JPMORGAN FLEMING ASIAN INVESTMENT TRUST PLC
INTERIM RESULTS
Performance
This is my first statement since becoming Chairman and it is therefore
disappointing to have to report that, for the six months to 31st March 2003, the
total return on the Company's diluted net assets declined by 5.3%, a performance
slightly below the benchmark's total return of -4.7%.
Whilst it is always disappointing to report a negative return and
underperformance against the benchmark, this was a rather unusual period, which
embraced the lead up to the war in Iraq, the North Korean nuclear threat, credit
card industry problems in South Korea and the outbreak of the Severe Acute
Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) virus in Asia. As our Investment Manager, Charlotte
Yew, explains below, the effect of these factors on the Asian equity markets was
difficult to call. The Company's investment strategy is not merely to track the
benchmark index. Rather, we seek to outperform it by active strategic allocation
decisions and through individual stock selection. The slight lag against the
benchmark in the period should therefore be viewed in the context of our
actively driving for outperformance at a time of pronounced market uncertainty.
The total return to shareholders was a fall of 11.4% reflecting an increase in
the discount from 7.9% to 13.9%.
Since 31st March 2003 there has been an improvement in that, at the time of
writing, the Company's diluted net asset value per share has increased by 13.0%
to 79.1p and the ordinary share price by 18.2% to 71.3p, reflecting the
reduction in the discount at which the shares trade to 9.9%. The benchmark index
over the same period has returned 13.1%.
Directors
As was explained in the last Annual Report & Accounts, both Sir Hamish Macleod
and Alex Scott retired as Directors during the period and I would like to record
my thanks to them for their service to the Company over their years on the
Board.
Share Issues and Buybacks
Although shareholders gave Directors the power to issue and buy back shares at
the Annual General Meeting in February, suitable opportunities to do so have not
arisen. The Board will use these authorities as and when appropriate.
Gearing
The Company has a £20m revolving bank facility, which expires in December 2007.
This facility was not used in the period but it remains available to the
Investment Manager to utilise up to the maximum gearing level set by the Board
of 115%. The Board continues to monitor gearing closely, as it represents a key
resource to enable the Investment Manager to achieve outperformance.
Outlook
Charlotte Yew assesses the outlook for the Asian markets in her Review below.
Markets should prove more buoyant over the next few months but, as Charlotte
explains, longer term concerns persist. The Board remains confident, however,
both of Asia's potential for growth and relative global equity market
outperformance and also in the Investment Manager's ability to capture that
growth for the benefit of our shareholders.
James Long TD
Chairman 19th June 2003
Market Review
As mentioned by the Chairman, there were several events that led to the
disappointing performance of Asian markets in the half year and I would like to
comment on each of these.
The anticipation of the Iraq war was more damaging to markets than the actual
event itself. The uncertainty related to shifts in geopolitical power and the
potential cost associated with the war made investors risk averse. Whilst
markets started to rally when the war started, uncertainty covered much of the
period under review.
Capitalising on the tense environment during this period were the North Koreans.
The nuclear threat was not dissimilar to the negotiating tactics used by them in
previous diplomatic crises. However, the verbal cross fire was sufficient to
keep investors away from the Korean market.
On top of this, South Korea had its own domestic problems relating to the credit
card companies. A mixture of rising delinquencies, the SK Global fraud and a
lack of rollover funding caused the financial sector to be particularly weak.
The most worrying development by far was the outbreak of the SARS virus in Asia.
Unlike the Iraq war, which was largely a psychological impact, the SARS virus
had a very direct and debilitating impact on the economy. Many businesses slowed
to a trickle, and with them, the earnings estimates we were using for expected
market performance.
The past six months have been fraught with negative news. There were, however, a
few bright spots such as Thailand, where domestic consumption gained momentum,
and Indonesia, where interest rates and inflation continued to fall. China
enjoyed a relatively strong performance as it has been the major source of
growth for the region and indeed the world.
Performance
It was disappointing that the Company underperformed the benchmark by 0.6%. This
came mainly in the fourth quarter of 2002 with the portfolio's overweight
exposure to Korea, and in particular, holdings in Kookmin Bank and SK Telecom.
A key focus in the portfolio was the China growth theme which resulted in a
positive contribution from Hong Kong and China but this was, however, negated by
poorer stock selection in Taiwan.
Outlook
The most crucial factors for Asian equity markets in the near term will be the
ongoing reaction towards the SARS virus, and government policy towards slow
global economic growth.
The Chinese government's handling of the SARS crisis was initially worrying, but
their turnabout in addressing the spread of the disease is encouraging. This
should instill some confidence and keep foreign investors investing in China.
The US government's policy to weaken their currency is a significant recent
development for Asia. To prevent a strengthening of their currencies versus the
US dollar, Asian governments in response have tended to cut interest rates. This
results in higher liquidity and potentially stimulates growth. In the short
term, therefore, markets will enjoy this liquidity driven rise in markets.
In the long term, however, equities may once again become unattractive if the
threat of deflation returns. Another cap on markets is the high valuation of the
US market. The key lies in whether or not the Asian governments' reflationary
efforts stimulate sufficient growth to overcome these negatives.
Charlotte Yew 19th June 2003
JPMorgan Fleming Asian Investment Trust plc
Unaudited figures for the six months ended 31st March 2003
Statement of Total Return (Unaudited)
Six months to 31st March 2003 Six months to 31st March 2002 Year to 30th September 2002
Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total Revenue Capital Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Realised (losses)/
gains on investments - (5,037) (5,037) - 12,722 12,722 - 19,925 19,925
Net change in
unrealised losses - (2,323) (2,323) - 43,926 43,926 - (18,277) (18,277)
Currency losses on
cash and short term
deposits held during
the period - (72) (72) - (121) (121) - (999) (999)
Realised gain on
currency hedge - - - - - - - 149 149
Other capital charges - (7) (7) - (25) (25) - (39) (39)
Franked Investment
income - - - - - - 42 - 42
Overseas dividends 1,178 - 1,178 1,239 - 1,239 2,951 - 2,951
Scrip dividends - - - - - - 270 - 270
Deposit interest 28 - 28 95 - 95 195 - 195
Stock lending fees 12 - 12 1 - 1 13 - 13
_______ ________ _______ ______ _______ ________ _______ _______ _______
Gross return 1,218 (7,439) (6,221) 1,335 56,502 57,837 3,471 759 4,230
Management fee (420) - (420) (517) - (517) (1,115) - (1,115)
Other administrative
expenses (230) - (230) (163) - (163) (431) - (431)
Interest payable (95) - (95) (300) - (300) (718) - (718)
_______ _______ _______ ______ _______ _______ _______ _______ _______
Return before
taxation 473 (7,439) (6,966) 355 56,502 56,857 1,207 759 1,966
Taxation (143) - (143) (61) - (61) (376) - (376)
______ _______ _______ ______ _______ ______ _______ _______ _______
Return attributable
to shareholders 330 (7,439) (7,109) 294 56,502 56,796 831 759 1,590
===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== =====
Return per ordinary
share 0.20p (4.59)p (4.39)p 0.18p 34.66p 34.84p 0.51p 0.47p 0.98p
Dividend per ordinary
share Nil Nil 0.50p
JPMorgan Fleming Asian Investment Trust plc
Unaudited figures for the six months ended 31st March 2003
BALANCE SHEET 31st March 31st March 30th September
2003 2002 2002
£'000 £'000 £'000
Investments at valuation 110,338 182,158 121,233
Net current assets/(liabilities) 3,171 (5,782) (615)
______ _______ _______
Total net assets 113,509 176,376 120,618
===== ===== =====
Diluted net asset value per ordinary share 70.0p 108.8p 74.4p
CASH FLOW STATEMENT 6 Months to 6 Months to Year to
31st March 31st March 30thSeptember
2003 2002 2002
£'000 £'000 £'000
Net cash inflow from operating activities 255 545 1,516
Net cash outflow from returns on investments and
servicing of finance (141) (270) (671)
Total tax recovered - 180 228
Net cash inflow /(outflow) from capital expenditure and
financial investment 5,249 (18,358) (10,850)
Total equity dividends paid (810) - -
Net cash (outflow)/inflow from financing (20,000) (26,639) 18,761
_______ ______ ______
(Decrease)/Increase in cash for the period (15,447) (44,542) 8,984
===== ==== ====
The above financial information does not constitute statutory accounts as
defined in Section 240 of the Companies Act 1985. Statutory accounts for the
year ended 30th September 2002 have been delivered to the Registrar of
Companies.
J.P. MORGAN FLEMING ASSET MANAGEMENT (UK) LIMITED
23rd June 2003
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange